Burton Albion v Mansfield Town — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Saturday 19 September 2026 · ENG-League One · 2627
ENG-League One
results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
dc-xg No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.
Was this pick made in advance?
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| dc-xg | 1.38–0.91 | 1-1 15% | 40% | 47% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burton Albion to win | 40.3% | 43.0% | 45.2% | 0.95× | 2.33 |
| Mansfield Town to win | 32.4% | 30.4% | 29.3% | 1.04× | 3.29 |
| Draw | 27.3% | 27.9% | 25.6% | 1.09× | 3.59 |
1X2 & GG/NG 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burton Albion & not both score | 23.4% | 21.9% | 24.6% | 0.89× | 4.57 |
| Draw & both teams score | 18.5% | 17.9% | 19.6% | 0.91× | 5.58 |
| Mansfield Town & not both score | 18.6% | 17.9% | 15.9% | 1.13× | 5.58 |
| Burton Albion & both teams score | 16.9% | 17.9% | 20.7% | 0.86× | 5.58 |
| Mansfield Town & both teams score | 13.8% | 13.3% | 13.6% | 0.97× | 7.55 |
| Draw & not both score | 8.8% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 1.36× | 11.94 |
1X2 & Over/Under 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burton Albion & under 3.5 | 30.4% | 30.9% | 31.4% | 0.98× | 3.24 |
| Burton Albion & over 1.5 | 28.8% | 26.0% | 33.1% | 0.79× | 3.84 |
| Mansfield Town & under 3.5 | 25.1% | 26.0% | 21.6% | 1.21× | 3.84 |
| Mansfield Town & over 1.5 | 22.4% | 21.6% | 21.2% | 1.02× | 4.62 |
| Burton Albion & over 2.5 | 21.4% | 21.6% | 27.7% | 0.78× | 4.62 |
| Draw & under 2.5 | 21.7% | 21.6% | 18.5% | 1.17× | 4.62 |
| Draw & under 3.5 | 21.7% | 21.6% | 18.5% | 1.17× | 4.62 |
| Burton Albion & under 2.5 | 18.9% | 18.0% | 17.7% | 1.02× | 5.56 |
| Draw & over 1.5 | 18.5% | 18.0% | 19.6% | 0.92× | 5.56 |
| Mansfield Town & over 2.5 | 16.7% | 18.0% | 17.0% | 1.06× | 5.56 |
| Mansfield Town & under 2.5 | 15.7% | 18.0% | 12.5% | 1.44× | 5.56 |
| Burton Albion & under 1.5 | 11.5% | 12.9% | 12.3% | 1.04× | 7.78 |
| Mansfield Town & under 1.5 | 10.0% | 12.9% | 8.3% | 1.56× | 7.78 |
| Burton Albion & over 3.5 | 9.8% | 7.9% | 13.9% | 0.57× | 12.69 |
| Draw & under 1.5 | 8.8% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 1.28× | 12.69 |
| Mansfield Town & over 3.5 | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 0.99× | 12.69 |
| Draw & over 2.5 | 5.6% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 1.08× | 12.69 |
| Draw & over 3.5 | 5.6% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 1.08× | 12.69 |
1X2 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burton Albion (1UP) | 55.2% | 57.8% | — | — | 1.73 |
| Mansfield Town (1UP) | 48.2% | 43.0% | — | — | 2.33 |
1X2 2UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burton Albion (2UP) | 40.3% | 47.4% | — | — | 2.11 |
| Mansfield Town (2UP) | 32.4% | 31.0% | — | — | 3.22 |
2nd half 1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half drawn | 38.0% | 36.1% | — | — | 2.77 |
| Burton Albion to win 2nd half | 32.8% | 34.5% | — | — | 2.90 |
| Mansfield Town to win 2nd half | 29.2% | 26.3% | — | — | 3.80 |
Asian handicap 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mansfield Town (+2.5) | 93.6% | 92.1% | 89.8% | 1.03× | 1.09 |
| Mansfield Town (+1.5) | 81.9% | 82.4% | 80.1% | 1.03× | 1.21 |
| Burton Albion (+0.5) | 67.6% | 68.7% | 70.7% | 0.97× | 1.46 |
| Mansfield Town (+0.5) | 59.7% | 57.0% | 54.8% | 1.04× | 1.75 |
| Burton Albion (-0.5) | 40.3% | 43.0% | 45.2% | 0.95× | 2.33 |
| Mansfield Town (-0.5) | 32.4% | 31.3% | 29.3% | 1.07× | 3.20 |
| Burton Albion (-1.5) | 18.1% | 17.6% | 19.9% | 0.88× | 5.68 |
| Burton Albion (-2.5) | 6.4% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 0.77× | 12.68 |
Away clean sheet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mansfield Town to concede | 72.6% | 76.5% | 78.1% | 0.98× | 1.31 |
| Mansfield Town clean sheet | 27.4% | 23.5% | 21.9% | 1.07× | 4.26 |
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mansfield Town clean sheet in 1st half | 57.3% | 57.7% | — | — | 1.73 |
| Mansfield Town to concede in 1st half | 42.7% | 42.3% | — | — | 2.36 |
Away goals O/U 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mansfield Town under 3.5 goals | 97.2% | 97.6% | 96.8% | 1.01× | 1.03 |
| Mansfield Town under 2.5 goals | 89.4% | 87.9% | 88.3% | 1.00× | 1.14 |
| Mansfield Town under 1.5 goals | 68.7% | 68.0% | 66.8% | 1.02× | 1.47 |
| Mansfield Town over 0.5 goals | 67.8% | 68.0% | 69.4% | 0.98× | 1.47 |
| Mansfield Town under 0.5 goals | 32.2% | 32.0% | 30.6% | 1.05× | 3.12 |
| Mansfield Town over 1.5 goals | 31.3% | 32.0% | 33.2% | 0.96× | 3.12 |
| Mansfield Town over 2.5 goals | 10.6% | 12.1% | 11.7% | 1.04× | 8.26 |
| Mansfield Town over 3.5 goals | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 0.75× | 41.05 |
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mansfield Town under 1.5 in 1st half | 92.4% | 94.1% | — | — | 1.06 |
| Mansfield Town under 0.5 in 1st half | 63.6% | 64.5% | — | — | 1.55 |
| Mansfield Town over 0.5 in 1st half | 36.4% | 35.5% | — | — | 2.82 |
| Mansfield Town over 1.5 in 1st half | 7.6% | 5.9% | — | — | 17.05 |
Away no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burton Albion (away no bet) | 59.6% | 57.5% | 63.8% | 0.90× | 1.74 |
| Draw (away no bet) | 40.4% | 42.5% | 36.2% | 1.17× | 2.36 |
Away Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mansfield Town even goals | 55.2% | 56.9% | 54.6% | 1.04× | 1.76 |
| Mansfield Town odd goals | 44.8% | 43.1% | 45.4% | 0.95× | 2.32 |
Both halves O1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves over 1.5 | 88.9% | 88.0% | — | — | 1.14 |
| Both halves over 1.5 goals | 11.1% | 12.0% | — | — | 8.35 |
Both halves U1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves under 1.5 | 57.1% | 59.7% | — | — | 1.68 |
| Both halves under 1.5 goals | 42.9% | 40.3% | — | — | 2.48 |
Consecutive goals 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to score 2+ in a row | 49.5% | 46.2% | — | — | 2.17 |
| Burton Albion to score 2+ in a row | 30.0% | 28.4% | — | — | 3.52 |
| Mansfield Town to score 2+ in a row | 24.2% | 19.4% | — | — | 5.17 |
| Either team to score 3+ in a row | 15.6% | 16.4% | — | — | 6.11 |
| Burton Albion to score 3+ in a row | 9.3% | 5.6% | — | — | 17.78 |
| Mansfield Town to score 3+ in a row | 6.5% | 5.6% | — | — | 18.01 |
Correct score 26
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | 12.9% | 11.5% | 12.5% | 0.92× | 8.73 |
| 1-0 | 11.5% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 0.93× | 8.73 |
| 0-1 | 10.0% | 11.4% | 8.3% | 1.39× | 8.74 |
| 0-0 | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 1.21× | 13.46 |
| 2-1 | 8.4% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 0.78× | 13.46 |
| 1-2 | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 1.00× | 13.46 |
| 2-0 | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 1.35× | 13.46 |
| 0-2 | 5.7% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 1.70× | 13.46 |
| 2-2 | 4.7% | 1.7% | 6.0% | 0.28× | 58.56 |
| 0-3 | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 0.88× | 58.58 |
| 0-4 | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.05× | 58.59 |
| 1-3 | 2.8% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 0.50× | 58.58 |
| 1-4 | 0.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 2.63× | 58.59 |
| 2-3 | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.96× | 58.58 |
| 2-4 | 0.5% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 5.27× | 58.59 |
| 3-0 | 3.2% | 1.7% | 4.5% | 0.38× | 58.57 |
| 3-1 | 3.6% | 1.7% | 4.1% | 0.42× | 58.57 |
| 3-2 | 2.1% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 0.53× | 58.58 |
| 3-3 | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.17× | 58.59 |
| 3-4 | 0.2% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 5.27× | 58.59 |
| 4-0 | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 0.88× | 58.59 |
| 4-1 | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.05× | 58.59 |
| 4-2 | 0.7% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 2.63× | 58.59 |
| 4-3 | 0.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 2.63× | 58.59 |
| 4-4 | 0.1% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 10.53× | 58.59 |
| Any other score | 1.7% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 0.50× | 58.58 |
DNB half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burton Albion leading at HT (DNB) | 56.5% | 57.5% | — | — | 1.74 |
| Mansfield Town leading at HT (DNB) | 43.5% | 42.5% | — | — | 2.35 |
Double chance 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burton Albion or Mansfield Town (12) | 72.7% | 72.1% | 74.4% | 0.97× | 1.39 |
| Burton Albion or draw (1X) | 67.6% | 69.6% | 70.7% | 0.99× | 1.44 |
| Mansfield Town or draw (X2) | 59.7% | 57.0% | 54.8% | 1.04× | 1.75 |
Double chance 1HT 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burton Albion or draw at HT | 76.6% | 80.0% | — | — | 1.25 |
| Mansfield Town or draw at HT | 69.6% | 66.2% | — | — | 1.51 |
| Burton Albion or Mansfield Town at HT | 53.8% | 47.6% | — | — | 2.10 |
Double chance 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burton Albion or draw (1UP) | 67.6% | 75.9% | — | — | 1.32 |
| Mansfield Town or draw (1UP) | 59.7% | 62.9% | — | — | 1.59 |
Double chance 2HT 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burton Albion or draw in 2nd half | 70.8% | 73.7% | — | — | 1.36 |
| Mansfield Town or draw in 2nd half | 67.2% | 65.5% | — | — | 1.53 |
| Burton Albion or Mansfield Town in 2nd half | 62.0% | 63.9% | — | — | 1.57 |
Draw either half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A half drawn | 66.6% | 69.8% | — | — | 1.43 |
| Neither half drawn | 33.4% | 30.2% | — | — | 3.31 |
Draw no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burton Albion (DNB) | 55.4% | 58.1% | 60.7% | 0.96× | 1.72 |
| Mansfield Town (DNB) | 44.6% | 41.9% | 39.3% | 1.06× | 2.39 |
First goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burton Albion to score first | 48.7% | 45.6% | — | — | 2.19 |
| Mansfield Town to score first | 42.5% | 41.6% | — | — | 2.40 |
| No goal scored | 8.8% | 7.4% | — | — | 13.44 |
GG/NG 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both teams to score | 50.8% | 51.4% | 46.4% | 1.11× | 1.94 |
| Both teams to score | 49.2% | 48.6% | 53.6% | 0.91× | 2.06 |
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both score & under 2.5 | 43.3% | 41.6% | 36.0% | 1.15× | 2.41 |
| Both score & over 2.5 | 36.3% | 38.5% | 41.3% | 0.93× | 2.60 |
| Both score & under 2.5 | 12.9% | 12.3% | 12.5% | 0.99× | 8.11 |
| Not both score & over 2.5 | 7.5% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 0.79× | 11.97 |
GG/NG 2+ 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both teams to score 2+ | 88.4% | 85.7% | 85.9% | 1.00× | 1.17 |
| Both teams to score 2+ | 11.6% | 14.3% | 14.1% | 1.02× | 6.98 |
GG/NG 2nd half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both to score in 2nd half | 74.3% | 74.6% | — | — | 1.34 |
| Both teams to score in 2nd half | 25.7% | 25.4% | — | — | 3.94 |
GG/NG by half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neither half both score | 62.7% | 66.7% | — | — | 1.50 |
| Both score 2nd half only | 21.7% | 21.1% | — | — | 4.74 |
| Both score 1st half only | 11.5% | 10.5% | — | — | 9.55 |
| Both score in both halves | 4.0% | 5.0% | — | — | 20.11 |
GG/NG half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both to score by HT | 84.4% | 82.9% | — | — | 1.21 |
| Both teams to score by HT | 15.6% | 17.1% | — | — | 5.86 |
Goal in both halves 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A half without a goal | 51.8% | 53.3% | — | — | 1.88 |
| A goal in each half | 48.2% | 46.7% | — | — | 2.14 |
Goal range 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2-3 goals | 47.0% | 47.4% | 44.9% | 1.06× | 2.11 |
| 0-1 goals | 30.3% | 30.7% | 26.4% | 1.16× | 3.26 |
| 4-6 goals | 21.5% | 22.8% | 27.2% | 0.84× | 4.38 |
| 7+ goals | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.01× | 55.31 |
Goals away 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mansfield Town to score exactly 1 | 36.5% | 36.0% | 36.3% | 0.99× | 2.78 |
| Mansfield Town to score exactly 0 | 32.2% | 33.9% | 30.6% | 1.11× | 2.95 |
| Mansfield Town to score exactly 2 | 20.7% | 22.4% | 21.7% | 1.03× | 4.47 |
| Mansfield Town to score 3+ | 10.6% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 1.10× | 7.81 |
Goals home 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burton Albion to score exactly 1 | 35.5% | 35.6% | 36.1% | 0.99× | 2.81 |
| Burton Albion to score exactly 0 | 27.4% | 26.5% | 21.9% | 1.21× | 3.77 |
| Burton Albion to score exactly 2 | 23.0% | 23.3% | 22.5% | 1.03× | 4.30 |
| Burton Albion to score 3+ | 14.2% | 14.4% | 19.8% | 0.73× | 6.97 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw at HT | 46.2% | 52.4% | — | — | 1.91 |
| Burton Albion leading at HT | 30.4% | 33.8% | — | — | 2.96 |
| Mansfield Town leading at HT | 23.4% | 20.0% | — | — | 5.00 |
Handicap 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burton Albion -1: 2 | 59.7% | 56.7% | — | — | 1.76 |
| Burton Albion -1: X | 22.2% | 23.6% | — | — | 4.24 |
| Burton Albion -1: 1 | 18.1% | 17.5% | — | — | 5.71 |
Handicap 0:1 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mansfield Town (0:1) | 59.7% | 55.9% | 54.8% | 1.02× | 1.79 |
| Draw (0:1) | 22.2% | 24.3% | 25.4% | 0.95× | 4.12 |
| Burton Albion (0:1) | 18.1% | 17.8% | 19.9% | 0.89× | 5.62 |
Handicap 0:2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mansfield Town (0:2) | 81.9% | 82.8% | 80.1% | 1.03× | 1.21 |
| Draw (0:2) | 11.8% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 1.11× | 9.09 |
| Burton Albion (0:2) | 6.4% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 0.75× | 12.99 |
Handicap 0:3 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mansfield Town (0:3) | 93.6% | 92.7% | 89.8% | 1.03× | 1.08 |
| Draw (0:3) | 4.6% | 2.4% | 6.5% | 0.37× | 41.94 |
| Burton Albion (0:3) | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 0.61× | 42.06 |
Handicap 0:4 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mansfield Town (0:4) | 98.2% | 98.1% | 96.1% | 1.02× | 1.02 |
| Draw (0:4) | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 0.44× | 83.31 |
| Burton Albion (0:4) | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.92× | 83.43 |
Handicap 1:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burton Albion (1:0) | 67.6% | 69.9% | 70.7% | 0.99× | 1.43 |
| Draw (1:0) | 19.4% | 17.0% | 17.3% | 0.98× | 5.87 |
| Mansfield Town (1:0) | 13.0% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 1.05× | 7.80 |
Handicap 2:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burton Albion (2:0) | 87.0% | 88.3% | 87.8% | 1.01× | 1.13 |
| Draw (2:0) | 9.0% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 0.83× | 15.47 |
| Mansfield Town (2:0) | 4.1% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 0.50× | 44.15 |
Highest scoring half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half highest scoring | 46.4% | 48.2% | — | — | 2.08 |
| 1st half highest scoring | 26.9% | 26.5% | — | — | 3.77 |
| Halves equal | 26.7% | 26.5% | — | — | 3.77 |
Home clean sheet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burton Albion to concede | 67.8% | 66.5% | 69.4% | 0.96× | 1.50 |
| Burton Albion clean sheet | 32.2% | 33.5% | 30.6% | 1.09× | 2.99 |
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burton Albion clean sheet in 1st half | 63.6% | 64.5% | — | — | 1.55 |
| Burton Albion to concede in 1st half | 36.4% | 35.5% | — | — | 2.82 |
Home goals O/U 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burton Albion under 3.5 goals | 95.7% | 96.3% | 93.0% | 1.04× | 1.04 |
| Burton Albion under 2.5 goals | 85.8% | 87.2% | 80.2% | 1.09× | 1.15 |
| Burton Albion over 0.5 goals | 72.6% | 74.2% | 78.1% | 0.95× | 1.35 |
| Burton Albion under 1.5 goals | 62.8% | 63.4% | 57.9% | 1.10× | 1.58 |
| Burton Albion over 1.5 goals | 37.2% | 36.6% | 42.1% | 0.87× | 2.73 |
| Burton Albion under 0.5 goals | 27.4% | 25.8% | 21.9% | 1.18× | 3.88 |
| Burton Albion over 2.5 goals | 14.2% | 12.8% | 19.8% | 0.65× | 7.83 |
| Burton Albion over 3.5 goals | 4.3% | 3.7% | 7.0% | 0.52× | 27.37 |
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burton Albion under 1.5 in 1st half | 89.2% | 90.0% | — | — | 1.11 |
| Burton Albion under 0.5 in 1st half | 57.3% | 57.3% | — | — | 1.75 |
| Burton Albion over 0.5 in 1st half | 42.7% | 42.7% | — | — | 2.34 |
| Burton Albion over 1.5 in 1st half | 10.8% | 10.0% | — | — | 10.04 |
Home no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mansfield Town (home no bet) | 54.2% | 51.6% | 53.4% | 0.97× | 1.94 |
| Draw (home no bet) | 45.8% | 48.4% | 46.6% | 1.04× | 2.07 |
Home Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burton Albion even goals | 53.7% | 50.7% | 48.6% | 1.04× | 1.97 |
| Burton Albion odd goals | 46.3% | 49.3% | 51.4% | 0.96× | 2.03 |
HT correct score 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HT 0-0 | 36.4% | 38.4% | — | — | 2.61 |
| HT 1-0 | 20.3% | 24.2% | — | — | 4.14 |
| HT 0-1 | 16.5% | 18.9% | — | — | 5.30 |
| HT 1-1 | 9.2% | 7.1% | — | — | 14.07 |
| HT 2-0 | 5.7% | 7.1% | — | — | 14.13 |
| HT 0-2 | 3.7% | 2.2% | — | — | 44.64 |
| Any other HT score | 3.0% | 2.2% | — | — | 44.70 |
| HT 2-1 | 2.6% | 2.2% | — | — | 44.74 |
| HT 1-2 | 2.1% | 2.2% | — | — | 44.78 |
| HT 2-2 | 0.6% | 2.2% | — | — | 44.90 |
HT/FT 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burton Albion at HT / Burton Albion at FT | 23.2% | 22.2% | — | — | 4.51 |
| Draw at HT / Draw at FT | 17.5% | 16.8% | — | — | 5.95 |
| Mansfield Town at HT / Mansfield Town at FT | 16.9% | 16.8% | — | — | 5.95 |
| Draw at HT / Burton Albion at FT | 15.2% | 16.8% | — | — | 5.96 |
| Draw at HT / Mansfield Town at FT | 13.5% | 12.7% | — | — | 7.89 |
| Burton Albion at HT / Draw at FT | 5.2% | 6.0% | — | — | 16.64 |
| Mansfield Town at HT / Draw at FT | 4.6% | 3.4% | — | — | 29.10 |
| Burton Albion at HT / Mansfield Town at FT | 2.0% | 3.4% | — | — | 29.20 |
| Mansfield Town at HT / Burton Albion at FT | 2.0% | 3.4% | — | — | 29.21 |
Last goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burton Albion to score last | 48.7% | 47.0% | — | — | 2.13 |
| Mansfield Town to score last | 42.5% | 40.1% | — | — | 2.49 |
| No goal scored | 8.8% | 7.4% | — | — | 13.44 |
Lead at any time 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to lead by 1 at any time | 91.2% | 92.7% | — | — | 1.08 |
| Burton Albion to lead by 1 at any time | 55.2% | 55.0% | — | — | 1.82 |
| Mansfield Town to lead by 1 at any time | 48.2% | 44.0% | — | — | 2.27 |
| Either team to lead by 2 at any time | 41.2% | 39.0% | — | — | 2.57 |
| Burton Albion to lead by 2 at any time | 23.4% | 19.6% | — | — | 5.10 |
| Mansfield Town to lead by 2 at any time | 17.9% | 14.9% | — | — | 6.70 |
| Either team to lead by 3 at any time | 13.2% | 10.5% | — | — | 9.55 |
| Burton Albion to lead by 3 at any time | 7.9% | 6.5% | — | — | 15.30 |
| Mansfield Town to lead by 3 at any time | 5.3% | 6.5% | — | — | 15.44 |
Multi goal 15
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-5 goals | 87.5% | 87.4% | 89.0% | 0.98× | 1.14 |
| 1-4 goals | 81.3% | 83.5% | 81.4% | 1.03× | 1.20 |
| 1-3 goals | 68.5% | 69.0% | 65.2% | 1.06× | 1.45 |
| 2-6 goals | 68.5% | 69.0% | 72.0% | 0.96× | 1.45 |
| 2-5 goals | 66.0% | 69.0% | 68.7% | 1.00× | 1.45 |
| 2-4 goals | 59.8% | 59.2% | 61.1% | 0.97× | 1.69 |
| 1-2 goals | 47.4% | 48.7% | 42.3% | 1.15× | 2.06 |
| 2-3 goals | 47.0% | 48.7% | 44.9% | 1.08× | 2.06 |
| 3-6 goals | 42.5% | 43.6% | 50.1% | 0.87× | 2.29 |
| 3-5 goals | 40.0% | 43.6% | 46.8% | 0.93× | 2.29 |
| 3-4 goals | 33.8% | 35.4% | 39.2% | 0.90× | 2.83 |
| 4-6 goals | 21.5% | 24.4% | 27.2% | 0.90× | 4.09 |
| 4-5 goals | 19.0% | 18.6% | 24.0% | 0.78× | 5.37 |
| 5-6 goals | 8.7% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 0.79× | 11.43 |
| 7+ goals | 1.2% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.42× | 39.53 |
Never down 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burton Albion never behind | 43.0% | 48.3% | — | — | 2.07 |
| Mansfield Town never behind | 36.0% | 44.7% | — | — | 2.24 |
Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odd number of goals | 49.6% | 50.8% | 52.5% | 0.97× | 1.97 |
| Even number of goals | 50.4% | 49.2% | 47.5% | 1.04× | 2.03 |
Odd/Even 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 1st half | 56.6% | 57.9% | — | — | 1.73 |
| Odd goals in 1st half | 43.4% | 42.1% | — | — | 2.37 |
Odd/Even 2HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 2nd half | 52.9% | 52.0% | — | — | 1.92 |
| Odd goals in 2nd half | 47.1% | 48.0% | — | — | 2.09 |
Over/Under 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 5.5 goals | 96.3% | 95.5% | 95.0% | 1.01× | 1.05 |
| Over 0.5 goals | 91.2% | 92.3% | 93.8% | 0.98× | 1.08 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 90.1% | 92.3% | 87.4% | 1.06× | 1.08 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 77.3% | 77.4% | 71.2% | 1.09× | 1.29 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 69.7% | 66.3% | 73.6% | 0.90× | 1.51 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 56.2% | 58.8% | 48.3% | 1.22× | 1.70 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 43.8% | 41.2% | 51.7% | 0.80× | 2.43 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 30.3% | 33.7% | 26.4% | 1.28× | 2.97 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 22.7% | 22.6% | 28.8% | 0.78× | 4.42 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 9.9% | 7.7% | 12.6% | 0.61× | 12.94 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 8.8% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 1.25× | 12.94 |
| Over 5.5 goals | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 0.90× | 22.19 |
Over/Under (whole line) 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6 (void on exactly 6) | 98.7% | 97.3% | 98.2% | 0.99× | 1.03 |
| Under 5 (void on exactly 5) | 96.0% | 97.2% | 94.6% | 1.03× | 1.03 |
| Under 4 (void on exactly 4) | 88.6% | 86.7% | 84.9% | 1.02× | 1.15 |
| Under 3 (void on exactly 3) | 71.2% | 72.6% | 62.6% | 1.16× | 1.38 |
| Over 2 (void on exactly 2) | 59.1% | 55.6% | 66.2% | 0.84× | 1.80 |
| Under 2 (void on exactly 2) | 40.9% | 44.4% | 33.8% | 1.31× | 2.25 |
| Over 3 (void on exactly 3) | 28.8% | 27.4% | 37.4% | 0.73× | 3.65 |
| Over 4 (void on exactly 4) | 11.4% | 13.3% | 15.1% | 0.88× | 7.54 |
| Over 5 (void on exactly 5) | 4.0% | 2.8% | 5.4% | 0.51× | 36.33 |
| Over 6 (void on exactly 6) | 1.3% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.49× | 36.41 |
Over/Under 1HT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 in 1st half | 91.8% | 92.8% | — | — | 1.08 |
| Under 1.5 in 1st half | 73.2% | 71.1% | — | — | 1.41 |
| Over 0.5 in 1st half | 63.6% | 63.7% | — | — | 1.57 |
| Under 0.5 in 1st half | 36.4% | 36.3% | — | — | 2.76 |
| Over 1.5 in 1st half | 26.8% | 28.9% | — | — | 3.46 |
| Over 2.5 in 1st half | 8.2% | 7.2% | — | — | 13.90 |
Over/Under 2HT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 in 2nd half | 82.9% | 82.9% | — | — | 1.21 |
| Over 0.5 in 2nd half | 75.8% | 79.9% | — | — | 1.25 |
| Under 1.5 in 2nd half | 58.6% | 54.9% | — | — | 1.82 |
| Over 1.5 in 2nd half | 41.4% | 45.1% | — | — | 2.22 |
| Under 0.5 in 2nd half | 24.2% | 20.1% | — | — | 4.97 |
| Over 2.5 in 2nd half | 17.1% | 17.1% | — | — | 5.86 |
Score both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mansfield Town not to score in both halves | 82.0% | 84.3% | — | — | 1.19 |
| Burton Albion not to score in both halves | 77.7% | 78.4% | — | — | 1.28 |
| Burton Albion to score in both halves | 22.3% | 21.6% | — | — | 4.63 |
| Mansfield Town to score in both halves | 18.0% | 15.7% | — | — | 6.35 |
Teams to score 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams score | 49.2% | 50.4% | 53.6% | 0.94× | 1.99 |
| Only Burton Albion scores | 23.4% | 22.4% | 24.6% | 0.91× | 4.47 |
| Only Mansfield Town scores | 18.6% | 16.1% | 15.9% | 1.02× | 6.20 |
| Neither team scores | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 1.17× | 13.93 |
Total goals 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exactly 2 goals | 26.0% | 25.0% | 22.0% | 1.13× | 4.01 |
| Exactly 1 goals | 21.5% | 22.6% | 20.4% | 1.11× | 4.42 |
| Exactly 3 goals | 21.0% | 22.6% | 23.0% | 0.98× | 4.42 |
| Exactly 4 goals | 12.8% | 12.1% | 16.4% | 0.74× | 8.29 |
| Exactly 0 goals | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 1.24× | 13.13 |
| Exactly 5 goals | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 0.98× | 13.14 |
| 6 or more goals | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 0.88× | 22.62 |
Total goals 2nd half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2+ goals in 2nd half | 41.4% | 44.2% | — | — | 2.26 |
| 1 goal in 2nd half | 34.4% | 33.9% | — | — | 2.95 |
| No goals in 2nd half | 24.2% | 23.6% | — | — | 4.25 |
Win both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mansfield Town not to win both halves | 93.2% | 94.0% | — | — | 1.06 |
| Burton Albion not to win both halves | 90.0% | 93.9% | — | — | 1.07 |
| Burton Albion to win both halves | 10.0% | 6.1% | — | — | 16.39 |
| Mansfield Town to win both halves | 6.8% | 6.0% | — | — | 16.62 |
Win either half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mansfield Town to win neither half | 54.2% | 54.8% | — | — | 1.82 |
| Burton Albion to win either half | 53.2% | 54.8% | — | — | 1.83 |
| Burton Albion to win neither half | 46.8% | 45.2% | — | — | 2.21 |
| Mansfield Town to win either half | 45.8% | 45.2% | — | — | 2.21 |
Win to nil 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mansfield Town not to win to nil | 81.4% | 83.0% | 84.1% | 0.99× | 1.21 |
| Burton Albion not to win to nil | 76.6% | 78.0% | 75.4% | 1.04× | 1.28 |
| Burton Albion to win to nil | 23.4% | 22.0% | 24.6% | 0.89× | 4.55 |
| Mansfield Town to win to nil | 18.6% | 17.0% | 15.9% | 1.07× | 5.87 |
Winning margin 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw | 27.3% | 27.8% | 25.6% | 1.09× | 3.59 |
| Burton Albion by 1 | 22.2% | 24.1% | 25.4% | 0.95× | 4.14 |
| Mansfield Town by 1 | 19.4% | 16.9% | 17.3% | 0.98× | 5.90 |
| Burton Albion by 2 | 11.8% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 1.20× | 8.46 |
| Mansfield Town by 2 | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 0.93× | 13.80 |
| Burton Albion by 3+ | 6.4% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 0.71× | 13.81 |
| Mansfield Town by 3+ | 4.1% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 0.60× | 36.94 |