Al Ettifaq v Al Faisaly — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Tuesday 8 September 2026 · KSA-Pro League · 2627

KSA-Pro League results-only Prediction generated 8 Sep 2026, 11:44 UTC

Al Ettifaq

0–0

15:30 UTC

Al Faisaly

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Final pre-match price, taken 8 Sep, 07:54 · 8h before kick-off

Al Ettifaq win

56.4%

Draw

23.8%

Al Faisaly win

19.8%

562420

Raw model output; no calibration record for this fixture's bands yet.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 11.0%
2-1 9.9%
2-0 8.7%
1-0 7.5%
3-1 6.6%

Goals

Over 2.5	60.8%	Under 2.5	39.2%
BTTS yes	59.9%	BTTS no	40.1%
Al Ettifaq 1+	86.6%	Al Ettifaq 2+	59.6%
Al Faisaly 1+	67.8%	Al Faisaly 2+	31.3%

Expected goals 2.01 – 1.13. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

73/100

Data quality

55/100

Model agreement

98%

★ Best pick

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

★ Most likely to land

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

Positive factors

Al Ettifaq carry the stronger rating, 1517 Elo against 1465.

Risk factors

Data quality is 55/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
Al Faisaly have only 4 matches on record.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Al Ettifaq have an estimated 56.4% win probability, against 23.8% for the draw and 19.8% for Al Faisaly. Expected goals from the ensemble are 2.01 for Al Ettifaq and 1.13 for Al Faisaly.

Why Al Ettifaq

Al Ettifaq carry the stronger rating, 1517 Elo against 1465.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 23.8%. Draws run at 21% in this competition.

Why Al Faisaly can win

Nothing in the data singles out Al Faisaly.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Al Ettifaq, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Al Faisaly, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Al Ettifaq: 55% possession, 14.8 shots a match, 12.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Al Faisaly: 49% possession, 8.0 shots a match, 13.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-08 10:52 · team_stats 2026-09-08 06:03 · availability 2026-09-08 11:54 · prediction 2026-09-08 11:44 ·

Al Ettifaq are the model's most likely outcome at 56.4%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 11.0%. Confidence 73/100, data quality 55/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS	Outcome
ai-blend	562420	2.01–1.13	0%	0%	0%	Home ✗
ai-blend-oos	582418	2.04–1.09	0%	0%	0%	Home ✗
dc-xg	552321	2.07–1.25	1-1 11%	64%	63%	Home ✗
dc-xg-oos	602218	2.12–1.10	1-1 10%	62%	60%	Home ✗
deep	552619	1.77–0.96	1-1 12%	51%	53%	Home ✗

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ettifaq to win	55.1%	53.5%	43.5%	1.23×	1.87
Draw	25.9%	27.7%	21.6%	1.28×	3.61
Al Faisaly to win	19.0%	19.4%	35.0%	0.55×	5.15

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ettifaq & not both score	30.4%	29.2%	21.9%	1.33×	3.42
Al Ettifaq & both teams score	24.7%	21.8%	21.8%	1.00×	4.59
Draw & both teams score	18.1%	18.0%	16.5%	1.09×	5.55
Al Faisaly & both teams score	9.8%	8.3%	18.4%	0.45×	11.99
Al Faisaly & not both score	9.2%	8.3%	16.8%	0.50×	11.99
Draw & not both score	7.8%	8.3%	5.3%	1.58×	11.99

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ettifaq & over 1.5	44.9%	39.9%	34.4%	1.16×	2.50
Al Ettifaq & under 3.5	36.2%	34.7%	27.3%	1.27×	2.88
Al Ettifaq & over 2.5	34.7%	31.0%	27.6%	1.12×	3.22
Al Ettifaq & under 2.5	20.4%	21.6%	16.0%	1.35×	4.63
Draw & under 2.5	20.2%	21.6%	15.9%	1.36×	4.63
Draw & under 3.5	20.2%	21.6%	15.9%	1.36×	4.63
Al Ettifaq & over 3.5	18.9%	18.0%	16.3%	1.10×	5.57
Draw & over 1.5	18.1%	18.0%	16.5%	1.09×	5.57
Al Faisaly & over 1.5	14.0%	12.8%	28.4%	0.45×	7.78
Al Faisaly & under 3.5	14.2%	12.8%	21.5%	0.60×	7.78
Al Ettifaq & under 1.5	10.2%	12.8%	9.2%	1.39×	7.79
Al Faisaly & over 2.5	11.0%	12.8%	23.1%	0.56×	7.79
Draw & under 1.5	7.8%	8.0%	5.3%	1.51×	12.55
Al Faisaly & under 2.5	7.9%	8.0%	12.1%	0.66×	12.55
Draw & over 2.5	5.7%	8.0%	5.9%	1.35×	12.56
Draw & over 3.5	5.7%	8.0%	5.9%	1.35×	12.56
Al Faisaly & under 1.5	4.9%	4.9%	6.8%	0.72×	20.50
Al Faisaly & over 3.5	4.7%	4.9%	13.7%	0.35×	20.51

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ettifaq (1UP)	68.6%	70.0%	—	—	1.43
Al Faisaly (1UP)	36.9%	34.3%	—	—	2.91

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ettifaq (2UP)	55.1%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Al Faisaly (2UP)	19.0%	17.6%	—	—	5.69

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ettifaq to win 2nd half	44.7%	41.5%	—	—	2.41
2nd half drawn	35.1%	36.0%	—	—	2.78
Al Faisaly to win 2nd half	20.1%	23.0%	—	—	4.34

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Faisaly under 1.5 in 2nd half	88.6%	86.7%	—	—	1.15
Al Faisaly under 0.5 in 2nd half	56.2%	55.5%	—	—	1.80
Al Faisaly over 0.5 in 2nd half	43.8%	44.5%	—	—	2.25
Al Faisaly over 1.5 in 2nd half	11.4%	13.3%	—	—	7.55

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ettifaq under 1.5 in 2nd half	73.2%	73.6%	—	—	1.36
Al Ettifaq over 0.5 in 2nd half	63.6%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
Al Ettifaq under 0.5 in 2nd half	36.4%	37.5%	—	—	2.66
Al Ettifaq over 1.5 in 2nd half	26.8%	26.4%	—	—	3.80

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Faisaly (+2.5)	85.5%	88.3%	90.5%	0.98×	1.13
Al Ettifaq (+0.5)	81.0%	82.6%	65.0%	1.27×	1.21
Al Faisaly (+1.5)	68.1%	68.7%	77.8%	0.88×	1.46
Al Ettifaq (-0.5)	55.1%	56.9%	43.5%	1.31×	1.76
Al Faisaly (+0.5)	44.9%	43.1%	56.5%	0.76×	2.32
Al Ettifaq (-1.5)	31.9%	31.3%	22.2%	1.41×	3.19
Al Faisaly (-0.5)	19.0%	17.4%	35.0%	0.50×	5.74
Al Ettifaq (-2.5)	14.5%	11.7%	9.5%	1.23×	8.54

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Faisaly to concede	83.0%	81.4%	78.1%	1.04×	1.23
Al Faisaly clean sheet	17.0%	18.6%	21.9%	0.85×	5.39

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Faisaly clean sheet in 1st half	46.7%	50.7%	—	—	1.97
Al Faisaly to concede in 1st half	53.3%	49.3%	—	—	2.03

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Faisaly to concede in 2nd half	63.6%	60.1%	—	—	1.66
Al Faisaly clean sheet in 2nd half	36.4%	39.9%	—	—	2.51

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Faisaly under 3.5 goals	98.3%	97.4%	93.1%	1.05×	1.03
Al Faisaly under 2.5 goals	92.7%	92.2%	82.6%	1.12×	1.09
Al Faisaly under 1.5 goals	75.0%	71.9%	60.9%	1.18×	1.39
Al Faisaly over 0.5 goals	61.8%	63.6%	73.0%	0.87×	1.57
Al Faisaly under 0.5 goals	38.2%	36.4%	27.0%	1.35×	2.75
Al Faisaly over 1.5 goals	25.0%	28.1%	39.1%	0.72×	3.56
Al Faisaly over 2.5 goals	7.3%	7.8%	17.4%	0.45×	12.81
Al Faisaly over 3.5 goals	1.7%	2.6%	6.9%	0.37×	38.77

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Faisaly under 1.5 in 1st half	94.3%	94.2%	—	—	1.06
Al Faisaly under 0.5 in 1st half	68.1%	68.4%	—	—	1.46
Al Faisaly over 0.5 in 1st half	31.9%	31.6%	—	—	3.16
Al Faisaly over 1.5 in 1st half	5.8%	5.8%	—	—	17.37

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Faisaly scores equally in both	47.2%	48.4%	—	—	2.07
Al Faisaly scores more in 2nd half	32.9%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Al Faisaly scores more in 1st half	19.9%	18.1%	—	—	5.52

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ettifaq (away no bet)	68.0%	66.8%	66.8%	1.00×	1.50
Draw (away no bet)	32.0%	33.2%	33.2%	1.00×	3.01

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Faisaly even goals	57.3%	56.9%	52.4%	1.09×	1.76
Al Faisaly odd goals	42.7%	43.1%	47.6%	0.91×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	85.0%	87.5%	—	—	1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals	15.0%	12.5%	—	—	8.02

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	64.6%	58.3%	—	—	1.72
Both halves under 1.5 goals	35.4%	41.7%	—	—	2.40

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	57.5%	55.2%	—	—	1.81
Al Ettifaq to score 2+ in a row	45.5%	45.7%	—	—	2.19
Either team to score 3+ in a row	22.5%	19.5%	—	—	5.12
Al Ettifaq to score 3+ in a row	19.0%	16.3%	—	—	6.12
Al Faisaly to score 2+ in a row	17.4%	16.3%	—	—	6.13
Al Faisaly to score 3+ in a row	3.7%	2.6%	—	—	38.34

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	12.4%	11.4%	10.7%	1.06×	8.80
1-0	10.2%	11.4%	9.2%	1.23×	8.80
2-0	10.2%	11.4%	6.9%	1.64×	8.80
2-1	9.8%	7.4%	8.5%	0.87×	13.53
0-0	7.8%	7.4%	5.3%	1.40×	13.54
1-2	5.3%	7.4%	7.4%	1.00×	13.54
3-0	6.0%	7.4%	3.2%	2.33×	13.54
3-1	5.8%	7.4%	5.1%	1.44×	13.54
0-1	4.9%	1.7%	6.8%	0.26×	57.55
0-2	3.0%	1.7%	5.4%	0.32×	57.56
0-3	1.0%	1.7%	2.3%	0.77×	57.57
0-4	0.2%	1.7%	1.1%	1.64×	57.58
1-3	1.7%	1.7%	3.9%	0.44×	57.57
1-4	0.4%	1.7%	1.1%	1.64×	57.58
2-2	4.7%	1.7%	4.8%	0.36×	57.56
2-3	1.5%	1.7%	3.3%	0.52×	57.57
2-4	0.4%	1.7%	1.2%	1.44×	57.58
3-2	2.8%	1.7%	3.6%	0.48×	57.57
3-3	0.9%	1.7%	1.1%	1.64×	57.58
3-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.6%	2.88×	57.58
4-0	2.7%	1.7%	2.1%	0.82×	57.57
4-1	2.6%	1.7%	2.4%	0.72×	57.57
4-2	1.2%	1.7%	1.1%	1.64×	57.57
4-3	0.4%	1.7%	0.6%	2.88×	57.58
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.3%	5.75×	57.58
Any other score	3.7%	1.7%	5.6%	0.31×	57.56

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ettifaq (2nd half DNB)	69.0%	70.1%	—	—	1.43
Al Faisaly (2nd half DNB)	31.0%	29.9%	—	—	3.34

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ettifaq leading at HT (DNB)	70.9%	72.3%	—	—	1.38
Al Faisaly leading at HT (DNB)	29.1%	27.7%	—	—	3.61

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ettifaq or draw (1X)	81.0%	80.6%	65.0%	1.24×	1.24
Al Ettifaq or Al Faisaly (12)	74.1%	72.3%	78.4%	0.92×	1.38
Al Faisaly or draw (X2)	44.9%	46.5%	56.5%	0.82×	2.15

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ettifaq or draw at HT	83.2%	84.4%	—	—	1.18
Al Faisaly or draw at HT	59.1%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Al Ettifaq or Al Faisaly at HT	57.8%	57.0%	—	—	1.75

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ettifaq or draw (1UP)	81.0%	88.3%	—	—	1.13
Al Faisaly or draw (1UP)	44.9%	52.9%	—	—	1.89

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ettifaq or draw in 2nd half	79.9%	77.0%	—	—	1.30
Al Ettifaq or Al Faisaly in 2nd half	64.9%	64.0%	—	—	1.56
Al Faisaly or draw in 2nd half	55.3%	58.5%	—	—	1.71

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	61.1%	61.5%	—	—	1.63
Neither half drawn	38.9%	38.5%	—	—	2.60

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ettifaq (DNB)	74.4%	71.1%	55.4%	1.28×	1.41
Al Faisaly (DNB)	25.6%	28.9%	44.6%	0.65×	3.47

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ettifaq to score first	59.7%	62.1%	—	—	1.61
Al Faisaly to score first	32.4%	27.2%	—	—	3.68
No goal scored	7.8%	7.5%	—	—	13.31

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	52.6%	51.6%	56.3%	0.92×	1.94
Not both teams to score	47.4%	48.4%	43.7%	1.11×	2.07

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	40.2%	41.7%	45.8%	0.91×	2.40
Not both score & under 2.5	36.1%	38.6%	33.1%	1.17×	2.59
Both score & under 2.5	12.4%	12.3%	10.7%	1.14×	8.14
Not both score & over 2.5	11.3%	12.3%	10.7%	1.14×	8.15

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	86.8%	85.4%	83.5%	1.02×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	13.2%	14.6%	16.5%	0.88×	6.87

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	71.7%	74.0%	—	—	1.35
Both teams to score in 2nd half	28.3%	26.0%	—	—	3.85

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	59.2%	59.5%	—	—	1.68
Both score 2nd half only	23.6%	21.0%	—	—	4.76
Both score 1st half only	12.5%	10.7%	—	—	9.32
Both score in both halves	4.7%	5.1%	—	—	19.76

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	82.7%	82.3%	—	—	1.22
Both teams to score by HT	17.3%	17.7%	—	—	5.66

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	54.9%	53.5%	—	—	1.87
A half without a goal	45.1%	46.5%	—	—	2.15

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	47.7%	46.9%	43.5%	1.08×	2.13
4-6 goals	27.2%	27.0%	32.9%	0.82×	3.71
0-1 goals	22.9%	23.1%	21.0%	1.10×	4.34
7+ goals	2.2%	1.8%	2.9%	0.64×	54.08

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Faisaly to score exactly 0	38.2%	35.8%	27.0%	1.32×	2.80
Al Faisaly to score exactly 1	36.8%	35.7%	34.0%	1.05×	2.80
Al Faisaly to score exactly 2	17.7%	19.6%	21.9%	0.89×	5.12
Al Faisaly to score 3+	7.3%	8.8%	17.4%	0.51×	11.40

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ettifaq to score exactly 1	30.1%	32.6%	32.5%	1.00×	3.07
Al Ettifaq to score exactly 2	26.7%	26.1%	24.8%	1.05×	3.83
Al Ettifaq to score 3+	26.2%	26.1%	21.1%	1.24×	3.83
Al Ettifaq to score exactly 0	17.0%	19.1%	21.9%	0.87×	5.23

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	42.2%	43.0%	—	—	2.33
Al Ettifaq leading at HT	40.9%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Al Faisaly leading at HT	16.8%	15.6%	—	—	6.43

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ettifaq -1: 2	44.9%	43.0%	—	—	2.33
Al Ettifaq -1: 1	31.9%	29.2%	—	—	3.42
Al Ettifaq -1: X	23.2%	23.6%	—	—	4.24

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Faisaly (0:1)	44.9%	42.6%	56.5%	0.75×	2.35
Al Ettifaq (0:1)	31.9%	29.4%	22.2%	1.32×	3.40
Draw (0:1)	23.2%	24.4%	21.5%	1.14×	4.10

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Faisaly (0:2)	68.1%	72.7%	77.8%	0.93×	1.38
Draw (0:2)	17.4%	15.0%	12.8%	1.17×	6.68
Al Ettifaq (0:2)	14.5%	10.9%	9.5%	1.15×	9.14

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Faisaly (0:3)	85.5%	90.4%	90.5%	1.00×	1.11
Draw (0:3)	9.1%	5.9%	5.6%	1.06×	16.92
Al Ettifaq (0:3)	5.4%	5.9%	4.1%	1.44×	16.98

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Faisaly (0:4)	94.6%	94.4%	95.9%	0.98×	1.06
Draw (0:4)	3.7%	1.2%	2.9%	0.43×	80.79
Al Ettifaq (0:4)	1.7%	1.2%	1.4%	0.91×	80.99

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ettifaq (1:0)	81.0%	81.5%	65.0%	1.25×	1.23
Draw (1:0)	12.0%	12.8%	17.7%	0.72×	7.83
Al Faisaly (1:0)	7.0%	7.0%	17.5%	0.40×	14.33

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ettifaq (2:0)	93.0%	93.8%	82.5%	1.14×	1.07
Draw (2:0)	5.1%	6.5%	10.6%	0.62×	15.33
Al Faisaly (2:0)	1.8%	2.4%	7.1%	0.34×	41.28

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	46.4%	48.2%	—	—	2.08
Halves equal	26.9%	26.5%	—	—	3.78
1st half highest scoring	26.7%	26.5%	—	—	3.78

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ettifaq to concede	61.8%	64.0%	73.0%	0.88×	1.56
Al Ettifaq clean sheet	38.2%	36.0%	27.0%	1.33×	2.78

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ettifaq clean sheet in 1st half	68.1%	68.7%	—	—	1.46
Al Ettifaq to concede in 1st half	31.9%	31.3%	—	—	3.19

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ettifaq clean sheet in 2nd half	56.2%	55.6%	—	—	1.80
Al Ettifaq to concede in 2nd half	43.8%	44.4%	—	—	2.25

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ettifaq under 3.5 goals	89.6%	87.3%	92.0%	0.95×	1.15
Al Ettifaq over 0.5 goals	83.0%	81.9%	78.1%	1.05×	1.22
Al Ettifaq under 2.5 goals	73.8%	74.3%	78.9%	0.94×	1.35
Al Ettifaq over 1.5 goals	52.9%	52.8%	45.8%	1.15×	1.89
Al Ettifaq under 1.5 goals	47.1%	47.2%	54.2%	0.87×	2.12
Al Ettifaq over 2.5 goals	26.2%	25.7%	21.1%	1.21×	3.90
Al Ettifaq under 0.5 goals	17.0%	18.1%	21.9%	0.82×	5.54
Al Ettifaq over 3.5 goals	10.4%	12.7%	8.0%	1.59×	7.85

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ettifaq under 1.5 in 1st half	82.2%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
Al Ettifaq under 0.5 in 1st half	46.7%	50.9%	—	—	1.97
Al Ettifaq over 0.5 in 1st half	53.3%	49.1%	—	—	2.04
Al Ettifaq over 1.5 in 1st half	17.8%	15.8%	—	—	6.34

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ettifaq scores more in 2nd half	40.4%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Al Ettifaq scores equally in both	32.8%	32.9%	—	—	3.04
Al Ettifaq scores more in 1st half	26.8%	28.0%	—	—	3.57

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	57.8%	56.0%	38.1%	1.47×	1.79
Al Faisaly (home no bet)	42.2%	44.0%	61.9%	0.71×	2.27

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ettifaq even goals	51.4%	50.4%	52.7%	0.96×	1.98
Al Ettifaq odd goals	48.6%	49.6%	47.3%	1.05×	2.02

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	32.0%	32.2%	—	—	3.10
HT 1-0	24.0%	24.2%	—	—	4.13
HT 0-1	12.0%	10.9%	—	—	9.17
HT 1-1	9.5%	7.2%	—	—	13.98
HT 2-0	9.2%	7.2%	—	—	13.98
Any other HT score	4.9%	2.3%	—	—	43.18
HT 2-1	3.5%	2.3%	—	—	43.27
HT 0-2	2.4%	2.3%	—	—	43.36
HT 1-2	1.8%	2.3%	—	—	43.40
HT 2-2	0.7%	2.3%	—	—	43.48

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ettifaq at HT / Al Ettifaq at FT	34.3%	32.9%	—	—	3.04
Draw at HT / Al Ettifaq at FT	18.1%	16.8%	—	—	5.97
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	16.3%	16.7%	—	—	5.97
Al Faisaly at HT / Al Faisaly at FT	9.7%	6.1%	—	—	16.47
Draw at HT / Al Faisaly at FT	7.8%	6.1%	—	—	16.52
Al Ettifaq at HT / Draw at FT	5.1%	6.0%	—	—	16.60
Al Faisaly at HT / Draw at FT	4.5%	3.5%	—	—	28.95
Al Faisaly at HT / Al Ettifaq at FT	2.7%	3.4%	—	—	29.02
Al Ettifaq at HT / Al Faisaly at FT	1.5%	3.4%	—	—	29.06

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ettifaq to score last	59.9%	56.8%	—	—	1.76
Al Faisaly to score last	32.2%	32.9%	—	—	3.04
No goal scored	7.8%	7.5%	—	—	13.31

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	92.2%	92.6%	—	—	1.08
Al Ettifaq to lead by 1 at any time	68.6%	69.6%	—	—	1.44
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	49.2%	44.1%	—	—	2.27
Al Ettifaq to lead by 2 at any time	38.1%	34.9%	—	—	2.87
Al Faisaly to lead by 1 at any time	36.9%	34.8%	—	—	2.87
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	19.7%	15.0%	—	—	6.69
Al Ettifaq to lead by 3 at any time	17.0%	14.9%	—	—	6.71
Al Faisaly to lead by 2 at any time	11.2%	10.4%	—	—	9.58
Al Faisaly to lead by 3 at any time	2.7%	1.6%	—	—	61.69

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	86.2%	87.4%	87.2%	1.00×	1.14
1-4 goals	78.0%	78.5%	75.5%	1.04×	1.27
2-6 goals	74.9%	72.3%	76.3%	0.95×	1.38
2-5 goals	71.1%	72.3%	71.5%	1.01×	1.38
1-3 goals	62.8%	63.2%	59.2%	1.07×	1.58
2-4 goals	62.9%	63.2%	59.8%	1.06×	1.58
3-6 goals	49.3%	48.4%	53.6%	0.90×	2.07
2-3 goals	47.7%	48.4%	43.5%	1.11×	2.07
3-5 goals	45.5%	48.4%	48.8%	0.99×	2.07
1-2 goals	40.7%	43.6%	38.5%	1.13×	2.29
3-4 goals	37.2%	39.3%	37.2%	1.06×	2.55
4-6 goals	27.2%	30.6%	32.9%	0.93×	3.26
4-5 goals	23.4%	24.8%	28.1%	0.88×	4.03
5-6 goals	12.0%	15.0%	16.6%	0.90×	6.65
7+ goals	2.2%	2.6%	2.9%	0.89×	38.97

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ettifaq never behind	55.2%	62.4%	—	—	1.60
Al Faisaly never behind	23.6%	24.4%	—	—	4.09

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	47.1%	51.0%	50.3%	1.01×	1.96
Even number of goals	52.9%	49.0%	49.7%	0.99×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	55.5%	57.4%	—	—	1.74
Odd goals in 1st half	44.5%	42.6%	—	—	2.35

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	53.0%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	47.0%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	94.1%	92.2%	92.3%	1.00×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	92.2%	92.2%	94.7%	0.97×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	85.8%	87.5%	80.7%	1.08×	1.14
Over 1.5 goals	77.1%	77.2%	79.0%	0.98×	1.30
Under 3.5 goals	70.7%	72.4%	64.4%	1.12×	1.38
Over 2.5 goals	51.5%	53.0%	56.3%	0.94×	1.89
Under 2.5 goals	48.5%	47.0%	43.7%	1.08×	2.13
Over 3.5 goals	29.3%	27.6%	35.7%	0.78×	3.62
Under 1.5 goals	22.9%	22.8%	21.0%	1.09×	4.39
Over 4.5 goals	14.2%	12.6%	19.3%	0.65×	7.97
Under 0.5 goals	7.8%	7.8%	5.3%	1.47×	12.85
Over 5.5 goals	5.9%	7.8%	7.7%	1.01×	12.86

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	97.7%	97.1%	97.0%	1.00×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	93.5%	92.4%	91.3%	1.01×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	83.3%	80.6%	76.9%	1.05×	1.24
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	69.2%	67.6%	72.9%	0.93×	1.48
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	62.3%	61.7%	55.0%	1.12×	1.62
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	37.7%	38.3%	45.0%	0.85×	2.61
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	30.8%	32.4%	27.1%	1.19×	3.09
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	16.7%	19.4%	23.1%	0.84×	5.14
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	6.5%	7.6%	8.7%	0.87×	13.16
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	2.3%	2.9%	3.0%	0.95×	35.01

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	89.1%	89.0%	—	—	1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half	68.0%	69.0%	—	—	1.45
Under 1.5 in 1st half	68.0%	69.0%	—	—	1.45
Over 1.5 in 1st half	32.0%	31.0%	—	—	3.23
Under 0.5 in 1st half	32.0%	31.0%	—	—	3.23
Over 2.5 in 1st half	10.9%	11.0%	—	—	9.06

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	79.1%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	78.7%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	52.5%	53.0%	—	—	1.89
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	47.5%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	21.3%	20.2%	—	—	4.94
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	20.9%	20.2%	—	—	4.95

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Faisaly not to score in both halves	86.0%	85.7%	—	—	1.17
Al Ettifaq not to score in both halves	66.1%	70.4%	—	—	1.42
Al Ettifaq to score in both halves	33.9%	29.6%	—	—	3.38
Al Faisaly to score in both halves	14.0%	14.3%	—	—	6.98

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	52.6%	54.3%	56.3%	0.96×	1.84
Only Al Ettifaq scores	30.4%	33.2%	21.9%	1.52×	3.01
Only Al Faisaly scores	9.2%	7.1%	16.8%	0.42×	14.10
Neither team scores	7.8%	7.1%	5.3%	1.34×	14.11

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	25.6%	24.7%	22.8%	1.08×	4.05
Exactly 3 goals	22.1%	22.4%	20.8%	1.08×	4.46
Exactly 1 goals	15.1%	17.5%	15.9%	1.11×	5.70
Exactly 4 goals	15.1%	17.5%	16.5%	1.07×	5.70
Exactly 5 goals	8.3%	7.8%	11.8%	0.66×	12.89
Exactly 0 goals	7.8%	7.8%	5.3%	1.47×	12.89
6 or more goals	5.9%	7.8%	7.7%	1.01×	12.90

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	36.0%	37.1%	—	—	2.70
No goals in 1st half	32.0%	35.9%	—	—	2.79
2 goals in 1st half	21.1%	21.7%	—	—	4.61
3+ goals in 1st half	10.9%	10.9%	—	—	9.14

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	47.5%	45.4%	—	—	2.20
1 goal in 2nd half	31.6%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
No goals in 2nd half	20.9%	23.0%	—	—	4.36

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Faisaly not to win both halves	96.5%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
Al Ettifaq not to win both halves	81.4%	84.1%	—	—	1.19
Al Ettifaq to win both halves	18.6%	15.9%	—	—	6.30
Al Faisaly to win both halves	3.5%	2.8%	—	—	35.77

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ettifaq to win either half	67.1%	67.9%	—	—	1.47
Al Faisaly to win neither half	66.6%	67.9%	—	—	1.47
Al Faisaly to win either half	33.4%	32.1%	—	—	3.12
Al Ettifaq to win neither half	32.9%	32.1%	—	—	3.12

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Faisaly not to win to nil	90.8%	92.1%	83.2%	1.11×	1.09
Al Ettifaq not to win to nil	69.6%	70.2%	78.1%	0.90×	1.42
Al Ettifaq to win to nil	30.4%	29.8%	21.9%	1.36×	3.36
Al Faisaly to win to nil	9.2%	7.9%	16.8%	0.47×	12.67

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	25.9%	27.7%	21.6%	1.28×	3.61
Al Ettifaq by 1	23.2%	24.1%	21.5%	1.12×	4.15
Al Ettifaq by 2	17.4%	16.9%	12.8%	1.32×	5.91
Al Ettifaq by 3+	14.5%	11.8%	9.5%	1.24×	8.50
Al Faisaly by 1	12.0%	11.8%	17.7%	0.67×	8.50
Al Faisaly by 2	5.1%	7.2%	10.6%	0.69×	13.80
Al Faisaly by 3+	1.8%	2.8%	7.1%	0.40×	35.63

Shot-level data has not been ingested for this match yet. Run python -m pipeline.ingest_understat to fill it in.