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Cagliari v Verona — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Friday 29 November 2024 · ITA-Serie A · 2425

Serie A xG

1–0
2.65 – 0.61 xG
Shots
19 – 11
On target
6 – 2
Shots in box
13 – 6
xG per shot
0.14 – 0.06
Set-piece xG
0.64 – 0.00
Goals − xG
-1.71 – -0.61
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals. A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.

Expected goals by minute

0.00.81.52.33.00'15'30'45'60'75'90'Roberto Piccoli 74' — goal
Cagliari 2.71 xGVerona 0.61 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance; filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings; lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping. Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.

Shot map

Casper Tengstedt 0' — Missed Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Yerry Mina 5' — Missed Shot (0.41 xG, From Corner)Roberto Piccoli 7' — Missed Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)Dailon Livramento 11' — Blocked Shot (0.12 xG, Open Play)Zito 16' — Missed Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Gabriele Zappa 32' — Saved Shot (0.14 xG, From Corner)Gianluca Lapadula 32' — Blocked Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Razvan Marin 33' — Blocked Shot (0.03 xG, From Corner)Suat Serdar 35' — Blocked Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)Roberto Piccoli 37' — Missed Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)Casper Tengstedt 40' — Missed Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Gianluca Lapadula 42' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, Set Piece)Zito 45' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Darko Lazovic 45' — Missed Shot (0.14 xG, Open Play)Casper Tengstedt 47' — Saved Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Domagoj Bradaric 49' — Saved Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Tomás Suslov 54' — Missed Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)Darko Lazovic 55' — Shot On Post (0.08 xG, Open Play)Tomás Suslov 60' — Missed Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)Roberto Piccoli 67' — Missed Shot (0.04 xG, Set Piece)Zito 68' — Blocked Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Roberto Piccoli 74' — Goal (0.55 xG, Open Play)Gabriele Zappa 77' — Missed Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Suat Serdar 78' — Blocked Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)Ndary Adopo 86' — Saved Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Adam Obert 87' — Blocked Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Adam Obert 87' — Saved Shot (0.62 xG, Open Play)Adam Obert 87' — Shot On Post (0.12 xG, Open Play)Mattia Felici 87' — Saved Shot (0.38 xG, Open Play)Nicolas Viola 87' — Saved Shot (0.07 xG, Open Play)
Cagliari attacking right Verona attacking left Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.

Every shot

MinTeamPlayerxG SituationBody partResultAssisted by
0' Verona Casper Tengstedt 0.04 Open Play Missed Shot Darko Lazovic
5' Cagliari Yerry Mina 0.41 From Corner Right Foot Missed Shot Gabriele Zappa
7' Cagliari Roberto Piccoli 0.08 Open Play Missed Shot Tommaso Augello
11' Verona Dailon Livramento 0.12 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Casper Tengstedt
16' Cagliari Zito 0.03 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Tommaso Augello
32' Cagliari Gabriele Zappa 0.14 From Corner Saved Shot Tommaso Augello
32' Cagliari Gianluca Lapadula 0.06 Open Play Blocked Shot Tommaso Augello
33' Cagliari Razvan Marin 0.03 From Corner Left Foot Blocked Shot
35' Verona Suat Serdar 0.01 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot
37' Cagliari Roberto Piccoli 0.01 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot
40' Verona Casper Tengstedt 0.06 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Suat Serdar
42' Cagliari Gianluca Lapadula 0.02 Set Piece Blocked Shot Razvan Marin
45' Cagliari Zito 0.02 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Razvan Marin
45' Verona Darko Lazovic 0.14 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Domagoj Bradaric
47' Verona Casper Tengstedt 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Suat Serdar
49' Verona Domagoj Bradaric 0.02 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Tomás Suslov
54' Verona Tomás Suslov 0.01 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Diego Coppola
55' Verona Darko Lazovic 0.08 Open Play Shot On Post Jackson Tchatchoua
60' Verona Tomás Suslov 0.01 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Reda Belahyane
67' Cagliari Roberto Piccoli 0.04 Set Piece Missed Shot Nicolas Viola
68' Cagliari Zito 0.05 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Gabriele Zappa
74' Cagliari Roberto Piccoli 0.55 Open Play Right Foot Goal Mattia Felici
77' Cagliari Gabriele Zappa 0.03 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Ndary Adopo
78' Verona Suat Serdar 0.08 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Domagoj Bradaric
86' Cagliari Ndary Adopo 0.03 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot
87' Cagliari Adam Obert 0.04 Open Play Blocked Shot
87' Cagliari Adam Obert 0.62 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot
87' Cagliari Adam Obert 0.12 Open Play Left Foot Shot On Post
87' Cagliari Mattia Felici 0.38 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Leonardo Pavoletti
87' Cagliari Nicolas Viola 0.07 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Adam Obert

Players

Cagliari

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Yerry Mina DC 90 0 0 1 0 0.41 0.00 0.06
Gabriele Zappa DC 90 0 0 2 2 0.16 0.46 0.12
Alen Sherri GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.03
Antoine Makoumbou MC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.63
Tommaso Augello ML 90 0 0 0 4 0.00 0.31 0.74
Sebastiano Luperto DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.08
Zito AMC 83 0 0 3 0 0.09 0.00 0.15
Roberto Piccoli FW 78 1 0 4 0 0.68 0.00 0.70
Gianluca Lapadula FW 61 0 0 2 0 0.08 0.00 0.06
Nadir Zortea MR 61 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.11
Razvan Marin MC 47 0 0 1 2 0.03 0.04 0.11
Ndary Adopo Sub 43 0 0 1 1 0.03 0.03 0.06
Mattia Felici Sub 29 0 1 1 1 0.38 0.55 0.93
Nicolas Viola Sub 29 0 0 1 1 0.07 0.04 0.10
Leonardo Pavoletti Sub 12 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.38 0.41
Adam Obert Sub 7 0 0 3 1 0.78 0.07 0.84

Verona

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Suat Serdar MC 90 0 0 2 2 0.10 0.08 0.24
Domagoj Bradaric DL 90 0 0 1 2 0.02 0.23 0.34
Lorenzo Montipò GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Jackson Tchatchoua DR 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.08 0.08
Giangiacomo Magnani DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.21
Diego Coppola DC 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.01 0.10
Tomás Suslov MR 85 0 0 2 1 0.02 0.02 0.43
Reda Belahyane MC 85 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.01 0.24
Darko Lazovic ML 74 0 0 2 1 0.22 0.04 0.27
Casper Tengstedt FW 74 0 0 3 1 0.12 0.12 0.33
Dailon Livramento FW 67 0 0 1 0 0.12 0.00 0.16
Amin Sarr Sub 23 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Grigoris Kastanos Sub 16 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.08
Abdou Harroui Sub 16 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Mathis Lambourde Sub 5 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Daniel Mosquera Sub 5 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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