Al Ahli v Al Ettifaq — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Thursday 3 December 2026 · KSA-Pro League · 2627

KSA-Pro League results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Al Ahli

20:00 UTC

Al Ettifaq

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 21 Oct, 11:05 · 1,041h before kick-off

Al Ahli win

60.4%

model 60.2%

Draw

21.7%

model 22.4%

Al Ettifaq win

17.9%

model 17.4%

602218

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (270 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 10.3%
2-1 9.9%
2-0 9.0%
1-0 7.3%
3-1 7.0%

Goals

Over 2.5	62.7%	Under 2.5	37.3%
BTTS yes	59.7%	BTTS no	40.3%
Al Ahli 1+	88.2%	Al Ahli 2+	63.0%
Al Ettifaq 1+	66.4%	Al Ettifaq 2+	29.8%

Expected goals 2.14 – 1.09. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

78/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

97%

★ Best pick

Al Ahli (-0.5)

Asian handicap · usually 44%

63.6% fair odds 1.57

strong signal · 1134 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Al Ettifaq (0:3)

Handicap 0:3 · usually 91%

84.3% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 296 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Al Ahli carry the stronger rating, 1735 Elo against 1522.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Al Ahli have an estimated 60.4% win probability, against 21.7% for the draw and 17.9% for Al Ettifaq. Expected goals from the ensemble are 2.14 for Al Ahli and 1.09 for Al Ettifaq.

Why Al Ahli

Al Ahli carry the stronger rating, 1735 Elo against 1522.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 21.7%. Draws run at 22% in this competition.

Why Al Ettifaq can win

Nothing in the data singles out Al Ettifaq.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Al Ahli, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Al Ettifaq, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Al Ahli: 52% possession, 15.2 shots a match, 11.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Al Ettifaq: 54% possession, 14.4 shots a match, 11.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-21 11:56 · team_stats 2026-10-20 06:04 · availability 2026-10-21 15:05 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Al Ahli are the model's most likely outcome at 60.4%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 10.3%. Confidence 78/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	602217	2.14–1.09	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	632215	2.19–1.00	1-1 10%	62%	57%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ahli to win	63.3%	58.2%	43.5%	1.34×	1.72
Draw	21.6%	24.4%	21.6%	1.13×	4.09
Al Ettifaq to win	15.1%	19.4%	35.0%	0.55×	5.17

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ahli & both teams score	31.8%	29.6%	21.8%	1.36×	3.38
Al Ahli & not both score	31.5%	29.6%	21.9%	1.35×	3.38
Draw & both teams score	16.4%	18.0%	16.5%	1.09×	5.57
Al Ettifaq & both teams score	9.1%	8.3%	18.4%	0.45×	12.00
Al Ettifaq & not both score	6.0%	8.3%	16.8%	0.50×	12.02
Draw & not both score	5.2%	8.3%	5.3%	1.57×	12.02

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ahli & over 1.5	55.4%	54.8%	34.4%	1.59×	1.83
Al Ahli & over 2.5	45.5%	45.0%	27.6%	1.63×	2.22
Al Ahli & under 3.5	34.8%	30.8%	27.3%	1.13×	3.25
Al Ahli & over 3.5	28.5%	26.1%	16.3%	1.60×	3.84
Al Ahli & under 2.5	17.7%	18.0%	16.0%	1.12×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	16.4%	18.0%	16.5%	1.09×	5.56
Draw & under 2.5	15.3%	18.0%	15.9%	1.13×	5.56
Draw & under 3.5	15.3%	18.0%	15.9%	1.13×	5.56
Al Ettifaq & over 1.5	12.1%	12.8%	28.4%	0.45×	7.79
Al Ettifaq & under 3.5	10.3%	12.8%	21.5%	0.60×	7.79
Al Ettifaq & over 2.5	10.0%	12.8%	23.1%	0.56×	7.79
Al Ahli & under 1.5	7.9%	7.9%	9.2%	0.86×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	6.4%	7.9%	5.9%	1.34×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	6.4%	7.9%	5.9%	1.34×	12.63
Draw & under 1.5	5.2%	7.9%	5.3%	1.50×	12.63
Al Ettifaq & under 2.5	5.1%	7.9%	12.1%	0.66×	12.63
Al Ettifaq & over 3.5	4.8%	4.8%	13.7%	0.35×	20.81
Al Ettifaq & under 1.5	3.0%	4.8%	6.8%	0.71×	20.82

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ahli (1UP)	75.9%	78.6%	—	—	1.27
Al Ettifaq (1UP)	34.5%	33.2%	—	—	3.02

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ahli (2UP)	63.3%	68.6%	—	—	1.46
Al Ettifaq (2UP)	15.1%	17.0%	—	—	5.88

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ahli to win 2nd half	51.8%	51.4%	—	—	1.95
2nd half drawn	30.7%	34.3%	—	—	2.92
Al Ettifaq to win 2nd half	17.6%	18.1%	—	—	5.53

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ettifaq under 1.5 in 2nd half	87.7%	86.8%	—	—	1.15
Al Ettifaq under 0.5 in 2nd half	54.8%	52.7%	—	—	1.90
Al Ettifaq over 0.5 in 2nd half	45.3%	47.3%	—	—	2.11
Al Ettifaq over 1.5 in 2nd half	12.3%	13.2%	—	—	7.58

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ahli over 0.5 in 2nd half	71.3%	73.9%	—	—	1.35
Al Ahli under 1.5 in 2nd half	64.5%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Al Ahli over 1.5 in 2nd half	35.5%	36.7%	—	—	2.73
Al Ahli under 0.5 in 2nd half	28.7%	26.1%	—	—	3.83

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ahli (+0.5)	84.9%	82.5%	65.0%	1.27×	1.21
Al Ettifaq (+2.5)	78.2%	78.5%	90.5%	0.87×	1.27
Al Ahli (-0.5)	63.3%	62.9%	43.5%	1.45×	1.59
Al Ettifaq (+1.5)	58.9%	57.0%	77.8%	0.73×	1.75
Al Ahli (-1.5)	41.1%	43.0%	22.2%	1.93×	2.33
Al Ettifaq (+0.5)	36.7%	37.1%	56.5%	0.66×	2.70
Al Ahli (-2.5)	21.8%	21.5%	9.5%	2.26×	4.65
Al Ettifaq (-0.5)	15.1%	17.5%	35.0%	0.50×	5.73

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ettifaq to concede	88.8%	86.3%	78.1%	1.11×	1.16
Al Ettifaq clean sheet	11.2%	13.7%	21.9%	0.62×	7.32

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ettifaq to concede in 1st half	61.0%	65.0%	—	—	1.54
Al Ettifaq clean sheet in 1st half	39.0%	35.0%	—	—	2.86

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ettifaq to concede in 2nd half	71.3%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Al Ettifaq clean sheet in 2nd half	28.7%	29.3%	—	—	3.42

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ettifaq under 6.5 corners	91.1%	89.9%	—	—	1.11
Al Ettifaq under 5.5 corners	83.8%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Al Ettifaq under 4.5 corners	72.4%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Al Ettifaq over 2.5 corners	62.8%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Al Ettifaq under 3.5 corners	56.4%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Al Ettifaq over 3.5 corners	43.6%	42.8%	—	—	2.33
Al Ettifaq under 2.5 corners	37.2%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Al Ettifaq over 4.5 corners	27.6%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Al Ettifaq over 5.5 corners	16.2%	18.6%	—	—	5.38
Al Ettifaq over 6.5 corners	8.9%	10.1%	—	—	9.89

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ettifaq under 3.5 goals	98.1%	97.5%	93.1%	1.05×	1.03
Al Ettifaq under 2.5 goals	91.9%	92.3%	82.6%	1.12×	1.08
Al Ettifaq under 1.5 goals	73.4%	71.9%	60.9%	1.18×	1.39
Al Ettifaq over 0.5 goals	63.4%	63.2%	73.0%	0.87×	1.58
Al Ettifaq under 0.5 goals	36.6%	36.8%	27.0%	1.36×	2.72
Al Ettifaq over 1.5 goals	26.6%	28.1%	39.1%	0.72×	3.56
Al Ettifaq over 2.5 goals	8.1%	7.7%	17.4%	0.44×	13.05
Al Ettifaq over 3.5 goals	1.9%	2.5%	6.9%	0.36×	39.93

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ettifaq under 1.5 in 1st half	93.8%	93.9%	—	—	1.06
Al Ettifaq under 0.5 in 1st half	66.9%	69.4%	—	—	1.44
Al Ettifaq over 0.5 in 1st half	33.1%	30.6%	—	—	3.26
Al Ettifaq over 1.5 in 1st half	6.2%	6.1%	—	—	16.51

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ettifaq scores equally in both	46.1%	48.1%	—	—	2.08
Al Ettifaq scores more in 2nd half	33.7%	33.7%	—	—	2.97
Al Ettifaq scores more in 1st half	20.2%	21.9%	—	—	4.56

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ahli (away no bet)	74.5%	68.5%	66.8%	1.02×	1.46
Draw (away no bet)	25.5%	31.5%	33.2%	0.95×	3.17

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ettifaq even goals	56.7%	56.9%	52.4%	1.09×	1.76
Al Ettifaq odd goals	43.3%	43.1%	47.6%	0.91×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	78.5%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Both halves over 1.5 goals	21.5%	18.6%	—	—	5.37

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	73.2%	67.4%	—	—	1.48
Both halves under 1.5 goals	26.8%	32.6%	—	—	3.07

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	66.7%	62.3%	—	—	1.60
Al Ahli to score 2+ in a row	56.4%	55.1%	—	—	1.81
Either team to score 3+ in a row	30.9%	29.1%	—	—	3.43
Al Ahli to score 3+ in a row	27.7%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Al Ettifaq to score 2+ in a row	17.3%	16.3%	—	—	6.15
Al Ettifaq to score 3+ in a row	3.6%	2.6%	—	—	38.54

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ahli corners (+3.5)	93.7%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Al Ahli corners (+2.5)	89.2%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Al Ahli corners (+1.5)	82.5%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Al Ettifaq corners (+3.5)	71.4%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Al Ettifaq corners (+2.5)	60.9%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Al Ahli corners (-1.5)	50.8%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Al Ettifaq corners (+1.5)	49.2%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Al Ahli corners (-2.5)	39.1%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Al Ahli corners (-3.5)	28.6%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Al Ettifaq corners (-1.5)	17.5%	20.2%	—	—	4.94
Al Ettifaq corners (-2.5)	10.8%	15.5%	—	—	6.45
Al Ettifaq corners (-3.5)	6.3%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	53.0%	45.3%	—	—	2.21
9-11 corners	27.8%	31.2%	—	—	3.21
12+ corners	19.2%	22.6%	—	—	4.43

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	86.7%	83.1%	—	—	1.20
Under 11.5 corners	80.8%	80.7%	—	—	1.24
Under 10.5 corners	73.1%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 9.5 corners	63.7%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Over 7.5 corners	58.6%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 8.5 corners	53.0%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 8.5 corners	47.0%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Under 7.5 corners	41.4%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Over 9.5 corners	36.3%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 10.5 corners	26.9%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 11.5 corners	19.2%	19.3%	—	—	5.17
Over 12.5 corners	13.3%	16.9%	—	—	5.91

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	10.1%	11.5%	10.7%	1.07×	8.73
2-0	9.8%	7.4%	6.9%	1.07×	13.50
2-1	9.9%	7.4%	8.5%	0.88×	13.50
1-0	7.9%	7.4%	9.2%	0.80×	13.50
3-0	7.2%	7.4%	3.2%	2.33×	13.51
3-1	7.2%	7.4%	5.1%	1.44×	13.51
Any other score	7.5%	7.4%	5.6%	1.32×	13.50
0-0	5.2%	7.4%	5.3%	1.40×	13.51
2-2	5.0%	1.7%	4.8%	0.35×	58.29
0-1	3.0%	1.7%	6.8%	0.25×	58.30
0-2	2.1%	1.7%	5.4%	0.32×	58.31
0-3	0.7%	1.7%	2.3%	0.76×	58.32
0-4	0.2%	1.7%	1.1%	1.62×	58.32
1-2	4.5%	1.7%	7.4%	0.23×	58.29
1-3	1.5%	1.7%	3.9%	0.44×	58.31
1-4	0.4%	1.7%	1.1%	1.62×	58.32
2-3	1.7%	1.7%	3.3%	0.52×	58.31
2-4	0.4%	1.7%	1.2%	1.42×	58.32
3-2	3.6%	1.7%	3.6%	0.47×	58.30
3-3	1.2%	1.7%	1.1%	1.62×	58.31
3-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.6%	2.84×	58.32
4-0	3.9%	1.7%	2.1%	0.81×	58.30
4-1	4.0%	1.7%	2.4%	0.71×	58.30
4-2	2.0%	1.7%	1.1%	1.62×	58.31
4-3	0.7%	1.7%	0.6%	2.84×	58.32
4-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.3%	5.68×	58.32

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ahli (2nd half DNB)	74.7%	71.5%	—	—	1.40
Al Ettifaq (2nd half DNB)	25.3%	28.5%	—	—	3.51

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ahli leading at HT (DNB)	75.9%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Al Ettifaq leading at HT (DNB)	24.1%	25.2%	—	—	3.97

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ahli or draw (1X)	84.9%	80.6%	65.0%	1.24×	1.24
Al Ahli or Al Ettifaq (12)	78.4%	75.6%	78.4%	0.96×	1.32
Al Ettifaq or draw (X2)	36.7%	41.8%	56.5%	0.74×	2.39

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ahli or draw at HT	84.9%	84.4%	—	—	1.19
Al Ahli or Al Ettifaq at HT	62.7%	61.6%	—	—	1.62
Al Ettifaq or draw at HT	52.4%	47.8%	—	—	2.09

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ahli or draw (1UP)	84.9%	88.8%	—	—	1.13
Al Ettifaq or draw (1UP)	36.7%	41.0%	—	—	2.44

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ahli or draw in 2nd half	82.4%	81.9%	—	—	1.22
Al Ahli or Al Ettifaq in 2nd half	69.3%	65.7%	—	—	1.52
Al Ettifaq or draw in 2nd half	48.2%	48.6%	—	—	2.06

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	55.3%	58.3%	—	—	1.71
Neither half drawn	44.7%	41.7%	—	—	2.40

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ahli (DNB)	80.7%	80.2%	55.4%	1.45×	1.25
Al Ettifaq (DNB)	19.3%	19.8%	44.6%	0.44×	5.05

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ahli to score first	65.0%	69.1%	—	—	1.45
Al Ettifaq to score first	29.8%	28.2%	—	—	3.55
No goal scored	5.2%	7.4%	—	—	13.54

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	57.4%	55.0%	56.3%	0.98×	1.82
Not both teams to score	42.6%	45.0%	43.7%	1.03×	2.22

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	47.3%	44.3%	45.8%	0.97×	2.26
Not both score & under 2.5	28.0%	33.3%	33.1%	1.01×	3.00
Not both score & over 2.5	14.6%	12.4%	10.7%	1.15×	8.09
Both score & under 2.5	10.1%	12.3%	10.7%	1.15×	8.10

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	82.9%	82.6%	83.5%	0.99×	1.21
Both teams to score 2+	17.1%	17.4%	16.5%	1.06×	5.75

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	67.4%	67.3%	—	—	1.49
Both teams to score in 2nd half	32.6%	32.7%	—	—	3.06

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	53.5%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Both score 2nd half only	26.1%	27.4%	—	—	3.65
Both score 1st half only	13.9%	10.7%	—	—	9.34
Both score in both halves	6.5%	6.8%	—	—	14.74

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	79.6%	81.3%	—	—	1.23
Both teams to score by HT	20.4%	18.7%	—	—	5.34

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	62.8%	59.8%	—	—	1.67
A half without a goal	37.2%	40.2%	—	—	2.49

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	44.3%	42.1%	43.5%	0.97×	2.37
4-6 goals	35.2%	35.1%	32.9%	1.07×	2.85
0-1 goals	16.1%	20.2%	21.0%	0.96×	4.95
7+ goals	4.4%	1.9%	2.9%	0.64×	54.06

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ettifaq to score exactly 0	36.6%	35.9%	27.0%	1.33×	2.78
Al Ettifaq to score exactly 1	36.8%	35.9%	34.0%	1.06×	2.78
Al Ettifaq to score exactly 2	18.5%	19.6%	21.9%	0.89×	5.11
Al Ettifaq to score 3+	8.1%	8.6%	17.4%	0.49×	11.69

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ahli to score 3+	37.5%	35.6%	21.1%	1.68×	2.81
Al Ahli to score exactly 2	26.8%	26.5%	24.8%	1.07×	3.77
Al Ahli to score exactly 1	24.5%	23.3%	32.5%	0.72×	4.29
Al Ahli to score exactly 0	11.2%	14.3%	21.9%	0.65×	6.99

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ahli leading at HT	47.6%	52.2%	—	—	1.92
Draw at HT	37.3%	38.4%	—	—	2.60
Al Ettifaq leading at HT	15.1%	15.6%	—	—	6.42

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ahli -1: 1	41.1%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Al Ahli -1: 2	36.7%	37.4%	—	—	2.68
Al Ahli -1: X	22.1%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ahli (0:1)	41.1%	42.6%	22.2%	1.92×	2.35
Al Ettifaq (0:1)	36.7%	37.3%	56.5%	0.66×	2.68
Draw (0:1)	22.1%	24.2%	21.5%	1.13×	4.13

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ettifaq (0:2)	58.9%	63.1%	77.8%	0.81×	1.59
Al Ahli (0:2)	21.8%	20.3%	9.5%	2.13×	4.93
Draw (0:2)	19.4%	15.3%	12.8%	1.19×	6.53

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ettifaq (0:3)	78.2%	80.5%	90.5%	0.89×	1.24
Draw (0:3)	12.1%	9.9%	5.6%	1.78×	10.06
Al Ahli (0:3)	9.7%	5.8%	4.1%	1.43×	17.17

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ettifaq (0:4)	90.3%	94.5%	95.9%	0.99×	1.06
Draw (0:4)	6.0%	4.6%	2.9%	1.60×	21.74
Al Ahli (0:4)	3.6%	1.2%	1.4%	0.90×	81.70

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ahli (1:0)	84.9%	81.4%	65.0%	1.25×	1.23
Draw (1:0)	9.6%	6.9%	17.7%	0.39×	14.46
Al Ettifaq (1:0)	5.6%	6.9%	17.5%	0.39×	14.53

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ahli (2:0)	94.4%	94.0%	82.5%	1.14×	1.06
Draw (2:0)	4.1%	2.3%	10.6%	0.22×	43.58
Al Ettifaq (2:0)	1.5%	2.3%	7.1%	0.32×	43.74

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	48.5%	48.8%	—	—	2.05
1st half highest scoring	27.2%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
Halves equal	24.3%	24.4%	—	—	4.10

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ahli to concede	63.4%	63.7%	73.0%	0.87×	1.57
Al Ahli clean sheet	36.6%	36.3%	27.0%	1.34×	2.75

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ahli clean sheet in 1st half	66.9%	69.7%	—	—	1.44
Al Ahli to concede in 1st half	33.1%	30.3%	—	—	3.30

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ahli clean sheet in 2nd half	54.8%	52.8%	—	—	1.89
Al Ahli to concede in 2nd half	45.3%	47.2%	—	—	2.12

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ahli over 2.5 corners	82.9%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Al Ahli under 6.5 corners	72.3%	71.8%	—	—	1.39
Al Ahli over 3.5 corners	69.2%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Al Ahli under 5.5 corners	60.2%	62.2%	—	—	1.61
Al Ahli over 4.5 corners	54.1%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Al Ahli under 4.5 corners	45.9%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Al Ahli over 5.5 corners	39.8%	37.8%	—	—	2.65
Al Ahli under 3.5 corners	30.8%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Al Ahli over 6.5 corners	27.7%	28.2%	—	—	3.55
Al Ahli under 2.5 corners	17.2%	19.0%	—	—	5.25

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ahli over 0.5 goals	88.8%	87.3%	78.1%	1.12×	1.15
Al Ahli under 3.5 goals	82.1%	82.2%	92.0%	0.89×	1.22
Al Ahli over 1.5 goals	64.3%	63.6%	45.8%	1.39×	1.57
Al Ahli under 2.5 goals	62.5%	63.6%	78.9%	0.81×	1.57
Al Ahli over 2.5 goals	37.5%	36.4%	21.1%	1.72×	2.75
Al Ahli under 1.5 goals	35.7%	36.4%	54.2%	0.67×	2.75
Al Ahli over 3.5 goals	17.9%	17.8%	8.0%	2.22×	5.62
Al Ahli under 0.5 goals	11.2%	12.7%	21.9%	0.58×	7.85

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ahli under 1.5 in 1st half	75.7%	77.2%	—	—	1.30
Al Ahli over 0.5 in 1st half	61.0%	64.8%	—	—	1.54
Al Ahli under 0.5 in 1st half	39.0%	35.2%	—	—	2.84
Al Ahli over 1.5 in 1st half	24.3%	22.8%	—	—	4.39

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ahli scores more in 2nd half	43.3%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Al Ahli scores equally in both	28.8%	27.8%	—	—	3.59
Al Ahli scores more in 1st half	27.9%	27.8%	—	—	3.59

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	58.9%	56.5%	38.1%	1.48×	1.77
Al Ettifaq (home no bet)	41.1%	43.5%	61.9%	0.70×	2.30

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ahli even goals	50.6%	50.7%	52.7%	0.96×	1.97
Al Ahli odd goals	49.4%	49.3%	47.3%	1.04×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	26.3%	27.9%	—	—	3.58
HT 1-0	24.4%	24.5%	—	—	4.09
HT 2-0	11.6%	11.0%	—	—	9.08
HT 0-1	10.3%	11.0%	—	—	9.09
HT 1-1	10.1%	11.0%	—	—	9.10
Any other HT score	7.7%	6.9%	—	—	14.48
HT 2-1	4.7%	2.4%	—	—	41.97
HT 0-2	2.1%	2.4%	—	—	42.14
HT 1-2	2.0%	2.4%	—	—	42.15
HT 2-2	0.9%	2.4%	—	—	42.22

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ahli at HT / Al Ahli at FT	41.4%	41.0%	—	—	2.44
Draw at HT / Al Ahli at FT	18.6%	16.7%	—	—	5.98
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	12.7%	12.6%	—	—	7.91
Al Ettifaq at HT / Al Ettifaq at FT	7.7%	6.0%	—	—	16.61
Draw at HT / Al Ettifaq at FT	6.0%	6.0%	—	—	16.66
Al Ahli at HT / Draw at FT	4.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.59
Al Ettifaq at HT / Draw at FT	4.2%	3.5%	—	—	28.61
Al Ettifaq at HT / Al Ahli at FT	3.2%	3.5%	—	—	28.65
Al Ahli at HT / Al Ettifaq at FT	1.4%	3.5%	—	—	28.71

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ahli to score last	65.2%	70.0%	—	—	1.43
Al Ettifaq to score last	29.6%	27.8%	—	—	3.59
No goal scored	5.2%	7.4%	—	—	13.54

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	94.8%	92.7%	—	—	1.08
Al Ahli to lead by 1 at any time	75.9%	78.2%	—	—	1.28
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	58.0%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Al Ahli to lead by 2 at any time	48.2%	44.6%	—	—	2.24
Al Ettifaq to lead by 1 at any time	34.5%	29.9%	—	—	3.34
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	27.6%	25.5%	—	—	3.92
Al Ahli to lead by 3 at any time	25.1%	25.4%	—	—	3.93
Al Ettifaq to lead by 2 at any time	10.1%	10.4%	—	—	9.60
Al Ettifaq to lead by 3 at any time	2.4%	1.6%	—	—	62.32

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ahli most corners	62.6%	60.6%	—	—	1.65
Al Ettifaq most corners	26.5%	31.1%	—	—	3.21
Corners level	10.9%	10.4%	—	—	9.58

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	84.4%	83.4%	87.2%	0.96×	1.20
2-6 goals	79.5%	78.7%	76.3%	1.03×	1.27
2-5 goals	73.4%	72.4%	71.5%	1.01×	1.38
1-4 goals	73.0%	72.4%	75.5%	0.96×	1.38
2-4 goals	62.1%	63.3%	59.8%	1.06×	1.58
3-6 goals	57.5%	59.1%	53.6%	1.10×	1.69
1-3 goals	55.2%	59.1%	59.2%	1.00×	1.69
3-5 goals	51.4%	53.2%	48.8%	1.09×	1.88
2-3 goals	44.3%	43.6%	43.5%	1.00×	2.29
3-4 goals	40.1%	43.6%	37.2%	1.17×	2.30
4-6 goals	35.2%	39.2%	32.9%	1.19×	2.55
1-2 goals	32.9%	35.2%	38.5%	0.91×	2.84
4-5 goals	29.2%	30.2%	28.1%	1.08×	3.31
5-6 goals	17.4%	18.8%	16.6%	1.13×	5.31
7+ goals	4.4%	2.6%	2.9%	0.89×	39.03

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ahli never behind	60.3%	67.9%	—	—	1.47
Al Ettifaq never behind	18.9%	18.6%	—	—	5.39

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	47.8%	50.9%	50.3%	1.01×	1.96
Even number of goals	52.2%	49.1%	49.7%	0.99×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	53.8%	51.7%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	46.2%	48.3%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.0%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half	48.0%	48.1%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	94.8%	92.3%	94.7%	0.97×	1.08
Under 5.5 goals	89.6%	87.6%	92.3%	0.95×	1.14
Over 1.5 goals	83.9%	82.3%	79.0%	1.04×	1.22
Under 4.5 goals	78.2%	77.3%	80.7%	0.96×	1.29
Over 2.5 goals	61.9%	61.7%	56.3%	1.10×	1.62
Under 3.5 goals	60.4%	61.7%	64.4%	0.96×	1.62
Over 3.5 goals	39.6%	38.3%	35.7%	1.07×	2.61
Under 2.5 goals	38.1%	38.3%	43.7%	0.88×	2.61
Over 4.5 goals	21.8%	22.7%	19.3%	1.17×	4.41
Under 1.5 goals	16.1%	17.7%	21.0%	0.84×	5.65
Over 5.5 goals	10.5%	12.4%	7.7%	1.61×	8.07
Under 0.5 goals	5.2%	7.7%	5.3%	1.46×	12.95

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	95.3%	97.2%	97.0%	1.00×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	88.2%	86.7%	91.3%	0.95×	1.15
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	79.3%	75.9%	72.9%	1.04×	1.32
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	73.5%	72.4%	76.9%	0.94×	1.38
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	51.0%	51.9%	45.0%	1.15×	1.93
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	49.0%	48.1%	55.0%	0.87×	2.08
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	26.5%	27.6%	23.1%	1.19×	3.62
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	20.7%	24.1%	27.1%	0.89×	4.15
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	11.8%	13.3%	8.7%	1.52×	7.54
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	4.7%	2.8%	3.0%	0.93×	35.52

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	84.7%	85.9%	—	—	1.16
Over 0.5 in 1st half	73.7%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Under 1.5 in 1st half	61.0%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Over 1.5 in 1st half	39.0%	36.8%	—	—	2.71
Under 0.5 in 1st half	26.3%	28.1%	—	—	3.55
Over 2.5 in 1st half	15.3%	14.1%	—	—	7.09

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	83.9%	83.2%	—	—	1.20
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	71.7%	77.3%	—	—	1.29
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	55.6%	54.8%	—	—	1.82
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	44.4%	45.2%	—	—	2.21
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	28.3%	22.7%	—	—	4.41
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	16.1%	16.8%	—	—	5.96

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ettifaq not to score in both halves	85.0%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Al Ahli not to score in both halves	56.5%	58.0%	—	—	1.73
Al Ahli to score in both halves	43.5%	42.0%	—	—	2.38
Al Ettifaq to score in both halves	15.0%	14.8%	—	—	6.76

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	57.4%	58.6%	56.3%	1.04×	1.71
Only Al Ahli scores	31.5%	33.3%	21.9%	1.52×	3.00
Only Al Ettifaq scores	6.0%	7.1%	16.8%	0.42×	14.05
Neither team scores	5.2%	7.1%	5.3%	1.35×	14.06

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	22.0%	22.6%	22.8%	0.99×	4.43
Exactly 3 goals	22.3%	22.6%	20.8%	1.08×	4.43
Exactly 4 goals	17.8%	17.5%	16.5%	1.06×	5.73
Exactly 5 goals	11.4%	12.1%	11.8%	1.03×	8.25
Exactly 1 goals	10.9%	12.1%	15.9%	0.76×	8.25
6 or more goals	10.5%	12.1%	7.7%	1.57×	8.25
Exactly 0 goals	5.2%	7.6%	5.3%	1.44×	13.14

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	34.7%	35.9%	—	—	2.79
No goals in 1st half	26.3%	28.2%	—	—	3.54
2 goals in 1st half	23.7%	21.5%	—	—	4.64
3+ goals in 1st half	15.3%	15.6%	—	—	6.42

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	55.6%	54.0%	—	—	1.85
1 goal in 2nd half	28.3%	29.3%	—	—	3.41
No goals in 2nd half	16.1%	16.4%	—	—	6.10

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ettifaq not to win both halves	97.3%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
Al Ahli not to win both halves	75.1%	75.2%	—	—	1.33
Al Ahli to win both halves	24.9%	24.8%	—	—	4.03
Al Ettifaq to win both halves	2.7%	2.8%	—	—	35.64

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ahli to win either half	74.4%	73.2%	—	—	1.37
Al Ettifaq to win neither half	70.1%	72.9%	—	—	1.37
Al Ettifaq to win either half	29.9%	27.1%	—	—	3.68
Al Ahli to win neither half	25.6%	26.8%	—	—	3.73

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ettifaq not to win to nil	94.0%	92.1%	83.2%	1.11×	1.09
Al Ahli not to win to nil	68.5%	69.7%	78.1%	0.89×	1.44
Al Ahli to win to nil	31.5%	30.3%	21.9%	1.38×	3.30
Al Ettifaq to win to nil	6.0%	7.9%	16.8%	0.47×	12.69

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ahli by 1	22.1%	24.1%	21.5%	1.12×	4.15
Al Ahli by 3+	21.8%	24.1%	9.5%	2.53×	4.15
Draw	21.6%	24.1%	21.6%	1.12×	4.15
Al Ahli by 2	19.4%	17.1%	12.8%	1.33×	5.86
Al Ettifaq by 1	9.6%	7.2%	17.7%	0.41×	13.90
Al Ettifaq by 2	4.1%	2.7%	10.6%	0.26×	36.78
Al Ettifaq by 3+	1.5%	2.7%	7.1%	0.38×	36.86