AC Milan v Cagliari — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Saturday 11 January 2025 · ITA-Serie A · 2425
Serie A
xG
Shots
24 – 6
On target
11 – 2
Shots in box
11 – 3
xG per shot
0.11 – 0.05
Set-piece xG
0.20 – 0.00
Goals − xG
-1.63 – +0.69
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals.
A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its
line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.
Expected goals by minute
AC Milan 2.63 xGCagliari 0.31 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance;
filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings;
lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping.
Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.
Shot map
AC Milan attacking right
Cagliari attacking left
Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.
Every shot
| Min | Team | Player | xG | Situation | Body part | Result | Assisted by |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6' |
 Cagliari |
Nicolas Viola | 0.12 | Open Play | Left Foot | Missed Shot | Gabriele Zappa |
| 8' |
 AC Milan |
Rafael Leão | 0.01 | Open Play | Right Foot | Saved Shot | — |
| 13' |
AC Milan |
Theo Hernández | 0.03 | From Corner | Left Foot | Blocked Shot | — |
| 17' |
AC Milan |
Christian Pulisic | 0.02 | Open Play | Left Foot | Saved Shot | — |
| 17' |
AC Milan |
Davide Calabria | 0.12 | Open Play | Left Foot | Blocked Shot | Christian Pulisic |
| 19' |
AC Milan |
Tijjani Reijnders | 0.07 | Open Play | Right Foot | Saved Shot | Christian Pulisic |
| 31' |
AC Milan |
Youssouf Fofana | 0.01 | Open Play | Right Foot | Missed Shot | Theo Hernández |
| 36' |
AC Milan |
Álvaro Morata | 0.03 | Open Play | Left Foot | Blocked Shot | Christian Pulisic |
| 37' |
Cagliari |
Roberto Piccoli | 0.06 | Open Play | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | — |
| 39' |
Cagliari |
Mattia Felici | 0.02 | Open Play | Right Foot | Saved Shot | Antoine Makoumbou |
| 41' |
AC Milan |
Christian Pulisic | 0.07 | Open Play | Right Foot | Missed Shot | Rafael Leão |
| 42' |
Cagliari |
Roberto Piccoli | 0.05 | Open Play | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | Ndary Adopo |
| 46' |
AC Milan |
Christian Pulisic | 0.06 | Set Piece | Right Foot | Shot On Post | — |
| 49' |
AC Milan |
Álvaro Morata | 0.05 | Open Play | Left Foot | Saved Shot | Theo Hernández |
| 50' |
AC Milan |
Christian Pulisic | 0.29 | Open Play | Right Foot | Saved Shot | Theo Hernández |
| 50' |
AC Milan |
Álvaro Morata | 0.68 | Open Play | Right Foot | Goal | — |
| 54' |
Cagliari |
Nadir Zortea | 0.05 | Open Play | Right Foot | Goal | Mattia Felici |
| 56' |
AC Milan |
Youssouf Fofana | 0.02 | Open Play | Right Foot | Saved Shot | Fikayo Tomori |
| 60' |
AC Milan |
Christian Pulisic | 0.33 | Open Play | Right Foot | Saved Shot | Rafael Leão |
| 61' |
AC Milan |
Theo Hernández | 0.05 | From Corner | Left Foot | Missed Shot | Yunus Musah |
| 66' |
AC Milan |
Theo Hernández | 0.02 | Open Play | Left Foot | Saved Shot | Alejandro Jiménez |
| 71' |
AC Milan |
Tijjani Reijnders | 0.02 | Open Play | Right Foot | Missed Shot | Theo Hernández |
| 78' |
AC Milan |
Tammy Abraham | 0.51 | Open Play | — | Missed Shot | — |
| 79' |
AC Milan |
Tammy Abraham | 0.13 | Open Play | Left Foot | Saved Shot | Álvaro Morata |
| 83' |
AC Milan |
Youssouf Fofana | 0.01 | Open Play | Right Foot | Missed Shot | Fikayo Tomori |
| 85' |
AC Milan |
Rafael Leão | 0.02 | Open Play | Right Foot | Missed Shot | Malick Thiaw |
| 89' |
AC Milan |
Álvaro Morata | 0.02 | Open Play | — | Missed Shot | Christian Pulisic |
| 92' |
Cagliari |
Razvan Marin | 0.01 | Open Play | Right Foot | Missed Shot | Nadir Zortea |
| 95' |
AC Milan |
Theo Hernández | 0.05 | Set Piece | Left Foot | Saved Shot | Tijjani Reijnders |
| 96' |
AC Milan |
Alejandro Jiménez | 0.01 | Set Piece | Right Foot | Missed Shot | — |
Players
AC Milan
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | KP | xG | xA | xGChain |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Álvaro Morata FW | 90 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0.78 | 0.13 | 0.95 |
| Christian Pulisic FWR | 90 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 0.76 | 0.24 | 0.98 |
| Theo Hernández DL | 90 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0.15 | 0.37 | 0.66 |
| Tijjani Reijnders MC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.09 | 0.05 | 0.67 |
| Youssouf Fofana MC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.86 |
| Malick Thiaw DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 0.69 |
| Fikayo Tomori DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 0.60 |
| Mike Maignan GK | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.49 |
| Rafael Leão FWL | 88 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0.03 | 0.40 | 0.53 |
| Davide Calabria DR | 63 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.12 | 0.00 | 0.46 |
| Yunus Musah MC | 62 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.53 |
| Tammy Abraham Sub | 28 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.63 | 0.00 | 0.63 |
| Alejandro Jiménez Sub | 27 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.01 | 0.02 | 0.06 |
| Bob Omoregbe Sub | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Cagliari
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | KP | xG | xA | xGChain |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roberto Piccoli FW | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.11 | 0.00 | 0.23 |
| Nadir Zortea MR | 90 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.05 | 0.01 | 0.18 |
| Sebastiano Luperto DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Ndary Adopo MC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.06 |
| Gabriele Zappa DR | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Adam Obert DL | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Elia Caprile GK | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Mattia Felici ML | 81 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.02 | 0.05 | 0.07 |
| Antoine Makoumbou MC | 81 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 0.02 |
| José Luis Palomino DC | 78 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Nicolas Viola AMC | 65 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.12 | 0.00 | 0.12 |
| Alessandro Deiola Sub | 25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Mateusz Wieteska Sub | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Razvan Marin Sub | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.01 |
| Tommaso Augello Sub | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |