Águilas Doradas v Fortaleza CEIF — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Thursday 29 October 2026 · COL-Primera A · 2627

COL-Primera A results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Águilas Doradas

21:00 UTC

Fortaleza CEIF

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 27 Oct, 10:57 · 58h before kick-off

Águilas Doradas win

55.2%

model 56.3%

Draw

26.5%

model 25.5%

Fortaleza CEIF win

18.3%

model 18.2%

552718

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (346 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 12.1%
1-0 11.7%
2-0 10.9%
2-1 9.7%
0-0 8.2%

Goals

Over 2.5	48.6%	Under 2.5	51.4%
BTTS yes	49.3%	BTTS no	50.7%
Águilas Doradas 1+	82.2%	Águilas Doradas 2+	51.5%
Fortaleza CEIF 1+	58.9%	Fortaleza CEIF 2+	22.3%

Expected goals 1.73 – 0.89. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

82/100

Data quality

75/100

Model agreement

94%

★ Best pick

Águilas Doradas (-0.5)

Asian handicap · usually 46%

57.0% fair odds 1.76

moderate signal · 1154 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Fortaleza CEIF not to score in both halves

Score both halves

84.4% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 829 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Águilas Doradas carry the stronger rating, 1523 Elo against 1431.
Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Águilas Doradas have an estimated 55.2% win probability, against 26.5% for the draw and 18.3% for Fortaleza CEIF. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.73 for Águilas Doradas and 0.89 for Fortaleza CEIF.

Why Águilas Doradas

Águilas Doradas carry the stronger rating, 1523 Elo against 1431. Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 26.5%. Draws run at 29% in this competition.

Why Fortaleza CEIF can win

Nothing in the data singles out Fortaleza CEIF.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Águilas Doradas, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Fortaleza CEIF, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Águilas Doradas: 65% possession, 13.8 shots a match, 7.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Fortaleza CEIF: 45% possession, 8.8 shots a match, 17.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-27 10:01 · team_stats 2026-10-27 06:03 · availability 2026-10-27 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Águilas Doradas are the model's most likely outcome at 55.2%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 12.1%. Confidence 82/100, data quality 75/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	562518	1.73–0.89	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	512722	1.55–0.94	1-1 13%	46%	49%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Águilas Doradas to win	50.5%	51.5%	45.8%	1.12×	1.94
Draw	27.5%	27.9%	29.5%	0.95×	3.58
Fortaleza CEIF to win	22.0%	24.5%	24.8%	0.99×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Águilas Doradas & not both score	29.7%	25.2%	27.1%	0.93×	3.97
Águilas Doradas & both teams score	20.9%	21.8%	18.8%	1.16×	4.59
Draw & both teams score	18.3%	18.0%	18.8%	0.95×	5.56
Fortaleza CEIF & not both score	11.9%	13.3%	13.4%	0.99×	7.54
Fortaleza CEIF & both teams score	10.0%	13.3%	11.5%	1.15×	7.54
Draw & not both score	9.2%	8.3%	10.8%	0.77×	11.99

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Águilas Doradas & over 1.5	38.7%	34.9%	33.8%	1.03×	2.87
Águilas Doradas & under 3.5	36.2%	34.9%	35.7%	0.98×	2.87
Águilas Doradas & over 2.5	28.8%	26.1%	25.5%	1.02×	3.84
Draw & under 2.5	22.3%	21.6%	23.7%	0.91×	4.63
Draw & under 3.5	22.3%	21.6%	23.7%	0.91×	4.63
Águilas Doradas & under 2.5	21.7%	21.6%	20.5%	1.05×	4.63
Draw & over 1.5	18.3%	18.0%	18.8%	0.96×	5.56
Fortaleza CEIF & under 3.5	17.3%	18.0%	19.9%	0.90×	5.56
Fortaleza CEIF & over 1.5	15.2%	18.0%	16.5%	1.09×	5.56
Águilas Doradas & over 3.5	14.3%	12.8%	10.2%	1.25×	7.79
Águilas Doradas & under 1.5	11.8%	12.8%	12.2%	1.05×	7.79
Fortaleza CEIF & over 2.5	11.5%	12.8%	12.9%	1.00×	7.79
Fortaleza CEIF & under 2.5	10.5%	12.8%	12.1%	1.07×	7.79
Draw & under 1.5	9.2%	7.9%	10.8%	0.73×	12.63
Fortaleza CEIF & under 1.5	6.8%	7.9%	8.4%	0.94×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	5.2%	7.9%	6.0%	1.33×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	5.2%	7.9%	6.0%	1.33×	12.63
Fortaleza CEIF & over 3.5	4.7%	4.8%	5.0%	0.96×	20.81

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Águilas Doradas (1UP)	64.0%	63.0%	—	—	1.59
Fortaleza CEIF (1UP)	38.7%	34.3%	—	—	2.92

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Águilas Doradas (2UP)	50.5%	55.1%	—	—	1.81
Fortaleza CEIF (2UP)	22.0%	23.7%	—	—	4.21

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Águilas Doradas to win 2nd half	40.7%	41.9%	—	—	2.39
2nd half drawn	37.4%	36.4%	—	—	2.74
Fortaleza CEIF to win 2nd half	21.9%	24.3%	—	—	4.12

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fortaleza CEIF under 1.5 in 2nd half	88.9%	87.2%	—	—	1.15
Fortaleza CEIF under 0.5 in 2nd half	56.8%	54.4%	—	—	1.84
Fortaleza CEIF over 0.5 in 2nd half	43.2%	45.6%	—	—	2.19
Fortaleza CEIF over 1.5 in 2nd half	11.1%	12.8%	—	—	7.82

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Águilas Doradas under 1.5 in 2nd half	77.8%	75.3%	—	—	1.33
Águilas Doradas over 0.5 in 2nd half	58.7%	58.1%	—	—	1.72
Águilas Doradas under 0.5 in 2nd half	41.3%	41.9%	—	—	2.38
Águilas Doradas over 1.5 in 2nd half	22.2%	24.7%	—	—	4.05

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fortaleza CEIF (+2.5)	89.0%	88.5%	91.8%	0.96×	1.13
Águilas Doradas (+0.5)	78.0%	78.5%	75.2%	1.04×	1.27
Fortaleza CEIF (+1.5)	73.2%	73.7%	79.6%	0.93×	1.36
Águilas Doradas (-0.5)	50.5%	52.4%	45.8%	1.14×	1.91
Fortaleza CEIF (+0.5)	49.5%	47.6%	54.2%	0.88×	2.10
Águilas Doradas (-1.5)	26.8%	26.3%	20.4%	1.29×	3.80
Fortaleza CEIF (-0.5)	22.0%	21.5%	24.8%	0.87×	4.65
Águilas Doradas (-2.5)	11.0%	11.5%	8.2%	1.41×	8.68

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fortaleza CEIF to concede	78.8%	78.8%	75.9%	1.04×	1.27
Fortaleza CEIF clean sheet	21.2%	21.2%	24.1%	0.88×	4.71

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fortaleza CEIF clean sheet in 1st half	51.3%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
Fortaleza CEIF to concede in 1st half	48.7%	49.2%	—	—	2.03

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fortaleza CEIF to concede in 2nd half	58.7%	57.4%	—	—	1.74
Fortaleza CEIF clean sheet in 2nd half	41.3%	42.6%	—	—	2.35

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fortaleza CEIF under 6.5 corners	88.1%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Fortaleza CEIF under 5.5 corners	80.0%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Fortaleza CEIF under 4.5 corners	68.2%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Fortaleza CEIF over 2.5 corners	65.4%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Fortaleza CEIF under 3.5 corners	52.6%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Fortaleza CEIF over 3.5 corners	47.4%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Fortaleza CEIF under 2.5 corners	34.6%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Fortaleza CEIF over 4.5 corners	31.8%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Fortaleza CEIF over 5.5 corners	20.0%	18.6%	—	—	5.37
Fortaleza CEIF over 6.5 corners	11.9%	14.8%	—	—	6.78

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fortaleza CEIF under 3.5 goals	98.4%	97.5%	98.1%	0.99×	1.03
Fortaleza CEIF under 2.5 goals	93.0%	92.4%	92.9%	0.99×	1.08
Fortaleza CEIF under 1.5 goals	75.6%	76.2%	74.2%	1.03×	1.31
Fortaleza CEIF over 0.5 goals	61.1%	63.2%	62.2%	1.02×	1.58
Fortaleza CEIF under 0.5 goals	38.9%	36.8%	37.8%	0.97×	2.72
Fortaleza CEIF over 1.5 goals	24.4%	23.8%	25.8%	0.92×	4.21
Fortaleza CEIF over 2.5 goals	7.0%	7.6%	7.1%	1.08×	13.08
Fortaleza CEIF over 3.5 goals	1.6%	2.5%	1.9%	1.29×	39.89

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fortaleza CEIF under 1.5 in 1st half	94.4%	94.0%	—	—	1.06
Fortaleza CEIF under 0.5 in 1st half	68.6%	70.4%	—	—	1.42
Fortaleza CEIF over 0.5 in 1st half	31.5%	29.6%	—	—	3.38
Fortaleza CEIF over 1.5 in 1st half	5.6%	6.0%	—	—	16.67

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fortaleza CEIF scores equally in both	47.7%	48.2%	—	—	2.07
Fortaleza CEIF scores more in 2nd half	32.6%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Fortaleza CEIF scores more in 1st half	19.7%	18.2%	—	—	5.49

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Águilas Doradas (away no bet)	64.8%	62.0%	60.8%	1.02×	1.61
Draw (away no bet)	35.2%	38.0%	39.2%	0.97×	2.63

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fortaleza CEIF even goals	57.6%	56.9%	57.6%	0.99×	1.76
Fortaleza CEIF odd goals	42.4%	43.1%	42.4%	1.02×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	88.0%	87.9%	—	—	1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals	12.0%	12.1%	—	—	8.28

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	59.2%	60.6%	—	—	1.65
Both halves under 1.5 goals	40.8%	39.4%	—	—	2.54

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	52.2%	50.9%	—	—	1.97
Águilas Doradas to score 2+ in a row	39.1%	36.6%	—	—	2.74
Either team to score 3+ in a row	18.3%	16.2%	—	—	6.18
Fortaleza CEIF to score 2+ in a row	17.6%	16.2%	—	—	6.19
Águilas Doradas to score 3+ in a row	14.6%	12.2%	—	—	8.19
Fortaleza CEIF to score 3+ in a row	3.8%	2.6%	—	—	38.63

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Águilas Doradas corners (+3.5)	90.7%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Águilas Doradas corners (+2.5)	85.1%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Águilas Doradas corners (+1.5)	77.4%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Fortaleza CEIF corners (+3.5)	75.5%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Fortaleza CEIF corners (+2.5)	66.0%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Fortaleza CEIF corners (+1.5)	55.1%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Águilas Doradas corners (-1.5)	44.9%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Águilas Doradas corners (-2.5)	34.0%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Águilas Doradas corners (-3.5)	24.5%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Fortaleza CEIF corners (-1.5)	22.6%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Fortaleza CEIF corners (-2.5)	14.9%	15.5%	—	—	6.45
Fortaleza CEIF corners (-3.5)	9.3%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	53.8%	45.3%	—	—	2.21
9-11 corners	26.6%	31.2%	—	—	3.21
12+ corners	19.7%	22.6%	—	—	4.43

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	86.1%	83.1%	—	—	1.20
Under 11.5 corners	80.3%	80.7%	—	—	1.24
Under 10.5 corners	73.0%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 9.5 corners	64.0%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Over 7.5 corners	57.3%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 8.5 corners	53.8%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 8.5 corners	46.2%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Under 7.5 corners	42.7%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Over 9.5 corners	36.0%	36.7%	—	—	2.72
Over 10.5 corners	27.0%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 11.5 corners	19.7%	19.3%	—	—	5.17
Over 12.5 corners	13.9%	16.9%	—	—	5.91

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	13.1%	11.5%	13.0%	0.88×	8.71
1-0	11.8%	11.5%	12.2%	0.94×	8.71
0-0	9.2%	7.4%	10.8%	0.69×	13.51
2-0	9.9%	7.4%	8.4%	0.88×	13.51
2-1	9.4%	7.4%	10.9%	0.68×	13.51
0-1	6.8%	7.4%	8.4%	0.88×	13.51
1-2	5.7%	7.4%	7.1%	1.05×	13.51
3-0	5.1%	7.4%	4.6%	1.62×	13.51
3-1	4.9%	1.7%	3.5%	0.50×	58.29
0-2	3.7%	1.7%	3.7%	0.46×	58.30
0-3	1.2%	1.7%	1.1%	1.55×	58.31
0-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.6%	3.10×	58.32
1-3	1.8%	1.7%	1.4%	1.24×	58.31
1-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.7%	2.48×	58.32
2-2	4.4%	1.7%	5.3%	0.33×	58.29
2-3	1.4%	1.7%	1.9%	0.88×	58.31
2-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.1%	12.38×	58.32
3-2	2.3%	1.7%	2.4%	0.73×	58.31
3-3	0.7%	1.7%	0.8%	2.06×	58.32
3-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.3%	6.19×	58.32
4-0	2.0%	1.7%	1.7%	1.03×	58.31
4-1	1.9%	1.7%	0.7%	2.48×	58.31
4-2	0.9%	1.7%	0.7%	2.48×	58.31
4-3	0.3%	1.7%	0.6%	3.10×	58.32
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.1%	12.38×	58.32
Any other score	2.4%	1.7%	2.4%	0.73×	58.31

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Águilas Doradas (2nd half DNB)	65.0%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Fortaleza CEIF (2nd half DNB)	35.0%	33.3%	—	—	3.00

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Águilas Doradas leading at HT (DNB)	67.4%	73.7%	—	—	1.36
Fortaleza CEIF leading at HT (DNB)	32.6%	26.3%	—	—	3.80

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Águilas Doradas or draw (1X)	78.0%	75.5%	75.2%	1.00×	1.32
Águilas Doradas or Fortaleza CEIF (12)	72.5%	72.1%	70.5%	1.02×	1.39
Fortaleza CEIF or draw (X2)	49.5%	48.5%	54.2%	0.90×	2.06

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Águilas Doradas or draw at HT	82.1%	84.0%	—	—	1.19
Fortaleza CEIF or draw at HT	62.9%	60.9%	—	—	1.64
Águilas Doradas or Fortaleza CEIF at HT	55.1%	57.4%	—	—	1.74

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Águilas Doradas or draw (1UP)	78.0%	83.7%	—	—	1.20
Fortaleza CEIF or draw (1UP)	49.5%	53.2%	—	—	1.88

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Águilas Doradas or draw in 2nd half	78.1%	75.7%	—	—	1.32
Águilas Doradas or Fortaleza CEIF in 2nd half	62.6%	63.6%	—	—	1.57
Fortaleza CEIF or draw in 2nd half	59.3%	58.1%	—	—	1.72

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	64.5%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
Neither half drawn	35.5%	38.6%	—	—	2.59

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Águilas Doradas (DNB)	69.7%	67.5%	64.9%	1.04×	1.48
Fortaleza CEIF (DNB)	30.3%	32.5%	35.1%	0.93×	3.08

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Águilas Doradas to score first	56.5%	62.4%	—	—	1.60
Fortaleza CEIF to score first	34.3%	27.9%	—	—	3.58
No goal scored	9.2%	7.6%	—	—	13.11

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	50.9%	51.3%	51.1%	1.00×	1.95
Both teams to score	49.1%	48.7%	48.9%	1.00×	2.05

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	41.4%	41.6%	43.1%	0.97×	2.41
Both score & over 2.5	36.1%	38.4%	36.0%	1.07×	2.60
Both score & under 2.5	13.1%	12.4%	13.0%	0.95×	8.09
Not both score & over 2.5	9.4%	8.3%	8.2%	1.01×	12.06

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	88.8%	85.6%	88.6%	0.97×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	11.2%	14.4%	11.4%	1.27×	6.96

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	74.3%	73.7%	—	—	1.36
Both teams to score in 2nd half	25.7%	26.3%	—	—	3.81

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	62.7%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Both score 2nd half only	21.8%	21.2%	—	—	4.71
Both score 1st half only	11.6%	10.7%	—	—	9.33
Both score in both halves	3.9%	4.9%	—	—	20.36

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	84.5%	83.5%	—	—	1.20
Both teams to score by HT	15.5%	16.5%	—	—	6.07

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	50.1%	52.5%	—	—	1.91
A half without a goal	49.9%	47.5%	—	—	2.10

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	48.0%	47.2%	48.1%	0.98×	2.12
0-1 goals	27.8%	26.6%	31.2%	0.85×	3.76
4-6 goals	22.8%	22.9%	19.5%	1.17×	4.36
7+ goals	1.4%	1.8%	1.5%	1.21×	54.42

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fortaleza CEIF to score exactly 0	38.9%	35.9%	37.8%	0.95×	2.78
Fortaleza CEIF to score exactly 1	36.7%	35.9%	36.6%	0.98×	2.78
Fortaleza CEIF to score exactly 2	17.3%	19.5%	18.8%	1.04×	5.12
Fortaleza CEIF to score 3+	7.0%	8.5%	7.1%	1.21×	11.71

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Águilas Doradas to score exactly 1	32.9%	32.6%	34.5%	0.94×	3.07
Águilas Doradas to score exactly 2	25.5%	26.6%	26.2%	1.01×	3.77
Águilas Doradas to score exactly 0	21.2%	23.3%	24.1%	0.97×	4.30
Águilas Doradas to score 3+	20.5%	23.3%	15.5%	1.50×	4.30

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	44.9%	42.6%	—	—	2.35
Águilas Doradas leading at HT	37.1%	39.1%	—	—	2.56
Fortaleza CEIF leading at HT	17.9%	16.0%	—	—	6.26

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Águilas Doradas -1: 2	49.5%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Águilas Doradas -1: 1	26.8%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Águilas Doradas -1: X	23.8%	23.5%	—	—	4.25

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fortaleza CEIF (0:1)	49.5%	46.1%	54.2%	0.85×	2.17
Águilas Doradas (0:1)	26.8%	27.0%	20.4%	1.33×	3.70
Draw (0:1)	23.8%	24.2%	25.6%	0.95×	4.13

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fortaleza CEIF (0:2)	73.2%	75.7%	79.6%	0.95×	1.32
Draw (0:2)	15.8%	15.2%	12.3%	1.24×	6.56
Águilas Doradas (0:2)	11.0%	11.0%	8.2%	1.34×	9.11

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fortaleza CEIF (0:3)	89.0%	90.6%	91.8%	0.99×	1.10
Draw (0:3)	7.3%	5.8%	5.4%	1.07×	17.24
Águilas Doradas (0:3)	3.7%	2.4%	2.9%	0.82×	41.98

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fortaleza CEIF (0:4)	96.3%	98.1%	97.1%	1.01×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	2.7%	1.2%	1.9%	0.63×	81.67
Águilas Doradas (0:4)	1.0%	1.2%	1.1%	1.10×	81.85

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Águilas Doradas (1:0)	78.0%	78.6%	75.2%	1.04×	1.27
Draw (1:0)	14.1%	12.7%	17.3%	0.73×	7.86
Fortaleza CEIF (1:0)	7.9%	6.9%	7.6%	0.91×	14.49

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Águilas Doradas (2:0)	92.1%	94.0%	92.4%	1.02×	1.06
Draw (2:0)	5.8%	6.4%	5.0%	1.28×	15.68
Fortaleza CEIF (2:0)	2.1%	2.3%	2.8%	0.82×	43.80

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	45.6%	48.5%	—	—	2.06
Halves equal	27.8%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
1st half highest scoring	26.6%	26.2%	—	—	3.81

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Águilas Doradas to concede	61.1%	63.6%	62.2%	1.02×	1.57
Águilas Doradas clean sheet	38.9%	36.4%	37.8%	0.96×	2.75

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Águilas Doradas clean sheet in 1st half	68.6%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Águilas Doradas to concede in 1st half	31.5%	29.3%	—	—	3.42

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Águilas Doradas clean sheet in 2nd half	56.8%	54.8%	—	—	1.83
Águilas Doradas to concede in 2nd half	43.2%	45.2%	—	—	2.21

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Águilas Doradas over 2.5 corners	78.8%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Águilas Doradas under 6.5 corners	75.3%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Águilas Doradas over 3.5 corners	64.3%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Águilas Doradas under 5.5 corners	64.2%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Águilas Doradas under 4.5 corners	50.7%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Águilas Doradas over 4.5 corners	49.3%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Águilas Doradas under 3.5 corners	35.7%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Águilas Doradas over 5.5 corners	35.8%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Águilas Doradas over 6.5 corners	24.7%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Águilas Doradas under 2.5 corners	21.2%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Águilas Doradas under 3.5 goals	92.8%	92.2%	95.3%	0.97×	1.08
Águilas Doradas under 2.5 goals	79.5%	77.8%	84.5%	0.92×	1.29
Águilas Doradas over 0.5 goals	78.8%	77.8%	75.9%	1.02×	1.29
Águilas Doradas under 1.5 goals	54.0%	53.2%	58.4%	0.91×	1.88
Águilas Doradas over 1.5 goals	46.0%	46.8%	41.6%	1.13×	2.14
Águilas Doradas under 0.5 goals	21.2%	22.2%	24.1%	0.92×	4.50
Águilas Doradas over 2.5 goals	20.5%	22.2%	15.5%	1.43×	4.50
Águilas Doradas over 3.5 goals	7.2%	7.8%	4.7%	1.65×	12.84

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Águilas Doradas under 1.5 in 1st half	85.5%	90.0%	—	—	1.11
Águilas Doradas under 0.5 in 1st half	51.3%	50.6%	—	—	1.98
Águilas Doradas over 0.5 in 1st half	48.7%	49.4%	—	—	2.02
Águilas Doradas over 1.5 in 1st half	14.5%	10.0%	—	—	9.99

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Águilas Doradas scores more in 2nd half	38.5%	38.1%	—	—	2.62
Águilas Doradas scores equally in both	35.6%	38.1%	—	—	2.63
Águilas Doradas scores more in 1st half	25.9%	27.8%	—	—	3.59

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	55.6%	56.3%	54.3%	1.04×	1.78
Fortaleza CEIF (home no bet)	44.4%	43.7%	45.7%	0.96×	2.29

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Águilas Doradas even goals	52.2%	50.8%	53.3%	0.95×	1.97
Águilas Doradas odd goals	47.8%	49.2%	46.7%	1.06×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	35.3%	38.4%	—	—	2.61
HT 1-0	23.3%	24.4%	—	—	4.10
HT 0-1	13.1%	11.0%	—	—	9.10
HT 1-1	9.0%	6.9%	—	—	14.52
HT 2-0	7.8%	6.9%	—	—	14.54
Any other HT score	3.7%	2.4%	—	—	42.18
HT 2-1	3.0%	2.4%	—	—	42.23
HT 0-2	2.5%	2.4%	—	—	42.26
HT 1-2	1.7%	2.4%	—	—	42.31
HT 2-2	0.6%	2.4%	—	—	42.38

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Águilas Doradas at HT / Águilas Doradas at FT	30.5%	32.7%	—	—	3.06
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	17.9%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Águilas Doradas at FT	17.7%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Fortaleza CEIF at HT / Fortaleza CEIF at FT	11.1%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Draw at HT / Fortaleza CEIF at FT	9.3%	6.1%	—	—	16.43
Águilas Doradas at HT / Draw at FT	5.1%	6.0%	—	—	16.55
Fortaleza CEIF at HT / Draw at FT	4.5%	3.5%	—	—	28.87
Fortaleza CEIF at HT / Águilas Doradas at FT	2.3%	3.5%	—	—	28.95
Águilas Doradas at HT / Fortaleza CEIF at FT	1.5%	3.5%	—	—	28.98

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Águilas Doradas to score last	56.6%	56.6%	—	—	1.77
Fortaleza CEIF to score last	34.2%	32.6%	—	—	3.07
No goal scored	9.2%	7.6%	—	—	13.11

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	90.8%	92.5%	—	—	1.08
Águilas Doradas to lead by 1 at any time	64.0%	61.3%	—	—	1.63
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	44.3%	39.3%	—	—	2.55
Fortaleza CEIF to lead by 1 at any time	38.7%	34.8%	—	—	2.87
Águilas Doradas to lead by 2 at any time	32.4%	29.7%	—	—	3.37
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	15.9%	14.8%	—	—	6.76
Águilas Doradas to lead by 3 at any time	13.0%	10.6%	—	—	9.43
Fortaleza CEIF to lead by 2 at any time	12.0%	10.6%	—	—	9.44
Fortaleza CEIF to lead by 3 at any time	2.9%	1.6%	—	—	62.42

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Águilas Doradas most corners	56.5%	55.6%	—	—	1.80
Fortaleza CEIF most corners	32.3%	34.4%	—	—	2.91
Corners level	11.2%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	86.6%	87.4%	85.7%	1.02×	1.14
1-4 goals	79.9%	78.7%	80.1%	0.98×	1.27
2-6 goals	70.8%	72.3%	67.5%	1.07×	1.38
2-5 goals	68.0%	68.8%	65.4%	1.05×	1.45
1-3 goals	66.6%	68.8%	68.4%	1.01×	1.45
2-4 goals	61.4%	63.3%	59.7%	1.06×	1.58
2-3 goals	48.0%	48.4%	48.1%	1.01×	2.06
1-2 goals	45.2%	48.4%	45.3%	1.07×	2.06
3-6 goals	44.1%	43.6%	42.7%	1.02×	2.29
3-5 goals	41.4%	43.6%	40.6%	1.07×	2.29
3-4 goals	34.7%	35.2%	34.9%	1.01×	2.84
4-6 goals	22.8%	24.5%	19.5%	1.25×	4.09
4-5 goals	20.0%	18.8%	17.5%	1.08×	5.31
5-6 goals	9.4%	8.9%	7.9%	1.13×	11.25
7+ goals	1.4%	2.6%	1.5%	1.67×	39.21

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Águilas Doradas never behind	52.0%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Fortaleza CEIF never behind	26.7%	29.8%	—	—	3.36

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	47.7%	50.9%	50.4%	1.01×	1.97
Even number of goals	52.3%	49.1%	49.6%	0.99×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	56.5%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Odd goals in 1st half	43.5%	42.2%	—	—	2.37

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	53.4%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	46.6%	48.0%	—	—	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	95.8%	95.4%	96.4%	0.99×	1.05
Over 0.5 goals	90.8%	92.3%	89.2%	1.03×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	89.2%	87.6%	90.7%	0.97×	1.14
Under 3.5 goals	75.8%	77.3%	79.1%	0.98×	1.29
Over 1.5 goals	72.2%	72.5%	68.8%	1.05×	1.38
Under 2.5 goals	54.5%	52.5%	56.0%	0.94×	1.90
Over 2.5 goals	45.5%	47.5%	44.0%	1.08×	2.11
Under 1.5 goals	27.8%	27.5%	31.2%	0.88×	3.63
Over 3.5 goals	24.2%	22.7%	20.9%	1.09×	4.40
Over 4.5 goals	10.8%	12.4%	9.3%	1.34×	8.07
Under 0.5 goals	9.2%	7.7%	10.8%	0.72×	12.93
Over 5.5 goals	4.2%	4.6%	3.6%	1.27×	21.81

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	98.6%	97.2%	98.4%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	95.5%	97.2%	96.2%	1.01×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	87.5%	86.7%	89.5%	0.97×	1.15
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	69.3%	67.5%	72.8%	0.93×	1.48
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	62.1%	61.9%	58.6%	1.06×	1.62
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	37.9%	38.1%	41.4%	0.92×	2.63
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	30.7%	32.5%	27.2%	1.19×	3.08
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	12.5%	13.3%	10.5%	1.26×	7.54
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	4.5%	2.8%	3.8%	0.74×	35.57
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	1.4%	2.8%	1.6%	1.80×	35.65

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	91.1%	92.7%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	71.7%	71.3%	—	—	1.40
Over 0.5 in 1st half	64.7%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Under 0.5 in 1st half	35.3%	36.7%	—	—	2.72
Over 1.5 in 1st half	28.3%	28.7%	—	—	3.49
Over 2.5 in 1st half	8.9%	7.3%	—	—	13.72

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	82.1%	82.9%	—	—	1.21
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	76.2%	79.5%	—	—	1.26
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	57.1%	55.3%	—	—	1.81
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	42.9%	44.7%	—	—	2.24
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	23.8%	20.5%	—	—	4.89
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	17.9%	17.1%	—	—	5.86

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fortaleza CEIF not to score in both halves	86.4%	85.5%	—	—	1.17
Águilas Doradas not to score in both halves	71.4%	73.8%	—	—	1.36
Águilas Doradas to score in both halves	28.6%	26.2%	—	—	3.82
Fortaleza CEIF to score in both halves	13.6%	14.5%	—	—	6.91

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	49.1%	50.7%	48.9%	1.04×	1.97
Only Águilas Doradas scores	29.7%	26.1%	27.1%	0.96×	3.83
Only Fortaleza CEIF scores	11.9%	11.0%	13.4%	0.82×	9.07
Neither team scores	9.2%	7.1%	10.8%	0.66×	13.99

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	26.7%	24.9%	24.9%	1.00×	4.02
Exactly 3 goals	21.4%	22.6%	23.3%	0.97×	4.43
Exactly 1 goals	18.6%	17.5%	20.5%	0.85×	5.73
Exactly 4 goals	13.3%	12.1%	11.8%	1.03×	8.25
Exactly 0 goals	9.2%	7.6%	10.8%	0.70×	13.13
Exactly 5 goals	6.7%	7.6%	5.8%	1.31×	13.14
6 or more goals	4.2%	4.5%	3.6%	1.24×	22.34

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	36.4%	37.2%	—	—	2.69
No goals in 1st half	35.3%	37.2%	—	—	2.69
2 goals in 1st half	19.4%	15.7%	—	—	6.36
3+ goals in 1st half	8.9%	7.3%	—	—	13.72

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	42.9%	44.7%	—	—	2.24
1 goal in 2nd half	33.3%	33.9%	—	—	2.95
No goals in 2nd half	23.8%	22.9%	—	—	4.36

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fortaleza CEIF not to win both halves	96.0%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
Águilas Doradas not to win both halves	84.7%	83.6%	—	—	1.20
Águilas Doradas to win both halves	15.3%	16.4%	—	—	6.09
Fortaleza CEIF to win both halves	4.0%	2.8%	—	—	35.58

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fortaleza CEIF to win neither half	64.2%	65.0%	—	—	1.54
Águilas Doradas to win either half	62.5%	65.0%	—	—	1.54
Águilas Doradas to win neither half	37.5%	35.0%	—	—	2.86
Fortaleza CEIF to win either half	35.8%	35.0%	—	—	2.86

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fortaleza CEIF not to win to nil	88.1%	88.1%	86.6%	1.02×	1.14
Águilas Doradas not to win to nil	70.3%	75.3%	72.9%	1.03×	1.33
Águilas Doradas to win to nil	29.7%	24.7%	27.1%	0.91×	4.04
Fortaleza CEIF to win to nil	11.9%	11.9%	13.4%	0.88×	8.42

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	27.5%	27.9%	29.5%	0.95×	3.59
Águilas Doradas by 1	23.8%	24.1%	25.6%	0.94×	4.15
Águilas Doradas by 2	15.8%	17.0%	12.3%	1.38×	5.87
Fortaleza CEIF by 1	14.1%	11.8%	17.3%	0.68×	8.50
Águilas Doradas by 3+	11.0%	11.8%	8.2%	1.44×	8.51
Fortaleza CEIF by 2	5.8%	7.2%	5.0%	1.44×	13.92
Fortaleza CEIF by 3+	2.1%	2.7%	2.8%	0.98×	36.91