ADO Den Haag v Fortuna Sittard — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 6 September 2026 · NED-Eredivisie · 2627

Eredivisie results-only Prediction generated 8 Sep 2026, 11:44 UTC

ADO Den Haag

14:45 UTC

Fortuna Sittard

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 6 Sep, 07:53 · 7h before kick-off

ADO Den Haag win

40.6%

model 39.8%

Draw

29.2%

model 26.0%

Fortuna Sittard win

30.2%

model 34.2%

412930

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (483 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 11.8%
2-1 8.7%
1-2 8.0%
2-2 6.6%
1-0 5.7%

Goals

Over 2.5	61.3%	Under 2.5	38.7%
BTTS yes	64.2%	BTTS no	35.8%
ADO Den Haag 1+	80.7%	ADO Den Haag 2+	49.0%
Fortuna Sittard 1+	78.1%	Fortuna Sittard 2+	44.8%

Expected goals 1.65 – 1.52. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

80/100

Data quality

75/100

Model agreement

92%

★ Best pick

Over 7.5 corners

Corners O/U

80.8% fair odds 1.24

moderate signal · 8470 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

ADO Den Haag (2:0)

Handicap 2:0 · usually 84%

84.2% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 379 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

ADO Den Haag carry the stronger rating, 1610 Elo against 1490.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

ADO Den Haag have an estimated 40.6% win probability, against 30.2% for Fortuna Sittard and 29.2% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.65 for ADO Den Haag and 1.52 for Fortuna Sittard.

Why ADO Den Haag

ADO Den Haag carry the stronger rating, 1610 Elo against 1490.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 29.2%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.65 to 1.52. Draws run at 25% in this competition.

Why Fortuna Sittard can win

Nothing in the data singles out Fortuna Sittard.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for ADO Den Haag, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Fortuna Sittard, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

ADO Den Haag: 49% possession, 14.2 shots a match, 17.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Fortuna Sittard: 32% possession, 10.2 shots a match, 21.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. ADO Den Haag's shot volume meets a defence that concedes shots freely.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-06 07:42 · team_stats 2026-09-06 06:08 · availability 2026-09-06 07:53 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

ADO Den Haag are the model's most likely outcome at 40.6%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 11.8%. Confidence 80/100, data quality 75/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	422632	1.69–1.45	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	322642	1.43–1.65	1-1 12%	59%	63%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADO Den Haag to win	42.2%	43.8%	44.6%	0.98×	2.28
Fortuna Sittard to win	31.8%	29.0%	30.3%	0.96×	3.45
Draw	26.0%	27.6%	25.3%	1.09×	3.63

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADO Den Haag & both teams score	24.2%	22.6%	21.3%	1.06×	4.42
Draw & both teams score	20.4%	22.6%	21.9%	1.03×	4.43
Fortuna Sittard & both teams score	18.9%	17.8%	17.3%	1.03×	5.63
ADO Den Haag & not both score	18.0%	17.8%	23.4%	0.76×	5.63
Fortuna Sittard & not both score	12.9%	12.2%	13.2%	0.92×	8.22
Draw & not both score	5.6%	7.3%	3.5%	2.07×	13.71

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADO Den Haag & over 1.5	36.1%	37.5%	36.4%	1.03×	2.67
ADO Den Haag & over 2.5	29.9%	25.5%	29.1%	0.88×	3.92
Fortuna Sittard & over 1.5	26.7%	25.5%	26.3%	0.97×	3.92
ADO Den Haag & under 3.5	24.8%	21.5%	27.6%	0.78×	4.65
Fortuna Sittard & over 2.5	22.2%	21.5%	20.5%	1.05×	4.65
Draw & over 1.5	20.4%	21.5%	21.9%	0.98×	4.65
Fortuna Sittard & under 3.5	19.5%	17.6%	20.1%	0.88×	5.69
Draw & under 2.5	17.5%	17.6%	15.0%	1.17×	5.69
Draw & under 3.5	17.5%	17.6%	15.0%	1.17×	5.69
ADO Den Haag & over 3.5	17.4%	17.6%	17.2%	1.02×	5.69
ADO Den Haag & under 2.5	12.4%	12.7%	15.6%	0.81×	7.86
Fortuna Sittard & over 3.5	12.3%	12.7%	10.4%	1.22×	7.86
Fortuna Sittard & under 2.5	9.6%	7.5%	10.0%	0.75×	13.40
Draw & over 2.5	8.5%	7.5%	10.4%	0.72×	13.40
Draw & over 3.5	8.5%	7.5%	10.4%	0.72×	13.40
ADO Den Haag & under 1.5	6.1%	7.5%	8.3%	0.90×	13.42
Draw & under 1.5	5.6%	7.5%	3.5%	2.12×	13.42
Fortuna Sittard & under 1.5	5.1%	7.5%	4.1%	1.80×	13.42

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADO Den Haag (1UP)	60.6%	63.8%	—	—	1.57
Fortuna Sittard (1UP)	51.8%	52.4%	—	—	1.91

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADO Den Haag (2UP)	42.2%	46.6%	—	—	2.15
Fortuna Sittard (2UP)	31.8%	30.5%	—	—	3.28

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADO Den Haag to win 2nd half	35.9%	37.4%	—	—	2.67
2nd half drawn	33.4%	33.8%	—	—	2.96
Fortuna Sittard to win 2nd half	30.8%	33.7%	—	—	2.97

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fortuna Sittard (+2.5)	90.5%	92.2%	86.7%	1.06×	1.08
Fortuna Sittard (+1.5)	77.4%	78.6%	74.6%	1.05×	1.27
ADO Den Haag (+0.5)	68.2%	69.0%	69.7%	0.99×	1.45
Fortuna Sittard (+0.5)	57.8%	57.1%	55.4%	1.03×	1.75
ADO Den Haag (-0.5)	42.2%	42.9%	44.6%	0.96×	2.33
Fortuna Sittard (-0.5)	31.8%	31.0%	30.3%	1.02×	3.22
ADO Den Haag (-1.5)	22.6%	21.4%	25.4%	0.84×	4.67
ADO Den Haag (-2.5)	9.6%	7.8%	13.3%	0.58×	12.89

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fortuna Sittard to concede	81.5%	84.7%	83.5%	1.02×	1.18
Fortuna Sittard clean sheet	18.5%	15.3%	16.5%	0.92×	6.55

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fortuna Sittard to concede in 1st half	51.6%	54.7%	—	—	1.83
Fortuna Sittard clean sheet in 1st half	48.4%	45.3%	—	—	2.21

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fortuna Sittard under 6.5 corners	92.8%	90.1%	—	—	1.11
Fortuna Sittard under 5.5 corners	86.4%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Fortuna Sittard under 4.5 corners	75.9%	75.9%	—	—	1.32
Fortuna Sittard under 3.5 corners	60.5%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Fortuna Sittard over 2.5 corners	58.9%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Fortuna Sittard under 2.5 corners	41.1%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Fortuna Sittard over 3.5 corners	39.5%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Fortuna Sittard over 4.5 corners	24.1%	24.1%	—	—	4.16
Fortuna Sittard over 5.5 corners	13.6%	14.8%	—	—	6.74
Fortuna Sittard over 6.5 corners	7.2%	9.9%	—	—	10.07

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fortuna Sittard under 3.5 goals	94.1%	92.7%	94.3%	0.98×	1.08
Fortuna Sittard under 2.5 goals	82.3%	82.2%	85.0%	0.97×	1.22
Fortuna Sittard over 0.5 goals	76.4%	75.3%	73.2%	1.03×	1.33
Fortuna Sittard under 1.5 goals	57.6%	57.7%	58.2%	0.99×	1.73
Fortuna Sittard over 1.5 goals	42.4%	42.3%	41.8%	1.01×	2.36
Fortuna Sittard under 0.5 goals	23.6%	24.8%	26.8%	0.92×	4.04
Fortuna Sittard over 2.5 goals	17.7%	17.8%	15.0%	1.19×	5.62
Fortuna Sittard over 3.5 goals	5.9%	7.3%	5.7%	1.29×	13.67

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fortuna Sittard under 1.5 in 1st half	88.5%	87.7%	—	—	1.14
Fortuna Sittard under 0.5 in 1st half	56.1%	59.1%	—	—	1.69
Fortuna Sittard over 0.5 in 1st half	43.9%	40.9%	—	—	2.45
Fortuna Sittard over 1.5 in 1st half	11.5%	12.3%	—	—	8.11

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADO Den Haag (away no bet)	61.9%	59.0%	63.8%	0.92×	1.70
Draw (away no bet)	38.1%	41.0%	36.2%	1.13×	2.44

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fortuna Sittard even goals	52.8%	52.4%	57.4%	0.91×	1.91
Fortuna Sittard odd goals	47.2%	47.6%	42.6%	1.12×	2.10

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	79.6%	79.9%	—	—	1.25
Both halves over 1.5 goals	20.4%	20.1%	—	—	4.98

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	72.2%	71.3%	—	—	1.40
Both halves under 1.5 goals	27.8%	28.7%	—	—	3.48

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	62.7%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
ADO Den Haag to score 2+ in a row	40.1%	44.9%	—	—	2.23
Fortuna Sittard to score 2+ in a row	31.8%	33.8%	—	—	2.96
Either team to score 3+ in a row	24.1%	21.8%	—	—	4.59
ADO Den Haag to score 3+ in a row	14.8%	12.2%	—	—	8.17
Fortuna Sittard to score 3+ in a row	9.9%	7.4%	—	—	13.52

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADO Den Haag corners (+3.5)	98.2%	95.8%	—	—	1.04
ADO Den Haag corners (+2.5)	96.7%	95.8%	—	—	1.04
ADO Den Haag corners (+1.5)	94.2%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
ADO Den Haag corners (-1.5)	78.0%	74.9%	—	—	1.34
ADO Den Haag corners (-2.5)	69.6%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
ADO Den Haag corners (-3.5)	60.4%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Fortuna Sittard corners (+3.5)	39.6%	38.1%	—	—	2.63
Fortuna Sittard corners (+2.5)	30.4%	34.2%	—	—	2.92
Fortuna Sittard corners (+1.5)	22.0%	25.1%	—	—	3.98
Fortuna Sittard corners (-1.5)	5.8%	10.4%	—	—	9.58
Fortuna Sittard corners (-2.5)	3.3%	4.2%	—	—	23.55
Fortuna Sittard corners (-3.5)	1.8%	4.2%	—	—	23.60

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
12+ corners	44.7%	38.7%	—	—	2.59
0-8 corners	27.6%	31.2%	—	—	3.20
9-11 corners	27.7%	31.2%	—	—	3.20

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	80.6%	80.8%	—	—	1.24
Over 8.5 corners	72.4%	72.7%	—	—	1.38
Under 12.5 corners	63.9%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Over 9.5 corners	63.3%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Under 11.5 corners	55.3%	57.7%	—	—	1.73
Over 10.5 corners	53.9%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Under 10.5 corners	46.1%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
Over 11.5 corners	44.7%	42.3%	—	—	2.37
Under 9.5 corners	36.7%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
Over 12.5 corners	36.1%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
Under 8.5 corners	27.6%	27.3%	—	—	3.66
Under 7.5 corners	19.4%	19.2%	—	—	5.20

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	11.9%	11.6%	11.6%	1.00×	8.63
2-1	9.0%	7.3%	8.0%	0.91×	13.74
1-2	7.7%	7.3%	8.1%	0.90×	13.74
2-0	6.2%	7.3%	7.5%	0.97×	13.75
2-2	6.5%	7.3%	8.6%	0.85×	13.75
1-0	6.1%	7.3%	8.3%	0.88×	13.75
0-0	5.6%	7.3%	3.5%	2.06×	13.75
0-1	5.1%	7.3%	4.1%	1.76×	13.76
3-1	5.0%	7.3%	3.7%	1.98×	13.76
0-2	4.6%	1.8%	6.0%	0.30×	55.39
1-3	3.7%	1.8%	2.6%	0.69×	55.42
Any other score	4.4%	1.8%	6.6%	0.27×	55.40
2-3	3.1%	1.8%	2.5%	0.74×	55.43
3-0	3.5%	1.8%	4.3%	0.42×	55.42
3-2	3.6%	1.8%	2.9%	0.62×	55.42
0-3	2.2%	1.8%	2.3%	0.79×	55.45
1-4	1.3%	1.8%	2.1%	0.84×	55.48
3-3	1.8%	1.8%	2.0%	0.91×	55.46
4-0	1.5%	1.8%	1.8%	0.98×	55.47
4-1	2.1%	1.8%	3.2%	0.56×	55.46
4-2	1.5%	1.8%	1.2%	1.47×	55.47
0-4	0.8%	1.8%	0.9%	1.96×	55.49
2-4	1.1%	1.8%	0.5%	3.92×	55.48
3-4	0.6%	1.8%	0.6%	2.94×	55.49
4-3	0.7%	1.8%	0.6%	2.94×	55.49
4-4	0.3%	1.8%	0.2%	11.77×	55.50

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADO Den Haag leading at HT (DNB)	57.6%	56.8%	—	—	1.76
Fortuna Sittard leading at HT (DNB)	42.4%	43.2%	—	—	2.32

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADO Den Haag or Fortuna Sittard (12)	74.0%	72.4%	74.7%	0.97×	1.38
ADO Den Haag or draw (1X)	68.2%	71.0%	69.7%	1.02×	1.41
Fortuna Sittard or draw (X2)	57.8%	56.2%	55.4%	1.01×	1.78

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADO Den Haag or draw at HT	74.7%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Fortuna Sittard or draw at HT	65.6%	66.2%	—	—	1.51
ADO Den Haag or Fortuna Sittard at HT	59.8%	58.3%	—	—	1.72

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADO Den Haag or draw (1UP)	68.2%	75.0%	—	—	1.33
Fortuna Sittard or draw (1UP)	57.8%	63.9%	—	—	1.57

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADO Den Haag or draw in 2nd half	69.2%	66.3%	—	—	1.51
ADO Den Haag or Fortuna Sittard in 2nd half	66.6%	66.2%	—	—	1.51
Fortuna Sittard or draw in 2nd half	64.1%	62.6%	—	—	1.60

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	58.8%	58.0%	—	—	1.72
Neither half drawn	41.2%	42.0%	—	—	2.38

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADO Den Haag (DNB)	57.0%	63.2%	59.5%	1.06×	1.58
Fortuna Sittard (DNB)	43.0%	36.8%	40.5%	0.91×	2.72

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADO Den Haag to score first	50.9%	53.6%	—	—	1.87
Fortuna Sittard to score first	43.6%	41.5%	—	—	2.41
No goal scored	5.6%	6.2%	—	—	16.11

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	63.5%	57.6%	60.2%	0.96×	1.74
Not both teams to score	36.5%	42.4%	39.8%	1.07×	2.36

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	51.6%	46.9%	48.7%	0.96×	2.13
Not both score & under 2.5	27.6%	31.5%	28.8%	1.09×	3.18
Both score & under 2.5	11.9%	11.7%	11.6%	1.01×	8.53
Not both score & over 2.5	8.9%	8.7%	11.2%	0.78×	11.45

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	78.7%	83.8%	80.6%	1.04×	1.19
Both teams to score 2+	21.3%	16.2%	19.4%	0.83×	6.16

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	63.8%	64.9%	—	—	1.54
Both teams to score in 2nd half	36.2%	35.1%	—	—	2.85

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	49.0%	54.7%	—	—	1.83
Both score 2nd half only	28.1%	24.8%	—	—	4.04
Both score 1st half only	14.7%	11.6%	—	—	8.62
Both score in both halves	8.1%	6.5%	—	—	15.34

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	77.1%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Both teams to score by HT	22.9%	20.2%	—	—	4.95

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	61.7%	63.0%	—	—	1.59
A half without a goal	38.3%	37.0%	—	—	2.70

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	45.0%	43.3%	46.9%	0.92×	2.31
4-6 goals	34.2%	31.7%	33.7%	0.94×	3.16
0-1 goals	16.8%	20.7%	15.6%	1.32×	4.84
7+ goals	4.0%	2.0%	4.1%	0.48×	50.67

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fortuna Sittard to score exactly 1	34.1%	33.3%	31.5%	1.06×	3.01
Fortuna Sittard to score exactly 2	24.6%	24.0%	27.0%	0.89×	4.16
Fortuna Sittard to score exactly 0	23.6%	24.0%	26.8%	0.90×	4.17
Fortuna Sittard to score 3+	17.7%	18.4%	15.0%	1.22×	5.45

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADO Den Haag to score exactly 1	31.2%	30.5%	33.1%	0.92×	3.28
ADO Den Haag to score exactly 2	26.3%	27.1%	27.0%	1.00×	3.70
ADO Den Haag to score 3+	23.9%	23.0%	23.7%	0.97×	4.35
ADO Den Haag to score exactly 0	18.5%	18.5%	16.5%	1.12×	5.40

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	40.2%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
ADO Den Haag leading at HT	34.4%	33.8%	—	—	2.96
Fortuna Sittard leading at HT	25.3%	28.4%	—	—	3.52

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADO Den Haag -1: 2	57.8%	56.2%	—	—	1.78
ADO Den Haag -1: 1	22.6%	23.9%	—	—	4.18
ADO Den Haag -1: X	19.6%	19.0%	—	—	5.26

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fortuna Sittard (0:1)	57.8%	55.4%	55.4%	1.00×	1.81
ADO Den Haag (0:1)	22.6%	24.4%	25.4%	0.96×	4.10
Draw (0:1)	19.6%	18.4%	19.3%	0.95×	5.45

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fortuna Sittard (0:2)	77.4%	77.5%	74.6%	1.04×	1.29
Draw (0:2)	13.1%	11.7%	12.3%	0.96×	8.51
ADO Den Haag (0:2)	9.6%	7.2%	13.3%	0.54×	13.82

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fortuna Sittard (0:3)	90.5%	92.5%	86.7%	1.07×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	6.2%	6.9%	7.8%	0.88×	14.52
ADO Den Haag (0:3)	3.3%	2.3%	5.7%	0.41×	42.86

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fortuna Sittard (0:4)	96.7%	98.0%	94.3%	1.04×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	2.4%	1.2%	2.6%	0.48×	80.14
ADO Den Haag (0:4)	1.0%	1.2%	3.2%	0.38×	80.84

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADO Den Haag (1:0)	68.2%	70.3%	69.7%	1.01×	1.42
Draw (1:0)	16.6%	16.3%	14.9%	1.10×	6.12
Fortuna Sittard (1:0)	15.2%	16.3%	15.6%	1.04×	6.14

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADO Den Haag (2:0)	84.8%	84.2%	84.4%	1.00×	1.19
Draw (2:0)	9.6%	6.7%	8.9%	0.75×	15.03
Fortuna Sittard (2:0)	5.6%	6.6%	6.9%	0.95×	15.24

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	48.8%	48.7%	—	—	2.05
1st half highest scoring	26.6%	26.1%	—	—	3.83
Halves equal	24.7%	23.2%	—	—	4.30

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADO Den Haag to concede	76.4%	77.2%	73.2%	1.05×	1.30
ADO Den Haag clean sheet	23.6%	22.8%	26.8%	0.85×	4.38

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADO Den Haag clean sheet in 1st half	56.1%	59.0%	—	—	1.70
ADO Den Haag to concede in 1st half	43.9%	41.0%	—	—	2.44

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADO Den Haag over 2.5 corners	95.5%	94.9%	—	—	1.05
ADO Den Haag over 3.5 corners	90.2%	89.3%	—	—	1.12
ADO Den Haag over 4.5 corners	82.6%	80.9%	—	—	1.24
ADO Den Haag over 5.5 corners	73.1%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
ADO Den Haag over 6.5 corners	62.4%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
ADO Den Haag under 6.5 corners	37.6%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
ADO Den Haag under 5.5 corners	26.9%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
ADO Den Haag under 4.5 corners	17.4%	19.1%	—	—	5.25
ADO Den Haag under 3.5 corners	9.8%	10.7%	—	—	9.34
ADO Den Haag under 2.5 corners	4.5%	5.1%	—	—	19.47

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADO Den Haag under 3.5 goals	90.9%	92.0%	89.1%	1.03×	1.09
ADO Den Haag over 0.5 goals	81.5%	82.4%	83.5%	0.99×	1.21
ADO Den Haag under 2.5 goals	76.1%	76.7%	76.3%	1.01×	1.30
ADO Den Haag over 1.5 goals	50.3%	52.6%	50.5%	1.04×	1.90
ADO Den Haag under 1.5 goals	49.7%	47.4%	49.5%	0.96×	2.11
ADO Den Haag over 2.5 goals	23.9%	23.3%	23.7%	0.98×	4.29
ADO Den Haag under 0.5 goals	18.5%	17.6%	16.5%	1.06×	5.68
ADO Den Haag over 3.5 goals	9.1%	8.0%	10.9%	0.73×	12.58

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADO Den Haag under 1.5 in 1st half	83.5%	80.6%	—	—	1.24
ADO Den Haag over 0.5 in 1st half	51.6%	54.7%	—	—	1.83
ADO Den Haag under 0.5 in 1st half	48.4%	45.3%	—	—	2.21
ADO Den Haag over 1.5 in 1st half	16.5%	19.4%	—	—	5.14

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fortuna Sittard (home no bet)	55.0%	54.1%	54.5%	0.99×	1.85
Draw (home no bet)	45.0%	45.9%	45.5%	1.01×	2.18

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADO Den Haag even goals	51.7%	50.2%	51.1%	0.98×	1.99
ADO Den Haag odd goals	48.3%	49.8%	48.9%	1.02×	2.01

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	27.4%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
HT 1-0	19.5%	19.0%	—	—	5.28
HT 0-1	15.5%	18.9%	—	—	5.30
HT 1-1	11.6%	11.2%	—	—	8.94
HT 2-0	7.1%	7.7%	—	—	13.01
Any other HT score	5.7%	7.7%	—	—	13.03
HT 0-2	4.5%	2.5%	—	—	39.74
HT 2-1	4.1%	2.5%	—	—	39.76
HT 1-2	3.3%	2.5%	—	—	39.81
HT 2-2	1.2%	2.5%	—	—	39.93

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADO Den Haag at HT / ADO Den Haag at FT	25.7%	27.0%	—	—	3.70
Fortuna Sittard at HT / Fortuna Sittard at FT	17.3%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	14.8%	12.0%	—	—	8.34
Draw at HT / ADO Den Haag at FT	13.8%	12.0%	—	—	8.35
Draw at HT / Fortuna Sittard at FT	11.7%	12.0%	—	—	8.36
ADO Den Haag at HT / Draw at FT	6.0%	6.6%	—	—	15.25
Fortuna Sittard at HT / Draw at FT	5.2%	6.6%	—	—	15.27
ADO Den Haag at HT / Fortuna Sittard at FT	2.8%	3.4%	—	—	29.40
Fortuna Sittard at HT / ADO Den Haag at FT	2.8%	3.4%	—	—	29.39

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADO Den Haag to score last	50.9%	53.5%	—	—	1.87
Fortuna Sittard to score last	43.5%	40.4%	—	—	2.48
No goal scored	5.6%	6.2%	—	—	16.11

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	94.4%	93.8%	—	—	1.07
ADO Den Haag to lead by 1 at any time	60.6%	64.3%	—	—	1.56
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	52.1%	50.9%	—	—	1.96
Fortuna Sittard to lead by 1 at any time	51.8%	50.9%	—	—	1.96
ADO Den Haag to lead by 2 at any time	30.3%	32.0%	—	—	3.13
Fortuna Sittard to lead by 2 at any time	22.2%	19.8%	—	—	5.05
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	20.0%	17.7%	—	—	5.65
ADO Den Haag to lead by 3 at any time	12.3%	11.3%	—	—	8.83
Fortuna Sittard to lead by 3 at any time	7.7%	7.1%	—	—	14.18

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADO Den Haag most corners	85.0%	81.8%	—	—	1.22
Fortuna Sittard most corners	9.6%	8.5%	—	—	11.79
Corners level	5.4%	8.5%	—	—	11.82

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	84.6%	81.6%	87.6%	0.93×	1.23
2-6 goals	79.1%	78.9%	80.4%	0.98×	1.27
1-4 goals	73.7%	73.6%	75.8%	0.97×	1.36
2-5 goals	73.4%	73.6%	75.5%	0.98×	1.36
2-4 goals	62.5%	62.3%	63.7%	0.98×	1.61
3-6 goals	56.5%	58.7%	55.7%	1.05×	1.70
1-3 goals	56.2%	58.7%	59.0%	1.00×	1.70
3-5 goals	50.8%	52.3%	50.8%	1.03×	1.91
2-3 goals	45.0%	43.6%	46.9%	0.93×	2.29
3-4 goals	39.8%	38.9%	39.1%	1.00×	2.57
4-6 goals	34.2%	34.1%	33.7%	1.01×	2.93
1-2 goals	33.9%	34.1%	36.9%	0.93×	2.93
4-5 goals	28.4%	30.5%	28.8%	1.06×	3.28
5-6 goals	16.7%	18.1%	16.8%	1.07×	5.53
7+ goals	4.0%	2.1%	4.1%	0.50×	48.74

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADO Den Haag never behind	42.6%	50.7%	—	—	1.97
Fortuna Sittard never behind	33.8%	36.2%	—	—	2.76

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	47.5%	50.1%	49.0%	1.02×	2.00
Even number of goals	52.5%	49.9%	51.0%	0.98×	2.00

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	54.1%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 1st half	45.9%	48.1%	—	—	2.08

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.1%	51.7%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 2nd half	47.9%	48.3%	—	—	2.07

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	94.4%	93.0%	96.5%	0.96×	1.08
Under 5.5 goals	90.2%	92.9%	91.0%	1.02×	1.08
Over 1.5 goals	83.2%	81.0%	84.4%	0.96×	1.24
Under 4.5 goals	79.3%	78.3%	79.2%	0.99×	1.28
Under 3.5 goals	61.8%	61.5%	62.3%	0.99×	1.63
Over 2.5 goals	60.6%	61.5%	59.7%	1.03×	1.63
Under 2.5 goals	39.4%	38.5%	40.3%	0.96×	2.60
Over 3.5 goals	38.2%	38.5%	37.7%	1.02×	2.60
Over 4.5 goals	20.7%	21.7%	20.8%	1.04×	4.61
Under 1.5 goals	16.8%	19.0%	15.6%	1.22×	5.26
Over 5.5 goals	9.8%	7.1%	9.0%	0.78×	14.13
Under 0.5 goals	5.6%	7.0%	3.5%	2.00×	14.22

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	95.7%	97.2%	95.7%	1.02×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	89.0%	88.2%	89.8%	0.98×	1.13
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	78.3%	76.5%	79.3%	0.97×	1.31
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	74.9%	72.2%	75.0%	0.96×	1.39
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	50.8%	53.0%	51.7%	1.03×	1.89
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	49.2%	47.0%	48.3%	0.97×	2.13
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	25.1%	27.8%	25.0%	1.11×	3.60
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	21.7%	23.5%	20.7%	1.13×	4.26
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	11.0%	11.8%	10.2%	1.16×	8.44
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	4.3%	2.8%	4.3%	0.64×	35.79

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	85.6%	88.0%	—	—	1.14
Over 0.5 in 1st half	72.6%	72.4%	—	—	1.38
Under 1.5 in 1st half	62.4%	63.0%	—	—	1.59
Over 1.5 in 1st half	37.6%	37.0%	—	—	2.71
Under 0.5 in 1st half	27.4%	27.6%	—	—	3.63
Over 2.5 in 1st half	14.4%	12.0%	—	—	8.33

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	83.5%	82.1%	—	—	1.22
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	72.3%	76.3%	—	—	1.31
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	45.0%	51.7%	—	—	1.93
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	55.0%	48.3%	—	—	2.07
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	27.7%	23.7%	—	—	4.22
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	16.5%	17.9%	—	—	5.58

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fortuna Sittard not to score in both halves	74.6%	70.5%	—	—	1.42
ADO Den Haag not to score in both halves	68.1%	67.0%	—	—	1.49
ADO Den Haag to score in both halves	31.9%	33.0%	—	—	3.03
Fortuna Sittard to score in both halves	25.4%	29.5%	—	—	3.39

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	63.5%	58.3%	60.2%	0.97×	1.72
Only ADO Den Haag scores	18.0%	16.4%	23.4%	0.70×	6.09
Only Fortuna Sittard scores	12.9%	10.8%	13.2%	0.82×	9.24
Neither team scores	5.6%	6.6%	3.5%	1.88×	15.10

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	22.6%	21.6%	24.8%	0.87×	4.64
Exactly 3 goals	22.3%	21.5%	22.2%	0.97×	4.64
Exactly 4 goals	17.5%	18.6%	17.0%	1.09×	5.39
Exactly 1 goals	11.2%	12.4%	12.3%	1.01×	8.10
Exactly 5 goals	11.0%	12.3%	11.9%	1.03×	8.10
6 or more goals	9.8%	7.6%	9.0%	0.84×	13.10
Exactly 0 goals	5.6%	7.6%	3.5%	2.16×	13.16

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	55.0%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
1 goal in 2nd half	28.5%	28.5%	—	—	3.51
No goals in 2nd half	16.5%	18.3%	—	—	5.46

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fortuna Sittard not to win both halves	92.0%	93.4%	—	—	1.07
ADO Den Haag not to win both halves	87.4%	87.5%	—	—	1.14
ADO Den Haag to win both halves	12.6%	12.5%	—	—	8.03
Fortuna Sittard to win both halves	8.0%	6.6%	—	—	15.05

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADO Den Haag to win either half	57.7%	59.5%	—	—	1.68
Fortuna Sittard to win neither half	51.9%	53.9%	—	—	1.86
Fortuna Sittard to win either half	48.1%	46.1%	—	—	2.17
ADO Den Haag to win neither half	42.3%	40.5%	—	—	2.47

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fortuna Sittard not to win to nil	87.1%	88.3%	86.8%	1.02×	1.13
ADO Den Haag not to win to nil	82.0%	83.2%	76.6%	1.09×	1.20
ADO Den Haag to win to nil	18.0%	16.8%	23.4%	0.72×	5.97
Fortuna Sittard to win to nil	12.9%	11.7%	13.2%	0.89×	8.52

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	26.0%	28.0%	25.3%	1.11×	3.57
ADO Den Haag by 1	19.6%	17.0%	19.3%	0.88×	5.88
Fortuna Sittard by 1	16.6%	17.0%	14.9%	1.14×	5.89
ADO Den Haag by 2	13.1%	11.9%	12.3%	0.97×	8.43
Fortuna Sittard by 2	9.6%	7.1%	8.9%	0.80×	14.06
ADO Den Haag by 3+	9.6%	7.1%	13.3%	0.53×	14.06
Fortuna Sittard by 3+	5.6%	7.1%	6.9%	1.03×	14.14