Chicago White Sox v Minnesota Twins — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Friday 4 September 2026 · MLB · 2026
The model serving this sport has not been backtested.
Nothing here has been checked against what actually happened, so treat every
number as untested until you have run
python -m pipeline.backtest --sport baseball.MLB results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
mlb-dc No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.Chicago White Sox win
35.4%
Draw
13.2%
Minnesota Twins win
51.5%
Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.
Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| mlb-dc | 4.32–4.97 | 4-4 3% | 99% | 98% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it.
Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits
from what that selection normally does in this league.
To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the
Radar.
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Twins to win | 50.9% | 50.9% | 31.2% | 1.63× | 1.96 |
| Chicago White Sox to win | 35.5% | 35.5% | 42.6% | 0.83× | 2.81 |
| Draw | 13.5% | 13.5% | 26.3% | 0.51× | 7.40 |
1X2 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Twins (1UP) | 78.7% | 78.7% | 49.3% | 1.60× | 1.27 |
| Chicago White Sox (1UP) | 69.1% | 69.1% | 58.7% | 1.18× | 1.45 |
1X2 2UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Twins (2UP) | 56.6% | 56.6% | 33.4% | 1.70× | 1.77 |
| Chicago White Sox (2UP) | 43.5% | 43.5% | 44.5% | 0.98× | 2.30 |
Asian handicap 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Twins (+2.5) | 85.8% | 85.8% | 90.3% | 0.95× | 1.17 |
| Minnesota Twins (+1.5) | 76.4% | 76.4% | 78.1% | 0.98× | 1.31 |
| Minnesota Twins (+0.5) | 64.5% | 64.5% | 57.4% | 1.12× | 1.55 |
| Minnesota Twins (-0.5) | 50.9% | 50.9% | 31.2% | 1.63× | 1.96 |
| Chicago White Sox (+0.5) | 49.1% | 49.1% | 68.8% | 0.71× | 2.04 |
| Chicago White Sox (-0.5) | 35.5% | 35.5% | 42.6% | 0.83× | 2.81 |
| Chicago White Sox (-1.5) | 23.6% | 23.6% | 21.9% | 1.08× | 4.24 |
| Chicago White Sox (-2.5) | 14.2% | 14.2% | 9.7% | 1.46× | 7.02 |
Away no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago White Sox (away no bet) | 72.4% | 72.4% | 61.8% | 1.17× | 1.38 |
| Draw (away no bet) | 27.6% | 27.6% | 38.2% | 0.72× | 3.63 |
Both halves O1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both halves over 1.5 goals | 86.9% | 86.9% | 16.9% | 5.15× | 1.15 |
| Not both halves over 1.5 | 13.1% | 13.1% | 83.1% | 0.16× | 7.64 |
Both halves U1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves under 1.5 | 99.6% | 99.6% | 64.8% | 1.54× | 1.00 |
| Both halves under 1.5 goals | 0.4% | 0.4% | 35.2% | 0.01× | 278.82 |
Consecutive goals 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to score 2+ in a row | 98.0% | 98.0% | 57.4% | 1.71× | 1.02 |
| Minnesota Twins to score 2+ in a row | 83.3% | 83.3% | 27.9% | 2.98× | 1.20 |
| Chicago White Sox to score 2+ in a row | 75.0% | 75.0% | 36.2% | 2.07× | 1.33 |
| Either team to score 3+ in a row | 73.7% | 73.7% | 22.4% | 3.29× | 1.36 |
| Minnesota Twins to score 3+ in a row | 50.0% | 50.0% | 8.9% | 5.64× | 2.00 |
| Chicago White Sox to score 3+ in a row | 38.3% | 38.3% | 13.9% | 2.75× | 2.61 |
Correct score 26
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Any other score | 73.3% | 73.3% | 3.8% | 19.34× | 1.36 |
| 4-4 | 3.6% | 3.6% | 0.2% | 18.27× | 27.81 |
| 3-4 | 3.3% | 3.3% | 0.5% | 6.77× | 30.03 |
| 4-3 | 2.9% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 5.12× | 34.54 |
| 3-3 | 2.7% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 2.22× | 37.30 |
| 2-4 | 2.3% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 4.48× | 43.23 |
| 2-3 | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 0.84× | 53.70 |
| 4-2 | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.73× | 57.20 |
| 3-2 | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 0.56× | 61.77 |
| 2-2 | 1.1% | 1.1% | 5.8% | 0.19× | 88.92 |
| 1-4 | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.04× | 93.36 |
| 1-3 | 0.9% | 0.9% | 2.8% | 0.30× | 115.96 |
| 4-1 | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 0.39× | 142.09 |
| 3-1 | 0.7% | 0.7% | 4.7% | 0.14× | 153.43 |
| 1-2 | 0.5% | 0.5% | 7.0% | 0.07× | 192.03 |
| 2-1 | 0.5% | 0.5% | 8.5% | 0.05× | 220.88 |
| 0-4 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 0.23× | 403.24 |
| 0-3 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 2.5% | 0.08× | 500.82 |
| 1-1 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 11.4% | 0.01× | 596.24 |
| 4-0 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 1.7% | 0.08× | 705.92 |
| 3-0 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 3.9% | 0.03× | 762.22 |
| 0-2 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 5.3% | 0.02× | 829.37 |
| 2-0 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 6.5% | 0.01× | 1,097.34 |
| 0-1 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 7.0% | 0.01× | 1,105.35 |
| 1-0 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 8.8% | 0.01× | 1,188.66 |
| 0-0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.8% | 0.00× | 10,000.00 |
DNB half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Twins leading at HT (DNB) | 53.2% | 53.2% | 43.2% | 1.23× | 1.88 |
| Chicago White Sox leading at HT (DNB) | 46.8% | 46.8% | 56.8% | 0.83× | 2.14 |
Double chance 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago White Sox or Minnesota Twins (12) | 86.5% | 86.5% | 73.7% | 1.17× | 1.16 |
| Minnesota Twins or draw (X2) | 64.5% | 64.5% | 57.4% | 1.12× | 1.55 |
| Chicago White Sox or draw (1X) | 49.1% | 49.1% | 68.8% | 0.71× | 2.04 |
Double chance 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Twins or draw (1UP) | 78.7% | 78.7% | 64.5% | 1.22× | 1.27 |
| Chicago White Sox or draw (1UP) | 69.1% | 69.1% | 74.6% | 0.93× | 1.45 |
Draw no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Twins (DNB) | 58.9% | 58.9% | 42.3% | 1.39× | 1.70 |
| Chicago White Sox (DNB) | 41.1% | 41.1% | 57.7% | 0.71× | 2.43 |
First goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Twins to score first | 53.5% | 53.5% | 42.0% | 1.27× | 1.87 |
| Chicago White Sox to score first | 46.5% | 46.5% | 50.2% | 0.93× | 2.15 |
| No goal scored | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.8% | 0.00× | 10,000.00 |
GG/NG 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score | 97.9% | 97.9% | 54.0% | 1.81× | 1.02 |
| Not both teams to score | 2.1% | 2.1% | 46.0% | 0.05× | 46.75 |
GG/NG 2+ 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score 2+ | 88.8% | 88.8% | 15.5% | 5.72× | 1.13 |
| Not both teams to score 2+ | 11.2% | 11.2% | 84.5% | 0.13× | 8.91 |
GG/NG 2nd half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score in 2nd half | 86.5% | 86.5% | 29.1% | 2.98× | 1.16 |
| Not both to score in 2nd half | 13.5% | 13.5% | 70.9% | 0.19× | 7.42 |
GG/NG half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score by HT | 72.7% | 72.7% | 18.0% | 4.04× | 1.38 |
| Not both to score by HT | 27.3% | 27.3% | 82.0% | 0.33× | 3.66 |
Goal range 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7+ goals | 80.8% | 80.8% | 2.4% | 33.50× | 1.24 |
| 4-6 goals | 17.4% | 17.4% | 29.1% | 0.60× | 5.76 |
| 2-3 goals | 1.7% | 1.7% | 45.0% | 0.04× | 59.39 |
| 0-1 goals | 0.2% | 0.2% | 23.6% | 0.01× | 572.75 |
Goals away 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Twins to score 3+ | 86.7% | 86.7% | 13.9% | 6.24× | 1.15 |
| Minnesota Twins to score exactly 2 | 8.9% | 8.9% | 22.3% | 0.40× | 11.22 |
| Minnesota Twins to score exactly 1 | 3.6% | 3.6% | 34.3% | 0.10× | 27.88 |
| Minnesota Twins to score exactly 0 | 0.8% | 0.8% | 29.6% | 0.03× | 132.59 |
Goals home 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago White Sox to score 3+ | 80.2% | 80.2% | 20.8% | 3.85× | 1.25 |
| Chicago White Sox to score exactly 2 | 12.6% | 12.6% | 23.6% | 0.54× | 7.93 |
| Chicago White Sox to score exactly 1 | 5.8% | 5.8% | 31.4% | 0.19× | 17.12 |
| Chicago White Sox to score exactly 0 | 1.4% | 1.4% | 24.2% | 0.06× | 72.21 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Twins leading at HT | 41.9% | 41.9% | 25.3% | 1.66× | 2.39 |
| Chicago White Sox leading at HT | 36.9% | 36.9% | 33.2% | 1.11× | 2.71 |
| Draw at HT | 21.3% | 21.3% | 41.5% | 0.51× | 4.70 |
Handicap 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Twins -1: 1 | 49.1% | 49.1% | — | — | 2.04 |
| Minnesota Twins -1: 2 | 37.2% | 37.2% | — | — | 2.69 |
| Minnesota Twins -1: X | 13.7% | 13.7% | — | — | 7.27 |
Handicap 0:1 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Twins (0:1) | 64.5% | 64.5% | 57.4% | 1.12× | 1.55 |
| Chicago White Sox (0:1) | 23.6% | 23.6% | 21.9% | 1.08× | 4.24 |
| Draw (0:1) | 12.0% | 12.0% | 20.7% | 0.58× | 8.35 |
Handicap 0:2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Twins (0:2) | 76.4% | 76.4% | 78.1% | 0.98× | 1.31 |
| Chicago White Sox (0:2) | 14.2% | 14.2% | 9.7% | 1.46× | 7.02 |
| Draw (0:2) | 9.3% | 9.3% | 12.2% | 0.77× | 10.73 |
Handicap 0:3 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Twins (0:3) | 85.8% | 85.8% | 90.3% | 0.95× | 1.17 |
| Chicago White Sox (0:3) | 7.8% | 7.8% | 3.7% | 2.08× | 12.84 |
| Draw (0:3) | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 1.07× | 15.49 |
Handicap 0:4 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Twins (0:4) | 92.2% | 92.2% | 96.3% | 0.96× | 1.08 |
| Draw (0:4) | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.52× | 25.19 |
| Chicago White Sox (0:4) | 3.8% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 3.30× | 26.18 |
Handicap 1:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago White Sox (1:0) | 49.1% | 49.1% | 68.8% | 0.71× | 2.04 |
| Minnesota Twins (1:0) | 37.2% | 37.2% | 14.5% | 2.56× | 2.69 |
| Draw (1:0) | 13.7% | 13.7% | 16.7% | 0.82× | 7.27 |
Handicap 2:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago White Sox (2:0) | 62.8% | 62.8% | 85.5% | 0.73× | 1.59 |
| Minnesota Twins (2:0) | 24.9% | 24.9% | 5.9% | 4.24× | 4.02 |
| Draw (2:0) | 12.3% | 12.3% | 8.7% | 1.42× | 8.14 |
Highest scoring half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half highest scoring | 62.8% | 62.8% | 47.5% | 1.32× | 1.59 |
| 1st half highest scoring | 25.0% | 25.0% | 25.7% | 0.97× | 4.00 |
| Halves equal | 12.2% | 12.2% | 26.7% | 0.46× | 8.21 |
Home no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Twins (home no bet) | 79.0% | 79.0% | 54.3% | 1.46× | 1.27 |
| Draw (home no bet) | 21.0% | 21.0% | 45.7% | 0.46× | 4.77 |
HT correct score 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Any other HT score | 51.0% | 51.0% | 4.7% | 10.96× | 1.96 |
| HT 1-1 | 7.9% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 0.79× | 12.58 |
| HT 1-2 | 7.9% | 7.9% | 2.7% | 2.97× | 12.65 |
| HT 2-1 | 7.4% | 7.4% | 3.2% | 2.35× | 13.54 |
| HT 2-2 | 7.3% | 7.3% | 0.9% | 8.52× | 13.63 |
| HT 0-1 | 4.3% | 4.3% | 16.1% | 0.27× | 23.31 |
| HT 0-2 | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 0.90× | 23.50 |
| HT 1-0 | 4.0% | 4.0% | 20.3% | 0.20× | 24.94 |
| HT 2-0 | 3.7% | 3.7% | 7.0% | 0.53× | 26.90 |
| HT 0-0 | 2.2% | 2.2% | 30.7% | 0.07× | 45.87 |
HT/FT 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Twins at HT / Minnesota Twins at FT | 32.7% | 32.7% | 17.0% | 1.92× | 3.06 |
| Chicago White Sox at HT / Chicago White Sox at FT | 23.7% | 23.7% | 25.3% | 0.94× | 4.22 |
| Draw at HT / Minnesota Twins at FT | 10.4% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 0.92× | 9.57 |
| Chicago White Sox at HT / Minnesota Twins at FT | 7.8% | 7.8% | 2.9% | 2.74× | 12.79 |
| Draw at HT / Chicago White Sox at FT | 7.0% | 7.0% | 14.4% | 0.49× | 14.19 |
| Chicago White Sox at HT / Draw at FT | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 1.05× | 18.78 |
| Minnesota Twins at HT / Chicago White Sox at FT | 4.8% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.66× | 20.93 |
| Minnesota Twins at HT / Draw at FT | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 0.81× | 22.67 |
| Draw at HT / Draw at FT | 3.8% | 3.8% | 15.8% | 0.24× | 26.42 |
Last goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Twins to score last | 53.2% | 53.2% | 41.9% | 1.27× | 1.88 |
| Chicago White Sox to score last | 46.8% | 46.8% | 50.3% | 0.93× | 2.14 |
| No goal scored | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.8% | 0.00× | 10,000.00 |
Lead at any time 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to lead by 1 at any time | 100.0% | 100.0% | 92.2% | 1.08× | 1.00 |
| Either team to lead by 2 at any time | 91.4% | 91.4% | 47.3% | 1.93× | 1.09 |
| Minnesota Twins to lead by 1 at any time | 78.7% | 78.7% | 49.3% | 1.60× | 1.27 |
| Chicago White Sox to lead by 1 at any time | 69.1% | 69.1% | 58.7% | 1.18× | 1.45 |
| Either team to lead by 3 at any time | 61.9% | 61.9% | 19.0% | 3.25× | 1.62 |
| Minnesota Twins to lead by 2 at any time | 56.6% | 56.6% | 19.9% | 2.85× | 1.77 |
| Chicago White Sox to lead by 2 at any time | 43.5% | 43.5% | 27.8% | 1.57× | 2.30 |
| Minnesota Twins to lead by 3 at any time | 37.3% | 37.3% | 7.2% | 5.19× | 2.68 |
| Chicago White Sox to lead by 3 at any time | 25.1% | 25.1% | 11.9% | 2.11× | 3.99 |
Multi goal 15
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7+ goals | 80.8% | 80.8% | 2.4% | 33.50× | 1.24 |
| 2-6 goals | 19.0% | 19.0% | 74.0% | 0.26× | 5.25 |
| 3-6 goals | 18.7% | 18.7% | 50.9% | 0.37× | 5.36 |
| 4-6 goals | 17.4% | 17.4% | 29.1% | 0.60× | 5.76 |
| 5-6 goals | 14.3% | 14.3% | 13.1% | 1.09× | 6.98 |
| 1-5 goals | 10.5% | 10.5% | 85.7% | 0.12× | 9.51 |
| 2-5 goals | 10.3% | 10.3% | 69.9% | 0.15× | 9.67 |
| 3-5 goals | 10.0% | 10.0% | 46.8% | 0.21× | 10.04 |
| 4-5 goals | 8.7% | 8.7% | 25.0% | 0.35× | 11.56 |
| 1-4 goals | 4.9% | 4.9% | 76.8% | 0.06× | 20.46 |
| 2-4 goals | 4.7% | 4.7% | 61.0% | 0.08× | 21.22 |
| 3-4 goals | 4.3% | 4.3% | 37.8% | 0.11× | 23.08 |
| 1-3 goals | 1.9% | 1.9% | 60.8% | 0.03× | 53.81 |
| 2-3 goals | 1.7% | 1.7% | 45.0% | 0.04× | 59.39 |
| 1-2 goals | 0.6% | 0.6% | 39.0% | 0.01× | 180.50 |
Never down 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Twins never behind | 30.9% | 30.9% | 41.3% | 0.75× | 3.24 |
| Chicago White Sox never behind | 21.3% | 21.3% | 50.7% | 0.42× | 4.69 |
Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odd number of goals | 50.1% | 50.1% | 48.5% | 1.03× | 2.00 |
| Even number of goals | 49.9% | 49.9% | 51.6% | 0.97× | 2.00 |
Odd/Even 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 1st half | 50.0% | 50.0% | 54.6% | 0.92× | 2.00 |
| Odd goals in 1st half | 50.0% | 50.0% | 45.4% | 1.10× | 2.00 |
Odd/Even 2HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 2nd half | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.1% | 0.96× | 2.00 |
| Odd goals in 2nd half | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.9% | 1.04× | 2.00 |
Over/Under 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 100.0% | 100.0% | 92.2% | 1.08× | 1.00 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 99.8% | 99.8% | 76.4% | 1.31× | 1.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 99.4% | 99.4% | 53.3% | 1.87× | 1.01 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 98.1% | 98.1% | 31.5% | 3.12× | 1.02 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 95.1% | 95.1% | 15.5% | 6.15× | 1.05 |
| Over 5.5 goals | 89.5% | 89.5% | 6.5% | 13.67× | 1.12 |
| Under 5.5 goals | 10.5% | 10.5% | 93.5% | 0.11× | 9.51 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 4.9% | 4.9% | 84.5% | 0.06× | 20.46 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 1.9% | 1.9% | 68.5% | 0.03× | 53.81 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 0.6% | 0.6% | 46.7% | 0.01× | 180.50 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 0.2% | 0.2% | 23.6% | 0.01× | 572.75 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.8% | 0.00× | 10,000.00 |
Over/Under (whole line) 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2 (void on exactly 2) | 99.8% | 99.8% | 69.3% | 1.44× | 1.00 |
| Over 3 (void on exactly 3) | 99.4% | 99.4% | 40.2% | 2.47× | 1.01 |
| Over 4 (void on exactly 4) | 98.1% | 98.1% | 18.4% | 5.32× | 1.02 |
| Over 5 (void on exactly 5) | 94.8% | 94.8% | 7.2% | 13.19× | 1.06 |
| Over 6 (void on exactly 6) | 88.5% | 88.5% | 2.5% | 35.18× | 1.13 |
| Under 6 (void on exactly 6) | 11.5% | 11.5% | 97.5% | 0.12× | 8.69 |
| Under 5 (void on exactly 5) | 5.2% | 5.2% | 92.8% | 0.06× | 19.31 |
| Under 4 (void on exactly 4) | 1.9% | 1.9% | 81.6% | 0.02× | 52.18 |
| Under 3 (void on exactly 3) | 0.6% | 0.6% | 59.8% | 0.01× | 178.15 |
| Under 2 (void on exactly 2) | 0.2% | 0.2% | 30.7% | 0.01× | 570.57 |
Score both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Twins to score in both halves | 81.7% | 81.7% | 21.9% | 3.72× | 1.22 |
| Chicago White Sox to score in both halves | 77.0% | 77.0% | 28.9% | 2.66× | 1.30 |
| Chicago White Sox not to score in both halves | 23.0% | 23.0% | 71.1% | 0.32× | 4.35 |
| Minnesota Twins not to score in both halves | 18.3% | 18.3% | 78.1% | 0.23× | 5.46 |
Teams to score 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams score | 97.9% | 97.9% | 54.0% | 1.81× | 1.02 |
| Only Minnesota Twins scores | 1.4% | 1.4% | 16.5% | 0.08× | 72.21 |
| Only Chicago White Sox scores | 0.8% | 0.8% | 21.8% | 0.03× | 132.59 |
| Neither team scores | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.8% | 0.00× | 10,000.00 |
Total goals 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 or more goals | 89.5% | 89.5% | 6.5% | 13.67× | 1.12 |
| Exactly 5 goals | 5.6% | 5.6% | 9.0% | 0.63× | 17.78 |
| Exactly 4 goals | 3.0% | 3.0% | 16.0% | 0.19× | 33.02 |
| Exactly 3 goals | 1.3% | 1.3% | 21.8% | 0.06× | 76.67 |
| Exactly 2 goals | 0.4% | 0.4% | 23.2% | 0.02× | 263.56 |
| Exactly 1 goals | 0.2% | 0.2% | 15.8% | 0.01× | 572.75 |
| Exactly 0 goals | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.8% | 0.00× | 10,000.00 |
Total goals 2nd half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2+ goals in 2nd half | 97.0% | 97.0% | 48.7% | 1.99× | 1.03 |
| 1 goal in 2nd half | 2.5% | 2.5% | 32.0% | 0.08× | 40.08 |
| No goals in 2nd half | 0.5% | 0.5% | 19.3% | 0.02× | 212.31 |
Win both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago White Sox not to win both halves | 87.8% | 87.8% | 87.0% | 1.01× | 1.14 |
| Minnesota Twins not to win both halves | 79.5% | 79.5% | 92.0% | 0.86× | 1.26 |
| Minnesota Twins to win both halves | 20.5% | 20.5% | 8.0% | 2.56× | 4.87 |
| Chicago White Sox to win both halves | 12.2% | 12.2% | 13.0% | 0.94× | 8.22 |
Winning margin 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Twins by 3+ | 24.9% | 24.9% | 5.9% | 4.24× | 4.02 |
| Chicago White Sox by 3+ | 14.2% | 14.2% | 9.7% | 1.46× | 7.02 |
| Minnesota Twins by 1 | 13.7% | 13.7% | 16.7% | 0.82× | 7.27 |
| Draw | 13.5% | 13.5% | 26.3% | 0.51× | 7.40 |
| Minnesota Twins by 2 | 12.3% | 12.3% | 8.7% | 1.42× | 8.14 |
| Chicago White Sox by 1 | 12.0% | 12.0% | 20.7% | 0.58× | 8.35 |
| Chicago White Sox by 2 | 9.3% | 9.3% | 12.2% | 0.77× | 10.73 |