Akron Tolyatti v Fakel Voronezh — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 21 November 2026 · RUS-Premier League · 2627

RUS-Premier League results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Akron Tolyatti

12:15 UTC

Fakel Voronezh

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 24 Oct, 10:57 · 673h before kick-off

Akron Tolyatti win

48.2%

model 46.1%

Draw

29.2%

model 30.5%

Fakel Voronezh win

22.6%

model 23.3%

482923

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (522 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 14.2%
1-0 12.9%
0-0 11.9%
2-0 9.7%
2-1 8.7%

Goals

Over 2.5	39.1%	Under 2.5	60.9%
BTTS yes	45.3%	BTTS no	54.7%
Akron Tolyatti 1+	74.3%	Akron Tolyatti 2+	39.3%
Fakel Voronezh 1+	59.1%	Fakel Voronezh 2+	22.6%

Expected goals 1.36 – 0.90. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

79/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

98%

★ Best pick

Under 3.5 goals

Over/Under · usually 73%

81.1% fair odds 1.23

moderate signal · 1833 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Fakel Voronezh not to score in both halves

Score both halves

84.3% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 827 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Nothing in the data singles out Akron Tolyatti.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Akron Tolyatti have an estimated 48.2% win probability, against 29.2% for the draw and 22.6% for Fakel Voronezh. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.36 for Akron Tolyatti and 0.90 for Fakel Voronezh.

Why Akron Tolyatti

Nothing in the data singles out Akron Tolyatti.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 29.2%. A combined 2.25 expected goals is a low-scoring profile, and low totals mean more level finishes. Draws run at 28% in this competition.

Why Fakel Voronezh can win

Nothing in the data singles out Fakel Voronezh.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Akron Tolyatti, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Fakel Voronezh, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Akron Tolyatti: 55% possession, 12.8 shots a match, 15.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Fakel Voronezh: 45% possession, 10.4 shots a match, 13.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-24 13:59 · team_stats 2026-10-24 06:04 · availability 2026-10-24 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Akron Tolyatti are the model's most likely outcome at 48.2%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 14.2%. Confidence 79/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	463123	1.36–0.90	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	463222	1.26–0.78	1-0 15%	33%	40%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akron Tolyatti to win	46.2%	47.4%	44.1%	1.07×	2.11
Draw	32.1%	30.4%	28.0%	1.08×	3.29
Fakel Voronezh to win	21.7%	24.4%	28.0%	0.87×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akron Tolyatti & not both score	31.4%	29.6%	25.4%	1.17×	3.38
Draw & both teams score	17.7%	18.0%	20.9%	0.86×	5.56
Akron Tolyatti & both teams score	14.9%	13.3%	18.9%	0.70×	7.53
Draw & not both score	14.4%	13.3%	7.3%	1.81×	7.53
Fakel Voronezh & not both score	14.0%	13.3%	14.8%	0.89×	7.53
Fakel Voronezh & both teams score	7.7%	8.3%	13.4%	0.62×	12.01

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akron Tolyatti & under 3.5	37.6%	34.9%	30.9%	1.13×	2.87
Akron Tolyatti & over 1.5	31.3%	30.8%	33.5%	0.92×	3.25
Draw & under 2.5	28.5%	26.1%	22.2%	1.18×	3.84
Draw & under 3.5	28.5%	26.1%	22.2%	1.18×	3.84
Akron Tolyatti & under 2.5	25.3%	26.1%	18.3%	1.42×	3.84
Akron Tolyatti & over 2.5	21.0%	21.6%	26.0%	0.83×	4.63
Fakel Voronezh & under 3.5	18.8%	18.0%	20.5%	0.88×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	17.7%	18.0%	20.9%	0.86×	5.56
Akron Tolyatti & under 1.5	15.0%	12.8%	10.8%	1.19×	7.79
Draw & under 1.5	14.4%	12.8%	7.3%	1.75×	7.79
Fakel Voronezh & over 1.5	12.9%	12.8%	20.5%	0.63×	7.79
Fakel Voronezh & under 2.5	12.7%	12.8%	11.8%	1.09×	7.79
Akron Tolyatti & over 3.5	8.6%	7.9%	13.4%	0.59×	12.63
Fakel Voronezh & under 1.5	8.8%	7.9%	7.7%	1.03×	12.63
Fakel Voronezh & over 2.5	9.0%	7.9%	16.5%	0.48×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	3.5%	4.8%	6.1%	0.79×	20.82
Draw & over 3.5	3.5%	4.8%	6.1%	0.79×	20.82
Fakel Voronezh & over 3.5	2.9%	4.8%	7.7%	0.62×	20.82

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akron Tolyatti (1UP)	58.3%	58.1%	—	—	1.72
Fakel Voronezh (1UP)	35.9%	33.9%	—	—	2.95

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akron Tolyatti (2UP)	46.2%	50.0%	—	—	2.00
Fakel Voronezh (2UP)	21.7%	23.3%	—	—	4.29

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	42.6%	42.0%	—	—	2.38
Akron Tolyatti to win 2nd half	36.6%	36.0%	—	—	2.78
Fakel Voronezh to win 2nd half	20.8%	24.0%	—	—	4.16

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fakel Voronezh under 1.5 in 2nd half	91.9%	91.7%	—	—	1.09
Fakel Voronezh under 0.5 in 2nd half	62.6%	60.2%	—	—	1.66
Fakel Voronezh over 0.5 in 2nd half	37.5%	39.8%	—	—	2.51
Fakel Voronezh over 1.5 in 2nd half	8.1%	8.3%	—	—	12.08

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akron Tolyatti under 1.5 in 2nd half	83.8%	82.6%	—	—	1.21
Akron Tolyatti over 0.5 in 2nd half	51.2%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
Akron Tolyatti under 0.5 in 2nd half	48.8%	45.0%	—	—	2.22
Akron Tolyatti over 1.5 in 2nd half	16.2%	17.4%	—	—	5.74

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fakel Voronezh (+2.5)	92.3%	92.1%	89.6%	1.03×	1.09
Akron Tolyatti (+0.5)	78.3%	78.5%	72.0%	1.09×	1.27
Fakel Voronezh (+1.5)	78.2%	78.5%	77.4%	1.01×	1.27
Fakel Voronezh (+0.5)	53.8%	52.4%	55.9%	0.94×	1.91
Akron Tolyatti (-0.5)	46.2%	47.6%	44.1%	1.08×	2.10
Akron Tolyatti (-1.5)	21.8%	21.5%	22.6%	0.95×	4.65
Fakel Voronezh (-0.5)	21.7%	21.5%	28.0%	0.77×	4.65
Akron Tolyatti (-2.5)	7.7%	7.9%	10.4%	0.76×	12.68

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fakel Voronezh to concede	71.6%	76.7%	78.0%	0.98×	1.30
Fakel Voronezh clean sheet	28.4%	23.3%	22.0%	1.06×	4.29

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fakel Voronezh clean sheet in 1st half	58.2%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Fakel Voronezh to concede in 1st half	41.8%	42.9%	—	—	2.33

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fakel Voronezh to concede in 2nd half	51.2%	54.8%	—	—	1.82
Fakel Voronezh clean sheet in 2nd half	48.8%	45.2%	—	—	2.22

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fakel Voronezh under 6.5 corners	81.9%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Fakel Voronezh over 2.5 corners	77.2%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Fakel Voronezh under 5.5 corners	70.9%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Fakel Voronezh over 3.5 corners	60.5%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Fakel Voronezh under 4.5 corners	56.4%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Fakel Voronezh over 4.5 corners	43.6%	42.8%	—	—	2.33
Fakel Voronezh under 3.5 corners	39.5%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Fakel Voronezh over 5.5 corners	29.1%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Fakel Voronezh under 2.5 corners	22.8%	24.0%	—	—	4.17
Fakel Voronezh over 6.5 corners	18.1%	18.6%	—	—	5.38

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fakel Voronezh under 3.5 goals	99.2%	97.5%	97.0%	1.01×	1.03
Fakel Voronezh under 2.5 goals	95.5%	97.5%	88.8%	1.10×	1.03
Fakel Voronezh under 1.5 goals	81.5%	81.5%	70.1%	1.16×	1.23
Fakel Voronezh over 0.5 goals	54.3%	53.5%	67.5%	0.79×	1.87
Fakel Voronezh under 0.5 goals	45.7%	46.5%	32.5%	1.43×	2.15
Fakel Voronezh over 1.5 goals	18.5%	18.5%	29.9%	0.62×	5.39
Fakel Voronezh over 2.5 goals	4.5%	2.5%	11.2%	0.22×	39.80
Fakel Voronezh over 3.5 goals	0.8%	2.5%	3.0%	0.82×	39.99

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fakel Voronezh under 1.5 in 1st half	96.0%	96.0%	—	—	1.04
Fakel Voronezh under 0.5 in 1st half	73.1%	68.7%	—	—	1.46
Fakel Voronezh over 0.5 in 1st half	26.9%	31.3%	—	—	3.20
Fakel Voronezh over 1.5 in 1st half	4.0%	4.0%	—	—	25.02

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fakel Voronezh scores equally in both	52.7%	51.1%	—	—	1.96
Fakel Voronezh scores more in 2nd half	29.3%	26.3%	—	—	3.80
Fakel Voronezh scores more in 1st half	18.0%	17.8%	—	—	5.63

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akron Tolyatti (away no bet)	59.1%	57.4%	61.1%	0.94×	1.74
Draw (away no bet)	40.9%	42.6%	38.9%	1.10×	2.35

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fakel Voronezh even goals	60.5%	59.0%	53.3%	1.11×	1.69
Fakel Voronezh odd goals	39.5%	41.0%	46.7%	0.88×	2.44

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	93.0%	92.2%	—	—	1.08
Both halves over 1.5 goals	7.0%	7.8%	—	—	12.89

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both halves under 1.5 goals	51.9%	50.4%	—	—	1.98
Not both halves under 1.5	48.1%	49.6%	—	—	2.02

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	42.1%	38.7%	—	—	2.59
Akron Tolyatti to score 2+ in a row	30.8%	29.1%	—	—	3.43
Fakel Voronezh to score 2+ in a row	13.9%	12.1%	—	—	8.28
Either team to score 3+ in a row	12.5%	12.0%	—	—	8.30
Akron Tolyatti to score 3+ in a row	9.9%	5.6%	—	—	17.77
Fakel Voronezh to score 3+ in a row	2.7%	2.6%	—	—	39.08

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fakel Voronezh corners (+3.5)	86.4%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Akron Tolyatti corners (+3.5)	84.9%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Fakel Voronezh corners (+2.5)	78.8%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Akron Tolyatti corners (+2.5)	76.9%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Fakel Voronezh corners (+1.5)	68.9%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Akron Tolyatti corners (+1.5)	66.7%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Fakel Voronezh corners (-1.5)	33.3%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Akron Tolyatti corners (-1.5)	31.1%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Fakel Voronezh corners (-2.5)	23.1%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Akron Tolyatti corners (-2.5)	21.2%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Fakel Voronezh corners (-3.5)	15.1%	20.2%	—	—	4.95
Akron Tolyatti corners (-3.5)	13.6%	15.5%	—	—	6.44

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	51.2%	45.2%	—	—	2.21
9-11 corners	29.5%	31.2%	—	—	3.21
12+ corners	19.3%	22.6%	—	—	4.43

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	86.9%	83.1%	—	—	1.20
Under 11.5 corners	80.7%	80.7%	—	—	1.24
Under 10.5 corners	72.5%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 9.5 corners	62.6%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Over 7.5 corners	60.8%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Under 8.5 corners	51.2%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 8.5 corners	48.8%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Under 7.5 corners	39.2%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 9.5 corners	37.4%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 10.5 corners	27.5%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 11.5 corners	19.3%	19.3%	—	—	5.18
Over 12.5 corners	13.1%	16.9%	—	—	5.91

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-0	15.0%	11.5%	10.8%	1.07×	8.72
0-0	14.4%	11.5%	7.3%	1.57×	8.72
1-1	14.2%	11.5%	15.0%	0.76×	8.72
2-0	10.3%	11.5%	7.7%	1.48×	8.72
0-1	8.8%	7.4%	7.7%	0.96×	13.51
2-1	8.1%	7.4%	8.9%	0.83×	13.51
1-2	5.0%	1.7%	6.7%	0.26×	58.29
0-2	4.0%	1.7%	4.3%	0.40×	58.30
0-3	1.0%	1.7%	2.4%	0.70×	58.31
0-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.4%	4.22×	58.32
1-3	1.3%	1.7%	2.4%	0.70×	58.31
1-4	0.3%	1.7%	1.0%	1.69×	58.32
2-2	3.2%	1.7%	5.1%	0.34×	58.30
2-3	0.8%	1.7%	2.6%	0.65×	58.31
2-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.8%	2.11×	58.32
3-0	4.3%	1.7%	4.1%	0.42×	58.29
3-1	3.4%	1.7%	4.3%	0.40×	58.30
3-2	1.3%	1.7%	2.2%	0.77×	58.31
3-3	0.3%	1.7%	1.2%	1.41×	58.32
3-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.4%	4.22×	58.32
4-0	1.4%	1.7%	2.4%	0.70×	58.31
4-1	1.1%	1.7%	1.4%	1.21×	58.31
4-2	0.4%	1.7%	0.8%	2.11×	58.32
4-3	0.1%	1.7%	0.4%	4.22×	58.32
4-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.2%	8.44×	58.32
Any other score	1.1%	1.7%	4.1%	0.42×	58.31

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akron Tolyatti (2nd half DNB)	63.8%	63.0%	—	—	1.59
Fakel Voronezh (2nd half DNB)	36.2%	37.0%	—	—	2.71

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akron Tolyatti leading at HT (DNB)	66.3%	73.8%	—	—	1.35
Fakel Voronezh leading at HT (DNB)	33.7%	26.2%	—	—	3.82

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akron Tolyatti or draw (1X)	78.3%	75.6%	72.0%	1.05×	1.32
Akron Tolyatti or Fakel Voronezh (12)	67.9%	69.6%	72.0%	0.97×	1.44
Fakel Voronezh or draw (X2)	53.8%	52.6%	55.9%	0.94×	1.90

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akron Tolyatti or draw at HT	83.3%	84.3%	—	—	1.19
Fakel Voronezh or draw at HT	67.2%	67.1%	—	—	1.49
Akron Tolyatti or Fakel Voronezh at HT	49.5%	52.7%	—	—	1.90

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akron Tolyatti or draw (1UP)	78.3%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
Fakel Voronezh or draw (1UP)	53.8%	58.8%	—	—	1.70

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akron Tolyatti or draw in 2nd half	79.2%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Fakel Voronezh or draw in 2nd half	63.4%	64.0%	—	—	1.56
Akron Tolyatti or Fakel Voronezh in 2nd half	57.4%	58.0%	—	—	1.73

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	70.2%	70.4%	—	—	1.42
Neither half drawn	29.8%	29.6%	—	—	3.38

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akron Tolyatti (DNB)	68.1%	67.4%	61.1%	1.10×	1.48
Fakel Voronezh (DNB)	31.9%	32.6%	38.9%	0.84×	3.07

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akron Tolyatti to score first	52.8%	53.4%	—	—	1.87
Fakel Voronezh to score first	32.8%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
No goal scored	14.4%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	59.7%	55.0%	47.2%	1.17×	1.82
Both teams to score	40.3%	45.0%	52.8%	0.85×	2.22

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	52.4%	47.3%	37.0%	1.28×	2.12
Both score & over 2.5	26.1%	33.3%	38.0%	0.88×	3.00
Both score & under 2.5	14.2%	12.4%	15.0%	0.82×	8.09
Not both score & over 2.5	7.4%	8.3%	10.4%	0.80×	12.07

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	93.4%	89.0%	86.8%	1.03×	1.12
Both teams to score 2+	6.6%	11.0%	13.2%	0.83×	9.10

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	80.3%	72.3%	—	—	1.38
Both teams to score in 2nd half	19.7%	27.7%	—	—	3.60

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	71.0%	67.2%	—	—	1.49
Both score 2nd half only	17.5%	15.0%	—	—	6.67
Both score 1st half only	9.3%	6.9%	—	—	14.60
Both score in both halves	2.2%	4.8%	—	—	20.63

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	88.5%	85.6%	—	—	1.17
Both teams to score by HT	11.5%	14.4%	—	—	6.92

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	59.4%	57.4%	—	—	1.74
A goal in each half	40.6%	42.6%	—	—	2.35

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	46.9%	47.2%	48.0%	0.98×	2.12
0-1 goals	38.1%	35.1%	25.4%	1.38×	2.85
4-6 goals	14.5%	16.9%	25.4%	0.67×	5.91
7+ goals	0.5%	1.8%	1.6%	1.13×	54.46

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fakel Voronezh to score exactly 0	45.7%	42.8%	32.5%	1.32×	2.34
Fakel Voronezh to score exactly 1	35.8%	35.9%	37.8%	0.95×	2.78
Fakel Voronezh to score exactly 2	14.0%	12.9%	18.9%	0.68×	7.75
Fakel Voronezh to score 3+	4.5%	4.6%	11.2%	0.41×	21.76

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akron Tolyatti to score exactly 1	35.7%	35.6%	35.2%	1.01×	2.81
Akron Tolyatti to score exactly 0	28.4%	26.6%	22.0%	1.21×	3.77
Akron Tolyatti to score exactly 2	22.5%	23.3%	24.6%	0.95×	4.29
Akron Tolyatti to score 3+	13.4%	14.3%	18.7%	0.77×	6.99

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	50.5%	47.3%	—	—	2.11
Akron Tolyatti leading at HT	32.8%	32.9%	—	—	3.04
Fakel Voronezh leading at HT	16.7%	15.7%	—	—	6.36

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akron Tolyatti -1: 2	53.8%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Akron Tolyatti -1: X	24.5%	23.5%	—	—	4.25
Akron Tolyatti -1: 1	21.8%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fakel Voronezh (0:1)	53.8%	51.3%	55.9%	0.92×	1.95
Draw (0:1)	24.5%	24.2%	21.7%	1.11×	4.13
Akron Tolyatti (0:1)	21.8%	24.2%	22.6%	1.07×	4.13

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fakel Voronezh (0:2)	78.2%	79.4%	77.4%	1.02×	1.26
Draw (0:2)	14.1%	11.0%	12.4%	0.89×	9.09
Akron Tolyatti (0:2)	7.7%	7.7%	10.4%	0.74×	13.04

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fakel Voronezh (0:3)	92.3%	92.7%	89.6%	1.03×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	5.5%	5.8%	5.9%	0.98×	17.24
Akron Tolyatti (0:3)	2.2%	2.4%	4.7%	0.51×	42.12

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fakel Voronezh (0:4)	97.8%	98.1%	95.3%	1.03×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	1.7%	1.2%	3.7%	0.33×	81.92
Akron Tolyatti (0:4)	0.5%	1.2%	1.2%	1.00×	82.05

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akron Tolyatti (1:0)	78.3%	78.7%	72.0%	1.09×	1.27
Draw (1:0)	14.6%	12.7%	16.9%	0.75×	7.86
Fakel Voronezh (1:0)	7.0%	6.9%	11.4%	0.61×	14.50

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akron Tolyatti (2:0)	93.0%	94.0%	88.6%	1.06×	1.06
Draw (2:0)	5.4%	6.4%	7.3%	0.87×	15.71
Fakel Voronezh (2:0)	1.6%	2.3%	4.3%	0.54×	43.73

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	42.5%	44.3%	—	—	2.26
Halves equal	32.0%	30.0%	—	—	3.34
1st half highest scoring	25.5%	26.2%	—	—	3.82

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akron Tolyatti to concede	54.3%	53.3%	67.5%	0.79×	1.88
Akron Tolyatti clean sheet	45.7%	46.7%	32.5%	1.44×	2.14

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akron Tolyatti clean sheet in 1st half	73.1%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Akron Tolyatti to concede in 1st half	26.9%	32.4%	—	—	3.08

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akron Tolyatti clean sheet in 2nd half	62.6%	59.9%	—	—	1.67
Akron Tolyatti to concede in 2nd half	37.5%	40.1%	—	—	2.49

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akron Tolyatti under 6.5 corners	83.2%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Akron Tolyatti over 2.5 corners	76.0%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Akron Tolyatti under 5.5 corners	72.5%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Akron Tolyatti over 3.5 corners	58.9%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Akron Tolyatti under 4.5 corners	58.2%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Akron Tolyatti over 4.5 corners	41.8%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Akron Tolyatti under 3.5 corners	41.1%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Akron Tolyatti over 5.5 corners	27.5%	28.2%	—	—	3.55
Akron Tolyatti under 2.5 corners	24.0%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Akron Tolyatti over 6.5 corners	16.8%	19.0%	—	—	5.25

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akron Tolyatti under 3.5 goals	96.1%	96.4%	92.7%	1.04×	1.04
Akron Tolyatti under 2.5 goals	86.6%	87.3%	81.3%	1.07×	1.15
Akron Tolyatti over 0.5 goals	71.6%	74.2%	78.0%	0.95×	1.35
Akron Tolyatti under 1.5 goals	64.1%	63.6%	56.9%	1.12×	1.57
Akron Tolyatti over 1.5 goals	35.9%	36.4%	43.1%	0.84×	2.75
Akron Tolyatti under 0.5 goals	28.4%	25.8%	22.0%	1.17×	3.88
Akron Tolyatti over 2.5 goals	13.4%	12.7%	18.7%	0.68×	7.85
Akron Tolyatti over 3.5 goals	3.9%	3.6%	7.3%	0.50×	27.49

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akron Tolyatti under 1.5 in 1st half	89.7%	90.3%	—	—	1.11
Akron Tolyatti under 0.5 in 1st half	58.2%	56.8%	—	—	1.76
Akron Tolyatti over 0.5 in 1st half	41.8%	43.2%	—	—	2.32
Akron Tolyatti over 1.5 in 1st half	10.3%	9.7%	—	—	10.36

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akron Tolyatti scores equally in both	40.5%	42.2%	—	—	2.37
Akron Tolyatti scores more in 2nd half	35.2%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Akron Tolyatti scores more in 1st half	24.2%	21.3%	—	—	4.69

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	59.6%	56.5%	50.0%	1.13×	1.77
Fakel Voronezh (home no bet)	40.4%	43.5%	50.0%	0.87×	2.30

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akron Tolyatti even goals	54.0%	50.7%	50.6%	1.00×	1.97
Akron Tolyatti odd goals	46.0%	49.3%	49.4%	1.00×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	42.8%	39.7%	—	—	2.52
HT 1-0	22.8%	24.4%	—	—	4.10
HT 0-1	13.1%	11.0%	—	—	9.11
HT 1-1	7.5%	6.9%	—	—	14.47
HT 2-0	6.2%	6.9%	—	—	14.49
HT 0-2	2.1%	2.4%	—	—	42.16
Any other HT score	2.2%	2.4%	—	—	42.15
HT 2-1	2.0%	2.4%	—	—	42.17
HT 1-2	1.1%	2.4%	—	—	42.22
HT 2-2	0.3%	2.4%	—	—	42.28

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akron Tolyatti at HT / Akron Tolyatti at FT	26.8%	27.3%	—	—	3.66
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	23.0%	21.7%	—	—	4.62
Draw at HT / Akron Tolyatti at FT	17.8%	16.7%	—	—	5.97
Fakel Voronezh at HT / Fakel Voronezh at FT	10.7%	12.6%	—	—	7.91
Draw at HT / Fakel Voronezh at FT	9.8%	6.0%	—	—	16.54
Akron Tolyatti at HT / Draw at FT	4.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.61
Fakel Voronezh at HT / Draw at FT	4.3%	3.5%	—	—	28.63
Fakel Voronezh at HT / Akron Tolyatti at FT	1.7%	3.5%	—	—	28.73
Akron Tolyatti at HT / Fakel Voronezh at FT	1.1%	3.5%	—	—	28.75

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akron Tolyatti to score last	53.0%	52.2%	—	—	1.92
Fakel Voronezh to score last	32.6%	32.6%	—	—	3.06
No goal scored	14.4%	9.8%	—	—	10.17

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	85.6%	90.9%	—	—	1.10
Akron Tolyatti to lead by 1 at any time	58.3%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Fakel Voronezh to lead by 1 at any time	35.9%	34.6%	—	—	2.89
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	35.9%	34.6%	—	—	2.89
Akron Tolyatti to lead by 2 at any time	26.0%	25.5%	—	—	3.93
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	11.0%	10.4%	—	—	9.59
Fakel Voronezh to lead by 2 at any time	10.0%	6.8%	—	—	14.80
Akron Tolyatti to lead by 3 at any time	8.9%	6.7%	—	—	14.85
Fakel Voronezh to lead by 3 at any time	2.1%	1.6%	—	—	62.61

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fakel Voronezh most corners	45.1%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
Akron Tolyatti most corners	42.6%	43.5%	—	—	2.30
Corners level	12.3%	10.4%	—	—	9.58

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	83.8%	83.4%	87.6%	0.95×	1.20
1-4 goals	80.0%	78.7%	79.7%	0.99×	1.27
1-3 goals	70.6%	72.4%	66.1%	1.10×	1.38
2-6 goals	61.4%	63.3%	73.2%	0.87×	1.58
2-5 goals	60.1%	63.3%	69.5%	0.91×	1.58
2-4 goals	56.3%	59.1%	61.6%	0.96×	1.69
1-2 goals	52.2%	53.2%	44.7%	1.19×	1.88
2-3 goals	46.9%	48.5%	48.0%	1.01×	2.06
3-6 goals	33.0%	35.2%	46.7%	0.75×	2.84
3-5 goals	31.7%	35.2%	43.1%	0.82×	2.84
3-4 goals	27.8%	30.2%	35.2%	0.86×	3.31
4-6 goals	14.5%	14.8%	25.4%	0.58×	6.75
4-5 goals	13.2%	14.8%	21.7%	0.68×	6.75
5-6 goals	5.1%	8.9%	11.8%	0.75×	11.28
7+ goals	0.5%	2.6%	1.6%	1.57×	39.20

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akron Tolyatti never behind	49.7%	56.8%	—	—	1.76
Fakel Voronezh never behind	27.3%	30.0%	—	—	3.33

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	46.4%	50.9%	48.8%	1.04×	1.97
Even number of goals	53.6%	49.1%	51.2%	0.96×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	59.5%	58.0%	—	—	1.72
Odd goals in 1st half	40.5%	42.0%	—	—	2.38

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	55.6%	58.8%	—	—	1.70
Odd goals in 2nd half	44.4%	41.2%	—	—	2.43

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	98.2%	95.4%	94.7%	1.01×	1.05
Under 4.5 goals	94.3%	92.3%	86.8%	1.06×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	85.6%	87.6%	92.7%	0.95×	1.14
Under 3.5 goals	84.9%	82.3%	73.2%	1.13×	1.22
Under 2.5 goals	66.5%	66.3%	51.8%	1.28×	1.51
Over 1.5 goals	61.9%	61.7%	74.6%	0.83×	1.62
Under 1.5 goals	38.1%	38.3%	25.4%	1.51×	2.61
Over 2.5 goals	33.5%	33.7%	48.2%	0.70×	2.97
Over 3.5 goals	15.1%	17.7%	26.8%	0.66×	5.65
Under 0.5 goals	14.4%	12.4%	7.3%	1.70×	8.06
Over 4.5 goals	5.7%	7.7%	13.2%	0.58×	12.95
Over 5.5 goals	1.8%	4.6%	5.3%	0.86×	21.89

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	99.5%	97.2%	98.3%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	98.1%	97.2%	94.3%	1.03×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	93.8%	92.4%	84.7%	1.09×	1.08
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	81.6%	81.1%	65.9%	1.23×	1.23
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	53.2%	51.9%	34.5%	1.50×	1.93
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	46.8%	48.1%	65.5%	0.73×	2.08
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	18.5%	18.9%	34.1%	0.55×	5.29
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	6.2%	7.6%	15.3%	0.50×	13.16
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	1.9%	2.8%	5.7%	0.49×	35.60
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	0.5%	2.8%	1.7%	1.66×	35.64

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	94.4%	92.8%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	78.7%	78.4%	—	—	1.28
Over 0.5 in 1st half	57.2%	63.7%	—	—	1.57
Under 0.5 in 1st half	42.8%	36.3%	—	—	2.76
Over 1.5 in 1st half	21.3%	21.6%	—	—	4.63
Over 2.5 in 1st half	5.6%	7.2%	—	—	13.90

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	88.2%	85.5%	—	—	1.17
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	69.0%	68.9%	—	—	1.45
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	66.2%	68.7%	—	—	1.46
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	33.8%	31.3%	—	—	3.20
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	31.0%	31.1%	—	—	3.21
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	11.8%	14.5%	—	—	6.91

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fakel Voronezh not to score in both halves	89.9%	85.7%	—	—	1.17
Akron Tolyatti not to score in both halves	78.6%	78.6%	—	—	1.27
Akron Tolyatti to score in both halves	21.4%	21.5%	—	—	4.66
Fakel Voronezh to score in both halves	10.1%	14.3%	—	—	7.01

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	40.3%	46.5%	52.8%	0.88×	2.15
Only Akron Tolyatti scores	31.4%	33.3%	25.4%	1.31×	3.00
Neither team scores	14.4%	11.0%	7.3%	1.51×	9.05
Only Fakel Voronezh scores	14.0%	11.0%	14.8%	0.74×	9.06

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	28.4%	24.9%	26.6%	0.93×	4.02
Exactly 1 goals	23.7%	22.6%	18.3%	1.23×	4.43
Exactly 3 goals	18.4%	17.5%	21.5%	0.81×	5.73
Exactly 0 goals	14.4%	12.1%	7.3%	1.66×	8.24
Exactly 4 goals	9.4%	7.6%	13.8%	0.55×	13.13
Exactly 5 goals	3.8%	4.5%	8.1%	0.55×	22.38
6 or more goals	1.8%	4.5%	5.3%	0.84×	22.41

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No goals in 1st half	42.8%	39.7%	—	—	2.52
1 goal in 1st half	35.9%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
2 goals in 1st half	15.8%	15.6%	—	—	6.41
3+ goals in 1st half	5.6%	7.2%	—	—	13.90

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 2nd half	35.3%	38.8%	—	—	2.58
2+ goals in 2nd half	33.8%	33.9%	—	—	2.95
No goals in 2nd half	31.0%	33.8%	—	—	2.96

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fakel Voronezh not to win both halves	96.4%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
Akron Tolyatti not to win both halves	87.8%	88.0%	—	—	1.14
Akron Tolyatti to win both halves	12.2%	12.0%	—	—	8.31
Fakel Voronezh to win both halves	3.6%	2.8%	—	—	35.33

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fakel Voronezh to win neither half	66.1%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Akron Tolyatti to win either half	57.1%	59.1%	—	—	1.69
Akron Tolyatti to win neither half	42.9%	40.9%	—	—	2.45
Fakel Voronezh to win either half	33.9%	32.4%	—	—	3.09

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fakel Voronezh not to win to nil	86.0%	88.1%	85.2%	1.03×	1.14
Akron Tolyatti not to win to nil	68.6%	69.7%	74.6%	0.93×	1.44
Akron Tolyatti to win to nil	31.4%	30.3%	25.4%	1.19×	3.30
Fakel Voronezh to win to nil	14.0%	11.9%	14.8%	0.80×	8.40

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	32.1%	27.7%	28.0%	0.99×	3.61
Akron Tolyatti by 1	24.5%	24.1%	21.7%	1.11×	4.15
Fakel Voronezh by 1	14.6%	11.8%	16.9%	0.70×	8.50
Akron Tolyatti by 2	14.1%	11.8%	12.4%	0.95×	8.50
Akron Tolyatti by 3+	7.7%	7.2%	10.4%	0.69×	13.91
Fakel Voronezh by 2	5.4%	7.2%	7.3%	0.98×	13.92
Fakel Voronezh by 3+	1.6%	2.7%	4.3%	0.64×	36.85