Aberdeen v Falkirk — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Wednesday 28 October 2026 · SCO-Premiership · 2627

SCO-Premiership results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Aberdeen

19:45 UTC

Falkirk

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 27 Oct, 10:57 · 33h before kick-off

Aberdeen win

39.9%

model 39.1%

Draw

28.9%

model 26.8%

Falkirk win

31.2%

model 34.1%

402931

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (648 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 12.7%
1-0 11.0%
0-1 10.1%
2-1 8.3%
0-0 8.2%

Goals

Over 2.5	45.2%	Under 2.5	54.8%
BTTS yes	50.3%	BTTS no	49.7%
Aberdeen 1+	72.6%	Aberdeen 2+	37.1%
Falkirk 1+	69.5%	Falkirk 2+	33.3%

Expected goals 1.29 – 1.19. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

83/100

Data quality

75/100

Model agreement

96%

★ Best pick

Under 3.5 goals

Over/Under · usually 67%

77.7% fair odds 1.29

moderate signal · 1766 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Falkirk (0:2)

Handicap 0:2 · usually 74%

83.6% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 504 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Nothing in the data singles out Aberdeen.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Aberdeen have an estimated 39.9% win probability, against 31.2% for Falkirk and 28.9% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.29 for Aberdeen and 1.19 for Falkirk.

Why Aberdeen

Nothing in the data singles out Aberdeen.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 28.9%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.29 to 1.19. Draws run at 23% in this competition.

Why Falkirk can win

Falkirk carry the stronger rating, 1436 Elo against 1399.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Aberdeen, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Falkirk, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Aberdeen: 45% possession, 9.6 shots a match, 18.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Falkirk: 49% possession, 9.0 shots a match, 15.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-27 10:01 · team_stats 2026-10-27 06:03 · availability 2026-10-27 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Aberdeen are the model's most likely outcome at 39.9%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 12.7%. Confidence 83/100, data quality 75/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	392734	1.29–1.19	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	352837	1.13–1.16	1-1 13%	40%	46%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk to win	36.6%	36.3%	31.0%	1.17×	2.75
Aberdeen to win	35.2%	36.3%	45.9%	0.79×	2.75
Draw	28.2%	27.9%	23.3%	1.20×	3.58

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk & not both score	22.3%	21.8%	14.9%	1.46×	4.59
Aberdeen & not both score	21.5%	21.8%	27.5%	0.79×	4.59
Draw & both teams score	18.1%	18.0%	17.8%	1.01×	5.56
Falkirk & both teams score	14.3%	13.3%	16.3%	0.81×	7.54
Aberdeen & both teams score	13.8%	13.3%	18.6%	0.71×	7.54
Draw & not both score	10.0%	13.3%	5.8%	2.29×	7.54

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk & under 3.5	29.0%	26.1%	22.5%	1.16×	3.84
Aberdeen & under 3.5	28.1%	26.1%	30.2%	0.86×	3.84
Falkirk & over 1.5	24.6%	21.6%	24.4%	0.89×	4.63
Aberdeen & over 1.5	23.6%	21.6%	36.6%	0.59×	4.63
Draw & under 2.5	23.2%	21.6%	14.9%	1.45×	4.63
Draw & under 3.5	23.2%	21.6%	14.9%	1.45×	4.63
Falkirk & under 2.5	18.7%	18.0%	10.7%	1.68×	5.55
Aberdeen & under 2.5	18.2%	18.0%	18.0%	1.00×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	18.1%	18.0%	17.8%	1.01×	5.56
Falkirk & over 2.5	17.8%	18.0%	20.5%	0.88×	5.56
Aberdeen & over 2.5	17.1%	18.0%	28.1%	0.64×	5.56
Aberdeen & under 1.5	11.7%	12.8%	9.5%	1.35×	7.79
Falkirk & under 1.5	11.9%	12.8%	6.8%	1.88×	7.79
Draw & under 1.5	10.0%	12.8%	5.8%	2.22×	7.79
Falkirk & over 3.5	7.6%	7.9%	8.7%	0.91×	12.63
Aberdeen & over 3.5	7.2%	7.9%	15.9%	0.50×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	5.0%	7.9%	8.7%	0.91×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	5.0%	7.9%	8.7%	0.91×	12.63

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk (1UP)	51.1%	52.3%	—	—	1.91
Aberdeen (1UP)	49.9%	44.0%	—	—	2.27

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk (2UP)	36.6%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
Aberdeen (2UP)	35.2%	37.2%	—	—	2.69

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	39.3%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
Falkirk to win 2nd half	31.9%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
Aberdeen to win 2nd half	28.8%	26.1%	—	—	3.83

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk under 1.5 in 2nd half	84.7%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
Falkirk under 0.5 in 2nd half	50.0%	52.3%	—	—	1.91
Falkirk over 0.5 in 2nd half	50.0%	47.7%	—	—	2.10
Falkirk over 1.5 in 2nd half	15.3%	15.8%	—	—	6.35

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aberdeen under 1.5 in 2nd half	86.4%	88.7%	—	—	1.13
Aberdeen under 0.5 in 2nd half	52.6%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
Aberdeen over 0.5 in 2nd half	47.4%	45.0%	—	—	2.22
Aberdeen over 1.5 in 2nd half	13.6%	11.3%	—	—	8.84

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk (+2.5)	95.5%	96.3%	87.8%	1.10×	1.04
Falkirk (+1.5)	85.7%	88.5%	73.6%	1.20×	1.13
Falkirk (+0.5)	64.8%	63.0%	54.1%	1.16×	1.59
Aberdeen (+0.5)	63.4%	63.0%	69.0%	0.91×	1.59
Falkirk (-0.5)	36.6%	37.0%	31.0%	1.20×	2.70
Aberdeen (-0.5)	35.2%	37.0%	45.9%	0.81×	2.70
Aberdeen (-1.5)	14.3%	11.5%	26.4%	0.44×	8.66
Aberdeen (-2.5)	4.5%	3.7%	12.2%	0.30×	27.05

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk to concede	67.6%	72.3%	79.5%	0.91×	1.38
Falkirk clean sheet	32.4%	27.7%	20.5%	1.35×	3.61

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk clean sheet in 1st half	61.6%	64.5%	—	—	1.55
Falkirk to concede in 1st half	38.4%	35.5%	—	—	2.82

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk clean sheet in 2nd half	52.6%	54.5%	—	—	1.84
Falkirk to concede in 2nd half	47.4%	45.5%	—	—	2.20

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk over 2.5 corners	81.8%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Falkirk under 6.5 corners	76.0%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Falkirk over 3.5 corners	67.0%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Falkirk under 5.5 corners	63.9%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
Falkirk over 4.5 corners	50.9%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Falkirk under 4.5 corners	49.1%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Falkirk over 5.5 corners	36.1%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
Falkirk under 3.5 corners	33.0%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Falkirk over 6.5 corners	24.0%	24.0%	—	—	4.17
Falkirk under 2.5 corners	18.2%	18.6%	—	—	5.38

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk under 3.5 goals	97.0%	97.5%	96.3%	1.01×	1.03
Falkirk under 2.5 goals	88.9%	87.8%	85.5%	1.03×	1.14
Falkirk over 0.5 goals	68.5%	68.0%	66.9%	1.02×	1.47
Falkirk under 1.5 goals	67.9%	68.0%	63.2%	1.08×	1.47
Falkirk over 1.5 goals	32.1%	32.0%	36.8%	0.87×	3.13
Falkirk under 0.5 goals	31.5%	32.0%	33.1%	0.97×	3.13
Falkirk over 2.5 goals	11.1%	12.2%	14.5%	0.84×	8.21
Falkirk over 3.5 goals	3.0%	2.5%	3.7%	0.68×	39.82

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk under 1.5 in 1st half	92.1%	93.9%	—	—	1.07
Falkirk under 0.5 in 1st half	63.0%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Falkirk over 0.5 in 1st half	37.0%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Falkirk over 1.5 in 1st half	7.9%	6.1%	—	—	16.44

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk scores equally in both	42.4%	43.7%	—	—	2.29
Falkirk scores more in 2nd half	36.2%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
Falkirk scores more in 1st half	21.4%	21.8%	—	—	4.60

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aberdeen (away no bet)	55.6%	57.3%	66.3%	0.86×	1.75
Draw (away no bet)	44.4%	42.7%	33.7%	1.27×	2.34

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk even goals	55.0%	52.7%	57.6%	0.91×	1.90
Falkirk odd goals	45.0%	47.3%	42.4%	1.12×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	90.6%	91.2%	—	—	1.10
Both halves over 1.5 goals	9.4%	8.8%	—	—	11.41

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	53.5%	51.1%	—	—	1.96
Both halves under 1.5 goals	46.5%	48.9%	—	—	2.04

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	46.3%	46.1%	—	—	2.17
Falkirk to score 2+ in a row	25.6%	24.9%	—	—	4.02
Aberdeen to score 2+ in a row	24.7%	19.6%	—	—	5.11
Either team to score 3+ in a row	13.8%	12.2%	—	—	8.20
Falkirk to score 3+ in a row	7.2%	5.5%	—	—	18.20
Aberdeen to score 3+ in a row	6.8%	5.5%	—	—	18.24

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aberdeen corners (+3.5)	84.9%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Falkirk corners (+3.5)	82.0%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Aberdeen corners (+2.5)	77.6%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Falkirk corners (+2.5)	74.0%	70.8%	—	—	1.41
Aberdeen corners (+1.5)	68.4%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Falkirk corners (+1.5)	64.2%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Aberdeen corners (-1.5)	35.8%	38.1%	—	—	2.62
Falkirk corners (-1.5)	31.6%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Aberdeen corners (-2.5)	26.0%	29.2%	—	—	3.42
Falkirk corners (-2.5)	22.4%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Aberdeen corners (-3.5)	18.0%	20.2%	—	—	4.95
Falkirk corners (-3.5)	15.1%	20.2%	—	—	4.95

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	37.6%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
9-11 corners	31.2%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
12+ corners	31.2%	33.2%	—	—	3.01

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	77.0%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Over 7.5 corners	72.9%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 11.5 corners	68.8%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Over 8.5 corners	62.4%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Under 10.5 corners	59.2%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 9.5 corners	51.4%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 9.5 corners	48.6%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 10.5 corners	40.8%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Under 8.5 corners	37.6%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 11.5 corners	31.2%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Under 7.5 corners	27.1%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 12.5 corners	23.0%	23.4%	—	—	4.27

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	13.1%	11.5%	9.3%	1.23×	8.71
0-1	11.9%	11.5%	6.8%	1.68×	8.71
1-0	11.7%	11.5%	9.5%	1.21×	8.71
0-0	10.0%	11.5%	5.8%	1.98×	8.72
0-2	6.8%	7.4%	4.1%	1.79×	13.51
1-2	7.7%	7.4%	8.9%	0.83×	13.51
2-0	6.5%	7.4%	8.7%	0.85×	13.51
2-1	7.5%	7.4%	7.0%	1.05×	13.51
0-3	2.6%	1.7%	3.3%	0.52×	58.30
0-4	0.8%	1.7%	0.4%	4.15×	58.31
1-3	3.0%	1.7%	3.1%	0.55×	58.30
1-4	0.9%	1.7%	0.8%	2.08×	58.31
2-2	4.3%	1.7%	6.6%	0.26×	58.29
2-3	1.7%	1.7%	2.3%	0.75×	58.31
2-4	0.5%	1.7%	0.8%	2.07×	58.32
3-0	2.4%	1.7%	5.6%	0.31×	58.31
3-1	2.8%	1.7%	5.6%	0.31×	58.30
3-2	1.6%	1.7%	2.9%	0.59×	58.31
3-3	0.6%	1.7%	2.3%	0.75×	58.32
3-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.4%	4.15×	58.32
4-0	0.7%	1.7%	3.5%	0.49×	58.32
4-1	0.8%	1.7%	1.4%	1.19×	58.31
4-2	0.5%	1.7%	0.6%	2.77×	58.32
4-3	0.2%	1.7%	0.8%	2.07×	58.32
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.2%	8.30×	58.32
Any other score	1.3%	1.7%	4.1%	0.42×	58.31

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk (2nd half DNB)	52.5%	54.5%	—	—	1.84
Aberdeen (2nd half DNB)	47.5%	45.5%	—	—	2.20

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aberdeen leading at HT (DNB)	51.5%	56.0%	—	—	1.79
Falkirk leading at HT (DNB)	48.5%	44.0%	—	—	2.27

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aberdeen or Falkirk (12)	71.8%	72.1%	76.7%	0.94×	1.39
Falkirk or draw (X2)	64.8%	63.7%	54.1%	1.18×	1.57
Aberdeen or draw (1X)	63.4%	63.7%	69.0%	0.92×	1.57

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aberdeen or draw at HT	74.8%	74.6%	—	—	1.34
Falkirk or draw at HT	73.2%	74.5%	—	—	1.34
Aberdeen or Falkirk at HT	52.1%	48.5%	—	—	2.06

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk or draw (1UP)	64.8%	71.8%	—	—	1.39
Aberdeen or draw (1UP)	63.4%	71.7%	—	—	1.40

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk or draw in 2nd half	71.2%	73.9%	—	—	1.35
Aberdeen or draw in 2nd half	68.1%	66.0%	—	—	1.52
Aberdeen or Falkirk in 2nd half	60.7%	63.5%	—	—	1.58

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	68.5%	68.3%	—	—	1.46
Neither half drawn	31.5%	31.7%	—	—	3.16

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk (DNB)	50.9%	50.9%	40.3%	1.26×	1.97
Aberdeen (DNB)	49.1%	49.1%	59.7%	0.82×	2.04

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk to score first	45.5%	45.8%	—	—	2.19
Aberdeen to score first	44.5%	41.8%	—	—	2.39
No goal scored	10.0%	9.2%	—	—	10.85

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	53.8%	51.3%	47.7%	1.07×	1.95
Both teams to score	46.2%	48.7%	52.3%	0.93×	2.05

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	46.9%	44.3%	34.1%	1.30×	2.26
Both score & over 2.5	33.0%	34.6%	43.2%	0.80×	2.89
Both score & under 2.5	13.1%	12.4%	9.3%	1.33×	8.09
Not both score & over 2.5	6.9%	8.3%	13.8%	0.60×	12.07

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	90.0%	89.0%	83.9%	1.06×	1.12
Both teams to score 2+	10.0%	11.0%	16.1%	0.68×	9.08

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	76.3%	75.0%	—	—	1.33
Both teams to score in 2nd half	23.7%	25.0%	—	—	4.00

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	65.5%	63.1%	—	—	1.59
Both score 2nd half only	20.3%	21.2%	—	—	4.72
Both score 1st half only	10.8%	10.7%	—	—	9.34
Both score in both halves	3.4%	4.9%	—	—	20.47

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	85.8%	84.7%	—	—	1.18
Both teams to score by HT	14.2%	15.3%	—	—	6.54

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	55.0%	52.7%	—	—	1.90
A goal in each half	45.0%	47.3%	—	—	2.11

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	46.6%	47.2%	45.7%	1.03×	2.12
0-1 goals	33.6%	30.7%	21.7%	1.42×	3.25
4-6 goals	18.8%	20.2%	31.2%	0.65×	4.94
7+ goals	0.9%	1.8%	1.9%	0.99×	54.47

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk to score exactly 1	36.4%	35.9%	30.4%	1.18×	2.78
Falkirk to score exactly 0	31.5%	33.8%	33.1%	1.02×	2.96
Falkirk to score exactly 2	21.0%	22.3%	22.5%	0.99×	4.49
Falkirk to score 3+	11.1%	12.9%	14.5%	0.89×	7.77

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aberdeen to score exactly 1	36.5%	35.5%	31.2%	1.14×	2.81
Aberdeen to score exactly 0	32.4%	32.6%	20.5%	1.59×	3.07
Aberdeen to score exactly 2	20.6%	23.3%	25.0%	0.93×	4.30
Aberdeen to score 3+	10.5%	14.3%	23.8%	0.60×	7.00

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	47.9%	51.5%	—	—	1.94
Aberdeen leading at HT	26.8%	25.5%	—	—	3.92
Falkirk leading at HT	25.2%	25.4%	—	—	3.93

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk -1: 1	63.4%	62.6%	—	—	1.60
Falkirk -1: X	21.5%	23.5%	—	—	4.25
Falkirk -1: 2	15.1%	17.5%	—	—	5.72

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk (0:1)	64.8%	61.5%	54.1%	1.14×	1.63
Draw (0:1)	21.0%	24.2%	19.6%	1.23×	4.13
Aberdeen (0:1)	14.3%	13.7%	26.4%	0.52×	7.29

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk (0:2)	85.7%	87.1%	73.6%	1.18×	1.15
Draw (0:2)	9.8%	7.7%	14.5%	0.53×	13.03
Aberdeen (0:2)	4.5%	3.8%	12.2%	0.31×	26.64

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk (0:3)	95.5%	96.6%	87.8%	1.10×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	3.3%	2.4%	6.8%	0.35×	41.99
Aberdeen (0:3)	1.1%	2.4%	5.6%	0.43×	42.09

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk (0:4)	98.9%	98.1%	94.4%	1.04×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	0.9%	1.2%	4.8%	0.26×	81.87
Aberdeen (0:4)	0.2%	1.2%	1.0%	1.18×	81.94

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aberdeen (1:0)	63.4%	65.3%	69.0%	0.95×	1.53
Draw (1:0)	21.5%	21.7%	17.8%	1.22×	4.61
Falkirk (1:0)	15.1%	17.1%	13.4%	1.27×	5.85

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aberdeen (2:0)	84.9%	84.6%	86.6%	0.98×	1.18
Draw (2:0)	10.3%	10.3%	7.6%	1.34×	9.74
Falkirk (2:0)	4.8%	2.3%	6.0%	0.38×	43.62

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	45.8%	48.5%	—	—	2.06
Halves equal	27.6%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
1st half highest scoring	26.6%	26.2%	—	—	3.81

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aberdeen to concede	68.5%	66.7%	66.9%	1.00×	1.50
Aberdeen clean sheet	31.5%	33.3%	33.1%	1.01×	3.00

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aberdeen clean sheet in 1st half	63.0%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Aberdeen to concede in 1st half	37.0%	36.8%	—	—	2.72

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aberdeen clean sheet in 2nd half	50.0%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Aberdeen to concede in 2nd half	50.0%	47.6%	—	—	2.10

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aberdeen over 2.5 corners	83.6%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Aberdeen under 6.5 corners	73.3%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Aberdeen over 3.5 corners	69.7%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Aberdeen under 5.5 corners	60.7%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Aberdeen over 4.5 corners	54.1%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Aberdeen under 4.5 corners	45.9%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Aberdeen over 5.5 corners	39.3%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Aberdeen under 3.5 corners	30.3%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Aberdeen over 6.5 corners	26.7%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
Aberdeen under 2.5 corners	16.4%	19.0%	—	—	5.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aberdeen under 3.5 goals	97.2%	96.4%	92.1%	1.05×	1.04
Aberdeen under 2.5 goals	89.5%	87.3%	76.2%	1.14×	1.15
Aberdeen under 1.5 goals	68.9%	68.0%	51.4%	1.32×	1.47
Aberdeen over 0.5 goals	67.6%	67.9%	79.5%	0.85×	1.47
Aberdeen under 0.5 goals	32.4%	32.1%	20.5%	1.57×	3.12
Aberdeen over 1.5 goals	31.1%	32.1%	48.6%	0.66×	3.12
Aberdeen over 2.5 goals	10.5%	12.7%	23.8%	0.54×	7.86
Aberdeen over 3.5 goals	2.8%	3.6%	7.9%	0.46×	27.56

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aberdeen under 1.5 in 1st half	91.4%	94.7%	—	—	1.06
Aberdeen under 0.5 in 1st half	61.6%	64.3%	—	—	1.56
Aberdeen over 0.5 in 1st half	38.4%	35.7%	—	—	2.80
Aberdeen over 1.5 in 1st half	8.6%	5.3%	—	—	18.78

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aberdeen scores equally in both	43.3%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
Aberdeen scores more in 2nd half	33.5%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
Aberdeen scores more in 1st half	23.3%	21.0%	—	—	4.76

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk (home no bet)	56.5%	56.4%	57.0%	0.99×	1.77
Draw (home no bet)	43.5%	43.6%	43.0%	1.02×	2.29

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aberdeen even goals	55.2%	55.3%	51.7%	1.07×	1.81
Aberdeen odd goals	44.8%	44.7%	48.3%	0.93×	2.24

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	38.8%	38.8%	—	—	2.58
HT 1-0	18.8%	18.6%	—	—	5.38
HT 0-1	17.9%	18.6%	—	—	5.38
HT 1-1	8.7%	6.9%	—	—	14.52
HT 2-0	4.6%	2.4%	—	—	42.12
HT 0-2	4.1%	2.4%	—	—	42.15
Any other HT score	2.5%	2.4%	—	—	42.26
HT 1-2	2.0%	2.4%	—	—	42.29
HT 2-1	2.1%	2.4%	—	—	42.28
HT 2-2	0.5%	2.4%	—	—	42.39

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aberdeen at HT / Aberdeen at FT	19.7%	16.8%	—	—	5.95
Falkirk at HT / Falkirk at FT	19.2%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	18.6%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Falkirk at FT	15.4%	16.7%	—	—	5.97
Draw at HT / Aberdeen at FT	13.9%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Aberdeen at HT / Draw at FT	5.1%	6.0%	—	—	16.55
Falkirk at HT / Draw at FT	4.4%	3.5%	—	—	28.87
Aberdeen at HT / Falkirk at FT	2.0%	3.5%	—	—	28.96
Falkirk at HT / Aberdeen at FT	1.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.98

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk to score last	45.5%	46.2%	—	—	2.16
Aberdeen to score last	44.5%	40.1%	—	—	2.49
No goal scored	10.0%	8.6%	—	—	11.60

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	90.0%	91.7%	—	—	1.09
Falkirk to lead by 1 at any time	51.1%	50.6%	—	—	1.98
Aberdeen to lead by 1 at any time	49.9%	44.4%	—	—	2.25
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	38.6%	34.8%	—	—	2.87
Falkirk to lead by 2 at any time	19.8%	14.9%	—	—	6.73
Aberdeen to lead by 2 at any time	18.9%	14.9%	—	—	6.73
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	11.7%	10.6%	—	—	9.45
Falkirk to lead by 3 at any time	6.0%	6.6%	—	—	15.10
Aberdeen to lead by 3 at any time	5.6%	6.6%	—	—	15.12

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aberdeen most corners	46.6%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Falkirk most corners	42.2%	43.5%	—	—	2.30
Corners level	11.2%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	87.1%	87.4%	87.0%	1.00×	1.14
1-4 goals	81.8%	83.4%	79.8%	1.05×	1.20
1-3 goals	70.2%	72.3%	61.6%	1.17×	1.38
2-6 goals	65.5%	68.8%	76.7%	0.90×	1.45
2-5 goals	63.5%	63.3%	71.1%	0.89×	1.58
2-4 goals	58.2%	59.1%	63.8%	0.93×	1.69
1-2 goals	50.0%	53.1%	37.6%	1.41×	1.88
2-3 goals	46.6%	48.4%	45.7%	1.06×	2.06
3-6 goals	39.0%	39.2%	55.2%	0.71×	2.55
3-5 goals	37.0%	39.2%	49.6%	0.79×	2.55
3-4 goals	31.8%	35.2%	42.4%	0.83×	2.84
4-6 goals	18.8%	18.8%	31.2%	0.60×	5.31
4-5 goals	16.8%	18.8%	25.6%	0.73×	5.31
5-6 goals	7.3%	8.9%	13.0%	0.68×	11.26
7+ goals	0.9%	2.5%	1.9%	1.37×	39.23

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk never behind	40.0%	48.6%	—	—	2.06
Aberdeen never behind	38.8%	44.3%	—	—	2.26

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	49.8%	50.9%	48.8%	1.04×	1.97
Even number of goals	50.2%	49.1%	51.2%	0.96×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	57.5%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Odd goals in 1st half	42.5%	42.2%	—	—	2.37

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	53.3%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	46.7%	48.0%	—	—	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	97.1%	95.4%	92.6%	1.03×	1.05
Under 4.5 goals	91.8%	92.3%	85.3%	1.08×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	90.0%	87.6%	94.2%	0.93×	1.14
Under 3.5 goals	80.3%	82.3%	67.1%	1.23×	1.22
Over 1.5 goals	66.4%	66.3%	78.3%	0.85×	1.51
Under 2.5 goals	60.1%	61.7%	43.2%	1.43×	1.62
Over 2.5 goals	39.9%	38.3%	56.8%	0.67×	2.61
Under 1.5 goals	33.6%	33.7%	21.7%	1.55×	2.97
Over 3.5 goals	19.7%	17.7%	32.9%	0.54×	5.65
Under 0.5 goals	10.0%	12.4%	5.8%	2.14×	8.07
Over 4.5 goals	8.2%	7.7%	14.7%	0.53×	12.93
Over 5.5 goals	2.9%	4.6%	7.4%	0.62×	21.83

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	99.1%	97.2%	98.0%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	96.9%	97.2%	92.0%	1.06×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	90.8%	92.4%	82.1%	1.13×	1.08
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	75.3%	75.9%	56.8%	1.34×	1.32
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	54.3%	51.9%	72.4%	0.72×	1.93
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	45.7%	48.1%	27.6%	1.74×	2.08
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	24.7%	24.1%	43.2%	0.56×	4.14
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	9.2%	7.6%	17.9%	0.42×	13.17
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	3.1%	2.8%	8.0%	0.35×	35.61
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	0.9%	2.8%	2.0%	1.42×	35.67

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	92.9%	92.8%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	75.6%	78.0%	—	—	1.28
Over 0.5 in 1st half	61.2%	63.1%	—	—	1.58
Under 0.5 in 1st half	38.8%	36.9%	—	—	2.71
Over 1.5 in 1st half	24.4%	22.0%	—	—	4.54
Over 2.5 in 1st half	7.1%	7.2%	—	—	13.96

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	84.9%	83.0%	—	—	1.21
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	73.8%	77.8%	—	—	1.29
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	61.5%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	38.5%	38.6%	—	—	2.59
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	26.2%	22.2%	—	—	4.50
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	15.1%	17.0%	—	—	5.88

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aberdeen not to score in both halves	81.8%	84.3%	—	—	1.19
Falkirk not to score in both halves	81.5%	84.3%	—	—	1.19
Falkirk to score in both halves	18.5%	15.7%	—	—	6.36
Aberdeen to score in both halves	18.2%	15.7%	—	—	6.36

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	46.2%	50.7%	52.3%	0.97×	1.97
Only Falkirk scores	22.3%	22.2%	14.9%	1.50×	4.50
Only Aberdeen scores	21.5%	22.2%	27.5%	0.81×	4.50
Neither team scores	10.0%	11.0%	5.8%	1.90×	9.08

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	26.4%	24.9%	21.7%	1.15×	4.02
Exactly 1 goals	23.6%	22.6%	16.1%	1.40×	4.43
Exactly 3 goals	20.2%	22.6%	24.2%	0.93×	4.43
Exactly 4 goals	11.5%	12.1%	18.4%	0.66×	8.26
Exactly 0 goals	10.0%	12.1%	5.8%	2.09×	8.26
Exactly 5 goals	5.3%	7.6%	7.4%	1.02×	13.15
6 or more goals	2.9%	4.5%	7.4%	0.60×	22.36

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No goals in 1st half	38.8%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
1 goal in 1st half	36.8%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
2 goals in 1st half	17.4%	15.7%	—	—	6.38
3+ goals in 1st half	7.1%	7.2%	—	—	13.96

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	38.5%	40.0%	—	—	2.50
1 goal in 2nd half	35.2%	39.6%	—	—	2.53
No goals in 2nd half	26.2%	29.1%	—	—	3.44

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aberdeen not to win both halves	92.3%	94.2%	—	—	1.06
Falkirk not to win both halves	92.0%	94.1%	—	—	1.06
Falkirk to win both halves	8.0%	5.9%	—	—	17.08
Aberdeen to win both halves	7.7%	5.8%	—	—	17.10

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aberdeen to win neither half	52.0%	54.3%	—	—	1.84
Falkirk to win neither half	50.9%	54.3%	—	—	1.84
Falkirk to win either half	49.1%	45.7%	—	—	2.19
Aberdeen to win either half	48.0%	45.7%	—	—	2.19

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aberdeen not to win to nil	78.5%	78.1%	72.5%	1.08×	1.28
Falkirk not to win to nil	77.7%	78.1%	85.1%	0.92×	1.28
Falkirk to win to nil	22.3%	21.9%	14.9%	1.47×	4.57
Aberdeen to win to nil	21.5%	21.9%	27.5%	0.80×	4.58

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	28.2%	27.9%	23.3%	1.19×	3.59
Falkirk by 1	21.5%	24.1%	17.8%	1.36×	4.15
Aberdeen by 1	21.0%	24.1%	19.6%	1.23×	4.15
Falkirk by 2	10.3%	11.8%	7.6%	1.54×	8.51
Aberdeen by 2	9.8%	7.2%	14.5%	0.50×	13.90
Falkirk by 3+	4.8%	2.7%	6.0%	0.45×	36.82
Aberdeen by 3+	4.5%	2.7%	12.2%	0.22×	36.83