Vegas Golden Knights v Utah Mammoth — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Friday 25 September 2026 · NHL · 2027
NHL results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
nhl-ai No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.Vegas Golden Knights win
41.7%
Draw
23.4%
Utah Mammoth win
34.9%
Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.
Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| nhl-ai | 3.24–2.79 | 3-3 7% | 93% | 91% | |
| nhl-dc | 3.24–2.79 | 3-2 5% | 94% | 91% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it.
Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits
from what that selection normally does in this league.
To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the
Radar.
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vegas Golden Knights to win | 41.7% | 44.8% | 42.6% | 1.05× | 2.23 |
| Utah Mammoth to win | 34.9% | 28.1% | 31.2% | 0.90× | 3.55 |
| Draw | 23.4% | 24.4% | 26.3% | 0.93× | 4.10 |
1X2 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vegas Golden Knights (1UP) | 70.9% | 76.8% | 58.7% | 1.31× | 1.30 |
| Utah Mammoth (1UP) | 65.6% | 67.6% | 49.3% | 1.37× | 1.48 |
1X2 2UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vegas Golden Knights (2UP) | 43.3% | 47.7% | 44.5% | 1.07× | 2.10 |
| Utah Mammoth (2UP) | 36.7% | 36.7% | 33.4% | 1.10× | 2.73 |
Asian handicap 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Utah Mammoth (+2.5) | 83.5% | 85.6% | 90.3% | 0.95× | 1.17 |
| Utah Mammoth (+1.5) | 72.1% | 75.5% | 78.1% | 0.97× | 1.33 |
| Vegas Golden Knights (+0.5) | 65.1% | 70.7% | 68.8% | 1.03× | 1.41 |
| Utah Mammoth (+0.5) | 58.3% | 57.5% | 57.4% | 1.00× | 1.74 |
| Vegas Golden Knights (-0.5) | 41.7% | 42.5% | 42.6% | 1.00× | 2.35 |
| Utah Mammoth (-0.5) | 34.9% | 29.3% | 31.2% | 0.94× | 3.42 |
| Vegas Golden Knights (-1.5) | 27.9% | 24.5% | 21.9% | 1.12× | 4.08 |
| Vegas Golden Knights (-2.5) | 16.5% | 14.4% | 9.7% | 1.48× | 6.93 |
Away no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vegas Golden Knights (away no bet) | 64.1% | 60.1% | 61.8% | 0.97× | 1.67 |
| Draw (away no bet) | 35.9% | 39.9% | 38.2% | 1.05× | 2.50 |
Both halves O1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both halves over 1.5 goals | 61.3% | 61.0% | 16.9% | 3.61× | 1.64 |
| Not both halves over 1.5 | 38.7% | 39.0% | 83.1% | 0.47× | 2.56 |
Both halves U1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves under 1.5 | 95.8% | 95.8% | 64.8% | 1.48× | 1.04 |
| Both halves under 1.5 goals | 4.2% | 4.2% | 35.2% | 0.12× | 23.93 |
Consecutive goals 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to score 2+ in a row | 88.9% | 90.4% | 57.4% | 1.57× | 1.11 |
| Vegas Golden Knights to score 2+ in a row | 65.6% | 61.6% | 36.2% | 1.70× | 1.62 |
| Utah Mammoth to score 2+ in a row | 60.0% | 60.2% | 27.9% | 2.16× | 1.66 |
| Either team to score 3+ in a row | 51.9% | 51.3% | 22.4% | 2.29× | 1.95 |
| Vegas Golden Knights to score 3+ in a row | 31.6% | 29.4% | 13.9% | 2.11× | 3.40 |
| Utah Mammoth to score 3+ in a row | 25.8% | 25.3% | 8.9% | 2.86× | 3.95 |
Correct score 26
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Any other score | 31.7% | 27.9% | 3.8% | 7.36× | 3.59 |
| 2-2 | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 1.29× | 13.39 |
| 3-3 | 7.1% | 7.5% | 1.2% | 6.20× | 13.39 |
| 2-3 | 4.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 0.79× | 57.45 |
| 3-2 | 4.6% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 0.60× | 57.45 |
| 3-4 | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 3.53× | 57.48 |
| 4-2 | 3.7% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.72× | 57.48 |
| 4-3 | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 3.07× | 57.49 |
| 4-4 | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 8.84× | 57.47 |
| 1-1 | 3.1% | 1.7% | 11.4% | 0.15× | 57.50 |
| 1-2 | 3.1% | 1.7% | 7.0% | 0.25× | 57.50 |
| 1-3 | 2.9% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 0.61× | 57.50 |
| 2-1 | 3.0% | 1.7% | 8.5% | 0.21× | 57.50 |
| 2-4 | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 3.37× | 57.49 |
| 3-1 | 3.3% | 1.7% | 4.7% | 0.37× | 57.49 |
| 4-1 | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.97× | 57.51 |
| 1-4 | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.68× | 57.53 |
| 0-0 | 0.3% | 1.7% | 7.8% | 0.22× | 57.58 |
| 0-1 | 0.7% | 1.7% | 7.0% | 0.25× | 57.57 |
| 0-2 | 0.9% | 1.7% | 5.3% | 0.33× | 57.56 |
| 0-3 | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 0.69× | 57.56 |
| 0-4 | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.60× | 57.57 |
| 1-0 | 0.7% | 1.7% | 8.8% | 0.20× | 57.57 |
| 2-0 | 1.1% | 1.7% | 6.5% | 0.27× | 57.56 |
| 3-0 | 1.2% | 1.7% | 3.9% | 0.44× | 57.56 |
| 4-0 | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.99× | 57.56 |
DNB half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vegas Golden Knights leading at HT (DNB) | 56.5% | 57.9% | 56.8% | 1.02× | 1.73 |
| Utah Mammoth leading at HT (DNB) | 43.5% | 42.1% | 43.2% | 0.97× | 2.38 |
Double chance 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vegas Golden Knights or Utah Mammoth (12) | 76.6% | 75.6% | 73.7% | 1.03× | 1.32 |
| Vegas Golden Knights or draw (1X) | 65.1% | 71.9% | 68.8% | 1.04× | 1.39 |
| Utah Mammoth or draw (X2) | 58.3% | 55.2% | 57.4% | 0.96× | 1.81 |
Double chance 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vegas Golden Knights or draw (1UP) | 70.9% | 79.9% | 74.6% | 1.07× | 1.25 |
| Utah Mammoth or draw (1UP) | 65.6% | 76.2% | 64.5% | 1.18× | 1.31 |
Draw no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vegas Golden Knights (DNB) | 54.4% | 52.8% | 57.7% | 0.92× | 1.89 |
| Utah Mammoth (DNB) | 45.6% | 47.2% | 42.3% | 1.12× | 2.12 |
First goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vegas Golden Knights to score first | 53.5% | 54.6% | 50.2% | 1.09× | 1.83 |
| Utah Mammoth to score first | 46.1% | 44.0% | 42.0% | 1.05× | 2.27 |
| No goal scored | 0.3% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 0.65× | 19.90 |
GG/NG 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score | 90.9% | 90.9% | 54.0% | 1.68× | 1.10 |
| Not both teams to score | 9.1% | 9.1% | 46.0% | 0.20× | 11.01 |
GG/NG 2+ 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score 2+ | 65.8% | 72.6% | 15.5% | 4.67× | 1.38 |
| Not both teams to score 2+ | 34.2% | 27.4% | 84.5% | 0.32× | 3.64 |
GG/NG 2nd half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score in 2nd half | 68.9% | 67.5% | 29.1% | 2.32× | 1.48 |
| Not both to score in 2nd half | 31.1% | 32.5% | 70.9% | 0.46× | 3.08 |
GG/NG half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score by HT | 51.0% | 51.0% | 18.0% | 2.83× | 1.96 |
| Not both to score by HT | 49.0% | 49.0% | 82.0% | 0.60× | 2.04 |
Goal range 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-6 goals | 46.7% | 46.9% | 29.1% | 1.61× | 2.13 |
| 7+ goals | 38.3% | 38.5% | 2.4% | 15.95× | 2.60 |
| 2-3 goals | 13.3% | 14.3% | 45.0% | 0.32× | 7.00 |
| 0-1 goals | 1.7% | 1.8% | 23.6% | 0.08× | 55.15 |
Goals away 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Utah Mammoth to score 3+ | 54.8% | 54.9% | 13.9% | 3.95× | 1.82 |
| Utah Mammoth to score exactly 2 | 23.8% | 21.6% | 22.3% | 0.97× | 4.63 |
| Utah Mammoth to score exactly 1 | 16.0% | 19.5% | 34.3% | 0.57× | 5.13 |
| Utah Mammoth to score exactly 0 | 5.4% | 6.1% | 29.6% | 0.20× | 16.52 |
Goals home 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vegas Golden Knights to score 3+ | 60.3% | 61.8% | 20.8% | 2.97× | 1.62 |
| Vegas Golden Knights to score exactly 2 | 22.1% | 23.9% | 23.6% | 1.01× | 4.19 |
| Vegas Golden Knights to score exactly 1 | 13.6% | 12.0% | 31.4% | 0.38× | 8.32 |
| Vegas Golden Knights to score exactly 0 | 4.1% | 1.4% | 24.2% | 0.06× | 70.36 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vegas Golden Knights leading at HT | 40.9% | 44.4% | 33.2% | 1.34× | 2.25 |
| Utah Mammoth leading at HT | 31.6% | 31.6% | 25.3% | 1.25× | 3.17 |
| Draw at HT | 27.5% | 25.6% | 41.5% | 0.62× | 3.90 |
Handicap 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vegas Golden Knights -1: 2 | 58.3% | 55.2% | — | — | 1.81 |
| Vegas Golden Knights -1: 1 | 27.9% | 26.3% | — | — | 3.81 |
| Vegas Golden Knights -1: X | 13.8% | 11.9% | — | — | 8.40 |
Handicap 0:1 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Utah Mammoth (0:1) | 58.3% | 56.6% | 57.4% | 0.99× | 1.77 |
| Vegas Golden Knights (0:1) | 27.9% | 25.2% | 21.9% | 1.15× | 3.98 |
| Draw (0:1) | 13.8% | 9.9% | 20.7% | 0.48× | 10.13 |
Handicap 0:2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Utah Mammoth (0:2) | 72.1% | 74.0% | 78.1% | 0.95× | 1.35 |
| Vegas Golden Knights (0:2) | 16.5% | 17.0% | 9.7% | 1.75× | 5.88 |
| Draw (0:2) | 11.3% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 0.85× | 9.68 |
Handicap 0:3 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Utah Mammoth (0:3) | 83.5% | 85.2% | 90.3% | 0.94× | 1.17 |
| Vegas Golden Knights (0:3) | 8.7% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 1.52× | 17.64 |
| Draw (0:3) | 7.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 0.94× | 17.71 |
Handicap 0:4 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Utah Mammoth (0:4) | 91.3% | 94.9% | 96.3% | 0.99× | 1.05 |
| Draw (0:4) | 4.7% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 0.42× | 90.67 |
| Vegas Golden Knights (0:4) | 4.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.95× | 91.20 |
Handicap 1:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vegas Golden Knights (1:0) | 65.1% | 70.9% | 68.8% | 1.03× | 1.41 |
| Utah Mammoth (1:0) | 20.9% | 23.9% | 14.5% | 1.64× | 4.19 |
| Draw (1:0) | 14.0% | 11.0% | 16.7% | 0.66× | 9.10 |
Handicap 2:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vegas Golden Knights (2:0) | 79.1% | 78.7% | 85.5% | 0.92× | 1.27 |
| Utah Mammoth (2:0) | 11.0% | 12.1% | 5.9% | 2.06× | 8.24 |
| Draw (2:0) | 9.9% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 0.73× | 15.92 |
Highest scoring half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half highest scoring | 57.1% | 60.5% | 47.5% | 1.27× | 1.65 |
| 1st half highest scoring | 26.0% | 26.5% | 25.7% | 1.03× | 3.78 |
| Halves equal | 16.9% | 18.6% | 26.7% | 0.70× | 5.36 |
Home no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Utah Mammoth (home no bet) | 59.9% | 54.1% | 54.3% | 1.00× | 1.85 |
| Draw (home no bet) | 40.1% | 45.9% | 45.7% | 1.00× | 2.18 |
HT correct score 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Any other HT score | 24.1% | 23.9% | 4.7% | 5.14× | 4.19 |
| HT 1-1 | 13.1% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 1.08× | 9.22 |
| HT 1-0 | 11.1% | 10.8% | 20.3% | 0.53× | 9.24 |
| HT 0-1 | 9.6% | 7.0% | 16.1% | 0.44× | 14.23 |
| HT 2-1 | 8.7% | 7.0% | 3.2% | 2.23× | 14.25 |
| HT 0-0 | 8.4% | 7.0% | 30.7% | 0.23× | 14.25 |
| HT 1-2 | 7.4% | 7.0% | 2.7% | 2.64× | 14.27 |
| HT 2-0 | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 1.00× | 14.27 |
| HT 0-2 | 5.3% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 1.47× | 14.30 |
| HT 2-2 | 5.1% | 7.0% | 0.9% | 8.12× | 14.30 |
HT/FT 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vegas Golden Knights at HT / Vegas Golden Knights at FT | 27.7% | 26.8% | 25.3% | 1.06× | 3.73 |
| Utah Mammoth at HT / Utah Mammoth at FT | 20.4% | 21.8% | 17.0% | 1.28× | 4.59 |
| Draw at HT / Vegas Golden Knights at FT | 9.6% | 6.3% | 14.4% | 0.43× | 15.97 |
| Draw at HT / Utah Mammoth at FT | 9.5% | 6.3% | 11.4% | 0.55× | 15.98 |
| Draw at HT / Draw at FT | 8.4% | 6.2% | 15.8% | 0.40× | 16.01 |
| Vegas Golden Knights at HT / Draw at FT | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 1.23× | 16.01 |
| Utah Mammoth at HT / Draw at FT | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 1.14× | 16.05 |
| Vegas Golden Knights at HT / Utah Mammoth at FT | 5.1% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 2.18× | 16.10 |
| Utah Mammoth at HT / Vegas Golden Knights at FT | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.18× | 29.46 |
Last goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vegas Golden Knights to score last | 51.9% | 52.5% | 50.3% | 1.04× | 1.91 |
| Utah Mammoth to score last | 47.8% | 46.1% | 41.9% | 1.10× | 2.17 |
| No goal scored | 0.3% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 0.65× | 19.90 |
Lead at any time 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to lead by 1 at any time | 99.7% | 94.9% | 92.2% | 1.03× | 1.05 |
| Either team to lead by 2 at any time | 76.8% | 78.6% | 47.3% | 1.66× | 1.27 |
| Vegas Golden Knights to lead by 1 at any time | 70.9% | 75.6% | 58.7% | 1.29× | 1.32 |
| Utah Mammoth to lead by 1 at any time | 65.6% | 66.6% | 49.3% | 1.35× | 1.50 |
| Vegas Golden Knights to lead by 2 at any time | 43.3% | 38.3% | 27.8% | 1.38× | 2.61 |
| Either team to lead by 3 at any time | 41.8% | 38.3% | 19.0% | 2.01× | 2.61 |
| Utah Mammoth to lead by 2 at any time | 36.7% | 34.1% | 19.9% | 1.72× | 2.94 |
| Vegas Golden Knights to lead by 3 at any time | 23.9% | 20.2% | 11.9% | 1.70× | 4.95 |
| Utah Mammoth to lead by 3 at any time | 17.9% | 14.6% | 7.2% | 2.03× | 6.86 |
Multi goal 15
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2-6 goals | 60.0% | 62.7% | 74.0% | 0.85× | 1.59 |
| 3-6 goals | 54.9% | 51.2% | 50.9% | 1.01× | 1.95 |
| 4-6 goals | 46.7% | 47.4% | 29.1% | 1.63× | 2.11 |
| 1-5 goals | 44.1% | 42.2% | 85.7% | 0.49× | 2.37 |
| 2-5 goals | 42.7% | 42.2% | 69.9% | 0.60× | 2.37 |
| 7+ goals | 38.3% | 39.5% | 2.4% | 16.36× | 2.53 |
| 3-5 goals | 37.6% | 39.4% | 46.8% | 0.84× | 2.54 |
| 5-6 goals | 32.0% | 32.7% | 13.1% | 2.50× | 3.06 |
| 4-5 goals | 29.5% | 26.1% | 25.0% | 1.05× | 3.83 |
| 1-4 goals | 29.3% | 26.1% | 76.8% | 0.34× | 3.83 |
| 2-4 goals | 28.0% | 26.1% | 61.0% | 0.43× | 3.83 |
| 3-4 goals | 22.8% | 20.9% | 37.8% | 0.55× | 4.79 |
| 1-3 goals | 14.6% | 10.8% | 60.8% | 0.18× | 9.25 |
| 2-3 goals | 13.3% | 10.8% | 45.0% | 0.24× | 9.30 |
| 1-2 goals | 6.5% | 4.9% | 39.0% | 0.13× | 20.46 |
Never down 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vegas Golden Knights never behind | 34.1% | 36.0% | 50.7% | 0.71× | 2.78 |
| Utah Mammoth never behind | 28.8% | 30.6% | 41.3% | 0.74× | 3.27 |
Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even number of goals | 54.1% | 50.3% | 51.6% | 0.98× | 1.99 |
| Odd number of goals | 45.9% | 49.7% | 48.5% | 1.02× | 2.01 |
Odd/Even 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 1st half | 50.4% | 52.2% | 54.6% | 0.96× | 1.92 |
| Odd goals in 1st half | 49.6% | 47.8% | 45.4% | 1.05× | 2.09 |
Odd/Even 2HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 2nd half | 50.1% | 52.4% | 52.1% | 1.01× | 1.91 |
| Odd goals in 2nd half | 49.9% | 47.6% | 47.9% | 0.99× | 2.10 |
Over/Under 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 99.7% | 95.8% | 92.2% | 1.04× | 1.04 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 98.3% | 95.7% | 76.4% | 1.25× | 1.05 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 93.2% | 93.0% | 53.3% | 1.75× | 1.08 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 85.1% | 89.2% | 31.5% | 2.84× | 1.12 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 70.4% | 71.9% | 15.5% | 4.64× | 1.39 |
| Over 5.5 goals | 55.6% | 59.4% | 6.5% | 9.07× | 1.68 |
| Under 5.5 goals | 44.4% | 40.6% | 93.5% | 0.43× | 2.46 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 29.6% | 28.1% | 84.5% | 0.33× | 3.56 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 14.9% | 10.8% | 68.5% | 0.16× | 9.29 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 6.8% | 7.0% | 46.7% | 0.15× | 14.22 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 1.7% | 4.3% | 23.6% | 0.18× | 23.39 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 0.3% | 4.2% | 7.8% | 0.55× | 23.56 |
Over/Under (whole line) 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2 (void on exactly 2) | 98.2% | 98.1% | 69.3% | 1.42× | 1.02 |
| Over 3 (void on exactly 3) | 92.6% | 94.8% | 40.2% | 2.36× | 1.06 |
| Over 4 (void on exactly 4) | 82.5% | 83.7% | 18.4% | 4.54× | 1.19 |
| Over 5 (void on exactly 5) | 65.2% | 68.3% | 7.2% | 9.51× | 1.46 |
| Under 6 (void on exactly 6) | 53.7% | 51.4% | 97.5% | 0.53× | 1.95 |
| Over 6 (void on exactly 6) | 46.3% | 48.6% | 2.5% | 19.32× | 2.06 |
| Under 5 (void on exactly 5) | 34.8% | 31.7% | 92.8% | 0.34× | 3.16 |
| Under 4 (void on exactly 4) | 17.5% | 16.3% | 81.6% | 0.20× | 6.14 |
| Under 3 (void on exactly 3) | 7.4% | 5.2% | 59.8% | 0.09× | 19.32 |
| Under 2 (void on exactly 2) | 1.8% | 1.9% | 30.7% | 0.06× | 52.67 |
Score both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vegas Golden Knights to score in both halves | 61.6% | 64.1% | 28.9% | 2.22× | 1.56 |
| Utah Mammoth to score in both halves | 56.2% | 56.4% | 21.9% | 2.57× | 1.77 |
| Utah Mammoth not to score in both halves | 43.8% | 43.6% | 78.1% | 0.56× | 2.29 |
| Vegas Golden Knights not to score in both halves | 38.4% | 35.9% | 71.1% | 0.50× | 2.79 |
Teams to score 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams score | 90.9% | 90.9% | 54.0% | 1.68× | 1.10 |
| Only Vegas Golden Knights scores | 5.0% | 7.3% | 21.8% | 0.33× | 13.73 |
| Only Utah Mammoth scores | 3.7% | 4.9% | 16.5% | 0.30× | 20.50 |
| Neither team scores | 0.3% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 0.62× | 20.89 |
Total goals 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 or more goals | 55.6% | 55.6% | 6.5% | 8.49× | 1.80 |
| Exactly 5 goals | 14.8% | 11.5% | 9.0% | 1.28× | 8.71 |
| Exactly 4 goals | 14.7% | 11.5% | 16.0% | 0.72× | 8.71 |
| Exactly 3 goals | 8.1% | 7.3% | 21.8% | 0.34× | 13.67 |
| Exactly 2 goals | 5.1% | 7.3% | 23.2% | 0.31× | 13.73 |
| Exactly 1 goals | 1.3% | 4.2% | 15.8% | 0.27× | 23.63 |
| Exactly 0 goals | 0.3% | 4.2% | 7.8% | 0.54× | 23.75 |
Total goals 2nd half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2+ goals in 2nd half | 86.2% | 86.2% | 48.7% | 1.77× | 1.16 |
| 1 goal in 2nd half | 10.7% | 15.7% | 32.0% | 0.49× | 6.35 |
| No goals in 2nd half | 3.1% | 3.0% | 19.3% | 0.16× | 32.88 |
Win both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Utah Mammoth not to win both halves | 89.3% | 88.2% | 92.0% | 0.96× | 1.13 |
| Vegas Golden Knights not to win both halves | 84.4% | 84.0% | 87.0% | 0.96× | 1.19 |
| Vegas Golden Knights to win both halves | 15.6% | 16.0% | 13.0% | 1.24× | 6.24 |
| Utah Mammoth to win both halves | 10.7% | 11.8% | 8.0% | 1.47× | 8.48 |
Winning margin 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw | 23.4% | 24.7% | 26.3% | 0.94× | 4.05 |
| Vegas Golden Knights by 3+ | 16.5% | 17.1% | 9.7% | 1.76× | 5.83 |
| Utah Mammoth by 1 | 14.0% | 11.1% | 16.7% | 0.67× | 8.97 |
| Vegas Golden Knights by 1 | 13.8% | 11.1% | 20.7% | 0.54× | 8.97 |
| Vegas Golden Knights by 2 | 11.3% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 0.91× | 9.00 |
| Utah Mammoth by 3+ | 11.0% | 11.1% | 5.9% | 1.89× | 9.00 |
| Utah Mammoth by 2 | 9.9% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 0.74× | 15.67 |