AIK v IFK Göteborg — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 17 October 2026 · SWE-Allsvenskan · 2627

SWE-Allsvenskan results-only Prediction generated 8 Sep 2026, 06:01 UTC

AIK

15:30 UTC

IFK Göteborg

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 5 Sep, 22:23 · 1,001h before kick-off

AIK win

46.5%

model 47.9%

Draw

26.8%

model 25.2%

IFK Göteborg win

26.8%

model 26.9%

462727

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (3,799 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 11.8%
2-1 9.5%
1-0 8.6%
2-0 7.8%
1-2 6.8%

Goals

Over 2.5	55.7%	Under 2.5	44.3%
BTTS yes	58.1%	BTTS no	41.9%
AIK 1+	81.6%	AIK 2+	50.5%
IFK Göteborg 1+	70.4%	IFK Göteborg 2+	34.4%

Expected goals 1.70 – 1.22. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

21/100

Data quality

55/100

Model agreement

93%

★ Best pick

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

★ Most likely to land

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

Positive factors

AIK carry the stronger rating, 1583 Elo against 1496.
Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

Data quality is 55/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
The model's measured edge in this competition is -0.0255 nats, which is not meaningfully better than the base rates.

Why the model thinks this

The price

AIK have an estimated 46.5% win probability, against 26.8% for IFK Göteborg and 26.8% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.70 for AIK and 1.22 for IFK Göteborg.

Why AIK

AIK carry the stronger rating, 1583 Elo against 1496. Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 26.8%. Draws run at 23% in this competition.

Why IFK Göteborg can win

Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for AIK, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for IFK Göteborg, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

AIK: 51% possession, 11.8 shots a match, 17.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. IFK Göteborg: 53% possession, 19.6 shots a match, 11.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-05 22:20 · team_stats 2026-09-05 09:41 · availability 2026-09-05 21:03 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

AIK are the model's most likely outcome at 46.5%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 11.8%. Confidence 21/100, data quality 55/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
dc-xg	552421	1.85–1.06	1-1 11%	55%	56%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AIK to win	55.2%	54.0%	40.7%	1.33×	1.85
Draw	23.9%	24.5%	22.9%	1.07×	4.09
IFK Göteborg to win	20.9%	24.4%	36.6%	0.67×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AIK & not both score	28.6%	25.2%	23.7%	1.06×	3.97
AIK & both teams score	26.6%	25.2%	17.3%	1.46×	3.97
Draw & both teams score	17.8%	17.9%	17.8%	1.01×	5.58
IFK Göteborg & both teams score	11.2%	13.2%	18.1%	0.73×	7.55
IFK Göteborg & not both score	9.7%	8.4%	18.8%	0.45×	11.92
Draw & not both score	6.1%	8.4%	5.3%	1.57×	11.94

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AIK & over 1.5	45.7%	45.2%	34.6%	1.31×	2.21
AIK & over 2.5	36.3%	34.9%	25.4%	1.37×	2.87
AIK & under 3.5	34.5%	30.9%	26.2%	1.18×	3.24
AIK & over 3.5	20.7%	21.7%	14.8%	1.47×	4.62
AIK & under 2.5	18.9%	18.0%	15.5%	1.16×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	17.8%	18.0%	17.8%	1.01×	5.56
Draw & under 2.5	17.4%	18.0%	18.1%	1.00×	5.56
Draw & under 3.5	17.4%	18.0%	18.1%	1.00×	5.56
IFK Göteborg & over 1.5	15.7%	18.0%	27.7%	0.65×	5.56
IFK Göteborg & under 3.5	15.0%	18.0%	25.4%	0.71×	5.56
IFK Göteborg & over 2.5	12.6%	12.9%	22.9%	0.56×	7.77
AIK & under 1.5	9.5%	7.9%	6.4%	1.24×	12.70
IFK Göteborg & under 2.5	8.3%	7.9%	14.0%	0.56×	12.70
Draw & under 1.5	6.1%	7.9%	5.3%	1.47×	12.70
Draw & over 2.5	6.5%	7.9%	5.1%	1.55×	12.70
Draw & over 3.5	6.5%	7.9%	5.1%	1.55×	12.70
IFK Göteborg & under 1.5	5.2%	7.9%	9.2%	0.86×	12.70
IFK Göteborg & over 3.5	5.9%	7.9%	11.5%	0.69×	12.70

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AIK (1UP)	69.2%	70.1%	—	—	1.43
IFK Göteborg (1UP)	39.6%	34.6%	—	—	2.89

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AIK (2UP)	55.2%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
IFK Göteborg (2UP)	20.9%	23.5%	—	—	4.25

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AIK to win 2nd half	44.8%	41.3%	—	—	2.42
2nd half drawn	33.5%	34.5%	—	—	2.90
IFK Göteborg to win 2nd half	21.7%	23.0%	—	—	4.34

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
IFK Göteborg (+2.5)	85.1%	88.5%	88.6%	1.00×	1.13
AIK (+0.5)	79.1%	78.4%	63.4%	1.24×	1.28
IFK Göteborg (+1.5)	68.0%	68.7%	76.3%	0.90×	1.46
AIK (-0.5)	55.2%	57.0%	40.7%	1.40×	1.76
IFK Göteborg (+0.5)	44.8%	43.0%	59.3%	0.73×	2.33
AIK (-1.5)	32.0%	31.3%	23.7%	1.32×	3.20
IFK Göteborg (-0.5)	20.9%	21.6%	36.6%	0.59×	4.64
AIK (-2.5)	14.9%	11.5%	11.5%	1.00×	8.69

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
IFK Göteborg to concede	84.2%	81.4%	76.1%	1.07×	1.23
IFK Göteborg clean sheet	15.8%	18.6%	23.9%	0.78×	5.36

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
IFK Göteborg clean sheet in 1st half	45.2%	50.6%	—	—	1.98
IFK Göteborg to concede in 1st half	54.8%	49.4%	—	—	2.03

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
IFK Göteborg over 2.5 corners	86.7%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
IFK Göteborg over 3.5 corners	74.4%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
IFK Göteborg under 6.5 corners	67.8%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
IFK Göteborg over 4.5 corners	59.9%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
IFK Göteborg under 5.5 corners	54.7%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
IFK Göteborg over 5.5 corners	45.3%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
IFK Göteborg under 4.5 corners	40.1%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
IFK Göteborg over 6.5 corners	32.3%	32.4%	—	—	3.08
IFK Göteborg under 3.5 corners	25.6%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
IFK Göteborg under 2.5 corners	13.3%	14.8%	—	—	6.76

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
IFK Göteborg under 3.5 goals	97.7%	97.5%	95.2%	1.03×	1.03
IFK Göteborg under 2.5 goals	90.9%	92.3%	81.7%	1.13×	1.08
IFK Göteborg under 1.5 goals	71.4%	71.9%	60.8%	1.18×	1.39
IFK Göteborg over 0.5 goals	65.3%	67.9%	71.2%	0.95×	1.47
IFK Göteborg under 0.5 goals	34.7%	32.1%	28.8%	1.12×	3.12
IFK Göteborg over 1.5 goals	28.6%	28.1%	39.2%	0.72×	3.57
IFK Göteborg over 2.5 goals	9.1%	7.7%	18.3%	0.42×	13.03
IFK Göteborg over 3.5 goals	2.3%	2.5%	4.8%	0.51×	40.76

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
IFK Göteborg under 1.5 in 1st half	93.2%	94.2%	—	—	1.06
IFK Göteborg under 0.5 in 1st half	65.5%	68.4%	—	—	1.46
IFK Göteborg over 0.5 in 1st half	34.5%	31.6%	—	—	3.16
IFK Göteborg over 1.5 in 1st half	6.8%	5.8%	—	—	17.26

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AIK (away no bet)	69.8%	66.5%	64.0%	1.04×	1.51
Draw (away no bet)	30.2%	33.6%	36.0%	0.93×	2.98

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
IFK Göteborg even goals	56.0%	56.8%	53.2%	1.07×	1.76
IFK Göteborg odd goals	44.0%	43.2%	46.8%	0.92×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	82.7%	83.0%	—	—	1.21
Both halves over 1.5 goals	17.3%	17.0%	—	—	5.87

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	67.7%	68.5%	—	—	1.46
Both halves under 1.5 goals	32.3%	31.5%	—	—	3.18

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	60.3%	59.8%	—	—	1.67
AIK to score 2+ in a row	46.9%	45.8%	—	—	2.18
Either team to score 3+ in a row	24.2%	19.5%	—	—	5.12
IFK Göteborg to score 2+ in a row	19.9%	16.4%	—	—	6.11
AIK to score 3+ in a row	19.9%	16.4%	—	—	6.11
IFK Göteborg to score 3+ in a row	4.6%	2.6%	—	—	37.83

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AIK corners (+3.5)	83.1%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
IFK Göteborg corners (+3.5)	79.9%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
AIK corners (+2.5)	76.0%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
IFK Göteborg corners (+2.5)	72.1%	70.8%	—	—	1.41
AIK corners (+1.5)	67.3%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
IFK Göteborg corners (+1.5)	62.9%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
AIK corners (-1.5)	37.1%	38.1%	—	—	2.62
IFK Göteborg corners (-1.5)	32.7%	34.2%	—	—	2.93
AIK corners (-2.5)	27.9%	29.2%	—	—	3.42
IFK Göteborg corners (-2.5)	24.0%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
AIK corners (-3.5)	20.1%	25.2%	—	—	3.98
IFK Göteborg corners (-3.5)	16.9%	20.2%	—	—	4.95

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
12+ corners	44.0%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
9-11 corners	29.7%	31.2%	—	—	3.20
0-8 corners	26.3%	31.2%	—	—	3.20

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	82.1%	80.7%	—	—	1.24
Over 8.5 corners	73.7%	72.6%	—	—	1.38
Under 12.5 corners	65.2%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Over 9.5 corners	64.1%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Under 11.5 corners	56.0%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 10.5 corners	54.0%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 10.5 corners	46.0%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 11.5 corners	44.0%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Under 9.5 corners	35.9%	36.7%	—	—	2.72
Over 12.5 corners	34.8%	32.3%	—	—	3.10
Under 8.5 corners	26.3%	27.4%	—	—	3.65
Under 7.5 corners	17.9%	19.3%	—	—	5.18

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	11.3%	11.5%	13.0%	0.88×	8.73
1-0	9.5%	7.4%	6.4%	1.17×	13.48
2-0	9.3%	7.4%	9.4%	0.79×	13.48
2-1	9.9%	7.4%	5.9%	1.27×	13.48
0-0	6.1%	7.4%	5.3%	1.39×	13.48
0-1	5.2%	7.4%	9.2%	0.81×	13.48
1-2	5.7%	7.4%	8.1%	0.91×	13.48
2-2	5.2%	7.4%	4.1%	1.82×	13.48
3-0	5.7%	7.4%	5.3%	1.39×	13.48
3-1	6.1%	7.4%	2.8%	2.65×	13.48
0-2	3.1%	1.7%	5.1%	0.34×	58.47
0-3	1.1%	1.7%	3.8%	0.45×	58.48
0-4	0.3%	1.7%	1.0%	1.68×	58.49
1-3	2.0%	1.7%	4.8%	0.35×	58.48
1-4	0.5%	1.7%	1.0%	1.68×	58.49
2-3	1.8%	1.7%	2.8%	0.61×	58.48
2-4	0.5%	1.7%	1.0%	1.68×	58.49
3-2	3.2%	1.7%	3.6%	0.48×	58.47
3-3	1.1%	1.7%	1.0%	1.68×	58.48
3-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.8%	2.24×	58.49
4-0	2.7%	1.7%	2.8%	0.61×	58.47
4-1	2.8%	1.7%	1.5%	1.12×	58.47
4-2	1.5%	1.7%	0.5%	3.36×	58.48
4-3	0.5%	1.7%	2.3%	0.75×	58.49
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.5%	3.36×	58.49
Any other score	4.4%	1.7%	4.1%	0.42×	58.46

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AIK leading at HT (DNB)	69.6%	73.7%	—	—	1.36
IFK Göteborg leading at HT (DNB)	30.4%	26.3%	—	—	3.81

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AIK or draw (1X)	79.1%	75.6%	63.4%	1.19×	1.32
AIK or IFK Göteborg (12)	76.1%	75.5%	77.1%	0.98×	1.32
IFK Göteborg or draw (X2)	44.8%	46.0%	59.3%	0.78×	2.17

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AIK or draw at HT	81.9%	84.4%	—	—	1.19
AIK or IFK Göteborg at HT	59.4%	57.0%	—	—	1.75
IFK Göteborg or draw at HT	58.7%	57.0%	—	—	1.76

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AIK or draw (1UP)	79.1%	84.1%	—	—	1.19
IFK Göteborg or draw (1UP)	44.8%	52.9%	—	—	1.89

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AIK or draw in 2nd half	78.3%	77.0%	—	—	1.30
AIK or IFK Göteborg in 2nd half	66.5%	65.5%	—	—	1.53
IFK Göteborg or draw in 2nd half	55.2%	58.7%	—	—	1.70

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	59.9%	58.1%	—	—	1.72
Neither half drawn	40.1%	41.9%	—	—	2.39

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AIK (DNB)	72.5%	71.4%	52.6%	1.36×	1.40
IFK Göteborg (DNB)	27.5%	28.6%	47.4%	0.60×	3.50

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AIK to score first	59.7%	62.1%	—	—	1.61
IFK Göteborg to score first	34.2%	27.3%	—	—	3.66
No goal scored	6.1%	7.5%	—	—	13.41

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	55.6%	54.9%	52.7%	1.04×	1.82
Not both teams to score	44.4%	45.1%	47.3%	0.95×	2.22

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	44.3%	41.6%	39.9%	1.04×	2.40
Not both score & under 2.5	33.2%	34.3%	34.4%	1.00×	2.92
Both score & under 2.5	11.3%	12.3%	13.0%	0.95×	8.11
Not both score & over 2.5	11.2%	12.3%	13.2%	0.93×	8.11

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	84.3%	83.1%	84.2%	0.99×	1.20
Both teams to score 2+	15.7%	16.9%	15.8%	1.07×	5.92

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	69.2%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Both teams to score in 2nd half	30.8%	32.3%	—	—	3.09

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	56.0%	59.3%	—	—	1.69
Both score 2nd half only	25.0%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Both score 1st half only	13.2%	10.7%	—	—	9.31
Both score in both halves	5.8%	6.7%	—	—	14.86

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	81.0%	82.4%	—	—	1.21
Both teams to score by HT	19.0%	17.6%	—	—	5.68

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	57.6%	57.3%	—	—	1.75
A half without a goal	42.4%	42.7%	—	—	2.34

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	46.1%	47.4%	49.1%	0.97×	2.11
4-6 goals	30.2%	30.7%	26.2%	1.17×	3.25
0-1 goals	20.8%	22.8%	20.4%	1.12×	4.39
7+ goals	2.9%	1.8%	4.8%	0.38×	54.51

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
IFK Göteborg to score exactly 1	36.7%	36.0%	32.3%	1.11×	2.78
IFK Göteborg to score exactly 0	34.7%	33.8%	28.8%	1.18×	2.96
IFK Göteborg to score exactly 2	19.4%	19.6%	21.1%	0.93×	5.11
IFK Göteborg to score 3+	9.1%	8.5%	18.3%	0.46×	11.81

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AIK to score exactly 1	29.1%	26.5%	32.8%	0.81×	3.77
AIK to score 3+	28.2%	26.5%	21.6%	1.23×	3.77
AIK to score exactly 2	26.9%	26.5%	22.1%	1.20×	3.77
AIK to score exactly 0	15.8%	18.9%	23.9%	0.79×	5.30

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AIK leading at HT	41.3%	43.0%	—	—	2.33
Draw at HT	40.6%	43.0%	—	—	2.33
IFK Göteborg leading at HT	18.1%	15.6%	—	—	6.41

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AIK -1: 2	44.8%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
AIK -1: 1	32.0%	30.1%	—	—	3.33
AIK -1: X	23.2%	23.6%	—	—	4.24

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
IFK Göteborg (0:1)	44.8%	42.7%	59.3%	0.72×	2.34
AIK (0:1)	32.0%	30.0%	23.7%	1.27×	3.33
Draw (0:1)	23.2%	24.3%	17.3%	1.40×	4.12

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
IFK Göteborg (0:2)	68.0%	72.2%	76.3%	0.95×	1.39
Draw (0:2)	17.1%	15.3%	12.5%	1.23×	6.54
AIK (0:2)	14.9%	11.0%	11.5%	0.96×	9.12

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
IFK Göteborg (0:3)	85.1%	90.7%	88.6%	1.02×	1.10
Draw (0:3)	9.2%	5.8%	6.9%	0.85×	17.13
AIK (0:3)	5.7%	5.8%	4.8%	1.20×	17.19

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
IFK Göteborg (0:4)	94.3%	94.7%	95.2%	1.00×	1.06
Draw (0:4)	3.9%	1.2%	3.8%	0.31×	83.29
AIK (0:4)	1.9%	1.2%	1.3%	0.94×	83.53

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AIK (1:0)	79.1%	78.4%	63.4%	1.24×	1.28
Draw (1:0)	13.0%	12.8%	20.4%	0.63×	7.81
IFK Göteborg (1:0)	7.9%	6.9%	16.5%	0.42×	14.43

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AIK (2:0)	92.1%	93.9%	83.5%	1.13×	1.07
Draw (2:0)	5.6%	6.4%	10.4%	0.62×	15.51
IFK Göteborg (2:0)	2.2%	2.3%	6.4%	0.36×	44.25

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	47.9%	48.2%	—	—	2.07
1st half highest scoring	27.2%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Halves equal	24.9%	24.1%	—	—	4.14

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AIK to concede	65.3%	66.5%	71.2%	0.93×	1.50
AIK clean sheet	34.7%	33.5%	28.8%	1.17×	2.98

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AIK clean sheet in 1st half	65.5%	68.7%	—	—	1.46
AIK to concede in 1st half	34.5%	31.3%	—	—	3.19

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AIK over 2.5 corners	88.2%	86.3%	—	—	1.16
AIK over 3.5 corners	76.9%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
AIK under 6.5 corners	64.5%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
AIK over 4.5 corners	63.0%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
AIK under 5.5 corners	51.3%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
AIK over 5.5 corners	48.7%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
AIK under 4.5 corners	37.0%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
AIK over 6.5 corners	35.5%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
AIK under 3.5 corners	23.1%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
AIK under 2.5 corners	11.8%	13.7%	—	—	7.30

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AIK under 3.5 goals	88.4%	87.3%	90.6%	0.96×	1.15
AIK over 0.5 goals	84.2%	82.1%	76.1%	1.08×	1.22
AIK under 2.5 goals	71.8%	74.2%	78.4%	0.95×	1.35
AIK over 1.5 goals	55.1%	58.8%	43.5%	1.35×	1.70
AIK under 1.5 goals	44.9%	41.2%	56.5%	0.73×	2.43
AIK over 2.5 goals	28.2%	25.8%	21.6%	1.19×	3.87
AIK under 0.5 goals	15.8%	17.9%	23.9%	0.75×	5.60
AIK over 3.5 goals	11.6%	12.7%	9.4%	1.35×	7.85

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AIK under 1.5 in 1st half	81.1%	84.1%	—	—	1.19
AIK under 0.5 in 1st half	45.2%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
AIK over 0.5 in 1st half	54.8%	49.2%	—	—	2.03
AIK over 1.5 in 1st half	18.9%	15.9%	—	—	6.30

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	53.3%	51.6%	38.5%	1.34×	1.94
IFK Göteborg (home no bet)	46.7%	48.4%	61.5%	0.79×	2.07

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AIK even goals	51.2%	50.6%	53.9%	0.94×	1.98
AIK odd goals	48.8%	49.4%	46.1%	1.07×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	29.7%	28.9%	—	—	3.46
HT 1-0	23.4%	24.2%	—	—	4.13
HT 0-1	12.4%	10.9%	—	—	9.15
HT 1-1	10.1%	10.9%	—	—	9.18
HT 2-0	9.3%	7.1%	—	—	13.99
Any other HT score	5.5%	7.1%	—	—	14.05
HT 2-1	3.9%	2.3%	—	—	43.41
HT 0-2	2.7%	2.3%	—	—	43.51
HT 1-2	2.1%	2.3%	—	—	43.55
HT 2-2	0.8%	2.3%	—	—	43.64

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AIK at HT / AIK at FT	34.5%	33.0%	—	—	3.03
Draw at HT / AIK at FT	17.9%	16.8%	—	—	5.97
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	14.3%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
IFK Göteborg at HT / IFK Göteborg at FT	10.7%	12.6%	—	—	7.91
Draw at HT / IFK Göteborg at FT	8.5%	6.0%	—	—	16.63
AIK at HT / Draw at FT	5.1%	6.0%	—	—	16.73
IFK Göteborg at HT / Draw at FT	4.5%	3.5%	—	—	28.75
IFK Göteborg at HT / AIK at FT	2.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.81
AIK at HT / IFK Göteborg at FT	1.7%	3.5%	—	—	28.85

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AIK to score last	59.8%	56.7%	—	—	1.76
IFK Göteborg to score last	34.1%	33.0%	—	—	3.03
No goal scored	6.1%	7.5%	—	—	13.41

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	93.9%	92.6%	—	—	1.08
AIK to lead by 1 at any time	69.2%	69.6%	—	—	1.44
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	51.3%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
IFK Göteborg to lead by 1 at any time	39.6%	34.9%	—	—	2.86
AIK to lead by 2 at any time	38.8%	34.9%	—	—	2.87
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	21.0%	19.6%	—	—	5.11
AIK to lead by 3 at any time	17.6%	14.9%	—	—	6.72
IFK Göteborg to lead by 2 at any time	12.8%	10.5%	—	—	9.55
IFK Göteborg to lead by 3 at any time	3.3%	1.6%	—	—	61.10

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AIK most corners	47.2%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
IFK Göteborg most corners	42.5%	43.5%	—	—	2.30
Corners level	10.3%	10.4%	—	—	9.60

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	86.5%	87.4%	86.8%	1.01×	1.14
1-4 goals	77.0%	78.6%	78.4%	1.00×	1.27
2-6 goals	76.3%	78.6%	75.1%	1.05×	1.27
2-5 goals	71.8%	72.4%	71.8%	1.01×	1.38
2-4 goals	62.3%	63.4%	63.4%	1.00×	1.58
1-3 goals	60.8%	63.4%	64.1%	0.99×	1.58
3-6 goals	52.6%	53.2%	48.3%	1.10×	1.88
3-5 goals	48.0%	48.7%	45.0%	1.08×	2.06
2-3 goals	46.1%	48.7%	49.1%	0.99×	2.06
1-2 goals	38.4%	39.1%	42.0%	0.93×	2.55
3-4 goals	38.6%	39.1%	36.6%	1.07×	2.55
4-6 goals	30.2%	35.4%	26.2%	1.35×	2.83
4-5 goals	25.7%	30.2%	22.9%	1.32×	3.31
5-6 goals	14.0%	14.9%	12.0%	1.24×	6.72
7+ goals	2.9%	2.6%	4.8%	0.53×	39.22

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AIK never behind	54.4%	62.1%	—	—	1.61
IFK Göteborg never behind	24.7%	24.6%	—	—	4.07

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	48.7%	50.8%	49.4%	1.03×	1.97
Even number of goals	51.3%	49.2%	50.6%	0.97×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	54.6%	51.7%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 1st half	45.4%	48.3%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.1%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	47.9%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	93.9%	92.3%	94.7%	0.97×	1.08
Under 5.5 goals	92.6%	92.3%	91.9%	1.00×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	83.1%	82.4%	83.5%	0.99×	1.21
Over 1.5 goals	79.2%	77.3%	79.6%	0.97×	1.29
Under 3.5 goals	66.9%	66.2%	69.2%	0.96×	1.51
Over 2.5 goals	55.5%	58.8%	52.9%	1.11×	1.70
Under 2.5 goals	44.5%	41.2%	47.1%	0.87×	2.43
Over 3.5 goals	33.1%	33.8%	30.8%	1.10×	2.96
Under 1.5 goals	20.8%	22.7%	20.4%	1.11×	4.41
Over 4.5 goals	16.9%	17.6%	16.5%	1.06×	5.68
Over 5.5 goals	7.4%	7.7%	8.1%	0.95×	12.93
Under 0.5 goals	6.1%	7.7%	5.3%	1.45×	12.94

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	97.0%	97.2%	95.0%	1.02×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	91.8%	92.5%	91.1%	1.01×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	79.9%	75.9%	80.7%	0.94×	1.32
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	72.7%	72.6%	72.2%	1.00×	1.38
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	57.3%	55.4%	60.5%	0.92×	1.80
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	42.7%	44.6%	39.5%	1.13×	2.24
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	27.3%	27.4%	27.8%	0.99×	3.65
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	20.1%	24.1%	19.3%	1.25×	4.16
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	8.2%	7.5%	8.9%	0.85×	13.26
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	3.0%	2.8%	5.0%	0.55×	36.15

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	87.6%	89.0%	—	—	1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half	70.3%	71.2%	—	—	1.41
Under 1.5 in 1st half	65.5%	69.0%	—	—	1.45
Over 1.5 in 1st half	34.5%	31.0%	—	—	3.23
Under 0.5 in 1st half	29.7%	28.8%	—	—	3.47
Over 2.5 in 1st half	12.4%	11.0%	—	—	9.09

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	81.3%	82.7%	—	—	1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	76.1%	79.7%	—	—	1.26
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	50.5%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	49.5%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	23.9%	20.3%	—	—	4.93
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	18.7%	17.3%	—	—	5.79

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
IFK Göteborg not to score in both halves	83.8%	84.4%	—	—	1.18
AIK not to score in both halves	64.3%	63.6%	—	—	1.57
AIK to score in both halves	35.7%	36.4%	—	—	2.75
IFK Göteborg to score in both halves	16.2%	15.6%	—	—	6.42

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	55.6%	58.3%	52.7%	1.11×	1.71
Only AIK scores	28.6%	26.1%	23.7%	1.11×	3.82
Only IFK Göteborg scores	9.7%	7.2%	18.8%	0.38×	13.89
Neither team scores	6.1%	7.2%	5.3%	1.34×	13.92

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	23.7%	22.6%	27.0%	0.84×	4.42
Exactly 3 goals	22.4%	22.6%	22.4%	1.01×	4.42
Exactly 4 goals	16.2%	17.4%	14.5%	1.20×	5.74
Exactly 1 goals	14.7%	12.1%	15.3%	0.79×	8.27
Exactly 5 goals	9.4%	7.6%	8.7%	0.88×	13.08
6 or more goals	7.4%	7.6%	8.1%	0.94×	13.09
Exactly 0 goals	6.1%	7.6%	5.3%	1.43×	13.10

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	50.5%	51.3%	—	—	1.95
1 goal in 2nd half	30.8%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
No goals in 2nd half	18.7%	17.3%	—	—	5.79

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
IFK Göteborg not to win both halves	96.0%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
AIK not to win both halves	81.4%	84.1%	—	—	1.19
AIK to win both halves	18.6%	15.9%	—	—	6.30
IFK Göteborg to win both halves	4.0%	2.8%	—	—	35.57

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
AIK to win either half	67.5%	68.0%	—	—	1.47
IFK Göteborg to win neither half	64.2%	65.1%	—	—	1.54
IFK Göteborg to win either half	35.8%	34.9%	—	—	2.87
AIK to win neither half	32.5%	32.0%	—	—	3.13

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
IFK Göteborg not to win to nil	90.3%	92.0%	81.2%	1.13×	1.09
AIK not to win to nil	71.4%	75.3%	76.3%	0.99×	1.33
AIK to win to nil	28.6%	24.7%	23.7%	1.05×	4.04
IFK Göteborg to win to nil	9.7%	8.0%	18.8%	0.42×	12.52

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	23.9%	24.2%	22.9%	1.05×	4.14
AIK by 1	23.2%	24.2%	17.3%	1.40×	4.14
AIK by 2	17.1%	16.9%	12.5%	1.36×	5.91
AIK by 3+	14.9%	11.8%	11.5%	1.03×	8.47
IFK Göteborg by 1	13.0%	11.8%	20.4%	0.58×	8.48
IFK Göteborg by 2	5.6%	7.2%	10.4%	0.69×	13.80
IFK Göteborg by 3+	2.2%	2.7%	6.4%	0.42×	37.03