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Aberdeen v Hibernian — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 7 November 2026 · SCO-Premiership · 2627

SCO-Premiership results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily
Aberdeen win
26.5%
model 27.7%
Draw
26.5%
model 25.7%
Hibernian win
47.0%
model 46.7%

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (522 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

  1. 1-1 12.2%
  2. 0-1 11.6%
  3. 1-2 9.2%
  4. 0-2 8.5%
  5. 1-0 8.5%

Goals

Over 2.547.2% Under 2.552.8%
BTTS yes50.9% BTTS no49.1%
Aberdeen 1+66.0% Aberdeen 2+29.3%
Hibernian 1+77.3% Hibernian 2+43.7%

Expected goals 1.08 – 1.49. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence
85/100
Data quality
75/100
Model agreement
98%
★ Best pick
Hibernian or draw (X2)
Double chance · usually 54%
72.6% fair odds 1.38
strong signal · 1941 settled matches behind the band
★ Most likely to land
Aberdeen not to win to nil
Win to nil · usually 73%
83.3% fair odds 1.20
moderate signal · 1180 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

  • Hibernian carry the stronger rating, 1587 Elo against 1399.

Risk factors

  • No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.
Why the model thinks this

The price

Hibernian have an estimated 47.0% win probability, against 26.5% for Aberdeen and 26.5% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.08 for Aberdeen and 1.49 for Hibernian.

Why Aberdeen

Nothing in the data singles out Aberdeen.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 26.5%. Draws run at 23% in this competition.

Why Hibernian can win

Hibernian carry the stronger rating, 1587 Elo against 1399.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Aberdeen, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Hibernian, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Aberdeen: 45% possession, 9.6 shots a match, 18.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Hibernian: 36% possession, 12.6 shots a match, 11.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-27 10:01 · team_stats 2026-10-27 06:03 · availability 2026-10-27 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Hibernian are the model's most likely outcome at 47.0%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 12.2%. Confidence 85/100, data quality 75/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
ai-blend 1.08–1.49 0% 0% 0%
dc-xg 1.04–1.52 1-1 12% 47% 50%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Hibernian to win 48.6% 47.4% 31.0% 1.53× 2.11
Aberdeen to win 26.0% 27.9% 45.9% 0.61× 3.59
Draw 25.4% 27.9% 23.3% 1.19× 3.59
1X2 & GG/NG 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Hibernian & not both score 27.9% 25.2% 14.9% 1.69× 3.97
Hibernian & both teams score 20.7% 21.8% 16.3% 1.33× 4.59
Draw & both teams score 17.8% 18.0% 17.8% 1.01× 5.56
Aberdeen & not both score 14.3% 13.3% 27.5% 0.48× 7.54
Aberdeen & both teams score 11.7% 13.3% 18.6% 0.71× 7.54
Draw & not both score 7.6% 8.3% 5.8% 1.44× 12.00
1X2 & Over/Under 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Hibernian & over 1.5 36.6% 34.9% 24.4% 1.43× 2.87
Hibernian & under 3.5 34.7% 30.8% 22.5% 1.37× 3.25
Hibernian & over 2.5 27.7% 26.1% 20.5% 1.27× 3.84
Hibernian & under 2.5 20.9% 21.6% 10.7% 2.01× 4.63
Aberdeen & under 3.5 20.1% 21.6% 30.2% 0.72× 4.63
Draw & under 2.5 19.7% 18.0% 14.9% 1.21× 5.55
Draw & under 3.5 19.7% 18.0% 14.9% 1.21× 5.55
Aberdeen & over 1.5 17.8% 18.0% 36.6% 0.49× 5.56
Draw & over 1.5 17.8% 18.0% 17.8% 1.01× 5.56
Aberdeen & over 2.5 13.6% 12.8% 28.1% 0.46× 7.79
Hibernian & over 3.5 13.8% 12.8% 8.7% 1.48× 7.79
Aberdeen & under 2.5 12.4% 12.8% 18.0% 0.71× 7.79
Hibernian & under 1.5 11.9% 12.8% 6.8% 1.88× 7.79
Aberdeen & under 1.5 8.2% 7.9% 9.5% 0.83× 12.63
Draw & under 1.5 7.6% 7.9% 5.8% 1.37× 12.63
Aberdeen & over 3.5 5.9% 7.9% 15.9% 0.50× 12.63
Draw & over 2.5 5.7% 7.9% 8.7% 0.91× 12.63
Draw & over 3.5 5.7% 7.9% 8.7% 0.91× 12.63
1X2 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Hibernian (1UP) 62.5% 62.9% — — 1.59
Aberdeen (1UP) 42.7% 38.6% — — 2.59
1X2 2UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Hibernian (2UP) 48.6% 50.2% — — 1.99
Aberdeen (2UP) 26.0% 25.1% — — 3.98
2nd half 1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Hibernian to win 2nd half 41.4% 41.9% — — 2.39
2nd half drawn 35.9% 36.4% — — 2.75
Aberdeen to win 2nd half 22.7% 24.3% — — 4.11
2nd half away goals O/U 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Hibernian under 1.5 in 2nd half 76.8% 79.4% — — 1.26
Hibernian over 0.5 in 2nd half 59.8% 54.5% — — 1.83
Hibernian under 0.5 in 2nd half 40.2% 45.5% — — 2.20
Hibernian over 1.5 in 2nd half 23.2% 20.6% — — 4.86
2nd half home goals O/U 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Aberdeen under 1.5 in 2nd half 88.1% 88.9% — — 1.13
Aberdeen under 0.5 in 2nd half 55.4% 57.9% — — 1.73
Aberdeen over 0.5 in 2nd half 44.6% 42.1% — — 2.38
Aberdeen over 1.5 in 2nd half 11.9% 11.1% — — 8.98
Asian handicap 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Hibernian (+2.5) 97.3% 96.3% 87.8% 1.10× 1.04
Hibernian (+1.5) 90.4% 92.1% 73.6% 1.25× 1.09
Hibernian (+0.5) 74.0% 73.7% 54.1% 1.36× 1.36
Aberdeen (+0.5) 51.4% 52.4% 69.0% 0.76× 1.91
Hibernian (-0.5) 48.6% 47.6% 31.0% 1.54× 2.10
Aberdeen (-0.5) 26.0% 26.3% 45.9% 0.57× 3.80
Aberdeen (-1.5) 9.6% 7.9% 26.4% 0.30× 12.68
Aberdeen (-2.5) 2.7% 3.7% 12.2% 0.30× 27.16
Away clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Hibernian to concede 64.5% 67.6% 79.5% 0.85× 1.48
Hibernian clean sheet 35.5% 32.4% 20.5% 1.58× 3.09
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Hibernian clean sheet in 1st half 64.1% 64.7% — — 1.55
Hibernian to concede in 1st half 35.9% 35.3% — — 2.83
Away clean sheet 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Hibernian clean sheet in 2nd half 55.4% 57.2% — — 1.75
Hibernian to concede in 2nd half 44.6% 42.8% — — 2.34
Away corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Hibernian over 2.5 corners 82.3% 81.4% — — 1.23
Hibernian under 6.5 corners 75.4% 76.0% — — 1.32
Hibernian over 3.5 corners 67.7% 67.6% — — 1.48
Hibernian under 5.5 corners 63.1% 61.7% — — 1.62
Hibernian over 4.5 corners 51.7% 53.1% — — 1.88
Hibernian under 4.5 corners 48.3% 46.9% — — 2.13
Hibernian over 5.5 corners 36.9% 38.3% — — 2.61
Hibernian under 3.5 corners 32.3% 32.4% — — 3.09
Hibernian over 6.5 corners 24.6% 24.0% — — 4.17
Hibernian under 2.5 corners 17.7% 18.6% — — 5.38
Away goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Hibernian under 3.5 goals 93.2% 92.4% 96.3% 0.96× 1.08
Hibernian under 2.5 goals 80.4% 81.5% 85.5% 0.95× 1.23
Hibernian over 0.5 goals 78.1% 76.3% 66.9% 1.14× 1.31
Hibernian under 1.5 goals 55.1% 59.4% 63.2% 0.94× 1.68
Hibernian over 1.5 goals 44.9% 40.6% 36.8% 1.10× 2.46
Hibernian under 0.5 goals 21.9% 23.7% 33.1% 0.72× 4.21
Hibernian over 2.5 goals 19.6% 18.5% 14.5% 1.28× 5.40
Hibernian over 3.5 goals 6.8% 7.6% 3.7% 2.06× 13.08
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Hibernian under 1.5 in 1st half 87.5% 89.3% — — 1.12
Hibernian under 0.5 in 1st half 54.4% 55.9% — — 1.79
Hibernian over 0.5 in 1st half 45.6% 44.1% — — 2.27
Hibernian over 1.5 in 1st half 12.5% 10.7% — — 9.30
Away highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Hibernian scores more in 2nd half 40.9% 43.6% — — 2.29
Hibernian scores equally in both 35.8% 37.3% — — 2.68
Hibernian scores more in 1st half 23.3% 21.8% — — 4.59
Away no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Aberdeen (away no bet) 50.5% 51.6% 66.3% 0.78× 1.94
Draw (away no bet) 49.5% 48.4% 33.7% 1.43× 2.07
Away Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Hibernian even goals 52.4% 52.6% 57.6% 0.91× 1.90
Hibernian odd goals 47.6% 47.4% 42.4% 1.12× 2.11
Both halves O1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves over 1.5 87.4% 87.9% — — 1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals 12.6% 12.1% — — 8.26
Both halves U1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves under 1.5 60.0% 57.3% — — 1.75
Both halves under 1.5 goals 40.0% 42.7% — — 2.34
Consecutive goals 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row 52.9% 50.9% — — 1.96
Hibernian to score 2+ in a row 37.5% 36.5% — — 2.74
Aberdeen to score 2+ in a row 20.4% 19.5% — — 5.14
Either team to score 3+ in a row 18.3% 16.2% — — 6.19
Hibernian to score 3+ in a row 13.6% 12.2% — — 8.21
Aberdeen to score 3+ in a row 4.9% 2.6% — — 38.04
Corner handicap 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Aberdeen corners (+3.5) 86.7% 84.5% — — 1.18
Aberdeen corners (+2.5) 80.1% 79.8% — — 1.25
Hibernian corners (+3.5) 78.0% 74.8% — — 1.34
Aberdeen corners (+1.5) 71.8% 70.8% — — 1.41
Hibernian corners (+2.5) 69.4% 65.9% — — 1.52
Hibernian corners (+1.5) 59.4% 57.2% — — 1.75
Aberdeen corners (-1.5) 40.6% 42.8% — — 2.33
Aberdeen corners (-2.5) 30.6% 34.1% — — 2.93
Hibernian corners (-1.5) 28.2% 29.2% — — 3.42
Aberdeen corners (-3.5) 22.0% 25.2% — — 3.97
Hibernian corners (-2.5) 19.9% 20.2% — — 4.94
Hibernian corners (-3.5) 13.3% 15.5% — — 6.45
Corner range 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
12+ corners 36.6% 34.0% — — 2.94
0-8 corners 32.5% 33.2% — — 3.01
9-11 corners 30.9% 33.2% — — 3.01
Corners O/U 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 7.5 corners 77.2% 76.6% — — 1.31
Under 12.5 corners 72.1% 72.5% — — 1.38
Over 8.5 corners 67.5% 67.8% — — 1.48
Under 11.5 corners 63.4% 63.3% — — 1.58
Over 9.5 corners 57.0% 57.9% — — 1.73
Under 10.5 corners 53.5% 53.2% — — 1.88
Over 10.5 corners 46.5% 46.8% — — 2.14
Under 9.5 corners 43.0% 42.1% — — 2.37
Over 11.5 corners 36.6% 36.7% — — 2.72
Under 8.5 corners 32.5% 32.2% — — 3.11
Over 12.5 corners 27.9% 27.5% — — 3.64
Under 7.5 corners 22.8% 23.4% — — 4.27
Corners Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of corners 50.0% 50.2% — — 1.99
Even number of corners 50.0% 49.8% — — 2.01
Correct score 26
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
0-1 11.9% 11.5% 6.8% 1.68× 8.71
1-1 12.1% 11.5% 9.3% 1.23× 8.71
0-2 9.0% 7.4% 4.1% 1.79× 13.51
1-2 9.3% 7.4% 8.9% 0.83× 13.51
0-0 7.6% 7.4% 5.8% 1.28× 13.51
1-0 8.2% 7.4% 9.5% 0.78× 13.51
2-1 6.3% 7.4% 7.0% 1.05× 13.51
2-2 4.8% 1.7% 6.6% 0.26× 58.29
0-3 4.5% 1.7% 3.3% 0.52× 58.29
0-4 1.7% 1.7% 0.4% 4.15× 58.31
1-3 4.7% 1.7% 3.1% 0.55× 58.29
1-4 1.8% 1.7% 0.8% 2.08× 58.31
2-0 4.2% 1.7% 8.7% 0.20× 58.30
2-3 2.4% 1.7% 2.3% 0.75× 58.31
2-4 0.9% 1.7% 0.8% 2.08× 58.31
3-0 1.4% 1.7% 5.6% 0.31× 58.31
3-1 2.2% 1.7% 5.6% 0.31× 58.31
3-2 1.7% 1.7% 2.9% 0.59× 58.31
3-3 0.8% 1.7% 2.3% 0.75× 58.31
3-4 0.3% 1.7% 0.4% 4.15× 58.32
4-0 0.4% 1.7% 3.5% 0.49× 58.32
4-1 0.6% 1.7% 1.4% 1.19× 58.32
4-2 0.4% 1.7% 0.6% 2.77× 58.32
4-3 0.2% 1.7% 0.8% 2.07× 58.32
4-4 0.1% 1.7% 0.2% 8.30× 58.32
Any other score 2.4% 1.7% 4.1% 0.42× 58.31
DNB 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Hibernian (2nd half DNB) 64.6% 63.2% — — 1.58
Aberdeen (2nd half DNB) 35.4% 36.8% — — 2.72
DNB half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Hibernian leading at HT (DNB) 59.8% 55.8% — — 1.79
Aberdeen leading at HT (DNB) 40.2% 44.2% — — 2.26
Double chance 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Aberdeen or Hibernian (12) 74.6% 72.1% 76.7% 0.94× 1.39
Hibernian or draw (X2) 74.0% 72.1% 54.1% 1.33× 1.39
Aberdeen or draw (1X) 51.4% 52.6% 69.0% 0.76× 1.90
Double chance 1HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Hibernian or draw at HT 77.8% 79.6% — — 1.26
Aberdeen or draw at HT 67.1% 67.2% — — 1.49
Aberdeen or Hibernian at HT 55.1% 57.4% — — 1.74
Double chance 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Hibernian or draw (1UP) 74.0% 79.7% — — 1.26
Aberdeen or draw (1UP) 51.4% 58.6% — — 1.71
Double chance 2HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Hibernian or draw in 2nd half 77.3% 75.7% — — 1.32
Aberdeen or Hibernian in 2nd half 64.1% 63.6% — — 1.57
Aberdeen or draw in 2nd half 58.6% 58.1% — — 1.72
Draw either half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half drawn 64.8% 61.4% — — 1.63
Neither half drawn 35.2% 38.6% — — 2.59
Draw no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Hibernian (DNB) 65.2% 67.4% 40.3% 1.67× 1.48
Aberdeen (DNB) 34.8% 32.6% 59.7% 0.55× 3.07
First goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Hibernian to score first 54.9% 53.5% — — 1.87
Aberdeen to score first 37.4% 32.7% — — 3.06
No goal scored 7.6% 7.6% — — 13.20
GG/NG 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams to score 50.3% 51.3% 52.3% 0.98× 1.95
Not both teams to score 49.7% 48.7% 47.7% 1.02× 2.05
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both score & under 2.5 40.9% 41.6% 34.1% 1.22× 2.41
Both score & over 2.5 38.2% 38.5% 43.2% 0.89× 2.60
Both score & under 2.5 12.1% 12.4% 9.3% 1.33× 8.09
Not both score & over 2.5 8.9% 8.3% 13.8% 0.60× 12.06
GG/NG 2+ 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 2+ 87.5% 85.6% 83.9% 1.02× 1.17
Both teams to score 2+ 12.5% 14.4% 16.1% 0.89× 6.95
GG/NG 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half 73.4% 73.7% — — 1.36
Both teams to score in 2nd half 26.6% 26.3% — — 3.80
GG/NG by half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Neither half both score 61.4% 65.8% — — 1.52
Both score 2nd half only 22.3% 21.2% — — 4.71
Both score 1st half only 12.0% 10.7% — — 9.33
Both score in both halves 4.4% 4.9% — — 20.26
GG/NG half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score by HT 83.6% 83.5% — — 1.20
Both teams to score by HT 16.4% 16.5% — — 6.06
Goal in both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A goal in each half 50.6% 52.5% — — 1.91
A half without a goal 49.4% 47.5% — — 2.10
Goal range 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2-3 goals 46.8% 47.2% 45.7% 1.03× 2.12
0-1 goals 27.8% 26.6% 21.7% 1.23× 3.76
4-6 goals 23.9% 22.9% 31.2% 0.74× 4.36
7+ goals 1.6% 1.8% 1.9% 0.99× 54.40
Goals away 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Hibernian to score exactly 1 33.2% 33.8% 30.4% 1.11× 2.96
Hibernian to score exactly 2 25.3% 27.4% 22.5% 1.22× 3.65
Hibernian to score exactly 0 21.9% 22.3% 33.1% 0.67× 4.49
Hibernian to score 3+ 19.6% 19.5% 14.5% 1.35× 5.12
Goals home 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Aberdeen to score exactly 1 36.8% 35.5% 31.2% 1.14× 2.81
Aberdeen to score exactly 0 35.5% 35.5% 20.5% 1.74× 2.81
Aberdeen to score exactly 2 19.0% 18.8% 25.0% 0.75× 5.32
Aberdeen to score 3+ 8.7% 10.4% 23.8% 0.44× 9.65
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw at HT 44.9% 42.6% — — 2.35
Hibernian leading at HT 32.9% 32.8% — — 3.05
Aberdeen leading at HT 22.2% 20.4% — — 4.91
Handicap 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Hibernian -1: 1 51.4% 52.1% — — 1.92
Hibernian -1: 2 24.6% 23.5% — — 4.25
Hibernian -1: X 24.0% 23.5% — — 4.25
Handicap 0:1 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Hibernian (0:1) 74.0% 71.1% 54.1% 1.31× 1.41
Draw (0:1) 16.4% 17.8% 19.6% 0.91× 5.62
Aberdeen (0:1) 9.6% 9.3% 26.4% 0.35× 10.78
Handicap 0:2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Hibernian (0:2) 90.4% 90.7% 73.6% 1.23× 1.10
Draw (0:2) 6.8% 7.7% 14.5% 0.53× 13.06
Aberdeen (0:2) 2.7% 3.7% 12.2% 0.31× 26.74
Handicap 0:3 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Hibernian (0:3) 97.3% 96.6% 87.8% 1.10× 1.04
Draw (0:3) 2.1% 2.4% 6.8% 0.35× 42.05
Aberdeen (0:3) 0.6% 2.4% 5.6% 0.43× 42.11
Handicap 0:4 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Hibernian (0:4) 99.4% 98.1% 94.4% 1.04× 1.02
Draw (0:4) 0.5% 1.2% 4.8% 0.26× 81.91
Aberdeen (0:4) 0.1% 1.2% 1.0% 1.18× 81.96
Handicap 1:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Aberdeen (1:0) 51.4% 54.0% 69.0% 0.78× 1.85
Hibernian (1:0) 24.6% 21.7% 13.4% 1.62× 4.61
Draw (1:0) 24.0% 21.7% 17.8% 1.22× 4.61
Handicap 2:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Aberdeen (2:0) 75.4% 80.3% 86.6% 0.93× 1.25
Draw (2:0) 14.7% 10.3% 7.6% 1.35× 9.69
Hibernian (2:0) 9.9% 6.4% 6.0% 1.07× 15.63
Highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 47.7% 48.6% — — 2.06
1st half highest scoring 26.7% 26.2% — — 3.81
Halves equal 25.6% 26.2% — — 3.82
Home clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Aberdeen to concede 78.1% 76.1% 66.9% 1.14× 1.31
Aberdeen clean sheet 21.9% 23.9% 33.1% 0.72× 4.18
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Aberdeen clean sheet in 1st half 54.4% 55.9% — — 1.79
Aberdeen to concede in 1st half 45.6% 44.1% — — 2.27
Home clean sheet 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Aberdeen to concede in 2nd half 59.8% 54.9% — — 1.82
Aberdeen clean sheet in 2nd half 40.2% 45.1% — — 2.22
Home corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Aberdeen over 2.5 corners 87.2% 86.2% — — 1.16
Aberdeen over 3.5 corners 75.3% 76.5% — — 1.31
Aberdeen under 6.5 corners 66.7% 66.7% — — 1.50
Aberdeen over 4.5 corners 61.0% 62.3% — — 1.61
Aberdeen under 5.5 corners 53.6% 52.6% — — 1.90
Aberdeen over 5.5 corners 46.4% 47.4% — — 2.11
Aberdeen under 4.5 corners 39.0% 37.7% — — 2.65
Aberdeen over 6.5 corners 33.3% 33.3% — — 3.01
Aberdeen under 3.5 corners 24.7% 23.5% — — 4.26
Aberdeen under 2.5 corners 12.8% 13.8% — — 7.26
Home goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Aberdeen under 3.5 goals 97.9% 96.4% 92.1% 1.05× 1.04
Aberdeen under 2.5 goals 91.3% 92.2% 76.2% 1.21× 1.09
Aberdeen under 1.5 goals 72.3% 74.2% 51.4% 1.44× 1.35
Aberdeen over 0.5 goals 64.5% 63.6% 79.5% 0.80× 1.57
Aberdeen under 0.5 goals 35.5% 36.4% 20.5% 1.78× 2.75
Aberdeen over 1.5 goals 27.7% 25.8% 48.6% 0.53× 3.88
Aberdeen over 2.5 goals 8.7% 7.8% 23.8% 0.33× 12.83
Aberdeen over 3.5 goals 2.1% 3.6% 7.9% 0.46× 27.59
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Aberdeen under 1.5 in 1st half 92.6% 94.8% — — 1.06
Aberdeen under 0.5 in 1st half 64.1% 64.4% — — 1.55
Aberdeen over 0.5 in 1st half 35.9% 35.6% — — 2.81
Aberdeen over 1.5 in 1st half 7.4% 5.2% — — 19.10
Home highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Aberdeen scores equally in both 45.5% 47.1% — — 2.12
Aberdeen scores more in 2nd half 32.1% 33.2% — — 3.01
Aberdeen scores more in 1st half 22.4% 21.0% — — 4.77
Home no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Hibernian (home no bet) 65.6% 64.1% 57.0% 1.12× 1.56
Draw (home no bet) 34.4% 35.9% 43.0% 0.84× 2.79
Home Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Aberdeen even goals 56.3% 55.3% 51.7% 1.07× 1.81
Aberdeen odd goals 43.7% 44.7% 48.3% 0.93× 2.24
HT correct score 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
HT 0-0 34.8% 33.6% — — 2.98
HT 0-1 21.2% 24.4% — — 4.11
HT 1-0 15.6% 18.5% — — 5.40
HT 1-1 9.4% 6.9% — — 14.51
HT 0-2 6.4% 6.9% — — 14.56
HT 2-0 3.5% 2.4% — — 42.19
Any other HT score 3.4% 2.4% — — 42.20
HT 1-2 2.9% 2.4% — — 42.23
HT 2-1 2.1% 2.4% — — 42.28
HT 2-2 0.6% 2.4% — — 42.38
HT/FT 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Hibernian at HT / Hibernian at FT 27.1% 27.3% — — 3.66
Draw at HT / Hibernian at FT 18.7% 16.8% — — 5.96
Draw at HT / Draw at FT 15.9% 16.8% — — 5.97
Aberdeen at HT / Aberdeen at FT 14.3% 12.7% — — 7.88
Draw at HT / Aberdeen at FT 10.3% 12.6% — — 7.91
Aberdeen at HT / Draw at FT 5.1% 6.0% — — 16.55
Hibernian at HT / Draw at FT 4.4% 3.5% — — 28.88
Aberdeen at HT / Hibernian at FT 2.8% 3.5% — — 28.93
Hibernian at HT / Aberdeen at FT 1.4% 3.5% — — 28.98
Last goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Hibernian to score last 54.9% 52.3% — — 1.91
Aberdeen to score last 37.5% 38.7% — — 2.59
No goal scored 7.6% 7.6% — — 13.20
Lead at any time 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time 92.4% 92.5% — — 1.08
Hibernian to lead by 1 at any time 62.5% 61.2% — — 1.63
Either team to lead by 2 at any time 44.4% 39.3% — — 2.55
Aberdeen to lead by 1 at any time 42.7% 39.2% — — 2.55
Hibernian to lead by 2 at any time 30.4% 29.6% — — 3.37
Either team to lead by 3 at any time 15.6% 14.8% — — 6.76
Aberdeen to lead by 2 at any time 14.1% 10.6% — — 9.41
Hibernian to lead by 3 at any time 11.8% 10.6% — — 9.45
Aberdeen to lead by 3 at any time 3.8% 1.6% — — 61.63
Most corners 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Aberdeen most corners 51.3% 51.6% — — 1.94
Hibernian most corners 38.0% 39.4% — — 2.54
Corners level 10.7% 10.4% — — 9.59
Multi goal 15
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-5 goals 87.8% 87.4% 87.0% 1.00× 1.14
1-4 goals 80.8% 83.4% 79.8% 1.05× 1.20
2-6 goals 70.7% 72.3% 76.7% 0.94× 1.38
2-5 goals 67.7% 68.8% 71.1% 0.97× 1.45
1-3 goals 66.9% 68.8% 61.6% 1.12× 1.45
2-4 goals 60.6% 63.3% 63.8% 0.99× 1.58
2-3 goals 46.8% 48.4% 45.7% 1.06× 2.06
1-2 goals 45.3% 48.4% 37.6% 1.29× 2.06
3-6 goals 45.5% 48.4% 55.2% 0.88× 2.06
3-5 goals 42.5% 43.6% 49.6% 0.88× 2.29
3-4 goals 35.4% 39.2% 42.4% 0.92× 2.55
4-6 goals 23.9% 24.5% 31.2% 0.78× 4.09
4-5 goals 20.9% 24.4% 25.6% 0.95× 4.09
5-6 goals 10.1% 14.8% 13.0% 1.14× 6.76
7+ goals 1.6% 2.6% 1.9% 1.37× 39.20
Never down 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Hibernian never behind 49.7% 56.9% — — 1.76
Aberdeen never behind 29.8% 30.0% — — 3.33
Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of goals 50.0% 50.9% 48.8% 1.04× 1.97
Even number of goals 50.0% 49.1% 51.2% 0.96× 2.04
Odd/Even 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 1st half 56.0% 57.7% — — 1.73
Odd goals in 1st half 44.0% 42.3% — — 2.37
Odd/Even 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 2nd half 52.4% 52.0% — — 1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half 47.6% 48.0% — — 2.08
Over/Under 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 5.5 goals 95.4% 95.4% 92.6% 1.03× 1.05
Over 0.5 goals 92.4% 92.3% 94.2% 0.98× 1.08
Under 4.5 goals 88.4% 87.6% 85.3% 1.03× 1.14
Under 3.5 goals 74.6% 72.5% 67.1% 1.08× 1.38
Over 1.5 goals 72.2% 72.5% 78.3% 0.93× 1.38
Under 2.5 goals 53.0% 52.5% 43.2% 1.22× 1.90
Over 2.5 goals 47.0% 47.5% 56.8% 0.84× 2.11
Under 1.5 goals 27.8% 27.5% 21.7% 1.27× 3.63
Over 3.5 goals 25.4% 27.5% 32.9% 0.84× 3.64
Over 4.5 goals 11.6% 12.4% 14.7% 0.84× 8.07
Under 0.5 goals 7.6% 7.7% 5.8% 1.34× 12.93
Over 5.5 goals 4.6% 4.6% 7.4% 0.62× 21.80
Over/Under (whole line) 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6) 98.4% 97.2% 98.0% 0.99× 1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5) 95.1% 97.2% 92.0% 1.06× 1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4) 86.5% 86.7% 82.1% 1.06× 1.15
Under 3 (void on exactly 3) 67.5% 67.5% 56.8% 1.19× 1.48
Over 2 (void on exactly 2) 62.9% 61.9% 72.4% 0.86× 1.62
Under 2 (void on exactly 2) 37.1% 38.1% 27.6% 1.38× 2.63
Over 3 (void on exactly 3) 32.5% 32.5% 43.2% 0.75× 3.08
Over 4 (void on exactly 4) 13.5% 13.3% 17.9% 0.74× 7.54
Over 5 (void on exactly 5) 4.9% 2.8% 8.0% 0.35× 35.55
Over 6 (void on exactly 6) 1.6% 2.8% 2.0% 1.42× 35.65
Over/Under 1HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half 91.0% 92.7% — — 1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half 71.6% 71.3% — — 1.40
Over 0.5 in 1st half 65.2% 68.6% — — 1.46
Under 0.5 in 1st half 34.8% 31.4% — — 3.18
Over 1.5 in 1st half 28.4% 28.7% — — 3.48
Over 2.5 in 1st half 9.0% 7.3% — — 13.70
Over/Under 2HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half 80.8% 82.9% — — 1.21
Over 0.5 in 2nd half 77.8% 79.6% — — 1.26
Under 1.5 in 2nd half 55.8% 55.2% — — 1.81
Over 1.5 in 2nd half 44.2% 44.8% — — 2.23
Under 0.5 in 2nd half 22.2% 20.4% — — 4.90
Over 2.5 in 2nd half 19.2% 17.1% — — 5.84
Score both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Aberdeen not to score in both halves 84.0% 84.4% — — 1.19
Hibernian not to score in both halves 72.7% 73.9% — — 1.35
Hibernian to score in both halves 27.3% 26.1% — — 3.83
Aberdeen to score in both halves 16.0% 15.6% — — 6.40
Teams to score 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams score 50.3% 53.8% 52.3% 1.03× 1.86
Only Hibernian scores 27.9% 26.1% 14.9% 1.75× 3.83
Only Aberdeen scores 14.3% 11.0% 27.5% 0.40× 9.06
Neither team scores 7.6% 7.1% 5.8% 1.23× 14.00
Total goals 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Exactly 2 goals 25.2% 24.9% 21.7% 1.15× 4.02
Exactly 3 goals 21.6% 22.6% 24.2% 0.93× 4.43
Exactly 1 goals 20.1% 22.6% 16.1% 1.40× 4.43
Exactly 4 goals 13.8% 12.1% 18.4% 0.66× 8.25
Exactly 0 goals 7.6% 7.6% 5.8% 1.32× 13.14
Exactly 5 goals 7.1% 7.6% 7.4% 1.02× 13.14
6 or more goals 4.6% 4.5% 7.4% 0.60× 22.33
Total goals 1st half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1 goal in 1st half 36.8% 37.3% — — 2.68
No goals in 1st half 34.8% 35.7% — — 2.80
2 goals in 1st half 19.3% 15.7% — — 6.36
3+ goals in 1st half 9.0% 7.3% — — 13.70
Total goals 2nd half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half 44.2% 44.8% — — 2.23
1 goal in 2nd half 33.5% 33.9% — — 2.95
No goals in 2nd half 22.2% 22.9% — — 4.37
Win both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Aberdeen not to win both halves 95.0% 94.2% — — 1.06
Hibernian not to win both halves 86.4% 87.9% — — 1.14
Hibernian to win both halves 13.6% 12.1% — — 8.27
Aberdeen to win both halves 5.0% 5.8% — — 17.30
Win either half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Hibernian to win either half 60.7% 64.9% — — 1.54
Aberdeen to win neither half 60.1% 64.9% — — 1.54
Aberdeen to win either half 39.9% 35.1% — — 2.85
Hibernian to win neither half 39.3% 35.1% — — 2.85
Win to nil 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Aberdeen not to win to nil 85.7% 88.1% 72.5% 1.21× 1.14
Hibernian not to win to nil 72.1% 75.3% 85.1% 0.88× 1.33
Hibernian to win to nil 27.9% 24.7% 14.9% 1.66× 4.05
Aberdeen to win to nil 14.3% 11.9% 27.5% 0.43× 8.41
Winning margin 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw 25.4% 27.9% 23.3% 1.19× 3.59
Hibernian by 1 24.0% 24.1% 17.8% 1.36× 4.15
Aberdeen by 1 16.4% 17.0% 19.6% 0.87× 5.87
Hibernian by 2 14.7% 11.8% 7.6% 1.54× 8.50
Hibernian by 3+ 9.9% 7.2% 6.0% 1.20× 13.90
Aberdeen by 2 6.8% 7.2% 14.5% 0.50× 13.91
Aberdeen by 3+ 2.7% 2.7% 12.2% 0.22× 36.89
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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