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Boston Bruins v Philadelphia Flyers — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Tuesday 22 September 2026 · NHL · 2027

NHL results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

nhl-ai No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.
Boston Bruins win
45.2%
Draw
21.1%
Philadelphia Flyers win
33.7%

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
nhl-ai 2.74–2.52 2-2 7% 89% 86%
nhl-dc 2.74–2.52 2-2 6% 90% 87%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Boston Bruins to win 45.2% 45.9% 42.6% 1.08× 2.18
Philadelphia Flyers to win 33.7% 28.0% 31.2% 0.90× 3.57
Draw 21.1% 24.3% 26.3% 0.93× 4.11
1X2 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Boston Bruins (1UP) 70.1% 76.8% 58.7% 1.31× 1.30
Philadelphia Flyers (1UP) 61.9% 63.6% 49.3% 1.29× 1.57
1X2 2UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Boston Bruins (2UP) 45.2% 48.4% 44.5% 1.09× 2.07
Philadelphia Flyers (2UP) 33.7% 30.3% 33.4% 0.91× 3.30
Asian handicap 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Philadelphia Flyers (+2.5) 84.6% 85.6% 90.3% 0.95× 1.17
Philadelphia Flyers (+1.5) 71.7% 75.5% 78.1% 0.97× 1.33
Boston Bruins (+0.5) 66.3% 70.8% 68.8% 1.03× 1.41
Philadelphia Flyers (+0.5) 54.8% 53.3% 57.4% 0.93× 1.88
Boston Bruins (-0.5) 45.2% 46.7% 42.6% 1.10× 2.14
Philadelphia Flyers (-0.5) 33.7% 29.2% 31.2% 0.94× 3.42
Boston Bruins (-1.5) 28.3% 24.5% 21.9% 1.12× 4.08
Boston Bruins (-2.5) 15.4% 14.4% 9.7% 1.48× 6.95
Away no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Boston Bruins (away no bet) 68.2% 63.7% 61.8% 1.03× 1.57
Draw (away no bet) 31.8% 36.3% 38.2% 0.95× 2.76
Both halves O1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both halves over 1.5 goals 51.8% 54.7% 16.9% 3.24× 1.83
Not both halves over 1.5 48.2% 45.3% 83.1% 0.54× 2.21
Both halves U1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves under 1.5 93.0% 94.0% 64.8% 1.45× 1.06
Both halves under 1.5 goals 7.0% 6.0% 35.2% 0.17× 16.75
Consecutive goals 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row 85.1% 87.8% 57.4% 1.53× 1.14
Boston Bruins to score 2+ in a row 61.1% 60.3% 36.2% 1.67× 1.66
Philadelphia Flyers to score 2+ in a row 52.7% 51.4% 27.9% 1.84× 1.95
Either team to score 3+ in a row 46.2% 45.4% 22.4% 2.03× 2.20
Boston Bruins to score 3+ in a row 28.4% 25.4% 13.9% 1.82× 3.94
Philadelphia Flyers to score 3+ in a row 21.4% 18.7% 8.9% 2.11× 5.34
Correct score 26
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Any other score 22.9% 24.8% 3.8% 6.56× 4.03
2-2 7.4% 7.5% 5.8% 1.29× 13.39
3-2 5.7% 7.5% 2.9% 2.57× 13.39
3-3 5.6% 7.5% 1.2% 6.19× 13.39
2-1 5.0% 1.7% 8.5% 0.21× 57.44
2-3 4.7% 1.7% 2.2% 0.79× 57.45
3-1 4.5% 1.7% 4.7% 0.37× 57.45
4-2 3.9% 1.7% 1.0% 1.72× 57.47
1-1 4.3% 1.7% 11.4% 0.15× 57.46
1-2 4.1% 1.7% 7.0% 0.25× 57.47
1-3 3.4% 1.7% 2.8% 0.61× 57.49
4-3 3.3% 1.7% 0.6% 3.07× 57.49
4-4 2.4% 1.7% 0.2% 8.83× 57.52
2-4 3.0% 1.7% 0.5% 3.37× 57.50
3-4 2.7% 1.7% 0.5% 3.53× 57.51
4-1 3.1% 1.7% 1.8% 0.97× 57.50
0-2 1.5% 1.7% 5.3% 0.33× 57.55
0-3 1.3% 1.7% 2.5% 0.69× 57.55
1-0 1.4% 1.7% 8.8% 0.20× 57.55
1-4 2.2% 1.7% 1.0% 1.68× 57.52
2-0 2.0% 1.7% 6.5% 0.27× 57.53
3-0 1.8% 1.7% 3.9% 0.44× 57.54
4-0 1.2% 1.7% 1.7% 0.99× 57.55
0-0 0.6% 1.7% 7.8% 0.22× 57.57
0-1 1.2% 1.7% 7.0% 0.25× 57.55
0-4 0.8% 1.7% 1.1% 1.60× 57.57
DNB half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Boston Bruins leading at HT (DNB) 57.5% 58.1% 56.8% 1.02× 1.72
Philadelphia Flyers leading at HT (DNB) 42.5% 41.9% 43.2% 0.97× 2.39
Double chance 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Boston Bruins or Philadelphia Flyers (12) 78.9% 75.7% 73.7% 1.03× 1.32
Boston Bruins or draw (1X) 66.3% 72.0% 68.8% 1.05× 1.39
Philadelphia Flyers or draw (X2) 54.8% 54.1% 57.4% 0.94× 1.85
Double chance 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Boston Bruins or draw (1UP) 70.1% 79.9% 74.6% 1.07× 1.25
Philadelphia Flyers or draw (1UP) 61.9% 70.9% 64.5% 1.10× 1.41
Draw no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Boston Bruins (DNB) 57.3% 62.5% 57.7% 1.08× 1.60
Philadelphia Flyers (DNB) 42.7% 37.5% 42.3% 0.89× 2.67
First goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Boston Bruins to score first 51.7% 54.5% 50.2% 1.08× 1.84
Philadelphia Flyers to score first 47.7% 44.1% 42.0% 1.05× 2.27
No goal scored 0.6% 5.0% 7.8% 0.65× 19.86
GG/NG 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams to score 86.4% 86.4% 54.0% 1.60× 1.16
Not both teams to score 13.6% 13.6% 46.0% 0.30× 7.35
GG/NG 2+ 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams to score 2+ 55.1% 56.2% 15.5% 3.62× 1.78
Not both teams to score 2+ 44.9% 43.8% 84.5% 0.52× 2.28
GG/NG 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams to score in 2nd half 61.8% 68.3% 29.1% 2.35× 1.46
Not both to score in 2nd half 38.2% 31.7% 70.9% 0.45× 3.16
GG/NG half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score by HT 56.0% 56.0% 82.0% 0.68× 1.79
Both teams to score by HT 44.0% 44.0% 18.0% 2.45× 2.27
Goal range 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
4-6 goals 49.9% 47.0% 29.1% 1.62× 2.13
7+ goals 27.0% 27.2% 2.4% 11.26× 3.68
2-3 goals 19.9% 21.0% 45.0% 0.47× 4.77
0-1 goals 3.3% 1.8% 23.6% 0.08× 54.14
Goals away 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Philadelphia Flyers to score 3+ 44.5% 39.4% 13.9% 2.84× 2.54
Philadelphia Flyers to score exactly 2 26.2% 28.0% 22.3% 1.26× 3.57
Philadelphia Flyers to score exactly 1 21.0% 21.6% 34.3% 0.63× 4.64
Philadelphia Flyers to score exactly 0 8.2% 6.2% 29.6% 0.21× 16.10
Goals home 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Boston Bruins to score 3+ 52.4% 45.1% 20.8% 2.17× 2.22
Boston Bruins to score exactly 2 24.4% 23.9% 23.6% 1.01× 4.18
Boston Bruins to score exactly 1 17.2% 19.2% 31.4% 0.61× 5.20
Boston Bruins to score exactly 0 6.0% 7.2% 24.2% 0.30× 13.99
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Boston Bruins leading at HT 40.6% 44.4% 33.2% 1.34× 2.25
Philadelphia Flyers leading at HT 30.0% 25.7% 25.3% 1.02× 3.89
Draw at HT 29.5% 25.7% 41.5% 0.62× 3.89
Handicap 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Boston Bruins -1: 2 54.8% 52.9% 1.89
Boston Bruins -1: 1 28.3% 26.3% 3.80
Boston Bruins -1: X 16.9% 16.5% 6.06
Handicap 0:1 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Philadelphia Flyers (0:1) 54.8% 52.6% 57.4% 0.92× 1.90
Boston Bruins (0:1) 28.3% 25.2% 21.9% 1.15× 3.97
Draw (0:1) 16.9% 14.5% 20.7% 0.70× 6.91
Handicap 0:2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Philadelphia Flyers (0:2) 71.7% 73.9% 78.1% 0.95× 1.35
Boston Bruins (0:2) 15.4% 17.0% 9.7% 1.74× 5.89
Draw (0:2) 12.9% 10.4% 12.2% 0.85× 9.63
Handicap 0:3 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Philadelphia Flyers (0:3) 84.6% 85.3% 90.3% 0.95× 1.17
Draw (0:3) 8.1% 5.7% 6.0% 0.94× 17.69
Boston Bruins (0:3) 7.3% 5.6% 3.7% 1.51× 17.75
Handicap 0:4 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Philadelphia Flyers (0:4) 92.7% 95.0% 96.3% 0.99× 1.05
Draw (0:4) 4.3% 1.1% 2.6% 0.42× 90.96
Boston Bruins (0:4) 3.0% 1.1% 1.2% 0.94× 91.96
Handicap 1:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Boston Bruins (1:0) 66.3% 71.0% 68.8% 1.03× 1.41
Philadelphia Flyers (1:0) 19.8% 17.3% 14.5% 1.19× 5.78
Draw (1:0) 13.8% 11.0% 16.7% 0.66× 9.10
Handicap 2:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Boston Bruins (2:0) 80.2% 83.0% 85.5% 0.97× 1.20
Philadelphia Flyers (2:0) 10.1% 12.1% 5.9% 2.06× 8.27
Draw (2:0) 9.7% 6.3% 8.7% 0.72× 15.93
Highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 55.8% 59.4% 47.5% 1.25× 1.68
1st half highest scoring 26.6% 26.5% 25.7% 1.03× 3.78
Halves equal 17.5% 18.9% 26.7% 0.71× 5.30
Home no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Philadelphia Flyers (home no bet) 61.4% 60.3% 54.3% 1.11× 1.66
Draw (home no bet) 38.6% 39.7% 45.7% 0.87× 2.52
HT correct score 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Any other HT score 18.5% 19.0% 4.7% 4.09× 5.26
HT 1-0 13.6% 10.8% 20.3% 0.53× 9.22
HT 1-1 13.5% 10.8% 10.0% 1.08× 9.22
HT 0-0 11.4% 10.8% 30.7% 0.35× 9.24
HT 0-1 11.1% 10.8% 16.1% 0.67× 9.24
HT 2-1 8.0% 7.0% 3.2% 2.23× 14.26
HT 2-0 8.0% 7.0% 7.0% 1.00× 14.26
HT 1-2 6.6% 7.0% 2.7% 2.64× 14.28
HT 0-2 5.4% 7.0% 4.7% 1.47× 14.30
HT 2-2 4.0% 2.2% 0.9% 2.61× 44.53
HT/FT 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Boston Bruins at HT / Boston Bruins at FT 29.2% 26.9% 25.3% 1.06× 3.72
Philadelphia Flyers at HT / Philadelphia Flyers at FT 19.6% 16.7% 17.0% 0.98× 6.00
Draw at HT / Boston Bruins at FT 11.5% 12.7% 14.4% 0.88× 7.88
Draw at HT / Philadelphia Flyers at FT 9.7% 6.3% 11.4% 0.55× 15.97
Draw at HT / Draw at FT 8.3% 6.2% 15.8% 0.40× 16.01
Boston Bruins at HT / Draw at FT 6.9% 6.2% 5.1% 1.23× 16.05
Philadelphia Flyers at HT / Draw at FT 5.9% 6.2% 5.5% 1.14× 16.08
Boston Bruins at HT / Philadelphia Flyers at FT 4.4% 3.4% 2.9% 1.19× 29.46
Philadelphia Flyers at HT / Boston Bruins at FT 4.5% 3.4% 2.9% 1.18× 29.45
Last goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Boston Bruins to score last 52.7% 52.5% 50.3% 1.04× 1.90
Philadelphia Flyers to score last 46.7% 46.1% 41.9% 1.10× 2.17
No goal scored 0.6% 5.0% 7.8% 0.65× 19.86
Lead at any time 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time 99.4% 94.9% 92.2% 1.03× 1.05
Either team to lead by 2 at any time 72.8% 75.8% 47.3% 1.60× 1.32
Boston Bruins to lead by 1 at any time 70.1% 75.5% 58.7% 1.29× 1.32
Philadelphia Flyers to lead by 1 at any time 61.9% 61.3% 49.3% 1.24× 1.63
Boston Bruins to lead by 2 at any time 42.2% 38.3% 27.8% 1.38× 2.61
Either team to lead by 3 at any time 37.4% 34.1% 19.0% 1.79× 2.93
Philadelphia Flyers to lead by 2 at any time 32.9% 31.0% 19.9% 1.56× 3.22
Boston Bruins to lead by 3 at any time 22.0% 20.2% 11.9% 1.70× 4.96
Philadelphia Flyers to lead by 3 at any time 15.5% 14.5% 7.2% 2.02× 6.88
Multi goal 15
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2-6 goals 69.8% 68.9% 74.0% 0.93× 1.45
3-6 goals 62.0% 62.8% 50.9% 1.23× 1.59
1-5 goals 56.6% 58.4% 85.7% 0.68× 1.71
2-5 goals 54.0% 51.2% 69.9% 0.73× 1.95
4-6 goals 49.9% 47.4% 29.1% 1.63× 2.11
3-5 goals 46.3% 47.4% 46.8% 1.01× 2.11
1-4 goals 39.9% 39.5% 76.8% 0.51× 2.53
2-4 goals 37.2% 39.4% 61.0% 0.65× 2.54
4-5 goals 34.1% 32.8% 25.0% 1.31× 3.05
5-6 goals 32.5% 32.7% 13.1% 2.50× 3.06
3-4 goals 29.5% 26.1% 37.8% 0.69× 3.83
7+ goals 27.0% 26.1% 2.4% 10.81× 3.84
1-3 goals 22.5% 20.9% 60.8% 0.34× 4.79
2-3 goals 19.9% 15.8% 45.0% 0.35× 6.35
1-2 goals 10.4% 10.6% 39.0% 0.27× 9.40
Never down 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Boston Bruins never behind 37.5% 44.5% 50.7% 0.88× 2.25
Philadelphia Flyers never behind 29.3% 30.6% 41.3% 0.74× 3.27
Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even number of goals 52.0% 50.3% 51.6% 0.98× 1.99
Odd number of goals 48.0% 49.7% 48.5% 1.03× 2.01
Odd/Even 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 1st half 50.7% 52.2% 54.6% 0.96× 1.91
Odd goals in 1st half 49.3% 47.8% 45.4% 1.05× 2.09
Odd/Even 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 2nd half 50.2% 52.4% 52.1% 1.01× 1.91
Odd goals in 2nd half 49.8% 47.6% 47.9% 0.99× 2.10
Over/Under 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 0.5 goals 99.4% 95.7% 92.2% 1.04× 1.04
Over 1.5 goals 96.7% 95.7% 76.4% 1.25× 1.05
Over 2.5 goals 89.0% 89.3% 53.3% 1.68× 1.12
Over 3.5 goals 76.9% 79.7% 31.5% 2.53× 1.26
Over 4.5 goals 59.5% 59.5% 15.5% 3.85× 1.68
Under 5.5 goals 57.3% 59.4% 93.5% 0.64× 1.68
Over 5.5 goals 42.7% 40.6% 6.5% 6.20× 2.47
Under 4.5 goals 40.5% 40.5% 84.5% 0.48× 2.47
Under 3.5 goals 23.1% 20.3% 68.5% 0.30× 4.92
Under 2.5 goals 11.0% 10.7% 46.7% 0.23× 9.37
Under 1.5 goals 3.3% 4.3% 23.6% 0.18× 23.20
Under 0.5 goals 0.6% 4.3% 7.8% 0.55× 23.52
Over/Under (whole line) 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 2 (void on exactly 2) 96.5% 98.1% 69.3% 1.41× 1.02
Over 3 (void on exactly 3) 87.5% 89.6% 40.2% 2.23× 1.12
Over 4 (void on exactly 4) 72.0% 75.3% 18.4% 4.08× 1.33
Under 6 (void on exactly 6) 68.0% 68.5% 97.5% 0.70× 1.46
Over 5 (void on exactly 5) 51.3% 51.3% 7.2% 7.13× 1.95
Under 5 (void on exactly 5) 48.7% 48.7% 92.8% 0.53× 2.05
Over 6 (void on exactly 6) 32.0% 31.5% 2.5% 12.53× 3.17
Under 4 (void on exactly 4) 28.0% 24.7% 81.6% 0.30× 4.04
Under 3 (void on exactly 3) 12.5% 10.4% 59.8% 0.17× 9.60
Under 2 (void on exactly 2) 3.5% 1.9% 30.7% 0.06× 51.76
Score both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Philadelphia Flyers not to score in both halves 51.6% 57.3% 78.1% 0.73× 1.75
Boston Bruins to score in both halves 55.5% 56.3% 28.9% 1.95× 1.78
Boston Bruins not to score in both halves 44.5% 43.7% 71.1% 0.62× 2.29
Philadelphia Flyers to score in both halves 48.4% 42.7% 21.9% 1.95× 2.34
Teams to score 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams score 86.4% 86.4% 54.0% 1.60× 1.16
Only Boston Bruins scores 7.6% 7.3% 21.8% 0.34× 13.62
Only Philadelphia Flyers scores 5.4% 7.3% 16.5% 0.44× 13.71
Neither team scores 0.6% 4.8% 7.8% 0.62× 20.86
Total goals 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
6 or more goals 42.7% 43.1% 6.5% 6.58× 2.32
Exactly 4 goals 17.4% 18.0% 16.0% 1.13× 5.55
Exactly 5 goals 16.8% 18.0% 9.0% 2.01× 5.55
Exactly 3 goals 12.1% 11.5% 21.8% 0.52× 8.73
Exactly 2 goals 7.7% 7.3% 23.2% 0.32× 13.68
Exactly 1 goals 2.6% 4.3% 15.8% 0.27× 23.47
Exactly 0 goals 0.6% 4.2% 7.8% 0.54× 23.72
Total goals 2nd half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half 80.8% 80.8% 48.7% 1.66× 1.24
1 goal in 2nd half 14.4% 16.0% 32.0% 0.50× 6.26
No goals in 2nd half 4.8% 4.7% 19.3% 0.24× 21.49
Win both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Philadelphia Flyers not to win both halves 89.6% 88.2% 92.0% 0.96× 1.13
Boston Bruins not to win both halves 84.4% 84.0% 87.0% 0.96× 1.19
Boston Bruins to win both halves 15.6% 16.0% 13.0% 1.24× 6.23
Philadelphia Flyers to win both halves 10.4% 11.8% 8.0% 1.47× 8.49
Winning margin 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw 21.1% 24.7% 26.3% 0.94× 4.05
Boston Bruins by 1 16.9% 17.1% 20.7% 0.83× 5.83
Boston Bruins by 3+ 15.4% 17.1% 9.7% 1.76× 5.84
Philadelphia Flyers by 1 13.8% 11.1% 16.7% 0.67× 8.97
Boston Bruins by 2 12.9% 11.1% 12.2% 0.92× 8.98
Philadelphia Flyers by 3+ 10.1% 11.1% 5.9% 1.89× 9.01
Philadelphia Flyers by 2 9.7% 6.4% 8.7% 0.74× 15.68
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How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

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