ADT v Deportivo Moquegua — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Tuesday 27 October 2026 · PER-Liga 1 · 2627

PER-Liga 1 results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

ADT

18:00 UTC

Deportivo Moquegua

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 26 Oct, 10:59 · 31h before kick-off

ADT win

51.1%

model 50.7%

Draw

26.7%

model 25.1%

Deportivo Moquegua win

22.2%

model 24.2%

512722

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (466 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-0 13.5%
1-1 11.8%
2-0 9.8%
2-1 9.2%
0-1 8.7%

Goals

Over 2.5	44.2%	Under 2.5	55.8%
BTTS yes	47.0%	BTTS no	53.0%
ADT 1+	77.7%	ADT 2+	44.3%
Deportivo Moquegua 1+	61.1%	Deportivo Moquegua 2+	24.4%

Expected goals 1.50 – 0.94. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

83/100

Data quality

75/100

Model agreement

96%

★ Best pick

Not both teams to score

GG/NG · usually 46%

53.4% fair odds 1.87

moderate signal · 1528 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Deportivo Moquegua not to score in both halves

Score both halves

84.3% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 828 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Nothing in the data singles out ADT.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

ADT have an estimated 51.1% win probability, against 26.7% for the draw and 22.2% for Deportivo Moquegua. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.50 for ADT and 0.94 for Deportivo Moquegua.

Why ADT

Nothing in the data singles out ADT.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 26.7%. Draws run at 25% in this competition.

Why Deportivo Moquegua can win

Deportivo Moquegua carry the stronger rating, 1446 Elo against 1391.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for ADT, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Deportivo Moquegua, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

ADT: 55% possession, 13.4 shots a match, 11.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Deportivo Moquegua: 41% possession, 9.0 shots a match, 19.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-26 10:06 · team_stats 2026-10-26 06:08 · availability 2026-10-26 14:59 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

ADT are the model's most likely outcome at 51.1%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-0 at 13.5%. Confidence 83/100, data quality 75/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	512524	1.50–0.94	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	472726	1.33–0.91	1-0 15%	39%	43%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADT to win	46.8%	47.4%	49.8%	0.95×	2.11
Draw	27.0%	27.9%	25.0%	1.12×	3.58
Deportivo Moquegua to win	26.2%	27.9%	25.4%	1.10×	3.58

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADT & not both score	30.1%	29.6%	26.4%	1.12×	3.38
ADT & both teams score	16.8%	18.0%	23.6%	0.76×	5.57
Draw & both teams score	16.8%	18.0%	17.4%	1.03×	5.57
Deportivo Moquegua & not both score	16.4%	18.0%	12.3%	1.46×	5.57
Draw & not both score	10.2%	13.3%	7.8%	1.70×	7.54
Deportivo Moquegua & both teams score	9.8%	8.3%	13.2%	0.63×	11.99

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADT & under 3.5	36.8%	34.9%	33.7%	1.04×	2.87
ADT & over 1.5	32.1%	30.8%	38.0%	0.81×	3.25
ADT & under 2.5	24.1%	21.6%	19.2%	1.13×	4.63
ADT & over 2.5	22.8%	21.6%	30.8%	0.70×	4.63
Draw & under 2.5	22.5%	21.6%	18.8%	1.15×	4.63
Draw & under 3.5	22.5%	21.6%	18.8%	1.15×	4.63
Deportivo Moquegua & under 3.5	21.9%	21.6%	19.4%	1.11×	4.63
Draw & over 1.5	16.8%	18.0%	17.4%	1.04×	5.56
Deportivo Moquegua & over 1.5	16.0%	18.0%	17.4%	1.04×	5.56
ADT & under 1.5	14.7%	12.8%	12.0%	1.07×	7.79
Deportivo Moquegua & under 2.5	14.7%	12.8%	11.1%	1.16×	7.79
Deportivo Moquegua & over 2.5	11.5%	12.8%	14.5%	0.89×	7.79
Deportivo Moquegua & under 1.5	10.2%	12.8%	8.2%	1.57×	7.79
ADT & over 3.5	10.0%	12.8%	16.3%	0.79×	7.79
Draw & under 1.5	10.2%	12.8%	7.8%	1.65×	7.79
Draw & over 2.5	4.5%	4.8%	6.3%	0.76×	20.81
Draw & over 3.5	4.5%	4.8%	6.3%	0.76×	20.81
Deportivo Moquegua & over 3.5	4.3%	4.8%	6.2%	0.78×	20.82

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADT (1UP)	59.3%	58.0%	—	—	1.72
Deportivo Moquegua (1UP)	40.8%	38.5%	—	—	2.60

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADT (2UP)	46.8%	50.0%	—	—	2.00
Deportivo Moquegua (2UP)	26.2%	25.1%	—	—	3.98

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	39.3%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
ADT to win 2nd half	36.8%	36.4%	—	—	2.74
Deportivo Moquegua to win 2nd half	23.9%	24.4%	—	—	4.10

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Moquegua under 1.5 in 2nd half	89.5%	87.2%	—	—	1.15
Deportivo Moquegua under 0.5 in 2nd half	57.9%	54.4%	—	—	1.84
Deportivo Moquegua over 0.5 in 2nd half	42.1%	45.6%	—	—	2.19
Deportivo Moquegua over 1.5 in 2nd half	10.5%	12.8%	—	—	7.84

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADT under 1.5 in 2nd half	82.4%	82.4%	—	—	1.21
ADT over 0.5 in 2nd half	53.1%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
ADT under 0.5 in 2nd half	46.9%	45.1%	—	—	2.22
ADT over 1.5 in 2nd half	17.6%	17.6%	—	—	5.69

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Moquegua (+2.5)	92.1%	92.1%	88.6%	1.04×	1.09
Deportivo Moquegua (+1.5)	78.3%	78.5%	75.4%	1.04×	1.27
ADT (+0.5)	73.8%	73.7%	74.6%	0.99×	1.36
Deportivo Moquegua (+0.5)	53.2%	52.4%	50.2%	1.04×	1.91
ADT (-0.5)	46.8%	47.6%	49.8%	0.95×	2.10
Deportivo Moquegua (-0.5)	26.2%	26.3%	25.4%	1.04×	3.80
ADT (-1.5)	21.7%	21.5%	24.6%	0.87×	4.65
ADT (-2.5)	7.9%	7.9%	11.4%	0.69×	12.70

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Moquegua to concede	73.5%	76.7%	80.1%	0.96×	1.30
Deportivo Moquegua clean sheet	26.5%	23.3%	19.9%	1.17×	4.29

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Moquegua clean sheet in 1st half	56.5%	56.4%	—	—	1.77
Deportivo Moquegua to concede in 1st half	43.5%	43.6%	—	—	2.29

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Moquegua to concede in 2nd half	53.1%	54.4%	—	—	1.84
Deportivo Moquegua clean sheet in 2nd half	46.9%	45.6%	—	—	2.20

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Moquegua under 6.5 corners	93.2%	89.9%	—	—	1.11
Deportivo Moquegua under 5.5 corners	87.1%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Deportivo Moquegua under 4.5 corners	76.8%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Deportivo Moquegua under 3.5 corners	61.7%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
Deportivo Moquegua over 2.5 corners	57.7%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Deportivo Moquegua under 2.5 corners	42.3%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Deportivo Moquegua over 3.5 corners	38.3%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
Deportivo Moquegua over 4.5 corners	23.2%	24.0%	—	—	4.17
Deportivo Moquegua over 5.5 corners	12.9%	14.8%	—	—	6.77
Deportivo Moquegua over 6.5 corners	6.8%	10.1%	—	—	9.90

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Moquegua under 3.5 goals	98.6%	97.5%	97.5%	1.00×	1.03
Deportivo Moquegua under 2.5 goals	93.5%	92.4%	92.0%	1.00×	1.08
Deportivo Moquegua under 1.5 goals	76.8%	76.2%	71.6%	1.07×	1.31
Deportivo Moquegua over 0.5 goals	59.8%	59.5%	65.9%	0.90×	1.68
Deportivo Moquegua under 0.5 goals	40.2%	40.5%	34.1%	1.19×	2.47
Deportivo Moquegua over 1.5 goals	23.2%	23.8%	28.4%	0.84×	4.21
Deportivo Moquegua over 2.5 goals	6.5%	7.6%	8.0%	0.96×	13.08
Deportivo Moquegua over 3.5 goals	1.4%	2.5%	2.5%	0.99×	39.90

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Moquegua under 1.5 in 1st half	94.8%	94.0%	—	—	1.06
Deportivo Moquegua under 0.5 in 1st half	69.5%	70.4%	—	—	1.42
Deportivo Moquegua over 0.5 in 1st half	30.5%	29.6%	—	—	3.38
Deportivo Moquegua over 1.5 in 1st half	5.2%	6.0%	—	—	16.68

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Moquegua scores equally in both	48.6%	48.3%	—	—	2.07
Deportivo Moquegua scores more in 2nd half	32.0%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
Deportivo Moquegua scores more in 1st half	19.4%	18.2%	—	—	5.50

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADT (away no bet)	63.4%	61.9%	66.6%	0.93×	1.62
Draw (away no bet)	36.6%	38.1%	33.4%	1.14×	2.63

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Moquegua even goals	58.1%	56.9%	56.9%	1.00×	1.76
Deportivo Moquegua odd goals	41.9%	43.1%	43.1%	1.00×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	91.0%	91.3%	—	—	1.10
Both halves over 1.5 goals	9.0%	8.7%	—	—	11.54

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	52.2%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
Both halves under 1.5 goals	47.8%	49.2%	—	—	2.03

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	46.1%	46.1%	—	—	2.17
ADT to score 2+ in a row	32.2%	28.9%	—	—	3.46
Deportivo Moquegua to score 2+ in a row	17.4%	16.1%	—	—	6.19
Either team to score 3+ in a row	14.3%	12.2%	—	—	8.19
ADT to score 3+ in a row	10.6%	12.1%	—	—	8.26
Deportivo Moquegua to score 3+ in a row	3.8%	2.6%	—	—	38.64

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADT corners (+3.5)	96.0%	95.7%	—	—	1.05
ADT corners (+2.5)	92.7%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
ADT corners (+1.5)	87.6%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Deportivo Moquegua corners (+3.5)	62.6%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
ADT corners (-1.5)	59.9%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Deportivo Moquegua corners (+2.5)	51.5%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
ADT corners (-2.5)	48.5%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Deportivo Moquegua corners (+1.5)	40.1%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
ADT corners (-3.5)	37.4%	38.1%	—	—	2.62
Deportivo Moquegua corners (-1.5)	12.4%	15.5%	—	—	6.45
Deportivo Moquegua corners (-2.5)	7.3%	10.4%	—	—	9.60
Deportivo Moquegua corners (-3.5)	4.0%	4.3%	—	—	23.45

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	49.8%	41.8%	—	—	2.40
9-11 corners	28.2%	31.2%	—	—	3.21
12+ corners	22.1%	25.7%	—	—	3.90

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	84.3%	80.7%	—	—	1.24
Under 11.5 corners	77.9%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 10.5 corners	69.9%	67.8%	—	—	1.47
Over 7.5 corners	61.5%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Under 9.5 corners	60.4%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Over 8.5 corners	50.2%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 8.5 corners	49.8%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 9.5 corners	39.6%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Under 7.5 corners	38.5%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 10.5 corners	30.1%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Over 11.5 corners	22.1%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
Over 12.5 corners	15.7%	19.3%	—	—	5.18

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-0	14.7%	11.5%	12.0%	0.96×	8.71
1-1	12.4%	11.5%	11.2%	1.02×	8.71
0-0	10.2%	11.5%	7.8%	1.47×	8.72
0-1	10.2%	11.5%	8.2%	1.41×	8.72
2-0	9.4%	7.4%	7.4%	1.00×	13.51
2-1	8.6%	7.4%	9.8%	0.76×	13.51
1-2	5.9%	7.4%	7.6%	0.97×	13.51
0-2	4.4%	1.7%	3.1%	0.56×	58.29
0-3	1.3%	1.7%	1.1%	1.58×	58.31
0-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.5%	3.16×	58.32
1-3	1.8%	1.7%	2.0%	0.86×	58.31
1-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.9%	1.89×	58.32
2-2	3.9%	1.7%	5.6%	0.31×	58.30
2-3	1.2%	1.7%	2.0%	0.86×	58.31
2-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.9%	1.89×	58.32
3-0	4.2%	1.7%	5.1%	0.34×	58.30
3-1	3.8%	1.7%	5.3%	0.33×	58.30
3-2	1.7%	1.7%	3.8%	0.45×	58.31
3-3	0.5%	1.7%	0.9%	1.89×	58.32
3-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.7%	2.37×	58.32
4-0	1.4%	1.7%	1.6%	1.05×	58.31
4-1	1.3%	1.7%	2.5%	0.68×	58.31
4-2	0.6%	1.7%	1.1%	1.58×	58.32
4-3	0.2%	1.7%	0.4%	4.73×	58.32
4-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.2%	9.47×	58.32
Any other score	1.4%	1.7%	2.7%	0.63×	58.31

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADT (2nd half DNB)	60.6%	62.7%	—	—	1.59
Deportivo Moquegua (2nd half DNB)	39.4%	37.3%	—	—	2.68

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADT leading at HT (DNB)	63.5%	66.6%	—	—	1.50
Deportivo Moquegua leading at HT (DNB)	36.5%	33.4%	—	—	2.99

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADT or draw (1X)	73.8%	72.1%	74.6%	0.97×	1.39
ADT or Deportivo Moquegua (12)	73.0%	72.1%	75.0%	0.96×	1.39
Deportivo Moquegua or draw (X2)	53.2%	52.6%	50.2%	1.05×	1.90

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADT or draw at HT	80.9%	84.0%	—	—	1.19
Deportivo Moquegua or draw at HT	66.8%	67.1%	—	—	1.49
ADT or Deportivo Moquegua at HT	52.3%	48.5%	—	—	2.06

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADT or draw (1UP)	73.8%	79.7%	—	—	1.26
Deportivo Moquegua or draw (1UP)	53.2%	58.7%	—	—	1.70

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADT or draw in 2nd half	76.1%	75.6%	—	—	1.32
Deportivo Moquegua or draw in 2nd half	63.2%	63.6%	—	—	1.57
ADT or Deportivo Moquegua in 2nd half	60.7%	63.5%	—	—	1.58

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	68.8%	68.4%	—	—	1.46
Neither half drawn	31.2%	31.6%	—	—	3.16

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADT (DNB)	64.1%	62.7%	66.3%	0.95×	1.60
Deportivo Moquegua (DNB)	35.9%	37.3%	33.7%	1.11×	2.68

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADT to score first	53.3%	53.4%	—	—	1.87
Deportivo Moquegua to score first	36.6%	32.7%	—	—	3.06
No goal scored	10.2%	9.3%	—	—	10.81

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	56.6%	55.0%	46.2%	1.19×	1.82
Both teams to score	43.4%	45.0%	53.8%	0.84×	2.22

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	48.9%	44.3%	37.7%	1.18×	2.26
Both score & over 2.5	31.0%	34.6%	42.8%	0.81×	2.89
Both score & under 2.5	12.4%	12.4%	11.2%	1.10×	8.09
Not both score & over 2.5	7.7%	8.3%	8.7%	0.95×	12.07

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	91.1%	89.0%	85.7%	1.04×	1.12
Both teams to score 2+	8.9%	11.0%	14.3%	0.77×	9.09

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	77.8%	75.3%	—	—	1.33
Both teams to score in 2nd half	22.2%	24.7%	—	—	4.05

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	67.6%	63.5%	—	—	1.57
Both score 2nd half only	19.2%	15.0%	—	—	6.66
Both score 1st half only	10.2%	10.7%	—	—	9.34
Both score in both halves	3.0%	4.9%	—	—	20.56

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	86.8%	84.9%	—	—	1.18
Both teams to score by HT	13.2%	15.1%	—	—	6.62

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	56.0%	56.9%	—	—	1.76
A goal in each half	44.0%	43.1%	—	—	2.32

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	46.1%	47.2%	44.2%	1.07×	2.12
0-1 goals	35.1%	35.0%	27.5%	1.27×	2.86
4-6 goals	18.0%	20.2%	26.8%	0.75×	4.94
7+ goals	0.8%	1.8%	1.8%	1.01×	54.48

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Moquegua to score exactly 0	40.2%	37.3%	34.1%	1.09×	2.68
Deportivo Moquegua to score exactly 1	36.6%	35.9%	37.7%	0.95×	2.78
Deportivo Moquegua to score exactly 2	16.7%	19.5%	20.7%	0.95×	5.12
Deportivo Moquegua to score 3+	6.5%	8.5%	8.0%	1.07×	11.72

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADT to score exactly 1	35.2%	35.5%	33.0%	1.08×	2.81
ADT to score exactly 0	26.5%	26.5%	19.9%	1.33×	3.77
ADT to score exactly 2	23.4%	23.3%	25.0%	0.93×	4.29
ADT to score 3+	14.9%	14.3%	22.5%	0.64×	6.98

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	47.7%	51.5%	—	—	1.94
ADT leading at HT	33.2%	32.9%	—	—	3.04
Deportivo Moquegua leading at HT	19.1%	16.1%	—	—	6.23

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADT -1: 2	53.2%	52.2%	—	—	1.92
ADT -1: X	25.1%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
ADT -1: 1	21.7%	23.5%	—	—	4.25

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Moquegua (0:1)	53.2%	51.3%	50.2%	1.02×	1.95
Draw (0:1)	25.1%	27.0%	25.4%	1.06×	3.70
ADT (0:1)	21.7%	24.2%	24.6%	0.98×	4.13

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Moquegua (0:2)	78.3%	79.4%	75.4%	1.05×	1.26
Draw (0:2)	13.8%	11.0%	13.4%	0.82×	9.09
ADT (0:2)	7.9%	7.7%	11.4%	0.67×	13.05

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Moquegua (0:3)	92.1%	92.7%	88.6%	1.05×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	5.6%	5.8%	7.6%	0.76×	17.27
ADT (0:3)	2.3%	2.4%	4.0%	0.60×	42.04

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Moquegua (0:4)	97.7%	98.1%	96.0%	1.02×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	1.7%	1.2%	2.5%	0.48×	81.71
ADT (0:4)	0.6%	1.2%	1.6%	0.75×	81.84

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADT (1:0)	73.8%	72.5%	74.6%	0.97×	1.38
Draw (1:0)	17.4%	17.1%	17.9%	0.95×	5.85
Deportivo Moquegua (1:0)	8.8%	6.9%	7.6%	0.91×	14.47

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADT (2:0)	91.2%	94.0%	92.4%	1.02×	1.06
Draw (2:0)	6.5%	6.4%	5.6%	1.14×	15.67
Deportivo Moquegua (2:0)	2.3%	2.3%	2.2%	1.05×	43.78

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	45.5%	48.6%	—	—	2.06
Halves equal	27.4%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
1st half highest scoring	27.1%	26.2%	—	—	3.81

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADT to concede	59.8%	60.7%	65.9%	0.92×	1.65
ADT clean sheet	40.2%	39.3%	34.1%	1.15×	2.55

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADT clean sheet in 1st half	69.5%	70.8%	—	—	1.41
ADT to concede in 1st half	30.5%	29.2%	—	—	3.43

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADT clean sheet in 2nd half	57.9%	54.8%	—	—	1.82
ADT to concede in 2nd half	42.1%	45.2%	—	—	2.21

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADT over 2.5 corners	86.6%	86.2%	—	—	1.16
ADT over 3.5 corners	75.0%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
ADT under 6.5 corners	64.8%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
ADT over 4.5 corners	61.4%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
ADT under 5.5 corners	52.3%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
ADT over 5.5 corners	47.7%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
ADT under 4.5 corners	38.6%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
ADT over 6.5 corners	35.2%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
ADT under 3.5 corners	25.0%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
ADT under 2.5 corners	13.4%	13.8%	—	—	7.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADT under 3.5 goals	95.4%	96.4%	92.4%	1.04×	1.04
ADT under 2.5 goals	85.1%	87.3%	77.5%	1.13×	1.15
ADT over 0.5 goals	73.5%	74.2%	80.1%	0.93×	1.35
ADT under 1.5 goals	61.7%	63.6%	52.7%	1.21×	1.57
ADT over 1.5 goals	38.3%	36.4%	47.3%	0.77×	2.75
ADT under 0.5 goals	26.5%	25.8%	19.9%	1.29×	3.88
ADT over 2.5 goals	14.9%	12.7%	22.5%	0.57×	7.84
ADT over 3.5 goals	4.6%	3.6%	7.6%	0.48×	27.48

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADT under 1.5 in 1st half	88.8%	90.2%	—	—	1.11
ADT under 0.5 in 1st half	56.5%	56.2%	—	—	1.78
ADT over 0.5 in 1st half	43.5%	43.8%	—	—	2.28
ADT over 1.5 in 1st half	11.2%	9.8%	—	—	10.24

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADT scores equally in both	39.3%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
ADT scores more in 2nd half	36.0%	38.1%	—	—	2.63
ADT scores more in 1st half	24.7%	21.1%	—	—	4.73

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	50.8%	51.4%	49.6%	1.04×	1.95
Deportivo Moquegua (home no bet)	49.2%	48.6%	50.4%	0.96×	2.06

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADT even goals	53.5%	50.8%	50.5%	1.00×	1.97
ADT odd goals	46.5%	49.2%	49.5%	1.00×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	39.2%	38.8%	—	—	2.58
HT 1-0	22.5%	24.3%	—	—	4.11
HT 0-1	14.4%	11.0%	—	—	9.08
HT 1-1	8.1%	6.9%	—	—	14.53
HT 2-0	6.4%	6.9%	—	—	14.56
HT 0-2	2.6%	2.4%	—	—	42.23
Any other HT score	2.6%	2.4%	—	—	42.23
HT 2-1	2.3%	2.4%	—	—	42.25
HT 1-2	1.5%	2.4%	—	—	42.31
HT 2-2	0.4%	2.4%	—	—	42.38

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADT at HT / ADT at FT	27.1%	27.3%	—	—	3.66
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	18.2%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / ADT at FT	17.8%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Deportivo Moquegua at HT / Deportivo Moquegua at FT	13.1%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Draw at HT / Deportivo Moquegua at FT	11.7%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
ADT at HT / Draw at FT	4.7%	3.5%	—	—	28.85
Deportivo Moquegua at HT / Draw at FT	4.1%	3.5%	—	—	28.87
Deportivo Moquegua at HT / ADT at FT	1.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.95
ADT at HT / Deportivo Moquegua at FT	1.5%	3.5%	—	—	28.97

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADT to score last	53.2%	52.2%	—	—	1.92
Deportivo Moquegua to score last	36.6%	38.6%	—	—	2.59
No goal scored	10.2%	8.7%	—	—	11.56

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	89.8%	91.7%	—	—	1.09
ADT to lead by 1 at any time	59.3%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
Deportivo Moquegua to lead by 1 at any time	40.8%	39.1%	—	—	2.55
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	38.9%	34.9%	—	—	2.87
ADT to lead by 2 at any time	26.5%	25.3%	—	—	3.96
Deportivo Moquegua to lead by 2 at any time	12.5%	10.6%	—	—	9.43
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	12.3%	10.6%	—	—	9.43
ADT to lead by 3 at any time	9.3%	6.7%	—	—	14.96
Deportivo Moquegua to lead by 3 at any time	3.0%	1.6%	—	—	62.29

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADT most corners	70.9%	70.5%	—	—	1.42
Deportivo Moquegua most corners	19.7%	19.3%	—	—	5.18
Corners level	9.4%	8.3%	—	—	11.98

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	87.2%	87.4%	87.1%	1.00×	1.14
1-4 goals	82.2%	83.4%	78.1%	1.07×	1.20
1-3 goals	71.0%	72.3%	63.9%	1.13×	1.38
2-6 goals	64.1%	63.3%	70.8%	0.89×	1.58
2-5 goals	62.3%	63.3%	67.4%	0.94×	1.58
2-4 goals	57.3%	59.1%	58.3%	1.01×	1.69
1-2 goals	51.1%	53.2%	41.1%	1.29×	1.88
2-3 goals	46.1%	48.4%	44.2%	1.10×	2.06
3-6 goals	37.9%	39.2%	49.6%	0.79×	2.55
3-5 goals	36.1%	39.2%	46.2%	0.85×	2.55
3-4 goals	31.1%	35.2%	37.1%	0.95×	2.84
4-6 goals	18.0%	18.8%	26.8%	0.70×	5.31
4-5 goals	16.1%	18.8%	23.4%	0.81×	5.31
5-6 goals	6.9%	8.9%	12.7%	0.70×	11.26
7+ goals	0.8%	2.5%	1.8%	1.41×	39.23

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADT never behind	49.0%	56.8%	—	—	1.76
Deportivo Moquegua never behind	30.5%	36.2%	—	—	2.76

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	49.5%	50.9%	46.7%	1.09×	1.97
Odd number of goals	50.5%	49.1%	53.3%	0.92×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	57.5%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Odd goals in 1st half	42.5%	42.1%	—	—	2.37

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	53.3%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	46.7%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	97.3%	95.4%	94.7%	1.01×	1.05
Under 4.5 goals	92.3%	92.3%	85.7%	1.08×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	89.8%	87.6%	92.2%	0.95×	1.14
Under 3.5 goals	81.2%	82.3%	71.6%	1.15×	1.22
Over 1.5 goals	64.9%	61.7%	72.5%	0.85×	1.62
Under 2.5 goals	61.3%	61.7%	48.7%	1.27×	1.62
Over 2.5 goals	38.7%	38.3%	51.3%	0.75×	2.61
Under 1.5 goals	35.1%	38.3%	27.5%	1.39×	2.61
Over 3.5 goals	18.8%	17.7%	28.4%	0.62×	5.65
Under 0.5 goals	10.2%	12.4%	7.8%	1.59×	8.07
Over 4.5 goals	7.7%	7.7%	14.3%	0.54×	12.93
Over 5.5 goals	2.7%	4.6%	5.3%	0.87×	21.83

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	99.2%	97.2%	98.1%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	97.2%	97.2%	94.2%	1.03×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	91.4%	92.4%	83.3%	1.11×	1.08
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	76.5%	75.9%	63.1%	1.20×	1.32
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	52.5%	51.9%	65.1%	0.80×	1.93
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	47.5%	48.1%	34.9%	1.38×	2.08
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	23.5%	24.1%	36.9%	0.65×	4.15
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	8.6%	7.6%	16.7%	0.46×	13.18
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	2.8%	2.8%	5.8%	0.49×	35.60
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	0.8%	2.8%	1.9%	1.49×	35.66

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	93.1%	92.9%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	76.1%	78.1%	—	—	1.28
Over 0.5 in 1st half	60.8%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Under 0.5 in 1st half	39.2%	36.7%	—	—	2.73
Over 1.5 in 1st half	23.9%	21.9%	—	—	4.57
Over 2.5 in 1st half	6.9%	7.1%	—	—	13.99

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	85.6%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	73.0%	77.8%	—	—	1.29
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	62.8%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	37.2%	38.6%	—	—	2.59
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	27.0%	22.2%	—	—	4.51
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	14.4%	14.8%	—	—	6.78

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Moquegua not to score in both halves	87.1%	85.6%	—	—	1.17
ADT not to score in both halves	76.9%	78.4%	—	—	1.28
ADT to score in both halves	23.1%	21.6%	—	—	4.63
Deportivo Moquegua to score in both halves	12.9%	14.4%	—	—	6.94

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	43.4%	46.6%	53.8%	0.87×	2.15
Only ADT scores	30.1%	33.2%	26.4%	1.26×	3.01
Only Deportivo Moquegua scores	16.4%	16.0%	12.3%	1.30×	6.24
Neither team scores	10.2%	11.0%	7.8%	1.41×	9.07

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	26.2%	24.9%	21.4%	1.16×	4.02
Exactly 1 goals	24.9%	22.6%	19.9%	1.13×	4.43
Exactly 3 goals	19.9%	17.5%	23.0%	0.76×	5.73
Exactly 4 goals	11.2%	12.1%	14.3%	0.85×	8.26
Exactly 0 goals	10.2%	12.1%	7.8%	1.55×	8.26
Exactly 5 goals	5.0%	4.5%	9.2%	0.48×	22.32
6 or more goals	2.7%	4.5%	5.3%	0.85×	22.36

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No goals in 1st half	39.2%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
1 goal in 1st half	36.9%	37.2%	—	—	2.69
2 goals in 1st half	17.1%	15.7%	—	—	6.37
3+ goals in 1st half	6.9%	7.1%	—	—	13.99

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	37.2%	39.7%	—	—	2.52
1 goal in 2nd half	35.8%	39.5%	—	—	2.53
No goals in 2nd half	27.0%	29.1%	—	—	3.44

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Moquegua not to win both halves	95.5%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
ADT not to win both halves	87.9%	88.0%	—	—	1.14
ADT to win both halves	12.1%	12.0%	—	—	8.31
Deportivo Moquegua to win both halves	4.5%	2.8%	—	—	35.36

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Moquegua to win neither half	61.5%	64.9%	—	—	1.54
ADT to win either half	57.9%	59.1%	—	—	1.69
ADT to win neither half	42.1%	41.0%	—	—	2.44
Deportivo Moquegua to win either half	38.5%	35.1%	—	—	2.85

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Moquegua not to win to nil	83.6%	83.1%	87.7%	0.95×	1.20
ADT not to win to nil	69.9%	69.7%	73.6%	0.95×	1.43
ADT to win to nil	30.1%	30.3%	26.4%	1.14×	3.30
Deportivo Moquegua to win to nil	16.4%	16.9%	12.3%	1.37×	5.92

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	27.0%	27.9%	25.0%	1.12×	3.59
ADT by 1	25.1%	27.9%	25.4%	1.10×	3.59
Deportivo Moquegua by 1	17.4%	17.0%	17.9%	0.95×	5.87
ADT by 2	13.8%	11.8%	13.4%	0.88×	8.50
ADT by 3+	7.9%	7.2%	11.4%	0.63×	13.91
Deportivo Moquegua by 2	6.5%	7.2%	5.6%	1.28×	13.91
Deportivo Moquegua by 3+	2.3%	2.7%	2.2%	1.25×	36.90