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Al Ettifaq v Al Hilal — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Thursday 5 November 2026 · KSA-Pro League · 2627

KSA-Pro League results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

dc-xg No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.
Al Ettifaq win
10.6%
Draw
17.8%
Al Hilal win
71.6%

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

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Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
dc-xg 0.92–2.54 0-2 10% 67% 56%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Al Hilal to win 71.6% 73.4% 35.1% 2.09× 1.36
Draw 17.8% 19.4% 21.5% 0.90× 5.15
Al Ettifaq to win 10.6% 13.3% 43.6% 0.31× 7.50
1X2 & GG/NG 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Al Hilal & not both score 35.9% 33.2% 16.8% 1.97× 3.02
Al Hilal & both teams score 35.7% 33.2% 18.4% 1.81× 3.02
Draw & both teams score 13.8% 13.3% 16.4% 0.81× 7.54
Al Ettifaq & both teams score 6.7% 8.4% 21.7% 0.39× 11.94
Draw & not both score 4.0% 4.9% 5.3% 0.93× 20.34
Al Ettifaq & not both score 3.9% 4.9% 22.0% 0.22× 20.35
1X2 & Over/Under 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Al Hilal & over 1.5 64.5% 54.5% 28.4% 1.92× 1.83
Al Hilal & over 2.5 54.3% 48.6% 23.1% 2.11× 2.06
Al Hilal & over 3.5 36.4% 34.8% 13.7% 2.55× 2.87
Al Hilal & under 3.5 35.2% 34.8% 21.5% 1.62× 2.87
Al Hilal & under 2.5 17.3% 18.0% 12.1% 1.48× 5.56
Draw & over 1.5 13.8% 12.9% 16.4% 0.79× 7.76
Draw & under 2.5 12.3% 12.9% 15.9% 0.81× 7.76
Draw & under 3.5 12.3% 12.9% 15.9% 0.81× 7.76
Al Ettifaq & over 1.5 8.6% 7.9% 34.4% 0.23× 12.65
Al Ettifaq & over 2.5 7.2% 7.9% 27.6% 0.29× 12.65
Al Ettifaq & under 3.5 7.1% 7.9% 27.5% 0.29× 12.65
Al Hilal & under 1.5 7.1% 7.9% 6.8% 1.16× 12.65
Draw & over 2.5 5.6% 7.9% 5.8% 1.37× 12.65
Draw & over 3.5 5.6% 7.9% 5.8% 1.37× 12.65
Draw & under 1.5 4.0% 4.8% 5.3% 0.90× 20.86
Al Ettifaq & under 2.5 3.3% 4.8% 16.1% 0.30× 20.86
Al Ettifaq & over 3.5 3.5% 4.8% 16.2% 0.30× 20.86
Al Ettifaq & under 1.5 2.0% 4.8% 9.3% 0.52× 20.87
1X2 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Al Hilal (1UP) 82.0% 87.0% 1.15
Al Ettifaq (1UP) 29.4% 27.2% 3.67
1X2 2UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Al Hilal (2UP) 71.6% 80.3% 1.25
Al Ettifaq (2UP) 10.6% 13.1% 7.64
2nd half 1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Al Hilal to win 2nd half 61.7% 59.0% 1.70
2nd half drawn 26.1% 26.4% 3.79
Al Ettifaq to win 2nd half 12.3% 12.2% 8.18
2nd half away goals O/U 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Al Hilal over 0.5 in 2nd half 78.2% 79.6% 1.26
Al Hilal under 1.5 in 2nd half 55.0% 53.5% 1.87
Al Hilal over 1.5 in 2nd half 45.0% 46.5% 2.15
Al Hilal under 0.5 in 2nd half 21.8% 20.4% 4.91
2nd half home goals O/U 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Al Ettifaq under 1.5 in 2nd half 90.2% 93.1% 1.07
Al Ettifaq under 0.5 in 2nd half 59.2% 59.1% 1.69
Al Ettifaq over 0.5 in 2nd half 40.8% 40.9% 2.44
Al Ettifaq over 1.5 in 2nd half 9.8% 6.9% 14.56
Asian handicap 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Al Hilal (+2.5) 99.1% 96.3% 90.4% 1.06× 1.04
Al Hilal (+1.5) 96.4% 96.3% 77.8% 1.24× 1.04
Al Hilal (+0.5) 89.4% 88.6% 56.4% 1.57× 1.13
Al Hilal (-0.5) 71.6% 73.7% 35.1% 2.10× 1.36
Al Ettifaq (+0.5) 28.4% 26.3% 64.9% 0.40× 3.81
Al Ettifaq (-0.5) 10.6% 11.4% 43.6% 0.26× 8.74
Al Ettifaq (-1.5) 3.6% 3.7% 22.2% 0.17× 26.83
Al Ettifaq (-2.5) 0.9% 3.7% 9.6% 0.39× 27.00
Away clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Al Hilal to concede 60.1% 67.4% 78.0% 0.86× 1.48
Al Hilal clean sheet 39.9% 32.6% 22.0% 1.48× 3.07
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Al Hilal clean sheet in 1st half 67.4% 69.4% 1.44
Al Hilal to concede in 1st half 32.6% 30.6% 3.26
Away clean sheet 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Al Hilal clean sheet in 2nd half 59.2% 58.7% 1.70
Al Hilal to concede in 2nd half 40.8% 41.3% 2.42
Away corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Al Hilal over 2.5 corners 88.1% 85.2% 1.17
Al Hilal over 3.5 corners 77.2% 76.0% 1.32
Al Hilal over 4.5 corners 64.0% 61.8% 1.62
Al Hilal under 6.5 corners 62.3% 61.8% 1.62
Al Hilal over 5.5 corners 50.4% 53.0% 1.89
Al Hilal under 5.5 corners 49.6% 47.0% 2.13
Al Hilal over 6.5 corners 37.7% 38.2% 2.62
Al Hilal under 4.5 corners 36.0% 38.2% 2.62
Al Hilal under 3.5 corners 22.8% 24.0% 4.16
Al Hilal under 2.5 corners 11.9% 14.8% 6.77
Away goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Al Hilal over 0.5 goals 92.1% 92.3% 72.8% 1.27× 1.08
Al Hilal under 3.5 goals 74.9% 71.9% 93.0% 0.77× 1.39
Al Hilal over 1.5 goals 72.1% 71.9% 39.0% 1.84× 1.39
Al Hilal under 2.5 goals 53.4% 53.8% 82.9% 0.65× 1.86
Al Hilal over 2.5 goals 46.6% 46.2% 17.1% 2.70× 2.16
Al Hilal under 1.5 goals 27.9% 28.1% 61.0% 0.46× 3.55
Al Hilal over 3.5 goals 25.1% 28.1% 7.0% 4.03× 3.56
Al Hilal under 0.5 goals 7.9% 7.7% 27.2% 0.28× 13.00
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Al Hilal under 1.5 in 1st half 73.0% 68.6% 1.46
Al Hilal over 0.5 in 1st half 63.8% 64.2% 1.56
Al Hilal under 0.5 in 1st half 36.2% 35.8% 2.79
Al Hilal over 1.5 in 1st half 27.0% 31.4% 3.19
Away highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Al Hilal scores more in 2nd half 49.0% 48.5% 2.06
Al Hilal scores equally in both 25.7% 26.1% 3.84
Al Hilal scores more in 1st half 25.3% 26.1% 3.84
Away no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw (away no bet) 62.8% 62.0% 33.1% 1.87× 1.61
Al Ettifaq (away no bet) 37.2% 38.0% 66.9% 0.57× 2.63
Away Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Al Hilal even goals 50.3% 52.8% 52.7% 1.00× 1.90
Al Hilal odd goals 49.7% 47.2% 47.3% 1.00× 2.12
Both halves O1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves over 1.5 75.0% 77.4% 1.29
Both halves over 1.5 goals 25.0% 22.6% 4.42
Both halves U1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves under 1.5 77.3% 72.6% 1.38
Both halves under 1.5 goals 22.7% 27.4% 3.65
Consecutive goals 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row 72.3% 72.0% 1.39
Al Hilal to score 2+ in a row 65.1% 62.0% 1.61
Either team to score 3+ in a row 38.4% 36.6% 2.74
Al Hilal to score 3+ in a row 36.2% 36.5% 2.74
Al Ettifaq to score 2+ in a row 14.2% 12.2% 8.20
Al Ettifaq to score 3+ in a row 2.6% 2.6% 39.04
Corner handicap 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Al Hilal corners (+3.5) 95.2% 95.8% 1.04
Al Hilal corners (+2.5) 91.6% 89.6% 1.12
Al Hilal corners (+1.5) 86.2% 84.5% 1.18
Al Ettifaq corners (+3.5) 63.2% 61.8% 1.62
Al Hilal corners (-1.5) 58.7% 57.1% 1.75
Al Ettifaq corners (+2.5) 52.5% 52.5% 1.91
Al Hilal corners (-2.5) 47.5% 47.5% 2.10
Al Ettifaq corners (+1.5) 41.3% 42.9% 2.33
Al Hilal corners (-3.5) 36.8% 38.2% 2.62
Al Ettifaq corners (-1.5) 13.8% 15.5% 6.45
Al Ettifaq corners (-2.5) 8.4% 10.4% 9.58
Al Ettifaq corners (-3.5) 4.8% 4.2% 23.62
Corner range 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
0-8 corners 44.3% 38.3% 2.61
9-11 corners 29.4% 31.2% 3.20
12+ corners 26.4% 31.2% 3.20
Corners O/U 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 12.5 corners 80.8% 80.7% 1.24
Under 11.5 corners 73.6% 72.6% 1.38
Over 7.5 corners 66.6% 67.7% 1.48
Under 10.5 corners 65.0% 63.3% 1.58
Over 8.5 corners 55.7% 57.9% 1.73
Under 9.5 corners 55.0% 57.9% 1.73
Over 9.5 corners 45.0% 42.1% 2.37
Under 8.5 corners 44.3% 42.1% 2.37
Over 10.5 corners 35.0% 36.7% 2.73
Under 7.5 corners 33.4% 32.3% 3.10
Over 11.5 corners 26.4% 27.4% 3.65
Over 12.5 corners 19.2% 19.3% 5.18
Corners Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of corners 50.0% 50.2% 1.99
Even number of corners 50.0% 49.8% 2.01
Correct score 26
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Any other score 11.6% 11.4% 5.6% 2.04× 8.74
0-2 10.2% 11.4% 5.5% 2.09× 8.74
0-3 8.6% 7.4% 2.3% 3.26× 13.50
1-2 9.3% 7.4% 7.4% 1.00× 13.50
0-1 7.1% 7.4% 6.8% 1.09× 13.50
1-1 8.2% 7.4% 10.8% 0.69× 13.50
1-3 7.9% 7.4% 3.8% 1.95× 13.50
0-4 5.5% 7.4% 1.1% 6.97× 13.50
1-4 5.0% 7.4% 1.1% 6.97× 13.50
0-0 4.0% 1.7% 5.3% 0.32× 58.30
1-0 2.0% 1.7% 9.3% 0.19× 58.31
2-0 1.3% 1.7% 7.0% 0.25× 58.31
2-1 3.4% 1.7% 8.5% 0.20× 58.30
2-2 4.3% 1.7% 4.9% 0.35× 58.29
2-3 3.6% 1.7% 3.3% 0.51× 58.30
2-4 2.3% 1.7% 1.2% 1.41× 58.31
3-0 0.4% 1.7% 3.2% 0.54× 58.32
3-1 1.0% 1.7% 5.0% 0.34× 58.31
3-2 1.3% 1.7% 3.6% 0.47× 58.31
3-3 1.1% 1.7% 0.9% 1.88× 58.31
3-4 0.7% 1.7% 0.6% 2.83× 58.32
4-0 0.1% 1.7% 2.1% 0.81× 58.32
4-1 0.2% 1.7% 2.4% 0.71× 58.32
4-2 0.3% 1.7% 1.1% 1.61× 58.32
4-3 0.3% 1.7% 0.6% 2.83× 58.32
4-4 0.2% 1.7% 0.3% 5.65× 58.32
DNB 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Al Hilal (2nd half DNB) 83.4% 81.9% 1.22
Al Ettifaq (2nd half DNB) 16.6% 18.1% 5.52
DNB half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Al Hilal leading at HT (DNB) 78.3% 77.9% 1.28
Al Ettifaq leading at HT (DNB) 21.7% 22.1% 4.54
Double chance 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Al Hilal or draw (X2) 89.4% 86.7% 56.4% 1.54× 1.15
Al Ettifaq or Al Hilal (12) 82.2% 80.6% 78.5% 1.03× 1.24
Al Ettifaq or draw (1X) 28.4% 26.6% 64.9% 0.41× 3.76
Double chance 1HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Al Hilal or draw at HT 86.0% 88.0% 1.14
Al Ettifaq or Al Hilal at HT 64.5% 62.1% 1.61
Al Ettifaq or draw at HT 49.5% 52.6% 1.90
Double chance 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Al Hilal or draw (1UP) 89.4% 92.0% 1.09
Al Ettifaq or draw (1UP) 29.4% 32.2% 3.10
Double chance 2HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Al Hilal or draw in 2nd half 87.7% 87.8% 1.14
Al Ettifaq or Al Hilal in 2nd half 73.9% 73.6% 1.36
Al Ettifaq or draw in 2nd half 38.3% 41.0% 2.44
Draw either half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Neither half drawn 48.7% 50.2% 1.99
A half drawn 51.3% 49.8% 2.01
Draw no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Al Hilal (DNB) 87.1% 87.0% 44.6% 1.95× 1.15
Al Ettifaq (DNB) 12.9% 13.0% 55.4% 0.23× 7.72
First goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Al Hilal to score first 70.5% 74.5% 1.34
Al Ettifaq to score first 25.5% 28.0% 3.58
No goal scored 4.0% 4.3% 23.29
GG/NG 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams to score 56.3% 54.9% 56.1% 0.98× 1.82
Not both teams to score 43.7% 45.1% 43.9% 1.03× 2.22
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both score & over 2.5 48.0% 44.2% 45.5% 0.97× 2.26
Not both score & under 2.5 24.6% 27.8% 33.2% 0.84× 3.60
Not both score & over 2.5 19.1% 21.7% 10.8% 2.01× 4.61
Both score & under 2.5 8.2% 8.3% 10.8% 0.77× 11.99
GG/NG 2+ 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 2+ 83.1% 82.9% 83.6% 0.99× 1.21
Both teams to score 2+ 16.9% 17.1% 16.4% 1.05× 5.83
GG/NG 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half 67.8% 67.6% 1.48
Both teams to score in 2nd half 32.2% 32.4% 3.09
GG/NG by half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Neither half both score 53.5% 56.0% 1.79
Both score 2nd half only 25.6% 26.5% 3.77
Both score 1st half only 14.3% 10.8% 9.30
Both score in both halves 6.6% 6.8% 14.81
GG/NG half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score by HT 79.0% 81.5% 1.23
Both teams to score by HT 21.0% 18.5% 5.40
Goal in both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A goal in each half 66.3% 66.7% 1.50
A half without a goal 33.7% 33.3% 3.00
Goal range 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2-3 goals 41.4% 42.0% 43.7% 0.96× 2.38
4-6 goals 39.3% 35.1% 32.6% 1.08× 2.85
0-1 goals 13.1% 16.9% 21.1% 0.80× 5.92
7+ goals 6.1% 7.6% 2.9% 2.63× 13.18
Goals away 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Al Hilal to score 3+ 46.6% 42.7% 17.1% 2.49× 2.34
Al Hilal to score exactly 2 25.5% 27.4% 22.0% 1.24× 3.65
Al Hilal to score exactly 1 20.0% 22.4% 34.0% 0.66× 4.47
Al Hilal to score exactly 0 7.9% 8.5% 27.2% 0.31× 11.71
Goals home 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Al Ettifaq to score exactly 0 39.9% 35.6% 22.0% 1.62× 2.81
Al Ettifaq to score exactly 1 36.7% 35.6% 32.5% 1.10× 2.81
Al Ettifaq to score exactly 2 16.8% 18.9% 24.9% 0.76× 5.29
Al Ettifaq to score 3+ 6.6% 10.3% 20.9% 0.49× 9.68
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Al Hilal leading at HT 50.5% 47.4% 2.11
Draw at HT 35.5% 37.9% 2.64
Al Ettifaq leading at HT 14.0% 12.0% 8.33
Handicap 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Al Hilal -1: 2 50.7% 52.0% 1.92
Al Hilal -1: 1 28.4% 26.6% 3.76
Al Hilal -1: X 20.9% 23.6% 4.24
Handicap 0:1 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Al Hilal (0:1) 89.4% 89.5% 56.4% 1.58× 1.12
Draw (0:1) 7.0% 9.3% 21.5% 0.43× 10.79
Al Ettifaq (0:1) 3.6% 5.8% 22.2% 0.26× 17.31
Handicap 0:2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Al Hilal (0:2) 96.4% 94.1% 77.8% 1.21× 1.06
Draw (0:2) 2.7% 3.8% 12.7% 0.30× 26.45
Al Ettifaq (0:2) 0.9% 3.8% 9.6% 0.39× 26.56
Handicap 0:3 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Al Hilal (0:3) 99.1% 96.6% 90.4% 1.07× 1.04
Draw (0:3) 0.7% 2.4% 5.6% 0.42× 42.20
Al Ettifaq (0:3) 0.2% 2.4% 4.1% 0.58× 42.22
Handicap 0:4 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Al Hilal (0:4) 99.8% 98.1% 95.9% 1.02× 1.02
Al Ettifaq (0:4) 0.0% 1.2% 1.4% 0.87× 83.75
Draw (0:4) 0.1% 1.2% 2.9% 0.41× 83.74
Handicap 1:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Al Hilal (1:0) 50.7% 53.9% 17.5% 3.09× 1.86
Al Ettifaq (1:0) 28.4% 25.1% 64.9% 0.39× 3.98
Draw (1:0) 20.9% 21.8% 17.8% 1.23× 4.58
Handicap 2:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Al Ettifaq (2:0) 49.3% 48.6% 82.5% 0.59× 2.06
Al Hilal (2:0) 29.9% 24.4% 7.1% 3.42× 4.10
Draw (2:0) 20.8% 19.1% 10.5% 1.83× 5.23
Highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 51.5% 50.3% 1.99
1st half highest scoring 25.8% 26.5% 3.78
Halves equal 22.7% 24.1% 4.15
Home clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Al Ettifaq to concede 92.1% 93.1% 72.8% 1.28× 1.07
Al Ettifaq clean sheet 7.9% 6.9% 27.2% 0.25× 14.55
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Al Ettifaq to concede in 1st half 63.8% 64.2% 1.56
Al Ettifaq clean sheet in 1st half 36.2% 35.8% 2.79
Home clean sheet 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Al Ettifaq to concede in 2nd half 78.2% 83.5% 1.20
Al Ettifaq clean sheet in 2nd half 21.8% 16.5% 6.06
Home corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Al Ettifaq under 6.5 corners 90.9% 89.3% 1.12
Al Ettifaq under 5.5 corners 83.5% 81.0% 1.24
Al Ettifaq under 4.5 corners 71.9% 71.9% 1.39
Al Ettifaq over 2.5 corners 63.2% 62.2% 1.61
Al Ettifaq under 3.5 corners 55.9% 57.6% 1.74
Al Ettifaq over 3.5 corners 44.1% 42.4% 2.36
Al Ettifaq under 2.5 corners 36.8% 37.8% 2.65
Al Ettifaq over 4.5 corners 28.1% 28.1% 3.56
Al Ettifaq over 5.5 corners 16.5% 19.0% 5.26
Al Ettifaq over 6.5 corners 9.1% 10.7% 9.32
Home goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Al Ettifaq under 3.5 goals 98.6% 96.3% 92.0% 1.05× 1.04
Al Ettifaq under 2.5 goals 93.4% 92.2% 79.1% 1.17× 1.08
Al Ettifaq under 1.5 goals 76.6% 77.7% 54.3% 1.43× 1.29
Al Ettifaq over 0.5 goals 60.1% 63.5% 78.0% 0.81× 1.58
Al Ettifaq under 0.5 goals 39.9% 36.5% 22.0% 1.66× 2.74
Al Ettifaq over 1.5 goals 23.4% 22.3% 45.7% 0.49× 4.49
Al Ettifaq over 2.5 goals 6.6% 7.8% 20.9% 0.37× 12.89
Al Ettifaq over 3.5 goals 1.4% 3.7% 8.0% 0.45× 27.38
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Al Ettifaq under 1.5 in 1st half 94.0% 95.5% 1.05
Al Ettifaq under 0.5 in 1st half 67.4% 68.0% 1.47
Al Ettifaq over 0.5 in 1st half 32.6% 32.0% 3.13
Al Ettifaq over 1.5 in 1st half 6.0% 4.5% 22.36
Home highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Al Ettifaq scores equally in both 48.6% 47.1% 2.12
Al Ettifaq scores more in 2nd half 30.1% 32.7% 3.05
Al Ettifaq scores more in 1st half 21.3% 21.5% 4.65
Home no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Al Hilal (home no bet) 80.1% 85.3% 61.9% 1.38× 1.17
Draw (home no bet) 19.9% 14.7% 38.1% 0.39× 6.82
Home Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Al Ettifaq even goals 58.0% 55.3% 53.0% 1.05× 1.81
Al Ettifaq odd goals 42.0% 44.7% 47.0% 0.95× 2.24
HT correct score 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
HT 0-1 24.6% 24.2% 4.13
HT 0-0 24.5% 24.2% 4.13
HT 0-2 12.6% 10.9% 9.15
HT 1-1 9.9% 7.2% 13.98
HT 1-0 9.5% 7.1% 13.99
Any other HT score 9.0% 7.1% 14.00
HT 1-2 5.0% 2.3% 43.34
HT 2-1 1.9% 2.3% 43.56
HT 2-0 1.9% 2.3% 43.56
HT 2-2 1.0% 2.3% 43.63
HT/FT 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Al Hilal at HT / Al Hilal at FT 46.1% 44.4% 2.25
Draw at HT / Al Hilal at FT 21.3% 21.7% 4.61
Draw at HT / Draw at FT 10.3% 12.6% 7.91
Al Ettifaq at HT / Al Ettifaq at FT 5.8% 6.0% 16.71
Al Ettifaq at HT / Draw at FT 4.0% 3.5% 28.76
Al Ettifaq at HT / Al Hilal at FT 4.2% 3.5% 28.76
Draw at HT / Al Ettifaq at FT 3.9% 3.5% 28.77
Al Hilal at HT / Draw at FT 3.5% 3.5% 28.78
Al Hilal at HT / Al Ettifaq at FT 0.9% 3.5% 28.89
Last goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Al Hilal to score last 70.7% 72.1% 1.39
Al Ettifaq to score last 25.3% 26.7% 3.74
No goal scored 4.0% 4.3% 23.29
Lead at any time 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time 96.0% 95.6% 1.05
Al Hilal to lead by 1 at any time 82.0% 87.1% 1.15
Either team to lead by 2 at any time 64.6% 61.5% 1.63
Al Hilal to lead by 2 at any time 57.5% 55.1% 1.82
Either team to lead by 3 at any time 35.3% 34.8% 2.88
Al Hilal to lead by 3 at any time 33.7% 29.4% 3.40
Al Ettifaq to lead by 1 at any time 29.4% 25.5% 3.92
Al Ettifaq to lead by 2 at any time 7.5% 6.6% 15.10
Al Ettifaq to lead by 3 at any time 1.6% 1.6% 62.81
Most corners 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Al Hilal most corners 69.4% 64.7% 1.55
Al Ettifaq most corners 21.2% 25.8% 3.88
Corners level 9.4% 8.4% 11.90
Multi goal 15
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-5 goals 82.3% 83.4% 87.3% 0.96× 1.20
2-6 goals 80.7% 83.4% 76.2% 1.10× 1.20
2-5 goals 73.2% 72.4% 71.5% 1.01× 1.38
1-4 goals 69.3% 68.9% 75.6% 0.91× 1.45
3-6 goals 61.0% 63.4% 53.4% 1.19× 1.58
2-4 goals 60.2% 63.4% 59.8% 1.06× 1.58
3-5 goals 53.5% 53.2% 48.7% 1.09× 1.88
1-3 goals 50.5% 53.1% 59.5% 0.89× 1.88
2-3 goals 41.4% 43.6% 43.7% 1.00× 2.30
3-4 goals 40.5% 43.6% 37.0% 1.18× 2.30
4-6 goals 39.3% 39.2% 32.6% 1.20× 2.55
4-5 goals 31.8% 35.3% 27.9% 1.26× 2.83
1-2 goals 28.8% 30.3% 38.7% 0.78× 3.30
5-6 goals 20.5% 24.5% 16.5% 1.48× 4.08
7+ goals 6.1% 8.8% 2.9% 3.06× 11.33
Never down 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Al Hilal never behind 66.6% 70.1% 1.43
Al Ettifaq never behind 14.0% 13.2% 7.60
Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of goals 48.2% 50.8% 50.5% 1.01× 1.97
Even number of goals 51.8% 49.2% 49.5% 0.99× 2.03
Odd/Even 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 1st half 53.3% 51.7% 1.94
Odd goals in 1st half 46.7% 48.3% 2.07
Odd/Even 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 2nd half 51.4% 52.0% 1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half 48.6% 48.0% 2.08
Over/Under 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 0.5 goals 96.0% 95.4% 94.7% 1.01× 1.05
Over 1.5 goals 86.9% 87.6% 78.9% 1.11× 1.14
Under 5.5 goals 86.4% 87.6% 92.4% 0.95× 1.14
Under 4.5 goals 73.4% 72.5% 80.7% 0.90× 1.38
Over 2.5 goals 67.2% 66.2% 56.1% 1.18× 1.51
Under 3.5 goals 54.6% 52.6% 64.6% 0.81× 1.90
Over 3.5 goals 45.4% 47.4% 35.4% 1.34× 2.11
Under 2.5 goals 32.8% 33.8% 43.9% 0.77× 2.96
Over 4.5 goals 26.6% 27.5% 19.3% 1.43× 3.63
Over 5.5 goals 13.6% 12.4% 7.6% 1.63× 8.07
Under 1.5 goals 13.1% 12.4% 21.1% 0.59× 8.07
Under 0.5 goals 4.0% 4.6% 5.3% 0.86× 21.92
Over/Under (whole line) 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6) 93.4% 92.4% 97.0% 0.95× 1.08
Under 5 (void on exactly 5) 84.3% 81.0% 91.4% 0.89× 1.23
Over 2 (void on exactly 2) 83.6% 81.0% 72.7% 1.11× 1.23
Under 4 (void on exactly 4) 67.2% 67.5% 77.0% 0.88× 1.48
Over 3 (void on exactly 3) 58.0% 55.6% 44.6% 1.25× 1.80
Under 3 (void on exactly 3) 42.0% 44.4% 55.4% 0.80× 2.25
Over 4 (void on exactly 4) 32.8% 32.5% 23.0% 1.42× 3.07
Under 2 (void on exactly 2) 16.4% 19.0% 27.3% 0.69× 5.27
Over 5 (void on exactly 5) 15.7% 19.0% 8.6% 2.21× 5.27
Over 6 (void on exactly 6) 6.6% 7.6% 3.0% 2.51× 13.16
Over/Under 1HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half 83.1% 86.3% 1.16
Over 0.5 in 1st half 75.5% 78.7% 1.27
Under 1.5 in 1st half 58.6% 62.8% 1.59
Over 1.5 in 1st half 41.4% 37.2% 2.69
Under 0.5 in 1st half 24.5% 21.3% 4.70
Over 2.5 in 1st half 16.9% 13.7% 7.29
Over/Under 2HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half 86.8% 85.4% 1.17
Under 2.5 in 2nd half 66.4% 67.4% 1.48
Over 1.5 in 2nd half 61.0% 61.5% 1.63
Under 1.5 in 2nd half 39.0% 38.5% 2.60
Over 2.5 in 2nd half 33.6% 32.6% 3.07
Under 0.5 in 2nd half 13.2% 14.6% 6.83
Score both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Al Ettifaq not to score in both halves 86.7% 85.8% 1.17
Al Hilal not to score in both halves 50.1% 55.4% 1.81
Al Hilal to score in both halves 49.9% 44.6% 2.24
Al Ettifaq to score in both halves 13.3% 14.2% 7.02
Teams to score 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams score 56.3% 58.4% 56.1% 1.04× 1.71
Only Al Hilal scores 35.9% 39.8% 16.8% 2.36× 2.51
Neither team scores 4.0% 4.7% 5.3% 0.88× 21.43
Only Al Ettifaq scores 3.9% 4.7% 22.0% 0.21× 21.44
Total goals 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Exactly 3 goals 21.7% 22.6% 20.9% 1.08× 4.43
Exactly 2 goals 19.7% 17.4% 22.9% 0.76× 5.73
Exactly 4 goals 18.8% 17.4% 16.2% 1.07× 5.73
6 or more goals 13.6% 12.1% 7.6% 1.59× 8.27
Exactly 5 goals 13.0% 12.1% 11.8% 1.02× 8.27
Exactly 1 goals 9.1% 7.6% 15.9% 0.48× 13.08
Exactly 0 goals 4.0% 4.5% 5.3% 0.84× 22.41
Total goals 1st half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1 goal in 1st half 34.1% 35.9% 2.78
No goals in 1st half 24.5% 21.7% 4.60
2 goals in 1st half 24.4% 21.7% 4.60
3+ goals in 1st half 16.9% 15.2% 6.57
Total goals 2nd half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half 61.0% 58.3% 1.72
1 goal in 2nd half 25.8% 29.7% 3.36
No goals in 2nd half 13.2% 14.5% 6.91
Win both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Al Ettifaq not to win both halves 98.2% 97.3% 1.03
Al Hilal not to win both halves 68.6% 70.5% 1.42
Al Hilal to win both halves 31.4% 29.5% 3.39
Al Ettifaq to win both halves 1.8% 2.7% 36.53
Win either half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Al Hilal to win either half 80.8% 82.7% 1.21
Al Ettifaq to win neither half 75.5% 79.5% 1.26
Al Ettifaq to win either half 24.5% 20.5% 4.88
Al Hilal to win neither half 19.2% 17.3% 5.78
Win to nil 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Al Ettifaq not to win to nil 96.1% 96.0% 78.0% 1.23× 1.04
Al Hilal not to win to nil 64.1% 66.8% 83.2% 0.80× 1.50
Al Hilal to win to nil 35.9% 33.2% 16.8% 1.97× 3.01
Al Ettifaq to win to nil 3.9% 4.0% 22.0% 0.18× 25.28
Winning margin 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Al Hilal by 3+ 29.9% 27.9% 7.1% 3.91× 3.59
Al Hilal by 1 20.9% 24.2% 17.8% 1.36× 4.14
Al Hilal by 2 20.8% 24.2% 10.5% 2.31× 4.14
Draw 17.8% 16.9% 21.5% 0.79× 5.91
Al Ettifaq by 1 7.0% 7.2% 21.5% 0.34× 13.81
Al Ettifaq by 2 2.7% 2.7% 12.7% 0.21× 36.67
Al Ettifaq by 3+ 0.9% 2.7% 9.6% 0.28× 36.73
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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