Akhmat Grozny v Lokomotiv Moscow — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 5 December 2026 · RUS-Premier League · 2627

RUS-Premier League results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Akhmat Grozny

16:45 UTC

Lokomotiv Moscow

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 22 Oct, 10:58 · 1,062h before kick-off

Akhmat Grozny win

36.6%

model 35.8%

Draw

26.7%

model 27.7%

Lokomotiv Moscow win

36.7%

model 36.5%

372737

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (648 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 13.1%
1-2 8.4%
2-1 8.3%
0-0 7.2%
0-1 7.1%

Goals

Over 2.5	53.8%	Under 2.5	46.2%
BTTS yes	58.6%	BTTS no	41.4%
Akhmat Grozny 1+	75.5%	Akhmat Grozny 2+	41.1%
Lokomotiv Moscow 1+	75.9%	Lokomotiv Moscow 2+	41.6%

Expected goals 1.41 – 1.42. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

78/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

97%

★ Best pick

3-6 goals

Multi goal · usually 47%

52.3% fair odds 1.91

moderate signal · 1995 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Lokomotiv Moscow (0:2)

Handicap 0:2 · usually 77%

83.7% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 504 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Lokomotiv Moscow carry the stronger rating, 1515 Elo against 1473.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Lokomotiv Moscow have an estimated 36.7% win probability, against 36.6% for Akhmat Grozny and 26.7% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.41 for Akhmat Grozny and 1.42 for Lokomotiv Moscow.

Why Akhmat Grozny

Nothing in the data singles out Akhmat Grozny.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 26.7%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.41 to 1.42. Draws run at 28% in this competition.

Why Lokomotiv Moscow can win

Lokomotiv Moscow carry the stronger rating, 1515 Elo against 1473.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Akhmat Grozny, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Lokomotiv Moscow, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Akhmat Grozny: 51% possession, 13.4 shots a match, 14.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Lokomotiv Moscow: 52% possession, 13.6 shots a match, 18.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-22 14:54 · team_stats 2026-10-20 06:04 · availability 2026-10-22 14:58 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Lokomotiv Moscow are the model's most likely outcome at 36.7%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 13.1%. Confidence 78/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	362837	1.41–1.42	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	332840	1.35–1.50	1-1 13%	54%	59%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lokomotiv Moscow to win	39.5%	36.4%	28.0%	1.30×	2.75
Akhmat Grozny to win	32.9%	30.4%	44.1%	0.69×	3.29
Draw	27.5%	27.9%	28.0%	0.99×	3.58

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lokomotiv Moscow & both teams score	20.7%	21.8%	13.4%	1.63×	4.59
Draw & both teams score	20.4%	21.8%	20.9%	1.04×	4.59
Lokomotiv Moscow & not both score	18.8%	18.0%	14.8%	1.21×	5.57
Akhmat Grozny & both teams score	17.6%	18.0%	18.9%	0.95×	5.57
Akhmat Grozny & not both score	15.3%	18.0%	25.4%	0.71×	5.57
Draw & not both score	7.1%	8.3%	7.3%	1.14×	12.01

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lokomotiv Moscow & over 1.5	32.1%	30.8%	20.5%	1.50×	3.25
Akhmat Grozny & over 1.5	26.4%	26.1%	33.5%	0.78×	3.84
Lokomotiv Moscow & under 3.5	25.9%	26.1%	20.5%	1.27×	3.84
Lokomotiv Moscow & over 2.5	25.6%	26.1%	16.5%	1.58×	3.84
Akhmat Grozny & under 3.5	22.1%	21.6%	30.9%	0.70×	4.63
Akhmat Grozny & over 2.5	21.1%	21.6%	26.0%	0.83×	4.63
Draw & over 1.5	20.4%	21.6%	20.9%	1.03×	4.63
Draw & under 2.5	20.1%	21.6%	22.2%	0.98×	4.63
Draw & under 3.5	20.1%	21.6%	22.2%	0.98×	4.63
Lokomotiv Moscow & under 2.5	13.9%	12.8%	11.8%	1.09×	7.79
Lokomotiv Moscow & over 3.5	13.6%	12.8%	7.7%	1.66×	7.79
Akhmat Grozny & under 2.5	11.8%	12.8%	18.3%	0.70×	7.79
Akhmat Grozny & over 3.5	10.8%	12.8%	13.4%	0.96×	7.79
Draw & over 2.5	7.4%	7.9%	6.1%	1.30×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	7.4%	7.9%	6.1%	1.30×	12.63
Lokomotiv Moscow & under 1.5	7.4%	7.9%	7.7%	1.03×	12.63
Draw & under 1.5	7.1%	7.9%	7.3%	1.08×	12.63
Akhmat Grozny & under 1.5	6.6%	7.9%	10.8%	0.74×	12.63

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lokomotiv Moscow (1UP)	57.2%	58.0%	—	—	1.72
Akhmat Grozny (1UP)	51.5%	52.5%	—	—	1.90

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lokomotiv Moscow (2UP)	39.5%	37.5%	—	—	2.66
Akhmat Grozny (2UP)	32.9%	30.5%	—	—	3.28

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lokomotiv Moscow to win 2nd half	36.0%	36.1%	—	—	2.77
2nd half drawn	35.2%	36.1%	—	—	2.77
Akhmat Grozny to win 2nd half	28.8%	25.8%	—	—	3.88

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lokomotiv Moscow under 1.5 in 2nd half	77.3%	79.0%	—	—	1.27
Lokomotiv Moscow over 0.5 in 2nd half	59.3%	54.7%	—	—	1.83
Lokomotiv Moscow under 0.5 in 2nd half	40.7%	45.3%	—	—	2.21
Lokomotiv Moscow over 1.5 in 2nd half	22.7%	21.0%	—	—	4.76

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akhmat Grozny under 1.5 in 2nd half	82.0%	82.5%	—	—	1.21
Akhmat Grozny over 0.5 in 2nd half	53.7%	55.2%	—	—	1.81
Akhmat Grozny under 0.5 in 2nd half	46.3%	44.8%	—	—	2.23
Akhmat Grozny over 1.5 in 2nd half	18.0%	17.5%	—	—	5.70

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lokomotiv Moscow (+2.5)	94.6%	92.1%	89.6%	1.03×	1.09
Lokomotiv Moscow (+1.5)	84.7%	82.5%	77.4%	1.07×	1.21
Lokomotiv Moscow (+0.5)	67.1%	68.7%	55.9%	1.23×	1.46
Akhmat Grozny (+0.5)	60.5%	62.9%	72.0%	0.87×	1.59
Lokomotiv Moscow (-0.5)	39.5%	37.1%	28.0%	1.32×	2.70
Akhmat Grozny (-0.5)	32.9%	31.3%	44.1%	0.71×	3.19
Akhmat Grozny (-1.5)	15.3%	17.5%	22.6%	0.77×	5.73
Akhmat Grozny (-2.5)	5.4%	7.9%	10.4%	0.76×	12.71

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lokomotiv Moscow to concede	74.1%	76.7%	78.0%	0.98×	1.30
Lokomotiv Moscow clean sheet	25.9%	23.3%	22.0%	1.06×	4.30

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lokomotiv Moscow clean sheet in 1st half	56.0%	56.9%	—	—	1.76
Lokomotiv Moscow to concede in 1st half	44.0%	43.1%	—	—	2.32

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lokomotiv Moscow to concede in 2nd half	53.7%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Lokomotiv Moscow clean sheet in 2nd half	46.3%	45.1%	—	—	2.22

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lokomotiv Moscow under 6.5 corners	84.8%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Lokomotiv Moscow under 5.5 corners	74.6%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Lokomotiv Moscow over 2.5 corners	74.3%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Lokomotiv Moscow under 4.5 corners	60.5%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Lokomotiv Moscow over 3.5 corners	56.6%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Lokomotiv Moscow under 3.5 corners	43.4%	42.8%	—	—	2.33
Lokomotiv Moscow over 4.5 corners	39.5%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Lokomotiv Moscow under 2.5 corners	25.7%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Lokomotiv Moscow over 5.5 corners	25.4%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Lokomotiv Moscow over 6.5 corners	15.2%	18.6%	—	—	5.38

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lokomotiv Moscow under 3.5 goals	93.5%	92.3%	97.0%	0.95×	1.08
Lokomotiv Moscow under 2.5 goals	81.0%	81.4%	88.8%	0.92×	1.23
Lokomotiv Moscow over 0.5 goals	77.6%	76.3%	67.5%	1.13×	1.31
Lokomotiv Moscow under 1.5 goals	55.9%	59.4%	70.1%	0.85×	1.68
Lokomotiv Moscow over 1.5 goals	44.1%	40.6%	29.9%	1.36×	2.46
Lokomotiv Moscow under 0.5 goals	22.4%	23.7%	32.5%	0.73×	4.21
Lokomotiv Moscow over 2.5 goals	19.0%	18.6%	11.2%	1.66×	5.39
Lokomotiv Moscow over 3.5 goals	6.5%	7.7%	3.0%	2.51×	13.06

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lokomotiv Moscow under 1.5 in 1st half	87.9%	89.3%	—	—	1.12
Lokomotiv Moscow under 0.5 in 1st half	54.9%	55.6%	—	—	1.80
Lokomotiv Moscow over 0.5 in 1st half	45.1%	44.4%	—	—	2.25
Lokomotiv Moscow over 1.5 in 1st half	12.2%	10.7%	—	—	9.37

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lokomotiv Moscow scores more in 2nd half	40.7%	43.4%	—	—	2.31
Lokomotiv Moscow scores equally in both	36.1%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
Lokomotiv Moscow scores more in 1st half	23.2%	22.0%	—	—	4.55

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akhmat Grozny (away no bet)	54.5%	51.8%	61.1%	0.85×	1.93
Draw (away no bet)	45.5%	48.2%	38.9%	1.24×	2.07

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lokomotiv Moscow even goals	52.5%	52.6%	53.3%	0.99×	1.90
Lokomotiv Moscow odd goals	47.5%	47.4%	46.7%	1.01×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	83.6%	82.8%	—	—	1.21
Both halves over 1.5 goals	16.4%	17.2%	—	—	5.81

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	66.9%	68.4%	—	—	1.46
Both halves under 1.5 goals	33.1%	31.6%	—	—	3.16

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	57.7%	55.2%	—	—	1.81
Lokomotiv Moscow to score 2+ in a row	35.0%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
Akhmat Grozny to score 2+ in a row	29.9%	25.3%	—	—	3.96
Either team to score 3+ in a row	20.6%	19.6%	—	—	5.11
Lokomotiv Moscow to score 3+ in a row	11.9%	12.0%	—	—	8.31
Akhmat Grozny to score 3+ in a row	9.0%	5.6%	—	—	17.83

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akhmat Grozny corners (+3.5)	88.8%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Akhmat Grozny corners (+2.5)	82.2%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Lokomotiv Moscow corners (+3.5)	81.3%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Akhmat Grozny corners (+1.5)	73.3%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Lokomotiv Moscow corners (+2.5)	72.4%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Lokomotiv Moscow corners (+1.5)	61.6%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Akhmat Grozny corners (-1.5)	38.4%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Akhmat Grozny corners (-2.5)	27.6%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Lokomotiv Moscow corners (-1.5)	26.7%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Akhmat Grozny corners (-3.5)	18.7%	20.2%	—	—	4.94
Lokomotiv Moscow corners (-2.5)	17.8%	20.2%	—	—	4.94
Lokomotiv Moscow corners (-3.5)	11.2%	15.5%	—	—	6.45

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	49.1%	41.8%	—	—	2.39
9-11 corners	30.0%	31.2%	—	—	3.21
12+ corners	20.9%	25.6%	—	—	3.90

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	85.7%	83.1%	—	—	1.20
Under 11.5 corners	79.1%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 10.5 corners	70.7%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Over 7.5 corners	62.7%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Under 9.5 corners	60.5%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Over 8.5 corners	50.9%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 8.5 corners	49.1%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 9.5 corners	39.5%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Under 7.5 corners	37.3%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 10.5 corners	29.3%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 11.5 corners	20.9%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
Over 12.5 corners	14.3%	16.9%	—	—	5.91

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	13.0%	11.5%	15.0%	0.76×	8.72
1-2	8.8%	7.4%	6.7%	1.10×	13.50
2-1	7.9%	7.4%	8.9%	0.83×	13.50
0-0	7.1%	7.4%	7.3%	1.01×	13.51
0-1	7.4%	7.4%	7.7%	0.96×	13.50
0-2	6.5%	7.4%	4.3%	1.73×	13.51
1-0	6.6%	7.4%	10.8%	0.69×	13.51
2-0	5.3%	7.4%	7.7%	0.96×	13.51
2-2	5.9%	7.4%	5.1%	1.46×	13.51
1-3	4.4%	1.7%	2.4%	0.70×	58.29
1-4	1.6%	1.7%	1.0%	1.69×	58.31
2-3	3.0%	1.7%	2.6%	0.65×	58.30
2-4	1.1%	1.7%	0.8%	2.11×	58.31
3-0	2.4%	1.7%	4.1%	0.42×	58.31
3-1	3.6%	1.7%	4.3%	0.40×	58.30
3-2	2.7%	1.7%	2.2%	0.77×	58.30
3-3	1.3%	1.7%	1.2%	1.41×	58.31
3-4	0.5%	1.7%	0.4%	4.22×	58.32
4-0	0.8%	1.7%	2.4%	0.70×	58.31
4-1	1.2%	1.7%	1.4%	1.21×	58.31
4-2	0.9%	1.7%	0.8%	2.11×	58.31
4-3	0.4%	1.7%	0.4%	4.22×	58.32
4-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.2%	8.44×	58.32
Any other score	3.1%	1.7%	4.1%	0.42×	58.30
0-3	3.2%	1.7%	2.4%	0.70×	58.30
0-4	1.2%	1.7%	0.4%	4.22×	58.31

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lokomotiv Moscow (2nd half DNB)	55.6%	59.4%	—	—	1.69
Akhmat Grozny (2nd half DNB)	44.4%	40.6%	—	—	2.46

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lokomotiv Moscow leading at HT (DNB)	51.0%	54.7%	—	—	1.83
Akhmat Grozny leading at HT (DNB)	49.0%	45.3%	—	—	2.21

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akhmat Grozny or Lokomotiv Moscow (12)	72.5%	72.1%	72.0%	1.00×	1.39
Lokomotiv Moscow or draw (X2)	67.1%	69.6%	55.9%	1.25×	1.44
Akhmat Grozny or draw (1X)	60.5%	63.6%	72.0%	0.88×	1.57

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lokomotiv Moscow or draw at HT	72.0%	75.1%	—	—	1.33
Akhmat Grozny or draw at HT	70.8%	75.0%	—	—	1.33
Akhmat Grozny or Lokomotiv Moscow at HT	57.2%	57.1%	—	—	1.75

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lokomotiv Moscow or draw (1UP)	67.1%	76.2%	—	—	1.31
Akhmat Grozny or draw (1UP)	60.5%	71.5%	—	—	1.40

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lokomotiv Moscow or draw in 2nd half	71.2%	74.2%	—	—	1.35
Akhmat Grozny or Lokomotiv Moscow in 2nd half	64.8%	63.9%	—	—	1.56
Akhmat Grozny or draw in 2nd half	64.0%	63.9%	—	—	1.56

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	61.6%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
Neither half drawn	38.4%	38.6%	—	—	2.59

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lokomotiv Moscow (DNB)	54.6%	51.0%	38.9%	1.31×	1.96
Akhmat Grozny (DNB)	45.4%	49.0%	61.1%	0.80×	2.04

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lokomotiv Moscow to score first	48.9%	46.1%	—	—	2.17
Akhmat Grozny to score first	44.1%	41.8%	—	—	2.39
No goal scored	7.1%	7.4%	—	—	13.43

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	58.8%	55.0%	52.8%	1.04×	1.82
Not both teams to score	41.2%	45.0%	47.2%	0.95×	2.22

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	45.8%	44.3%	38.0%	1.17×	2.26
Not both score & under 2.5	32.8%	34.5%	37.0%	0.93×	2.90
Both score & under 2.5	13.0%	12.4%	15.0%	0.82×	8.09
Not both score & over 2.5	8.4%	8.3%	10.4%	0.80×	12.06

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	82.8%	82.6%	86.8%	0.95×	1.21
Both teams to score 2+	17.2%	17.4%	13.2%	1.32×	5.75

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	67.8%	67.3%	—	—	1.49
Both teams to score in 2nd half	32.2%	32.7%	—	—	3.06

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	54.0%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Both score 2nd half only	25.9%	27.4%	—	—	3.66
Both score 1st half only	13.7%	10.7%	—	—	9.34
Both score in both halves	6.3%	6.8%	—	—	14.75

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	79.9%	81.3%	—	—	1.23
Both teams to score by HT	20.1%	18.7%	—	—	5.35

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	56.8%	57.3%	—	—	1.74
A half without a goal	43.2%	42.7%	—	—	2.34

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	47.1%	47.2%	48.0%	0.98×	2.12
4-6 goals	29.2%	26.6%	25.4%	1.05×	3.76
0-1 goals	21.0%	22.9%	25.4%	0.90×	4.37
7+ goals	2.6%	1.8%	1.6%	1.13×	54.24

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lokomotiv Moscow to score exactly 1	33.5%	33.8%	37.8%	0.90×	2.96
Lokomotiv Moscow to score exactly 2	25.1%	27.4%	18.9%	1.45×	3.66
Lokomotiv Moscow to score exactly 0	22.4%	22.3%	32.5%	0.69×	4.49
Lokomotiv Moscow to score 3+	19.0%	19.6%	11.2%	1.75×	5.11

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akhmat Grozny to score exactly 1	35.0%	32.6%	35.2%	0.93×	3.07
Akhmat Grozny to score exactly 0	25.9%	26.5%	22.0%	1.21×	3.77
Akhmat Grozny to score exactly 2	23.6%	23.3%	24.6%	0.95×	4.29
Akhmat Grozny to score 3+	15.5%	18.8%	18.7%	1.00×	5.33

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	42.8%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Lokomotiv Moscow leading at HT	29.2%	25.0%	—	—	4.01
Akhmat Grozny leading at HT	28.0%	24.9%	—	—	4.01

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lokomotiv Moscow -1: 1	60.5%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
Lokomotiv Moscow -1: 2	19.9%	17.5%	—	—	5.70
Lokomotiv Moscow -1: X	19.7%	17.5%	—	—	5.70

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lokomotiv Moscow (0:1)	67.1%	65.2%	55.9%	1.17×	1.53
Draw (0:1)	17.6%	17.8%	21.7%	0.82×	5.61
Akhmat Grozny (0:1)	15.3%	17.8%	22.6%	0.79×	5.62

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lokomotiv Moscow (0:2)	84.7%	83.0%	77.4%	1.07×	1.21
Draw (0:2)	9.9%	7.7%	12.4%	0.62×	13.02
Akhmat Grozny (0:2)	5.4%	7.7%	10.4%	0.74×	13.06

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lokomotiv Moscow (0:3)	94.6%	92.7%	89.6%	1.03×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	3.9%	2.4%	5.9%	0.40×	42.02
Akhmat Grozny (0:3)	1.6%	2.4%	4.7%	0.51×	42.12

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lokomotiv Moscow (0:4)	98.4%	98.1%	95.3%	1.03×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	1.2%	1.2%	3.7%	0.33×	81.97
Akhmat Grozny (0:4)	0.4%	1.2%	1.2%	1.00×	82.06

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akhmat Grozny (1:0)	60.5%	65.3%	72.0%	0.91×	1.53
Lokomotiv Moscow (1:0)	19.9%	17.1%	11.4%	1.50×	5.84
Draw (1:0)	19.7%	17.1%	16.9%	1.01×	5.84

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akhmat Grozny (2:0)	80.1%	84.6%	88.6%	0.95×	1.18
Draw (2:0)	12.2%	10.3%	7.3%	1.41×	9.72
Lokomotiv Moscow (2:0)	7.7%	6.4%	4.3%	1.49×	15.68

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	47.7%	48.8%	—	—	2.05
1st half highest scoring	26.2%	26.2%	—	—	3.82
Halves equal	26.1%	26.2%	—	—	3.82

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akhmat Grozny to concede	77.6%	76.1%	67.5%	1.13×	1.31
Akhmat Grozny clean sheet	22.4%	23.9%	32.5%	0.74×	4.18

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akhmat Grozny clean sheet in 1st half	54.9%	55.6%	—	—	1.80
Akhmat Grozny to concede in 1st half	45.1%	44.4%	—	—	2.25

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akhmat Grozny to concede in 2nd half	59.3%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
Akhmat Grozny clean sheet in 2nd half	40.7%	45.0%	—	—	2.22

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akhmat Grozny over 2.5 corners	80.6%	80.9%	—	—	1.24
Akhmat Grozny under 6.5 corners	78.0%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Akhmat Grozny under 5.5 corners	66.2%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Akhmat Grozny over 3.5 corners	65.2%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Akhmat Grozny under 4.5 corners	51.3%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Akhmat Grozny over 4.5 corners	48.7%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Akhmat Grozny under 3.5 corners	34.8%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Akhmat Grozny over 5.5 corners	33.8%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Akhmat Grozny over 6.5 corners	22.0%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Akhmat Grozny under 2.5 corners	19.4%	19.1%	—	—	5.25

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akhmat Grozny under 3.5 goals	95.2%	96.4%	92.7%	1.04×	1.04
Akhmat Grozny under 2.5 goals	84.5%	82.2%	81.3%	1.01×	1.22
Akhmat Grozny over 0.5 goals	74.1%	74.3%	78.0%	0.95×	1.35
Akhmat Grozny under 1.5 goals	60.9%	63.6%	56.9%	1.12×	1.57
Akhmat Grozny over 1.5 goals	39.1%	36.4%	43.1%	0.85×	2.75
Akhmat Grozny under 0.5 goals	25.9%	25.7%	22.0%	1.17×	3.88
Akhmat Grozny over 2.5 goals	15.5%	17.8%	18.7%	0.95×	5.62
Akhmat Grozny over 3.5 goals	4.8%	3.6%	7.3%	0.50×	27.44

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akhmat Grozny under 1.5 in 1st half	88.4%	90.2%	—	—	1.11
Akhmat Grozny under 0.5 in 1st half	56.0%	56.6%	—	—	1.77
Akhmat Grozny over 0.5 in 1st half	44.0%	43.4%	—	—	2.31
Akhmat Grozny over 1.5 in 1st half	11.6%	9.8%	—	—	10.25

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akhmat Grozny scores equally in both	38.9%	37.9%	—	—	2.64
Akhmat Grozny scores more in 2nd half	36.3%	37.9%	—	—	2.64
Akhmat Grozny scores more in 1st half	24.8%	21.3%	—	—	4.70

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lokomotiv Moscow (home no bet)	59.0%	56.5%	50.0%	1.13×	1.77
Draw (home no bet)	41.0%	43.5%	50.0%	0.87×	2.30

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akhmat Grozny even goals	53.4%	50.7%	50.6%	1.00×	1.97
Akhmat Grozny odd goals	46.6%	49.3%	49.4%	1.00×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	31.0%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
HT 0-1	18.2%	18.6%	—	—	5.38
HT 1-0	17.6%	18.6%	—	—	5.38
HT 1-1	10.9%	11.0%	—	—	9.09
HT 0-2	5.5%	6.9%	—	—	14.51
HT 2-0	5.2%	6.9%	—	—	14.52
Any other HT score	4.4%	2.4%	—	—	41.99
HT 1-2	3.2%	2.4%	—	—	42.07
HT 2-1	3.1%	2.4%	—	—	42.08
HT 2-2	0.9%	2.4%	—	—	42.22

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lokomotiv Moscow at HT / Lokomotiv Moscow at FT	21.9%	21.8%	—	—	4.59
Akhmat Grozny at HT / Akhmat Grozny at FT	19.2%	16.7%	—	—	5.97
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	16.5%	16.7%	—	—	5.99
Draw at HT / Lokomotiv Moscow at FT	14.7%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Draw at HT / Akhmat Grozny at FT	11.7%	12.6%	—	—	7.91
Akhmat Grozny at HT / Draw at FT	5.9%	6.0%	—	—	16.66
Lokomotiv Moscow at HT / Draw at FT	5.1%	6.0%	—	—	16.68
Akhmat Grozny at HT / Lokomotiv Moscow at FT	2.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.66
Lokomotiv Moscow at HT / Akhmat Grozny at FT	2.1%	3.5%	—	—	28.69

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lokomotiv Moscow to score last	48.9%	46.6%	—	—	2.15
Akhmat Grozny to score last	44.0%	40.1%	—	—	2.49
No goal scored	7.1%	7.4%	—	—	13.43

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	92.9%	92.7%	—	—	1.08
Lokomotiv Moscow to lead by 1 at any time	57.2%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Akhmat Grozny to lead by 1 at any time	51.5%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	47.8%	44.6%	—	—	2.24
Lokomotiv Moscow to lead by 2 at any time	26.5%	25.5%	—	—	3.92
Akhmat Grozny to lead by 2 at any time	21.6%	19.6%	—	—	5.09
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	17.1%	14.9%	—	—	6.69
Lokomotiv Moscow to lead by 3 at any time	9.8%	6.8%	—	—	14.80
Akhmat Grozny to lead by 3 at any time	7.2%	6.7%	—	—	14.92

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akhmat Grozny most corners	50.4%	51.7%	—	—	1.94
Lokomotiv Moscow most corners	37.6%	39.3%	—	—	2.54
Corners level	12.0%	10.4%	—	—	9.58

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	86.0%	87.4%	87.6%	1.00×	1.14
1-4 goals	77.0%	78.7%	79.7%	0.99×	1.27
2-6 goals	76.3%	78.7%	73.2%	1.08×	1.27
2-5 goals	72.0%	72.4%	69.5%	1.04×	1.38
2-4 goals	63.0%	63.3%	61.6%	1.03×	1.58
1-3 goals	61.1%	63.3%	66.1%	0.96×	1.58
3-6 goals	51.5%	53.2%	46.7%	1.14×	1.88
2-3 goals	47.1%	48.5%	48.0%	1.01×	2.06
3-5 goals	47.2%	48.5%	43.1%	1.12×	2.06
1-2 goals	38.8%	39.2%	44.7%	0.88×	2.55
3-4 goals	38.2%	39.2%	35.2%	1.11×	2.55
4-6 goals	29.2%	30.2%	25.4%	1.19×	3.31
4-5 goals	24.9%	24.5%	21.7%	1.13×	4.08
5-6 goals	13.3%	14.8%	11.8%	1.26×	6.75
7+ goals	2.6%	2.6%	1.6%	1.57×	39.11

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lokomotiv Moscow never behind	41.4%	48.4%	—	—	2.06
Akhmat Grozny never behind	35.8%	43.9%	—	—	2.28

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	47.3%	50.9%	48.8%	1.04×	1.96
Even number of goals	52.7%	49.1%	51.2%	0.96×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	55.2%	57.6%	—	—	1.74
Odd goals in 1st half	44.8%	42.4%	—	—	2.36

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.7%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half	47.3%	48.1%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	93.1%	92.3%	94.7%	0.97×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	92.9%	92.3%	92.7%	1.00×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	84.0%	82.3%	86.8%	0.95×	1.22
Over 1.5 goals	79.0%	77.3%	74.6%	1.04×	1.29
Under 3.5 goals	68.2%	66.3%	73.2%	0.91×	1.51
Over 2.5 goals	54.2%	52.5%	48.2%	1.09×	1.90
Under 2.5 goals	45.8%	47.5%	51.8%	0.92×	2.11
Over 3.5 goals	31.8%	33.7%	26.8%	1.26×	2.97
Under 1.5 goals	21.0%	22.7%	25.4%	0.89×	4.41
Over 4.5 goals	16.0%	17.7%	13.2%	1.34×	5.65
Over 5.5 goals	6.9%	7.7%	5.3%	1.46×	12.94
Under 0.5 goals	7.1%	7.7%	7.3%	1.06×	12.94

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	97.3%	97.2%	98.3%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	92.4%	92.4%	94.3%	0.98×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	81.0%	81.1%	84.7%	0.96×	1.23
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	72.0%	72.4%	65.5%	1.11×	1.38
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	59.0%	55.8%	65.9%	0.85×	1.79
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	41.0%	44.2%	34.1%	1.30×	2.26
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	28.0%	27.6%	34.5%	0.80×	3.62
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	19.0%	18.9%	15.3%	1.24×	5.28
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	7.6%	7.6%	5.7%	1.32×	13.15
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	2.7%	2.8%	1.7%	1.67×	35.58

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	88.4%	89.2%	—	—	1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half	69.0%	68.5%	—	—	1.46
Under 1.5 in 1st half	66.8%	68.4%	—	—	1.46
Over 1.5 in 1st half	33.2%	31.6%	—	—	3.17
Under 0.5 in 1st half	31.0%	31.5%	—	—	3.17
Over 2.5 in 1st half	11.6%	10.8%	—	—	9.27

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	80.7%	83.1%	—	—	1.20
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	76.6%	79.3%	—	—	1.26
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	50.1%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	49.9%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	23.4%	20.7%	—	—	4.84
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	19.3%	16.9%	—	—	5.93

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akhmat Grozny not to score in both halves	76.4%	78.4%	—	—	1.28
Lokomotiv Moscow not to score in both halves	73.3%	73.9%	—	—	1.35
Lokomotiv Moscow to score in both halves	26.7%	26.1%	—	—	3.84
Akhmat Grozny to score in both halves	23.6%	21.6%	—	—	4.62

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	58.8%	58.7%	52.8%	1.11×	1.71
Only Lokomotiv Moscow scores	18.8%	16.0%	14.8%	1.08×	6.24
Only Akhmat Grozny scores	15.3%	16.0%	25.4%	0.63×	6.25
Neither team scores	7.1%	7.1%	7.3%	0.97×	14.04

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	24.8%	22.6%	26.6%	0.85×	4.43
Exactly 3 goals	22.3%	22.6%	21.5%	1.05×	4.43
Exactly 4 goals	15.9%	17.5%	13.8%	1.26×	5.73
Exactly 1 goals	14.0%	12.1%	18.3%	0.66×	8.24
Exactly 5 goals	9.0%	7.6%	8.1%	0.94×	13.13
Exactly 0 goals	7.1%	7.6%	7.3%	1.04×	13.14
6 or more goals	6.9%	7.6%	5.3%	1.44×	13.14

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	35.8%	37.4%	—	—	2.68
No goals in 1st half	31.0%	35.8%	—	—	2.79
2 goals in 1st half	21.6%	21.5%	—	—	4.65
3+ goals in 1st half	11.6%	10.7%	—	—	9.35

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	50.1%	51.2%	—	—	1.95
1 goal in 2nd half	30.6%	33.8%	—	—	2.96
No goals in 2nd half	19.3%	16.5%	—	—	6.05

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akhmat Grozny not to win both halves	91.8%	94.1%	—	—	1.06
Lokomotiv Moscow not to win both halves	89.3%	87.9%	—	—	1.14
Lokomotiv Moscow to win both halves	10.7%	12.1%	—	—	8.29
Akhmat Grozny to win both halves	8.2%	5.9%	—	—	16.93

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lokomotiv Moscow to win either half	54.5%	54.4%	—	—	1.84
Akhmat Grozny to win neither half	51.5%	54.3%	—	—	1.84
Akhmat Grozny to win either half	48.5%	45.7%	—	—	2.19
Lokomotiv Moscow to win neither half	45.5%	45.6%	—	—	2.19

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akhmat Grozny not to win to nil	84.7%	83.1%	74.6%	1.11×	1.20
Lokomotiv Moscow not to win to nil	81.2%	83.1%	85.2%	0.98×	1.20
Lokomotiv Moscow to win to nil	18.8%	16.9%	14.8%	1.14×	5.92
Akhmat Grozny to win to nil	15.3%	16.9%	25.4%	0.66×	5.92

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	27.5%	27.9%	28.0%	0.99×	3.59
Lokomotiv Moscow by 1	19.7%	17.1%	16.9%	1.01×	5.86
Akhmat Grozny by 1	17.6%	17.1%	21.7%	0.78×	5.87
Lokomotiv Moscow by 2	12.2%	11.8%	7.3%	1.61×	8.51
Akhmat Grozny by 2	9.9%	7.2%	12.4%	0.58×	13.90
Lokomotiv Moscow by 3+	7.7%	7.2%	4.3%	1.68×	13.91
Akhmat Grozny by 3+	5.4%	7.2%	10.4%	0.69×	13.92