Academia Puerto Cabello v Carabobo FC — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Sunday 6 September 2026 · FIFA:2000000073 · 2627
FIFA:2000000073 results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
ai-blend v1.0 dailyRaw model output; no calibration record for this fixture's bands yet.
Top 5 scorelines
- 1-1 11.9%
- 1-0 10.8%
- 2-1 9.4%
- 2-0 8.6%
- 0-1 7.5%
Goals
| Over 2.5 | 50.4% | Under 2.5 | 49.6% |
| BTTS yes | 53.1% | BTTS no | 46.9% |
| Academia Puerto Cabello 1+ | 79.6% | Academia Puerto Cabello 2+ | 47.2% |
| Carabobo FC 1+ | 66.7% | Carabobo FC 2+ | 30.1% |
Expected goals 1.59 – 1.10. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.
Footing
Positive factors
- Academia Puerto Cabello carry the stronger rating, 1500 Elo against 1473.
- At home Academia Puerto Cabello average 1.35 xG a match.
Risk factors
- Data quality is 0/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
- Academia Puerto Cabello have only 0 matches on record.
Why the model thinks this
The price
Academia Puerto Cabello have an estimated 48.7% win probability, against 26.3% for Carabobo FC and 25.0% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.59 for Academia Puerto Cabello and 1.10 for Carabobo FC.
Why Academia Puerto Cabello
Academia Puerto Cabello carry the stronger rating, 1500 Elo against 1473. At home Academia Puerto Cabello average 1.35 xG a match.
Why the draw is live
The draw sits at 25.0%.
Why Carabobo FC can win
Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five. They have had 30 days' rest to Academia Puerto Cabello's 14.
Key players
No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.
Availability
No lineup on record for Academia Puerto Cabello, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Carabobo FC, so availability is unknown.
The matchup, as far as the data reaches
Academia Puerto Cabello: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Carabobo FC: 43% possession, 13.8 shots a match, 14.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.
Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-05 22:20 · team_stats 2026-09-05 09:41 · availability 2026-09-05 21:03 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·
Academia Puerto Cabello are the model's most likely outcome at 48.7%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 11.9%. Confidence 0/100, data quality 0/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.
Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.
Was this pick made in advance?
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ai-blend | 1.58–1.10 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.