Reading v Notts County — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Saturday 19 September 2026 · ENG-League One · 2627
ENG-League One
results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
dc-xg No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.
Was this pick made in advance?
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| dc-xg | 1.57–1.20 | 1-1 12% | 52% | 55% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reading to win | 46.1% | 47.5% | 45.2% | 1.05× | 2.11 |
| Notts County to win | 29.0% | 27.9% | 29.3% | 0.95× | 3.59 |
| Draw | 24.9% | 24.4% | 25.6% | 0.95× | 4.09 |
1X2 & GG/NG 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reading & not both score | 24.0% | 21.9% | 24.6% | 0.89× | 4.57 |
| Reading & both teams score | 22.1% | 21.9% | 20.7% | 1.05× | 4.57 |
| Draw & both teams score | 18.6% | 17.9% | 19.6% | 0.91× | 5.58 |
| Notts County & both teams score | 14.5% | 13.3% | 13.6% | 0.97× | 7.55 |
| Notts County & not both score | 14.5% | 13.3% | 15.9% | 0.83× | 7.55 |
| Draw & not both score | 6.3% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 1.36× | 11.95 |
1X2 & Over/Under 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reading & over 1.5 | 36.2% | 34.9% | 33.1% | 1.06× | 2.86 |
| Reading & under 3.5 | 31.0% | 30.9% | 31.4% | 0.98× | 3.24 |
| Reading & over 2.5 | 28.4% | 26.0% | 27.7% | 0.94× | 3.84 |
| Notts County & over 1.5 | 21.5% | 21.6% | 21.2% | 1.02× | 4.62 |
| Notts County & under 3.5 | 20.9% | 21.6% | 21.6% | 1.00× | 4.62 |
| Draw & over 1.5 | 18.6% | 18.0% | 19.6% | 0.92× | 5.56 |
| Reading & under 2.5 | 17.7% | 18.0% | 17.7% | 1.02× | 5.56 |
| Draw & under 2.5 | 18.1% | 18.0% | 18.5% | 0.97× | 5.56 |
| Draw & under 3.5 | 18.1% | 18.0% | 18.5% | 0.97× | 5.56 |
| Notts County & over 2.5 | 17.0% | 18.0% | 17.0% | 1.06× | 5.56 |
| Reading & over 3.5 | 15.1% | 18.0% | 13.9% | 1.29× | 5.56 |
| Notts County & under 2.5 | 12.0% | 12.9% | 12.5% | 1.03× | 7.78 |
| Reading & under 1.5 | 9.9% | 7.9% | 12.3% | 0.64× | 12.69 |
| Notts County & under 1.5 | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 0.95× | 12.69 |
| Notts County & over 3.5 | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 0.99× | 12.69 |
| Draw & under 1.5 | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 1.28× | 12.69 |
| Draw & over 2.5 | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 1.08× | 12.69 |
| Draw & over 3.5 | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 1.08× | 12.69 |
1X2 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reading (1UP) | 61.6% | 63.1% | — | — | 1.59 |
| Notts County (1UP) | 46.9% | 42.9% | — | — | 2.33 |
1X2 2UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reading (2UP) | 46.1% | 49.8% | — | — | 2.01 |
| Notts County (2UP) | 29.0% | 24.7% | — | — | 4.05 |
2nd half 1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reading to win 2nd half | 37.6% | 36.1% | — | — | 2.77 |
| 2nd half drawn | 34.9% | 34.5% | — | — | 2.90 |
| Notts County to win 2nd half | 27.4% | 26.3% | — | — | 3.81 |
Asian handicap 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Notts County (+2.5) | 90.4% | 92.1% | 89.8% | 1.03× | 1.09 |
| Notts County (+1.5) | 76.5% | 78.5% | 80.1% | 0.98× | 1.28 |
| Reading (+0.5) | 71.0% | 73.7% | 70.7% | 1.04× | 1.36 |
| Notts County (+0.5) | 53.9% | 52.4% | 54.8% | 0.96× | 1.91 |
| Reading (-0.5) | 46.1% | 47.6% | 45.2% | 1.05× | 2.10 |
| Notts County (-0.5) | 29.0% | 26.3% | 29.3% | 0.90× | 3.80 |
| Reading (-1.5) | 23.5% | 21.5% | 19.9% | 1.08× | 4.64 |
| Reading (-2.5) | 9.6% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 0.77× | 12.65 |
Away clean sheet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Notts County to concede | 79.2% | 79.0% | 78.1% | 1.01× | 1.27 |
| Notts County clean sheet | 20.8% | 21.0% | 21.9% | 0.96× | 4.77 |
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Notts County to concede in 1st half | 49.1% | 51.0% | — | — | 1.96 |
| Notts County clean sheet in 1st half | 50.9% | 49.0% | — | — | 2.04 |
Away goals O/U 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Notts County under 3.5 goals | 96.7% | 97.6% | 96.8% | 1.01× | 1.03 |
| Notts County under 2.5 goals | 88.1% | 87.9% | 88.3% | 1.00× | 1.14 |
| Notts County over 0.5 goals | 69.7% | 68.0% | 69.4% | 0.98× | 1.47 |
| Notts County under 1.5 goals | 66.4% | 68.0% | 66.8% | 1.02× | 1.47 |
| Notts County over 1.5 goals | 33.6% | 32.0% | 33.2% | 0.96× | 3.12 |
| Notts County under 0.5 goals | 30.3% | 32.0% | 30.6% | 1.05× | 3.12 |
| Notts County over 2.5 goals | 11.9% | 12.1% | 11.7% | 1.04× | 8.26 |
| Notts County over 3.5 goals | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 0.75× | 41.02 |
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Notts County under 1.5 in 1st half | 91.6% | 94.1% | — | — | 1.06 |
| Notts County under 0.5 in 1st half | 62.0% | 64.4% | — | — | 1.55 |
| Notts County over 0.5 in 1st half | 38.0% | 35.6% | — | — | 2.81 |
| Notts County over 1.5 in 1st half | 8.4% | 5.9% | — | — | 16.97 |
Away no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reading (away no bet) | 64.9% | 62.2% | 63.8% | 0.97× | 1.61 |
| Draw (away no bet) | 35.1% | 37.8% | 36.2% | 1.05× | 2.64 |
Away Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Notts County even goals | 54.6% | 52.8% | 54.6% | 0.97× | 1.90 |
| Notts County odd goals | 45.4% | 47.2% | 45.4% | 1.04× | 2.12 |
Both halves O1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves over 1.5 | 84.6% | 83.3% | — | — | 1.20 |
| Both halves over 1.5 goals | 15.4% | 16.7% | — | — | 5.99 |
Both halves U1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves under 1.5 | 64.6% | 57.9% | — | — | 1.73 |
| Both halves under 1.5 goals | 35.4% | 42.1% | — | — | 2.38 |
Consecutive goals 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to score 2+ in a row | 56.6% | 55.4% | — | — | 1.81 |
| Reading to score 2+ in a row | 38.1% | 36.3% | — | — | 2.75 |
| Notts County to score 2+ in a row | 24.9% | 19.4% | — | — | 5.16 |
| Either team to score 3+ in a row | 20.2% | 19.3% | — | — | 5.19 |
| Reading to score 3+ in a row | 13.8% | 12.0% | — | — | 8.31 |
| Notts County to score 3+ in a row | 6.7% | 5.6% | — | — | 18.00 |
Correct score 26
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | 11.8% | 11.5% | 12.5% | 0.92× | 8.73 |
| 1-0 | 9.9% | 7.4% | 12.3% | 0.60× | 13.46 |
| 2-1 | 9.3% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 0.78× | 13.46 |
| 0-1 | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 0.90× | 13.46 |
| 1-2 | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 1.00× | 13.46 |
| 2-0 | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 1.35× | 13.46 |
| 0-0 | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 1.21× | 13.46 |
| 2-2 | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 1.24× | 13.46 |
| 3-1 | 4.9% | 1.7% | 4.1% | 0.42× | 58.56 |
| 0-2 | 4.5% | 1.7% | 4.4% | 0.39× | 58.57 |
| 0-3 | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 0.88× | 58.58 |
| 0-4 | 0.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.05× | 58.59 |
| 1-3 | 2.8% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 0.50× | 58.58 |
| 1-4 | 0.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 2.63× | 58.59 |
| 2-3 | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.96× | 58.58 |
| 2-4 | 0.7% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 5.27× | 58.59 |
| 3-0 | 4.1% | 1.7% | 4.5% | 0.38× | 58.57 |
| 3-2 | 2.9% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 0.53× | 58.58 |
| 3-3 | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.17× | 58.59 |
| 3-4 | 0.3% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 5.27× | 58.59 |
| 4-0 | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 0.88× | 58.58 |
| 4-1 | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.05× | 58.58 |
| 4-2 | 1.1% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 2.63× | 58.59 |
| 4-3 | 0.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 2.63× | 58.59 |
| 4-4 | 0.1% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 10.53× | 58.59 |
| Any other score | 3.0% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 0.50× | 58.58 |
DNB half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reading leading at HT (DNB) | 61.1% | 66.1% | — | — | 1.51 |
| Notts County leading at HT (DNB) | 38.9% | 33.9% | — | — | 2.95 |
Double chance 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reading or Notts County (12) | 75.1% | 75.6% | 74.4% | 1.02× | 1.32 |
| Reading or draw (1X) | 71.0% | 72.1% | 70.7% | 1.02× | 1.39 |
| Notts County or draw (X2) | 53.9% | 52.5% | 54.8% | 0.96× | 1.90 |
Double chance 1HT 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reading or draw at HT | 77.6% | 80.0% | — | — | 1.25 |
| Notts County or draw at HT | 64.9% | 62.3% | — | — | 1.61 |
| Reading or Notts County at HT | 57.4% | 56.8% | — | — | 1.76 |
Double chance 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reading or draw (1UP) | 71.0% | 79.9% | — | — | 1.25 |
| Notts County or draw (1UP) | 53.9% | 58.9% | — | — | 1.70 |
Double chance 2HT 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reading or draw in 2nd half | 72.6% | 73.7% | — | — | 1.36 |
| Reading or Notts County in 2nd half | 65.1% | 65.5% | — | — | 1.53 |
| Notts County or draw in 2nd half | 62.4% | 63.9% | — | — | 1.57 |
Draw either half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A half drawn | 62.7% | 61.6% | — | — | 1.62 |
| Neither half drawn | 37.3% | 38.4% | — | — | 2.60 |
Draw no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reading (DNB) | 61.4% | 62.8% | 60.7% | 1.04× | 1.59 |
| Notts County (DNB) | 38.6% | 37.2% | 39.3% | 0.94× | 2.69 |
First goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reading to score first | 53.3% | 54.2% | — | — | 1.84 |
| Notts County to score first | 40.5% | 41.5% | — | — | 2.41 |
| No goal scored | 6.3% | 7.4% | — | — | 13.60 |
GG/NG 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score | 55.2% | 54.7% | 53.6% | 1.02× | 1.83 |
| Not both teams to score | 44.8% | 45.3% | 46.4% | 0.98× | 2.21 |
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both score & over 2.5 | 43.4% | 41.6% | 41.3% | 1.01× | 2.41 |
| Not both score & under 2.5 | 35.9% | 38.5% | 36.0% | 1.07× | 2.60 |
| Both score & under 2.5 | 11.8% | 12.3% | 12.5% | 0.99× | 8.11 |
| Not both score & over 2.5 | 8.8% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 0.79× | 11.96 |
GG/NG 2+ 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both teams to score 2+ | 84.4% | 83.2% | 85.9% | 0.97× | 1.20 |
| Both teams to score 2+ | 15.6% | 16.8% | 14.1% | 1.19× | 5.95 |
GG/NG 2nd half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both to score in 2nd half | 69.7% | 67.8% | — | — | 1.48 |
| Both teams to score in 2nd half | 30.3% | 32.2% | — | — | 3.10 |
GG/NG by half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neither half both score | 56.7% | 59.8% | — | — | 1.67 |
| Both score 2nd half only | 24.6% | 21.2% | — | — | 4.72 |
| Both score 1st half only | 13.0% | 10.5% | — | — | 9.53 |
| Both score in both halves | 5.7% | 6.7% | — | — | 15.02 |
GG/NG half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both to score by HT | 81.3% | 82.8% | — | — | 1.21 |
| Both teams to score by HT | 18.7% | 17.2% | — | — | 5.82 |
Goal in both halves 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A goal in each half | 54.8% | 53.5% | — | — | 1.87 |
| A half without a goal | 45.2% | 46.5% | — | — | 2.15 |
Goal range 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2-3 goals | 46.2% | 47.4% | 44.9% | 1.06× | 2.11 |
| 4-6 goals | 27.8% | 26.4% | 27.2% | 0.97× | 3.78 |
| 0-1 goals | 23.7% | 22.8% | 26.4% | 0.86× | 4.38 |
| 7+ goals | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.02× | 55.20 |
Goals away 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Notts County to score exactly 1 | 36.2% | 36.0% | 36.3% | 0.99× | 2.78 |
| Notts County to score exactly 0 | 30.3% | 33.9% | 30.6% | 1.11× | 2.95 |
| Notts County to score exactly 2 | 21.6% | 22.4% | 21.7% | 1.03× | 4.47 |
| Notts County to score 3+ | 11.9% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 1.10× | 7.81 |
Goals home 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reading to score exactly 1 | 32.6% | 32.6% | 36.1% | 0.90× | 3.06 |
| Reading to score exactly 2 | 25.7% | 26.5% | 22.5% | 1.18× | 3.77 |
| Reading to score exactly 0 | 20.8% | 23.3% | 21.9% | 1.06× | 4.30 |
| Reading to score 3+ | 20.9% | 23.3% | 19.8% | 1.18× | 4.30 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw at HT | 42.6% | 43.2% | — | — | 2.32 |
| Reading leading at HT | 35.1% | 37.7% | — | — | 2.65 |
| Notts County leading at HT | 22.4% | 20.0% | — | — | 5.01 |
Handicap 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reading -1: 2 | 53.9% | 52.1% | — | — | 1.92 |
| Reading -1: 1 | 23.5% | 23.6% | — | — | 4.24 |
| Reading -1: X | 22.6% | 23.6% | — | — | 4.24 |
Handicap 0:1 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Notts County (0:1) | 53.9% | 51.2% | 54.8% | 0.93× | 1.95 |
| Reading (0:1) | 23.5% | 24.3% | 19.9% | 1.22× | 4.11 |
| Draw (0:1) | 22.6% | 24.3% | 25.4% | 0.96× | 4.12 |
Handicap 0:2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Notts County (0:2) | 76.5% | 79.4% | 80.1% | 0.99× | 1.26 |
| Draw (0:2) | 13.9% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 1.11× | 9.08 |
| Reading (0:2) | 9.6% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 0.76× | 12.96 |
Handicap 0:3 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Notts County (0:3) | 90.4% | 92.6% | 89.8% | 1.03× | 1.08 |
| Draw (0:3) | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 0.89× | 17.25 |
| Reading (0:3) | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 0.61× | 42.00 |
Handicap 0:4 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Notts County (0:4) | 96.8% | 98.1% | 96.1% | 1.02× | 1.02 |
| Draw (0:4) | 2.3% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 0.44× | 83.20 |
| Reading (0:4) | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.93× | 83.37 |
Handicap 1:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reading (1:0) | 71.0% | 72.5% | 70.7% | 1.03× | 1.38 |
| Draw (1:0) | 17.2% | 17.0% | 17.3% | 0.98× | 5.87 |
| Notts County (1:0) | 11.8% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 1.05× | 7.81 |
Handicap 2:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reading (2:0) | 88.2% | 88.4% | 87.8% | 1.01× | 1.13 |
| Draw (2:0) | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 0.83× | 15.48 |
| Notts County (2:0) | 3.8% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 0.50× | 44.17 |
Highest scoring half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half highest scoring | 48.0% | 48.2% | — | — | 2.07 |
| 1st half highest scoring | 27.3% | 26.5% | — | — | 3.77 |
| Halves equal | 24.7% | 24.3% | — | — | 4.12 |
Home clean sheet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reading to concede | 69.7% | 66.5% | 69.4% | 0.96× | 1.50 |
| Reading clean sheet | 30.3% | 33.5% | 30.6% | 1.09× | 2.99 |
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reading clean sheet in 1st half | 62.0% | 64.4% | — | — | 1.55 |
| Reading to concede in 1st half | 38.0% | 35.6% | — | — | 2.81 |
Home goals O/U 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reading under 3.5 goals | 92.5% | 92.2% | 93.0% | 0.99× | 1.08 |
| Reading over 0.5 goals | 79.2% | 77.7% | 78.1% | 0.99× | 1.29 |
| Reading under 2.5 goals | 79.1% | 77.7% | 80.2% | 0.97× | 1.29 |
| Reading under 1.5 goals | 53.4% | 53.3% | 57.9% | 0.92× | 1.88 |
| Reading over 1.5 goals | 46.6% | 46.7% | 42.1% | 1.11× | 2.14 |
| Reading over 2.5 goals | 20.9% | 22.3% | 19.8% | 1.13× | 4.49 |
| Reading under 0.5 goals | 20.8% | 22.3% | 21.9% | 1.02× | 4.49 |
| Reading over 3.5 goals | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 1.11× | 12.89 |
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reading under 1.5 in 1st half | 85.3% | 89.8% | — | — | 1.11 |
| Reading over 0.5 in 1st half | 49.1% | 51.0% | — | — | 1.96 |
| Reading under 0.5 in 1st half | 50.9% | 49.0% | — | — | 2.04 |
| Reading over 1.5 in 1st half | 14.7% | 10.2% | — | — | 9.84 |
Home no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Notts County (home no bet) | 53.8% | 51.6% | 53.4% | 0.97× | 1.94 |
| Draw (home no bet) | 46.2% | 48.4% | 46.6% | 1.04× | 2.07 |
Home Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reading even goals | 52.2% | 50.6% | 48.6% | 1.04× | 1.98 |
| Reading odd goals | 47.8% | 49.4% | 51.4% | 0.96× | 2.03 |
HT correct score 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HT 0-0 | 31.5% | 32.4% | — | — | 3.08 |
| HT 1-0 | 21.3% | 24.2% | — | — | 4.13 |
| HT 0-1 | 15.1% | 18.8% | — | — | 5.31 |
| HT 1-1 | 10.2% | 11.0% | — | — | 9.07 |
| HT 2-0 | 7.2% | 7.1% | — | — | 14.11 |
| Any other HT score | 4.4% | 2.2% | — | — | 44.59 |
| HT 0-2 | 3.6% | 2.2% | — | — | 44.65 |
| HT 2-1 | 3.4% | 2.2% | — | — | 44.67 |
| HT 1-2 | 2.4% | 2.2% | — | — | 44.75 |
| HT 2-2 | 0.8% | 2.2% | — | — | 44.88 |
HT/FT 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reading at HT / Reading at FT | 27.5% | 26.6% | — | — | 3.75 |
| Draw at HT / Reading at FT | 16.0% | 16.8% | — | — | 5.96 |
| Notts County at HT / Notts County at FT | 15.2% | 16.8% | — | — | 5.96 |
| Draw at HT / Draw at FT | 14.9% | 12.7% | — | — | 7.88 |
| Draw at HT / Notts County at FT | 11.7% | 12.7% | — | — | 7.90 |
| Reading at HT / Draw at FT | 5.4% | 6.0% | — | — | 16.63 |
| Notts County at HT / Draw at FT | 4.7% | 3.4% | — | — | 29.10 |
| Notts County at HT / Reading at FT | 2.5% | 3.4% | — | — | 29.18 |
| Reading at HT / Notts County at FT | 2.1% | 3.4% | — | — | 29.20 |
Last goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reading to score last | 53.2% | 51.9% | — | — | 1.93 |
| Notts County to score last | 40.5% | 40.0% | — | — | 2.50 |
| No goal scored | 6.3% | 7.4% | — | — | 13.60 |
Lead at any time 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to lead by 1 at any time | 93.7% | 92.8% | — | — | 1.08 |
| Reading to lead by 1 at any time | 61.6% | 61.4% | — | — | 1.63 |
| Either team to lead by 2 at any time | 47.2% | 44.0% | — | — | 2.27 |
| Notts County to lead by 1 at any time | 46.9% | 44.0% | — | — | 2.27 |
| Reading to lead by 2 at any time | 30.1% | 29.4% | — | — | 3.41 |
| Notts County to lead by 2 at any time | 17.4% | 14.9% | — | — | 6.70 |
| Either team to lead by 3 at any time | 17.0% | 14.9% | — | — | 6.70 |
| Reading to lead by 3 at any time | 11.8% | 10.4% | — | — | 9.58 |
| Notts County to lead by 3 at any time | 5.2% | 6.5% | — | — | 15.44 |
Multi goal 15
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-5 goals | 87.5% | 87.4% | 89.0% | 0.98× | 1.14 |
| 1-4 goals | 79.0% | 78.6% | 81.4% | 0.97× | 1.27 |
| 2-6 goals | 74.0% | 72.4% | 72.0% | 1.01× | 1.38 |
| 2-5 goals | 70.1% | 72.4% | 68.7% | 1.05× | 1.38 |
| 1-3 goals | 63.7% | 63.5% | 65.2% | 0.97× | 1.58 |
| 2-4 goals | 61.6% | 63.5% | 61.1% | 1.04× | 1.58 |
| 3-6 goals | 50.0% | 48.7% | 50.1% | 0.97× | 2.06 |
| 2-3 goals | 46.2% | 48.7% | 44.9% | 1.08× | 2.06 |
| 3-5 goals | 46.0% | 48.7% | 46.8% | 1.04× | 2.06 |
| 1-2 goals | 41.5% | 43.6% | 42.3% | 1.03× | 2.29 |
| 3-4 goals | 37.5% | 39.2% | 39.2% | 1.00× | 2.55 |
| 4-6 goals | 27.8% | 30.2% | 27.2% | 1.11× | 3.31 |
| 4-5 goals | 23.8% | 24.5% | 24.0% | 1.02× | 4.09 |
| 5-6 goals | 12.4% | 14.9% | 11.0% | 1.35× | 6.73 |
| 7+ goals | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.42× | 39.47 |
Never down 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reading never behind | 46.9% | 57.1% | — | — | 1.75 |
| Notts County never behind | 32.1% | 35.4% | — | — | 2.83 |
Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odd number of goals | 49.8% | 50.8% | 52.5% | 0.97× | 1.97 |
| Even number of goals | 50.2% | 49.2% | 47.5% | 1.04× | 2.03 |
Odd/Even 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 1st half | 55.0% | 51.6% | — | — | 1.94 |
| Odd goals in 1st half | 45.0% | 48.4% | — | — | 2.07 |
Odd/Even 2HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 2nd half | 52.0% | 52.0% | — | — | 1.92 |
| Odd goals in 2nd half | 48.0% | 48.0% | — | — | 2.08 |
Over/Under 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 5.5 goals | 93.8% | 92.3% | 95.0% | 0.97× | 1.08 |
| Over 0.5 goals | 93.7% | 92.3% | 93.8% | 0.98× | 1.08 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 85.3% | 87.7% | 87.4% | 1.00× | 1.14 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76.3% | 77.4% | 73.6% | 1.05× | 1.29 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 69.9% | 66.3% | 71.2% | 0.93× | 1.51 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52.3% | 52.4% | 51.7% | 1.01× | 1.91 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 47.7% | 47.6% | 48.3% | 0.98× | 2.10 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 30.1% | 33.7% | 28.8% | 1.17× | 2.97 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 23.7% | 22.6% | 26.4% | 0.86× | 4.42 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 14.7% | 12.3% | 12.6% | 0.98× | 8.11 |
| Over 5.5 goals | 6.2% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 1.54× | 12.95 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 1.25× | 12.95 |
Over/Under (whole line) 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6 (void on exactly 6) | 97.6% | 97.3% | 98.2% | 0.99× | 1.03 |
| Under 5 (void on exactly 5) | 93.2% | 92.5% | 94.6% | 0.98× | 1.08 |
| Under 4 (void on exactly 4) | 82.6% | 81.1% | 84.9% | 0.96× | 1.23 |
| Over 2 (void on exactly 2) | 68.8% | 67.3% | 66.2% | 1.02× | 1.49 |
| Under 3 (void on exactly 3) | 61.4% | 62.1% | 62.6% | 0.99× | 1.61 |
| Over 3 (void on exactly 3) | 38.6% | 37.9% | 37.4% | 1.01× | 2.64 |
| Under 2 (void on exactly 2) | 31.2% | 32.7% | 33.8% | 0.97× | 3.06 |
| Over 4 (void on exactly 4) | 17.4% | 18.9% | 15.1% | 1.25× | 5.30 |
| Over 5 (void on exactly 5) | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 1.39× | 13.27 |
| Over 6 (void on exactly 6) | 2.4% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.49× | 36.37 |
Over/Under 1HT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 in 1st half | 88.9% | 89.4% | — | — | 1.12 |
| Over 0.5 in 1st half | 68.5% | 69.0% | — | — | 1.45 |
| Under 1.5 in 1st half | 67.9% | 69.0% | — | — | 1.45 |
| Over 1.5 in 1st half | 32.1% | 31.0% | — | — | 3.23 |
| Under 0.5 in 1st half | 31.5% | 31.0% | — | — | 3.23 |
| Over 2.5 in 1st half | 11.1% | 10.6% | — | — | 9.39 |
Over/Under 2HT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 in 2nd half | 80.1% | 82.9% | — | — | 1.21 |
| Under 2.5 in 2nd half | 78.0% | 80.0% | — | — | 1.25 |
| Under 1.5 in 2nd half | 52.1% | 53.1% | — | — | 1.89 |
| Over 1.5 in 2nd half | 47.9% | 46.9% | — | — | 2.13 |
| Over 2.5 in 2nd half | 22.0% | 20.0% | — | — | 4.99 |
| Under 0.5 in 2nd half | 19.9% | 17.2% | — | — | 5.83 |
Score both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Notts County not to score in both halves | 80.6% | 84.2% | — | — | 1.19 |
| Reading not to score in both halves | 70.9% | 74.2% | — | — | 1.35 |
| Reading to score in both halves | 29.1% | 25.8% | — | — | 3.88 |
| Notts County to score in both halves | 19.4% | 15.8% | — | — | 6.32 |
Teams to score 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams score | 55.2% | 58.2% | 53.6% | 1.08× | 1.72 |
| Only Reading scores | 24.0% | 22.4% | 24.6% | 0.91× | 4.47 |
| Only Notts County scores | 14.5% | 11.0% | 15.9% | 0.69× | 9.13 |
| Neither team scores | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 1.16× | 13.95 |
Total goals 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exactly 2 goals | 24.0% | 22.7% | 22.0% | 1.03× | 4.42 |
| Exactly 3 goals | 22.2% | 22.6% | 23.0% | 0.98× | 4.42 |
| Exactly 1 goals | 17.4% | 17.5% | 20.4% | 0.85× | 5.73 |
| Exactly 4 goals | 15.4% | 17.4% | 16.4% | 1.07× | 5.73 |
| Exactly 5 goals | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 0.98× | 13.13 |
| Exactly 0 goals | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 1.24× | 13.14 |
| 6 or more goals | 6.2% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 1.51× | 13.14 |
Total goals 2nd half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2+ goals in 2nd half | 47.9% | 44.8% | — | — | 2.23 |
| 1 goal in 2nd half | 32.2% | 33.8% | — | — | 2.96 |
| No goals in 2nd half | 19.9% | 17.0% | — | — | 5.89 |
Win both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Notts County not to win both halves | 93.9% | 94.0% | — | — | 1.06 |
| Reading not to win both halves | 86.8% | 88.0% | — | — | 1.14 |
| Reading to win both halves | 13.2% | 12.0% | — | — | 8.36 |
| Notts County to win both halves | 6.1% | 6.0% | — | — | 16.67 |
Win either half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reading to win either half | 59.5% | 59.5% | — | — | 1.68 |
| Notts County to win neither half | 56.3% | 59.4% | — | — | 1.68 |
| Notts County to win either half | 43.7% | 40.6% | — | — | 2.46 |
| Reading to win neither half | 40.5% | 40.5% | — | — | 2.47 |
Win to nil 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Notts County not to win to nil | 85.5% | 88.2% | 84.1% | 1.05× | 1.13 |
| Reading not to win to nil | 76.0% | 78.0% | 75.4% | 1.04× | 1.28 |
| Reading to win to nil | 24.0% | 22.0% | 24.6% | 0.89× | 4.55 |
| Notts County to win to nil | 14.5% | 11.8% | 15.9% | 0.74× | 8.47 |
Winning margin 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw | 24.9% | 24.1% | 25.6% | 0.94× | 4.14 |
| Reading by 1 | 22.6% | 24.1% | 25.4% | 0.95× | 4.14 |
| Notts County by 1 | 17.2% | 16.9% | 17.3% | 0.98× | 5.90 |
| Reading by 2 | 13.9% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 1.20× | 8.46 |
| Reading by 3+ | 9.6% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 0.71× | 13.79 |
| Notts County by 2 | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 0.93× | 13.80 |
| Notts County by 3+ | 3.8% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 0.60× | 36.95 |