1. FC Magdeburg v 1. FC Nürnberg — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 12 December 2026 · GER-2. Bundesliga · 2627

GER-2. Bundesliga results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

1. FC Magdeburg

20:00 UTC

1. FC Nürnberg

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 24 Oct, 10:57 · 1,185h before kick-off

1. FC Magdeburg win

41.7%

model 40.2%

Draw

22.0%

model 23.6%

1. FC Nürnberg win

36.3%

model 36.2%

422236

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (624 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 10.2%
2-1 8.5%
1-2 8.0%
2-2 6.9%
1-0 5.6%

Goals

Over 2.5	65.2%	Under 2.5	34.8%
BTTS yes	66.5%	BTTS no	33.5%
1. FC Magdeburg 1+	82.2%	1. FC Magdeburg 2+	51.5%
1. FC Nürnberg 1+	80.4%	1. FC Nürnberg 2+	48.5%

Expected goals 1.73 – 1.63. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

21/100

Data quality

55/100

Model agreement

96%

★ Best pick

Over 3 (void on exactly 3)

Over/Under (whole line) · usually 46%

55.7% fair odds 1.79

moderate signal · 764 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Under 2.5 in 1st half

Over/Under 1HT

84.0% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 388 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

Data quality is 55/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
The model's measured edge in this competition is 0.0032 nats, which is not meaningfully better than the base rates.

Why the model thinks this

The price

1. FC Magdeburg have an estimated 41.7% win probability, against 36.3% for 1. FC Nürnberg and 22.0% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.73 for 1. FC Magdeburg and 1.63 for 1. FC Nürnberg.

Why 1. FC Magdeburg

Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 22.0%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.73 to 1.63. Draws run at 26% in this competition.

Why 1. FC Nürnberg can win

1. FC Nürnberg carry the stronger rating, 1590 Elo against 1510. Form is good: 2.60 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for 1. FC Magdeburg, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for 1. FC Nürnberg, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

1. FC Magdeburg: 51% possession, 14.0 shots a match, 14.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. 1. FC Nürnberg: 55% possession, 17.8 shots a match, 15.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-24 13:59 · team_stats 2026-10-24 06:04 · availability 2026-10-24 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

1. FC Magdeburg are the model's most likely outcome at 41.7%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 10.2%. Confidence 21/100, data quality 55/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

333 sports channels, playing now →

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	402436	1.73–1.63	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	452333	1.91–1.61	1-1 9%	68%	69%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1. FC Magdeburg to win	44.6%	43.0%	43.2%	0.99×	2.33
1. FC Nürnberg to win	32.7%	30.4%	31.0%	0.98×	3.29
Draw	22.7%	24.4%	26.0%	0.94×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1. FC Magdeburg & both teams score	28.0%	25.2%	22.3%	1.13×	3.97
1. FC Nürnberg & both teams score	21.1%	21.8%	18.0%	1.21×	4.59
Draw & both teams score	19.4%	18.0%	19.8%	0.91×	5.56
1. FC Magdeburg & not both score	16.6%	18.0%	21.1%	0.85×	5.57
1. FC Nürnberg & not both score	11.5%	13.3%	13.2%	1.01×	7.54
Draw & not both score	3.3%	4.9%	6.3%	0.76×	20.60

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1. FC Magdeburg & over 1.5	39.3%	34.9%	34.5%	1.01×	2.87
1. FC Magdeburg & over 2.5	34.0%	30.8%	28.0%	1.10×	3.25
1. FC Nürnberg & over 1.5	28.3%	26.1%	25.7%	1.01×	3.84
1. FC Nürnberg & over 2.5	24.4%	21.6%	22.0%	0.98×	4.63
1. FC Magdeburg & under 3.5	22.8%	21.6%	28.0%	0.77×	4.63
1. FC Magdeburg & over 3.5	21.9%	21.6%	15.3%	1.41×	4.63
Draw & over 1.5	19.4%	18.0%	19.8%	0.91×	5.56
1. FC Nürnberg & under 3.5	17.7%	18.0%	20.9%	0.86×	5.56
1. FC Nürnberg & over 3.5	15.0%	12.8%	10.2%	1.26×	7.79
Draw & under 2.5	12.8%	12.8%	16.9%	0.76×	7.79
Draw & under 3.5	12.8%	12.8%	16.9%	0.76×	7.79
1. FC Magdeburg & under 2.5	10.7%	12.8%	15.3%	0.84×	7.79
Draw & over 2.5	9.9%	7.9%	9.3%	0.85×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	9.9%	7.9%	9.3%	0.85×	12.63
1. FC Nürnberg & under 2.5	8.3%	7.9%	9.1%	0.87×	12.63
1. FC Magdeburg & under 1.5	5.3%	7.9%	8.8%	0.90×	12.63
1. FC Nürnberg & under 1.5	4.4%	4.8%	5.4%	0.89×	20.81
Draw & under 1.5	3.3%	4.8%	6.3%	0.76×	20.82

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1. FC Magdeburg (1UP)	63.7%	62.9%	—	—	1.59
1. FC Nürnberg (1UP)	53.9%	52.7%	—	—	1.90

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1. FC Magdeburg (2UP)	44.6%	47.3%	—	—	2.12
1. FC Nürnberg (2UP)	32.7%	30.5%	—	—	3.28

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1. FC Magdeburg to win 2nd half	37.8%	36.0%	—	—	2.78
1. FC Nürnberg to win 2nd half	31.7%	34.3%	—	—	2.91
2nd half drawn	30.5%	34.3%	—	—	2.92

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1. FC Nürnberg under 1.5 in 2nd half	74.7%	75.5%	—	—	1.32
1. FC Nürnberg over 0.5 in 2nd half	62.0%	60.2%	—	—	1.66
1. FC Nürnberg under 0.5 in 2nd half	38.0%	39.8%	—	—	2.51
1. FC Nürnberg over 1.5 in 2nd half	25.3%	24.5%	—	—	4.09

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1. FC Magdeburg under 1.5 in 2nd half	70.4%	73.9%	—	—	1.35
1. FC Magdeburg over 0.5 in 2nd half	66.3%	70.5%	—	—	1.42
1. FC Magdeburg under 0.5 in 2nd half	33.7%	29.5%	—	—	3.40
1. FC Magdeburg over 1.5 in 2nd half	29.6%	26.1%	—	—	3.83

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1. FC Nürnberg (+2.5)	88.6%	88.5%	90.6%	0.98×	1.13
1. FC Nürnberg (+1.5)	75.1%	78.5%	77.7%	1.01×	1.27
1. FC Magdeburg (+0.5)	67.3%	68.7%	69.0%	0.99×	1.46
1. FC Nürnberg (+0.5)	55.4%	57.0%	56.8%	1.00×	1.75
1. FC Magdeburg (-0.5)	44.6%	43.0%	43.2%	1.00×	2.33
1. FC Nürnberg (-0.5)	32.7%	31.3%	31.0%	1.01×	3.19
1. FC Magdeburg (-1.5)	24.9%	21.5%	22.3%	0.97×	4.65
1. FC Magdeburg (-2.5)	11.4%	11.5%	9.4%	1.22×	8.67

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1. FC Nürnberg to concede	85.1%	86.2%	80.7%	1.07×	1.16
1. FC Nürnberg clean sheet	14.9%	13.8%	19.4%	0.71×	7.27

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1. FC Nürnberg to concede in 1st half	56.0%	57.0%	—	—	1.76
1. FC Nürnberg clean sheet in 1st half	44.0%	43.0%	—	—	2.32

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1. FC Nürnberg to concede in 2nd half	66.3%	65.6%	—	—	1.52
1. FC Nürnberg clean sheet in 2nd half	33.7%	34.4%	—	—	2.91

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1. FC Nürnberg under 6.5 corners	81.8%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
1. FC Nürnberg over 2.5 corners	76.2%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
1. FC Nürnberg under 5.5 corners	71.1%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
1. FC Nürnberg over 3.5 corners	59.6%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
1. FC Nürnberg under 4.5 corners	57.0%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
1. FC Nürnberg over 4.5 corners	43.0%	42.8%	—	—	2.33
1. FC Nürnberg under 3.5 corners	40.4%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
1. FC Nürnberg over 5.5 corners	28.9%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
1. FC Nürnberg under 2.5 corners	23.8%	24.0%	—	—	4.17
1. FC Nürnberg over 6.5 corners	18.2%	18.6%	—	—	5.38

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1. FC Nürnberg under 3.5 goals	91.9%	92.3%	94.6%	0.98×	1.08
1. FC Nürnberg over 0.5 goals	80.1%	81.4%	72.8%	1.12×	1.23
1. FC Nürnberg under 2.5 goals	78.0%	76.3%	83.7%	0.91×	1.31
1. FC Nürnberg under 1.5 goals	52.0%	53.5%	60.4%	0.89×	1.87
1. FC Nürnberg over 1.5 goals	48.0%	46.5%	39.6%	1.17×	2.15
1. FC Nürnberg over 2.5 goals	22.0%	23.7%	16.3%	1.46×	4.21
1. FC Nürnberg under 0.5 goals	19.9%	18.6%	27.2%	0.68×	5.39
1. FC Nürnberg over 3.5 goals	8.1%	7.7%	5.4%	1.41×	13.05

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1. FC Nürnberg under 1.5 in 1st half	86.3%	89.1%	—	—	1.12
1. FC Nürnberg under 0.5 in 1st half	52.4%	55.7%	—	—	1.80
1. FC Nürnberg over 0.5 in 1st half	47.6%	44.3%	—	—	2.26
1. FC Nürnberg over 1.5 in 1st half	13.7%	10.9%	—	—	9.18

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1. FC Nürnberg scores more in 2nd half	41.9%	43.7%	—	—	2.29
1. FC Nürnberg scores equally in both	34.4%	33.5%	—	—	2.99
1. FC Nürnberg scores more in 1st half	23.6%	22.1%	—	—	4.52

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1. FC Magdeburg (away no bet)	66.3%	66.4%	62.4%	1.06×	1.51
Draw (away no bet)	33.7%	33.6%	37.6%	0.89×	2.97

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1. FC Nürnberg even goals	52.0%	52.6%	54.0%	0.97×	1.90
1. FC Nürnberg odd goals	48.0%	47.4%	46.0%	1.03×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	73.8%	76.8%	—	—	1.30
Both halves over 1.5 goals	26.2%	23.2%	—	—	4.31

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	77.9%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Both halves under 1.5 goals	22.1%	27.5%	—	—	3.63

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	68.7%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
1. FC Magdeburg to score 2+ in a row	45.2%	46.0%	—	—	2.17
1. FC Nürnberg to score 2+ in a row	35.6%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
Either team to score 3+ in a row	28.9%	25.2%	—	—	3.96
1. FC Magdeburg to score 3+ in a row	18.0%	16.3%	—	—	6.15
1. FC Nürnberg to score 3+ in a row	11.7%	12.0%	—	—	8.32

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1. FC Magdeburg corners (+3.5)	88.9%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
1. FC Magdeburg corners (+2.5)	82.7%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
1. FC Nürnberg corners (+3.5)	77.1%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
1. FC Magdeburg corners (+1.5)	74.6%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
1. FC Nürnberg corners (+2.5)	68.0%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
1. FC Nürnberg corners (+1.5)	57.5%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
1. FC Magdeburg corners (-1.5)	42.5%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
1. FC Magdeburg corners (-2.5)	32.0%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
1. FC Nürnberg corners (-1.5)	25.4%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
1. FC Magdeburg corners (-3.5)	22.9%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
1. FC Nürnberg corners (-2.5)	17.3%	20.2%	—	—	4.94
1. FC Nürnberg corners (-3.5)	11.1%	15.5%	—	—	6.45

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	41.2%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
9-11 corners	30.5%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
12+ corners	28.3%	31.2%	—	—	3.21

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	79.3%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 11.5 corners	71.7%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Over 7.5 corners	69.6%	67.8%	—	—	1.47
Under 10.5 corners	62.5%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Over 8.5 corners	58.8%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 9.5 corners	52.2%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 9.5 corners	47.8%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Under 8.5 corners	41.2%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Over 10.5 corners	37.5%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Under 7.5 corners	30.4%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Over 11.5 corners	28.3%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 12.5 corners	20.7%	23.4%	—	—	4.28

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	9.5%	7.4%	10.7%	0.69×	13.50
2-1	8.7%	7.4%	9.0%	0.82×	13.51
Any other score	6.8%	7.4%	5.4%	1.37×	13.51
1-2	7.3%	7.4%	9.0%	0.82×	13.51
2-2	7.0%	7.4%	7.3%	1.02×	13.51
1-0	5.3%	7.4%	8.8%	0.84×	13.51
2-0	5.4%	7.4%	6.7%	1.11×	13.51
3-1	5.5%	7.4%	5.4%	1.37×	13.51
3-4	1.0%	1.7%	0.9%	1.85×	58.31
4-0	1.6%	1.7%	0.9%	1.85×	58.31
4-1	2.6%	1.7%	2.0%	0.85×	58.30
4-2	2.1%	1.7%	0.8%	2.22×	58.31
4-3	1.1%	1.7%	0.6%	2.77×	58.31
4-4	0.5%	1.7%	0.3%	5.54×	58.32
0-0	3.3%	1.7%	6.3%	0.27×	58.30
0-1	4.4%	1.7%	5.4%	0.32×	58.29
0-2	3.9%	1.7%	3.9%	0.44×	58.30
0-3	2.1%	1.7%	3.1%	0.55×	58.31
0-4	0.8%	1.7%	1.1%	1.58×	58.31
1-3	4.0%	1.7%	2.5%	0.69×	58.30
1-4	1.6%	1.7%	0.9%	1.85×	58.31
2-3	3.8%	1.7%	2.8%	0.62×	58.30
2-4	1.5%	1.7%	0.8%	2.22×	58.31
3-0	3.4%	1.7%	4.0%	0.43×	58.30
3-2	4.5%	1.7%	3.1%	0.55×	58.29
3-3	2.4%	1.7%	2.0%	0.85×	58.31

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1. FC Magdeburg (2nd half DNB)	54.4%	53.0%	—	—	1.89
1. FC Nürnberg (2nd half DNB)	45.6%	47.0%	—	—	2.13

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1. FC Magdeburg leading at HT (DNB)	58.2%	57.3%	—	—	1.75
1. FC Nürnberg leading at HT (DNB)	41.8%	42.7%	—	—	2.34

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1. FC Magdeburg or 1. FC Nürnberg (12)	77.3%	75.6%	74.0%	1.02×	1.32
1. FC Magdeburg or draw (1X)	67.3%	69.6%	69.0%	1.01×	1.44
1. FC Nürnberg or draw (X2)	55.4%	57.0%	56.8%	1.00×	1.75

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1. FC Magdeburg or draw at HT	73.7%	74.9%	—	—	1.33
1. FC Nürnberg or draw at HT	63.4%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
1. FC Magdeburg or 1. FC Nürnberg at HT	62.8%	61.4%	—	—	1.63

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1. FC Magdeburg or draw (1UP)	67.3%	76.2%	—	—	1.31
1. FC Nürnberg or draw (1UP)	55.4%	62.9%	—	—	1.59

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1. FC Magdeburg or 1. FC Nürnberg in 2nd half	69.5%	65.7%	—	—	1.52
1. FC Magdeburg or draw in 2nd half	68.3%	65.7%	—	—	1.52
1. FC Nürnberg or draw in 2nd half	62.2%	64.0%	—	—	1.56

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	55.9%	58.4%	—	—	1.71
Neither half drawn	44.1%	41.6%	—	—	2.40

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1. FC Magdeburg (DNB)	57.7%	58.1%	58.2%	1.00×	1.72
1. FC Nürnberg (DNB)	42.3%	41.9%	41.8%	1.00×	2.39

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1. FC Magdeburg to score first	52.4%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
1. FC Nürnberg to score first	44.3%	41.8%	—	—	2.39
No goal scored	3.3%	4.3%	—	—	23.42

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	68.6%	58.5%	59.8%	0.98×	1.71
Not both teams to score	31.4%	41.5%	40.2%	1.03×	2.41

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	59.1%	47.6%	49.2%	0.97×	2.10
Not both score & under 2.5	22.2%	27.8%	30.5%	0.91×	3.60
Both score & under 2.5	9.5%	8.3%	10.7%	0.78×	12.06
Not both score & over 2.5	9.2%	8.3%	9.9%	0.84×	12.06

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	72.8%	80.5%	80.5%	1.00×	1.24
Both teams to score 2+	27.2%	19.5%	19.5%	1.00×	5.14

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	58.8%	65.2%	—	—	1.53
Both teams to score in 2nd half	41.2%	34.8%	—	—	2.88

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	43.0%	50.5%	—	—	1.98
Both score 2nd half only	30.3%	26.9%	—	—	3.71
Both score 1st half only	15.7%	14.9%	—	—	6.71
Both score in both halves	10.9%	10.7%	—	—	9.33

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	73.3%	79.5%	—	—	1.26
Both teams to score by HT	26.7%	20.5%	—	—	4.89

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	67.2%	66.1%	—	—	1.51
A half without a goal	32.8%	33.9%	—	—	2.95

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	40.2%	42.1%	45.4%	0.93×	2.38
4-6 goals	40.1%	42.1%	30.5%	1.38×	2.38
0-1 goals	13.0%	16.9%	20.3%	0.83×	5.91
7+ goals	6.7%	7.6%	4.2%	1.82×	13.14

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1. FC Nürnberg to score exactly 1	32.1%	33.8%	33.3%	1.02×	2.96
1. FC Nürnberg to score exactly 2	25.9%	27.4%	23.5%	1.16×	3.66
1. FC Nürnberg to score 3+	22.0%	22.3%	16.3%	1.37×	4.49
1. FC Nürnberg to score exactly 0	19.9%	19.6%	27.2%	0.72×	5.11

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1. FC Magdeburg to score 3+	29.8%	26.6%	22.6%	1.18×	3.77
1. FC Magdeburg to score exactly 1	28.3%	26.6%	31.7%	0.84×	3.77
1. FC Magdeburg to score exactly 2	27.0%	26.5%	26.6%	1.00×	3.77
1. FC Magdeburg to score exactly 0	14.9%	14.3%	19.4%	0.74×	6.98

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	37.2%	38.6%	—	—	2.59
1. FC Magdeburg leading at HT	36.6%	38.6%	—	—	2.59
1. FC Nürnberg leading at HT	26.3%	25.1%	—	—	3.99

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1. FC Magdeburg -1: 2	55.4%	56.7%	—	—	1.76
1. FC Magdeburg -1: 1	24.9%	23.5%	—	—	4.25
1. FC Magdeburg -1: X	19.7%	17.5%	—	—	5.70

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1. FC Nürnberg (0:1)	55.4%	55.8%	56.8%	0.98×	1.79
1. FC Magdeburg (0:1)	24.9%	24.2%	22.3%	1.09×	4.13
Draw (0:1)	19.7%	17.8%	21.1%	0.85×	5.61

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1. FC Nürnberg (0:2)	75.1%	79.3%	77.7%	1.02×	1.26
Draw (0:2)	13.5%	11.0%	13.0%	0.85×	9.09
1. FC Magdeburg (0:2)	11.4%	11.0%	9.4%	1.16×	9.10

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1. FC Nürnberg (0:3)	88.6%	90.7%	90.6%	1.00×	1.10
Draw (0:3)	7.0%	5.8%	6.0%	0.96×	17.22
1. FC Magdeburg (0:3)	4.3%	2.4%	3.6%	0.67×	42.02

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1. FC Nürnberg (0:4)	95.7%	98.1%	96.4%	1.02×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	2.9%	1.2%	2.0%	0.61×	81.78
1. FC Magdeburg (0:4)	1.4%	1.2%	1.7%	0.72×	81.95

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1. FC Magdeburg (1:0)	67.3%	70.1%	69.0%	1.02×	1.43
Draw (1:0)	16.7%	17.1%	18.0%	0.95×	5.85
1. FC Nürnberg (1:0)	16.0%	17.1%	13.2%	1.30×	5.85

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1. FC Magdeburg (2:0)	84.0%	84.6%	86.8%	0.97×	1.18
Draw (2:0)	9.7%	6.4%	7.1%	0.90×	15.66
1. FC Nürnberg (2:0)	6.3%	6.4%	6.2%	1.03×	15.70

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	51.0%	50.3%	—	—	1.99
1st half highest scoring	27.2%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
Halves equal	21.8%	24.4%	—	—	4.09

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1. FC Magdeburg to concede	80.1%	80.8%	72.8%	1.11×	1.24
1. FC Magdeburg clean sheet	19.9%	19.2%	27.2%	0.70×	5.21

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1. FC Magdeburg clean sheet in 1st half	52.4%	55.7%	—	—	1.80
1. FC Magdeburg to concede in 1st half	47.6%	44.3%	—	—	2.26

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1. FC Magdeburg to concede in 2nd half	62.0%	59.8%	—	—	1.67
1. FC Magdeburg clean sheet in 2nd half	38.0%	40.2%	—	—	2.49

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1. FC Magdeburg over 2.5 corners	84.5%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
1. FC Magdeburg over 3.5 corners	71.3%	71.8%	—	—	1.39
1. FC Magdeburg under 6.5 corners	70.8%	71.8%	—	—	1.39
1. FC Magdeburg under 5.5 corners	58.2%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
1. FC Magdeburg over 4.5 corners	56.3%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
1. FC Magdeburg under 4.5 corners	43.7%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
1. FC Magdeburg over 5.5 corners	41.8%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
1. FC Magdeburg over 6.5 corners	29.2%	28.2%	—	—	3.55
1. FC Magdeburg under 3.5 corners	28.7%	28.2%	—	—	3.55
1. FC Magdeburg under 2.5 corners	15.5%	19.0%	—	—	5.25

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1. FC Magdeburg under 3.5 goals	87.4%	87.3%	92.4%	0.94×	1.15
1. FC Magdeburg over 0.5 goals	85.1%	87.2%	80.7%	1.08×	1.15
1. FC Magdeburg under 2.5 goals	70.2%	74.2%	77.4%	0.96×	1.35
1. FC Magdeburg over 1.5 goals	56.8%	58.6%	49.1%	1.19×	1.71
1. FC Magdeburg under 1.5 goals	43.2%	41.4%	50.9%	0.81×	2.42
1. FC Magdeburg over 2.5 goals	29.8%	25.8%	22.6%	1.14×	3.88
1. FC Magdeburg under 0.5 goals	14.9%	12.8%	19.4%	0.66×	7.84
1. FC Magdeburg over 3.5 goals	12.6%	12.7%	7.6%	1.68×	7.85

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1. FC Magdeburg under 1.5 in 1st half	80.2%	83.8%	—	—	1.19
1. FC Magdeburg over 0.5 in 1st half	56.0%	56.7%	—	—	1.76
1. FC Magdeburg under 0.5 in 1st half	44.0%	43.3%	—	—	2.31
1. FC Magdeburg over 1.5 in 1st half	19.8%	16.2%	—	—	6.18

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1. FC Magdeburg scores more in 2nd half	41.4%	42.2%	—	—	2.37
1. FC Magdeburg scores equally in both	31.4%	33.1%	—	—	3.02
1. FC Magdeburg scores more in 1st half	27.2%	27.7%	—	—	3.61

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1. FC Nürnberg (home no bet)	59.0%	56.5%	54.3%	1.04×	1.77
Draw (home no bet)	41.0%	43.5%	45.7%	0.95×	2.30

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1. FC Magdeburg even goals	51.1%	50.7%	50.9%	1.00×	1.97
1. FC Magdeburg odd goals	48.9%	49.3%	49.1%	1.00×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	23.2%	24.4%	—	—	4.10
HT 1-0	18.9%	18.7%	—	—	5.36
HT 0-1	14.8%	11.0%	—	—	9.09
HT 1-1	12.3%	11.0%	—	—	9.11
HT 2-0	7.8%	6.9%	—	—	14.47
Any other HT score	7.7%	6.9%	—	—	14.47
HT 2-1	5.0%	6.9%	—	—	14.51
HT 0-2	4.8%	2.4%	—	—	41.98
HT 1-2	3.9%	2.4%	—	—	42.04
HT 2-2	1.6%	2.4%	—	—	42.19

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1. FC Magdeburg at HT / 1. FC Magdeburg at FT	27.6%	27.4%	—	—	3.65
1. FC Nürnberg at HT / 1. FC Nürnberg at FT	18.0%	16.8%	—	—	5.97
Draw at HT / 1. FC Magdeburg at FT	13.8%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	11.8%	12.6%	—	—	7.91
Draw at HT / 1. FC Nürnberg at FT	11.6%	12.6%	—	—	7.91
1. FC Magdeburg at HT / Draw at FT	5.9%	6.0%	—	—	16.65
1. FC Nürnberg at HT / Draw at FT	5.1%	6.0%	—	—	16.68
1. FC Nürnberg at HT / 1. FC Magdeburg at FT	3.2%	3.5%	—	—	28.67
1. FC Magdeburg at HT / 1. FC Nürnberg at FT	3.1%	3.5%	—	—	28.67

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1. FC Magdeburg to score last	52.4%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
1. FC Nürnberg to score last	44.3%	40.1%	—	—	2.49
No goal scored	3.3%	4.3%	—	—	23.42

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	96.7%	95.7%	—	—	1.05
1. FC Magdeburg to lead by 1 at any time	63.7%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	57.3%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
1. FC Nürnberg to lead by 1 at any time	53.9%	50.9%	—	—	1.97
1. FC Magdeburg to lead by 2 at any time	33.7%	29.9%	—	—	3.35
1. FC Nürnberg to lead by 2 at any time	24.2%	19.7%	—	—	5.08
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	23.8%	19.7%	—	—	5.08
1. FC Magdeburg to lead by 3 at any time	14.8%	10.5%	—	—	9.52
1. FC Nürnberg to lead by 3 at any time	9.0%	6.7%	—	—	14.84

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1. FC Magdeburg most corners	53.7%	51.7%	—	—	1.93
1. FC Nürnberg most corners	35.3%	39.3%	—	—	2.55
Corners level	11.0%	10.4%	—	—	9.58

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	82.2%	83.4%	84.7%	0.99×	1.20
2-6 goals	80.3%	83.4%	75.7%	1.10×	1.20
2-5 goals	72.5%	72.4%	70.7%	1.02×	1.38
1-4 goals	68.8%	68.8%	75.7%	0.91×	1.45
3-6 goals	61.6%	63.3%	55.0%	1.15×	1.58
2-4 goals	59.2%	59.1%	61.8%	0.96×	1.69
3-5 goals	53.8%	53.2%	50.0%	1.06×	1.88
1-3 goals	49.9%	48.5%	59.3%	0.82×	2.06
2-3 goals	40.2%	43.6%	45.4%	0.96×	2.30
3-4 goals	40.5%	43.6%	41.0%	1.06×	2.30
4-6 goals	40.1%	43.6%	30.5%	1.43×	2.30
4-5 goals	32.3%	35.2%	25.5%	1.38×	2.84
1-2 goals	28.4%	30.2%	34.8%	0.87×	3.31
5-6 goals	21.2%	24.5%	14.1%	1.74×	4.09
7+ goals	6.7%	8.9%	4.2%	2.12×	11.27

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1. FC Magdeburg never behind	42.8%	48.5%	—	—	2.06
1. FC Nürnberg never behind	33.0%	36.3%	—	—	2.76

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	49.2%	50.9%	50.6%	1.01×	1.96
Even number of goals	50.8%	49.1%	49.4%	0.99×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	52.8%	51.6%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	47.2%	48.4%	—	—	2.06

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	51.1%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half	48.9%	48.1%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	96.7%	95.4%	93.7%	1.02×	1.05
Over 1.5 goals	87.0%	87.6%	79.7%	1.10×	1.14
Under 5.5 goals	85.5%	87.6%	90.9%	0.96×	1.14
Under 4.5 goals	72.2%	72.5%	81.9%	0.88×	1.38
Over 2.5 goals	68.3%	66.3%	59.0%	1.12×	1.51
Under 3.5 goals	53.2%	52.5%	65.5%	0.80×	1.90
Over 3.5 goals	46.8%	47.5%	34.5%	1.38×	2.11
Under 2.5 goals	31.7%	33.7%	41.0%	0.82×	2.97
Over 4.5 goals	27.8%	27.5%	18.1%	1.52×	3.63
Over 5.5 goals	14.5%	12.4%	9.1%	1.36×	8.06
Under 1.5 goals	13.0%	12.4%	20.3%	0.61×	8.06
Under 0.5 goals	3.3%	4.6%	6.3%	0.72×	21.87

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	92.8%	92.4%	95.6%	0.97×	1.08
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	84.0%	81.1%	74.4%	1.09×	1.23
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	83.3%	81.1%	90.0%	0.90×	1.23
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	65.7%	67.4%	78.3%	0.86×	1.48
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	59.6%	55.8%	45.7%	1.22×	1.79
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	40.4%	44.2%	54.3%	0.81×	2.26
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	34.3%	32.6%	21.7%	1.50×	3.07
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	16.7%	18.9%	10.0%	1.88×	5.29
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	16.0%	18.9%	25.6%	0.74×	5.30
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	7.2%	7.6%	4.4%	1.73×	13.16

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	81.7%	85.7%	—	—	1.17
Over 0.5 in 1st half	76.8%	78.3%	—	—	1.28
Under 1.5 in 1st half	56.9%	63.7%	—	—	1.57
Over 1.5 in 1st half	43.1%	36.3%	—	—	2.76
Under 0.5 in 1st half	23.2%	21.7%	—	—	4.62
Over 2.5 in 1st half	18.3%	14.3%	—	—	7.02

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	87.1%	85.5%	—	—	1.17
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	66.2%	68.7%	—	—	1.46
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	61.0%	61.6%	—	—	1.62
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	39.0%	38.4%	—	—	2.60
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	33.8%	31.3%	—	—	3.20
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	12.9%	14.5%	—	—	6.88

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1. FC Nürnberg not to score in both halves	70.5%	73.8%	—	—	1.36
1. FC Magdeburg not to score in both halves	62.9%	63.5%	—	—	1.57
1. FC Magdeburg to score in both halves	37.1%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
1. FC Nürnberg to score in both halves	29.5%	26.2%	—	—	3.82

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	68.6%	60.0%	59.8%	1.00×	1.67
Only 1. FC Magdeburg scores	16.6%	16.0%	21.1%	0.76×	6.24
Only 1. FC Nürnberg scores	11.5%	11.0%	13.2%	0.84×	9.07
Neither team scores	3.3%	4.6%	6.3%	0.73×	21.71

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 3 goals	21.5%	22.6%	24.6%	0.92×	4.43
Exactly 4 goals	18.9%	17.5%	16.6%	1.05×	5.73
Exactly 2 goals	18.7%	17.5%	20.9%	0.84×	5.73
6 or more goals	14.5%	12.1%	9.1%	1.33×	8.24
Exactly 5 goals	13.3%	12.1%	9.1%	1.33×	8.25
Exactly 1 goals	9.7%	7.6%	14.1%	0.54×	13.13
Exactly 0 goals	3.3%	4.5%	6.3%	0.70×	22.39

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	33.7%	35.8%	—	—	2.79
2 goals in 1st half	24.9%	21.5%	—	—	4.65
No goals in 1st half	23.2%	21.5%	—	—	4.66
3+ goals in 1st half	18.3%	15.7%	—	—	6.38

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	61.0%	58.6%	—	—	1.71
1 goal in 2nd half	26.1%	29.2%	—	—	3.43
No goals in 2nd half	12.9%	14.3%	—	—	6.98

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1. FC Nürnberg not to win both halves	91.6%	94.1%	—	—	1.06
1. FC Magdeburg not to win both halves	86.1%	87.9%	—	—	1.14
1. FC Magdeburg to win both halves	13.9%	12.1%	—	—	8.27
1. FC Nürnberg to win both halves	8.4%	5.9%	—	—	16.92

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1. FC Magdeburg to win either half	60.5%	65.0%	—	—	1.54
1. FC Nürnberg to win neither half	50.4%	54.2%	—	—	1.85
1. FC Nürnberg to win either half	49.6%	45.8%	—	—	2.18
1. FC Magdeburg to win neither half	39.5%	35.0%	—	—	2.86

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1. FC Nürnberg not to win to nil	88.5%	88.1%	86.8%	1.01×	1.14
1. FC Magdeburg not to win to nil	83.4%	83.1%	78.9%	1.05×	1.20
1. FC Magdeburg to win to nil	16.6%	16.9%	21.1%	0.80×	5.92
1. FC Nürnberg to win to nil	11.5%	11.9%	13.2%	0.90×	8.42

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	22.7%	24.1%	26.0%	0.93×	4.15
1. FC Magdeburg by 1	19.7%	17.1%	21.1%	0.81×	5.86
1. FC Nürnberg by 1	16.7%	17.0%	18.0%	0.95×	5.87
1. FC Magdeburg by 2	13.5%	11.8%	13.0%	0.90×	8.51
1. FC Magdeburg by 3+	11.4%	11.8%	9.4%	1.24×	8.51
1. FC Nürnberg by 2	9.7%	7.2%	7.1%	1.01×	13.90
1. FC Nürnberg by 3+	6.3%	7.2%	6.2%	1.16×	13.91