Akademiya Ontustik v Jaiyq — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Thursday 17 September 2026 · KAZ-First League · 2627

KAZ-First League results-only Prediction generated 9 Sep 2026, 09:54 UTC

Akademiya Ontustik

11:00 UTC

Jaiyq

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 10 Sep, 11:32 · 167h before kick-off

Akademiya Ontustik win

50.2%

model 50.3%

Draw

26.6%

model 26.9%

Jaiyq win

23.2%

model 22.7%

502723

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (4,549 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-0 19.7%
0-0 13.2%
0-1 11.9%
2-0 11.0%
1-1 10.8%

Goals

Over 2.5	29.8%	Under 2.5	70.2%
BTTS yes	33.5%	BTTS no	66.5%
Akademiya Ontustik 1+	70.4%	Akademiya Ontustik 2+	34.3%
Jaiyq 1+	49.9%	Jaiyq 2+	15.3%

Expected goals 1.22 – 0.69. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

26/100

Data quality

30/100

Model agreement

95%

★ Best pick

Under 2.5 goals

Over/Under · usually 35%

72.4% fair odds 1.38

strong signal · 15929 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Akademiya Ontustik or draw at HT

Double chance 1HT

83.9% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 975 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Akademiya Ontustik have created 1.35 xG a match over their last five while Jaiyq have allowed 1.35.
At home Akademiya Ontustik average 1.35 xG a match.

Risk factors

Data quality is 30/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
Akademiya Ontustik have only 0 matches on record.
Jaiyq have only 0 matches on record.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Akademiya Ontustik have an estimated 50.2% win probability, against 26.6% for the draw and 23.2% for Jaiyq. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.22 for Akademiya Ontustik and 0.69 for Jaiyq.

Why Akademiya Ontustik

Akademiya Ontustik have created 1.35 xG a match over their last five while Jaiyq have allowed 1.35. At home Akademiya Ontustik average 1.35 xG a match.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 26.6%. A combined 1.91 expected goals is a low-scoring profile, and low totals mean more level finishes.

Why Jaiyq can win

Jaiyq have created 1.35 xG a match over their last five while Akademiya Ontustik have allowed 1.35. Away from home Jaiyq average 1.35 xG a match.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Akademiya Ontustik, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Jaiyq, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Akademiya Ontustik: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Jaiyq: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-10 15:23 · team_stats 2026-09-09 06:03 · availability 2026-09-10 15:32 · prediction 2026-09-09 09:54 ·

Akademiya Ontustik are the model's most likely outcome at 50.2%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-0 at 19.7%. Confidence 26/100, data quality 30/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	502723	1.22–0.69	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	483221	1.01–0.54	1-0 23%	20%	25%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akademiya Ontustik to win	47.8%	47.6%	47.7%	1.00×	2.10
Draw	31.5%	30.6%	15.2%	2.01×	3.27
Jaiyq to win	20.7%	24.6%	37.6%	0.65×	4.07

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akademiya Ontustik & not both score	38.7%	32.9%	27.0%	1.22×	3.04
Draw & not both score	19.9%	18.0%	3.0%	6.10×	5.55
Jaiyq & not both score	16.7%	18.0%	19.0%	0.95×	5.55
Draw & both teams score	11.7%	13.2%	12.7%	1.05×	7.55
Akademiya Ontustik & both teams score	9.1%	8.4%	21.1%	0.40×	11.94
Jaiyq & both teams score	4.0%	4.9%	19.0%	0.26×	20.28

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akademiya Ontustik & under 3.5	43.4%	40.0%	23.6%	1.69×	2.50
Akademiya Ontustik & under 2.5	33.9%	31.0%	13.1%	2.37×	3.22
Draw & under 2.5	29.9%	25.9%	10.5%	2.46×	3.86
Draw & under 3.5	29.9%	25.9%	10.5%	2.46×	3.86
Akademiya Ontustik & over 1.5	24.7%	21.6%	38.8%	0.56×	4.63
Akademiya Ontustik & under 1.5	23.1%	21.6%	9.3%	2.33×	4.63
Draw & under 1.5	19.9%	18.0%	3.0%	6.08×	5.57
Jaiyq & under 3.5	19.7%	18.0%	24.1%	0.75×	5.57
Jaiyq & under 2.5	16.0%	18.0%	11.8%	1.52×	5.57
Akademiya Ontustik & over 2.5	13.9%	12.9%	35.0%	0.37×	7.77
Jaiyq & under 1.5	13.0%	12.9%	6.8%	1.91×	7.77
Draw & over 1.5	11.7%	12.9%	12.7%	1.02×	7.78
Jaiyq & over 1.5	7.7%	8.0%	31.2%	0.25×	12.56
Jaiyq & over 2.5	4.7%	4.9%	26.2%	0.19×	20.52
Akademiya Ontustik & over 3.5	4.4%	4.9%	24.5%	0.20×	20.52
Draw & over 2.5	1.6%	4.9%	5.1%	0.96×	20.54
Draw & over 3.5	1.6%	4.9%	5.1%	0.96×	20.54
Jaiyq & over 3.5	1.0%	4.9%	13.9%	0.35×	20.54

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akademiya Ontustik (1UP)	55.2%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Jaiyq (1UP)	29.7%	27.3%	—	—	3.66

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akademiya Ontustik (2UP)	47.8%	49.9%	—	—	2.00
Jaiyq (2UP)	20.7%	23.5%	—	—	4.25

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	47.7%	45.5%	—	—	2.20
Akademiya Ontustik to win 2nd half	34.9%	34.5%	—	—	2.90
Jaiyq to win 2nd half	17.4%	19.0%	—	—	5.26

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jaiyq under 1.5 in 2nd half	95.8%	93.2%	—	—	1.07
Jaiyq under 0.5 in 2nd half	72.5%	75.2%	—	—	1.33
Jaiyq over 0.5 in 2nd half	27.5%	24.8%	—	—	4.03
Jaiyq over 1.5 in 2nd half	4.2%	6.8%	—	—	14.72

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akademiya Ontustik under 1.5 in 2nd half	88.7%	88.1%	—	—	1.14
Akademiya Ontustik under 0.5 in 2nd half	56.3%	58.8%	—	—	1.70
Akademiya Ontustik over 0.5 in 2nd half	43.7%	41.2%	—	—	2.43
Akademiya Ontustik over 1.5 in 2nd half	11.3%	11.9%	—	—	8.38

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jaiyq (+2.5)	94.6%	92.1%	79.7%	1.16×	1.09
Jaiyq (+1.5)	81.6%	82.6%	68.4%	1.21×	1.21
Akademiya Ontustik (+0.5)	79.3%	78.3%	62.4%	1.25×	1.28
Jaiyq (+0.5)	52.2%	52.0%	52.3%	0.99×	1.92
Akademiya Ontustik (-0.5)	47.8%	48.0%	47.7%	1.01×	2.08
Jaiyq (-0.5)	20.7%	21.7%	37.6%	0.58×	4.61
Akademiya Ontustik (-1.5)	18.4%	17.4%	31.6%	0.55×	5.74
Akademiya Ontustik (-2.5)	5.4%	7.9%	20.3%	0.39×	12.69

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jaiyq to concede	63.5%	68.0%	78.5%	0.87×	1.47
Jaiyq clean sheet	36.5%	32.0%	21.5%	1.49×	3.12

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jaiyq clean sheet in 1st half	64.9%	65.0%	—	—	1.54
Jaiyq to concede in 1st half	35.1%	35.0%	—	—	2.86

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jaiyq clean sheet in 2nd half	56.3%	58.4%	—	—	1.71
Jaiyq to concede in 2nd half	43.7%	41.6%	—	—	2.41

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jaiyq under 3.5 goals	99.8%	97.4%	90.3%	1.08×	1.03
Jaiyq under 2.5 goals	98.3%	97.4%	78.9%	1.23×	1.03
Jaiyq under 1.5 goals	89.9%	87.9%	60.3%	1.46×	1.14
Jaiyq under 0.5 goals	58.6%	59.0%	29.5%	2.00×	1.70
Jaiyq over 0.5 goals	41.4%	41.0%	70.5%	0.58×	2.44
Jaiyq over 1.5 goals	10.1%	12.1%	39.7%	0.30×	8.27
Jaiyq over 2.5 goals	1.7%	2.6%	21.1%	0.12×	38.84
Jaiyq over 3.5 goals	0.2%	2.6%	9.7%	0.26×	38.91

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jaiyq under 1.5 in 1st half	98.0%	96.0%	—	—	1.04
Jaiyq under 0.5 in 1st half	80.7%	82.8%	—	—	1.21
Jaiyq over 0.5 in 1st half	19.3%	17.2%	—	—	5.81
Jaiyq over 1.5 in 1st half	2.0%	4.0%	—	—	25.01

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jaiyq scores equally in both	62.7%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Jaiyq scores more in 2nd half	22.9%	22.4%	—	—	4.46
Jaiyq scores more in 1st half	14.4%	12.6%	—	—	7.96

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akademiya Ontustik (away no bet)	60.2%	61.9%	75.8%	0.82×	1.62
Draw (away no bet)	39.8%	38.1%	24.2%	1.58×	2.63

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jaiyq even goals	67.2%	64.7%	54.0%	1.20×	1.55
Jaiyq odd goals	32.9%	35.3%	46.0%	0.77×	2.83

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	96.9%	97.0%	—	—	1.03
Both halves over 1.5 goals	3.1%	3.0%	—	—	33.01

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both halves under 1.5 goals	67.6%	68.5%	—	—	1.46
Not both halves under 1.5	32.4%	31.5%	—	—	3.18

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	30.5%	29.0%	—	—	3.45
Akademiya Ontustik to score 2+ in a row	23.7%	19.5%	—	—	5.13
Jaiyq to score 2+ in a row	7.8%	5.6%	—	—	17.70
Either team to score 3+ in a row	7.7%	5.6%	—	—	17.72
Akademiya Ontustik to score 3+ in a row	6.6%	5.6%	—	—	17.80
Jaiyq to score 3+ in a row	1.1%	2.5%	—	—	39.98

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-0	23.1%	20.1%	9.3%	2.17×	4.97
0-0	19.9%	13.6%	3.0%	4.60×	7.36
0-1	13.0%	11.4%	6.8%	1.68×	8.80
2-0	10.8%	11.4%	4.2%	2.69×	8.80
1-1	10.0%	11.4%	8.0%	1.42×	8.81
2-1	5.8%	7.4%	5.5%	1.35×	13.54
0-2	3.1%	1.7%	5.5%	0.32×	57.56
0-3	0.5%	1.7%	4.2%	0.41×	57.58
0-4	0.1%	1.7%	3.0%	0.59×	57.58
1-2	3.1%	1.7%	8.9%	0.20×	57.56
1-3	0.6%	1.7%	3.4%	0.51×	57.58
1-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.8%	2.06×	57.58
2-2	1.6%	1.7%	3.0%	0.59×	57.57
2-3	0.3%	1.7%	2.1%	0.82×	57.58
2-4	0.0%	1.7%	1.3%	1.37×	57.58
3-0	3.6%	1.7%	5.9%	0.29×	57.56
3-1	1.9%	1.7%	7.6%	0.23×	57.57
3-2	0.5%	1.7%	1.3%	1.37×	57.58
3-3	0.1%	1.7%	2.1%	0.82×	57.58
3-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.8%	2.06×	57.58
4-0	0.9%	1.7%	5.5%	0.32×	57.58
4-1	0.5%	1.7%	3.0%	0.59×	57.58
4-2	0.1%	1.7%	0.8%	2.06×	57.58
4-3	0.0%	1.7%	1.7%	1.03×	57.58
4-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.4%	4.12×	57.58
Any other score	0.4%	1.7%	12.2%	0.14×	57.58

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akademiya Ontustik (2nd half DNB)	66.8%	69.8%	—	—	1.43
Jaiyq (2nd half DNB)	33.2%	30.2%	—	—	3.31

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akademiya Ontustik leading at HT (DNB)	69.2%	73.7%	—	—	1.36
Jaiyq leading at HT (DNB)	30.8%	26.3%	—	—	3.80

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akademiya Ontustik or draw (1X)	79.3%	75.4%	62.4%	1.21×	1.33
Akademiya Ontustik or Jaiyq (12)	68.5%	69.4%	84.8%	0.82×	1.44
Jaiyq or draw (X2)	52.2%	52.4%	52.3%	1.00×	1.91

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akademiya Ontustik or draw at HT	86.7%	88.1%	—	—	1.14
Jaiyq or draw at HT	70.1%	74.2%	—	—	1.35
Akademiya Ontustik or Jaiyq at HT	43.2%	42.9%	—	—	2.33

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akademiya Ontustik or draw (1UP)	79.3%	84.1%	—	—	1.19
Jaiyq or draw (1UP)	52.2%	59.2%	—	—	1.69

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akademiya Ontustik or draw in 2nd half	82.6%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Jaiyq or draw in 2nd half	65.1%	65.5%	—	—	1.53
Akademiya Ontustik or Jaiyq in 2nd half	52.3%	54.5%	—	—	1.83

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	78.9%	79.4%	—	—	1.26
Neither half drawn	21.1%	20.6%	—	—	4.85

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akademiya Ontustik (DNB)	69.8%	66.8%	55.9%	1.19×	1.50
Jaiyq (DNB)	30.2%	33.2%	44.1%	0.75×	3.02

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akademiya Ontustik to score first	52.3%	53.8%	—	—	1.86
Jaiyq to score first	27.8%	28.3%	—	—	3.54
No goal scored	19.9%	19.2%	—	—	5.22

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	75.2%	61.3%	48.1%	1.27×	1.63
Both teams to score	24.8%	38.7%	51.9%	0.75×	2.58

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	69.8%	57.4%	27.0%	2.13×	1.74
Both score & over 2.5	14.8%	12.3%	44.3%	0.28×	8.15
Both score & under 2.5	10.0%	12.3%	8.0%	1.53×	8.15
Not both score & over 2.5	5.4%	8.4%	21.5%	0.39×	11.95

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	97.3%	91.5%	86.1%	1.06×	1.09
Both teams to score 2+	2.7%	8.5%	13.9%	0.61×	11.81

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	88.5%	88.8%	—	—	1.13
Both teams to score in 2nd half	11.5%	11.2%	—	—	8.93

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	82.8%	83.2%	—	—	1.20
Both score 2nd half only	10.7%	10.7%	—	—	9.36
Both score 1st half only	5.7%	6.7%	—	—	14.86
Both score in both halves	0.8%	4.9%	—	—	20.62

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	93.5%	93.6%	—	—	1.07
Both teams to score by HT	6.5%	6.4%	—	—	15.75

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	72.6%	73.0%	—	—	1.37
A goal in each half	27.4%	27.0%	—	—	3.70

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-1 goals	55.9%	48.4%	18.1%	2.67×	2.07
2-3 goals	37.0%	35.0%	39.7%	0.88×	2.86
4-6 goals	7.0%	7.6%	32.9%	0.23×	13.08
7+ goals	0.1%	1.8%	10.1%	0.18×	54.10

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jaiyq to score exactly 0	58.6%	51.1%	29.5%	1.73×	1.96
Jaiyq to score exactly 1	31.3%	33.6%	31.2%	1.08×	2.97
Jaiyq to score exactly 2	8.4%	8.8%	19.0%	0.46×	11.40
Jaiyq to score 3+	1.7%	4.6%	21.1%	0.22×	21.82

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akademiya Ontustik to score exactly 1	36.8%	35.5%	30.4%	1.17×	2.81
Akademiya Ontustik to score exactly 0	36.5%	35.5%	21.5%	1.65×	2.81
Akademiya Ontustik to score exactly 2	18.5%	19.2%	16.0%	1.20×	5.21
Akademiya Ontustik to score 3+	8.2%	10.5%	32.9%	0.32×	9.53

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	56.8%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Akademiya Ontustik leading at HT	29.9%	25.8%	—	—	3.87
Jaiyq leading at HT	13.3%	11.9%	—	—	8.39

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akademiya Ontustik -1: 2	52.2%	51.8%	—	—	1.93
Akademiya Ontustik -1: X	29.4%	26.7%	—	—	3.75
Akademiya Ontustik -1: 1	18.4%	17.3%	—	—	5.79

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jaiyq (0:1)	52.2%	51.2%	52.3%	0.98×	1.95
Draw (0:1)	29.4%	27.1%	16.5%	1.65×	3.68
Akademiya Ontustik (0:1)	18.4%	17.7%	31.6%	0.56×	5.64

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jaiyq (0:2)	81.6%	83.1%	68.4%	1.22×	1.20
Draw (0:2)	12.9%	10.9%	11.8%	0.92×	9.21
Akademiya Ontustik (0:2)	5.4%	7.7%	20.3%	0.38×	13.01

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jaiyq (0:3)	94.6%	92.7%	79.7%	1.16×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	4.2%	2.4%	9.7%	0.24×	42.23
Akademiya Ontustik (0:3)	1.3%	2.4%	11.0%	0.22×	42.35

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jaiyq (0:4)	98.7%	98.1%	89.0%	1.10×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	1.0%	1.2%	6.3%	0.19×	81.85
Akademiya Ontustik (0:4)	0.2%	1.2%	5.1%	0.24×	81.94

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akademiya Ontustik (1:0)	79.3%	78.1%	62.4%	1.25×	1.28
Draw (1:0)	16.3%	17.1%	17.3%	0.99×	5.86
Jaiyq (1:0)	4.4%	3.5%	20.7%	0.17×	28.66

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akademiya Ontustik (2:0)	95.6%	96.5%	79.3%	1.22×	1.04
Draw (2:0)	3.7%	2.4%	9.7%	0.25×	41.29
Jaiyq (2:0)	0.7%	2.4%	11.4%	0.21×	41.45

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	40.6%	47.7%	—	—	2.09
Halves equal	33.4%	30.2%	—	—	3.31
1st half highest scoring	26.0%	26.5%	—	—	3.78

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akademiya Ontustik clean sheet	58.6%	60.8%	29.5%	2.06×	1.65
Akademiya Ontustik to concede	41.4%	39.2%	70.5%	0.56×	2.55

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akademiya Ontustik clean sheet in 1st half	80.7%	82.5%	—	—	1.21
Akademiya Ontustik to concede in 1st half	19.3%	17.5%	—	—	5.71

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akademiya Ontustik clean sheet in 2nd half	72.5%	73.1%	—	—	1.37
Akademiya Ontustik to concede in 2nd half	27.5%	26.9%	—	—	3.72

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akademiya Ontustik under 3.5 goals	98.1%	96.3%	83.1%	1.16×	1.04
Akademiya Ontustik under 2.5 goals	91.8%	92.1%	67.1%	1.37×	1.09
Akademiya Ontustik under 1.5 goals	73.3%	74.3%	51.5%	1.44×	1.35
Akademiya Ontustik over 0.5 goals	63.5%	63.3%	78.5%	0.81×	1.58
Akademiya Ontustik under 0.5 goals	36.5%	36.7%	21.5%	1.71×	2.73
Akademiya Ontustik over 1.5 goals	26.7%	25.7%	48.5%	0.53×	3.89
Akademiya Ontustik over 2.5 goals	8.2%	7.9%	32.9%	0.24×	12.67
Akademiya Ontustik over 3.5 goals	1.9%	3.7%	16.9%	0.22×	27.01

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akademiya Ontustik under 1.5 in 1st half	92.9%	95.4%	—	—	1.05
Akademiya Ontustik under 0.5 in 1st half	64.9%	64.8%	—	—	1.54
Akademiya Ontustik over 0.5 in 1st half	35.1%	35.2%	—	—	2.84
Akademiya Ontustik over 1.5 in 1st half	7.1%	4.6%	—	—	21.95

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akademiya Ontustik scores equally in both	46.2%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Akademiya Ontustik scores more in 2nd half	31.6%	32.8%	—	—	3.05
Akademiya Ontustik scores more in 1st half	22.2%	21.5%	—	—	4.65

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	60.4%	59.9%	28.8%	2.08×	1.67
Jaiyq (home no bet)	39.6%	40.1%	71.2%	0.56×	2.49

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akademiya Ontustik even goals	56.7%	55.3%	48.5%	1.14×	1.81
Akademiya Ontustik odd goals	43.3%	44.7%	51.5%	0.87×	2.24

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	52.1%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
HT 1-0	22.9%	24.2%	—	—	4.14
HT 0-1	11.5%	10.9%	—	—	9.16
HT 2-0	4.9%	2.3%	—	—	43.34
HT 1-1	4.6%	2.3%	—	—	43.37
HT 0-2	1.2%	2.3%	—	—	43.62
HT 2-1	1.1%	2.3%	—	—	43.63
Any other HT score	1.1%	2.3%	—	—	43.62
HT 1-2	0.5%	2.3%	—	—	43.67
HT 2-2	0.1%	2.3%	—	—	43.70

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akademiya Ontustik at HT / Akademiya Ontustik at FT	26.1%	26.9%	—	—	3.72
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	25.6%	26.9%	—	—	3.72
Draw at HT / Akademiya Ontustik at FT	20.6%	21.7%	—	—	4.61
Draw at HT / Jaiyq at FT	10.6%	12.6%	—	—	7.91
Jaiyq at HT / Jaiyq at FT	9.5%	6.0%	—	—	16.60
Akademiya Ontustik at HT / Draw at FT	3.1%	3.5%	—	—	28.80
Jaiyq at HT / Draw at FT	2.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.81
Jaiyq at HT / Akademiya Ontustik at FT	1.0%	3.5%	—	—	28.88
Akademiya Ontustik at HT / Jaiyq at FT	0.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.90

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akademiya Ontustik to score last	52.1%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Jaiyq to score last	28.0%	27.1%	—	—	3.70
No goal scored	19.9%	13.9%	—	—	7.21

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	80.1%	86.8%	—	—	1.15
Akademiya Ontustik to lead by 1 at any time	55.2%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
Jaiyq to lead by 1 at any time	29.7%	25.6%	—	—	3.91
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	26.8%	25.5%	—	—	3.93
Akademiya Ontustik to lead by 2 at any time	20.9%	19.6%	—	—	5.11
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	6.9%	6.6%	—	—	15.12
Akademiya Ontustik to lead by 3 at any time	6.0%	6.6%	—	—	15.17
Jaiyq to lead by 2 at any time	5.9%	6.6%	—	—	15.18
Jaiyq to lead by 3 at any time	0.9%	1.6%	—	—	63.52

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	79.6%	78.5%	81.4%	0.96×	1.27
1-4 goals	78.1%	78.5%	75.1%	1.04×	1.27
1-3 goals	73.0%	72.3%	54.9%	1.32×	1.38
1-2 goals	59.9%	59.3%	32.1%	1.85×	1.69
2-6 goals	44.0%	43.6%	72.2%	0.60×	2.29
2-5 goals	43.6%	43.6%	66.2%	0.66×	2.29
2-4 goals	42.0%	43.6%	59.9%	0.73×	2.29
2-3 goals	37.0%	39.3%	39.7%	0.99×	2.55
3-6 goals	20.1%	24.8%	55.7%	0.45×	4.03
3-5 goals	19.7%	18.9%	49.8%	0.38×	5.30
3-4 goals	18.1%	18.9%	43.5%	0.43×	5.30
4-6 goals	7.0%	9.0%	32.9%	0.27×	11.14
4-5 goals	6.6%	9.0%	27.0%	0.33×	11.14
5-6 goals	2.0%	2.6%	12.7%	0.20×	38.92
7+ goals	0.1%	2.6%	10.1%	0.25×	39.00

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akademiya Ontustik never behind	50.4%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
Jaiyq never behind	24.9%	24.6%	—	—	4.07

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	49.3%	50.9%	46.8%	1.09×	1.96
Odd number of goals	50.7%	49.1%	53.2%	0.92×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	63.2%	59.7%	—	—	1.68
Odd goals in 1st half	36.8%	40.3%	—	—	2.48

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	57.3%	59.8%	—	—	1.67
Odd goals in 2nd half	42.7%	40.2%	—	—	2.49

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	99.5%	95.4%	84.0%	1.14×	1.05
Under 4.5 goals	97.9%	95.4%	77.6%	1.23×	1.05
Under 3.5 goals	92.9%	92.2%	57.4%	1.61×	1.09
Over 0.5 goals	80.1%	82.1%	97.0%	0.85×	1.22
Under 2.5 goals	79.8%	77.2%	34.6%	2.23×	1.30
Under 1.5 goals	55.9%	58.4%	18.1%	3.22×	1.71
Over 1.5 goals	44.1%	41.6%	81.9%	0.51×	2.41
Over 2.5 goals	20.2%	22.8%	65.4%	0.35×	4.39
Under 0.5 goals	19.9%	17.9%	3.0%	6.05×	5.60
Over 3.5 goals	7.1%	7.8%	42.6%	0.18×	12.82
Over 4.5 goals	2.1%	4.6%	22.4%	0.21×	21.74
Over 5.5 goals	0.5%	4.6%	16.0%	0.29×	21.76

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	99.9%	97.2%	89.2%	1.09×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	99.5%	97.2%	82.9%	1.17×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	97.8%	97.2%	72.0%	1.35×	1.03
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	91.8%	92.4%	44.8%	2.06×	1.08
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	73.5%	72.3%	21.7%	3.33×	1.38
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	26.5%	27.7%	78.3%	0.35×	3.61
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	8.2%	7.6%	55.2%	0.14×	13.12
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	2.2%	2.9%	28.0%	0.10×	35.09
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	0.5%	2.8%	17.1%	0.17×	35.14
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	0.1%	2.8%	10.8%	0.26×	35.15

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	97.2%	97.7%	—	—	1.02
Under 1.5 in 1st half	86.5%	89.0%	—	—	1.12
Under 0.5 in 1st half	52.1%	56.5%	—	—	1.77
Over 0.5 in 1st half	47.9%	43.5%	—	—	2.30
Over 1.5 in 1st half	13.5%	11.0%	—	—	9.06
Over 2.5 in 1st half	2.8%	2.3%	—	—	42.84

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	93.8%	89.8%	—	—	1.11
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	78.0%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	59.7%	54.8%	—	—	1.82
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	40.3%	45.2%	—	—	2.21
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	22.1%	20.2%	—	—	4.94
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	6.2%	10.2%	—	—	9.78

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jaiyq not to score in both halves	94.7%	90.8%	—	—	1.10
Akademiya Ontustik not to score in both halves	84.7%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Akademiya Ontustik to score in both halves	15.3%	15.5%	—	—	6.44
Jaiyq to score in both halves	5.3%	9.2%	—	—	10.92

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Only Akademiya Ontustik scores	38.7%	39.7%	27.0%	1.47×	2.52
Both teams score	24.8%	22.0%	51.9%	0.42×	4.54
Neither team scores	19.9%	16.0%	3.0%	5.42×	6.24
Only Jaiyq scores	16.7%	16.0%	19.0%	0.84×	6.25

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 1 goals	36.0%	26.8%	15.6%	1.72×	3.73
Exactly 2 goals	23.9%	22.4%	16.9%	1.33×	4.46
Exactly 0 goals	19.9%	17.6%	3.0%	5.94×	5.70
Exactly 3 goals	13.1%	12.0%	23.2%	0.52×	8.30
Exactly 4 goals	5.0%	7.8%	20.7%	0.38×	12.84
Exactly 5 goals	1.6%	4.5%	6.8%	0.67×	22.23
6 or more goals	0.5%	4.5%	16.0%	0.28×	22.24

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No goals in 1st half	52.1%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
1 goal in 1st half	34.4%	35.9%	—	—	2.78
2 goals in 1st half	10.7%	10.8%	—	—	9.23
3+ goals in 1st half	2.8%	2.3%	—	—	42.84

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No goals in 2nd half	40.3%	44.3%	—	—	2.26
1 goal in 2nd half	37.6%	40.1%	—	—	2.50
2+ goals in 2nd half	22.1%	23.0%	—	—	4.35

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jaiyq not to win both halves	97.8%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
Akademiya Ontustik not to win both halves	89.8%	88.0%	—	—	1.14
Akademiya Ontustik to win both halves	10.2%	12.0%	—	—	8.34
Jaiyq to win both halves	2.2%	2.8%	—	—	36.34

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jaiyq to win neither half	71.5%	72.8%	—	—	1.37
Akademiya Ontustik to win either half	54.6%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Akademiya Ontustik to win neither half	45.4%	45.1%	—	—	2.22
Jaiyq to win either half	28.5%	27.2%	—	—	3.68

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jaiyq not to win to nil	83.3%	83.1%	81.0%	1.03×	1.20
Akademiya Ontustik not to win to nil	61.3%	67.0%	73.0%	0.92×	1.49
Akademiya Ontustik to win to nil	38.7%	33.0%	27.0%	1.22×	3.03
Jaiyq to win to nil	16.7%	16.9%	19.0%	0.89×	5.93

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akademiya Ontustik by 1	29.4%	27.7%	16.5%	1.68×	3.61
Draw	31.5%	27.6%	15.2%	1.81×	3.63
Jaiyq by 1	16.3%	16.9%	17.3%	0.98×	5.92
Akademiya Ontustik by 2	12.9%	11.7%	11.8%	0.99×	8.52
Akademiya Ontustik by 3+	5.4%	7.3%	20.3%	0.36×	13.75
Jaiyq by 2	3.7%	2.8%	9.7%	0.29×	35.51
Jaiyq by 3+	0.7%	2.8%	11.4%	0.25×	35.59