AEK Athens v Galatasaray — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Tuesday 8 December 2026 · EUR-Champions League · 2627

Champions League results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

AEK Athens

20:00 UTC

Galatasaray

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 24 Oct, 10:57 · 1,089h before kick-off

AEK Athens win

51.0%

model 50.2%

Draw

22.2%

model 24.1%

Galatasaray win

26.7%

model 25.7%

512227

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (466 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-0 12.7%
1-1 11.4%
2-1 9.3%
2-0 9.2%
0-1 8.6%

Goals

Over 2.5	47.0%	Under 2.5	53.0%
BTTS yes	49.3%	BTTS no	50.7%
AEK Athens 1+	78.5%	AEK Athens 2+	45.5%
Galatasaray 1+	63.7%	Galatasaray 2+	26.9%

Expected goals 1.54 – 1.01. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

80/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

99%

★ Best pick

Under 2.5 goals

Over/Under · usually 35%

52.9% fair odds 1.89

strong signal · 1367 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Under 12.5 corners

Corners O/U

83.1% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 4335 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

AEK Athens carry the stronger rating, 1769 Elo against 1733.
Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

AEK Athens have an estimated 51.0% win probability, against 26.7% for Galatasaray and 22.2% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.54 for AEK Athens and 1.01 for Galatasaray.

Why AEK Athens

AEK Athens carry the stronger rating, 1769 Elo against 1733. Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 22.2%. Draws run at 15% in this competition.

Why Galatasaray can win

Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for AEK Athens, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Galatasaray, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

AEK Athens: 55% possession, 13.8 shots a match, 12.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Galatasaray: 49% possession, 18.4 shots a match, 7.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-24 13:59 · team_stats 2026-10-24 06:04 · availability 2026-10-24 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

AEK Athens are the model's most likely outcome at 51.0%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-0 at 12.7%. Confidence 80/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	502426	1.54–1.01	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	512524	1.46–0.92	1-0 14%	42%	45%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AEK Athens to win	50.5%	51.4%	51.0%	1.01×	1.94
Draw	25.1%	27.9%	15.6%	1.79×	3.59
Galatasaray to win	24.4%	24.5%	33.7%	0.73×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AEK Athens & not both score	31.5%	29.6%	24.5%	1.21×	3.38
AEK Athens & both teams score	19.0%	18.0%	26.8%	0.67×	5.56
Draw & both teams score	16.5%	18.0%	10.7%	1.68×	5.57
Galatasaray & not both score	14.7%	13.3%	15.6%	0.85×	7.53
Galatasaray & both teams score	9.7%	8.3%	18.4%	0.45×	12.00
Draw & not both score	8.6%	8.3%	5.1%	1.63×	12.01

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AEK Athens & under 3.5	38.1%	34.9%	26.8%	1.30×	2.87
AEK Athens & over 1.5	36.2%	34.9%	42.9%	0.81×	2.87
AEK Athens & over 2.5	26.3%	26.1%	36.7%	0.71×	3.84
AEK Athens & under 2.5	24.2%	21.6%	14.5%	1.49×	4.63
Draw & under 2.5	20.3%	21.6%	10.5%	2.07×	4.63
Draw & under 3.5	20.3%	21.6%	10.5%	2.07×	4.63
Galatasaray & under 3.5	20.1%	21.6%	19.1%	1.13×	4.63
Draw & over 1.5	16.5%	18.0%	10.7%	1.68×	5.56
Galatasaray & over 1.5	15.1%	18.0%	28.1%	0.64×	5.56
AEK Athens & under 1.5	14.3%	12.8%	8.4%	1.52×	7.79
Galatasaray & under 2.5	13.2%	12.8%	10.2%	1.26×	7.79
AEK Athens & over 3.5	12.4%	12.8%	24.5%	0.52×	7.79
Galatasaray & over 2.5	11.2%	12.8%	23.7%	0.54×	7.79
Galatasaray & under 1.5	9.3%	7.9%	5.9%	1.35×	12.63
Draw & under 1.5	8.6%	7.9%	5.1%	1.55×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	4.8%	4.8%	5.4%	0.90×	20.81
Draw & over 3.5	4.8%	4.8%	5.4%	0.90×	20.81
Galatasaray & over 3.5	4.3%	4.8%	14.8%	0.32×	20.81

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AEK Athens (1UP)	62.9%	62.9%	—	—	1.59
Galatasaray (1UP)	39.6%	34.3%	—	—	2.92

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AEK Athens (2UP)	50.5%	54.8%	—	—	1.82
Galatasaray (2UP)	24.4%	23.5%	—	—	4.25

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AEK Athens to win 2nd half	39.7%	36.1%	—	—	2.77
2nd half drawn	37.5%	36.0%	—	—	2.78
Galatasaray to win 2nd half	22.8%	24.1%	—	—	4.15

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Galatasaray under 1.5 in 2nd half	89.5%	87.1%	—	—	1.15
Galatasaray under 0.5 in 2nd half	57.8%	54.6%	—	—	1.83
Galatasaray over 0.5 in 2nd half	42.2%	45.4%	—	—	2.20
Galatasaray over 1.5 in 2nd half	10.5%	12.9%	—	—	7.77

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AEK Athens under 1.5 in 2nd half	79.8%	75.6%	—	—	1.32
AEK Athens over 0.5 in 2nd half	56.4%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
AEK Athens under 0.5 in 2nd half	43.6%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
AEK Athens over 1.5 in 2nd half	20.2%	24.4%	—	—	4.10

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Galatasaray (+2.5)	90.2%	92.1%	81.6%	1.13×	1.09
AEK Athens (+0.5)	75.6%	78.5%	66.3%	1.18×	1.27
Galatasaray (+1.5)	75.1%	78.5%	68.4%	1.15×	1.27
AEK Athens (-0.5)	50.5%	52.4%	51.0%	1.03×	1.91
Galatasaray (+0.5)	49.5%	47.6%	49.0%	0.97×	2.10
AEK Athens (-1.5)	24.9%	21.5%	31.6%	0.68×	4.65
Galatasaray (-0.5)	24.4%	21.5%	33.7%	0.64×	4.65
AEK Athens (-2.5)	9.8%	7.9%	18.4%	0.43×	12.66

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Galatasaray to concede	76.7%	78.8%	79.6%	0.99×	1.27
Galatasaray clean sheet	23.3%	21.2%	20.4%	1.04×	4.71

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Galatasaray clean sheet in 1st half	53.4%	50.7%	—	—	1.97
Galatasaray to concede in 1st half	46.6%	49.3%	—	—	2.03

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Galatasaray to concede in 2nd half	56.4%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Galatasaray clean sheet in 2nd half	43.6%	42.8%	—	—	2.34

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Galatasaray under 6.5 corners	90.6%	89.9%	—	—	1.11
Galatasaray under 5.5 corners	83.6%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Galatasaray under 4.5 corners	72.8%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Galatasaray over 2.5 corners	60.4%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Galatasaray under 3.5 corners	57.9%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Galatasaray over 3.5 corners	42.1%	42.8%	—	—	2.33
Galatasaray under 2.5 corners	39.6%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Galatasaray over 4.5 corners	27.2%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Galatasaray over 5.5 corners	16.4%	18.6%	—	—	5.38
Galatasaray over 6.5 corners	9.4%	10.1%	—	—	9.88

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Galatasaray under 3.5 goals	98.6%	97.5%	92.3%	1.06×	1.03
Galatasaray under 2.5 goals	93.5%	92.3%	79.1%	1.17×	1.08
Galatasaray under 1.5 goals	76.7%	76.3%	59.9%	1.27×	1.31
Galatasaray over 0.5 goals	59.9%	59.4%	70.7%	0.84×	1.68
Galatasaray under 0.5 goals	40.1%	40.6%	29.3%	1.38×	2.47
Galatasaray over 1.5 goals	23.3%	23.7%	40.1%	0.59×	4.21
Galatasaray over 2.5 goals	6.5%	7.7%	20.9%	0.37×	13.06
Galatasaray over 3.5 goals	1.4%	2.5%	7.7%	0.33×	39.96

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Galatasaray under 1.5 in 1st half	94.7%	94.1%	—	—	1.06
Galatasaray under 0.5 in 1st half	69.4%	69.8%	—	—	1.43
Galatasaray over 0.5 in 1st half	30.7%	30.2%	—	—	3.31
Galatasaray over 1.5 in 1st half	5.3%	5.9%	—	—	16.93

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Galatasaray scores equally in both	48.5%	47.9%	—	—	2.09
Galatasaray scores more in 2nd half	32.1%	33.4%	—	—	2.99
Galatasaray scores more in 1st half	19.4%	17.9%	—	—	5.59

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AEK Athens (away no bet)	66.8%	66.4%	76.6%	0.87×	1.51
Draw (away no bet)	33.2%	33.6%	23.4%	1.44×	2.98

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Galatasaray even goals	58.0%	56.9%	53.6%	1.06×	1.76
Galatasaray odd goals	42.0%	43.1%	46.4%	0.93×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	89.5%	88.0%	—	—	1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals	10.5%	12.0%	—	—	8.31

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	55.4%	60.1%	—	—	1.67
Both halves under 1.5 goals	44.6%	39.9%	—	—	2.50

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	49.4%	46.2%	—	—	2.16
AEK Athens to score 2+ in a row	36.3%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
Galatasaray to score 2+ in a row	17.1%	16.2%	—	—	6.16
Either team to score 3+ in a row	16.5%	16.2%	—	—	6.16
AEK Athens to score 3+ in a row	13.0%	12.1%	—	—	8.29
Galatasaray to score 3+ in a row	3.7%	2.6%	—	—	38.49

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AEK Athens corners (+3.5)	92.2%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
AEK Athens corners (+2.5)	87.2%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
AEK Athens corners (+1.5)	80.0%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Galatasaray corners (+3.5)	73.4%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Galatasaray corners (+2.5)	63.5%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Galatasaray corners (+1.5)	52.3%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
AEK Athens corners (-1.5)	47.7%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
AEK Athens corners (-2.5)	36.5%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
AEK Athens corners (-3.5)	26.6%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Galatasaray corners (-1.5)	20.0%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Galatasaray corners (-2.5)	12.8%	15.5%	—	—	6.45
Galatasaray corners (-3.5)	7.8%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	57.3%	46.6%	—	—	2.15
9-11 corners	25.2%	31.2%	—	—	3.21
12+ corners	17.5%	22.6%	—	—	4.43

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	87.7%	83.1%	—	—	1.20
Under 11.5 corners	82.5%	80.7%	—	—	1.24
Under 10.5 corners	75.6%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 9.5 corners	67.2%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Under 8.5 corners	57.3%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 7.5 corners	53.7%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 7.5 corners	46.3%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 8.5 corners	42.7%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Over 9.5 corners	32.8%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Over 10.5 corners	24.4%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
Over 11.5 corners	17.5%	19.3%	—	—	5.18
Over 12.5 corners	12.3%	16.9%	—	—	5.91

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-0	14.3%	11.5%	8.4%	1.36×	8.72
1-1	11.7%	11.5%	5.6%	2.04×	8.72
2-1	9.1%	7.4%	7.7%	0.97×	13.51
0-0	8.6%	7.4%	5.1%	1.45×	13.51
0-1	9.3%	7.4%	5.9%	1.26×	13.50
2-0	9.9%	7.4%	6.4%	1.16×	13.50
1-2	5.7%	7.4%	5.6%	1.32×	13.51
3-0	4.8%	1.7%	5.1%	0.34×	58.29
2-2	4.1%	1.7%	3.8%	0.45×	58.30
2-3	1.3%	1.7%	5.4%	0.32×	58.31
2-4	0.3%	1.7%	1.0%	1.68×	58.32
3-1	4.4%	1.7%	6.1%	0.28×	58.29
3-2	2.0%	1.7%	3.3%	0.52×	58.31
3-3	0.6%	1.7%	1.5%	1.12×	58.32
3-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.5%	3.36×	58.32
4-0	1.8%	1.7%	3.3%	0.52×	58.31
4-1	1.6%	1.7%	3.1%	0.56×	58.31
4-2	0.7%	1.7%	1.3%	1.34×	58.32
4-3	0.2%	1.7%	0.8%	2.24×	58.32
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.5%	3.36×	58.32
Any other score	1.9%	1.7%	11.5%	0.15×	58.31
0-2	3.9%	1.7%	4.6%	0.37×	58.30
0-3	1.2%	1.7%	3.8%	0.45×	58.31
0-4	0.3%	1.7%	1.5%	1.12×	58.32
1-3	1.7%	1.7%	2.8%	0.61×	58.31
1-4	0.4%	1.7%	1.5%	1.12×	58.32

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AEK Athens (2nd half DNB)	63.6%	63.0%	—	—	1.59
Galatasaray (2nd half DNB)	36.4%	37.0%	—	—	2.70

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AEK Athens leading at HT (DNB)	66.2%	73.8%	—	—	1.36
Galatasaray leading at HT (DNB)	33.8%	26.2%	—	—	3.82

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AEK Athens or draw (1X)	75.6%	75.5%	66.3%	1.14×	1.32
AEK Athens or Galatasaray (12)	74.9%	72.1%	84.4%	0.85×	1.39
Galatasaray or draw (X2)	49.5%	48.6%	49.0%	0.99×	2.06

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AEK Athens or draw at HT	81.7%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
Galatasaray or draw at HT	64.1%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
AEK Athens or Galatasaray at HT	54.2%	47.9%	—	—	2.09

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AEK Athens or draw (1UP)	75.6%	83.9%	—	—	1.19
Galatasaray or draw (1UP)	49.5%	53.5%	—	—	1.87

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AEK Athens or draw in 2nd half	77.2%	75.9%	—	—	1.32
AEK Athens or Galatasaray in 2nd half	62.5%	64.0%	—	—	1.56
Galatasaray or draw in 2nd half	60.3%	63.9%	—	—	1.56

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	66.9%	68.1%	—	—	1.47
Neither half drawn	33.1%	31.9%	—	—	3.13

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AEK Athens (DNB)	67.4%	67.4%	60.2%	1.12×	1.48
Galatasaray (DNB)	32.6%	32.6%	39.8%	0.82×	3.07

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AEK Athens to score first	56.2%	62.1%	—	—	1.61
Galatasaray to score first	35.3%	32.6%	—	—	3.07
No goal scored	8.6%	7.5%	—	—	13.34

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	54.7%	51.3%	44.6%	1.15×	1.95
Both teams to score	45.3%	48.7%	55.4%	0.88×	2.05

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	46.0%	44.3%	29.3%	1.51×	2.26
Both score & over 2.5	33.6%	34.5%	50.0%	0.69×	2.90
Both score & under 2.5	11.7%	12.4%	5.6%	2.20×	8.09
Not both score & over 2.5	8.8%	8.3%	15.6%	0.53×	12.06

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	90.0%	89.0%	80.9%	1.10×	1.12
Both teams to score 2+	10.0%	11.0%	19.1%	0.58×	9.07

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	76.4%	74.6%	—	—	1.34
Both teams to score in 2nd half	23.6%	25.4%	—	—	3.93

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	65.7%	62.9%	—	—	1.59
Both score 2nd half only	20.2%	21.2%	—	—	4.71
Both score 1st half only	10.7%	10.7%	—	—	9.34
Both score in both halves	3.4%	4.9%	—	—	20.36

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	85.9%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Both teams to score by HT	14.1%	14.8%	—	—	6.74

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	53.2%	52.8%	—	—	1.89
A goal in each half	46.8%	47.2%	—	—	2.12

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	46.3%	47.2%	37.2%	1.27×	2.12
0-1 goals	32.2%	30.7%	18.9%	1.63×	3.25
4-6 goals	20.5%	22.9%	37.5%	0.61×	4.37
7+ goals	1.1%	1.8%	6.9%	0.27×	54.40

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Galatasaray to score exactly 0	40.1%	37.3%	29.3%	1.27×	2.68
Galatasaray to score exactly 1	36.6%	35.9%	30.9%	1.16×	2.78
Galatasaray to score exactly 2	16.8%	19.6%	19.4%	1.01×	5.11
Galatasaray to score 3+	6.5%	8.5%	20.9%	0.41×	11.71

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AEK Athens to score exactly 1	33.9%	32.6%	25.0%	1.30×	3.07
AEK Athens to score exactly 2	24.7%	23.3%	23.7%	0.98×	4.29
AEK Athens to score exactly 0	23.3%	23.3%	20.4%	1.14×	4.29
AEK Athens to score 3+	18.1%	18.8%	31.4%	0.60×	5.33

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	45.8%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
AEK Athens leading at HT	35.9%	38.6%	—	—	2.59
Galatasaray leading at HT	18.3%	15.8%	—	—	6.32

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AEK Athens -1: 2	49.5%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
AEK Athens -1: X	25.7%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
AEK Athens -1: 1	24.9%	23.5%	—	—	4.25

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Galatasaray (0:1)	49.5%	46.2%	49.0%	0.94×	2.16
Draw (0:1)	25.7%	27.0%	19.6%	1.38×	3.70
AEK Athens (0:1)	24.9%	24.2%	31.6%	0.77×	4.13

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Galatasaray (0:2)	75.1%	79.3%	68.4%	1.16×	1.26
Draw (0:2)	15.1%	15.3%	13.5%	1.13×	6.55
AEK Athens (0:2)	9.8%	7.7%	18.4%	0.42×	13.02

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Galatasaray (0:3)	90.2%	92.7%	81.6%	1.14×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	6.7%	5.8%	8.9%	0.65×	17.22
AEK Athens (0:3)	3.1%	2.4%	9.7%	0.25×	42.07

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Galatasaray (0:4)	96.9%	98.1%	90.3%	1.09×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	2.3%	1.2%	5.9%	0.21×	81.85
AEK Athens (0:4)	0.8%	1.2%	4.1%	0.30×	82.01

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AEK Athens (1:0)	75.6%	78.6%	66.3%	1.19×	1.27
Draw (1:0)	16.4%	17.1%	16.8%	1.02×	5.85
Galatasaray (1:0)	8.0%	6.9%	17.1%	0.40×	14.49

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AEK Athens (2:0)	92.0%	94.0%	82.9%	1.13×	1.06
Draw (2:0)	6.0%	6.4%	7.9%	0.81×	15.70
Galatasaray (2:0)	2.1%	2.3%	9.4%	0.24×	43.70

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	46.4%	48.7%	—	—	2.05
1st half highest scoring	27.5%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
Halves equal	26.1%	26.2%	—	—	3.82

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AEK Athens to concede	59.9%	60.7%	70.7%	0.86×	1.65
AEK Athens clean sheet	40.1%	39.3%	29.3%	1.34×	2.55

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AEK Athens clean sheet in 1st half	69.4%	70.2%	—	—	1.43
AEK Athens to concede in 1st half	30.7%	29.8%	—	—	3.35

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AEK Athens clean sheet in 2nd half	57.8%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
AEK Athens to concede in 2nd half	42.2%	45.0%	—	—	2.22

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AEK Athens over 2.5 corners	78.1%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
AEK Athens under 6.5 corners	75.3%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
AEK Athens under 5.5 corners	64.5%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
AEK Athens over 3.5 corners	63.6%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
AEK Athens under 4.5 corners	51.2%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
AEK Athens over 4.5 corners	48.8%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
AEK Athens under 3.5 corners	36.4%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
AEK Athens over 5.5 corners	35.5%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
AEK Athens over 6.5 corners	24.7%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
AEK Athens under 2.5 corners	21.9%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AEK Athens under 3.5 goals	94.0%	92.2%	83.9%	1.10×	1.08
AEK Athens under 2.5 goals	81.9%	82.2%	68.6%	1.20×	1.22
AEK Athens over 0.5 goals	76.7%	77.7%	79.6%	0.98×	1.29
AEK Athens under 1.5 goals	57.2%	58.6%	45.2%	1.30×	1.71
AEK Athens over 1.5 goals	42.8%	41.4%	54.8%	0.76×	2.42
AEK Athens under 0.5 goals	23.3%	22.3%	20.4%	1.09×	4.49
AEK Athens over 2.5 goals	18.1%	17.8%	31.4%	0.57×	5.62
AEK Athens over 3.5 goals	6.0%	7.8%	16.1%	0.48×	12.90

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AEK Athens under 1.5 in 1st half	86.9%	90.2%	—	—	1.11
AEK Athens under 0.5 in 1st half	53.4%	50.5%	—	—	1.98
AEK Athens over 0.5 in 1st half	46.6%	49.5%	—	—	2.02
AEK Athens over 1.5 in 1st half	13.1%	9.8%	—	—	10.22

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AEK Athens scores more in 2nd half	37.5%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
AEK Athens scores equally in both	37.1%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
AEK Athens scores more in 1st half	25.4%	27.7%	—	—	3.61

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	50.7%	51.3%	31.6%	1.62×	1.95
Galatasaray (home no bet)	49.3%	48.7%	68.4%	0.71×	2.06

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AEK Athens even goals	52.7%	50.7%	53.3%	0.95×	1.97
AEK Athens odd goals	47.3%	49.3%	46.7%	1.06×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	36.9%	39.1%	—	—	2.56
HT 1-0	23.4%	24.4%	—	—	4.10
HT 0-1	13.7%	11.0%	—	—	9.10
HT 1-1	8.4%	6.9%	—	—	14.46
HT 2-0	7.3%	6.9%	—	—	14.47
Any other HT score	3.2%	2.4%	—	—	42.09
HT 2-1	2.7%	2.4%	—	—	42.12
HT 0-2	2.5%	2.4%	—	—	42.13
HT 1-2	1.6%	2.4%	—	—	42.19
HT 2-2	0.5%	2.4%	—	—	42.27

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AEK Athens at HT / AEK Athens at FT	29.8%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Draw at HT / AEK Athens at FT	18.6%	16.8%	—	—	5.97
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	16.4%	16.7%	—	—	5.98
Galatasaray at HT / Galatasaray at FT	12.1%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Draw at HT / Galatasaray at FT	10.8%	12.6%	—	—	7.91
AEK Athens at HT / Draw at FT	4.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.62
Galatasaray at HT / Draw at FT	4.1%	3.5%	—	—	28.64
Galatasaray at HT / AEK Athens at FT	2.1%	3.5%	—	—	28.71
AEK Athens at HT / Galatasaray at FT	1.4%	3.5%	—	—	28.74

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AEK Athens to score last	56.1%	56.3%	—	—	1.78
Galatasaray to score last	35.3%	38.6%	—	—	2.59
No goal scored	8.6%	7.5%	—	—	13.34

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	91.4%	92.6%	—	—	1.08
AEK Athens to lead by 1 at any time	62.9%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	41.9%	39.1%	—	—	2.56
Galatasaray to lead by 1 at any time	39.6%	34.7%	—	—	2.88
AEK Athens to lead by 2 at any time	30.1%	29.8%	—	—	3.36
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	14.3%	10.5%	—	—	9.53
Galatasaray to lead by 2 at any time	11.9%	10.4%	—	—	9.57
AEK Athens to lead by 3 at any time	11.5%	10.4%	—	—	9.58
Galatasaray to lead by 3 at any time	2.8%	1.6%	—	—	61.92

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AEK Athens most corners	59.4%	55.7%	—	—	1.80
Galatasaray most corners	29.5%	31.2%	—	—	3.21
Corners level	11.1%	10.4%	—	—	9.58

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	88.0%	87.4%	81.4%	1.07×	1.14
1-4 goals	82.2%	83.4%	67.3%	1.24×	1.20
1-3 goals	69.9%	68.8%	51.0%	1.35×	1.45
2-6 goals	66.7%	68.8%	74.5%	0.92×	1.45
2-5 goals	64.4%	63.3%	67.6%	0.94×	1.58
2-4 goals	58.6%	59.1%	53.6%	1.10×	1.69
1-2 goals	49.1%	48.5%	29.8%	1.62×	2.06
2-3 goals	46.3%	48.5%	37.2%	1.30×	2.06
3-6 goals	41.2%	43.6%	58.7%	0.74×	2.30
3-5 goals	38.9%	39.2%	51.8%	0.76×	2.55
3-4 goals	33.1%	35.2%	37.8%	0.93×	2.84
4-6 goals	20.5%	24.5%	37.5%	0.65×	4.09
4-5 goals	18.2%	18.8%	30.6%	0.62×	5.31
5-6 goals	8.2%	8.9%	21.2%	0.42×	11.26
7+ goals	1.1%	2.6%	6.9%	0.37×	39.18

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AEK Athens never behind	51.8%	62.4%	—	—	1.60
Galatasaray never behind	28.5%	30.1%	—	—	3.33

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	48.9%	50.9%	45.4%	1.12×	1.96
Odd number of goals	51.1%	49.1%	54.6%	0.90×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	56.6%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Odd goals in 1st half	43.4%	42.1%	—	—	2.38

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.7%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half	47.3%	48.1%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	96.6%	95.4%	86.2%	1.11×	1.05
Over 0.5 goals	91.4%	92.3%	94.9%	0.97×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	90.8%	92.3%	72.2%	1.28×	1.08
Under 3.5 goals	78.4%	77.3%	55.9%	1.38×	1.29
Over 1.5 goals	67.8%	66.3%	81.1%	0.82×	1.51
Under 2.5 goals	57.7%	58.6%	34.7%	1.69×	1.71
Over 2.5 goals	42.3%	41.4%	65.3%	0.63×	2.42
Under 1.5 goals	32.2%	33.7%	18.9%	1.78×	2.97
Over 3.5 goals	21.6%	22.7%	44.1%	0.51×	4.41
Over 4.5 goals	9.2%	7.7%	27.8%	0.28×	12.93
Under 0.5 goals	8.6%	7.7%	5.1%	1.52×	12.93
Over 5.5 goals	3.4%	4.6%	13.8%	0.33×	21.87

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	98.9%	97.2%	92.6%	1.05×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	96.4%	97.2%	84.0%	1.16×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	89.5%	86.7%	66.8%	1.30×	1.15
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	72.8%	72.4%	44.0%	1.64×	1.38
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	56.8%	55.8%	77.6%	0.72×	1.79
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	43.2%	44.2%	22.4%	1.97×	2.26
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	27.2%	27.6%	56.0%	0.49×	3.62
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	10.5%	13.3%	33.2%	0.40×	7.54
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	3.6%	2.8%	16.0%	0.18×	35.55
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	1.1%	2.8%	7.4%	0.38×	35.62

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	92.1%	92.6%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	74.0%	71.7%	—	—	1.40
Over 0.5 in 1st half	63.1%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Under 0.5 in 1st half	36.9%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 1.5 in 1st half	26.0%	28.3%	—	—	3.53
Over 2.5 in 1st half	7.9%	7.4%	—	—	13.58

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	83.8%	83.3%	—	—	1.20
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	75.1%	79.1%	—	—	1.27
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	60.1%	61.5%	—	—	1.63
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	39.9%	38.5%	—	—	2.60
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	24.9%	20.9%	—	—	4.78
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	16.2%	16.7%	—	—	5.98

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Galatasaray not to score in both halves	87.1%	85.5%	—	—	1.17
AEK Athens not to score in both halves	73.7%	73.9%	—	—	1.35
AEK Athens to score in both halves	26.3%	26.1%	—	—	3.84
Galatasaray to score in both halves	12.9%	14.5%	—	—	6.91

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	45.3%	50.7%	55.4%	0.92×	1.97
Only AEK Athens scores	31.5%	33.3%	24.5%	1.36×	3.00
Only Galatasaray scores	14.7%	11.0%	15.6%	0.71×	9.05
Neither team scores	8.6%	7.1%	5.1%	1.40×	14.03

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	25.5%	24.9%	16.1%	1.55×	4.02
Exactly 1 goals	23.6%	22.6%	14.0%	1.61×	4.43
Exactly 3 goals	20.8%	22.6%	21.4%	1.05×	4.43
Exactly 4 goals	12.3%	12.1%	16.6%	0.73×	8.25
Exactly 0 goals	8.6%	7.6%	5.1%	1.49×	13.13
Exactly 5 goals	5.8%	7.6%	14.3%	0.53×	13.14
6 or more goals	3.4%	4.5%	13.8%	0.32×	22.39

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	37.0%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
No goals in 1st half	36.9%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
2 goals in 1st half	18.1%	15.7%	—	—	6.38
3+ goals in 1st half	7.9%	7.4%	—	—	13.58

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	39.9%	39.4%	—	—	2.54
1 goal in 2nd half	35.2%	38.8%	—	—	2.58
No goals in 2nd half	24.9%	23.1%	—	—	4.33

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Galatasaray not to win both halves	95.9%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
AEK Athens not to win both halves	85.9%	87.9%	—	—	1.14
AEK Athens to win both halves	14.1%	12.1%	—	—	8.26
Galatasaray to win both halves	4.1%	2.8%	—	—	35.13

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Galatasaray to win neither half	63.0%	65.1%	—	—	1.54
AEK Athens to win either half	61.5%	65.0%	—	—	1.54
AEK Athens to win neither half	38.5%	35.0%	—	—	2.86
Galatasaray to win either half	37.0%	34.9%	—	—	2.87

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Galatasaray not to win to nil	85.3%	88.1%	84.4%	1.04×	1.14
AEK Athens not to win to nil	68.5%	69.7%	75.5%	0.92×	1.44
AEK Athens to win to nil	31.5%	30.3%	24.5%	1.24×	3.30
Galatasaray to win to nil	14.7%	11.9%	15.6%	0.77×	8.40

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AEK Athens by 1	25.7%	27.9%	19.6%	1.42×	3.59
Draw	25.1%	27.9%	15.6%	1.79×	3.59
Galatasaray by 1	16.4%	17.0%	16.8%	1.01×	5.87
AEK Athens by 2	15.1%	17.0%	13.5%	1.26×	5.87
AEK Athens by 3+	9.8%	7.2%	18.4%	0.39×	13.90
Galatasaray by 2	6.0%	7.2%	7.9%	0.91×	13.91
Galatasaray by 3+	2.1%	2.7%	9.4%	0.29×	36.84