Detroit Red Wings v Buffalo Sabres — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Thursday 24 September 2026 · NHL · 2027
NHL results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
nhl-ai No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.Detroit Red Wings win
35.9%
Draw
21.4%
Buffalo Sabres win
42.7%
Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.
Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| nhl-ai | 2.71–3.41 | 3-3 6% | 94% | 91% | |
| nhl-dc | 2.71–3.41 | 2-3 5% | 94% | 91% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it.
Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits
from what that selection normally does in this league.
To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the
Radar.
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buffalo Sabres to win | 42.7% | 44.8% | 31.2% | 1.44× | 2.23 |
| Detroit Red Wings to win | 35.9% | 35.3% | 42.6% | 0.83× | 2.83 |
| Draw | 21.4% | 24.4% | 26.3% | 0.93× | 4.11 |
1X2 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buffalo Sabres (1UP) | 71.2% | 76.9% | 49.3% | 1.56× | 1.30 |
| Detroit Red Wings (1UP) | 65.4% | 67.6% | 58.7% | 1.15× | 1.48 |
1X2 2UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buffalo Sabres (2UP) | 44.5% | 47.8% | 33.4% | 1.43× | 2.09 |
| Detroit Red Wings (2UP) | 36.9% | 36.7% | 44.5% | 0.83× | 2.73 |
Asian handicap 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buffalo Sabres (+2.5) | 89.3% | 90.1% | 90.3% | 1.00× | 1.11 |
| Buffalo Sabres (+1.5) | 79.1% | 81.6% | 78.1% | 1.04× | 1.23 |
| Buffalo Sabres (+0.5) | 64.1% | 63.8% | 57.4% | 1.11× | 1.57 |
| Detroit Red Wings (+0.5) | 57.3% | 57.5% | 68.8% | 0.83× | 1.74 |
| Buffalo Sabres (-0.5) | 42.7% | 42.5% | 31.2% | 1.36× | 2.35 |
| Detroit Red Wings (-0.5) | 35.9% | 36.2% | 42.6% | 0.85× | 2.76 |
| Detroit Red Wings (-1.5) | 20.9% | 18.4% | 21.9% | 0.84× | 5.43 |
| Detroit Red Wings (-2.5) | 10.7% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 1.02× | 10.06 |
Away no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Detroit Red Wings (away no bet) | 62.7% | 59.9% | 61.8% | 0.97× | 1.67 |
| Draw (away no bet) | 37.3% | 40.1% | 38.2% | 1.05× | 2.49 |
Both halves O1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both halves over 1.5 goals | 62.2% | 61.5% | 16.9% | 3.64× | 1.63 |
| Not both halves over 1.5 | 37.8% | 38.5% | 83.1% | 0.46× | 2.60 |
Both halves U1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves under 1.5 | 96.1% | 96.1% | 64.8% | 1.48× | 1.04 |
| Both halves under 1.5 goals | 3.9% | 3.9% | 35.2% | 0.11× | 25.80 |
Consecutive goals 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to score 2+ in a row | 89.6% | 91.0% | 57.4% | 1.58× | 1.10 |
| Buffalo Sabres to score 2+ in a row | 66.4% | 61.6% | 27.9% | 2.21× | 1.62 |
| Detroit Red Wings to score 2+ in a row | 60.0% | 60.2% | 36.2% | 1.66× | 1.66 |
| Either team to score 3+ in a row | 53.3% | 51.4% | 22.4% | 2.30× | 1.95 |
| Buffalo Sabres to score 3+ in a row | 33.0% | 29.5% | 8.9% | 3.33× | 3.39 |
| Detroit Red Wings to score 3+ in a row | 25.9% | 25.3% | 13.9% | 1.82× | 3.95 |
Correct score 26
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Any other score | 33.4% | 29.3% | 3.8% | 7.73× | 3.42 |
| 3-3 | 6.5% | 7.5% | 1.2% | 6.19× | 13.39 |
| 2-2 | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 1.29× | 13.39 |
| 3-2 | 4.9% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 0.60× | 57.44 |
| 2-3 | 4.3% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 0.79× | 57.46 |
| 2-4 | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 3.37× | 57.48 |
| 4-3 | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 3.07× | 57.48 |
| 4-4 | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 8.84× | 57.48 |
| 1-1 | 2.7% | 1.7% | 11.4% | 0.15× | 57.51 |
| 1-2 | 2.8% | 1.7% | 7.0% | 0.25× | 57.51 |
| 1-3 | 3.2% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 0.61× | 57.49 |
| 1-4 | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.68× | 57.51 |
| 2-1 | 3.2% | 1.7% | 8.5% | 0.21× | 57.49 |
| 3-1 | 2.9% | 1.7% | 4.7% | 0.37× | 57.50 |
| 3-4 | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 3.53× | 57.49 |
| 4-2 | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.72× | 57.49 |
| 4-1 | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.97× | 57.53 |
| 0-0 | 0.3% | 1.7% | 7.8% | 0.22× | 57.58 |
| 0-1 | 0.6% | 1.7% | 7.0% | 0.25× | 57.57 |
| 0-2 | 1.0% | 1.7% | 5.3% | 0.33× | 57.56 |
| 0-3 | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 0.69× | 57.55 |
| 0-4 | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.60× | 57.56 |
| 1-0 | 0.7% | 1.7% | 8.8% | 0.20× | 57.57 |
| 2-0 | 0.9% | 1.7% | 6.5% | 0.27× | 57.56 |
| 3-0 | 0.8% | 1.7% | 3.9% | 0.44× | 57.57 |
| 4-0 | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.99× | 57.57 |
DNB half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buffalo Sabres leading at HT (DNB) | 51.2% | 55.5% | 43.2% | 1.28× | 1.80 |
| Detroit Red Wings leading at HT (DNB) | 48.8% | 44.5% | 56.8% | 0.78× | 2.25 |
Double chance 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Detroit Red Wings or Buffalo Sabres (12) | 78.6% | 75.6% | 73.7% | 1.03× | 1.32 |
| Buffalo Sabres or draw (X2) | 64.1% | 64.7% | 57.4% | 1.13× | 1.55 |
| Detroit Red Wings or draw (1X) | 57.3% | 55.2% | 68.8% | 0.80× | 1.81 |
Double chance 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buffalo Sabres or draw (1UP) | 71.2% | 79.9% | 64.5% | 1.24× | 1.25 |
| Detroit Red Wings or draw (1UP) | 65.4% | 76.2% | 74.6% | 1.02× | 1.31 |
Draw no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buffalo Sabres (DNB) | 54.3% | 52.8% | 42.3% | 1.25× | 1.89 |
| Detroit Red Wings (DNB) | 45.7% | 47.2% | 57.7% | 0.82× | 2.12 |
First goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buffalo Sabres to score first | 55.6% | 61.7% | 42.0% | 1.47× | 1.62 |
| Detroit Red Wings to score first | 44.1% | 41.5% | 50.2% | 0.83× | 2.41 |
| No goal scored | 0.3% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 0.65× | 19.90 |
GG/NG 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score | 90.9% | 90.9% | 54.0% | 1.69× | 1.10 |
| Not both teams to score | 9.1% | 9.1% | 46.0% | 0.20× | 11.03 |
GG/NG 2+ 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score 2+ | 65.9% | 72.6% | 15.5% | 4.68× | 1.38 |
| Not both teams to score 2+ | 34.1% | 27.4% | 84.5% | 0.32× | 3.65 |
GG/NG 2nd half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score in 2nd half | 69.1% | 67.5% | 29.1% | 2.32× | 1.48 |
| Not both to score in 2nd half | 30.9% | 32.5% | 70.9% | 0.46× | 3.08 |
GG/NG half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score by HT | 51.5% | 51.5% | 18.0% | 2.86× | 1.94 |
| Not both to score by HT | 48.5% | 48.5% | 82.0% | 0.59× | 2.06 |
Goal range 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-6 goals | 45.9% | 46.9% | 29.1% | 1.61× | 2.13 |
| 7+ goals | 39.8% | 38.5% | 2.4% | 15.98× | 2.60 |
| 2-3 goals | 12.7% | 14.3% | 45.0% | 0.32× | 7.02 |
| 0-1 goals | 1.6% | 1.8% | 23.6% | 0.08× | 55.21 |
Goals away 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buffalo Sabres to score 3+ | 61.5% | 61.9% | 13.9% | 4.45× | 1.62 |
| Buffalo Sabres to score exactly 2 | 21.5% | 21.6% | 22.3% | 0.97× | 4.64 |
| Buffalo Sabres to score exactly 1 | 13.1% | 10.6% | 34.3% | 0.31× | 9.46 |
| Buffalo Sabres to score exactly 0 | 3.9% | 2.2% | 29.6% | 0.08× | 44.46 |
Goals home 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Detroit Red Wings to score 3+ | 55.1% | 52.4% | 20.8% | 2.52× | 1.91 |
| Detroit Red Wings to score exactly 2 | 23.5% | 23.9% | 23.6% | 1.01× | 4.19 |
| Detroit Red Wings to score exactly 1 | 15.9% | 19.2% | 31.4% | 0.61× | 5.21 |
| Detroit Red Wings to score exactly 0 | 5.5% | 7.1% | 24.2% | 0.29× | 14.06 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buffalo Sabres leading at HT | 37.2% | 38.3% | 25.3% | 1.52× | 2.61 |
| Detroit Red Wings leading at HT | 35.5% | 38.3% | 33.2% | 1.15× | 2.61 |
| Draw at HT | 27.3% | 25.6% | 41.5% | 0.62× | 3.91 |
Handicap 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buffalo Sabres -1: 1 | 57.3% | 55.1% | — | — | 1.81 |
| Buffalo Sabres -1: 2 | 29.4% | 26.4% | — | — | 3.80 |
| Buffalo Sabres -1: X | 13.2% | 11.6% | — | — | 8.60 |
Handicap 0:1 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buffalo Sabres (0:1) | 64.1% | 66.5% | 57.4% | 1.16× | 1.51 |
| Detroit Red Wings (0:1) | 20.9% | 23.8% | 21.9% | 1.09× | 4.20 |
| Draw (0:1) | 15.0% | 14.4% | 20.7% | 0.70× | 6.94 |
Handicap 0:2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buffalo Sabres (0:2) | 79.1% | 81.1% | 78.1% | 1.04× | 1.23 |
| Detroit Red Wings (0:2) | 10.7% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 1.06× | 9.69 |
| Draw (0:2) | 10.2% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 0.85× | 9.71 |
Handicap 0:3 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buffalo Sabres (0:3) | 89.3% | 89.9% | 90.3% | 1.00× | 1.11 |
| Draw (0:3) | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 0.93× | 17.88 |
| Detroit Red Wings (0:3) | 4.8% | 1.7% | 3.7% | 0.46× | 58.02 |
Handicap 0:4 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buffalo Sabres (0:4) | 95.2% | 98.3% | 96.3% | 1.02× | 1.02 |
| Draw (0:4) | 2.9% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 0.42× | 92.06 |
| Detroit Red Wings (0:4) | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.93× | 92.89 |
Handicap 1:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Detroit Red Wings (1:0) | 57.3% | 53.6% | 68.8% | 0.78× | 1.87 |
| Buffalo Sabres (1:0) | 29.4% | 29.0% | 14.5% | 2.00× | 3.45 |
| Draw (1:0) | 13.2% | 11.0% | 16.7% | 0.66× | 9.12 |
Handicap 2:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Detroit Red Wings (2:0) | 70.6% | 71.8% | 85.5% | 0.84× | 1.39 |
| Buffalo Sabres (2:0) | 18.1% | 18.3% | 5.9% | 3.10× | 5.48 |
| Draw (2:0) | 11.4% | 12.2% | 8.7% | 1.40× | 8.23 |
Highest scoring half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half highest scoring | 57.8% | 61.1% | 47.5% | 1.29× | 1.64 |
| 1st half highest scoring | 25.9% | 26.4% | 25.7% | 1.03× | 3.78 |
| Halves equal | 16.3% | 18.5% | 26.7% | 0.69× | 5.42 |
Home no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buffalo Sabres (home no bet) | 66.6% | 66.9% | 54.3% | 1.23× | 1.49 |
| Draw (home no bet) | 33.4% | 33.1% | 45.7% | 0.72× | 3.02 |
HT correct score 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Any other HT score | 24.6% | 23.9% | 4.7% | 5.14× | 4.19 |
| HT 1-1 | 13.0% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 1.08× | 9.22 |
| HT 0-1 | 10.2% | 10.8% | 16.1% | 0.67× | 9.25 |
| HT 1-0 | 10.1% | 10.8% | 20.3% | 0.53× | 9.25 |
| HT 0-0 | 8.1% | 7.0% | 30.7% | 0.23× | 14.25 |
| HT 1-2 | 8.1% | 7.0% | 2.7% | 2.64× | 14.25 |
| HT 2-1 | 8.1% | 7.0% | 3.2% | 2.23× | 14.26 |
| HT 0-2 | 6.5% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 1.47× | 14.28 |
| HT 2-0 | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 1.00× | 14.29 |
| HT 2-2 | 5.2% | 7.0% | 0.9% | 8.12× | 14.30 |
HT/FT 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buffalo Sabres at HT / Buffalo Sabres at FT | 26.6% | 26.7% | 17.0% | 1.57× | 3.74 |
| Detroit Red Wings at HT / Detroit Red Wings at FT | 22.6% | 21.8% | 25.3% | 0.86× | 4.58 |
| Draw at HT / Buffalo Sabres at FT | 10.6% | 12.7% | 11.4% | 1.12× | 7.88 |
| Draw at HT / Detroit Red Wings at FT | 9.0% | 6.3% | 14.4% | 0.43× | 15.99 |
| Draw at HT / Draw at FT | 7.6% | 6.2% | 15.8% | 0.40× | 16.03 |
| Detroit Red Wings at HT / Draw at FT | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 1.23× | 16.03 |
| Buffalo Sabres at HT / Draw at FT | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 1.14× | 16.06 |
| Detroit Red Wings at HT / Buffalo Sabres at FT | 5.5% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 2.18× | 16.09 |
| Buffalo Sabres at HT / Detroit Red Wings at FT | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.18× | 29.46 |
Last goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buffalo Sabres to score last | 52.3% | 52.5% | 41.9% | 1.25× | 1.91 |
| Detroit Red Wings to score last | 47.4% | 46.1% | 50.3% | 0.92× | 2.17 |
| No goal scored | 0.3% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 0.65× | 19.90 |
Lead at any time 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to lead by 1 at any time | 99.7% | 94.9% | 92.2% | 1.03× | 1.05 |
| Either team to lead by 2 at any time | 78.0% | 78.8% | 47.3% | 1.66× | 1.27 |
| Buffalo Sabres to lead by 1 at any time | 71.2% | 75.6% | 49.3% | 1.54× | 1.32 |
| Detroit Red Wings to lead by 1 at any time | 65.4% | 66.5% | 58.7% | 1.13× | 1.50 |
| Buffalo Sabres to lead by 2 at any time | 44.5% | 38.4% | 19.9% | 1.93× | 2.61 |
| Either team to lead by 3 at any time | 43.2% | 38.3% | 19.0% | 2.01× | 2.61 |
| Detroit Red Wings to lead by 2 at any time | 36.9% | 34.1% | 27.8% | 1.23× | 2.94 |
| Buffalo Sabres to lead by 3 at any time | 25.5% | 23.4% | 7.2% | 3.25× | 4.28 |
| Detroit Red Wings to lead by 3 at any time | 17.9% | 14.6% | 11.9% | 1.23× | 6.86 |
Multi goal 15
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2-6 goals | 58.6% | 58.4% | 74.0% | 0.79× | 1.71 |
| 3-6 goals | 53.9% | 51.2% | 50.9% | 1.01× | 1.95 |
| 4-6 goals | 45.9% | 47.4% | 29.1% | 1.63× | 2.11 |
| 1-5 goals | 42.9% | 42.2% | 85.7% | 0.49× | 2.37 |
| 2-5 goals | 41.6% | 42.2% | 69.9% | 0.60× | 2.37 |
| 7+ goals | 39.8% | 39.5% | 2.4% | 16.37× | 2.53 |
| 3-5 goals | 36.9% | 39.4% | 46.8% | 0.84× | 2.54 |
| 5-6 goals | 31.9% | 32.7% | 13.1% | 2.50× | 3.06 |
| 4-5 goals | 28.9% | 26.1% | 25.0% | 1.05× | 3.83 |
| 1-4 goals | 28.0% | 26.1% | 76.8% | 0.34× | 3.83 |
| 2-4 goals | 26.7% | 26.1% | 61.0% | 0.43× | 3.84 |
| 3-4 goals | 22.0% | 20.8% | 37.8% | 0.55× | 4.80 |
| 1-3 goals | 14.0% | 10.8% | 60.8% | 0.18× | 9.27 |
| 2-3 goals | 12.7% | 10.7% | 45.0% | 0.24× | 9.32 |
| 1-2 goals | 6.0% | 4.9% | 39.0% | 0.12× | 20.54 |
Never down 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buffalo Sabres never behind | 34.3% | 36.0% | 41.3% | 0.87× | 2.77 |
| Detroit Red Wings never behind | 28.5% | 30.6% | 50.7% | 0.60× | 3.27 |
Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even number of goals | 52.9% | 50.3% | 51.6% | 0.98× | 1.99 |
| Odd number of goals | 47.1% | 49.7% | 48.5% | 1.03× | 2.01 |
Odd/Even 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 1st half | 50.4% | 52.2% | 54.6% | 0.96× | 1.92 |
| Odd goals in 1st half | 49.6% | 47.8% | 45.4% | 1.05× | 2.09 |
Odd/Even 2HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 2nd half | 50.1% | 52.4% | 52.1% | 1.01× | 1.91 |
| Odd goals in 2nd half | 49.9% | 47.6% | 47.9% | 0.99× | 2.10 |
Over/Under 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 99.7% | 95.8% | 92.2% | 1.04× | 1.04 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 98.4% | 95.7% | 76.4% | 1.25× | 1.05 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 93.7% | 93.0% | 53.3% | 1.75× | 1.08 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 85.7% | 89.3% | 31.5% | 2.84× | 1.12 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 71.7% | 71.9% | 15.5% | 4.65× | 1.39 |
| Over 5.5 goals | 56.8% | 59.4% | 6.5% | 9.08× | 1.68 |
| Under 5.5 goals | 43.2% | 40.6% | 93.5% | 0.43× | 2.47 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 28.3% | 28.1% | 84.5% | 0.33× | 3.56 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 14.3% | 10.7% | 68.5% | 0.16× | 9.31 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 6.3% | 7.0% | 46.7% | 0.15× | 14.23 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 1.6% | 4.3% | 23.6% | 0.18× | 23.40 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 0.3% | 4.2% | 7.8% | 0.55× | 23.56 |
Over/Under (whole line) 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2 (void on exactly 2) | 98.3% | 98.1% | 69.3% | 1.42× | 1.02 |
| Over 3 (void on exactly 3) | 93.2% | 94.8% | 40.2% | 2.36× | 1.05 |
| Over 4 (void on exactly 4) | 83.3% | 83.8% | 18.4% | 4.55× | 1.19 |
| Over 5 (void on exactly 5) | 66.7% | 68.4% | 7.2% | 9.52× | 1.46 |
| Under 6 (void on exactly 6) | 52.1% | 51.3% | 97.5% | 0.53× | 1.95 |
| Over 6 (void on exactly 6) | 47.9% | 48.7% | 2.5% | 19.36× | 2.05 |
| Under 5 (void on exactly 5) | 33.3% | 31.6% | 92.8% | 0.34× | 3.17 |
| Under 4 (void on exactly 4) | 16.7% | 16.2% | 81.6% | 0.20× | 6.16 |
| Under 3 (void on exactly 3) | 6.8% | 5.2% | 59.8% | 0.09× | 19.37 |
| Under 2 (void on exactly 2) | 1.7% | 1.9% | 30.7% | 0.06× | 52.73 |
Score both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buffalo Sabres to score in both halves | 61.5% | 64.1% | 21.9% | 2.92× | 1.56 |
| Detroit Red Wings to score in both halves | 57.4% | 56.5% | 28.9% | 1.95× | 1.77 |
| Detroit Red Wings not to score in both halves | 42.6% | 43.5% | 71.1% | 0.61× | 2.30 |
| Buffalo Sabres not to score in both halves | 38.5% | 35.9% | 78.1% | 0.46× | 2.79 |
Teams to score 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams score | 90.9% | 90.9% | 54.0% | 1.69× | 1.10 |
| Only Buffalo Sabres scores | 5.2% | 7.3% | 16.5% | 0.44× | 13.72 |
| Only Detroit Red Wings scores | 3.6% | 4.9% | 21.8% | 0.22× | 20.52 |
| Neither team scores | 0.3% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 0.62× | 20.90 |
Total goals 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 or more goals | 56.8% | 56.8% | 6.5% | 8.67× | 1.76 |
| Exactly 5 goals | 14.9% | 11.5% | 9.0% | 1.28× | 8.71 |
| Exactly 4 goals | 14.0% | 11.5% | 16.0% | 0.72× | 8.72 |
| Exactly 3 goals | 8.0% | 7.3% | 21.8% | 0.34× | 13.67 |
| Exactly 2 goals | 4.7% | 4.3% | 23.2% | 0.19× | 23.22 |
| Exactly 1 goals | 1.3% | 4.2% | 15.8% | 0.27× | 23.63 |
| Exactly 0 goals | 0.3% | 4.2% | 7.8% | 0.54× | 23.76 |
Total goals 2nd half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2+ goals in 2nd half | 86.8% | 86.8% | 48.7% | 1.78× | 1.15 |
| 1 goal in 2nd half | 10.2% | 15.7% | 32.0% | 0.49× | 6.36 |
| No goals in 2nd half | 2.9% | 2.9% | 19.3% | 0.15× | 34.93 |
Win both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Detroit Red Wings not to win both halves | 89.2% | 88.2% | 87.0% | 1.01× | 1.13 |
| Buffalo Sabres not to win both halves | 83.5% | 83.9% | 92.0% | 0.91× | 1.19 |
| Buffalo Sabres to win both halves | 16.5% | 16.1% | 8.0% | 2.01× | 6.22 |
| Detroit Red Wings to win both halves | 10.8% | 11.8% | 13.0% | 0.91× | 8.47 |
Winning margin 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw | 21.4% | 24.7% | 26.3% | 0.94× | 4.05 |
| Buffalo Sabres by 3+ | 18.1% | 17.2% | 5.9% | 2.92× | 5.83 |
| Detroit Red Wings by 1 | 15.0% | 17.1% | 20.7% | 0.83× | 5.84 |
| Buffalo Sabres by 1 | 13.2% | 11.1% | 16.7% | 0.67× | 8.98 |
| Buffalo Sabres by 2 | 11.4% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 1.28× | 9.00 |
| Detroit Red Wings by 3+ | 10.7% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 1.14× | 9.01 |
| Detroit Red Wings by 2 | 10.2% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 0.91× | 9.01 |