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Madura United FC v Persijap — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 6 September 2026 · FIFA:117yqo02rs8dykkxpm274w3bd · 2627

FIFA:117yqo02rs8dykkxpm274w3bd results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily
Madura United FC win
43.1%
Draw
26.1%
Persijap win
30.8%

Raw model output; no calibration record for this fixture's bands yet.

Top 5 scorelines

  1. 1-1 12.4%
  2. 1-0 10.6%
  3. 2-1 8.9%
  4. 0-1 8.7%
  5. 2-0 7.6%

Goals

Over 2.548.3% Under 2.551.7%
BTTS yes52.5% BTTS no47.5%
Madura United FC 1+76.2% Madura United FC 2+42.0%
Persijap 1+69.0% Persijap 2+32.7%

Expected goals 1.43 – 1.17. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence
0/100
Data quality
0/100
★ Best pick
Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.
★ Most likely to land
Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

Positive factors

  • Madura United FC have created 1.35 xG a match over their last five while Persijap have allowed 1.35.
  • At home Madura United FC average 1.35 xG a match.

Risk factors

  • Data quality is 0/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
  • Madura United FC have only 0 matches on record.
  • Persijap have only 0 matches on record.
Why the model thinks this

The price

Madura United FC have an estimated 43.1% win probability, against 30.8% for Persijap and 26.1% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.43 for Madura United FC and 1.17 for Persijap.

Why Madura United FC

Madura United FC have created 1.35 xG a match over their last five while Persijap have allowed 1.35. At home Madura United FC average 1.35 xG a match.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 26.1%.

Why Persijap can win

Persijap have created 1.35 xG a match over their last five while Madura United FC have allowed 1.35. Away from home Persijap average 1.35 xG a match.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Madura United FC, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Persijap, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Madura United FC: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Persijap: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-06 07:42 · team_stats 2026-09-06 06:08 · availability 2026-09-06 07:53 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Madura United FC are the model's most likely outcome at 43.1%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 12.4%. Confidence 0/100, data quality 0/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
ai-blend 1.43–1.17 0% 0% 0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

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On this page

Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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