Akhmat Grozny v Gazovik Orenburg — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Friday 23 October 2026 · RUS-Premier League · 2627

RUS-Premier League results-only Prediction generated 10 Sep 2026, 06:01 UTC

Akhmat Grozny

16:30 UTC

Gazovik Orenburg

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 5 Sep, 22:23 · 1,146h before kick-off

Akhmat Grozny win

48.6%

model 48.8%

Draw

28.0%

model 29.0%

Gazovik Orenburg win

23.4%

model 22.1%

492823

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (3,799 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 13.7%
1-0 12.5%
0-0 10.6%
2-0 10.0%
2-1 9.1%

Goals

Over 2.5	42.1%	Under 2.5	57.9%
BTTS yes	47.0%	BTTS no	53.0%
Akhmat Grozny 1+	76.8%	Akhmat Grozny 2+	42.9%
Gazovik Orenburg 1+	59.6%	Gazovik Orenburg 2+	23.0%

Expected goals 1.46 – 0.91. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

78/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

96%

★ Best pick

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

★ Most likely to land

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

Positive factors

Akhmat Grozny carry the stronger rating, 1469 Elo against 1402.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Akhmat Grozny have an estimated 48.6% win probability, against 28.0% for the draw and 23.4% for Gazovik Orenburg. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.46 for Akhmat Grozny and 0.91 for Gazovik Orenburg.

Why Akhmat Grozny

Akhmat Grozny carry the stronger rating, 1469 Elo against 1402.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 28.0%. A combined 2.37 expected goals is a low-scoring profile, and low totals mean more level finishes. Draws run at 28% in this competition.

Why Gazovik Orenburg can win

Nothing in the data singles out Gazovik Orenburg.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Akhmat Grozny, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Gazovik Orenburg, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Akhmat Grozny: 46% possession, 9.6 shots a match, 14.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Gazovik Orenburg: 38% possession, 13.6 shots a match, 12.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-05 22:20 · team_stats 2026-09-05 09:41 · availability 2026-09-05 21:03 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Akhmat Grozny are the model's most likely outcome at 48.6%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 13.7%. Confidence 78/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
dc-xg	532819	1.52–0.82	1-1 13%	42%	45%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akhmat Grozny to win	52.5%	51.5%	44.1%	1.17×	1.94
Draw	28.5%	27.9%	28.0%	1.00×	3.59
Gazovik Orenburg to win	19.0%	19.4%	28.2%	0.69×	5.14

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akhmat Grozny & not both score	33.0%	29.7%	25.5%	1.16×	3.37
Akhmat Grozny & both teams score	19.5%	17.9%	18.8%	0.96×	5.58
Draw & both teams score	17.6%	17.9%	20.8%	0.86×	5.58
Draw & not both score	10.9%	13.3%	7.3%	1.81×	7.54
Gazovik Orenburg & not both score	10.9%	13.3%	14.9%	0.89×	7.54
Gazovik Orenburg & both teams score	8.0%	8.4%	13.5%	0.62×	11.93

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akhmat Grozny & over 1.5	39.3%	34.9%	33.5%	1.04×	2.87
Akhmat Grozny & under 3.5	39.2%	34.9%	30.8%	1.13×	2.87
Akhmat Grozny & over 2.5	28.2%	26.0%	25.9%	1.00×	3.84
Akhmat Grozny & under 2.5	24.4%	21.6%	18.4%	1.18×	4.63
Draw & under 2.5	24.2%	21.6%	22.2%	0.97×	4.63
Draw & under 3.5	24.2%	21.6%	22.2%	0.97×	4.63
Draw & over 1.5	17.6%	18.0%	20.8%	0.86×	5.56
Gazovik Orenburg & under 3.5	15.6%	18.0%	20.6%	0.87×	5.56
Akhmat Grozny & under 1.5	13.3%	12.9%	10.8%	1.19×	7.76
Akhmat Grozny & over 3.5	13.4%	12.9%	13.5%	0.96×	7.76
Gazovik Orenburg & over 1.5	12.4%	12.9%	20.6%	0.63×	7.76
Draw & under 1.5	10.9%	12.9%	7.3%	1.75×	7.76
Gazovik Orenburg & over 2.5	9.2%	7.9%	16.5%	0.48×	12.65
Gazovik Orenburg & under 2.5	9.8%	7.9%	11.8%	0.67×	12.65
Gazovik Orenburg & under 1.5	6.6%	7.9%	7.8%	1.02×	12.65
Draw & over 2.5	4.3%	4.8%	5.9%	0.81×	20.85
Draw & over 3.5	4.3%	4.8%	5.9%	0.81×	20.85
Gazovik Orenburg & over 3.5	3.3%	4.8%	7.8%	0.62×	20.86

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akhmat Grozny (1UP)	64.9%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Gazovik Orenburg (1UP)	34.7%	33.1%	—	—	3.02

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akhmat Grozny (2UP)	52.5%	55.6%	—	—	1.80
Gazovik Orenburg (2UP)	19.0%	17.6%	—	—	5.69

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akhmat Grozny to win 2nd half	41.9%	41.1%	—	—	2.43
2nd half drawn	38.7%	36.0%	—	—	2.78
Gazovik Orenburg to win 2nd half	19.3%	19.2%	—	—	5.21

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gazovik Orenburg under 1.5 in 2nd half	91.2%	91.9%	—	—	1.09
Gazovik Orenburg under 0.5 in 2nd half	61.0%	58.9%	—	—	1.70
Gazovik Orenburg over 0.5 in 2nd half	39.0%	41.1%	—	—	2.43
Gazovik Orenburg over 1.5 in 2nd half	8.8%	8.1%	—	—	12.42

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akhmat Grozny under 1.5 in 2nd half	78.4%	75.8%	—	—	1.32
Akhmat Grozny over 0.5 in 2nd half	58.0%	59.0%	—	—	1.70
Akhmat Grozny under 0.5 in 2nd half	42.0%	41.0%	—	—	2.44
Akhmat Grozny over 1.5 in 2nd half	21.6%	24.2%	—	—	4.13

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gazovik Orenburg (+2.5)	88.5%	88.6%	89.6%	0.99×	1.13
Akhmat Grozny (+0.5)	81.0%	82.4%	71.8%	1.15×	1.21
Gazovik Orenburg (+1.5)	72.0%	73.7%	77.3%	0.95×	1.36
Akhmat Grozny (-0.5)	52.5%	52.4%	44.1%	1.19×	1.91
Gazovik Orenburg (+0.5)	47.5%	47.6%	55.9%	0.85×	2.10
Akhmat Grozny (-1.5)	28.0%	26.3%	22.7%	1.16×	3.81
Gazovik Orenburg (-0.5)	19.0%	17.6%	28.2%	0.62×	5.70
Akhmat Grozny (-2.5)	11.5%	11.4%	10.4%	1.10×	8.74

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gazovik Orenburg to concede	78.2%	78.9%	78.0%	1.01×	1.27
Gazovik Orenburg clean sheet	21.8%	21.1%	22.0%	0.96×	4.75

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gazovik Orenburg to concede in 1st half	48.1%	50.7%	—	—	1.97
Gazovik Orenburg clean sheet in 1st half	51.9%	49.3%	—	—	2.03

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gazovik Orenburg to concede in 2nd half	58.0%	58.6%	—	—	1.71
Gazovik Orenburg clean sheet in 2nd half	42.0%	41.4%	—	—	2.42

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gazovik Orenburg over 2.5 corners	81.6%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Gazovik Orenburg under 6.5 corners	76.7%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Gazovik Orenburg over 3.5 corners	66.6%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Gazovik Orenburg under 5.5 corners	64.6%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Gazovik Orenburg over 4.5 corners	50.3%	53.0%	—	—	1.89
Gazovik Orenburg under 4.5 corners	49.7%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
Gazovik Orenburg over 5.5 corners	35.4%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Gazovik Orenburg under 3.5 corners	33.4%	32.4%	—	—	3.08
Gazovik Orenburg over 6.5 corners	23.3%	24.0%	—	—	4.16
Gazovik Orenburg under 2.5 corners	18.4%	18.6%	—	—	5.37

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gazovik Orenburg under 3.5 goals	99.0%	97.5%	96.9%	1.01×	1.03
Gazovik Orenburg under 2.5 goals	94.9%	92.3%	88.8%	1.04×	1.08
Gazovik Orenburg under 1.5 goals	80.1%	81.3%	70.2%	1.16×	1.23
Gazovik Orenburg over 0.5 goals	56.1%	59.4%	67.3%	0.88×	1.68
Gazovik Orenburg under 0.5 goals	43.9%	40.6%	32.7%	1.24×	2.46
Gazovik Orenburg over 1.5 goals	20.0%	18.7%	29.8%	0.63×	5.36
Gazovik Orenburg over 2.5 goals	5.1%	7.7%	11.2%	0.68×	13.03
Gazovik Orenburg over 3.5 goals	1.0%	2.5%	3.1%	0.81×	40.13

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gazovik Orenburg under 1.5 in 1st half	95.6%	95.7%	—	—	1.05
Gazovik Orenburg under 0.5 in 1st half	72.0%	68.5%	—	—	1.46
Gazovik Orenburg over 0.5 in 1st half	28.1%	31.5%	—	—	3.17
Gazovik Orenburg over 1.5 in 1st half	4.4%	4.4%	—	—	22.99

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gazovik Orenburg scores equally in both	51.3%	50.0%	—	—	2.00
Gazovik Orenburg scores more in 2nd half	30.2%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
Gazovik Orenburg scores more in 1st half	18.5%	18.0%	—	—	5.56

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akhmat Grozny (away no bet)	64.8%	62.0%	61.2%	1.01×	1.61
Draw (away no bet)	35.2%	38.0%	38.8%	0.98×	2.63

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gazovik Orenburg even goals	59.6%	56.9%	53.3%	1.07×	1.76
Gazovik Orenburg odd goals	40.4%	43.1%	46.7%	0.92×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	89.8%	87.9%	—	—	1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals	10.2%	12.1%	—	—	8.25

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	55.8%	60.0%	—	—	1.67
Both halves under 1.5 goals	44.2%	40.0%	—	—	2.50

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	49.7%	46.0%	—	—	2.17
Akhmat Grozny to score 2+ in a row	39.0%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
Either team to score 3+ in a row	17.3%	16.3%	—	—	6.13
Akhmat Grozny to score 3+ in a row	14.7%	12.2%	—	—	8.19
Gazovik Orenburg to score 2+ in a row	14.3%	12.2%	—	—	8.20
Gazovik Orenburg to score 3+ in a row	2.8%	2.6%	—	—	38.92

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akhmat Grozny corners (+3.5)	85.6%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Gazovik Orenburg corners (+3.5)	81.6%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Akhmat Grozny corners (+2.5)	78.4%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Gazovik Orenburg corners (+2.5)	73.4%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Akhmat Grozny corners (+1.5)	69.3%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
Gazovik Orenburg corners (+1.5)	63.5%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Akhmat Grozny corners (-1.5)	36.5%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Gazovik Orenburg corners (-1.5)	30.7%	34.2%	—	—	2.93
Akhmat Grozny corners (-2.5)	26.6%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Gazovik Orenburg corners (-2.5)	21.6%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Akhmat Grozny corners (-3.5)	18.4%	20.2%	—	—	4.95
Gazovik Orenburg corners (-3.5)	14.4%	15.5%	—	—	6.45

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	37.6%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
9-11 corners	31.4%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
12+ corners	31.0%	33.2%	—	—	3.01

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	77.2%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Over 7.5 corners	73.0%	72.6%	—	—	1.38
Under 11.5 corners	69.0%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Over 8.5 corners	62.4%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Under 10.5 corners	59.3%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 9.5 corners	51.4%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 9.5 corners	48.6%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 10.5 corners	40.7%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Under 8.5 corners	37.6%	36.7%	—	—	2.72
Over 11.5 corners	31.0%	32.3%	—	—	3.10
Under 7.5 corners	27.0%	27.4%	—	—	3.65
Over 12.5 corners	22.8%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-0	13.3%	11.4%	10.8%	1.06×	8.74
1-1	13.3%	11.4%	15.1%	0.76×	8.74
0-0	10.9%	11.4%	7.3%	1.56×	8.74
2-0	11.1%	11.4%	7.8%	1.48×	8.74
2-1	9.1%	7.4%	8.8%	0.84×	13.50
0-1	6.6%	7.4%	7.8%	0.96×	13.50
3-0	5.6%	7.4%	4.1%	1.82×	13.50
1-2	4.9%	1.7%	6.7%	0.25×	58.29
0-2	3.2%	1.7%	4.3%	0.40×	58.30
0-3	0.9%	1.7%	2.4%	0.70×	58.31
0-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.4%	4.20×	58.32
1-3	1.4%	1.7%	2.4%	0.70×	58.31
1-4	0.3%	1.7%	1.0%	1.68×	58.32
2-2	3.8%	1.7%	4.9%	0.35×	58.30
2-3	1.0%	1.7%	2.7%	0.65×	58.31
2-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.8%	2.10×	58.32
3-1	4.6%	1.7%	4.3%	0.40×	58.29
3-2	1.9%	1.7%	2.2%	0.76×	58.31
3-3	0.5%	1.7%	1.2%	1.40×	58.32
3-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.4%	4.20×	58.32
4-0	2.2%	1.7%	2.4%	0.70×	58.31
4-1	1.8%	1.7%	1.4%	1.20×	58.31
4-2	0.7%	1.7%	0.8%	2.10×	58.32
4-3	0.2%	1.7%	0.4%	4.20×	58.32
4-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.2%	8.40×	58.32
Any other score	2.1%	1.7%	4.1%	0.42×	58.31

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akhmat Grozny (2nd half DNB)	68.4%	70.0%	—	—	1.43
Gazovik Orenburg (2nd half DNB)	31.6%	30.0%	—	—	3.33

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akhmat Grozny leading at HT (DNB)	70.4%	72.0%	—	—	1.39
Gazovik Orenburg leading at HT (DNB)	29.6%	28.0%	—	—	3.58

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akhmat Grozny or draw (1X)	81.0%	80.6%	71.8%	1.12×	1.24
Akhmat Grozny or Gazovik Orenburg (12)	71.5%	72.1%	72.0%	1.00×	1.39
Gazovik Orenburg or draw (X2)	47.5%	48.5%	55.9%	0.87×	2.06

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akhmat Grozny or draw at HT	84.1%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Gazovik Orenburg or draw at HT	62.2%	62.0%	—	—	1.61
Akhmat Grozny or Gazovik Orenburg at HT	53.7%	47.7%	—	—	2.10

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akhmat Grozny or draw (1UP)	81.0%	88.3%	—	—	1.13
Gazovik Orenburg or draw (1UP)	47.5%	52.7%	—	—	1.90

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akhmat Grozny or draw in 2nd half	80.7%	80.8%	—	—	1.24
Akhmat Grozny or Gazovik Orenburg in 2nd half	61.3%	64.0%	—	—	1.56
Gazovik Orenburg or draw in 2nd half	58.1%	58.9%	—	—	1.70

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	65.7%	69.2%	—	—	1.45
Neither half drawn	34.3%	30.8%	—	—	3.25

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akhmat Grozny (DNB)	73.5%	71.5%	61.0%	1.17×	1.40
Gazovik Orenburg (DNB)	26.5%	28.5%	39.0%	0.73×	3.51

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akhmat Grozny to score first	57.9%	62.0%	—	—	1.61
Gazovik Orenburg to score first	31.3%	27.1%	—	—	3.69
No goal scored	10.9%	9.6%	—	—	10.39

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	54.8%	51.4%	47.3%	1.09×	1.95
Both teams to score	45.2%	48.6%	52.7%	0.92×	2.06

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	45.1%	44.2%	37.1%	1.19×	2.26
Both score & over 2.5	31.9%	34.4%	37.8%	0.91×	2.91
Both score & under 2.5	13.3%	12.3%	15.1%	0.82×	8.11
Not both score & over 2.5	9.8%	8.3%	10.4%	0.80×	11.99

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	91.0%	89.1%	86.9%	1.02×	1.12
Both teams to score 2+	9.0%	10.9%	13.1%	0.84×	9.14

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	76.9%	75.2%	—	—	1.33
Both teams to score in 2nd half	23.1%	24.8%	—	—	4.03

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	66.3%	62.0%	—	—	1.61
Both score 2nd half only	20.0%	20.8%	—	—	4.82
Both score 1st half only	10.7%	10.7%	—	—	9.36
Both score in both halves	3.1%	5.0%	—	—	20.12

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	86.3%	86.1%	—	—	1.16
Both teams to score by HT	13.7%	13.9%	—	—	7.20

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	52.8%	53.4%	—	—	1.87
A goal in each half	47.2%	46.6%	—	—	2.14

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	48.3%	47.3%	48.0%	0.99×	2.11
0-1 goals	30.7%	30.7%	25.5%	1.20×	3.25
4-6 goals	20.0%	20.3%	25.3%	0.80×	4.92
7+ goals	1.0%	1.8%	1.6%	1.12×	54.79

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gazovik Orenburg to score exactly 0	43.9%	37.2%	32.7%	1.14×	2.69
Gazovik Orenburg to score exactly 1	36.1%	36.0%	37.8%	0.95×	2.78
Gazovik Orenburg to score exactly 2	14.9%	12.9%	18.8%	0.68×	7.78
Gazovik Orenburg to score 3+	5.1%	8.5%	11.2%	0.76×	11.75

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akhmat Grozny to score exactly 1	33.2%	32.6%	35.3%	0.92×	3.07
Akhmat Grozny to score exactly 2	25.3%	26.5%	24.3%	1.09×	3.78
Akhmat Grozny to score exactly 0	21.8%	23.2%	22.0%	1.05×	4.31
Akhmat Grozny to score 3+	19.7%	18.9%	18.8%	1.01×	5.29

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	46.3%	52.3%	—	—	1.91
Akhmat Grozny leading at HT	37.8%	38.0%	—	—	2.63
Gazovik Orenburg leading at HT	15.9%	15.5%	—	—	6.46

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akhmat Grozny -1: 2	47.5%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Akhmat Grozny -1: 1	28.0%	26.6%	—	—	3.76
Akhmat Grozny -1: X	24.5%	23.6%	—	—	4.24

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gazovik Orenburg (0:1)	47.5%	46.0%	55.9%	0.82×	2.18
Akhmat Grozny (0:1)	28.0%	27.1%	22.7%	1.19×	3.70
Draw (0:1)	24.5%	24.3%	21.6%	1.12×	4.12

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gazovik Orenburg (0:2)	72.0%	75.8%	77.3%	0.98×	1.32
Draw (0:2)	16.5%	15.3%	12.4%	1.23×	6.56
Akhmat Grozny (0:2)	11.5%	10.9%	10.4%	1.05×	9.17

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gazovik Orenburg (0:3)	88.5%	90.9%	89.6%	1.01×	1.10
Draw (0:3)	7.7%	5.8%	5.9%	0.98×	17.28
Akhmat Grozny (0:3)	3.8%	2.4%	4.7%	0.51×	42.06

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gazovik Orenburg (0:4)	96.2%	98.1%	95.3%	1.03×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	2.7%	1.2%	3.7%	0.33×	83.43
Akhmat Grozny (0:4)	1.1%	1.2%	1.2%	0.98×	83.63

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akhmat Grozny (1:0)	81.0%	81.3%	71.8%	1.13×	1.23
Draw (1:0)	12.7%	12.8%	16.9%	0.75×	7.83
Gazovik Orenburg (1:0)	6.3%	6.9%	11.4%	0.61×	14.42

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akhmat Grozny (2:0)	93.7%	93.9%	88.6%	1.06×	1.07
Draw (2:0)	4.8%	2.3%	7.3%	0.31×	43.55
Gazovik Orenburg (2:0)	1.5%	2.3%	4.3%	0.53×	43.76

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	44.4%	48.8%	—	—	2.05
Halves equal	29.3%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
1st half highest scoring	26.2%	26.5%	—	—	3.78

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akhmat Grozny to concede	56.1%	60.9%	67.3%	0.90×	1.64
Akhmat Grozny clean sheet	43.9%	39.1%	32.7%	1.20×	2.56

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akhmat Grozny clean sheet in 1st half	72.0%	68.0%	—	—	1.47
Akhmat Grozny to concede in 1st half	28.1%	32.0%	—	—	3.12

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akhmat Grozny clean sheet in 2nd half	61.0%	58.7%	—	—	1.70
Akhmat Grozny to concede in 2nd half	39.0%	41.3%	—	—	2.42

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akhmat Grozny over 2.5 corners	84.2%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Akhmat Grozny under 6.5 corners	72.8%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Akhmat Grozny over 3.5 corners	70.4%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Akhmat Grozny under 5.5 corners	60.2%	62.2%	—	—	1.61
Akhmat Grozny over 4.5 corners	54.8%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Akhmat Grozny under 4.5 corners	45.2%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Akhmat Grozny over 5.5 corners	39.8%	37.8%	—	—	2.65
Akhmat Grozny under 3.5 corners	29.6%	28.1%	—	—	3.55
Akhmat Grozny over 6.5 corners	27.2%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
Akhmat Grozny under 2.5 corners	15.8%	19.0%	—	—	5.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akhmat Grozny under 3.5 goals	93.1%	92.2%	92.7%	1.00×	1.08
Akhmat Grozny under 2.5 goals	80.3%	82.1%	81.2%	1.01×	1.22
Akhmat Grozny over 0.5 goals	78.2%	77.7%	78.0%	1.00×	1.29
Akhmat Grozny under 1.5 goals	55.0%	53.2%	57.1%	0.93×	1.88
Akhmat Grozny over 1.5 goals	45.0%	46.8%	42.9%	1.09×	2.14
Akhmat Grozny under 0.5 goals	21.8%	22.3%	22.0%	1.01×	4.49
Akhmat Grozny over 2.5 goals	19.7%	17.9%	18.8%	0.95×	5.58
Akhmat Grozny over 3.5 goals	6.9%	7.8%	7.3%	1.06×	12.88

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akhmat Grozny under 1.5 in 1st half	86.0%	89.7%	—	—	1.12
Akhmat Grozny over 0.5 in 1st half	48.1%	50.9%	—	—	1.97
Akhmat Grozny under 0.5 in 1st half	51.9%	49.1%	—	—	2.04
Akhmat Grozny over 1.5 in 1st half	14.0%	10.3%	—	—	9.72

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akhmat Grozny scores more in 2nd half	38.2%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Akhmat Grozny scores equally in both	36.1%	37.6%	—	—	2.66
Akhmat Grozny scores more in 1st half	25.8%	28.0%	—	—	3.57

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	60.1%	60.0%	49.8%	1.20×	1.67
Gazovik Orenburg (home no bet)	39.9%	40.0%	50.2%	0.80×	2.50

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akhmat Grozny even goals	52.4%	50.6%	50.4%	1.00×	1.98
Akhmat Grozny odd goals	47.6%	49.4%	49.6%	1.00×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	37.6%	38.7%	—	—	2.58
HT 1-0	24.3%	24.2%	—	—	4.13
HT 0-1	12.1%	10.9%	—	—	9.16
HT 1-1	8.3%	7.1%	—	—	14.01
HT 2-0	8.0%	7.1%	—	—	14.01
Any other HT score	3.3%	2.3%	—	—	43.46
HT 2-1	2.6%	2.3%	—	—	43.51
HT 0-2	2.0%	2.3%	—	—	43.56
HT 1-2	1.3%	2.3%	—	—	43.61
HT 2-2	0.4%	2.3%	—	—	43.67

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akhmat Grozny at HT / Akhmat Grozny at FT	31.7%	32.7%	—	—	3.05
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	19.3%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Akhmat Grozny at FT	18.7%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Gazovik Orenburg at HT / Gazovik Orenburg at FT	9.5%	6.0%	—	—	16.60
Draw at HT / Gazovik Orenburg at FT	8.3%	6.0%	—	—	16.64
Akhmat Grozny at HT / Draw at FT	4.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.73
Gazovik Orenburg at HT / Draw at FT	4.3%	3.5%	—	—	28.75
Gazovik Orenburg at HT / Akhmat Grozny at FT	2.1%	3.5%	—	—	28.84
Akhmat Grozny at HT / Gazovik Orenburg at FT	1.2%	3.5%	—	—	28.87

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akhmat Grozny to score last	58.1%	56.6%	—	—	1.77
Gazovik Orenburg to score last	31.1%	32.8%	—	—	3.05
No goal scored	10.9%	9.0%	—	—	11.09

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	89.1%	90.9%	—	—	1.10
Akhmat Grozny to lead by 1 at any time	64.9%	61.5%	—	—	1.63
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	42.6%	39.2%	—	—	2.55
Gazovik Orenburg to lead by 1 at any time	34.7%	29.4%	—	—	3.40
Akhmat Grozny to lead by 2 at any time	33.1%	29.4%	—	—	3.41
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	15.3%	14.8%	—	—	6.74
Akhmat Grozny to lead by 3 at any time	13.2%	10.5%	—	—	9.54
Gazovik Orenburg to lead by 2 at any time	9.6%	6.7%	—	—	14.99
Gazovik Orenburg to lead by 3 at any time	2.1%	1.6%	—	—	62.32

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akhmat Grozny most corners	47.5%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Gazovik Orenburg most corners	41.2%	43.6%	—	—	2.30
Corners level	11.3%	10.4%	—	—	9.60

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	85.9%	87.4%	87.6%	1.00×	1.15
1-4 goals	80.2%	83.4%	79.6%	1.05×	1.20
1-3 goals	68.1%	68.9%	66.1%	1.04×	1.45
2-6 goals	68.3%	68.9%	73.1%	0.94×	1.45
2-5 goals	66.0%	68.9%	69.4%	0.99×	1.45
2-4 goals	60.4%	63.4%	61.4%	1.03×	1.58
2-3 goals	48.3%	48.6%	48.0%	1.01×	2.06
1-2 goals	47.5%	48.6%	44.9%	1.08×	2.06
3-6 goals	40.6%	43.6%	46.5%	0.94×	2.30
3-5 goals	38.4%	39.2%	42.9%	0.91×	2.55
3-4 goals	32.7%	35.3%	34.9%	1.01×	2.83
4-6 goals	20.0%	18.7%	25.3%	0.74×	5.33
4-5 goals	17.8%	18.7%	21.6%	0.87×	5.34
5-6 goals	7.9%	8.8%	11.8%	0.75×	11.31
7+ goals	1.0%	2.6%	1.6%	1.56×	39.19

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akhmat Grozny never behind	54.4%	62.1%	—	—	1.61
Gazovik Orenburg never behind	24.3%	24.5%	—	—	4.08

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	46.9%	50.8%	48.8%	1.04×	1.97
Even number of goals	53.1%	49.2%	51.2%	0.96×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	57.4%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Odd goals in 1st half	42.6%	42.5%	—	—	2.35

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	54.2%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	45.8%	47.9%	—	—	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	96.7%	95.4%	94.7%	1.01×	1.05
Under 4.5 goals	91.1%	92.2%	86.7%	1.06×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	89.1%	87.6%	92.7%	0.95×	1.14
Under 3.5 goals	79.0%	77.4%	73.3%	1.06×	1.29
Over 1.5 goals	69.3%	66.3%	74.5%	0.89×	1.51
Under 2.5 goals	58.4%	58.7%	52.0%	1.13×	1.70
Over 2.5 goals	41.6%	41.3%	48.0%	0.86×	2.42
Under 1.5 goals	30.7%	33.7%	25.5%	1.32×	2.96
Over 3.5 goals	21.0%	22.6%	26.7%	0.85×	4.42
Under 0.5 goals	10.9%	12.4%	7.3%	1.68×	8.08
Over 4.5 goals	8.9%	7.8%	13.3%	0.59×	12.87
Over 5.5 goals	3.3%	4.6%	5.3%	0.86×	21.93

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	98.9%	97.2%	98.3%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	96.6%	97.2%	94.2%	1.03×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	89.8%	86.7%	84.7%	1.02×	1.15
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	73.5%	72.5%	66.1%	1.10×	1.38
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	57.6%	55.6%	65.3%	0.85×	1.80
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	42.5%	44.4%	34.7%	1.28×	2.25
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	26.5%	27.5%	33.9%	0.81×	3.64
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	10.2%	13.3%	15.3%	0.86×	7.55
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	3.4%	2.8%	5.8%	0.48×	35.82
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	1.1%	2.8%	1.7%	1.64×	35.89

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	92.3%	92.7%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	73.9%	71.3%	—	—	1.40
Over 0.5 in 1st half	62.4%	63.5%	—	—	1.57
Under 0.5 in 1st half	37.6%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
Over 1.5 in 1st half	26.1%	28.7%	—	—	3.48
Over 2.5 in 1st half	7.7%	7.3%	—	—	13.69

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	84.3%	82.8%	—	—	1.21
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	74.0%	77.7%	—	—	1.29
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	60.0%	61.5%	—	—	1.63
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	40.0%	38.5%	—	—	2.60
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	26.1%	22.3%	—	—	4.49
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	15.7%	17.2%	—	—	5.82

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gazovik Orenburg not to score in both halves	89.1%	85.9%	—	—	1.16
Akhmat Grozny not to score in both halves	72.1%	73.7%	—	—	1.36
Akhmat Grozny to score in both halves	27.9%	26.3%	—	—	3.80
Gazovik Orenburg to score in both halves	10.9%	14.1%	—	—	7.11

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	45.2%	50.6%	52.7%	0.96×	1.98
Only Akhmat Grozny scores	33.0%	33.3%	25.5%	1.30×	3.00
Only Gazovik Orenburg scores	10.9%	11.0%	14.9%	0.74×	9.11
Neither team scores	10.9%	11.0%	7.3%	1.49×	9.11

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	27.7%	24.9%	26.7%	0.93×	4.01
Exactly 3 goals	20.6%	22.6%	21.4%	1.05×	4.43
Exactly 1 goals	19.8%	17.4%	18.4%	0.95×	5.73
Exactly 4 goals	12.1%	12.1%	13.7%	0.88×	8.28
Exactly 0 goals	10.9%	12.1%	7.3%	1.64×	8.28
Exactly 5 goals	5.7%	7.6%	8.2%	0.94×	13.09
6 or more goals	3.3%	4.5%	5.3%	0.84×	22.43

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No goals in 1st half	37.6%	37.1%	—	—	2.70
1 goal in 1st half	36.3%	37.1%	—	—	2.70
2 goals in 1st half	18.3%	15.3%	—	—	6.55
3+ goals in 1st half	7.7%	7.3%	—	—	13.69

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	40.0%	40.4%	—	—	2.48
1 goal in 2nd half	34.0%	33.4%	—	—	3.00
No goals in 2nd half	26.1%	29.7%	—	—	3.36

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gazovik Orenburg not to win both halves	96.8%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
Akhmat Grozny not to win both halves	83.9%	84.3%	—	—	1.19
Akhmat Grozny to win both halves	16.1%	15.7%	—	—	6.36
Gazovik Orenburg to win both halves	3.2%	2.8%	—	—	35.91

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gazovik Orenburg to win neither half	68.0%	68.0%	—	—	1.47
Akhmat Grozny to win either half	63.6%	65.1%	—	—	1.54
Akhmat Grozny to win neither half	36.4%	34.9%	—	—	2.86
Gazovik Orenburg to win either half	32.0%	32.0%	—	—	3.13

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gazovik Orenburg not to win to nil	89.1%	88.2%	85.1%	1.04×	1.13
Akhmat Grozny not to win to nil	67.0%	69.7%	74.5%	0.94×	1.43
Akhmat Grozny to win to nil	33.0%	30.3%	25.5%	1.19×	3.30
Gazovik Orenburg to win to nil	10.9%	11.8%	14.9%	0.79×	8.45

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	28.5%	27.9%	28.0%	1.00×	3.59
Akhmat Grozny by 1	24.5%	24.2%	21.6%	1.12×	4.14
Akhmat Grozny by 2	16.5%	16.9%	12.4%	1.36×	5.91
Gazovik Orenburg by 1	12.7%	11.8%	16.9%	0.70×	8.49
Akhmat Grozny by 3+	11.5%	11.8%	10.4%	1.13×	8.50
Gazovik Orenburg by 2	4.8%	2.7%	7.3%	0.37×	36.60
Gazovik Orenburg by 3+	1.5%	2.7%	4.3%	0.64×	36.71