ADT v Sporting Cristal — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 7 November 2026 · PER-Liga 1 · 2627

PER-Liga 1 results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

ADT

20:00 UTC

Sporting Cristal

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 27 Oct, 10:57 · 273h before kick-off

ADT win

38.5%

model 39.9%

Draw

23.2%

model 24.6%

Sporting Cristal win

38.3%

model 35.5%

392338

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (648 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 11.6%
1-0 9.7%
0-1 9.1%
2-1 8.6%
1-2 8.0%

Goals

Over 2.5	51.4%	Under 2.5	48.6%
BTTS yes	54.9%	BTTS no	45.1%
ADT 1+	75.7%	ADT 2+	41.3%
Sporting Cristal 1+	73.2%	Sporting Cristal 2+	38.0%

Expected goals 1.41 – 1.32. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

81/100

Data quality

75/100

Model agreement

94%

★ Best pick

Sporting Cristal (+0.5)

Asian handicap · usually 50%

63.6% fair odds 1.57

moderate signal · 1134 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Sporting Cristal (0:2)

Handicap 0:2 · usually 75%

83.6% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 504 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Nothing in the data singles out ADT.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

ADT have an estimated 38.5% win probability, against 38.3% for Sporting Cristal and 23.2% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.41 for ADT and 1.32 for Sporting Cristal.

Why ADT

Nothing in the data singles out ADT.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 23.2%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.41 to 1.32. Draws run at 25% in this competition.

Why Sporting Cristal can win

Sporting Cristal carry the stronger rating, 1492 Elo against 1391.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for ADT, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Sporting Cristal, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

ADT: 55% possession, 13.4 shots a match, 11.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Sporting Cristal: 55% possession, 10.2 shots a match, 13.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-27 10:01 · team_stats 2026-10-27 06:03 · availability 2026-10-27 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

ADT are the model's most likely outcome at 38.5%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 11.6%. Confidence 81/100, data quality 75/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	402535	1.41–1.32	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	352441	1.35–1.50	1-1 11%	54%	57%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal to win	41.4%	42.9%	25.4%	1.69×	2.33
ADT to win	34.6%	30.4%	49.8%	0.61×	3.29
Draw	24.0%	24.5%	25.0%	0.98×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal & both teams score	20.8%	21.8%	13.2%	1.65×	4.59
Sporting Cristal & not both score	20.6%	21.8%	12.3%	1.77×	4.59
Draw & both teams score	18.7%	18.0%	17.4%	1.03×	5.56
ADT & both teams score	17.6%	18.0%	23.6%	0.76×	5.56
ADT & not both score	17.0%	18.0%	26.4%	0.68×	5.57
Draw & not both score	5.3%	8.3%	7.8%	1.07×	12.01

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal & over 1.5	32.2%	30.8%	17.4%	1.77×	3.25
Sporting Cristal & under 3.5	27.7%	26.1%	19.4%	1.34×	3.84
ADT & over 1.5	26.4%	26.1%	38.0%	0.68×	3.84
Sporting Cristal & over 2.5	25.7%	26.1%	14.5%	1.80×	3.84
ADT & under 3.5	23.8%	21.6%	33.7%	0.64×	4.63
ADT & over 2.5	21.1%	21.6%	30.8%	0.70×	4.63
Draw & over 1.5	18.7%	18.0%	17.4%	1.04×	5.55
Draw & under 2.5	16.5%	18.0%	18.8%	0.96×	5.56
Draw & under 3.5	16.5%	18.0%	18.8%	0.96×	5.56
Sporting Cristal & under 2.5	15.6%	18.0%	11.1%	1.63×	5.56
ADT & under 2.5	13.5%	12.8%	19.2%	0.67×	7.79
Sporting Cristal & over 3.5	13.7%	12.8%	6.2%	2.08×	7.79
ADT & over 3.5	10.8%	12.8%	16.3%	0.79×	7.79
Sporting Cristal & under 1.5	9.1%	7.9%	8.2%	0.97×	12.63
ADT & under 1.5	8.3%	7.9%	12.0%	0.66×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	7.5%	7.9%	6.3%	1.25×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	7.5%	7.9%	6.3%	1.25×	12.63
Draw & under 1.5	5.3%	7.9%	7.8%	1.02×	12.63

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal (1UP)	58.1%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
ADT (1UP)	52.3%	52.3%	—	—	1.91

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal (2UP)	41.4%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
ADT (2UP)	34.6%	30.4%	—	—	3.29

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal to win 2nd half	36.7%	36.4%	—	—	2.75
2nd half drawn	34.0%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
ADT to win 2nd half	29.3%	26.1%	—	—	3.83

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal under 1.5 in 2nd half	77.2%	79.5%	—	—	1.26
Sporting Cristal over 0.5 in 2nd half	59.4%	54.5%	—	—	1.84
Sporting Cristal under 0.5 in 2nd half	40.6%	45.5%	—	—	2.20
Sporting Cristal over 1.5 in 2nd half	22.8%	20.5%	—	—	4.87

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADT under 1.5 in 2nd half	82.0%	82.4%	—	—	1.21
ADT over 0.5 in 2nd half	53.7%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
ADT under 0.5 in 2nd half	46.3%	45.0%	—	—	2.22
ADT over 1.5 in 2nd half	18.0%	17.6%	—	—	5.67

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal (+2.5)	94.6%	92.1%	88.6%	1.04×	1.09
Sporting Cristal (+1.5)	84.7%	82.6%	75.4%	1.10×	1.21
Sporting Cristal (+0.5)	65.4%	68.7%	50.2%	1.37×	1.46
ADT (+0.5)	58.6%	57.1%	74.6%	0.76×	1.75
Sporting Cristal (-0.5)	41.4%	42.9%	25.4%	1.69×	2.33
ADT (-0.5)	34.6%	31.3%	49.8%	0.63×	3.19
ADT (-1.5)	15.3%	17.4%	24.6%	0.71×	5.74
ADT (-2.5)	5.4%	7.9%	11.4%	0.69×	12.72

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal to concede	74.1%	76.7%	80.1%	0.96×	1.30
Sporting Cristal clean sheet	25.9%	23.3%	19.9%	1.17×	4.29

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal clean sheet in 1st half	55.9%	56.4%	—	—	1.77
Sporting Cristal to concede in 1st half	44.1%	43.6%	—	—	2.29

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal to concede in 2nd half	53.7%	54.6%	—	—	1.83
Sporting Cristal clean sheet in 2nd half	46.3%	45.4%	—	—	2.20

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal over 2.5 corners	82.9%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Sporting Cristal under 6.5 corners	71.6%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Sporting Cristal over 3.5 corners	69.4%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Sporting Cristal under 5.5 corners	59.6%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Sporting Cristal over 4.5 corners	54.5%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Sporting Cristal under 4.5 corners	45.5%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Sporting Cristal over 5.5 corners	40.4%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Sporting Cristal under 3.5 corners	30.6%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Sporting Cristal over 6.5 corners	28.4%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Sporting Cristal under 2.5 corners	17.1%	18.6%	—	—	5.38

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal under 3.5 goals	93.4%	92.4%	97.5%	0.95×	1.08
Sporting Cristal under 2.5 goals	80.9%	81.5%	92.0%	0.89×	1.23
Sporting Cristal over 0.5 goals	77.7%	76.2%	65.9%	1.16×	1.31
Sporting Cristal under 1.5 goals	55.8%	59.4%	71.6%	0.83×	1.68
Sporting Cristal over 1.5 goals	44.2%	40.6%	28.4%	1.43×	2.46
Sporting Cristal under 0.5 goals	22.3%	23.8%	34.1%	0.70×	4.21
Sporting Cristal over 2.5 goals	19.1%	18.5%	8.0%	2.32×	5.40
Sporting Cristal over 3.5 goals	6.6%	7.6%	2.5%	3.01×	13.08

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal under 1.5 in 1st half	87.8%	89.3%	—	—	1.12
Sporting Cristal under 0.5 in 1st half	54.9%	55.9%	—	—	1.79
Sporting Cristal over 0.5 in 1st half	45.1%	44.1%	—	—	2.27
Sporting Cristal over 1.5 in 1st half	12.2%	10.7%	—	—	9.32

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal scores more in 2nd half	40.7%	43.6%	—	—	2.29
Sporting Cristal scores equally in both	36.1%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
Sporting Cristal scores more in 1st half	23.2%	21.8%	—	—	4.59

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADT (away no bet)	59.1%	57.4%	66.6%	0.86×	1.74
Draw (away no bet)	40.9%	42.6%	33.4%	1.28×	2.35

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal even goals	52.5%	52.6%	56.9%	0.93×	1.90
Sporting Cristal odd goals	47.5%	47.4%	43.1%	1.10×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	83.6%	83.2%	—	—	1.20
Both halves over 1.5 goals	16.5%	16.8%	—	—	5.95

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	66.1%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Both halves under 1.5 goals	33.9%	32.2%	—	—	3.10

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	57.8%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
Sporting Cristal to score 2+ in a row	35.1%	36.4%	—	—	2.75
ADT to score 2+ in a row	29.9%	25.0%	—	—	4.00
Either team to score 3+ in a row	20.6%	19.5%	—	—	5.13
Sporting Cristal to score 3+ in a row	11.9%	12.1%	—	—	8.24
ADT to score 3+ in a row	9.0%	5.5%	—	—	18.06

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal corners (+3.5)	82.1%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
ADT corners (+3.5)	81.7%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Sporting Cristal corners (+2.5)	74.7%	70.8%	—	—	1.41
ADT corners (+2.5)	74.1%	70.8%	—	—	1.41
Sporting Cristal corners (+1.5)	65.7%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
ADT corners (+1.5)	65.1%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Sporting Cristal corners (-1.5)	34.9%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
ADT corners (-1.5)	34.3%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Sporting Cristal corners (-2.5)	25.9%	29.2%	—	—	3.42
ADT corners (-2.5)	25.3%	29.2%	—	—	3.42
Sporting Cristal corners (-3.5)	18.3%	20.2%	—	—	4.95
ADT corners (-3.5)	17.9%	20.2%	—	—	4.95

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	35.3%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
12+ corners	35.0%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
9-11 corners	29.6%	31.2%	—	—	3.20

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	74.4%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 12.5 corners	73.1%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 11.5 corners	65.0%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Over 8.5 corners	64.7%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Under 10.5 corners	55.6%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 9.5 corners	54.4%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 9.5 corners	45.6%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 10.5 corners	44.4%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Under 8.5 corners	35.3%	36.7%	—	—	2.72
Over 11.5 corners	35.0%	36.7%	—	—	2.72
Over 12.5 corners	26.9%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Under 7.5 corners	25.6%	27.5%	—	—	3.64

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	11.2%	11.5%	11.2%	1.02×	8.72
0-1	9.1%	7.4%	8.2%	0.91×	13.51
1-2	8.8%	7.4%	7.6%	0.97×	13.51
0-2	6.5%	7.4%	3.1%	2.40×	13.51
1-0	8.3%	7.4%	12.0%	0.62×	13.51
2-1	7.9%	7.4%	9.8%	0.76×	13.51
0-0	5.3%	7.4%	7.8%	0.95×	13.51
2-0	5.3%	7.4%	7.4%	1.00×	13.51
2-2	5.9%	7.4%	5.6%	1.32×	13.51
0-3	3.3%	1.7%	1.1%	1.58×	58.30
0-4	1.2%	1.7%	0.5%	3.16×	58.31
1-3	4.4%	1.7%	2.0%	0.86×	58.29
1-4	1.7%	1.7%	0.9%	1.89×	58.31
2-3	3.0%	1.7%	2.0%	0.86×	58.30
2-4	1.1%	1.7%	0.9%	1.89×	58.31
3-0	2.4%	1.7%	5.1%	0.34×	58.31
3-1	3.6%	1.7%	5.3%	0.33×	58.30
3-2	2.7%	1.7%	3.8%	0.45×	58.30
3-3	1.3%	1.7%	0.9%	1.89×	58.31
3-4	0.5%	1.7%	0.7%	2.37×	58.32
4-0	0.8%	1.7%	1.6%	1.05×	58.31
4-1	1.2%	1.7%	2.5%	0.68×	58.31
4-2	0.9%	1.7%	1.1%	1.58×	58.31
4-3	0.5%	1.7%	0.4%	4.73×	58.32
4-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.2%	9.47×	58.32
Any other score	3.1%	1.7%	2.7%	0.63×	58.30

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal (2nd half DNB)	55.6%	59.3%	—	—	1.69
ADT (2nd half DNB)	44.4%	40.7%	—	—	2.46

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal leading at HT (DNB)	51.1%	55.9%	—	—	1.79
ADT leading at HT (DNB)	48.9%	44.1%	—	—	2.27

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADT or Sporting Cristal (12)	76.0%	75.5%	75.0%	1.01×	1.32
Sporting Cristal or draw (X2)	65.4%	69.6%	50.2%	1.39×	1.44
ADT or draw (1X)	58.6%	57.1%	74.6%	0.76×	1.75

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal or draw at HT	71.7%	74.4%	—	—	1.34
ADT or draw at HT	70.5%	74.4%	—	—	1.34
ADT or Sporting Cristal at HT	57.8%	57.5%	—	—	1.74

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal or draw (1UP)	65.4%	76.3%	—	—	1.31
ADT or draw (1UP)	58.6%	63.1%	—	—	1.59

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal or draw in 2nd half	70.7%	73.9%	—	—	1.35
ADT or Sporting Cristal in 2nd half	66.0%	66.0%	—	—	1.52
ADT or draw in 2nd half	63.3%	63.6%	—	—	1.57

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	62.4%	61.3%	—	—	1.63
Neither half drawn	37.6%	38.7%	—	—	2.59

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal (DNB)	54.4%	51.0%	33.7%	1.51×	1.96
ADT (DNB)	45.6%	49.0%	66.3%	0.74×	2.04

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal to score first	49.8%	46.0%	—	—	2.18
ADT to score first	44.9%	41.8%	—	—	2.39
No goal scored	5.3%	7.5%	—	—	13.33

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	57.1%	55.0%	53.8%	1.02×	1.82
Not both teams to score	42.9%	45.0%	46.2%	0.97×	2.22

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	45.9%	44.3%	42.8%	1.04×	2.26
Not both score & under 2.5	34.5%	34.6%	37.7%	0.92×	2.89
Both score & under 2.5	11.2%	12.4%	11.2%	1.10×	8.09
Not both score & over 2.5	8.4%	8.3%	8.7%	0.95×	12.06

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	82.7%	82.6%	85.7%	0.96×	1.21
Both teams to score 2+	17.3%	17.4%	14.3%	1.21×	5.76

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	68.3%	67.3%	—	—	1.49
Both teams to score in 2nd half	31.7%	32.7%	—	—	3.06

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	54.8%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Both score 2nd half only	25.4%	26.7%	—	—	3.74
Both score 1st half only	13.5%	10.8%	—	—	9.30
Both score in both halves	6.3%	6.8%	—	—	14.79

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	80.2%	83.4%	—	—	1.20
Both teams to score by HT	19.8%	16.6%	—	—	6.01

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	56.0%	57.0%	—	—	1.76
A half without a goal	44.0%	43.0%	—	—	2.32

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	45.3%	47.2%	44.2%	1.07×	2.12
4-6 goals	29.3%	26.6%	26.8%	0.99×	3.76
0-1 goals	22.7%	22.9%	27.5%	0.83×	4.36
7+ goals	2.7%	1.8%	1.8%	1.02×	54.29

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal to score exactly 1	33.5%	33.8%	37.7%	0.90×	2.96
Sporting Cristal to score exactly 2	25.1%	27.4%	20.7%	1.33×	3.65
Sporting Cristal to score exactly 0	22.3%	22.3%	34.1%	0.65×	4.49
Sporting Cristal to score 3+	19.1%	19.5%	8.0%	2.45×	5.12

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADT to score exactly 1	35.0%	32.6%	33.0%	0.99×	3.07
ADT to score exactly 0	25.9%	26.6%	19.9%	1.33×	3.77
ADT to score exactly 2	23.6%	23.3%	25.0%	0.93×	4.29
ADT to score 3+	15.5%	18.8%	22.5%	0.84×	5.33

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	42.2%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Sporting Cristal leading at HT	29.5%	25.6%	—	—	3.91
ADT leading at HT	28.3%	25.6%	—	—	3.91

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal -1: 1	58.6%	56.8%	—	—	1.76
Sporting Cristal -1: X	21.4%	23.5%	—	—	4.25
Sporting Cristal -1: 2	19.9%	17.5%	—	—	5.71

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal (0:1)	65.4%	65.2%	50.2%	1.30×	1.53
Draw (0:1)	19.3%	17.8%	25.4%	0.70×	5.61
ADT (0:1)	15.3%	17.8%	24.6%	0.72×	5.62

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal (0:2)	84.7%	83.0%	75.4%	1.10×	1.21
Draw (0:2)	9.9%	7.7%	13.4%	0.57×	13.03
ADT (0:2)	5.4%	7.6%	11.4%	0.67×	13.07

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal (0:3)	94.6%	92.7%	88.6%	1.05×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	3.8%	2.4%	7.6%	0.31×	41.97
ADT (0:3)	1.6%	2.4%	4.0%	0.60×	42.07

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal (0:4)	98.4%	98.1%	96.0%	1.02×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	1.2%	1.2%	2.5%	0.48×	81.84
ADT (0:4)	0.4%	1.2%	1.6%	0.75×	81.93

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADT (1:0)	58.6%	58.4%	74.6%	0.78×	1.71
Draw (1:0)	21.4%	21.7%	17.9%	1.21×	4.61
Sporting Cristal (1:0)	19.9%	17.1%	7.6%	2.25×	5.84

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADT (2:0)	80.1%	84.5%	92.4%	0.92×	1.18
Draw (2:0)	12.2%	10.3%	5.6%	1.83×	9.72
Sporting Cristal (2:0)	7.7%	6.4%	2.2%	2.94×	15.65

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	49.2%	48.6%	—	—	2.06
1st half highest scoring	27.3%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
Halves equal	23.5%	24.5%	—	—	4.08

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADT to concede	77.7%	76.1%	65.9%	1.15×	1.32
ADT clean sheet	22.3%	23.9%	34.1%	0.70×	4.18

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADT clean sheet in 1st half	54.9%	55.9%	—	—	1.79
ADT to concede in 1st half	45.1%	44.1%	—	—	2.27

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADT to concede in 2nd half	59.4%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
ADT clean sheet in 2nd half	40.6%	45.1%	—	—	2.22

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADT over 2.5 corners	82.6%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
ADT under 6.5 corners	72.1%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
ADT over 3.5 corners	68.9%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
ADT under 5.5 corners	60.1%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
ADT over 4.5 corners	54.0%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
ADT under 4.5 corners	46.0%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
ADT over 5.5 corners	39.9%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
ADT under 3.5 corners	31.1%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
ADT over 6.5 corners	27.9%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
ADT under 2.5 corners	17.4%	19.0%	—	—	5.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADT under 3.5 goals	95.2%	96.4%	92.4%	1.04×	1.04
ADT under 2.5 goals	84.5%	82.2%	77.5%	1.06×	1.22
ADT over 0.5 goals	74.1%	74.2%	80.1%	0.93×	1.35
ADT under 1.5 goals	60.9%	63.6%	52.7%	1.21×	1.57
ADT over 1.5 goals	39.1%	36.4%	47.3%	0.77×	2.75
ADT under 0.5 goals	25.9%	25.8%	19.9%	1.29×	3.88
ADT over 2.5 goals	15.5%	17.8%	22.5%	0.79×	5.62
ADT over 3.5 goals	4.8%	3.6%	7.6%	0.48×	27.47

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADT under 1.5 in 1st half	88.4%	90.1%	—	—	1.11
ADT under 0.5 in 1st half	55.9%	56.2%	—	—	1.78
ADT over 0.5 in 1st half	44.1%	43.8%	—	—	2.28
ADT over 1.5 in 1st half	11.6%	9.9%	—	—	10.13

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADT scores equally in both	38.8%	38.1%	—	—	2.62
ADT scores more in 2nd half	36.3%	38.1%	—	—	2.63
ADT scores more in 1st half	24.8%	21.1%	—	—	4.75

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal (home no bet)	63.3%	60.0%	50.4%	1.19×	1.67
Draw (home no bet)	36.7%	40.0%	49.6%	0.81×	2.50

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADT even goals	53.4%	50.8%	50.5%	1.00×	1.97
ADT odd goals	46.6%	49.2%	49.5%	1.00×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	30.6%	33.4%	—	—	3.00
HT 0-1	18.5%	18.6%	—	—	5.38
HT 1-0	17.9%	18.6%	—	—	5.39
HT 1-1	10.6%	11.0%	—	—	9.12
HT 0-2	5.5%	6.9%	—	—	14.57
HT 2-0	5.2%	6.9%	—	—	14.58
Any other HT score	4.4%	2.4%	—	—	42.13
HT 1-2	3.2%	2.4%	—	—	42.21
HT 2-1	3.1%	2.4%	—	—	42.22
HT 2-2	0.9%	2.4%	—	—	42.36

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal at HT / Sporting Cristal at FT	22.7%	21.6%	—	—	4.63
ADT at HT / ADT at FT	19.9%	16.8%	—	—	5.95
Draw at HT / Sporting Cristal at FT	15.7%	16.8%	—	—	5.97
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	13.8%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Draw at HT / ADT at FT	12.6%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
ADT at HT / Draw at FT	5.4%	6.0%	—	—	16.54
Sporting Cristal at HT / Draw at FT	4.7%	3.5%	—	—	28.86
ADT at HT / Sporting Cristal at FT	2.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.93
Sporting Cristal at HT / ADT at FT	2.1%	3.5%	—	—	28.96

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal to score last	49.8%	46.5%	—	—	2.15
ADT to score last	44.9%	40.1%	—	—	2.49
No goal scored	5.3%	7.5%	—	—	13.33

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	94.7%	92.6%	—	—	1.08
Sporting Cristal to lead by 1 at any time	58.1%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
ADT to lead by 1 at any time	52.3%	50.6%	—	—	1.98
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	47.9%	44.3%	—	—	2.26
Sporting Cristal to lead by 2 at any time	26.6%	25.2%	—	—	3.96
ADT to lead by 2 at any time	21.6%	19.5%	—	—	5.13
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	17.1%	14.8%	—	—	6.75
Sporting Cristal to lead by 3 at any time	9.9%	6.7%	—	—	14.93
ADT to lead by 3 at any time	7.2%	6.6%	—	—	15.05

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal most corners	45.1%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
ADT most corners	44.4%	43.6%	—	—	2.30
Corners level	10.5%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	87.7%	87.4%	87.1%	1.00×	1.14
1-4 goals	78.6%	78.7%	78.1%	1.01×	1.27
2-6 goals	74.6%	72.3%	70.8%	1.02×	1.38
2-5 goals	70.3%	72.3%	67.4%	1.07×	1.38
1-3 goals	62.7%	63.3%	63.9%	0.99×	1.58
2-4 goals	61.2%	63.3%	58.3%	1.09×	1.58
3-6 goals	51.6%	53.1%	49.6%	1.07×	1.88
3-5 goals	47.3%	48.4%	46.2%	1.05×	2.06
2-3 goals	45.3%	48.4%	44.2%	1.10×	2.06
1-2 goals	40.4%	43.6%	41.1%	1.06×	2.29
3-4 goals	38.2%	39.2%	37.1%	1.05×	2.55
4-6 goals	29.3%	30.2%	26.8%	1.13×	3.31
4-5 goals	25.0%	24.5%	23.4%	1.05×	4.09
5-6 goals	13.4%	14.8%	12.7%	1.17×	6.75
7+ goals	2.7%	2.6%	1.8%	1.41×	39.15

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal never behind	42.4%	48.7%	—	—	2.05
ADT never behind	36.6%	44.2%	—	—	2.26

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	49.2%	50.9%	46.7%	1.09×	1.97
Odd number of goals	50.8%	49.1%	53.3%	0.92×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	54.5%	51.8%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 1st half	45.5%	48.2%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	51.5%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	48.6%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	94.7%	92.3%	92.2%	1.00×	1.08
Under 5.5 goals	93.0%	92.3%	94.7%	0.97×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	84.0%	82.3%	85.7%	0.96×	1.22
Over 1.5 goals	77.3%	77.3%	72.5%	1.07×	1.29
Under 3.5 goals	68.0%	66.3%	71.6%	0.93×	1.51
Over 2.5 goals	54.3%	52.5%	51.3%	1.02×	1.90
Under 2.5 goals	45.7%	47.5%	48.7%	0.97×	2.11
Over 3.5 goals	32.0%	33.7%	28.4%	1.18×	2.97
Under 1.5 goals	22.7%	22.7%	27.5%	0.82×	4.40
Over 4.5 goals	16.0%	17.7%	14.3%	1.24×	5.65
Over 5.5 goals	7.0%	7.7%	5.3%	1.47×	12.94
Under 0.5 goals	5.3%	7.7%	7.8%	0.99×	12.95

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	97.2%	97.2%	98.1%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	92.3%	92.4%	94.2%	0.98×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	80.9%	81.1%	83.3%	0.97×	1.23
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	70.5%	72.3%	65.1%	1.11×	1.38
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	58.9%	55.8%	63.1%	0.88×	1.79
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	41.1%	44.2%	36.9%	1.20×	2.26
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	29.5%	27.7%	34.9%	0.79×	3.62
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	19.1%	18.9%	16.7%	1.14×	5.29
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	7.7%	7.6%	5.8%	1.31×	13.19
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	2.8%	2.8%	1.9%	1.50×	35.61

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	88.4%	89.1%	—	—	1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half	69.4%	68.7%	—	—	1.46
Under 1.5 in 1st half	67.0%	68.6%	—	—	1.46
Over 1.5 in 1st half	33.0%	31.4%	—	—	3.19
Under 0.5 in 1st half	30.6%	31.3%	—	—	3.19
Over 2.5 in 1st half	11.6%	10.9%	—	—	9.15

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	81.3%	82.9%	—	—	1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	76.5%	79.5%	—	—	1.26
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	50.4%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	49.6%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	23.5%	20.5%	—	—	4.89
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	18.7%	17.1%	—	—	5.85

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADT not to score in both halves	76.3%	78.4%	—	—	1.28
Sporting Cristal not to score in both halves	73.2%	73.9%	—	—	1.35
Sporting Cristal to score in both halves	26.8%	26.1%	—	—	3.83
ADT to score in both halves	23.7%	21.6%	—	—	4.63

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	57.1%	58.6%	53.8%	1.09×	1.71
Only Sporting Cristal scores	20.6%	22.2%	12.3%	1.80×	4.50
Only ADT scores	17.0%	16.0%	26.4%	0.61×	6.24
Neither team scores	5.3%	7.1%	7.8%	0.92×	14.02

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	23.0%	22.6%	21.4%	1.06×	4.43
Exactly 3 goals	22.3%	22.6%	23.0%	0.98×	4.43
Exactly 1 goals	17.4%	17.5%	19.9%	0.88×	5.73
Exactly 4 goals	15.9%	17.5%	14.3%	1.22×	5.73
Exactly 5 goals	9.1%	7.6%	9.2%	0.82×	13.13
6 or more goals	7.0%	7.6%	5.3%	1.45×	13.14
Exactly 0 goals	5.3%	7.6%	7.8%	0.98×	13.15

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	36.4%	37.2%	—	—	2.69
No goals in 1st half	30.6%	35.6%	—	—	2.81
2 goals in 1st half	21.3%	21.5%	—	—	4.66
3+ goals in 1st half	11.6%	10.8%	—	—	9.23

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	49.6%	44.9%	—	—	2.23
1 goal in 2nd half	31.8%	33.9%	—	—	2.95
No goals in 2nd half	18.7%	16.8%	—	—	5.94

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADT not to win both halves	91.8%	94.1%	—	—	1.06
Sporting Cristal not to win both halves	89.2%	88.0%	—	—	1.14
Sporting Cristal to win both halves	10.8%	12.0%	—	—	8.35
ADT to win both halves	8.2%	5.9%	—	—	17.06

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Cristal to win either half	55.4%	59.0%	—	—	1.70
ADT to win neither half	50.6%	54.3%	—	—	1.84
ADT to win either half	49.4%	45.7%	—	—	2.19
Sporting Cristal to win neither half	44.6%	41.0%	—	—	2.44

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADT not to win to nil	83.0%	83.1%	73.6%	1.13×	1.20
Sporting Cristal not to win to nil	79.4%	78.1%	87.7%	0.89×	1.28
Sporting Cristal to win to nil	20.6%	21.9%	12.3%	1.77×	4.58
ADT to win to nil	17.0%	16.9%	26.4%	0.64×	5.91

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	24.0%	24.1%	25.0%	0.96×	4.15
Sporting Cristal by 1	21.4%	24.1%	17.9%	1.34×	4.15
ADT by 1	19.3%	17.1%	25.4%	0.67×	5.86
Sporting Cristal by 2	12.2%	11.8%	5.6%	2.09×	8.51
ADT by 2	9.9%	7.2%	13.4%	0.54×	13.90
Sporting Cristal by 3+	7.7%	7.2%	2.2%	3.31×	13.91
ADT by 3+	5.4%	7.2%	11.4%	0.63×	13.92