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Colorado Rockies v St. Louis Cardinals — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 5 September 2026 · MLB · 2026

The model serving this sport has not been backtested.
Nothing here has been checked against what actually happened, so treat every number as untested until you have run python -m pipeline.backtest --sport baseball.

MLB results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

mlb-dc No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.
Colorado Rockies win
29.0%
Draw
12.3%
St. Louis Cardinals win
58.7%

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
mlb-dc 4.22–5.47 4-5 3% 100% 98%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
St. Louis Cardinals to win 57.9% 57.9% 31.2% 1.86× 1.73
Colorado Rockies to win 29.3% 29.3% 42.6% 0.69× 3.41
Draw 12.7% 12.7% 26.3% 0.48× 7.85
1X2 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
St. Louis Cardinals (1UP) 82.8% 82.8% 49.3% 1.68× 1.21
Colorado Rockies (1UP) 65.0% 65.0% 58.7% 1.11× 1.54
1X2 2UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
St. Louis Cardinals (2UP) 62.9% 62.9% 33.4% 1.88× 1.59
Colorado Rockies (2UP) 38.6% 38.6% 44.5% 0.87× 2.59
Asian handicap 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
St. Louis Cardinals (+2.5) 89.1% 89.1% 90.3% 0.99× 1.12
St. Louis Cardinals (+1.5) 81.3% 81.3% 78.1% 1.04× 1.23
St. Louis Cardinals (+0.5) 70.7% 70.7% 57.4% 1.23× 1.42
St. Louis Cardinals (-0.5) 57.9% 57.9% 31.2% 1.86× 1.73
Colorado Rockies (+0.5) 42.1% 42.1% 68.8% 0.61× 2.38
Colorado Rockies (-0.5) 29.3% 29.3% 42.6% 0.69× 3.41
Colorado Rockies (-1.5) 18.7% 18.7% 21.9% 0.85× 5.35
Colorado Rockies (-2.5) 10.9% 10.9% 9.7% 1.11× 9.22
Away no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Colorado Rockies (away no bet) 69.7% 69.7% 61.8% 1.13× 1.43
Draw (away no bet) 30.3% 30.3% 38.2% 0.79× 3.30
Both halves O1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both halves over 1.5 goals 88.5% 88.5% 16.9% 5.24× 1.13
Not both halves over 1.5 11.5% 11.5% 83.1% 0.14× 8.71
Both halves U1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves under 1.5 99.7% 99.7% 64.8% 1.54× 1.00
Both halves under 1.5 goals 0.3% 0.3% 35.2% 0.01× 378.22
Consecutive goals 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row 98.3% 98.3% 57.4% 1.71× 1.02
St. Louis Cardinals to score 2+ in a row 87.2% 87.2% 27.9% 3.12× 1.15
Either team to score 3+ in a row 75.8% 75.8% 22.4% 3.38× 1.32
Colorado Rockies to score 2+ in a row 72.2% 72.2% 36.2% 2.00× 1.38
St. Louis Cardinals to score 3+ in a row 56.3% 56.3% 8.9% 6.36× 1.78
Colorado Rockies to score 3+ in a row 34.5% 34.5% 13.9% 2.48× 2.90
Correct score 26
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Any other score 77.1% 77.1% 3.8% 20.34× 1.30
4-4 3.3% 3.3% 0.2% 16.69× 30.44
3-4 3.1% 3.1% 0.5% 6.33× 32.09
4-3 2.4% 2.4% 0.6% 4.25× 41.59
3-3 2.3% 2.3% 1.2% 1.89× 43.84
2-4 2.2% 2.2% 0.5% 4.29× 45.09
2-3 1.6% 1.6% 2.2% 0.73× 61.61
4-2 1.3% 1.3% 1.0% 1.31× 75.77
3-2 1.3% 1.3% 2.9% 0.43× 79.86
1-4 1.1% 1.1% 1.0% 1.02× 95.05
2-2 0.9% 0.9% 5.8% 0.15× 112.23
1-3 0.8% 0.8% 2.8% 0.27× 129.87
4-1 0.5% 0.5% 1.8% 0.27× 207.03
3-1 0.5% 0.5% 4.7% 0.10× 218.21
1-2 0.4% 0.4% 7.0% 0.06× 236.57
2-1 0.3% 0.3% 8.5% 0.04× 306.66
0-4 0.3% 0.3% 1.1% 0.23× 400.74
0-3 0.2% 0.2% 2.5% 0.07× 547.52
1-1 0.1% 0.1% 11.4% 0.01× 808.04
0-2 0.1% 0.1% 5.3% 0.02× 997.39
4-0 0.1% 0.1% 1.7% 0.05× 1,131.42
3-0 0.1% 0.1% 3.9% 0.02× 1,192.52
0-1 0.1% 0.1% 7.0% 0.01× 1,478.61
2-0 0.1% 0.1% 6.5% 0.01× 1,675.89
1-0 0.1% 0.1% 8.8% 0.01× 1,687.90
0-0 0.0% 0.0% 7.8% 0.00× 10,000.00
DNB half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
St. Louis Cardinals leading at HT (DNB) 58.8% 58.8% 43.2% 1.36× 1.70
Colorado Rockies leading at HT (DNB) 41.2% 41.2% 56.8% 0.73× 2.43
Double chance 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Colorado Rockies or St. Louis Cardinals (12) 87.3% 87.3% 73.7% 1.18× 1.15
St. Louis Cardinals or draw (X2) 70.7% 70.7% 57.4% 1.23× 1.42
Colorado Rockies or draw (1X) 42.1% 42.1% 68.8% 0.61× 2.38
Double chance 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
St. Louis Cardinals or draw (1UP) 82.8% 82.8% 64.5% 1.28× 1.21
Colorado Rockies or draw (1UP) 65.0% 65.0% 74.6% 0.87× 1.54
Draw no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
St. Louis Cardinals (DNB) 66.4% 66.4% 42.3% 1.57× 1.51
Colorado Rockies (DNB) 33.6% 33.6% 57.7% 0.58× 2.98
First goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
St. Louis Cardinals to score first 56.5% 56.5% 42.0% 1.34× 1.77
Colorado Rockies to score first 43.5% 43.5% 50.2% 0.87× 2.30
No goal scored 0.0% 0.0% 7.8% 0.00× 10,000.00
GG/NG 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams to score 98.0% 98.0% 54.0% 1.82× 1.02
Not both teams to score 2.0% 2.0% 46.0% 0.04× 50.16
GG/NG 2+ 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams to score 2+ 89.5% 89.5% 15.5% 5.76× 1.12
Not both teams to score 2+ 10.5% 10.5% 84.5% 0.12× 9.52
GG/NG 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams to score in 2nd half 87.2% 87.2% 29.1% 3.00× 1.15
Not both to score in 2nd half 12.8% 12.8% 70.9% 0.18× 7.82
GG/NG half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams to score by HT 74.1% 74.1% 18.0% 4.12× 1.35
Not both to score by HT 25.9% 25.9% 82.0% 0.32× 3.87
Goal range 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
7+ goals 83.7% 83.7% 2.4% 34.70× 1.20
4-6 goals 14.9% 14.9% 29.1% 0.51× 6.72
2-3 goals 1.3% 1.3% 45.0% 0.03× 76.98
0-1 goals 0.1% 0.1% 23.6% 0.01× 788.17
Goals away 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
St. Louis Cardinals to score 3+ 90.4% 90.4% 13.9% 6.50× 1.11
St. Louis Cardinals to score exactly 2 6.7% 6.7% 22.3% 0.30× 14.93
St. Louis Cardinals to score exactly 1 2.5% 2.5% 34.3% 0.07× 40.80
St. Louis Cardinals to score exactly 0 0.5% 0.5% 29.6% 0.02× 211.56
Goals home 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Colorado Rockies to score 3+ 78.9% 78.9% 20.8% 3.79× 1.27
Colorado Rockies to score exactly 2 13.3% 13.3% 23.6% 0.56× 7.52
Colorado Rockies to score exactly 1 6.3% 6.3% 31.4% 0.20× 15.85
Colorado Rockies to score exactly 0 1.5% 1.5% 24.2% 0.06× 65.74
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
St. Louis Cardinals leading at HT 46.7% 46.7% 25.3% 1.85× 2.14
Colorado Rockies leading at HT 32.7% 32.7% 33.2% 0.98× 3.06
Draw at HT 20.6% 20.6% 41.5% 0.50× 4.85
Handicap 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
St. Louis Cardinals -1: 2 44.2% 44.2% 2.26
St. Louis Cardinals -1: 1 42.1% 42.1% 2.38
St. Louis Cardinals -1: X 13.7% 13.7% 7.28
Handicap 0:1 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
St. Louis Cardinals (0:1) 70.7% 70.7% 57.4% 1.23× 1.42
Colorado Rockies (0:1) 18.7% 18.7% 21.9% 0.85× 5.35
Draw (0:1) 10.6% 10.6% 20.7% 0.51× 9.41
Handicap 0:2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
St. Louis Cardinals (0:2) 81.3% 81.3% 78.1% 1.04× 1.23
Colorado Rockies (0:2) 10.9% 10.9% 9.7% 1.11× 9.22
Draw (0:2) 7.8% 7.8% 12.2% 0.64× 12.77
Handicap 0:3 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
St. Louis Cardinals (0:3) 89.1% 89.1% 90.3% 0.99× 1.12
Colorado Rockies (0:3) 5.7% 5.7% 3.7% 1.52× 17.55
Draw (0:3) 5.2% 5.2% 6.0% 0.86× 19.40
Handicap 0:4 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
St. Louis Cardinals (0:4) 94.3% 94.3% 96.3% 0.98× 1.06
Draw (0:4) 3.0% 3.0% 2.6% 1.16× 33.17
Colorado Rockies (0:4) 2.7% 2.7% 1.2% 2.32× 37.28
Handicap 1:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
St. Louis Cardinals (1:0) 44.2% 44.2% 14.5% 3.04× 2.26
Colorado Rockies (1:0) 42.1% 42.1% 68.8% 0.61× 2.38
Draw (1:0) 13.7% 13.7% 16.7% 0.82× 7.28
Handicap 2:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Colorado Rockies (2:0) 55.8% 55.8% 85.5% 0.65× 1.79
St. Louis Cardinals (2:0) 31.1% 31.1% 5.9% 5.29× 3.22
Draw (2:0) 13.1% 13.1% 8.7% 1.51× 7.63
Highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 63.2% 63.2% 47.5% 1.33× 1.58
1st half highest scoring 24.8% 24.8% 25.7% 0.96× 4.03
Halves equal 12.0% 12.0% 26.7% 0.45× 8.33
Home no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
St. Louis Cardinals (home no bet) 82.0% 82.0% 54.3% 1.51× 1.22
Draw (home no bet) 18.0% 18.0% 45.7% 0.39× 5.55
HT correct score 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Any other HT score 54.0% 54.0% 4.7% 11.61× 1.85
HT 1-2 8.0% 8.0% 2.7% 3.02× 12.47
HT 1-1 7.3% 7.3% 10.0% 0.73× 13.64
HT 2-2 7.3% 7.3% 0.9% 8.44× 13.76
HT 2-1 6.7% 6.7% 3.2% 2.11× 15.04
HT 0-2 4.4% 4.4% 4.7% 0.93× 22.61
HT 0-1 4.1% 4.1% 16.1% 0.25× 24.68
HT 1-0 3.4% 3.4% 20.3% 0.17× 29.75
HT 2-0 3.0% 3.0% 7.0% 0.43× 32.87
HT 0-0 1.9% 1.9% 30.7% 0.06× 53.47
HT/FT 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
St. Louis Cardinals at HT / St. Louis Cardinals at FT 38.4% 38.4% 17.0% 2.26× 2.61
Colorado Rockies at HT / Colorado Rockies at FT 19.3% 19.3% 25.3% 0.76× 5.19
Draw at HT / St. Louis Cardinals at FT 11.2% 11.2% 11.4% 0.99× 8.92
Colorado Rockies at HT / St. Louis Cardinals at FT 8.4% 8.4% 2.9% 2.93× 11.96
Draw at HT / Colorado Rockies at FT 5.9% 5.9% 14.4% 0.41× 17.00
Colorado Rockies at HT / Draw at FT 5.1% 5.1% 5.1% 1.00× 19.79
St. Louis Cardinals at HT / Draw at FT 4.2% 4.2% 5.5% 0.76× 23.94
St. Louis Cardinals at HT / Colorado Rockies at FT 4.2% 4.2% 2.9% 1.44× 24.07
Draw at HT / Draw at FT 3.5% 3.5% 15.8% 0.22× 28.52
Last goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
St. Louis Cardinals to score last 55.9% 55.9% 41.9% 1.33× 1.79
Colorado Rockies to score last 44.1% 44.1% 50.3% 0.88× 2.27
No goal scored 0.0% 0.0% 7.8% 0.00× 10,000.00
Lead at any time 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time 100.0% 100.0% 92.2% 1.08× 1.00
Either team to lead by 2 at any time 92.4% 92.4% 47.3% 1.95× 1.08
St. Louis Cardinals to lead by 1 at any time 82.8% 82.8% 49.3% 1.68× 1.21
Colorado Rockies to lead by 1 at any time 65.0% 65.0% 58.7% 1.11× 1.54
Either team to lead by 3 at any time 64.5% 64.5% 19.0% 3.38× 1.55
St. Louis Cardinals to lead by 2 at any time 62.9% 62.9% 19.9% 3.17× 1.59
St. Louis Cardinals to lead by 3 at any time 44.0% 44.0% 7.2% 6.12× 2.27
Colorado Rockies to lead by 2 at any time 38.6% 38.6% 27.8% 1.39× 2.59
Colorado Rockies to lead by 3 at any time 21.0% 21.0% 11.9% 1.77× 4.77
Multi goal 15
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
7+ goals 83.7% 83.7% 2.4% 34.70× 1.20
2-6 goals 16.2% 16.2% 74.0% 0.22× 6.18
3-6 goals 15.9% 15.9% 50.9% 0.31× 6.29
4-6 goals 14.9% 14.9% 29.1% 0.51× 6.72
5-6 goals 12.4% 12.4% 13.1% 0.95× 8.04
1-5 goals 8.6% 8.6% 85.7% 0.10× 11.57
2-5 goals 8.5% 8.5% 69.9% 0.12× 11.75
3-5 goals 8.2% 8.2% 46.8% 0.18× 12.15
4-5 goals 7.2% 7.2% 25.0% 0.29× 13.86
1-4 goals 3.9% 3.9% 76.8% 0.05× 25.75
2-4 goals 3.8% 3.8% 61.0% 0.06× 26.62
3-4 goals 3.5% 3.5% 37.8% 0.09× 28.80
1-3 goals 1.4% 1.4% 60.8% 0.02× 70.13
2-3 goals 1.3% 1.3% 45.0% 0.03× 76.98
1-2 goals 0.4% 0.4% 39.0% 0.01× 243.57
Never down 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
St. Louis Cardinals never behind 35.0% 35.0% 41.3% 0.85× 2.86
Colorado Rockies never behind 17.2% 17.2% 50.7% 0.34× 5.80
Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of goals 50.1% 50.1% 48.5% 1.03× 2.00
Even number of goals 50.0% 50.0% 51.6% 0.97× 2.00
Odd/Even 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 1st half 50.0% 50.0% 54.6% 0.92× 2.00
Odd goals in 1st half 50.0% 50.0% 45.4% 1.10× 2.00
Odd/Even 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 2nd half 50.0% 50.0% 52.1% 0.96× 2.00
Odd goals in 2nd half 50.0% 50.0% 47.9% 1.04× 2.00
Over/Under 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 0.5 goals 100.0% 100.0% 92.2% 1.08× 1.00
Over 1.5 goals 99.9% 99.9% 76.4% 1.31× 1.00
Over 2.5 goals 99.6% 99.6% 53.3% 1.87× 1.00
Over 3.5 goals 98.6% 98.6% 31.5% 3.13× 1.01
Over 4.5 goals 96.1% 96.1% 15.5% 6.21× 1.04
Over 5.5 goals 91.4% 91.4% 6.5% 13.96× 1.10
Under 5.5 goals 8.6% 8.6% 93.5% 0.09× 11.57
Under 4.5 goals 3.9% 3.9% 84.5% 0.05× 25.75
Under 3.5 goals 1.4% 1.4% 68.5% 0.02× 70.13
Under 2.5 goals 0.4% 0.4% 46.7% 0.01× 243.57
Under 1.5 goals 0.1% 0.1% 23.6% 0.01× 788.17
Under 0.5 goals 0.0% 0.0% 7.8% 0.00× 10,000.00
Over/Under (whole line) 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 2 (void on exactly 2) 99.9% 99.9% 69.3% 1.44× 1.00
Over 3 (void on exactly 3) 99.6% 99.6% 40.2% 2.47× 1.00
Over 4 (void on exactly 4) 98.5% 98.5% 18.4% 5.35× 1.02
Over 5 (void on exactly 5) 95.9% 95.9% 7.2% 13.35× 1.04
Over 6 (void on exactly 6) 90.6% 90.6% 2.5% 36.03× 1.10
Under 6 (void on exactly 6) 9.4% 9.4% 97.5% 0.10× 10.68
Under 5 (void on exactly 5) 4.1% 4.1% 92.8% 0.04× 24.53
Under 4 (void on exactly 4) 1.5% 1.5% 81.6% 0.02× 68.41
Under 3 (void on exactly 3) 0.4% 0.4% 59.8% 0.01× 241.09
Under 2 (void on exactly 2) 0.1% 0.1% 30.7% 0.00× 785.93
Score both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
St. Louis Cardinals to score in both halves 85.1% 85.1% 21.9% 3.88× 1.17
Colorado Rockies to score in both halves 76.0% 76.0% 28.9% 2.63× 1.32
Colorado Rockies not to score in both halves 24.0% 24.0% 71.1% 0.34× 4.16
St. Louis Cardinals not to score in both halves 14.9% 14.9% 78.1% 0.19× 6.73
Teams to score 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams score 98.0% 98.0% 54.0% 1.82× 1.02
Only St. Louis Cardinals scores 1.5% 1.5% 16.5% 0.09× 65.74
Only Colorado Rockies scores 0.5% 0.5% 21.8% 0.02× 211.56
Neither team scores 0.0% 0.0% 7.8% 0.00× 10,000.00
Total goals 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
6 or more goals 91.4% 91.4% 6.5% 13.96× 1.10
Exactly 5 goals 4.8% 4.8% 9.0% 0.53× 21.02
Exactly 4 goals 2.5% 2.5% 16.0% 0.15× 40.70
Exactly 3 goals 1.0% 1.0% 21.8% 0.05× 98.49
Exactly 2 goals 0.3% 0.3% 23.2% 0.01× 352.50
Exactly 1 goals 0.1% 0.1% 15.8% 0.01× 788.17
Exactly 0 goals 0.0% 0.0% 7.8% 0.00× 10,000.00
Total goals 2nd half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half 97.5% 97.5% 48.7% 2.00× 1.03
1 goal in 2nd half 2.1% 2.1% 32.0% 0.07× 48.05
No goals in 2nd half 0.4% 0.4% 19.3% 0.02× 265.82
Win both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Colorado Rockies not to win both halves 90.7% 90.7% 87.0% 1.04× 1.10
St. Louis Cardinals not to win both halves 74.6% 74.6% 92.0% 0.81× 1.34
St. Louis Cardinals to win both halves 25.4% 25.4% 8.0% 3.17× 3.94
Colorado Rockies to win both halves 9.3% 9.3% 13.0% 0.72× 10.74
Winning margin 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
St. Louis Cardinals by 3+ 31.1% 31.1% 5.9% 5.29× 3.22
St. Louis Cardinals by 1 13.7% 13.7% 16.7% 0.82× 7.28
St. Louis Cardinals by 2 13.1% 13.1% 8.7% 1.51× 7.63
Draw 12.7% 12.7% 26.3% 0.48× 7.85
Colorado Rockies by 3+ 10.9% 10.9% 9.7% 1.11× 9.22
Colorado Rockies by 1 10.6% 10.6% 20.7% 0.51× 9.41
Colorado Rockies by 2 7.8% 7.8% 12.2% 0.64× 12.77
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