Akron Tolyatti v Gazovik Orenburg — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 5 December 2026 · RUS-Premier League · 2627

RUS-Premier League results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Akron Tolyatti

10:00 UTC

Gazovik Orenburg

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 24 Oct, 10:57 · 1,007h before kick-off

Akron Tolyatti win

43.2%

model 41.0%

Draw

27.4%

model 28.8%

Gazovik Orenburg win

29.4%

model 30.2%

432729

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (624 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 13.8%
1-0 9.1%
2-1 8.8%
0-0 8.7%
2-0 7.4%

Goals

Over 2.5	48.3%	Under 2.5	51.7%
BTTS yes	54.1%	BTTS no	45.9%
Akron Tolyatti 1+	75.8%	Akron Tolyatti 2+	41.5%
Gazovik Orenburg 1+	69.5%	Gazovik Orenburg 2+	33.3%

Expected goals 1.42 – 1.19. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

80/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

99%

★ Best pick

Gazovik Orenburg over 2.5 corners

Away corners O/U

81.4% fair odds 1.23

moderate signal · 10327 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Gazovik Orenburg not to win to nil

Win to nil · usually 85%

83.3% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 1180 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Nothing in the data singles out Akron Tolyatti.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Akron Tolyatti have an estimated 43.2% win probability, against 29.4% for Gazovik Orenburg and 27.4% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.42 for Akron Tolyatti and 1.19 for Gazovik Orenburg.

Why Akron Tolyatti

Nothing in the data singles out Akron Tolyatti.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 27.4%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.42 to 1.19. Draws run at 28% in this competition.

Why Gazovik Orenburg can win

Gazovik Orenburg carry the stronger rating, 1402 Elo against 1343.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Akron Tolyatti, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Gazovik Orenburg, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Akron Tolyatti: 55% possession, 12.8 shots a match, 15.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Gazovik Orenburg: 38% possession, 13.6 shots a match, 12.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-24 13:59 · team_stats 2026-10-24 06:04 · availability 2026-10-24 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Akron Tolyatti are the model's most likely outcome at 43.2%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 13.8%. Confidence 80/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	412930	1.42–1.19	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	402931	1.42–1.24	1-1 14%	50%	55%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akron Tolyatti to win	40.0%	36.4%	44.1%	0.83×	2.75
Gazovik Orenburg to win	31.4%	30.4%	28.0%	1.08×	3.29
Draw	28.6%	27.9%	28.0%	1.00×	3.58

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akron Tolyatti & not both score	20.7%	21.8%	25.4%	0.86×	4.59
Draw & both teams score	20.3%	21.8%	20.9%	1.04×	4.59
Akron Tolyatti & both teams score	19.3%	18.0%	18.9%	0.95×	5.56
Gazovik Orenburg & both teams score	15.6%	18.0%	13.4%	1.34×	5.57
Gazovik Orenburg & not both score	15.8%	18.0%	14.8%	1.21×	5.57
Draw & not both score	8.3%	8.3%	7.3%	1.14×	12.01

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akron Tolyatti & over 1.5	31.4%	30.7%	33.5%	0.92×	3.25
Akron Tolyatti & under 3.5	27.8%	26.1%	30.9%	0.84×	3.84
Akron Tolyatti & over 2.5	24.3%	21.6%	26.0%	0.83×	4.63
Gazovik Orenburg & over 1.5	24.1%	21.6%	20.5%	1.05×	4.63
Draw & under 2.5	22.0%	21.6%	22.2%	0.98×	4.63
Draw & under 3.5	22.0%	21.6%	22.2%	0.98×	4.63
Gazovik Orenburg & under 3.5	22.5%	21.6%	20.5%	1.05×	4.63
Draw & over 1.5	20.3%	21.6%	20.9%	1.03×	4.63
Gazovik Orenburg & over 2.5	18.7%	18.0%	16.5%	1.09×	5.56
Akron Tolyatti & under 2.5	15.7%	18.0%	18.3%	0.98×	5.56
Gazovik Orenburg & under 2.5	12.7%	12.8%	11.8%	1.09×	7.79
Akron Tolyatti & over 3.5	12.2%	12.8%	13.4%	0.96×	7.79
Akron Tolyatti & under 1.5	8.6%	7.9%	10.8%	0.74×	12.63
Gazovik Orenburg & over 3.5	8.9%	7.9%	7.7%	1.03×	12.63
Draw & under 1.5	8.3%	7.9%	7.3%	1.08×	12.63
Gazovik Orenburg & under 1.5	7.3%	7.9%	7.7%	1.03×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	6.6%	7.9%	6.1%	1.30×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	6.6%	7.9%	6.1%	1.30×	12.63

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akron Tolyatti (1UP)	56.6%	58.1%	—	—	1.72
Gazovik Orenburg (1UP)	49.2%	44.0%	—	—	2.27

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akron Tolyatti (2UP)	40.0%	37.6%	—	—	2.66
Gazovik Orenburg (2UP)	31.4%	30.3%	—	—	3.30

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	36.9%	36.2%	—	—	2.76
Akron Tolyatti to win 2nd half	33.5%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Gazovik Orenburg to win 2nd half	29.6%	26.1%	—	—	3.83

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gazovik Orenburg under 1.5 in 2nd half	82.9%	84.3%	—	—	1.19
Gazovik Orenburg over 0.5 in 2nd half	52.4%	52.7%	—	—	1.90
Gazovik Orenburg under 0.5 in 2nd half	47.6%	47.3%	—	—	2.11
Gazovik Orenburg over 1.5 in 2nd half	17.1%	15.7%	—	—	6.36

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akron Tolyatti under 1.5 in 2nd half	80.5%	82.6%	—	—	1.21
Akron Tolyatti over 0.5 in 2nd half	55.5%	58.2%	—	—	1.72
Akron Tolyatti under 0.5 in 2nd half	44.5%	41.8%	—	—	2.39
Akron Tolyatti over 1.5 in 2nd half	19.5%	17.4%	—	—	5.73

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gazovik Orenburg (+2.5)	92.6%	92.1%	89.6%	1.03×	1.09
Gazovik Orenburg (+1.5)	80.4%	82.5%	77.4%	1.07×	1.21
Akron Tolyatti (+0.5)	68.6%	68.7%	72.0%	0.95×	1.46
Gazovik Orenburg (+0.5)	60.0%	62.9%	55.9%	1.13×	1.59
Akron Tolyatti (-0.5)	40.0%	37.1%	44.1%	0.84×	2.70
Gazovik Orenburg (-0.5)	31.4%	31.3%	28.0%	1.12×	3.19
Akron Tolyatti (-1.5)	19.6%	17.5%	22.6%	0.77×	5.73
Akron Tolyatti (-2.5)	7.4%	7.9%	10.4%	0.76×	12.69

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gazovik Orenburg to concede	75.9%	78.8%	78.0%	1.01×	1.27
Gazovik Orenburg clean sheet	24.1%	21.2%	22.0%	0.97×	4.71

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gazovik Orenburg clean sheet in 1st half	54.3%	50.6%	—	—	1.98
Gazovik Orenburg to concede in 1st half	45.7%	49.4%	—	—	2.03

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gazovik Orenburg to concede in 2nd half	55.5%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Gazovik Orenburg clean sheet in 2nd half	44.5%	42.5%	—	—	2.35

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gazovik Orenburg over 2.5 corners	81.9%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Gazovik Orenburg under 6.5 corners	76.3%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Gazovik Orenburg over 3.5 corners	67.1%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Gazovik Orenburg under 5.5 corners	64.1%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Gazovik Orenburg over 4.5 corners	50.9%	53.1%	—	—	1.89
Gazovik Orenburg under 4.5 corners	49.1%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Gazovik Orenburg over 5.5 corners	35.9%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Gazovik Orenburg under 3.5 corners	32.9%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Gazovik Orenburg over 6.5 corners	23.7%	24.0%	—	—	4.18
Gazovik Orenburg under 2.5 corners	18.1%	18.6%	—	—	5.37

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gazovik Orenburg under 3.5 goals	96.3%	97.5%	97.0%	1.01×	1.03
Gazovik Orenburg under 2.5 goals	87.1%	87.8%	88.8%	0.99×	1.14
Gazovik Orenburg over 0.5 goals	71.0%	71.8%	67.5%	1.06×	1.39
Gazovik Orenburg under 1.5 goals	64.9%	63.2%	70.1%	0.90×	1.58
Gazovik Orenburg over 1.5 goals	35.1%	36.8%	29.9%	1.23×	2.72
Gazovik Orenburg under 0.5 goals	29.0%	28.2%	32.5%	0.87×	3.55
Gazovik Orenburg over 2.5 goals	12.9%	12.2%	11.2%	1.09×	8.20
Gazovik Orenburg over 3.5 goals	3.7%	2.5%	3.0%	0.82×	39.87

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gazovik Orenburg under 1.5 in 1st half	91.1%	93.8%	—	—	1.07
Gazovik Orenburg under 0.5 in 1st half	61.0%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Gazovik Orenburg over 0.5 in 1st half	39.0%	36.7%	—	—	2.72
Gazovik Orenburg over 1.5 in 1st half	8.9%	6.2%	—	—	16.01

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gazovik Orenburg scores equally in both	40.7%	43.4%	—	—	2.30
Gazovik Orenburg scores more in 2nd half	37.4%	37.5%	—	—	2.67
Gazovik Orenburg scores more in 1st half	21.9%	21.8%	—	—	4.59

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akron Tolyatti (away no bet)	58.3%	57.4%	61.1%	0.94×	1.74
Draw (away no bet)	41.7%	42.6%	38.9%	1.10×	2.35

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gazovik Orenburg even goals	54.2%	52.6%	53.3%	0.99×	1.90
Gazovik Orenburg odd goals	45.8%	47.4%	46.7%	1.01×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	86.1%	87.8%	—	—	1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals	13.9%	12.2%	—	—	8.19

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	63.0%	57.6%	—	—	1.74
Both halves under 1.5 goals	37.0%	42.4%	—	—	2.36

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	54.2%	51.0%	—	—	1.96
Akron Tolyatti to score 2+ in a row	33.4%	29.1%	—	—	3.44
Gazovik Orenburg to score 2+ in a row	26.8%	25.0%	—	—	4.00
Either team to score 3+ in a row	18.4%	16.2%	—	—	6.16
Akron Tolyatti to score 3+ in a row	11.0%	12.0%	—	—	8.34
Gazovik Orenburg to score 3+ in a row	7.6%	5.5%	—	—	18.06

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gazovik Orenburg corners (+3.5)	88.4%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Gazovik Orenburg corners (+2.5)	81.7%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Akron Tolyatti corners (+3.5)	80.8%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Gazovik Orenburg corners (+1.5)	72.9%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Akron Tolyatti corners (+2.5)	72.0%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Akron Tolyatti corners (+1.5)	61.4%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Gazovik Orenburg corners (-1.5)	38.6%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Gazovik Orenburg corners (-2.5)	28.0%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Akron Tolyatti corners (-1.5)	27.1%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Gazovik Orenburg corners (-3.5)	19.2%	20.2%	—	—	4.94
Akron Tolyatti corners (-2.5)	18.3%	20.2%	—	—	4.94
Akron Tolyatti corners (-3.5)	11.6%	15.5%	—	—	6.45

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	46.0%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
9-11 corners	30.6%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
12+ corners	23.4%	25.7%	—	—	3.90

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	83.6%	80.7%	—	—	1.24
Under 11.5 corners	76.6%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 10.5 corners	67.8%	67.8%	—	—	1.47
Over 7.5 corners	65.6%	67.8%	—	—	1.47
Under 9.5 corners	57.4%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 8.5 corners	54.0%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Under 8.5 corners	46.0%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Over 9.5 corners	42.6%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Under 7.5 corners	34.4%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Over 10.5 corners	32.2%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Over 11.5 corners	23.4%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
Over 12.5 corners	16.4%	19.3%	—	—	5.17

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	13.7%	11.5%	15.0%	0.76×	8.71
1-0	8.6%	7.4%	10.8%	0.69×	13.51
2-1	8.8%	7.4%	8.9%	0.83×	13.51
0-0	8.3%	7.4%	7.3%	1.01×	13.51
0-1	7.3%	7.4%	7.7%	0.96×	13.51
1-2	7.6%	7.4%	6.7%	1.10×	13.51
2-0	7.1%	7.4%	7.7%	0.96×	13.51
0-2	5.4%	7.4%	4.3%	1.73×	13.51
2-2	5.4%	7.4%	5.1%	1.46×	13.51
4-3	0.4%	1.7%	0.4%	4.22×	58.32
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.2%	8.44×	58.32
Any other score	2.4%	1.7%	4.1%	0.42×	58.31
0-3	2.2%	1.7%	2.4%	0.70×	58.31
0-4	0.7%	1.7%	0.4%	4.22×	58.32
1-3	3.1%	1.7%	2.4%	0.70×	58.30
1-4	1.0%	1.7%	1.0%	1.69×	58.31
2-3	2.2%	1.7%	2.6%	0.65×	58.31
2-4	0.7%	1.7%	0.8%	2.11×	58.32
3-0	3.4%	1.7%	4.1%	0.42×	58.30
3-1	4.2%	1.7%	4.3%	0.40×	58.30
3-2	2.6%	1.7%	2.2%	0.77×	58.30
3-3	1.1%	1.7%	1.2%	1.41×	58.31
3-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.4%	4.22×	58.32
4-0	1.2%	1.7%	2.4%	0.70×	58.31
4-1	1.5%	1.7%	1.4%	1.21×	58.31
4-2	0.9%	1.7%	0.8%	2.11×	58.31

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akron Tolyatti (2nd half DNB)	53.1%	53.6%	—	—	1.87
Gazovik Orenburg (2nd half DNB)	46.9%	46.4%	—	—	2.15

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akron Tolyatti leading at HT (DNB)	56.8%	56.2%	—	—	1.78
Gazovik Orenburg leading at HT (DNB)	43.2%	43.8%	—	—	2.29

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akron Tolyatti or Gazovik Orenburg (12)	71.4%	72.1%	72.0%	1.00×	1.39
Akron Tolyatti or draw (1X)	68.6%	69.6%	72.0%	0.97×	1.44
Gazovik Orenburg or draw (X2)	60.0%	63.6%	55.9%	1.14×	1.57

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akron Tolyatti or draw at HT	76.0%	79.4%	—	—	1.26
Gazovik Orenburg or draw at HT	68.4%	67.1%	—	—	1.49
Akron Tolyatti or Gazovik Orenburg at HT	55.7%	57.6%	—	—	1.74

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akron Tolyatti or draw (1UP)	68.6%	76.4%	—	—	1.31
Gazovik Orenburg or draw (1UP)	60.0%	71.4%	—	—	1.40

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akron Tolyatti or draw in 2nd half	70.4%	73.9%	—	—	1.35
Gazovik Orenburg or draw in 2nd half	66.5%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Akron Tolyatti or Gazovik Orenburg in 2nd half	63.1%	63.8%	—	—	1.57

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	63.4%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
Neither half drawn	36.6%	38.6%	—	—	2.59

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akron Tolyatti (DNB)	56.0%	58.1%	61.1%	0.95×	1.72
Gazovik Orenburg (DNB)	44.0%	41.9%	38.9%	1.08×	2.38

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akron Tolyatti to score first	49.0%	46.1%	—	—	2.17
Gazovik Orenburg to score first	42.6%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
No goal scored	8.3%	7.5%	—	—	13.39

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	55.2%	55.0%	52.8%	1.04×	1.82
Not both teams to score	44.8%	45.0%	47.2%	0.95×	2.22

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	41.5%	41.6%	38.0%	1.09×	2.41
Not both score & under 2.5	36.7%	38.4%	37.0%	1.04×	2.60
Both score & under 2.5	13.7%	12.4%	15.0%	0.82×	8.08
Not both score & over 2.5	8.1%	8.3%	10.4%	0.80×	12.07

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	85.4%	85.6%	86.8%	0.99×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	14.6%	14.4%	13.2%	1.09×	6.94

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	70.4%	73.6%	—	—	1.36
Both teams to score in 2nd half	29.6%	26.4%	—	—	3.78

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	57.6%	59.9%	—	—	1.67
Both score 2nd half only	24.4%	21.0%	—	—	4.76
Both score 1st half only	12.9%	10.8%	—	—	9.27
Both score in both halves	5.2%	6.8%	—	—	14.77

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	81.9%	83.1%	—	—	1.20
Both teams to score by HT	18.1%	16.9%	—	—	5.92

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	53.4%	53.0%	—	—	1.89
A half without a goal	46.6%	47.0%	—	—	2.13

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	48.0%	47.2%	48.0%	0.98×	2.12
4-6 goals	25.8%	26.6%	25.4%	1.05×	3.76
0-1 goals	24.3%	22.9%	25.4%	0.90×	4.36
7+ goals	1.9%	1.8%	1.6%	1.13×	54.34

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gazovik Orenburg to score exactly 1	35.9%	35.9%	37.8%	0.95×	2.78
Gazovik Orenburg to score exactly 0	29.0%	27.4%	32.5%	0.84×	3.65
Gazovik Orenburg to score exactly 2	22.2%	22.3%	18.9%	1.18×	4.49
Gazovik Orenburg to score 3+	12.9%	12.9%	11.2%	1.15×	7.76

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akron Tolyatti to score exactly 1	34.3%	32.6%	35.2%	0.93×	3.07
Akron Tolyatti to score exactly 2	24.4%	23.3%	24.6%	0.95×	4.29
Akron Tolyatti to score exactly 0	24.1%	23.3%	22.0%	1.06×	4.29
Akron Tolyatti to score 3+	17.2%	18.8%	18.7%	1.00×	5.33

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	44.3%	42.4%	—	—	2.36
Akron Tolyatti leading at HT	31.6%	32.9%	—	—	3.04
Gazovik Orenburg leading at HT	24.0%	20.6%	—	—	4.85

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akron Tolyatti -1: 2	60.0%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
Akron Tolyatti -1: X	20.4%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Akron Tolyatti -1: 1	19.6%	17.5%	—	—	5.70

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gazovik Orenburg (0:1)	60.0%	61.3%	55.9%	1.10×	1.63
Draw (0:1)	20.4%	24.2%	21.7%	1.11×	4.13
Akron Tolyatti (0:1)	19.6%	17.8%	22.6%	0.79×	5.60

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gazovik Orenburg (0:2)	80.4%	82.9%	77.4%	1.07×	1.21
Draw (0:2)	12.3%	11.0%	12.4%	0.89×	9.10
Akron Tolyatti (0:2)	7.4%	7.7%	10.4%	0.74×	13.05

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gazovik Orenburg (0:3)	92.6%	92.7%	89.6%	1.03×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	5.1%	5.8%	5.9%	0.98×	17.27
Akron Tolyatti (0:3)	2.3%	2.4%	4.7%	0.51×	42.13

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gazovik Orenburg (0:4)	97.7%	98.1%	95.3%	1.03×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	1.7%	1.2%	3.7%	0.33×	81.98
Akron Tolyatti (0:4)	0.6%	1.2%	1.2%	1.00×	82.11

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akron Tolyatti (1:0)	68.6%	70.2%	72.0%	0.98×	1.43
Draw (1:0)	17.5%	17.1%	16.9%	1.01×	5.85
Gazovik Orenburg (1:0)	13.9%	12.7%	11.4%	1.12×	7.87

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akron Tolyatti (2:0)	86.1%	88.5%	88.6%	1.00×	1.13
Draw (2:0)	9.3%	6.4%	7.3%	0.87×	15.65
Gazovik Orenburg (2:0)	4.6%	2.3%	4.3%	0.54×	43.60

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	46.5%	48.7%	—	—	2.05
Halves equal	27.3%	26.2%	—	—	3.82
1st half highest scoring	26.2%	26.2%	—	—	3.82

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akron Tolyatti to concede	71.0%	73.1%	67.5%	1.08×	1.37
Akron Tolyatti clean sheet	29.0%	26.9%	32.5%	0.83×	3.71

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akron Tolyatti clean sheet in 1st half	61.0%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Akron Tolyatti to concede in 1st half	39.0%	36.8%	—	—	2.72

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akron Tolyatti to concede in 2nd half	52.4%	52.8%	—	—	1.89
Akron Tolyatti clean sheet in 2nd half	47.6%	47.2%	—	—	2.12

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akron Tolyatti under 6.5 corners	83.2%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Akron Tolyatti over 2.5 corners	76.0%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Akron Tolyatti under 5.5 corners	72.5%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Akron Tolyatti over 3.5 corners	58.9%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Akron Tolyatti under 4.5 corners	58.2%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Akron Tolyatti over 4.5 corners	41.8%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Akron Tolyatti under 3.5 corners	41.1%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Akron Tolyatti over 5.5 corners	27.5%	28.1%	—	—	3.55
Akron Tolyatti under 2.5 corners	24.0%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Akron Tolyatti over 6.5 corners	16.8%	19.0%	—	—	5.25

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akron Tolyatti under 3.5 goals	94.4%	92.2%	92.7%	1.00×	1.08
Akron Tolyatti under 2.5 goals	82.8%	82.2%	81.3%	1.01×	1.22
Akron Tolyatti over 0.5 goals	75.9%	77.7%	78.0%	1.00×	1.29
Akron Tolyatti under 1.5 goals	58.4%	58.6%	56.9%	1.03×	1.71
Akron Tolyatti over 1.5 goals	41.6%	41.4%	43.1%	0.96×	2.42
Akron Tolyatti under 0.5 goals	24.1%	22.3%	22.0%	1.01×	4.49
Akron Tolyatti over 2.5 goals	17.2%	17.8%	18.7%	0.95×	5.63
Akron Tolyatti over 3.5 goals	5.6%	7.8%	7.3%	1.06×	12.88

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akron Tolyatti under 1.5 in 1st half	87.4%	90.1%	—	—	1.11
Akron Tolyatti under 0.5 in 1st half	54.3%	50.4%	—	—	1.98
Akron Tolyatti over 0.5 in 1st half	45.7%	49.6%	—	—	2.02
Akron Tolyatti over 1.5 in 1st half	12.6%	9.9%	—	—	10.15

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akron Tolyatti scores equally in both	37.6%	37.8%	—	—	2.64
Akron Tolyatti scores more in 2nd half	37.1%	37.8%	—	—	2.65
Akron Tolyatti scores more in 1st half	25.2%	27.8%	—	—	3.60

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gazovik Orenburg (home no bet)	52.3%	51.4%	50.0%	1.03×	1.95
Draw (home no bet)	47.7%	48.6%	50.0%	0.97×	2.06

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akron Tolyatti even goals	52.9%	50.7%	50.6%	1.00×	1.97
Akron Tolyatti odd goals	47.1%	49.3%	49.4%	1.00×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	33.3%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
HT 1-0	20.0%	18.5%	—	—	5.39
HT 0-1	16.1%	18.5%	—	—	5.41
HT 1-1	10.2%	11.0%	—	—	9.12
HT 2-0	6.2%	6.9%	—	—	14.48
HT 0-2	4.0%	2.4%	—	—	41.94
Any other HT score	3.8%	2.4%	—	—	41.96
HT 2-1	3.1%	2.4%	—	—	42.01
HT 1-2	2.5%	2.4%	—	—	42.05
HT 2-2	0.8%	2.4%	—	—	42.16

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akron Tolyatti at HT / Akron Tolyatti at FT	23.6%	21.7%	—	—	4.60
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	17.8%	16.8%	—	—	5.95
Gazovik Orenburg at HT / Gazovik Orenburg at FT	16.8%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Akron Tolyatti at FT	14.2%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Draw at HT / Gazovik Orenburg at FT	12.4%	12.6%	—	—	7.91
Akron Tolyatti at HT / Draw at FT	5.8%	6.1%	—	—	16.48
Gazovik Orenburg at HT / Draw at FT	5.0%	6.1%	—	—	16.50
Akron Tolyatti at HT / Gazovik Orenburg at FT	2.3%	3.5%	—	—	28.89
Gazovik Orenburg at HT / Akron Tolyatti at FT	2.2%	3.5%	—	—	28.89

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akron Tolyatti to score last	49.1%	46.6%	—	—	2.15
Gazovik Orenburg to score last	42.6%	40.1%	—	—	2.49
No goal scored	8.3%	7.5%	—	—	13.39

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	91.7%	92.6%	—	—	1.08
Akron Tolyatti to lead by 1 at any time	56.6%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Gazovik Orenburg to lead by 1 at any time	49.2%	44.4%	—	—	2.25
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	45.0%	39.3%	—	—	2.54
Akron Tolyatti to lead by 2 at any time	25.7%	25.3%	—	—	3.95
Gazovik Orenburg to lead by 2 at any time	19.5%	14.9%	—	—	6.70
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	15.4%	14.9%	—	—	6.73
Akron Tolyatti to lead by 3 at any time	9.3%	6.7%	—	—	14.88
Gazovik Orenburg to lead by 3 at any time	6.1%	6.7%	—	—	15.02

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gazovik Orenburg most corners	50.4%	51.7%	—	—	1.94
Akron Tolyatti most corners	37.8%	39.3%	—	—	2.54
Corners level	11.8%	10.4%	—	—	9.58

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	86.3%	87.4%	87.6%	1.00×	1.14
1-4 goals	78.6%	78.7%	79.7%	0.99×	1.27
2-6 goals	73.8%	72.4%	73.2%	0.99×	1.38
2-5 goals	70.4%	72.3%	69.5%	1.04×	1.38
1-3 goals	64.0%	63.3%	66.1%	0.96×	1.58
2-4 goals	62.6%	63.3%	61.6%	1.03×	1.58
2-3 goals	48.0%	48.5%	48.0%	1.01×	2.06
3-6 goals	47.7%	48.5%	46.7%	1.04×	2.06
3-5 goals	44.3%	43.6%	43.1%	1.01×	2.29
1-2 goals	42.0%	43.6%	44.7%	0.97×	2.29
3-4 goals	36.5%	39.2%	35.2%	1.11×	2.55
4-6 goals	25.8%	30.2%	25.4%	1.19×	3.31
4-5 goals	22.3%	24.5%	21.7%	1.13×	4.09
5-6 goals	11.2%	14.8%	11.8%	1.26×	6.76
7+ goals	1.9%	2.6%	1.6%	1.57×	39.17

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akron Tolyatti never behind	42.5%	48.6%	—	—	2.06
Gazovik Orenburg never behind	35.0%	44.0%	—	—	2.27

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	47.1%	50.9%	48.8%	1.04×	1.96
Even number of goals	52.9%	49.1%	51.2%	0.96×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	55.9%	57.6%	—	—	1.74
Odd goals in 1st half	44.1%	42.4%	—	—	2.36

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	53.2%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half	46.8%	48.1%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	94.7%	92.3%	94.7%	0.97×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	91.7%	92.3%	92.7%	1.00×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	86.9%	87.6%	86.8%	1.01×	1.14
Over 1.5 goals	75.7%	77.3%	74.6%	1.04×	1.29
Under 3.5 goals	72.3%	72.5%	73.2%	0.99×	1.38
Under 2.5 goals	50.4%	52.5%	51.8%	1.01×	1.90
Over 2.5 goals	49.6%	47.5%	48.2%	0.99×	2.11
Over 3.5 goals	27.7%	27.5%	26.8%	1.03×	3.63
Under 1.5 goals	24.3%	22.7%	25.4%	0.89×	4.40
Over 4.5 goals	13.1%	12.4%	13.2%	0.94×	8.06
Under 0.5 goals	8.3%	7.7%	7.3%	1.06×	12.94
Over 5.5 goals	5.3%	7.7%	5.3%	1.46×	12.96

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	98.0%	97.2%	98.3%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	94.2%	92.4%	94.3%	0.98×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	84.7%	81.1%	84.7%	0.96×	1.23
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	67.1%	67.5%	65.5%	1.03×	1.48
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	64.5%	62.0%	65.9%	0.94×	1.61
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	35.5%	38.1%	34.1%	1.12×	2.63
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	32.9%	32.5%	34.5%	0.94×	3.07
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	15.3%	18.9%	15.3%	1.24×	5.29
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	5.8%	7.6%	5.7%	1.32×	13.18
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	2.0%	2.8%	1.7%	1.66×	35.61

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	89.9%	89.1%	—	—	1.12
Under 1.5 in 1st half	69.4%	68.6%	—	—	1.46
Over 0.5 in 1st half	66.7%	68.5%	—	—	1.46
Under 0.5 in 1st half	33.3%	31.5%	—	—	3.18
Over 1.5 in 1st half	30.6%	31.4%	—	—	3.19
Over 2.5 in 1st half	10.1%	10.9%	—	—	9.17

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	79.6%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	78.4%	79.7%	—	—	1.25
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	53.6%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	46.4%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	21.6%	20.3%	—	—	4.93
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	20.4%	20.2%	—	—	4.94

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gazovik Orenburg not to score in both halves	79.6%	78.6%	—	—	1.27
Akron Tolyatti not to score in both halves	74.6%	74.0%	—	—	1.35
Akron Tolyatti to score in both halves	25.4%	26.0%	—	—	3.85
Gazovik Orenburg to score in both halves	20.4%	21.4%	—	—	4.68

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	55.2%	58.6%	52.8%	1.11×	1.71
Only Akron Tolyatti scores	20.7%	22.3%	25.4%	0.88×	4.49
Only Gazovik Orenburg scores	15.8%	16.0%	14.8%	1.08×	6.24
Neither team scores	8.3%	7.1%	7.3%	0.97×	14.02

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	26.1%	24.9%	26.6%	0.93×	4.02
Exactly 3 goals	21.9%	22.6%	21.5%	1.05×	4.43
Exactly 1 goals	15.9%	17.5%	18.3%	0.95×	5.73
Exactly 4 goals	14.6%	12.1%	13.8%	0.88×	8.25
Exactly 0 goals	8.3%	7.6%	7.3%	1.04×	13.14
Exactly 5 goals	7.8%	7.6%	8.1%	0.94×	13.14
6 or more goals	5.3%	7.6%	5.3%	1.44×	13.15

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	36.1%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
No goals in 1st half	33.3%	35.7%	—	—	2.80
2 goals in 1st half	20.5%	21.4%	—	—	4.66
3+ goals in 1st half	10.1%	10.8%	—	—	9.26

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	46.4%	44.7%	—	—	2.24
1 goal in 2nd half	32.0%	33.7%	—	—	2.97
No goals in 2nd half	21.6%	22.6%	—	—	4.42

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gazovik Orenburg not to win both halves	92.7%	94.1%	—	—	1.06
Akron Tolyatti not to win both halves	89.2%	88.0%	—	—	1.14
Akron Tolyatti to win both halves	10.8%	12.0%	—	—	8.35
Gazovik Orenburg to win both halves	7.3%	5.9%	—	—	17.07

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akron Tolyatti to win either half	54.3%	54.3%	—	—	1.84
Gazovik Orenburg to win neither half	53.7%	54.3%	—	—	1.84
Gazovik Orenburg to win either half	46.3%	45.7%	—	—	2.19
Akron Tolyatti to win neither half	45.7%	45.7%	—	—	2.19

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gazovik Orenburg not to win to nil	84.2%	83.1%	85.2%	0.98×	1.20
Akron Tolyatti not to win to nil	79.3%	78.1%	74.6%	1.05×	1.28
Akron Tolyatti to win to nil	20.7%	21.9%	25.4%	0.86×	4.57
Gazovik Orenburg to win to nil	15.8%	16.9%	14.8%	1.14×	5.92

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	28.6%	27.9%	28.0%	0.99×	3.59
Akron Tolyatti by 1	20.4%	24.1%	21.7%	1.11×	4.15
Gazovik Orenburg by 1	17.5%	17.0%	16.9%	1.01×	5.87
Akron Tolyatti by 2	12.3%	11.8%	12.4%	0.95×	8.51
Gazovik Orenburg by 2	9.3%	7.2%	7.3%	0.98×	13.90
Akron Tolyatti by 3+	7.4%	7.2%	10.4%	0.69×	13.91
Gazovik Orenburg by 3+	4.6%	2.7%	4.3%	0.64×	36.79