Aktobe-2 v Turan — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Thursday 10 September 2026 · KAZ-First League · 2627

KAZ-First League results-only Prediction generated 9 Sep 2026, 09:54 UTC

Aktobe-2

12:00 UTC

Turan

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 9 Sep, 11:32 · 24h before kick-off

Aktobe-2 win

13.2%

model 13.7%

Draw

13.2%

model 14.8%

Turan win

73.6%

model 71.4%

131374

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (960 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

0-2 9.8%
1-2 9.5%
0-1 8.9%
0-3 8.1%
1-3 7.8%

Goals

Over 2.5	66.9%	Under 2.5	33.1%
BTTS yes	55.7%	BTTS no	44.3%
Aktobe-2 1+	61.9%	Aktobe-2 2+	25.2%
Turan 1+	91.6%	Turan 2+	70.8%

Expected goals 0.97 – 2.48. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

21/100

Data quality

20/100

Model agreement

92%

★ Best pick

Draw (away no bet)

Away no bet · usually 24%

52.4% fair odds 1.91

strong signal · 3615 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Turan or draw at HT

Double chance 1HT

83.9% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 975 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Turan have created 1.35 xG a match over their last five while Aktobe-2 have allowed 1.35.
Away from home Turan average 1.35 xG a match.

Risk factors

Data quality is 20/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
Aktobe-2 have only 0 matches on record.
Turan have only 0 matches on record.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Turan have an estimated 73.6% win probability, against 13.2% for the draw and 13.2% for Aktobe-2. Expected goals from the ensemble are 0.97 for Aktobe-2 and 2.48 for Turan.

Why Aktobe-2

Aktobe-2 have created 1.35 xG a match over their last five while Turan have allowed 1.35. At home Aktobe-2 average 1.35 xG a match.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 13.2%.

Why Turan can win

Turan have created 1.35 xG a match over their last five while Aktobe-2 have allowed 1.35. Away from home Turan average 1.35 xG a match.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Aktobe-2, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Turan, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Aktobe-2: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Turan: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-09 15:30 · team_stats 2026-09-09 06:03 · availability 2026-09-09 15:32 · prediction 2026-09-09 09:54 ·

Turan are the model's most likely outcome at 73.6%. The likeliest scoreline is 0-2 at 9.8%. Confidence 21/100, data quality 20/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	141571	0.97–2.48	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	91180	0.86–2.90	0-2 10%	72%	54%
deep	432532	1.50–1.25	1-1 12%	52%	55%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aktobe-2 to win	43.0%	43.0%	47.7%	0.90×	2.33
Turan to win	31.6%	30.4%	37.6%	0.81×	3.29
Draw	25.3%	27.8%	15.2%	1.83×	3.59

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aktobe-2 & not both score	22.3%	21.8%	27.0%	0.81×	4.58
Aktobe-2 & both teams score	20.8%	21.8%	21.1%	1.04×	4.58
Draw & both teams score	18.9%	17.9%	12.7%	1.42×	5.58
Turan & both teams score	15.7%	17.9%	19.0%	0.94×	5.58
Turan & not both score	15.9%	17.9%	19.0%	0.94×	5.58
Draw & not both score	6.4%	8.4%	3.0%	2.84×	11.94

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aktobe-2 & over 1.5	33.5%	30.8%	38.8%	0.79×	3.24
Aktobe-2 & under 3.5	29.4%	26.0%	23.6%	1.10×	3.84
Aktobe-2 & over 2.5	26.3%	26.0%	35.0%	0.74×	3.84
Turan & over 1.5	23.7%	21.6%	31.2%	0.69×	4.63
Turan & under 3.5	22.6%	21.6%	24.1%	0.90×	4.63
Turan & over 2.5	18.7%	18.0%	26.2%	0.69×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	18.9%	18.0%	12.7%	1.42×	5.56
Draw & under 2.5	18.4%	18.0%	10.5%	1.70×	5.56
Draw & under 3.5	18.4%	18.0%	10.5%	1.70×	5.56
Aktobe-2 & under 2.5	16.8%	18.0%	13.1%	1.37×	5.56
Aktobe-2 & over 3.5	13.7%	12.9%	24.5%	0.53×	7.76
Turan & under 2.5	13.0%	12.9%	11.8%	1.09×	7.76
Turan & over 3.5	9.1%	7.9%	13.9%	0.57×	12.65
Aktobe-2 & under 1.5	9.6%	7.9%	9.3%	0.85×	12.65
Turan & under 1.5	8.0%	7.9%	6.8%	1.17×	12.65
Draw & over 3.5	6.9%	7.9%	5.1%	1.56×	12.65
Draw & under 1.5	6.4%	7.9%	3.0%	2.68×	12.65
Draw & over 2.5	6.9%	7.9%	5.1%	1.56×	12.65

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aktobe-2 (1UP)	59.1%	58.2%	—	—	1.72
Turan (1UP)	49.3%	43.4%	—	—	2.31

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aktobe-2 (2UP)	43.0%	47.7%	—	—	2.10
Turan (2UP)	31.6%	30.8%	—	—	3.25

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aktobe-2 to win 2nd half	35.4%	35.9%	—	—	2.79
2nd half drawn	35.2%	35.9%	—	—	2.79
Turan to win 2nd half	29.4%	26.5%	—	—	3.78

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Turan under 1.5 in 2nd half	82.7%	84.3%	—	—	1.19
Turan over 0.5 in 2nd half	52.8%	53.4%	—	—	1.87
Turan under 0.5 in 2nd half	47.2%	46.6%	—	—	2.15
Turan over 1.5 in 2nd half	17.3%	15.7%	—	—	6.35

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aktobe-2 under 1.5 in 2nd half	78.9%	75.8%	—	—	1.32
Aktobe-2 over 0.5 in 2nd half	57.5%	59.0%	—	—	1.70
Aktobe-2 under 0.5 in 2nd half	42.5%	41.0%	—	—	2.44
Aktobe-2 over 1.5 in 2nd half	21.1%	24.2%	—	—	4.13

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Turan (+2.5)	91.7%	92.1%	79.7%	1.15×	1.09
Turan (+1.5)	78.8%	78.4%	68.4%	1.15×	1.28
Aktobe-2 (+0.5)	68.4%	68.7%	62.4%	1.10×	1.46
Turan (+0.5)	57.0%	57.0%	52.3%	1.09×	1.75
Aktobe-2 (-0.5)	43.0%	43.0%	47.7%	0.90×	2.33
Turan (-0.5)	31.6%	31.3%	37.6%	0.83×	3.20
Aktobe-2 (-1.5)	21.2%	21.6%	31.6%	0.68×	4.63
Aktobe-2 (-2.5)	8.3%	7.9%	20.3%	0.39×	12.59

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Turan to concede	77.7%	78.9%	78.5%	1.01×	1.27
Turan clean sheet	22.3%	21.1%	21.5%	0.98×	4.75

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Turan to concede in 1st half	47.5%	50.7%	—	—	1.97
Turan clean sheet in 1st half	52.5%	49.3%	—	—	2.03

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Turan to concede in 2nd half	57.5%	58.6%	—	—	1.71
Turan clean sheet in 2nd half	42.5%	41.4%	—	—	2.42

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Turan under 3.5 goals	96.2%	97.5%	90.3%	1.08×	1.03
Turan under 2.5 goals	86.8%	87.9%	78.9%	1.11×	1.14
Turan over 0.5 goals	71.3%	71.9%	70.5%	1.02×	1.39
Turan under 1.5 goals	64.5%	63.1%	60.3%	1.05×	1.59
Turan over 1.5 goals	35.5%	36.9%	39.7%	0.93×	2.71
Turan under 0.5 goals	28.7%	28.1%	29.5%	0.95×	3.55
Turan over 2.5 goals	13.2%	12.1%	21.1%	0.58×	8.23
Turan over 3.5 goals	3.8%	2.5%	9.7%	0.26×	39.98

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Turan under 1.5 in 1st half	91.0%	94.1%	—	—	1.06
Turan under 0.5 in 1st half	60.7%	64.0%	—	—	1.56
Turan over 0.5 in 1st half	39.3%	36.0%	—	—	2.78
Turan over 1.5 in 1st half	9.0%	5.9%	—	—	17.01

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Turan scores equally in both	40.4%	43.7%	—	—	2.29
Turan scores more in 2nd half	37.6%	36.4%	—	—	2.74
Turan scores more in 1st half	22.0%	22.4%	—	—	4.47

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aktobe-2 (away no bet)	63.0%	62.0%	75.8%	0.82×	1.61
Draw (away no bet)	37.0%	38.0%	24.2%	1.57×	2.63

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Turan even goals	54.1%	52.8%	54.0%	0.98×	1.89
Turan odd goals	45.9%	47.2%	46.0%	1.03×	2.12

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	84.9%	83.1%	—	—	1.20
Both halves over 1.5 goals	15.1%	16.9%	—	—	5.91

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	64.3%	58.3%	—	—	1.72
Both halves under 1.5 goals	35.7%	41.7%	—	—	2.40

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	56.0%	55.1%	—	—	1.82
Aktobe-2 to score 2+ in a row	35.7%	36.4%	—	—	2.74
Turan to score 2+ in a row	26.9%	25.0%	—	—	4.00
Either team to score 3+ in a row	19.6%	16.4%	—	—	6.11
Aktobe-2 to score 3+ in a row	12.3%	12.1%	—	—	8.23
Turan to score 3+ in a row	7.6%	5.6%	—	—	17.72

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	12.0%	11.4%	8.0%	1.43×	8.74
1-0	9.6%	7.4%	9.3%	0.80×	13.50
2-1	9.0%	7.4%	5.5%	1.35×	13.50
0-1	8.0%	7.4%	6.8%	1.10×	13.50
1-2	7.5%	7.4%	8.9%	0.84×	13.50
2-0	7.2%	7.4%	4.2%	1.76×	13.50
2-2	5.6%	7.4%	3.0%	2.51×	13.50
0-0	6.4%	7.4%	3.0%	2.51×	13.50
0-2	5.0%	1.7%	5.5%	0.31×	58.29
2-3	2.3%	1.7%	2.1%	0.81×	58.31
2-4	0.7%	1.7%	1.3%	1.35×	58.32
3-0	3.6%	1.7%	5.9%	0.29×	58.30
3-1	4.5%	1.7%	7.6%	0.23×	58.29
3-2	2.8%	1.7%	1.3%	1.35×	58.30
3-3	1.2%	1.7%	2.1%	0.81×	58.31
3-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.8%	2.03×	58.32
4-0	1.3%	1.7%	5.5%	0.31×	58.31
4-1	1.7%	1.7%	3.0%	0.58×	58.31
4-2	1.1%	1.7%	0.8%	2.03×	58.31
4-3	0.4%	1.7%	1.7%	1.02×	58.32
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.4%	4.06×	58.32
Any other score	2.7%	1.7%	12.2%	0.14×	58.30
0-3	2.1%	1.7%	4.2%	0.41×	58.31
0-4	0.7%	1.7%	3.0%	0.58×	58.32
1-3	3.1%	1.7%	3.4%	0.51×	58.30
1-4	1.0%	1.7%	0.8%	2.03×	58.31

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aktobe-2 (2nd half DNB)	54.6%	53.4%	—	—	1.87
Turan (2nd half DNB)	45.4%	46.6%	—	—	2.15

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aktobe-2 leading at HT (DNB)	58.2%	58.5%	—	—	1.71
Turan leading at HT (DNB)	41.8%	41.5%	—	—	2.41

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aktobe-2 or Turan (12)	74.7%	72.2%	84.8%	0.85×	1.39
Aktobe-2 or draw (1X)	68.4%	69.6%	62.4%	1.11×	1.44
Turan or draw (X2)	57.0%	57.0%	52.3%	1.09×	1.75

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aktobe-2 or draw at HT	76.1%	79.9%	—	—	1.25
Turan or draw at HT	66.8%	66.3%	—	—	1.51
Aktobe-2 or Turan at HT	57.1%	56.9%	—	—	1.76

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aktobe-2 or draw (1UP)	68.4%	76.1%	—	—	1.32
Turan or draw (1UP)	57.0%	62.7%	—	—	1.60

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aktobe-2 or draw in 2nd half	70.6%	73.5%	—	—	1.36
Aktobe-2 or Turan in 2nd half	64.8%	64.1%	—	—	1.56
Turan or draw in 2nd half	64.6%	64.1%	—	—	1.56

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	63.0%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
Neither half drawn	37.0%	38.3%	—	—	2.61

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aktobe-2 (DNB)	57.6%	58.2%	55.9%	1.04×	1.72
Turan (DNB)	42.4%	41.8%	44.1%	0.95×	2.39

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aktobe-2 to score first	51.1%	53.8%	—	—	1.86
Turan to score first	42.5%	41.8%	—	—	2.39
No goal scored	6.4%	7.5%	—	—	13.39

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	55.4%	54.9%	51.9%	1.06×	1.82
Not both teams to score	44.6%	45.1%	48.1%	0.94×	2.22

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	43.4%	41.7%	44.3%	0.94×	2.40
Not both score & under 2.5	36.2%	38.5%	27.0%	1.42×	2.60
Both score & under 2.5	12.0%	12.3%	8.0%	1.54×	8.11
Not both score & over 2.5	8.4%	8.3%	21.5%	0.39×	11.99

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	84.3%	82.9%	86.1%	0.96×	1.21
Both teams to score 2+	15.7%	17.1%	13.9%	1.23×	5.84

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	69.7%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Both teams to score in 2nd half	30.3%	32.3%	—	—	3.10

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	56.6%	59.3%	—	—	1.69
Both score 2nd half only	24.7%	20.9%	—	—	4.78
Both score 1st half only	13.0%	10.7%	—	—	9.32
Both score in both halves	5.7%	6.7%	—	—	14.86

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	81.3%	82.4%	—	—	1.21
Both teams to score by HT	18.7%	17.6%	—	—	5.68

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	54.5%	53.5%	—	—	1.87
A half without a goal	45.5%	46.5%	—	—	2.15

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	46.3%	47.3%	39.7%	1.19×	2.12
4-6 goals	27.5%	26.6%	32.9%	0.81×	3.76
0-1 goals	24.0%	22.8%	18.1%	1.26×	4.38
7+ goals	2.2%	1.8%	10.1%	0.18×	54.66

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Turan to score exactly 1	35.8%	36.0%	31.2%	1.15×	2.78
Turan to score exactly 0	28.7%	27.4%	29.5%	0.93×	3.65
Turan to score exactly 2	22.4%	22.4%	19.0%	1.18×	4.47
Turan to score 3+	13.2%	12.8%	21.1%	0.61×	7.78

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aktobe-2 to score exactly 1	33.5%	32.6%	30.4%	1.07×	3.07
Aktobe-2 to score exactly 2	25.1%	26.5%	16.0%	1.65×	3.78
Aktobe-2 to score exactly 0	22.3%	23.2%	21.5%	1.08×	4.31
Aktobe-2 to score 3+	19.1%	18.9%	32.9%	0.57×	5.29

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	42.9%	43.1%	—	—	2.32
Aktobe-2 leading at HT	33.2%	33.7%	—	—	2.96
Turan leading at HT	23.9%	20.1%	—	—	4.98

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aktobe-2 -1: 2	57.0%	56.7%	—	—	1.77
Aktobe-2 -1: X	21.9%	23.6%	—	—	4.24
Aktobe-2 -1: 1	21.2%	23.6%	—	—	4.24

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Turan (0:1)	57.0%	55.8%	52.3%	1.07×	1.79
Draw (0:1)	21.9%	24.3%	16.5%	1.47×	4.12
Aktobe-2 (0:1)	21.2%	24.3%	31.6%	0.77×	4.12

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Turan (0:2)	78.8%	79.4%	68.4%	1.16×	1.26
Draw (0:2)	12.9%	10.9%	11.8%	0.92×	9.16
Aktobe-2 (0:2)	8.3%	7.7%	20.3%	0.38×	12.97

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Turan (0:3)	91.7%	92.6%	79.7%	1.16×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	5.6%	5.8%	9.7%	0.60×	17.31
Aktobe-2 (0:3)	2.7%	2.4%	11.0%	0.22×	42.11

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Turan (0:4)	97.3%	98.1%	89.0%	1.10×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	1.9%	1.2%	6.3%	0.19×	83.52
Aktobe-2 (0:4)	0.7%	1.2%	5.1%	0.24×	83.67

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aktobe-2 (1:0)	68.4%	70.0%	62.4%	1.12×	1.43
Draw (1:0)	18.2%	17.0%	17.3%	0.98×	5.88
Turan (1:0)	13.4%	12.8%	20.7%	0.62×	7.83

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aktobe-2 (2:0)	86.6%	88.4%	79.3%	1.11×	1.13
Draw (2:0)	8.9%	6.5%	9.7%	0.67×	15.48
Turan (2:0)	4.5%	2.3%	11.4%	0.20×	43.57

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	48.0%	48.2%	—	—	2.07
1st half highest scoring	27.2%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Halves equal	24.8%	24.1%	—	—	4.14

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aktobe-2 to concede	71.3%	73.1%	70.5%	1.04×	1.37
Aktobe-2 clean sheet	28.7%	26.9%	29.5%	0.91×	3.71

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aktobe-2 clean sheet in 1st half	60.7%	64.0%	—	—	1.56
Aktobe-2 to concede in 1st half	39.3%	36.0%	—	—	2.78

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aktobe-2 to concede in 2nd half	52.8%	53.4%	—	—	1.87
Aktobe-2 clean sheet in 2nd half	47.2%	46.6%	—	—	2.14

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aktobe-2 under 3.5 goals	93.4%	92.2%	83.1%	1.11×	1.08
Aktobe-2 under 2.5 goals	80.9%	82.1%	67.1%	1.22×	1.22
Aktobe-2 over 0.5 goals	77.7%	77.7%	78.5%	0.99×	1.29
Aktobe-2 under 1.5 goals	55.8%	58.8%	51.5%	1.14×	1.70
Aktobe-2 over 1.5 goals	44.2%	41.2%	48.5%	0.85×	2.43
Aktobe-2 under 0.5 goals	22.3%	22.3%	21.5%	1.03×	4.49
Aktobe-2 over 2.5 goals	19.1%	17.9%	32.9%	0.54×	5.58
Aktobe-2 over 3.5 goals	6.6%	7.8%	16.9%	0.46×	12.89

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aktobe-2 under 1.5 in 1st half	86.3%	89.7%	—	—	1.12
Aktobe-2 over 0.5 in 1st half	47.5%	50.9%	—	—	1.97
Aktobe-2 under 0.5 in 1st half	52.5%	49.1%	—	—	2.04
Aktobe-2 over 1.5 in 1st half	13.7%	10.3%	—	—	9.73

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aktobe-2 scores more in 2nd half	37.9%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Aktobe-2 scores equally in both	36.4%	37.6%	—	—	2.66
Aktobe-2 scores more in 1st half	25.6%	28.0%	—	—	3.57

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Turan (home no bet)	55.6%	56.6%	71.2%	0.79×	1.77
Draw (home no bet)	44.4%	43.4%	28.8%	1.51×	2.30

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aktobe-2 even goals	52.5%	50.6%	48.5%	1.04×	1.98
Aktobe-2 odd goals	47.5%	49.4%	51.5%	0.96×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	31.8%	32.2%	—	—	3.10
HT 1-0	20.5%	24.1%	—	—	4.14
HT 0-1	15.9%	18.6%	—	—	5.37
HT 1-1	10.3%	10.9%	—	—	9.18
HT 2-0	6.6%	7.1%	—	—	14.03
HT 0-2	4.0%	2.3%	—	—	43.41
Any other HT score	4.2%	2.3%	—	—	43.40
HT 2-1	3.3%	2.3%	—	—	43.46
HT 1-2	2.6%	2.3%	—	—	43.52
HT 2-2	0.8%	2.3%	—	—	43.64

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aktobe-2 at HT / Aktobe-2 at FT	25.4%	26.9%	—	—	3.72
Turan at HT / Turan at FT	16.7%	16.7%	—	—	5.97
Draw at HT / Aktobe-2 at FT	15.2%	16.7%	—	—	5.98
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	15.1%	16.7%	—	—	5.98
Draw at HT / Turan at FT	12.6%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Aktobe-2 at HT / Draw at FT	5.4%	6.0%	—	—	16.72
Turan at HT / Draw at FT	4.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.74
Aktobe-2 at HT / Turan at FT	2.3%	3.5%	—	—	28.83
Turan at HT / Aktobe-2 at FT	2.4%	3.5%	—	—	28.83

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aktobe-2 to score last	51.1%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
Turan to score last	42.5%	40.1%	—	—	2.50
No goal scored	6.4%	7.5%	—	—	13.39

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	93.6%	92.6%	—	—	1.08
Aktobe-2 to lead by 1 at any time	59.1%	55.1%	—	—	1.81
Turan to lead by 1 at any time	49.3%	44.0%	—	—	2.27
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	46.5%	43.9%	—	—	2.28
Aktobe-2 to lead by 2 at any time	27.6%	25.5%	—	—	3.92
Turan to lead by 2 at any time	19.2%	14.9%	—	—	6.71
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	16.4%	14.9%	—	—	6.73
Aktobe-2 to lead by 3 at any time	10.4%	10.4%	—	—	9.60
Turan to lead by 3 at any time	6.0%	6.6%	—	—	15.17

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	87.5%	87.4%	81.4%	1.07×	1.14
1-4 goals	79.1%	78.6%	75.1%	1.05×	1.27
2-6 goals	73.8%	72.4%	72.2%	1.00×	1.38
2-5 goals	69.9%	68.9%	66.2%	1.04×	1.45
1-3 goals	63.9%	63.4%	54.9%	1.16×	1.58
2-4 goals	61.6%	63.4%	59.9%	1.06×	1.58
3-6 goals	49.6%	48.6%	55.7%	0.87×	2.06
2-3 goals	46.3%	48.6%	39.7%	1.23×	2.06
3-5 goals	45.8%	48.6%	49.8%	0.98×	2.06
1-2 goals	41.8%	43.6%	32.1%	1.36×	2.30
3-4 goals	37.4%	39.2%	43.5%	0.90×	2.55
4-6 goals	27.5%	30.3%	32.9%	0.92×	3.30
4-5 goals	23.6%	24.5%	27.0%	0.91×	4.08
5-6 goals	12.2%	14.9%	12.7%	1.17×	6.73
7+ goals	2.2%	2.6%	10.1%	0.25×	39.14

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aktobe-2 never behind	44.3%	48.4%	—	—	2.07
Turan never behind	34.5%	35.7%	—	—	2.80

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	49.8%	50.9%	53.2%	0.96×	1.97
Even number of goals	50.2%	49.1%	46.8%	1.05×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	55.1%	57.4%	—	—	1.74
Odd goals in 1st half	44.9%	42.6%	—	—	2.35

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.0%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	48.0%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	93.9%	92.2%	84.0%	1.10×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	93.6%	92.2%	97.0%	0.95×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	85.5%	87.6%	77.6%	1.13×	1.14
Over 1.5 goals	76.0%	77.4%	81.9%	0.95×	1.29
Under 3.5 goals	70.3%	72.5%	57.4%	1.26×	1.38
Over 2.5 goals	51.9%	52.6%	65.4%	0.80×	1.90
Under 2.5 goals	48.1%	47.4%	34.6%	1.37×	2.11
Over 3.5 goals	29.7%	27.6%	42.6%	0.65×	3.63
Under 1.5 goals	24.0%	22.6%	18.1%	1.25×	4.42
Over 4.5 goals	14.5%	12.4%	22.4%	0.55×	8.07
Under 0.5 goals	6.4%	7.8%	3.0%	2.63×	12.88
Over 5.5 goals	6.1%	7.8%	16.0%	0.48×	12.88

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	97.7%	97.2%	89.2%	1.09×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	93.4%	92.4%	82.9%	1.11×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	82.9%	81.0%	72.0%	1.13×	1.23
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	68.4%	67.5%	78.3%	0.86×	1.48
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	61.9%	61.9%	44.8%	1.38×	1.62
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	38.1%	38.1%	55.2%	0.69×	2.62
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	31.6%	32.5%	21.7%	1.50×	3.07
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	17.1%	19.0%	28.0%	0.68×	5.27
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	6.6%	7.6%	17.1%	0.44×	13.16
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	2.3%	2.8%	10.8%	0.26×	35.86

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	89.1%	89.1%	—	—	1.12
Under 1.5 in 1st half	68.3%	69.1%	—	—	1.45
Over 0.5 in 1st half	68.2%	69.1%	—	—	1.45
Under 0.5 in 1st half	31.8%	30.9%	—	—	3.23
Over 1.5 in 1st half	31.7%	30.9%	—	—	3.23
Over 2.5 in 1st half	10.9%	10.9%	—	—	9.14

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	79.9%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	78.2%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	52.3%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	47.7%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	21.8%	20.2%	—	—	4.94
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	20.1%	20.2%	—	—	4.95

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Turan not to score in both halves	79.2%	78.3%	—	—	1.28
Aktobe-2 not to score in both halves	72.7%	73.7%	—	—	1.36
Aktobe-2 to score in both halves	27.3%	26.3%	—	—	3.81
Turan to score in both halves	20.8%	21.7%	—	—	4.61

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	55.4%	58.4%	51.9%	1.13×	1.71
Only Aktobe-2 scores	22.3%	22.3%	27.0%	0.82×	4.49
Only Turan scores	15.9%	16.0%	19.0%	0.84×	6.24
Neither team scores	6.4%	7.2%	3.0%	2.43×	13.92

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	24.2%	22.6%	16.9%	1.34×	4.43
Exactly 3 goals	22.2%	22.6%	23.2%	0.97×	4.43
Exactly 1 goals	17.6%	17.4%	15.6%	1.12×	5.73
Exactly 4 goals	15.2%	17.4%	20.7%	0.84×	5.74
Exactly 5 goals	8.4%	7.6%	6.8%	1.13×	13.08
Exactly 0 goals	6.4%	7.6%	3.0%	2.59×	13.09
6 or more goals	6.1%	7.6%	16.0%	0.48×	13.09

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	36.4%	37.1%	—	—	2.70
No goals in 1st half	31.8%	35.9%	—	—	2.79
2 goals in 1st half	20.9%	21.7%	—	—	4.61
3+ goals in 1st half	10.9%	10.8%	—	—	9.23

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	47.7%	44.8%	—	—	2.23
1 goal in 2nd half	32.2%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
No goals in 2nd half	20.1%	22.9%	—	—	4.36

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Turan not to win both halves	93.0%	94.0%	—	—	1.06
Aktobe-2 not to win both halves	88.2%	87.9%	—	—	1.14
Aktobe-2 to win both halves	11.8%	12.1%	—	—	8.30
Turan to win both halves	7.0%	6.0%	—	—	16.62

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aktobe-2 to win either half	56.8%	59.5%	—	—	1.68
Turan to win neither half	53.8%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
Turan to win either half	46.2%	45.0%	—	—	2.22
Aktobe-2 to win neither half	43.2%	40.5%	—	—	2.47

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Turan not to win to nil	84.1%	83.1%	81.0%	1.03×	1.20
Aktobe-2 not to win to nil	77.7%	78.1%	73.0%	1.07×	1.28
Aktobe-2 to win to nil	22.3%	21.9%	27.0%	0.81×	4.57
Turan to win to nil	15.9%	16.9%	19.0%	0.89×	5.92

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	25.3%	27.8%	15.2%	1.83×	3.59
Aktobe-2 by 1	21.9%	24.2%	16.5%	1.47×	4.14
Turan by 1	18.2%	16.9%	17.3%	0.98×	5.91
Aktobe-2 by 2	12.9%	11.8%	11.8%	1.00×	8.49
Turan by 2	8.9%	7.2%	9.7%	0.75×	13.80
Aktobe-2 by 3+	8.3%	7.2%	20.3%	0.36×	13.80
Turan by 3+	4.5%	2.7%	11.4%	0.24×	36.62