Accrington Stanley v Newport County — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 19 September 2026 · ENG-League Two · 2627

ENG-League Two results-only Prediction generated 8 Sep 2026, 11:44 UTC

Accrington Stanley

14:00 UTC

Newport County

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 8 Sep, 07:54 · 270h before kick-off

Accrington Stanley win

48.8%

Draw

25.0%

Newport County win

26.2%

492526

Raw model output; no calibration record for this fixture's bands yet.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 11.9%
1-0 11.5%
2-1 9.4%
2-0 8.8%
0-1 7.9%

Goals

Over 2.5	48.8%	Under 2.5	51.2%
BTTS yes	51.6%	BTTS no	48.4%
Accrington Stanley 1+	78.9%	Accrington Stanley 2+	46.1%
Newport County 1+	65.6%	Newport County 2+	28.9%

Expected goals 1.56 – 1.07. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

27/100

Data quality

30/100

Model agreement

98%

★ Best pick

Accrington Stanley (DNB)

Draw no bet · usually 58%

66.9% fair odds 1.49

moderate signal · 3300 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Not both to score by HT

GG/NG half time

82.7% fair odds 1.21

moderate signal · 1599 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Accrington Stanley carry the stronger rating, 1514 Elo against 1486.
Form is good: 3.00 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

Data quality is 30/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
Accrington Stanley have only 1 matches on record.
Newport County have only 1 matches on record.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Accrington Stanley have an estimated 48.8% win probability, against 26.2% for Newport County and 25.0% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.56 for Accrington Stanley and 1.07 for Newport County.

Why Accrington Stanley

Accrington Stanley carry the stronger rating, 1514 Elo against 1486. Form is good: 3.00 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 25.0%.

Why Newport County can win

Nothing in the data singles out Newport County.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Accrington Stanley, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Newport County, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Accrington Stanley: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Newport County: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-08 10:52 · team_stats 2026-09-08 06:03 · availability 2026-09-08 11:54 · prediction 2026-09-08 11:44 ·

Accrington Stanley are the model's most likely outcome at 48.8%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 11.9%. Confidence 27/100, data quality 30/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	492526	1.56–1.07	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	502327	1.77–1.22	1-1 11%	57%	58%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Accrington Stanley to win	48.8%	47.8%	42.6%	1.12×	2.09
Newport County to win	26.2%	27.3%	31.3%	0.87×	3.66
Draw	25.0%	23.5%	26.2%	0.90×	4.26

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Accrington Stanley & not both score	27.3%	26.5%	23.4%	1.13×	3.78
Accrington Stanley & both teams score	21.5%	21.5%	19.4%	1.11×	4.65
Draw & both teams score	17.9%	18.2%	19.4%	0.94×	5.49
Newport County & not both score	14.0%	12.6%	17.1%	0.74×	7.91
Newport County & both teams score	12.2%	12.6%	14.4%	0.88×	7.91
Draw & not both score	7.1%	7.7%	6.9%	1.10×	13.04

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Accrington Stanley & over 1.5	37.4%	36.6%	30.5%	1.20×	2.73
Accrington Stanley & under 3.5	34.2%	31.8%	29.9%	1.06×	3.15
Accrington Stanley & over 2.5	28.6%	26.5%	23.9%	1.11×	3.78
Accrington Stanley & under 2.5	20.3%	21.8%	18.9%	1.15×	4.59
Draw & under 2.5	19.0%	17.7%	18.9%	0.94×	5.66
Draw & under 3.5	19.0%	17.7%	18.9%	0.94×	5.66
Newport County & under 3.5	19.9%	17.7%	23.9%	0.74×	5.66
Draw & over 1.5	17.9%	17.7%	19.4%	0.91×	5.66
Newport County & over 1.5	18.3%	17.7%	23.1%	0.77×	5.66
Accrington Stanley & over 3.5	14.6%	12.5%	12.9%	0.96×	8.03
Newport County & over 2.5	14.1%	12.5%	17.4%	0.71×	8.03
Accrington Stanley & under 1.5	11.5%	12.5%	12.3%	1.01×	8.03
Newport County & under 2.5	12.0%	12.5%	14.1%	0.89×	8.03
Draw & under 1.5	7.1%	7.6%	6.9%	1.09×	13.17
Draw & over 2.5	6.0%	7.6%	7.4%	1.02×	13.17
Draw & over 3.5	6.0%	7.6%	7.4%	1.02×	13.17
Newport County & under 1.5	7.9%	7.6%	8.4%	0.90×	13.17
Newport County & over 3.5	6.3%	7.6%	7.6%	1.00×	13.17

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Accrington Stanley (1UP)	63.1%	66.0%	—	—	1.52
Newport County (1UP)	43.2%	42.9%	—	—	2.33

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Accrington Stanley (2UP)	48.8%	51.4%	—	—	1.94
Newport County (2UP)	26.2%	27.3%	—	—	3.66

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Accrington Stanley to win 2nd half	39.3%	36.9%	—	—	2.71
2nd half drawn	35.8%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Newport County to win 2nd half	24.9%	22.4%	—	—	4.46

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Newport County (+2.5)	89.8%	87.4%	93.4%	0.94×	1.14
Newport County (+1.5)	75.0%	72.8%	81.3%	0.90×	1.37
Accrington Stanley (+0.5)	73.8%	72.8%	68.7%	1.06×	1.37
Newport County (+0.5)	51.2%	52.0%	57.4%	0.91×	1.92
Accrington Stanley (-0.5)	48.8%	48.0%	42.6%	1.13×	2.08
Newport County (-0.5)	26.2%	27.2%	31.3%	0.87×	3.68
Accrington Stanley (-1.5)	25.0%	27.2%	18.7%	1.45×	3.68
Accrington Stanley (-2.5)	10.2%	12.6%	6.6%	1.90×	7.94

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Newport County to concede	78.9%	78.6%	76.1%	1.03×	1.27
Newport County clean sheet	21.1%	21.4%	23.9%	0.89×	4.67

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Newport County clean sheet in 1st half	51.2%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Newport County to concede in 1st half	48.8%	46.8%	—	—	2.14

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Newport County under 3.5 goals	97.7%	97.3%	97.3%	1.00×	1.03
Newport County under 2.5 goals	90.7%	92.1%	88.5%	1.04×	1.09
Newport County under 1.5 goals	71.1%	71.3%	65.1%	1.09×	1.40
Newport County over 0.5 goals	65.6%	67.7%	69.8%	0.97×	1.48
Newport County under 0.5 goals	34.4%	32.3%	30.2%	1.07×	3.09
Newport County over 1.5 goals	28.9%	28.7%	34.9%	0.82×	3.48
Newport County over 2.5 goals	9.3%	7.9%	11.5%	0.69×	12.60
Newport County over 3.5 goals	2.3%	2.7%	2.7%	0.97×	37.47

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Newport County under 1.5 in 1st half	93.1%	93.6%	—	—	1.07
Newport County under 0.5 in 1st half	65.3%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Newport County over 0.5 in 1st half	34.7%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Newport County over 1.5 in 1st half	6.9%	6.4%	—	—	15.73

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Accrington Stanley (away no bet)	66.1%	66.7%	62.0%	1.08×	1.50
Draw (away no bet)	33.9%	33.3%	38.0%	0.88×	3.01

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Newport County even goals	55.9%	56.5%	55.9%	1.01×	1.77
Newport County odd goals	44.1%	43.5%	44.1%	0.99×	2.30

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	86.5%	86.8%	—	—	1.15
Both halves over 1.5 goals	13.5%	13.2%	—	—	7.60

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	61.5%	64.9%	—	—	1.54
Both halves under 1.5 goals	38.5%	35.1%	—	—	2.85

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	54.2%	52.2%	—	—	1.92
Accrington Stanley to score 2+ in a row	38.5%	36.2%	—	—	2.77
Newport County to score 2+ in a row	21.2%	21.2%	—	—	4.72
Either team to score 3+ in a row	19.1%	17.4%	—	—	5.75
Accrington Stanley to score 3+ in a row	14.1%	12.8%	—	—	7.81
Newport County to score 3+ in a row	5.1%	7.8%	—	—	12.86

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-0	11.5%	11.2%	12.3%	0.91×	8.90
1-1	11.9%	11.2%	12.1%	0.93×	8.90
0-0	7.1%	7.4%	6.9%	1.07×	13.48
0-1	7.9%	7.4%	8.4%	0.88×	13.48
1-2	6.4%	7.4%	7.8%	0.96×	13.49
2-0	8.8%	7.4%	6.8%	1.09×	13.48
2-1	9.4%	7.4%	8.6%	0.87×	13.48
2-2	5.0%	7.4%	6.3%	1.18×	13.49
0-2	4.1%	1.7%	5.8%	0.30×	58.10
0-3	1.5%	1.7%	2.4%	0.71×	58.11
0-4	0.4%	1.7%	1.0%	1.78×	58.11
1-3	2.3%	1.7%	3.6%	0.48×	58.10
1-4	0.6%	1.7%	1.5%	1.18×	58.11
2-3	1.8%	1.7%	1.6%	1.07×	58.11
2-4	0.5%	1.7%	0.3%	5.33×	58.11
3-0	4.6%	1.7%	2.7%	0.63×	58.10
3-1	4.9%	1.7%	5.0%	0.34×	58.10
3-2	2.6%	1.7%	3.2%	0.53×	58.10
3-3	0.9%	1.7%	1.3%	1.33×	58.11
3-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.2%	10.65×	58.11
4-0	1.8%	1.7%	1.5%	1.18×	58.11
4-1	1.9%	1.7%	1.3%	1.33×	58.11
4-2	1.0%	1.7%	0.6%	2.66×	58.11
4-3	0.4%	1.7%	0.5%	3.55×	58.11
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.2%	10.65×	58.11
Any other score	2.6%	1.7%	2.1%	0.82×	58.10

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Accrington Stanley leading at HT (DNB)	64.0%	63.1%	—	—	1.59
Newport County leading at HT (DNB)	36.0%	36.9%	—	—	2.71

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Accrington Stanley or Newport County (12)	75.0%	76.5%	73.8%	1.04×	1.31
Accrington Stanley or draw (1X)	73.8%	72.7%	68.7%	1.06×	1.38
Newport County or draw (X2)	51.2%	52.2%	57.4%	0.91×	1.92

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Accrington Stanley or draw at HT	79.7%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Newport County or draw at HT	63.9%	62.7%	—	—	1.59
Accrington Stanley or Newport County at HT	56.4%	57.2%	—	—	1.75

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Accrington Stanley or draw (1UP)	73.8%	79.6%	—	—	1.26
Newport County or draw (1UP)	51.2%	60.2%	—	—	1.66

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Accrington Stanley or draw in 2nd half	75.1%	77.6%	—	—	1.29
Accrington Stanley or Newport County in 2nd half	64.2%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Newport County or draw in 2nd half	60.7%	63.1%	—	—	1.58

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	64.0%	60.2%	—	—	1.66
Neither half drawn	36.0%	39.8%	—	—	2.51

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Accrington Stanley (DNB)	65.1%	66.9%	57.6%	1.16×	1.49
Newport County (DNB)	34.9%	33.1%	42.4%	0.78×	3.03

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Accrington Stanley to score first	55.1%	59.3%	—	—	1.69
Newport County to score first	37.8%	37.2%	—	—	2.69
No goal scored	7.1%	6.3%	—	—	15.89

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	51.6%	51.8%	52.8%	0.98×	1.93
Not both teams to score	48.4%	48.2%	47.2%	1.02×	2.08

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	39.7%	38.0%	40.9%	0.93×	2.63
Not both score & under 2.5	39.4%	38.0%	39.6%	0.96×	2.63
Both score & under 2.5	11.9%	11.9%	12.1%	0.98×	8.41
Not both score & over 2.5	9.0%	8.5%	7.8%	1.09×	11.81

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	86.7%	85.9%	86.3%	1.00×	1.16
Both teams to score 2+	13.3%	14.1%	13.7%	1.03×	7.10

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	72.2%	71.4%	—	—	1.40
Both teams to score in 2nd half	27.8%	28.6%	—	—	3.50

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	60.0%	61.1%	—	—	1.64
Both score 2nd half only	23.0%	23.3%	—	—	4.29
Both score 1st half only	12.2%	11.9%	—	—	8.40
Both score in both halves	4.7%	4.6%	—	—	21.60

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	83.1%	82.7%	—	—	1.21
Both teams to score by HT	16.9%	17.3%	—	—	5.78

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	52.1%	52.5%	—	—	1.90
A half without a goal	47.9%	47.5%	—	—	2.11

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	46.6%	46.6%	45.2%	1.03×	2.15
0-1 goals	26.4%	27.3%	27.3%	1.00×	3.66
4-6 goals	25.1%	27.3%	26.3%	1.04×	3.66
7+ goals	1.8%	2.0%	1.5%	1.37×	50.26

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Newport County to score exactly 1	36.7%	36.0%	35.1%	1.03×	2.78
Newport County to score exactly 0	34.4%	32.5%	30.2%	1.07×	3.08
Newport County to score exactly 2	19.6%	18.4%	23.6%	0.78×	5.43
Newport County to score 3+	9.3%	8.7%	11.5%	0.76×	11.52

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Accrington Stanley to score exactly 1	32.8%	32.1%	36.7%	0.88×	3.12
Accrington Stanley to score exactly 2	25.6%	26.4%	23.1%	1.14×	3.79
Accrington Stanley to score exactly 0	21.1%	22.9%	23.9%	0.96×	4.37
Accrington Stanley to score 3+	20.6%	22.9%	16.6%	1.38×	4.37

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	43.6%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Accrington Stanley leading at HT	36.1%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
Newport County leading at HT	20.3%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Accrington Stanley -1: 2	51.2%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Accrington Stanley -1: 1	25.0%	26.9%	—	—	3.72
Accrington Stanley -1: X	23.8%	23.2%	—	—	4.30

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Newport County (0:1)	51.2%	52.0%	57.4%	0.91×	1.92
Accrington Stanley (0:1)	25.0%	27.4%	18.7%	1.46×	3.65
Draw (0:1)	23.8%	23.5%	24.1%	0.98×	4.25

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Newport County (0:2)	75.0%	74.5%	81.3%	0.92×	1.34
Draw (0:2)	14.8%	11.4%	12.3%	0.93×	8.78
Accrington Stanley (0:2)	10.2%	11.4%	6.6%	1.72×	8.79

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Newport County (0:3)	89.8%	88.6%	93.4%	0.95×	1.13
Draw (0:3)	6.8%	6.4%	4.0%	1.59×	15.57
Accrington Stanley (0:3)	3.4%	2.6%	2.7%	0.93×	38.96

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Newport County (0:4)	96.6%	97.7%	97.3%	1.00×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	2.5%	1.4%	1.9%	0.73×	70.54
Accrington Stanley (0:4)	1.0%	1.4%	1.0%	1.46×	70.59

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Accrington Stanley (1:0)	73.8%	71.7%	68.7%	1.04×	1.39
Draw (1:0)	16.4%	17.5%	17.4%	1.01×	5.70
Newport County (1:0)	9.8%	7.5%	14.1%	0.53×	13.30

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Accrington Stanley (2:0)	90.2%	92.9%	85.9%	1.08×	1.08
Draw (2:0)	6.9%	6.7%	9.4%	0.71×	14.99
Newport County (2:0)	2.9%	2.8%	4.8%	0.57×	36.35

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	47.4%	48.6%	—	—	2.06
1st half highest scoring	27.4%	26.2%	—	—	3.82
Halves equal	25.3%	26.2%	—	—	3.82

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Accrington Stanley to concede	65.6%	68.3%	69.8%	0.98×	1.46
Accrington Stanley clean sheet	34.4%	31.7%	30.2%	1.05×	3.16

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Accrington Stanley clean sheet in 1st half	65.3%	66.5%	—	—	1.50
Accrington Stanley to concede in 1st half	34.7%	33.5%	—	—	2.98

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Accrington Stanley under 3.5 goals	92.7%	92.3%	95.0%	0.97×	1.08
Accrington Stanley under 2.5 goals	79.4%	77.9%	83.4%	0.93×	1.28
Accrington Stanley over 0.5 goals	78.9%	77.9%	76.1%	1.02×	1.28
Accrington Stanley under 1.5 goals	53.9%	53.3%	60.4%	0.88×	1.88
Accrington Stanley over 1.5 goals	46.1%	46.7%	39.6%	1.18×	2.14
Accrington Stanley under 0.5 goals	21.1%	22.1%	23.9%	0.92×	4.53
Accrington Stanley over 2.5 goals	20.6%	22.1%	16.6%	1.33×	4.53
Accrington Stanley over 3.5 goals	7.3%	7.7%	5.0%	1.53×	13.04

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Accrington Stanley under 1.5 in 1st half	85.5%	87.2%	—	—	1.15
Accrington Stanley under 0.5 in 1st half	51.2%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Accrington Stanley over 0.5 in 1st half	48.8%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Accrington Stanley over 1.5 in 1st half	14.5%	12.8%	—	—	7.82

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Newport County (home no bet)	51.1%	52.1%	54.5%	0.96×	1.92
Draw (home no bet)	48.9%	47.9%	45.5%	1.05×	2.09

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Accrington Stanley even goals	52.2%	50.9%	50.4%	1.01×	1.96
Accrington Stanley odd goals	47.8%	49.1%	49.6%	0.99×	2.04

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	33.4%	32.2%	—	—	3.10
HT 1-0	22.4%	22.2%	—	—	4.51
HT 0-1	14.3%	11.0%	—	—	9.12
HT 1-1	9.5%	8.0%	—	—	12.44
HT 2-0	7.5%	8.0%	—	—	12.46
Any other HT score	4.0%	2.5%	—	—	40.37
HT 0-2	3.0%	2.5%	—	—	40.41
HT 2-1	3.2%	2.5%	—	—	40.40
HT 1-2	2.0%	2.5%	—	—	40.46
HT 2-2	0.7%	2.5%	—	—	40.52

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Accrington Stanley at HT / Accrington Stanley at FT	29.2%	26.3%	—	—	3.80
Draw at HT / Accrington Stanley at FT	17.2%	17.2%	—	—	5.82
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	15.4%	17.2%	—	—	5.83
Newport County at HT / Newport County at FT	13.4%	12.2%	—	—	8.20
Draw at HT / Newport County at FT	11.0%	12.2%	—	—	8.22
Accrington Stanley at HT / Draw at FT	5.1%	6.4%	—	—	15.60
Newport County at HT / Draw at FT	4.5%	3.7%	—	—	27.27
Newport County at HT / Accrington Stanley at FT	2.4%	3.7%	—	—	27.33
Accrington Stanley at HT / Newport County at FT	1.8%	3.7%	—	—	27.34

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Accrington Stanley to score last	55.1%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Newport County to score last	37.8%	37.9%	—	—	2.64
No goal scored	7.1%	6.3%	—	—	15.89

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	92.9%	93.6%	—	—	1.07
Accrington Stanley to lead by 1 at any time	63.1%	64.0%	—	—	1.56
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	45.5%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
Newport County to lead by 1 at any time	43.2%	41.3%	—	—	2.42
Accrington Stanley to lead by 2 at any time	31.1%	31.6%	—	—	3.16
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	16.3%	17.3%	—	—	5.79
Newport County to lead by 2 at any time	14.6%	11.0%	—	—	9.08
Accrington Stanley to lead by 3 at any time	12.3%	11.0%	—	—	9.11
Newport County to lead by 3 at any time	4.0%	2.5%	—	—	40.18

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	87.8%	87.2%	89.7%	0.97×	1.15
1-4 goals	80.3%	82.0%	82.1%	1.00×	1.22
2-6 goals	71.8%	72.1%	71.4%	1.01×	1.39
2-5 goals	68.5%	68.2%	69.3%	0.98×	1.47
1-3 goals	66.0%	68.2%	65.6%	1.04×	1.47
2-4 goals	61.0%	62.7%	61.7%	1.02×	1.60
3-6 goals	47.0%	47.4%	47.2%	1.00×	2.11
2-3 goals	46.6%	47.4%	45.2%	1.05×	2.11
1-2 goals	44.2%	43.7%	44.8%	0.98×	2.29
3-5 goals	43.7%	43.7%	45.1%	0.97×	2.29
3-4 goals	36.2%	39.0%	37.5%	1.04×	2.56
4-6 goals	25.1%	28.5%	26.3%	1.08×	3.51
4-5 goals	21.8%	23.8%	24.2%	0.98×	4.20
5-6 goals	10.8%	13.5%	9.9%	1.37×	7.41
7+ goals	1.8%	2.2%	1.5%	1.54×	44.60

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Accrington Stanley never behind	49.7%	55.6%	—	—	1.80
Newport County never behind	29.9%	31.1%	—	—	3.21

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	50.1%	50.0%	49.6%	1.01×	2.00
Even number of goals	49.9%	50.0%	50.4%	0.99×	2.00

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	55.5%	55.1%	—	—	1.82
Odd goals in 1st half	44.5%	44.9%	—	—	2.23

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.2%	51.5%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 2nd half	47.8%	48.5%	—	—	2.06

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	94.9%	92.3%	96.4%	0.96×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	92.9%	92.3%	93.1%	0.99×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	87.4%	87.7%	88.9%	0.99×	1.14
Over 1.5 goals	73.6%	72.2%	72.7%	0.99×	1.39
Under 3.5 goals	73.1%	72.2%	72.4%	1.00×	1.39
Under 2.5 goals	51.2%	52.1%	51.5%	1.01×	1.92
Over 2.5 goals	48.8%	47.9%	48.5%	0.99×	2.09
Over 3.5 goals	26.9%	27.8%	27.6%	1.01×	3.60
Under 1.5 goals	26.4%	27.8%	27.3%	1.02×	3.60
Over 4.5 goals	12.6%	12.3%	11.1%	1.10×	8.14
Under 0.5 goals	7.1%	7.7%	6.9%	1.11×	12.95
Over 5.5 goals	5.1%	7.7%	3.6%	2.17×	12.95

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	98.1%	97.3%	98.5%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	94.5%	92.0%	96.2%	0.96×	1.09
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	85.3%	86.6%	86.7%	1.00×	1.15
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	65.6%	67.4%	65.1%	1.04×	1.48
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	64.8%	62.0%	64.0%	0.97×	1.61
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	35.2%	38.0%	36.0%	1.05×	2.63
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	34.4%	32.6%	34.9%	0.93×	3.07
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	14.7%	13.4%	13.3%	1.00×	7.49
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	5.5%	8.0%	3.8%	2.07×	12.56
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	1.9%	2.7%	1.5%	1.83×	36.70

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	90.1%	91.6%	—	—	1.09
Under 1.5 in 1st half	70.1%	73.4%	—	—	1.36
Over 0.5 in 1st half	66.6%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Under 0.5 in 1st half	33.4%	32.4%	—	—	3.08
Over 1.5 in 1st half	29.9%	26.7%	—	—	3.75
Over 2.5 in 1st half	9.9%	8.4%	—	—	11.90

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	80.2%	82.6%	—	—	1.21
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	78.4%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	45.1%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	54.9%	49.9%	—	—	2.00
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	21.6%	20.2%	—	—	4.96
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	19.8%	17.4%	—	—	5.75

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Newport County not to score in both halves	83.6%	81.3%	—	—	1.23
Accrington Stanley not to score in both halves	71.3%	72.7%	—	—	1.38
Accrington Stanley to score in both halves	28.7%	27.3%	—	—	3.67
Newport County to score in both halves	16.4%	18.7%	—	—	5.35

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	51.6%	54.5%	52.8%	1.03×	1.84
Only Accrington Stanley scores	27.3%	25.5%	23.4%	1.09×	3.93
Only Newport County scores	14.0%	11.1%	17.1%	0.65×	9.04
Neither team scores	7.1%	7.2%	6.9%	1.03×	13.97

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	24.8%	22.3%	24.4%	0.91×	4.48
Exactly 3 goals	21.8%	22.3%	21.0%	1.06×	4.48
Exactly 1 goals	19.4%	17.6%	20.5%	0.86×	5.69
Exactly 4 goals	14.3%	12.3%	16.6%	0.74×	8.13
Exactly 5 goals	7.5%	7.8%	7.8%	1.00×	12.89
Exactly 0 goals	7.1%	7.8%	6.9%	1.12×	12.89
6 or more goals	5.1%	7.8%	3.6%	2.18×	12.89

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	45.1%	49.9%	—	—	2.01
1 goal in 2nd half	33.3%	34.3%	—	—	2.91
No goals in 2nd half	21.6%	20.1%	—	—	4.97

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Newport County not to win both halves	95.0%	92.3%	—	—	1.08
Accrington Stanley not to win both halves	85.8%	87.9%	—	—	1.14
Accrington Stanley to win both halves	14.2%	12.1%	—	—	8.26
Newport County to win both halves	5.0%	7.7%	—	—	12.99

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Accrington Stanley to win either half	61.3%	64.1%	—	—	1.56
Newport County to win neither half	59.8%	57.3%	—	—	1.75
Newport County to win either half	40.2%	42.7%	—	—	2.34
Accrington Stanley to win neither half	38.7%	35.9%	—	—	2.78

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Newport County not to win to nil	86.0%	88.1%	82.9%	1.06×	1.14
Accrington Stanley not to win to nil	72.7%	74.8%	76.6%	0.98×	1.34
Accrington Stanley to win to nil	27.3%	25.2%	23.4%	1.08×	3.96
Newport County to win to nil	14.0%	11.9%	17.1%	0.70×	8.39

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	25.0%	23.3%	26.2%	0.89×	4.29
Accrington Stanley by 1	23.8%	23.3%	24.1%	0.97×	4.29
Newport County by 1	16.4%	17.3%	17.4%	0.99×	5.78
Accrington Stanley by 2	14.8%	11.8%	12.3%	0.96×	8.46
Accrington Stanley by 3+	10.2%	11.8%	6.6%	1.78×	8.46
Newport County by 2	6.9%	7.3%	9.4%	0.78×	13.66
Newport County by 3+	2.9%	3.0%	4.8%	0.61×	33.82