ADO Den Haag v FC Utrecht — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 28 November 2026 · NED-Eredivisie · 2627

Eredivisie results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

ADO Den Haag

20:00 UTC

FC Utrecht

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 24 Oct, 10:57 · 849h before kick-off

ADO Den Haag win

36.7%

model 37.4%

Draw

26.6%

model 25.3%

FC Utrecht win

36.7%

model 37.2%

372737

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (648 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 11.2%
2-1 8.3%
1-2 8.3%
2-2 6.8%
2-0 5.1%

Goals

Over 2.5	63.7%	Under 2.5	36.3%
BTTS yes	66.1%	BTTS no	33.9%
ADO Den Haag 1+	80.7%	ADO Den Haag 2+	48.9%
FC Utrecht 1+	80.6%	FC Utrecht 2+	48.7%

Expected goals 1.64 – 1.64. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

67/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

84%

★ Best pick

3-6 goals

Multi goal · usually 56%

58.5% fair odds 1.71

moderate signal · 2005 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Under 2.5 in 1st half

Over/Under 1HT

84.0% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 388 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

ADO Den Haag carry the stronger rating, 1610 Elo against 1571.

Risk factors

The component models disagree more than usual (agreement 0.83).

Why the model thinks this

The price

ADO Den Haag have an estimated 36.7% win probability, against 36.7% for FC Utrecht and 26.6% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.64 for ADO Den Haag and 1.64 for FC Utrecht.

Why ADO Den Haag

ADO Den Haag carry the stronger rating, 1610 Elo against 1571.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 26.6%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.64 to 1.64. Draws run at 26% in this competition.

Why FC Utrecht can win

Nothing in the data singles out FC Utrecht.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for ADO Den Haag, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for FC Utrecht, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

ADO Den Haag: 49% possession, 14.2 shots a match, 17.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. FC Utrecht: 44% possession, 11.6 shots a match, 19.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. ADO Den Haag's shot volume meets a defence that concedes shots freely.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-24 13:59 · team_stats 2026-10-24 06:04 · availability 2026-10-24 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

ADO Den Haag are the model's most likely outcome at 36.7%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 11.2%. Confidence 67/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	372537	1.64–1.64	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	232354	1.32–2.07	1-1 10%	66%	65%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Utrecht to win	53.7%	51.5%	30.1%	1.71×	1.94
Draw	23.2%	24.4%	25.6%	0.96×	4.09
ADO Den Haag to win	23.1%	24.4%	44.4%	0.55×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Utrecht & both teams score	31.4%	29.6%	17.2%	1.72×	3.38
FC Utrecht & not both score	22.4%	21.8%	13.1%	1.67×	4.59
Draw & both teams score	18.8%	18.0%	22.2%	0.81×	5.56
ADO Den Haag & both teams score	14.9%	13.3%	21.2%	0.63×	7.53
ADO Den Haag & not both score	8.2%	8.3%	23.4%	0.36×	12.01
Draw & not both score	4.4%	4.9%	3.5%	1.39×	20.57

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Utrecht & over 1.5	47.8%	45.1%	26.2%	1.72×	2.22
FC Utrecht & over 2.5	40.5%	40.2%	20.4%	1.97×	2.49
FC Utrecht & under 3.5	27.7%	26.1%	19.9%	1.31×	3.84
FC Utrecht & over 3.5	26.0%	26.1%	10.4%	2.52×	3.84
ADO Den Haag & over 1.5	19.7%	18.0%	36.2%	0.50×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	18.8%	18.0%	22.2%	0.81×	5.56
ADO Den Haag & over 2.5	16.7%	18.0%	28.9%	0.62×	5.56
Draw & under 2.5	14.6%	12.8%	15.1%	0.85×	7.79
Draw & under 3.5	14.6%	12.8%	15.1%	0.85×	7.79
ADO Den Haag & under 3.5	13.7%	12.8%	27.5%	0.47×	7.79
FC Utrecht & under 2.5	13.2%	12.8%	9.9%	1.30×	7.79
ADO Den Haag & over 3.5	9.4%	7.9%	17.0%	0.46×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	8.6%	7.9%	10.7%	0.74×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	8.6%	7.9%	10.7%	0.74×	12.63
ADO Den Haag & under 2.5	6.4%	7.9%	15.7%	0.51×	12.63
FC Utrecht & under 1.5	6.0%	7.9%	4.1%	1.93×	12.63
Draw & under 1.5	4.4%	4.8%	3.5%	1.37×	20.81
ADO Den Haag & under 1.5	3.4%	4.8%	8.4%	0.57×	20.82

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Utrecht (1UP)	70.1%	75.3%	—	—	1.33
ADO Den Haag (1UP)	44.5%	38.6%	—	—	2.59

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Utrecht (2UP)	53.7%	55.1%	—	—	1.81
ADO Den Haag (2UP)	23.1%	23.4%	—	—	4.27

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Utrecht to win 2nd half	47.5%	45.9%	—	—	2.18
2nd half drawn	30.3%	34.3%	—	—	2.92
ADO Den Haag to win 2nd half	22.1%	24.1%	—	—	4.15

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Utrecht over 0.5 in 2nd half	71.1%	75.2%	—	—	1.33
FC Utrecht under 1.5 in 2nd half	64.7%	60.4%	—	—	1.66
FC Utrecht over 1.5 in 2nd half	35.3%	39.6%	—	—	2.52
FC Utrecht under 0.5 in 2nd half	28.9%	24.8%	—	—	4.03

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADO Den Haag under 1.5 in 2nd half	82.6%	82.5%	—	—	1.21
ADO Den Haag over 0.5 in 2nd half	52.8%	55.1%	—	—	1.81
ADO Den Haag under 0.5 in 2nd half	47.2%	44.9%	—	—	2.23
ADO Den Haag over 1.5 in 2nd half	17.4%	17.5%	—	—	5.71

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Utrecht (+2.5)	96.6%	96.3%	86.8%	1.11×	1.04
FC Utrecht (+1.5)	89.9%	88.5%	74.7%	1.18×	1.13
FC Utrecht (+0.5)	76.9%	78.5%	55.6%	1.41×	1.27
FC Utrecht (-0.5)	53.7%	52.4%	30.1%	1.74×	1.91
ADO Den Haag (+0.5)	46.3%	47.6%	69.9%	0.68×	2.10
ADO Den Haag (-0.5)	23.1%	21.5%	44.4%	0.48×	4.65
ADO Den Haag (-1.5)	10.1%	11.5%	25.3%	0.46×	8.68
ADO Den Haag (-2.5)	3.4%	3.7%	13.2%	0.28×	27.09

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Utrecht to concede	73.3%	76.7%	83.6%	0.92×	1.30
FC Utrecht clean sheet	26.7%	23.3%	16.4%	1.42×	4.30

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Utrecht clean sheet in 1st half	56.7%	57.0%	—	—	1.75
FC Utrecht to concede in 1st half	43.3%	43.0%	—	—	2.33

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Utrecht to concede in 2nd half	52.8%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
FC Utrecht clean sheet in 2nd half	47.2%	45.1%	—	—	2.22

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Utrecht under 6.5 corners	88.2%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
FC Utrecht under 5.5 corners	79.7%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
FC Utrecht over 2.5 corners	67.6%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
FC Utrecht under 4.5 corners	67.2%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
FC Utrecht under 3.5 corners	50.9%	53.0%	—	—	1.89
FC Utrecht over 3.5 corners	49.1%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
FC Utrecht over 4.5 corners	32.8%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
FC Utrecht under 2.5 corners	32.4%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
FC Utrecht over 5.5 corners	20.3%	24.0%	—	—	4.17
FC Utrecht over 6.5 corners	11.8%	14.8%	—	—	6.78

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Utrecht over 0.5 goals	87.4%	87.8%	73.2%	1.20×	1.14
FC Utrecht under 3.5 goals	84.4%	81.5%	94.4%	0.86×	1.23
FC Utrecht under 2.5 goals	65.8%	68.0%	84.9%	0.80×	1.47
FC Utrecht over 1.5 goals	61.3%	63.2%	41.9%	1.51×	1.58
FC Utrecht under 1.5 goals	38.7%	36.8%	58.1%	0.63×	2.71
FC Utrecht over 2.5 goals	34.2%	32.0%	15.1%	2.13×	3.12
FC Utrecht over 3.5 goals	15.6%	18.5%	5.6%	3.29×	5.40
FC Utrecht under 0.5 goals	12.6%	12.2%	26.8%	0.46×	8.20

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Utrecht under 1.5 in 1st half	79.9%	75.7%	—	—	1.32
FC Utrecht over 0.5 in 1st half	56.3%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
FC Utrecht under 0.5 in 1st half	43.7%	38.1%	—	—	2.62
FC Utrecht over 1.5 in 1st half	20.1%	24.3%	—	—	4.12

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Utrecht scores more in 2nd half	45.9%	47.7%	—	—	2.10
FC Utrecht scores equally in both	29.3%	26.3%	—	—	3.80
FC Utrecht scores more in 1st half	24.7%	22.2%	—	—	4.51

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (away no bet)	50.1%	51.6%	36.5%	1.41×	1.94
ADO Den Haag (away no bet)	49.9%	48.4%	63.5%	0.76×	2.07

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Utrecht even goals	50.8%	52.6%	57.4%	0.92×	1.90
FC Utrecht odd goals	49.2%	47.4%	42.6%	1.11×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	75.9%	81.1%	—	—	1.23
Both halves over 1.5 goals	24.1%	18.9%	—	—	5.29

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	76.3%	72.3%	—	—	1.38
Both halves under 1.5 goals	23.7%	27.7%	—	—	3.62

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	67.7%	62.4%	—	—	1.60
FC Utrecht to score 2+ in a row	51.3%	50.9%	—	—	1.96
Either team to score 3+ in a row	29.4%	25.2%	—	—	3.96
ADO Den Haag to score 2+ in a row	26.5%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
FC Utrecht to score 3+ in a row	22.9%	19.6%	—	—	5.10
ADO Den Haag to score 3+ in a row	7.1%	5.6%	—	—	17.98

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADO Den Haag corners (+3.5)	94.9%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
ADO Den Haag corners (+2.5)	91.4%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
ADO Den Haag corners (+1.5)	86.3%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
ADO Den Haag corners (-1.5)	60.7%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
FC Utrecht corners (+3.5)	60.0%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
ADO Den Haag corners (-2.5)	50.2%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
FC Utrecht corners (+2.5)	49.8%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
ADO Den Haag corners (-3.5)	40.0%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
FC Utrecht corners (+1.5)	39.3%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
FC Utrecht corners (-1.5)	13.7%	15.5%	—	—	6.44
FC Utrecht corners (-2.5)	8.6%	10.4%	—	—	9.59
FC Utrecht corners (-3.5)	5.1%	10.4%	—	—	9.60

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	36.3%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
12+ corners	34.2%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
9-11 corners	29.6%	31.2%	—	—	3.21

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	73.6%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 12.5 corners	73.9%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 11.5 corners	65.8%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Over 8.5 corners	63.7%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Under 10.5 corners	56.6%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 9.5 corners	53.4%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 9.5 corners	46.6%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 10.5 corners	43.4%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Under 8.5 corners	36.3%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 11.5 corners	34.2%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Under 7.5 corners	26.4%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 12.5 corners	26.1%	27.5%	—	—	3.64

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	10.2%	11.5%	11.7%	0.98×	8.72
1-2	9.5%	7.4%	8.1%	0.92×	13.50
0-2	7.2%	7.4%	5.9%	1.25×	13.51
1-3	6.6%	7.4%	2.6%	2.86×	13.51
Any other score	7.0%	7.4%	6.5%	1.13×	13.51
0-1	6.0%	7.4%	4.1%	1.80×	13.51
2-1	6.1%	7.4%	7.9%	0.94×	13.51
2-2	6.3%	7.4%	8.7%	0.85×	13.51
0-3	5.0%	1.7%	2.3%	0.75×	58.29
0-0	4.4%	1.7%	3.5%	0.49×	58.29
0-4	2.6%	1.7%	0.9%	1.88×	58.30
1-0	3.4%	1.7%	8.4%	0.20×	58.30
1-4	3.4%	1.7%	2.1%	0.81×	58.30
2-0	2.9%	1.7%	7.5%	0.23×	58.30
2-3	4.3%	1.7%	2.4%	0.70×	58.29
2-4	2.2%	1.7%	0.5%	3.76×	58.31
3-0	1.3%	1.7%	4.3%	0.40×	58.31
3-1	2.7%	1.7%	3.7%	0.47×	58.30
3-2	2.8%	1.7%	2.9%	0.59×	58.30
3-3	1.9%	1.7%	2.1%	0.80×	58.31
3-4	1.0%	1.7%	0.6%	2.82×	58.31
4-0	0.4%	1.7%	1.8%	0.94×	58.32
4-1	0.9%	1.7%	3.2%	0.54×	58.31
4-2	0.9%	1.7%	1.2%	1.41×	58.31
4-3	0.6%	1.7%	0.6%	2.82×	58.32
4-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.2%	11.27×	58.32

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Utrecht (2nd half DNB)	68.2%	67.1%	—	—	1.49
ADO Den Haag (2nd half DNB)	31.8%	32.9%	—	—	3.04

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Utrecht leading at HT (DNB)	62.7%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
ADO Den Haag leading at HT (DNB)	37.3%	34.2%	—	—	2.92

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Utrecht or draw (X2)	76.9%	75.6%	55.6%	1.36×	1.32
ADO Den Haag or FC Utrecht (12)	76.8%	75.6%	74.4%	1.02×	1.32
ADO Den Haag or draw (1X)	46.3%	48.5%	69.9%	0.69×	2.06

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Utrecht or draw at HT	76.9%	79.2%	—	—	1.26
ADO Den Haag or FC Utrecht at HT	61.8%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
ADO Den Haag or draw at HT	61.3%	61.4%	—	—	1.63

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Utrecht or draw (1UP)	76.9%	84.0%	—	—	1.19
ADO Den Haag or draw (1UP)	46.3%	53.2%	—	—	1.88

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Utrecht or draw in 2nd half	77.9%	75.9%	—	—	1.32
ADO Den Haag or FC Utrecht in 2nd half	69.7%	65.7%	—	—	1.52
ADO Den Haag or draw in 2nd half	52.5%	54.1%	—	—	1.85

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	55.8%	58.3%	—	—	1.71
Neither half drawn	44.2%	41.7%	—	—	2.40

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Utrecht (DNB)	69.9%	67.4%	40.4%	1.67×	1.48
ADO Den Haag (DNB)	30.1%	32.6%	59.6%	0.55×	3.07

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Utrecht to score first	58.4%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
ADO Den Haag to score first	37.2%	32.7%	—	—	3.05
No goal scored	4.4%	4.3%	—	—	23.25

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	65.0%	58.4%	60.3%	0.97×	1.71
Not both teams to score	35.0%	41.6%	39.7%	1.05×	2.40

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	54.8%	47.3%	48.7%	0.97×	2.11
Not both score & under 2.5	24.0%	27.8%	28.8%	0.97×	3.60
Not both score & over 2.5	11.0%	12.4%	11.1%	1.11×	8.09
Both score & under 2.5	10.2%	12.4%	11.7%	1.05×	8.09

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	76.7%	79.6%	80.4%	0.99×	1.26
Both teams to score 2+	23.3%	20.4%	19.6%	1.04×	4.91

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	62.1%	65.5%	—	—	1.53
Both teams to score in 2nd half	37.9%	34.5%	—	—	2.90

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	46.7%	52.9%	—	—	1.89
Both score 2nd half only	28.8%	27.2%	—	—	3.68
Both score 1st half only	15.4%	14.9%	—	—	6.72
Both score in both halves	9.2%	6.8%	—	—	14.60

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	75.4%	80.9%	—	—	1.24
Both teams to score by HT	24.6%	19.1%	—	—	5.24

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	65.5%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
A half without a goal	34.5%	34.1%	—	—	2.94

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	42.3%	42.1%	46.7%	0.90×	2.37
4-6 goals	38.2%	35.1%	33.8%	1.04×	2.85
0-1 goals	13.8%	16.9%	15.7%	1.08×	5.91
7+ goals	5.7%	7.6%	4.1%	1.85×	13.17

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Utrecht to score 3+	34.2%	33.8%	15.1%	2.25×	2.96
FC Utrecht to score exactly 2	27.0%	27.4%	26.9%	1.02×	3.65
FC Utrecht to score exactly 1	26.1%	27.4%	31.5%	0.87×	3.66
FC Utrecht to score exactly 0	12.6%	12.9%	26.8%	0.48×	7.76

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADO Den Haag to score exactly 1	35.3%	35.6%	33.2%	1.07×	2.81
ADO Den Haag to score exactly 0	26.7%	26.5%	16.4%	1.61×	3.77
ADO Den Haag to score exactly 2	23.3%	23.3%	26.9%	0.87×	4.29
ADO Den Haag to score 3+	14.7%	14.3%	23.7%	0.60×	6.98

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Utrecht leading at HT	38.7%	38.6%	—	—	2.59
Draw at HT	38.2%	38.6%	—	—	2.59
ADO Den Haag leading at HT	23.1%	20.8%	—	—	4.82

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Utrecht -1: 1	46.3%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
FC Utrecht -1: 2	32.8%	30.1%	—	—	3.33
FC Utrecht -1: X	21.0%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Utrecht (0:1)	76.9%	73.7%	55.6%	1.33×	1.36
Draw (0:1)	13.0%	13.7%	19.3%	0.71×	7.29
ADO Den Haag (0:1)	10.1%	13.7%	25.3%	0.54×	7.31

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Utrecht (0:2)	89.9%	87.1%	74.7%	1.17×	1.15
Draw (0:2)	6.7%	7.7%	12.2%	0.63×	13.05
ADO Den Haag (0:2)	3.4%	3.7%	13.2%	0.28×	26.67

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Utrecht (0:3)	96.6%	96.6%	86.8%	1.11×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	2.5%	2.4%	7.8%	0.31×	42.10
ADO Den Haag (0:3)	0.9%	2.4%	5.6%	0.42×	42.17

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Utrecht (0:4)	99.1%	98.1%	94.4%	1.04×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	0.7%	1.2%	2.6%	0.47×	82.02
ADO Den Haag (0:4)	0.2%	1.2%	3.2%	0.38×	82.08

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADO Den Haag (1:0)	46.3%	49.1%	69.9%	0.70×	2.04
FC Utrecht (1:0)	32.8%	30.1%	15.5%	1.94×	3.32
Draw (1:0)	21.0%	21.7%	14.8%	1.47×	4.61

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADO Den Haag (2:0)	67.2%	70.8%	84.5%	0.84×	1.41
Draw (2:0)	16.5%	15.8%	8.8%	1.79×	6.33
FC Utrecht (2:0)	16.2%	15.8%	6.8%	2.30×	6.34

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	50.6%	50.3%	—	—	1.99
1st half highest scoring	26.2%	26.2%	—	—	3.82
Halves equal	23.2%	24.5%	—	—	4.09

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADO Den Haag to concede	87.4%	85.6%	73.2%	1.17×	1.17
ADO Den Haag clean sheet	12.6%	14.4%	26.8%	0.54×	6.93

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADO Den Haag to concede in 1st half	56.3%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
ADO Den Haag clean sheet in 1st half	43.7%	38.1%	—	—	2.62

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADO Den Haag to concede in 2nd half	71.1%	72.0%	—	—	1.39
ADO Den Haag clean sheet in 2nd half	28.9%	28.0%	—	—	3.57

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADO Den Haag over 2.5 corners	90.6%	89.2%	—	—	1.12
ADO Den Haag over 3.5 corners	81.4%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
ADO Den Haag over 4.5 corners	69.8%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
ADO Den Haag over 5.5 corners	57.0%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
ADO Den Haag under 6.5 corners	55.5%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
ADO Den Haag over 6.5 corners	44.5%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
ADO Den Haag under 5.5 corners	43.0%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
ADO Den Haag under 4.5 corners	30.2%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
ADO Den Haag under 3.5 corners	18.6%	19.0%	—	—	5.25
ADO Den Haag under 2.5 corners	9.4%	10.8%	—	—	9.27

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADO Den Haag under 3.5 goals	95.5%	96.4%	89.2%	1.08×	1.04
ADO Den Haag under 2.5 goals	85.3%	87.2%	76.3%	1.14×	1.15
ADO Den Haag over 0.5 goals	73.3%	74.3%	83.6%	0.89×	1.35
ADO Den Haag under 1.5 goals	62.0%	63.6%	49.5%	1.29×	1.57
ADO Den Haag over 1.5 goals	38.0%	36.4%	50.5%	0.72×	2.75
ADO Den Haag under 0.5 goals	26.7%	25.7%	16.4%	1.57×	3.88
ADO Den Haag over 2.5 goals	14.7%	12.8%	23.7%	0.54×	7.84
ADO Den Haag over 3.5 goals	4.5%	3.6%	10.8%	0.34×	27.47

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADO Den Haag under 1.5 in 1st half	88.9%	90.3%	—	—	1.11
ADO Den Haag under 0.5 in 1st half	56.7%	56.7%	—	—	1.76
ADO Den Haag over 0.5 in 1st half	43.3%	43.3%	—	—	2.31
ADO Den Haag over 1.5 in 1st half	11.1%	9.7%	—	—	10.32

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADO Den Haag scores equally in both	39.4%	37.8%	—	—	2.65
ADO Den Haag scores more in 2nd half	36.0%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
ADO Den Haag scores more in 1st half	24.6%	21.3%	—	—	4.69

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Utrecht (home no bet)	69.9%	64.2%	54.1%	1.19×	1.56
Draw (home no bet)	30.1%	35.8%	45.9%	0.78×	2.80

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADO Den Haag even goals	53.6%	50.7%	51.0%	0.99×	1.97
ADO Den Haag odd goals	46.4%	49.3%	49.0%	1.01×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	24.9%	24.4%	—	—	4.10
HT 0-1	20.3%	24.3%	—	—	4.11
HT 1-0	13.9%	11.0%	—	—	9.10
HT 1-1	11.8%	11.0%	—	—	9.12
HT 0-2	8.5%	6.9%	—	—	14.45
Any other HT score	7.1%	6.9%	—	—	14.48
HT 1-2	4.8%	2.4%	—	—	41.98
HT 2-0	4.0%	2.4%	—	—	42.04
HT 2-1	3.3%	2.4%	—	—	42.08
HT 2-2	1.4%	2.4%	—	—	42.21

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Utrecht at HT / FC Utrecht at FT	32.0%	32.2%	—	—	3.10
Draw at HT / FC Utrecht at FT	17.5%	16.7%	—	—	5.97
ADO Den Haag at HT / ADO Den Haag at FT	13.3%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	12.8%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Draw at HT / ADO Den Haag at FT	7.9%	6.0%	—	—	16.60
ADO Den Haag at HT / Draw at FT	5.6%	6.0%	—	—	16.66
FC Utrecht at HT / Draw at FT	4.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.61
ADO Den Haag at HT / FC Utrecht at FT	4.2%	3.5%	—	—	28.64
FC Utrecht at HT / ADO Den Haag at FT	1.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.72

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Utrecht to score last	58.5%	56.4%	—	—	1.77
ADO Den Haag to score last	37.1%	38.7%	—	—	2.58
No goal scored	4.4%	4.3%	—	—	23.25

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	95.6%	95.6%	—	—	1.05
FC Utrecht to lead by 1 at any time	70.1%	74.0%	—	—	1.35
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	57.3%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
ADO Den Haag to lead by 1 at any time	44.5%	39.2%	—	—	2.55
FC Utrecht to lead by 2 at any time	41.1%	39.1%	—	—	2.56
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	25.0%	19.7%	—	—	5.08
FC Utrecht to lead by 3 at any time	19.9%	15.0%	—	—	6.68
ADO Den Haag to lead by 2 at any time	16.7%	14.9%	—	—	6.70
ADO Den Haag to lead by 3 at any time	5.1%	6.7%	—	—	15.02

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADO Den Haag most corners	70.7%	70.5%	—	—	1.42
FC Utrecht most corners	20.6%	25.8%	—	—	3.87
Corners level	8.7%	8.4%	—	—	11.97

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	82.8%	83.4%	87.5%	0.95×	1.20
2-6 goals	80.5%	83.4%	80.4%	1.04×	1.20
2-5 goals	73.4%	72.4%	75.3%	0.96×	1.38
1-4 goals	70.2%	72.4%	75.8%	0.95×	1.38
2-4 goals	60.8%	63.3%	63.6%	1.00×	1.58
3-6 goals	60.1%	63.3%	55.7%	1.14×	1.58
3-5 goals	53.0%	53.2%	50.7%	1.05×	1.88
1-3 goals	51.7%	53.2%	58.9%	0.90×	1.88
2-3 goals	42.3%	43.6%	46.7%	0.93×	2.29
3-4 goals	40.5%	43.6%	39.0%	1.12×	2.30
4-6 goals	38.2%	39.2%	33.8%	1.16×	2.55
4-5 goals	31.1%	35.2%	28.8%	1.22×	2.84
1-2 goals	29.8%	30.2%	37.0%	0.82×	3.31
5-6 goals	19.7%	18.8%	16.9%	1.12×	5.31
7+ goals	5.7%	8.9%	4.1%	2.16×	11.28

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Utrecht never behind	51.1%	62.3%	—	—	1.60
ADO Den Haag never behind	25.5%	29.9%	—	—	3.35

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	47.9%	50.9%	48.9%	1.04×	1.96
Even number of goals	52.1%	49.1%	51.1%	0.96×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	53.4%	51.6%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	46.6%	48.4%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	51.6%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half	48.4%	48.1%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	95.6%	95.4%	96.5%	0.99×	1.05
Under 5.5 goals	87.2%	87.6%	90.9%	0.96×	1.14
Over 1.5 goals	86.2%	87.6%	84.3%	1.04×	1.14
Under 4.5 goals	74.6%	72.5%	79.1%	0.92×	1.38
Over 2.5 goals	65.8%	66.3%	59.7%	1.11×	1.51
Under 3.5 goals	56.1%	58.6%	62.3%	0.94×	1.71
Over 3.5 goals	43.9%	41.4%	37.7%	1.10×	2.42
Under 2.5 goals	34.2%	33.7%	40.3%	0.84×	2.97
Over 4.5 goals	25.4%	27.5%	20.9%	1.32×	3.63
Under 1.5 goals	13.8%	12.4%	15.7%	0.79×	8.06
Over 5.5 goals	12.8%	12.4%	9.1%	1.36×	8.06
Under 0.5 goals	4.4%	4.6%	3.5%	1.31×	21.85

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	93.9%	92.4%	95.7%	0.97×	1.08
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	85.4%	86.7%	89.7%	0.97×	1.15
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	82.7%	81.1%	79.2%	1.02×	1.23
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	68.9%	67.5%	74.9%	0.90×	1.48
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	56.2%	55.8%	48.3%	1.15×	1.79
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	43.8%	44.2%	51.7%	0.86×	2.26
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	31.2%	32.5%	25.1%	1.30×	3.07
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	17.3%	18.9%	20.8%	0.91×	5.29
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	14.6%	13.3%	10.3%	1.28×	7.53
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	6.1%	7.6%	4.3%	1.76×	13.17

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	83.5%	85.8%	—	—	1.17
Over 0.5 in 1st half	75.1%	78.2%	—	—	1.28
Under 1.5 in 1st half	59.2%	63.9%	—	—	1.57
Over 1.5 in 1st half	40.8%	36.1%	—	—	2.77
Under 0.5 in 1st half	24.9%	21.8%	—	—	4.60
Over 2.5 in 1st half	16.5%	14.2%	—	—	7.05

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	86.0%	85.4%	—	—	1.17
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	67.8%	68.8%	—	—	1.45
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	59.6%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	40.4%	45.1%	—	—	2.22
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	32.2%	31.2%	—	—	3.21
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	14.0%	14.6%	—	—	6.86

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADO Den Haag not to score in both halves	77.1%	78.5%	—	—	1.27
FC Utrecht not to score in both halves	59.9%	58.3%	—	—	1.72
FC Utrecht to score in both halves	40.1%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
ADO Den Haag to score in both halves	22.9%	21.5%	—	—	4.65

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	65.0%	59.8%	60.3%	0.99×	1.67
Only FC Utrecht scores	22.4%	22.2%	13.1%	1.70×	4.50
Only ADO Den Haag scores	8.2%	7.1%	23.4%	0.30×	14.03
Neither team scores	4.4%	4.6%	3.5%	1.32×	21.67

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 3 goals	21.9%	22.6%	22.1%	1.02×	4.43
Exactly 2 goals	20.4%	22.6%	24.8%	0.91×	4.43
Exactly 4 goals	18.6%	17.5%	17.0%	1.02×	5.73
6 or more goals	12.8%	12.1%	9.1%	1.33×	8.25
Exactly 5 goals	12.6%	12.1%	11.9%	1.02×	8.25
Exactly 1 goals	9.4%	7.6%	12.3%	0.62×	13.13
Exactly 0 goals	4.4%	4.5%	3.5%	1.28×	22.37

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	34.2%	35.8%	—	—	2.79
No goals in 1st half	24.9%	21.5%	—	—	4.65
2 goals in 1st half	24.3%	21.5%	—	—	4.65
3+ goals in 1st half	16.5%	15.6%	—	—	6.40

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	59.6%	54.3%	—	—	1.84
1 goal in 2nd half	26.5%	29.2%	—	—	3.43
No goals in 2nd half	14.0%	14.4%	—	—	6.95

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADO Den Haag not to win both halves	94.8%	94.2%	—	—	1.06
FC Utrecht not to win both halves	81.4%	83.7%	—	—	1.19
FC Utrecht to win both halves	18.6%	16.3%	—	—	6.15
ADO Den Haag to win both halves	5.2%	5.8%	—	—	17.14

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Utrecht to win either half	67.6%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
ADO Den Haag to win neither half	60.0%	65.0%	—	—	1.54
ADO Den Haag to win either half	40.0%	35.0%	—	—	2.86
FC Utrecht to win neither half	32.4%	32.3%	—	—	3.10

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADO Den Haag not to win to nil	91.8%	92.1%	76.6%	1.20×	1.09
FC Utrecht not to win to nil	77.6%	78.1%	86.9%	0.90×	1.28
FC Utrecht to win to nil	22.4%	21.9%	13.1%	1.67×	4.57
ADO Den Haag to win to nil	8.2%	7.9%	23.4%	0.34×	12.64

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	23.2%	24.1%	25.6%	0.94×	4.15
FC Utrecht by 1	21.0%	24.1%	14.8%	1.63×	4.15
FC Utrecht by 2	16.5%	17.0%	8.8%	1.93×	5.87
FC Utrecht by 3+	16.2%	17.0%	6.8%	2.49×	5.87
ADO Den Haag by 1	13.0%	11.8%	19.3%	0.61×	8.51
ADO Den Haag by 2	6.7%	7.2%	12.2%	0.59×	13.91
ADO Den Haag by 3+	3.4%	2.7%	13.2%	0.21×	36.80