Kansas City Royals v Miami Marlins — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Thursday 3 September 2026 · MLB · 2026
The model serving this sport has not been backtested.
Nothing here has been checked against what actually happened, so treat every
number as untested until you have run
python -m pipeline.backtest --sport baseball.MLB results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
mlb-dc No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.Kansas City Royals win
50.3%
Draw
13.7%
Miami Marlins win
36.0%
Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.
Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| mlb-dc | 4.56–4.01 | 4-4 4% | 99% | 97% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it.
Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits
from what that selection normally does in this league.
To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the
Radar.
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas City Royals to win | 50.2% | 50.2% | 42.6% | 1.18× | 1.99 |
| Miami Marlins to win | 35.9% | 35.9% | 31.2% | 1.15× | 2.79 |
| Draw | 13.9% | 13.9% | 26.3% | 0.53× | 7.18 |
1X2 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas City Royals (1UP) | 77.5% | 77.5% | 58.7% | 1.32× | 1.29 |
| Miami Marlins (1UP) | 68.4% | 68.4% | 49.3% | 1.39× | 1.46 |
1X2 2UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas City Royals (2UP) | 54.8% | 54.8% | 44.5% | 1.23× | 1.83 |
| Miami Marlins (2UP) | 42.5% | 42.5% | 33.4% | 1.27× | 2.35 |
Asian handicap 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miami Marlins (+2.5) | 76.3% | 76.3% | 90.3% | 0.85× | 1.31 |
| Kansas City Royals (+0.5) | 64.1% | 64.1% | 68.8% | 0.93× | 1.56 |
| Miami Marlins (+1.5) | 63.9% | 63.9% | 78.1% | 0.82× | 1.57 |
| Kansas City Royals (-0.5) | 50.2% | 50.2% | 42.6% | 1.18× | 1.99 |
| Miami Marlins (+0.5) | 49.8% | 49.8% | 57.4% | 0.87× | 2.01 |
| Kansas City Royals (-1.5) | 36.1% | 36.1% | 21.9% | 1.65× | 2.77 |
| Miami Marlins (-0.5) | 35.9% | 35.9% | 31.2% | 1.15× | 2.79 |
| Kansas City Royals (-2.5) | 23.7% | 23.7% | 9.7% | 2.44× | 4.21 |
Away no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas City Royals (away no bet) | 78.3% | 78.3% | 61.8% | 1.27× | 1.28 |
| Draw (away no bet) | 21.7% | 21.7% | 38.2% | 0.57× | 4.61 |
Both halves O1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both halves over 1.5 goals | 83.3% | 83.3% | 16.9% | 4.94× | 1.20 |
| Not both halves over 1.5 | 16.7% | 16.7% | 83.1% | 0.20× | 5.99 |
Both halves U1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves under 1.5 | 99.4% | 99.4% | 64.8% | 1.53× | 1.01 |
| Both halves under 1.5 goals | 0.6% | 0.6% | 35.2% | 0.02× | 158.35 |
Consecutive goals 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to score 2+ in a row | 97.1% | 97.1% | 57.4% | 1.69× | 1.03 |
| Kansas City Royals to score 2+ in a row | 80.5% | 80.5% | 36.2% | 2.22× | 1.24 |
| Miami Marlins to score 2+ in a row | 72.3% | 72.3% | 27.9% | 2.59× | 1.38 |
| Either team to score 3+ in a row | 70.6% | 70.6% | 22.4% | 3.15× | 1.42 |
| Kansas City Royals to score 3+ in a row | 47.0% | 47.0% | 13.9% | 3.37× | 2.13 |
| Miami Marlins to score 3+ in a row | 36.1% | 36.1% | 8.9% | 4.08× | 2.77 |
Correct score 26
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Any other score | 66.1% | 66.1% | 3.8% | 17.44× | 1.51 |
| 4-4 | 3.8% | 3.8% | 0.2% | 19.36× | 26.24 |
| 4-3 | 3.8% | 3.8% | 0.6% | 6.72× | 26.28 |
| 3-4 | 3.3% | 3.3% | 0.5% | 6.80× | 29.88 |
| 3-3 | 3.3% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 2.77× | 29.92 |
| 4-2 | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 2.82× | 35.09 |
| 3-2 | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 0.86× | 39.96 |
| 2-4 | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 4.27× | 45.37 |
| 2-3 | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.99× | 45.43 |
| 2-2 | 1.6% | 1.6% | 5.8% | 0.29× | 60.67 |
| 4-1 | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 0.79× | 70.28 |
| 3-1 | 1.2% | 1.2% | 4.7% | 0.27× | 80.03 |
| 1-4 | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.94× | 103.32 |
| 1-3 | 1.0% | 1.0% | 2.8% | 0.34× | 103.47 |
| 2-1 | 0.8% | 0.8% | 8.5% | 0.10× | 121.52 |
| 1-2 | 0.7% | 0.7% | 7.0% | 0.10× | 138.17 |
| 4-0 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.7% | 0.20× | 281.55 |
| 3-0 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 3.9% | 0.08× | 320.62 |
| 1-1 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 11.4% | 0.03× | 345.95 |
| 0-3 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 2.5% | 0.08× | 471.32 |
| 0-4 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 0.20× | 470.62 |
| 2-0 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 6.5% | 0.03× | 486.80 |
| 1-0 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 8.8% | 0.02× | 615.53 |
| 0-2 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 5.3% | 0.03× | 629.37 |
| 0-1 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 7.0% | 0.02× | 659.67 |
| 0-0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.8% | 0.00× | 10,000.00 |
DNB half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas City Royals leading at HT (DNB) | 59.1% | 59.1% | 56.8% | 1.04× | 1.69 |
| Miami Marlins leading at HT (DNB) | 40.9% | 40.9% | 43.2% | 0.95× | 2.45 |
Double chance 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas City Royals or Miami Marlins (12) | 86.1% | 86.1% | 73.7% | 1.17× | 1.16 |
| Kansas City Royals or draw (1X) | 64.1% | 64.1% | 68.8% | 0.93× | 1.56 |
| Miami Marlins or draw (X2) | 49.8% | 49.8% | 57.4% | 0.87× | 2.01 |
Double chance 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas City Royals or draw (1UP) | 77.5% | 77.5% | 74.6% | 1.04× | 1.29 |
| Miami Marlins or draw (1UP) | 68.4% | 68.4% | 64.5% | 1.06× | 1.46 |
Draw no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas City Royals (DNB) | 58.3% | 58.3% | 57.7% | 1.01× | 1.72 |
| Miami Marlins (DNB) | 41.7% | 41.7% | 42.3% | 0.99× | 2.40 |
First goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas City Royals to score first | 53.2% | 53.2% | 50.2% | 1.06× | 1.88 |
| Miami Marlins to score first | 46.8% | 46.8% | 42.0% | 1.11× | 2.14 |
| No goal scored | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.8% | 0.00× | 10,000.00 |
GG/NG 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score | 97.0% | 97.0% | 54.0% | 1.80× | 1.03 |
| Not both teams to score | 3.0% | 3.0% | 46.0% | 0.07× | 33.09 |
GG/NG 2+ 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score 2+ | 85.3% | 85.3% | 15.5% | 5.49× | 1.17 |
| Not both teams to score 2+ | 14.7% | 14.7% | 84.5% | 0.17× | 6.81 |
GG/NG 2nd half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score in 2nd half | 83.9% | 83.9% | 29.1% | 2.89× | 1.19 |
| Not both to score in 2nd half | 16.1% | 16.1% | 70.9% | 0.23× | 6.21 |
GG/NG half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score by HT | 68.5% | 68.5% | 18.0% | 3.81× | 1.46 |
| Not both to score by HT | 31.5% | 31.5% | 82.0% | 0.38× | 3.17 |
Goal range 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7+ goals | 74.1% | 74.1% | 2.4% | 30.73× | 1.35 |
| 4-6 goals | 22.8% | 22.8% | 29.1% | 0.79× | 4.38 |
| 2-3 goals | 2.7% | 2.7% | 45.0% | 0.06× | 36.71 |
| 0-1 goals | 0.3% | 0.3% | 23.6% | 0.01× | 318.42 |
Goals away 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miami Marlins to score 3+ | 75.9% | 75.9% | 13.9% | 5.46× | 1.32 |
| Miami Marlins to score exactly 2 | 14.8% | 14.8% | 22.3% | 0.66× | 6.76 |
| Miami Marlins to score exactly 1 | 7.4% | 7.4% | 34.3% | 0.22× | 13.54 |
| Miami Marlins to score exactly 0 | 1.9% | 1.9% | 29.6% | 0.06× | 52.74 |
Goals home 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas City Royals to score 3+ | 82.8% | 82.8% | 20.8% | 3.98× | 1.21 |
| Kansas City Royals to score exactly 2 | 11.1% | 11.1% | 23.6% | 0.47× | 8.98 |
| Kansas City Royals to score exactly 1 | 4.9% | 4.9% | 31.4% | 0.16× | 20.45 |
| Kansas City Royals to score exactly 0 | 1.1% | 1.1% | 24.2% | 0.05× | 88.81 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas City Royals leading at HT | 46.2% | 46.2% | 33.2% | 1.39× | 2.17 |
| Miami Marlins leading at HT | 31.9% | 31.9% | 25.3% | 1.26× | 3.13 |
| Draw at HT | 21.9% | 21.9% | 41.5% | 0.53× | 4.57 |
Handicap 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas City Royals -1: 2 | 49.8% | 49.8% | — | — | 2.01 |
| Kansas City Royals -1: 1 | 36.1% | 36.1% | — | — | 2.77 |
| Kansas City Royals -1: X | 14.1% | 14.1% | — | — | 7.09 |
Handicap 0:1 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miami Marlins (0:1) | 49.8% | 49.8% | 57.4% | 0.87× | 2.01 |
| Kansas City Royals (0:1) | 36.1% | 36.1% | 21.9% | 1.65× | 2.77 |
| Draw (0:1) | 14.1% | 14.1% | 20.7% | 0.68× | 7.09 |
Handicap 0:2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miami Marlins (0:2) | 63.9% | 63.9% | 78.1% | 0.82× | 1.57 |
| Kansas City Royals (0:2) | 23.7% | 23.7% | 9.7% | 2.44× | 4.21 |
| Draw (0:2) | 12.4% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 1.02× | 8.09 |
Handicap 0:3 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miami Marlins (0:3) | 76.3% | 76.3% | 90.3% | 0.85× | 1.31 |
| Kansas City Royals (0:3) | 14.1% | 14.1% | 3.7% | 3.78× | 7.08 |
| Draw (0:3) | 9.6% | 9.6% | 6.0% | 1.59× | 10.41 |
Handicap 0:4 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miami Marlins (0:4) | 85.9% | 85.9% | 96.3% | 0.89× | 1.17 |
| Kansas City Royals (0:4) | 7.6% | 7.6% | 1.2% | 6.53× | 13.24 |
| Draw (0:4) | 6.6% | 6.6% | 2.6% | 2.52× | 15.20 |
Handicap 1:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas City Royals (1:0) | 64.1% | 64.1% | 68.8% | 0.93× | 1.56 |
| Miami Marlins (1:0) | 23.5% | 23.5% | 14.5% | 1.62× | 4.26 |
| Draw (1:0) | 12.4% | 12.4% | 16.7% | 0.74× | 8.07 |
Handicap 2:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas City Royals (2:0) | 76.5% | 76.5% | 85.5% | 0.90× | 1.31 |
| Miami Marlins (2:0) | 13.9% | 13.9% | 5.9% | 2.37× | 7.17 |
| Draw (2:0) | 9.5% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 1.10× | 10.48 |
Highest scoring half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half highest scoring | 61.8% | 61.8% | 47.5% | 1.30× | 1.62 |
| 1st half highest scoring | 25.6% | 25.6% | 25.7% | 0.99× | 3.91 |
| Halves equal | 12.7% | 12.7% | 26.7% | 0.47× | 7.89 |
Home no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miami Marlins (home no bet) | 72.0% | 72.0% | 54.3% | 1.33× | 1.39 |
| Draw (home no bet) | 28.0% | 28.0% | 45.7% | 0.61× | 3.58 |
HT correct score 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Any other HT score | 45.8% | 45.8% | 4.7% | 9.86× | 2.18 |
| HT 1-1 | 8.9% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 0.89× | 11.18 |
| HT 2-1 | 8.8% | 8.8% | 3.2% | 2.79× | 11.40 |
| HT 1-2 | 7.2% | 7.2% | 2.7% | 2.70× | 13.93 |
| HT 2-2 | 7.0% | 7.0% | 0.9% | 8.16× | 14.22 |
| HT 1-0 | 5.6% | 5.6% | 20.3% | 0.28× | 17.84 |
| HT 2-0 | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 0.78× | 18.26 |
| HT 0-1 | 4.6% | 4.6% | 16.1% | 0.29× | 21.80 |
| HT 0-2 | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 0.77× | 27.28 |
| HT 0-0 | 2.9% | 2.9% | 30.7% | 0.09× | 34.54 |
HT/FT 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas City Royals at HT / Kansas City Royals at FT | 34.7% | 34.7% | 25.3% | 1.37× | 2.88 |
| Miami Marlins at HT / Miami Marlins at FT | 21.6% | 21.6% | 17.0% | 1.27× | 4.63 |
| Draw at HT / Kansas City Royals at FT | 9.6% | 9.6% | 14.4% | 0.67× | 10.42 |
| Draw at HT / Miami Marlins at FT | 8.2% | 8.2% | 11.4% | 0.72× | 12.17 |
| Kansas City Royals at HT / Miami Marlins at FT | 6.1% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 2.13× | 16.45 |
| Miami Marlins at HT / Kansas City Royals at FT | 5.9% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 2.04× | 17.01 |
| Kansas City Royals at HT / Draw at FT | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 1.06× | 18.57 |
| Miami Marlins at HT / Draw at FT | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 0.82× | 22.31 |
| Draw at HT / Draw at FT | 4.1% | 4.1% | 15.8% | 0.26× | 24.67 |
Last goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas City Royals to score last | 53.1% | 53.1% | 50.3% | 1.05× | 1.88 |
| Miami Marlins to score last | 46.9% | 46.9% | 41.9% | 1.12× | 2.13 |
| No goal scored | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.8% | 0.00× | 10,000.00 |
Lead at any time 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to lead by 1 at any time | 100.0% | 100.0% | 92.2% | 1.08× | 1.00 |
| Either team to lead by 2 at any time | 89.7% | 89.7% | 47.3% | 1.90× | 1.12 |
| Kansas City Royals to lead by 1 at any time | 77.5% | 77.5% | 58.7% | 1.32× | 1.29 |
| Miami Marlins to lead by 1 at any time | 68.4% | 68.4% | 49.3% | 1.39× | 1.46 |
| Either team to lead by 3 at any time | 59.0% | 59.0% | 19.0% | 3.10× | 1.69 |
| Kansas City Royals to lead by 2 at any time | 54.8% | 54.8% | 27.8% | 1.97× | 1.83 |
| Miami Marlins to lead by 2 at any time | 42.5% | 42.5% | 19.9% | 2.14× | 2.35 |
| Kansas City Royals to lead by 3 at any time | 35.3% | 35.3% | 11.9% | 2.97× | 2.83 |
| Miami Marlins to lead by 3 at any time | 24.1% | 24.1% | 7.2% | 3.35× | 4.15 |
Multi goal 15
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7+ goals | 74.1% | 74.1% | 2.4% | 30.73× | 1.35 |
| 2-6 goals | 25.6% | 25.6% | 74.0% | 0.35× | 3.91 |
| 3-6 goals | 24.9% | 24.9% | 50.9% | 0.49× | 4.01 |
| 4-6 goals | 22.8% | 22.8% | 29.1% | 0.79× | 4.38 |
| 5-6 goals | 18.4% | 18.4% | 13.1% | 1.41× | 5.43 |
| 1-5 goals | 15.1% | 15.1% | 85.7% | 0.18× | 6.64 |
| 2-5 goals | 14.7% | 14.7% | 69.9% | 0.21× | 6.78 |
| 3-5 goals | 14.1% | 14.1% | 46.8% | 0.30× | 7.10 |
| 4-5 goals | 12.0% | 12.0% | 25.0% | 0.48× | 8.32 |
| 1-4 goals | 7.5% | 7.5% | 76.8% | 0.10× | 13.39 |
| 2-4 goals | 7.2% | 7.2% | 61.0% | 0.12× | 13.97 |
| 3-4 goals | 6.5% | 6.5% | 37.8% | 0.17× | 15.38 |
| 1-3 goals | 3.0% | 3.0% | 60.8% | 0.05× | 32.92 |
| 2-3 goals | 2.7% | 2.7% | 45.0% | 0.06× | 36.71 |
| 1-2 goals | 1.0% | 1.0% | 39.0% | 0.02× | 103.37 |
Never down 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas City Royals never behind | 31.6% | 31.6% | 50.7% | 0.62× | 3.16 |
| Miami Marlins never behind | 22.5% | 22.5% | 41.3% | 0.55× | 4.44 |
Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odd number of goals | 50.1% | 50.1% | 48.5% | 1.03× | 2.00 |
| Even number of goals | 49.9% | 49.9% | 51.6% | 0.97× | 2.01 |
Odd/Even 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 1st half | 50.0% | 50.0% | 54.6% | 0.92× | 2.00 |
| Odd goals in 1st half | 50.0% | 50.0% | 45.4% | 1.10× | 2.00 |
Odd/Even 2HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odd goals in 2nd half | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.9% | 1.04× | 2.00 |
| Even goals in 2nd half | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.1% | 0.96× | 2.00 |
Over/Under 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 100.0% | 100.0% | 92.2% | 1.08× | 1.00 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 99.7% | 99.7% | 76.4% | 1.30× | 1.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 99.0% | 99.0% | 53.3% | 1.86× | 1.01 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 97.0% | 97.0% | 31.5% | 3.08× | 1.03 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 92.5% | 92.5% | 15.5% | 5.98× | 1.08 |
| Over 5.5 goals | 84.9% | 84.9% | 6.5% | 12.98× | 1.18 |
| Under 5.5 goals | 15.1% | 15.1% | 93.5% | 0.16× | 6.64 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 7.5% | 7.5% | 84.5% | 0.09× | 13.39 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 3.0% | 3.0% | 68.5% | 0.04× | 32.92 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.0% | 1.0% | 46.7% | 0.02× | 103.37 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 0.3% | 0.3% | 23.6% | 0.01× | 318.42 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.8% | 0.00× | 10,000.00 |
Over/Under (whole line) 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2 (void on exactly 2) | 99.7% | 99.7% | 69.3% | 1.44× | 1.00 |
| Over 3 (void on exactly 3) | 99.0% | 99.0% | 40.2% | 2.46× | 1.01 |
| Over 4 (void on exactly 4) | 96.8% | 96.8% | 18.4% | 5.26× | 1.03 |
| Over 5 (void on exactly 5) | 91.9% | 91.9% | 7.2% | 12.79× | 1.09 |
| Over 6 (void on exactly 6) | 83.1% | 83.1% | 2.5% | 33.04× | 1.20 |
| Under 6 (void on exactly 6) | 16.9% | 16.9% | 97.5% | 0.17× | 5.92 |
| Under 5 (void on exactly 5) | 8.1% | 8.1% | 92.8% | 0.09× | 12.37 |
| Under 4 (void on exactly 4) | 3.2% | 3.2% | 81.6% | 0.04× | 31.46 |
| Under 3 (void on exactly 3) | 1.0% | 1.0% | 59.8% | 0.02× | 101.23 |
| Under 2 (void on exactly 2) | 0.3% | 0.3% | 30.7% | 0.01× | 316.34 |
Score both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas City Royals to score in both halves | 79.3% | 79.3% | 28.9% | 2.74× | 1.26 |
| Miami Marlins to score in both halves | 72.5% | 72.5% | 21.9% | 3.30× | 1.38 |
| Miami Marlins not to score in both halves | 27.5% | 27.5% | 78.1% | 0.35× | 3.64 |
| Kansas City Royals not to score in both halves | 20.7% | 20.7% | 71.1% | 0.29× | 4.83 |
Teams to score 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams score | 97.0% | 97.0% | 54.0% | 1.80× | 1.03 |
| Only Kansas City Royals scores | 1.9% | 1.9% | 21.8% | 0.09× | 52.74 |
| Only Miami Marlins scores | 1.1% | 1.1% | 16.5% | 0.07× | 88.81 |
| Neither team scores | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.8% | 0.00× | 10,000.00 |
Total goals 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 or more goals | 84.9% | 84.9% | 6.5% | 12.98× | 1.18 |
| Exactly 5 goals | 7.6% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 0.85× | 13.18 |
| Exactly 4 goals | 4.4% | 4.4% | 16.0% | 0.28× | 22.56 |
| Exactly 3 goals | 2.1% | 2.1% | 21.8% | 0.09× | 48.29 |
| Exactly 2 goals | 0.7% | 0.7% | 23.2% | 0.03× | 153.05 |
| Exactly 1 goals | 0.3% | 0.3% | 15.8% | 0.02× | 318.42 |
| Exactly 0 goals | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.8% | 0.00× | 10,000.00 |
Total goals 2nd half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2+ goals in 2nd half | 95.8% | 95.8% | 48.7% | 1.97× | 1.04 |
| 1 goal in 2nd half | 3.5% | 3.5% | 32.0% | 0.11× | 28.44 |
| No goals in 2nd half | 0.7% | 0.7% | 19.3% | 0.04× | 138.70 |
Win both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miami Marlins not to win both halves | 88.0% | 88.0% | 92.0% | 0.96× | 1.14 |
| Kansas City Royals not to win both halves | 79.8% | 79.8% | 87.0% | 0.92× | 1.25 |
| Kansas City Royals to win both halves | 20.2% | 20.2% | 13.0% | 1.56× | 4.95 |
| Miami Marlins to win both halves | 12.0% | 12.0% | 8.0% | 1.49× | 8.37 |
Winning margin 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas City Royals by 3+ | 23.7% | 23.7% | 9.7% | 2.44× | 4.21 |
| Kansas City Royals by 1 | 14.1% | 14.1% | 20.7% | 0.68× | 7.09 |
| Miami Marlins by 3+ | 13.9% | 13.9% | 5.9% | 2.37× | 7.17 |
| Draw | 13.9% | 13.9% | 26.3% | 0.53× | 7.18 |
| Miami Marlins by 1 | 12.4% | 12.4% | 16.7% | 0.74× | 8.07 |
| Kansas City Royals by 2 | 12.4% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 1.02× | 8.09 |
| Miami Marlins by 2 | 9.5% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 1.10× | 10.48 |