Al Ettifaq v Al Ittihad FC — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Tuesday 20 October 2026 · KSA-Pro League · 2627

KSA-Pro League results-only Prediction generated 10 Sep 2026, 06:01 UTC

Al Ettifaq

18:00 UTC

Al Ittihad FC

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 5 Sep, 22:23 · 1,076h before kick-off

Al Ettifaq win

32.8%

model 34.5%

Draw

28.3%

model 26.5%

Al Ittihad FC win

38.9%

model 39.0%

332839

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (5,276 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 12.3%
1-2 8.7%
2-1 8.1%
2-2 6.4%
0-1 6.3%

Goals

Over 2.5	58.7%	Under 2.5	41.3%
BTTS yes	62.3%	BTTS no	37.7%
Al Ettifaq 1+	77.0%	Al Ettifaq 2+	43.2%
Al Ittihad FC 1+	79.3%	Al Ittihad FC 2+	46.7%

Expected goals 1.47 – 1.58. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

73/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

91%

★ Best pick

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

★ Most likely to land

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

Positive factors

Al Ittihad FC carry the stronger rating, 1627 Elo against 1517.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Al Ittihad FC have an estimated 38.9% win probability, against 32.8% for Al Ettifaq and 28.3% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.47 for Al Ettifaq and 1.57 for Al Ittihad FC.

Why Al Ettifaq

Nothing in the data singles out Al Ettifaq.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 28.3%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.47 to 1.57. Draws run at 21% in this competition.

Why Al Ittihad FC can win

Al Ittihad FC carry the stronger rating, 1627 Elo against 1517.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Al Ettifaq, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Al Ittihad FC, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Al Ettifaq: 55% possession, 14.8 shots a match, 12.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Al Ittihad FC: 47% possession, 14.2 shots a match, 15.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Al Ettifaq's shot volume meets a defence that concedes shots freely.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-05 22:20 · team_stats 2026-09-05 09:41 · availability 2026-09-05 21:03 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Al Ittihad FC are the model's most likely outcome at 38.9%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 12.3%. Confidence 73/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
dc-xg	262648	1.28–1.80	1-1 12%	59%	61%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ittihad FC to win	48.3%	47.4%	35.1%	1.35×	2.11
Al Ettifaq to win	26.0%	27.8%	43.6%	0.64×	3.59
Draw	25.7%	27.8%	21.5%	1.29×	3.59

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ittihad FC & both teams score	26.3%	25.1%	18.4%	1.37×	3.98
Al Ittihad FC & not both score	22.0%	21.8%	16.8%	1.30×	4.58
Draw & both teams score	19.8%	17.9%	16.4%	1.09×	5.58
Al Ettifaq & both teams score	15.3%	17.9%	21.7%	0.83×	5.58
Al Ettifaq & not both score	10.7%	13.3%	22.0%	0.60×	7.54
Draw & not both score	5.9%	8.4%	5.3%	1.58×	11.94

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ittihad FC & over 1.5	41.3%	40.3%	28.4%	1.42×	2.48
Al Ittihad FC & over 2.5	33.8%	30.8%	23.1%	1.34×	3.24
Al Ittihad FC & under 3.5	28.5%	26.0%	21.5%	1.21×	3.84
Al Ettifaq & over 1.5	21.3%	21.6%	34.4%	0.63×	4.63
Al Ittihad FC & over 3.5	19.8%	18.0%	13.7%	1.32×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	19.8%	18.0%	16.4%	1.10×	5.56
Draw & under 2.5	17.8%	18.0%	15.9%	1.13×	5.56
Draw & under 3.5	17.8%	18.0%	15.9%	1.13×	5.56
Al Ettifaq & over 2.5	17.6%	18.0%	27.6%	0.65×	5.56
Al Ettifaq & under 3.5	16.8%	18.0%	27.5%	0.65×	5.56
Al Ittihad FC & under 2.5	14.5%	12.9%	12.1%	1.06×	7.76
Al Ettifaq & over 3.5	9.2%	7.9%	16.2%	0.49×	12.65
Draw & over 2.5	7.9%	7.9%	5.8%	1.37×	12.65
Draw & over 3.5	7.9%	7.9%	5.8%	1.37×	12.65
Al Ettifaq & under 2.5	8.4%	7.9%	16.1%	0.49×	12.65
Al Ittihad FC & under 1.5	7.0%	7.9%	6.8%	1.16×	12.65
Draw & under 1.5	5.9%	7.9%	5.3%	1.49×	12.65
Al Ettifaq & under 1.5	4.6%	4.8%	9.3%	0.52×	20.85

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ittihad FC (1UP)	65.0%	69.8%	—	—	1.43
Al Ettifaq (1UP)	46.1%	43.2%	—	—	2.32

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ittihad FC (2UP)	48.3%	50.0%	—	—	2.00
Al Ettifaq (2UP)	26.0%	24.7%	—	—	4.05

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ittihad FC to win 2nd half	43.0%	41.2%	—	—	2.43
2nd half drawn	33.0%	34.5%	—	—	2.90
Al Ettifaq to win 2nd half	24.0%	23.2%	—	—	4.32

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ittihad FC under 1.5 in 2nd half	70.8%	75.0%	—	—	1.33
Al Ittihad FC over 0.5 in 2nd half	65.9%	70.7%	—	—	1.42
Al Ittihad FC under 0.5 in 2nd half	34.1%	29.3%	—	—	3.41
Al Ittihad FC over 1.5 in 2nd half	29.2%	25.0%	—	—	4.00

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ettifaq under 1.5 in 2nd half	83.5%	82.5%	—	—	1.21
Al Ettifaq over 0.5 in 2nd half	51.7%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Al Ettifaq under 0.5 in 2nd half	48.3%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Al Ettifaq over 1.5 in 2nd half	16.5%	17.5%	—	—	5.73

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ittihad FC (+2.5)	96.2%	96.3%	90.4%	1.06×	1.04
Al Ittihad FC (+1.5)	88.6%	88.6%	77.8%	1.14×	1.13
Al Ittihad FC (+0.5)	74.0%	73.8%	56.4%	1.31×	1.36
Al Ettifaq (+0.5)	51.7%	52.4%	64.9%	0.81×	1.91
Al Ittihad FC (-0.5)	48.3%	47.6%	35.1%	1.36×	2.10
Al Ettifaq (-0.5)	26.0%	26.2%	43.6%	0.60×	3.81
Al Ettifaq (-1.5)	11.4%	11.4%	22.2%	0.52×	8.74
Al Ettifaq (-2.5)	3.8%	3.7%	9.6%	0.39×	26.81

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ittihad FC to concede	72.1%	76.6%	78.0%	0.98×	1.31
Al Ittihad FC clean sheet	27.9%	23.4%	22.0%	1.06×	4.27

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ittihad FC clean sheet in 1st half	57.8%	58.5%	—	—	1.71
Al Ittihad FC to concede in 1st half	42.2%	41.5%	—	—	2.41

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ittihad FC to concede in 2nd half	51.7%	52.7%	—	—	1.90
Al Ittihad FC clean sheet in 2nd half	48.3%	47.3%	—	—	2.12

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ittihad FC over 2.5 corners	86.2%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Al Ittihad FC over 3.5 corners	74.2%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Al Ittihad FC under 6.5 corners	66.2%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Al Ittihad FC over 4.5 corners	60.3%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Al Ittihad FC under 5.5 corners	53.7%	53.1%	—	—	1.89
Al Ittihad FC over 5.5 corners	46.3%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Al Ittihad FC under 4.5 corners	39.7%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Al Ittihad FC over 6.5 corners	33.8%	32.4%	—	—	3.08
Al Ittihad FC under 3.5 corners	25.8%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Al Ittihad FC under 2.5 corners	13.8%	14.8%	—	—	6.76

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ittihad FC under 3.5 goals	89.2%	87.9%	93.0%	0.94×	1.14
Al Ittihad FC over 0.5 goals	83.4%	81.4%	72.8%	1.12×	1.23
Al Ittihad FC under 2.5 goals	73.2%	71.9%	82.9%	0.87×	1.39
Al Ittihad FC over 1.5 goals	53.6%	53.8%	39.0%	1.38×	1.86
Al Ittihad FC under 1.5 goals	46.4%	46.2%	61.0%	0.76×	2.16
Al Ittihad FC over 2.5 goals	26.8%	28.1%	17.1%	1.64×	3.56
Al Ittihad FC under 0.5 goals	16.6%	18.6%	27.2%	0.69×	5.37
Al Ittihad FC over 3.5 goals	10.8%	12.1%	7.0%	1.74×	8.24

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ittihad FC under 1.5 in 1st half	83.8%	83.1%	—	—	1.20
Al Ittihad FC over 0.5 in 1st half	51.2%	55.6%	—	—	1.80
Al Ittihad FC under 0.5 in 1st half	48.8%	44.4%	—	—	2.25
Al Ittihad FC over 1.5 in 1st half	16.2%	16.9%	—	—	5.92

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ittihad FC scores more in 2nd half	43.7%	43.8%	—	—	2.28
Al Ittihad FC scores equally in both	32.2%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Al Ittihad FC scores more in 1st half	24.2%	22.4%	—	—	4.46

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ettifaq (away no bet)	50.3%	51.5%	66.9%	0.77×	1.94
Draw (away no bet)	49.7%	48.5%	33.1%	1.47×	2.06

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ittihad FC even goals	51.4%	52.8%	52.7%	1.00×	1.90
Al Ittihad FC odd goals	48.6%	47.2%	47.3%	1.00×	2.12

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	80.5%	82.9%	—	—	1.21
Both halves over 1.5 goals	19.5%	17.1%	—	—	5.83

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	71.2%	67.3%	—	—	1.49
Both halves under 1.5 goals	28.8%	32.7%	—	—	3.05

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	62.2%	59.9%	—	—	1.67
Al Ittihad FC to score 2+ in a row	44.1%	38.4%	—	—	2.61
Al Ettifaq to score 2+ in a row	26.4%	25.0%	—	—	4.00
Either team to score 3+ in a row	24.4%	19.5%	—	—	5.12
Al Ittihad FC to score 3+ in a row	17.6%	16.3%	—	—	6.13
Al Ettifaq to score 3+ in a row	7.2%	5.6%	—	—	17.75

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ittihad FC corners (+3.5)	91.7%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Al Ittihad FC corners (+2.5)	86.7%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Al Ittihad FC corners (+1.5)	79.8%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Al Ettifaq corners (+3.5)	71.0%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Al Ettifaq corners (+2.5)	61.2%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Al Ettifaq corners (+1.5)	50.4%	52.5%	—	—	1.91
Al Ittihad FC corners (-1.5)	49.6%	47.5%	—	—	2.10
Al Ittihad FC corners (-2.5)	38.8%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Al Ittihad FC corners (-3.5)	29.0%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Al Ettifaq corners (-1.5)	20.2%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Al Ettifaq corners (-2.5)	13.3%	15.5%	—	—	6.45
Al Ettifaq corners (-3.5)	8.3%	10.4%	—	—	9.58

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	41.7%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
9-11 corners	29.8%	31.2%	—	—	3.20
12+ corners	28.6%	31.2%	—	—	3.20

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	78.9%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 11.5 corners	71.4%	72.6%	—	—	1.38
Over 7.5 corners	69.0%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Under 10.5 corners	62.5%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Over 8.5 corners	58.3%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 9.5 corners	52.4%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 9.5 corners	47.6%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Under 8.5 corners	41.7%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Over 10.5 corners	37.5%	36.7%	—	—	2.72
Under 7.5 corners	31.0%	32.3%	—	—	3.10
Over 11.5 corners	28.6%	27.4%	—	—	3.65
Over 12.5 corners	21.1%	23.4%	—	—	4.27

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	11.9%	11.4%	10.8%	1.06×	8.74
1-2	9.5%	7.4%	7.4%	1.00×	13.50
0-1	7.0%	7.4%	6.8%	1.09×	13.50
0-2	7.5%	7.4%	5.5%	1.36×	13.50
2-1	6.8%	7.4%	8.5%	0.87×	13.50
0-0	5.9%	7.4%	5.3%	1.39×	13.50
1-3	5.7%	7.4%	3.8%	1.95×	13.50
2-2	6.1%	7.4%	4.9%	1.53×	13.50
0-3	4.5%	1.7%	2.3%	0.75×	58.29
0-4	2.0%	1.7%	1.1%	1.61×	58.31
1-0	4.6%	1.7%	9.3%	0.19×	58.29
1-4	2.6%	1.7%	1.1%	1.61×	58.30
2-0	3.8%	1.7%	7.0%	0.25×	58.30
2-3	3.6%	1.7%	3.3%	0.51×	58.30
2-4	1.6%	1.7%	1.2%	1.41×	58.31
3-0	1.6%	1.7%	3.2%	0.54×	58.31
3-1	2.9%	1.7%	5.0%	0.34×	58.30
3-2	2.6%	1.7%	3.6%	0.47×	58.30
3-3	1.5%	1.7%	0.9%	1.88×	58.31
3-4	0.7%	1.7%	0.6%	2.83×	58.32
4-0	0.5%	1.7%	2.1%	0.81×	58.32
4-1	0.9%	1.7%	2.4%	0.71×	58.31
4-2	0.8%	1.7%	1.1%	1.61×	58.31
4-3	0.5%	1.7%	0.6%	2.83×	58.32
4-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.3%	5.65×	58.32
Any other score	4.5%	1.7%	5.6%	0.31×	58.29

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ittihad FC (2nd half DNB)	64.2%	61.5%	—	—	1.63
Al Ettifaq (2nd half DNB)	35.8%	38.5%	—	—	2.59

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ittihad FC leading at HT (DNB)	58.9%	58.6%	—	—	1.71
Al Ettifaq leading at HT (DNB)	41.1%	41.4%	—	—	2.42

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ettifaq or Al Ittihad FC (12)	74.3%	72.2%	78.5%	0.92×	1.39
Al Ittihad FC or draw (X2)	74.0%	72.2%	56.4%	1.28×	1.39
Al Ettifaq or draw (1X)	51.7%	52.6%	64.9%	0.81×	1.90

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ittihad FC or draw at HT	75.7%	79.9%	—	—	1.25
Al Ettifaq or draw at HT	65.2%	66.2%	—	—	1.51
Al Ettifaq or Al Ittihad FC at HT	59.1%	57.0%	—	—	1.76

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ittihad FC or draw (1UP)	74.0%	80.3%	—	—	1.25
Al Ettifaq or draw (1UP)	51.7%	59.1%	—	—	1.69

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ittihad FC or draw in 2nd half	76.0%	76.8%	—	—	1.30
Al Ettifaq or Al Ittihad FC in 2nd half	67.0%	65.5%	—	—	1.53
Al Ettifaq or draw in 2nd half	57.0%	58.8%	—	—	1.70

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	58.9%	58.0%	—	—	1.72
Neither half drawn	41.1%	42.0%	—	—	2.38

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ittihad FC (DNB)	65.0%	67.2%	44.6%	1.51×	1.49
Al Ettifaq (DNB)	35.0%	32.8%	55.4%	0.59×	3.05

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ittihad FC to score first	55.0%	54.0%	—	—	1.85
Al Ettifaq to score first	39.1%	32.9%	—	—	3.04
No goal scored	5.9%	7.5%	—	—	13.42

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	61.4%	56.5%	56.1%	1.01×	1.77
Not both teams to score	38.6%	43.5%	43.9%	0.99×	2.30

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	49.5%	44.3%	45.5%	0.97×	2.26
Not both score & under 2.5	28.9%	33.6%	33.2%	1.01×	2.98
Both score & under 2.5	11.9%	12.3%	10.8%	1.14×	8.11
Not both score & over 2.5	9.8%	8.3%	10.8%	0.77×	11.99

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	80.5%	82.8%	83.6%	0.99×	1.21
Both teams to score 2+	19.5%	17.2%	16.4%	1.05×	5.82

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	65.5%	67.5%	—	—	1.48
Both teams to score in 2nd half	34.5%	32.5%	—	—	3.08

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	51.0%	55.8%	—	—	1.79
Both score 2nd half only	27.1%	26.6%	—	—	3.76
Both score 1st half only	14.5%	10.8%	—	—	9.29
Both score in both halves	7.4%	6.8%	—	—	14.77

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	78.1%	81.5%	—	—	1.23
Both teams to score by HT	21.9%	18.5%	—	—	5.39

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	60.6%	58.6%	—	—	1.71
A half without a goal	39.4%	41.4%	—	—	2.42

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	45.5%	47.3%	43.7%	1.08×	2.12
4-6 goals	33.2%	30.8%	32.6%	0.94×	3.25
0-1 goals	17.6%	20.3%	21.1%	0.96×	4.93
7+ goals	3.7%	1.8%	2.9%	0.64×	54.51

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ittihad FC to score exactly 1	29.8%	27.4%	34.0%	0.81×	3.65
Al Ittihad FC to score exactly 2	26.8%	27.4%	22.0%	1.24×	3.65
Al Ittihad FC to score 3+	26.8%	27.4%	17.1%	1.60×	3.65
Al Ittihad FC to score exactly 0	16.6%	19.6%	27.2%	0.72×	5.10

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ettifaq to score exactly 1	35.6%	35.6%	32.5%	1.10×	2.81
Al Ettifaq to score exactly 0	27.9%	26.5%	22.0%	1.20×	3.77
Al Ettifaq to score exactly 2	22.7%	23.2%	24.9%	0.93×	4.31
Al Ettifaq to score 3+	13.7%	14.4%	20.9%	0.69×	6.94

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	40.9%	43.0%	—	—	2.33
Al Ittihad FC leading at HT	34.8%	33.8%	—	—	2.96
Al Ettifaq leading at HT	24.3%	20.1%	—	—	4.97

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ittihad FC -1: 1	51.7%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Al Ittihad FC -1: 2	27.3%	26.6%	—	—	3.77
Al Ittihad FC -1: X	21.0%	23.6%	—	—	4.24

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ittihad FC (0:1)	74.0%	71.2%	56.4%	1.26×	1.41
Draw (0:1)	14.6%	13.8%	21.5%	0.64×	7.23
Al Ettifaq (0:1)	11.4%	13.8%	22.2%	0.62×	7.25

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ittihad FC (0:2)	88.6%	87.0%	77.8%	1.12×	1.15
Draw (0:2)	7.6%	7.7%	12.7%	0.60×	12.97
Al Ettifaq (0:2)	3.8%	3.8%	9.6%	0.40×	26.39

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ittihad FC (0:3)	96.2%	96.6%	90.4%	1.07×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	2.8%	2.4%	5.6%	0.42×	42.11
Al Ettifaq (0:3)	1.0%	2.4%	4.1%	0.58×	42.18

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ittihad FC (0:4)	99.0%	98.1%	95.9%	1.02×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	0.8%	1.2%	2.9%	0.41×	83.66
Al Ettifaq (0:4)	0.2%	1.2%	1.4%	0.87×	83.73

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ettifaq (1:0)	51.7%	53.9%	64.9%	0.83×	1.86
Al Ittihad FC (1:0)	27.3%	25.1%	17.5%	1.44×	3.99
Draw (1:0)	21.0%	21.8%	17.8%	1.23×	4.58

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ettifaq (2:0)	72.7%	76.4%	82.5%	0.93×	1.31
Draw (2:0)	15.1%	15.5%	10.5%	1.48×	6.44
Al Ittihad FC (2:0)	12.2%	10.4%	7.1%	1.46×	9.62

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	49.0%	48.2%	—	—	2.07
1st half highest scoring	26.1%	26.5%	—	—	3.78
Halves equal	25.0%	24.1%	—	—	4.14

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ettifaq to concede	83.4%	80.7%	72.8%	1.11×	1.24
Al Ettifaq clean sheet	16.6%	19.3%	27.2%	0.71×	5.19

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ettifaq to concede in 1st half	51.2%	55.6%	—	—	1.80
Al Ettifaq clean sheet in 1st half	48.8%	44.4%	—	—	2.25

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ettifaq to concede in 2nd half	65.9%	68.1%	—	—	1.47
Al Ettifaq clean sheet in 2nd half	34.1%	31.9%	—	—	3.13

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ettifaq under 6.5 corners	85.4%	86.3%	—	—	1.16
Al Ettifaq under 5.5 corners	75.9%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Al Ettifaq over 2.5 corners	71.5%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Al Ettifaq under 4.5 corners	62.7%	62.2%	—	—	1.61
Al Ettifaq over 3.5 corners	53.8%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Al Ettifaq under 3.5 corners	46.2%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Al Ettifaq over 4.5 corners	37.3%	37.8%	—	—	2.65
Al Ettifaq under 2.5 corners	28.5%	28.1%	—	—	3.55
Al Ettifaq over 5.5 corners	24.1%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
Al Ettifaq over 6.5 corners	14.6%	13.7%	—	—	7.31

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ettifaq under 3.5 goals	95.9%	96.3%	92.0%	1.05×	1.04
Al Ettifaq under 2.5 goals	86.3%	87.2%	79.1%	1.10×	1.15
Al Ettifaq over 0.5 goals	72.1%	74.2%	78.0%	0.95×	1.35
Al Ettifaq under 1.5 goals	63.5%	63.5%	54.3%	1.17×	1.57
Al Ettifaq over 1.5 goals	36.5%	36.5%	45.7%	0.80×	2.74
Al Ettifaq under 0.5 goals	27.9%	25.8%	22.0%	1.17×	3.88
Al Ettifaq over 2.5 goals	13.7%	12.8%	20.9%	0.61×	7.81
Al Ettifaq over 3.5 goals	4.1%	3.7%	8.0%	0.46×	27.27

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ettifaq under 1.5 in 1st half	89.5%	89.9%	—	—	1.11
Al Ettifaq under 0.5 in 1st half	57.8%	58.1%	—	—	1.72
Al Ettifaq over 0.5 in 1st half	42.2%	41.9%	—	—	2.39
Al Ettifaq over 1.5 in 1st half	10.5%	10.1%	—	—	9.89

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ettifaq scores equally in both	40.2%	42.3%	—	—	2.36
Al Ettifaq scores more in 2nd half	35.4%	37.6%	—	—	2.66
Al Ettifaq scores more in 1st half	24.3%	21.6%	—	—	4.63

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ittihad FC (home no bet)	65.3%	63.9%	61.9%	1.03×	1.57
Draw (home no bet)	34.7%	36.1%	38.1%	0.95×	2.77

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ettifaq even goals	53.9%	50.6%	53.0%	0.96×	1.98
Al Ettifaq odd goals	46.1%	49.4%	47.0%	1.05×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	28.4%	28.9%	—	—	3.46
HT 0-1	20.0%	24.1%	—	—	4.15
HT 1-0	15.2%	18.6%	—	—	5.38
HT 1-1	11.3%	10.9%	—	—	9.17
HT 0-2	7.3%	7.1%	—	—	14.02
Any other HT score	5.4%	7.1%	—	—	14.05
HT 2-0	4.2%	2.3%	—	—	43.39
HT 1-2	4.0%	2.3%	—	—	43.41
HT 2-1	3.0%	2.3%	—	—	43.48
HT 2-2	1.1%	2.3%	—	—	43.62

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ittihad FC at HT / Al Ittihad FC at FT	27.9%	27.0%	—	—	3.70
Draw at HT / Al Ittihad FC at FT	16.8%	16.7%	—	—	5.97
Al Ettifaq at HT / Al Ettifaq at FT	14.9%	12.7%	—	—	7.88
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	14.9%	12.7%	—	—	7.88
Draw at HT / Al Ettifaq at FT	9.2%	6.0%	—	—	16.61
Al Ettifaq at HT / Draw at FT	5.8%	6.0%	—	—	16.71
Al Ittihad FC at HT / Draw at FT	5.0%	6.0%	—	—	16.74
Al Ettifaq at HT / Al Ittihad FC at FT	3.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.78
Al Ittihad FC at HT / Al Ettifaq at FT	1.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.85

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ittihad FC to score last	55.1%	56.4%	—	—	1.77
Al Ettifaq to score last	39.0%	38.6%	—	—	2.59
No goal scored	5.9%	7.5%	—	—	13.42

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	94.1%	92.7%	—	—	1.08
Al Ittihad FC to lead by 1 at any time	65.0%	69.3%	—	—	1.44
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	52.1%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
Al Ettifaq to lead by 1 at any time	46.1%	43.9%	—	—	2.28
Al Ittihad FC to lead by 2 at any time	34.8%	29.4%	—	—	3.40
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	20.5%	19.5%	—	—	5.12
Al Ettifaq to lead by 2 at any time	17.6%	14.9%	—	—	6.72
Al Ittihad FC to lead by 3 at any time	15.1%	14.8%	—	—	6.74
Al Ettifaq to lead by 3 at any time	5.4%	6.6%	—	—	15.20

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ittihad FC most corners	60.6%	60.5%	—	—	1.65
Al Ettifaq most corners	29.1%	31.1%	—	—	3.22
Corners level	10.3%	10.4%	—	—	9.60

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	85.0%	83.4%	87.3%	0.96×	1.20
2-6 goals	78.7%	78.6%	76.2%	1.03×	1.27
1-4 goals	74.4%	72.4%	75.6%	0.96×	1.38
2-5 goals	73.3%	72.4%	71.5%	1.01×	1.38
2-4 goals	62.7%	63.4%	59.8%	1.06×	1.58
1-3 goals	57.2%	59.1%	59.5%	0.99×	1.69
3-6 goals	55.5%	59.1%	53.4%	1.11×	1.69
3-5 goals	50.1%	53.1%	48.7%	1.09×	1.88
2-3 goals	45.5%	48.6%	43.7%	1.11×	2.06
3-4 goals	39.6%	39.2%	37.0%	1.06×	2.55
1-2 goals	34.8%	35.3%	38.7%	0.91×	2.83
4-6 goals	33.2%	35.3%	32.6%	1.08×	2.83
4-5 goals	27.7%	30.3%	27.9%	1.08×	3.30
5-6 goals	16.0%	18.7%	16.5%	1.13×	5.34
7+ goals	3.7%	2.6%	2.9%	0.89×	39.07

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ittihad FC never behind	48.0%	56.7%	—	—	1.77
Al Ettifaq never behind	29.1%	30.2%	—	—	3.31

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	47.3%	50.8%	50.5%	1.01×	1.97
Even number of goals	52.7%	49.2%	49.5%	0.99×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	54.4%	51.7%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 1st half	45.6%	48.3%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.2%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	47.8%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	94.1%	92.2%	94.7%	0.97×	1.08
Under 5.5 goals	90.9%	92.2%	92.4%	1.00×	1.08
Over 1.5 goals	82.4%	82.3%	78.9%	1.04×	1.22
Under 4.5 goals	80.3%	82.3%	80.7%	1.02×	1.22
Under 3.5 goals	63.1%	61.7%	64.6%	0.96×	1.62
Over 2.5 goals	59.2%	58.7%	56.1%	1.05×	1.70
Under 2.5 goals	40.8%	41.3%	43.9%	0.94×	2.42
Over 3.5 goals	36.9%	38.3%	35.4%	1.08×	2.61
Over 4.5 goals	19.7%	17.7%	19.3%	0.92×	5.65
Under 1.5 goals	17.6%	17.7%	21.1%	0.84×	5.65
Over 5.5 goals	9.1%	7.8%	7.6%	1.02×	12.86
Under 0.5 goals	5.9%	7.8%	5.3%	1.46×	12.88

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	96.1%	97.2%	97.0%	1.00×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	89.8%	86.7%	91.4%	0.95×	1.15
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	77.1%	75.9%	72.7%	1.04×	1.32
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	76.2%	75.8%	77.0%	0.98×	1.32
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	52.5%	51.9%	55.4%	0.94×	1.93
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	47.5%	48.1%	44.6%	1.08×	2.08
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	23.8%	24.2%	23.0%	1.05×	4.14
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	22.9%	24.1%	27.3%	0.88×	4.14
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	10.2%	13.3%	8.6%	1.54×	7.55
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	3.9%	2.8%	3.0%	0.92×	35.81

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	86.5%	89.0%	—	—	1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half	71.6%	71.2%	—	—	1.40
Under 1.5 in 1st half	63.6%	63.6%	—	—	1.57
Over 1.5 in 1st half	36.4%	36.4%	—	—	2.75
Under 0.5 in 1st half	28.4%	28.8%	—	—	3.47
Over 2.5 in 1st half	13.5%	11.0%	—	—	9.06

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	83.1%	82.8%	—	—	1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	73.0%	77.7%	—	—	1.29
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	54.3%	53.4%	—	—	1.87
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	45.7%	46.6%	—	—	2.15
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	27.0%	22.3%	—	—	4.48
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	16.9%	17.2%	—	—	5.81

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ettifaq not to score in both halves	78.2%	78.3%	—	—	1.28
Al Ittihad FC not to score in both halves	66.2%	70.4%	—	—	1.42
Al Ittihad FC to score in both halves	33.8%	29.6%	—	—	3.38
Al Ettifaq to score in both halves	21.8%	21.7%	—	—	4.60

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	61.4%	60.2%	56.1%	1.07×	1.66
Only Al Ittihad FC scores	22.0%	22.3%	16.8%	1.32×	4.49
Only Al Ettifaq scores	10.7%	11.0%	22.0%	0.50×	9.11
Neither team scores	5.9%	7.2%	5.3%	1.35×	13.92

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	23.1%	22.6%	22.9%	0.99×	4.43
Exactly 3 goals	22.4%	22.6%	20.9%	1.08×	4.43
Exactly 4 goals	17.2%	17.4%	16.2%	1.07×	5.73
Exactly 1 goals	11.7%	12.1%	15.9%	0.76×	8.28
Exactly 5 goals	10.6%	12.1%	11.8%	1.02×	8.28
6 or more goals	9.1%	7.6%	7.6%	1.01×	13.08
Exactly 0 goals	5.9%	7.6%	5.3%	1.44×	13.09

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	35.3%	37.0%	—	—	2.70
No goals in 1st half	28.4%	28.5%	—	—	3.50
2 goals in 1st half	22.8%	21.7%	—	—	4.61
3+ goals in 1st half	13.5%	10.9%	—	—	9.15

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	54.3%	51.6%	—	—	1.94
1 goal in 2nd half	28.8%	29.8%	—	—	3.35
No goals in 2nd half	16.9%	17.2%	—	—	5.81

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ettifaq not to win both halves	94.0%	94.0%	—	—	1.06
Al Ittihad FC not to win both halves	84.8%	84.3%	—	—	1.19
Al Ittihad FC to win both halves	15.2%	15.7%	—	—	6.38
Al Ettifaq to win both halves	6.0%	6.0%	—	—	16.70

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ittihad FC to win either half	62.6%	65.0%	—	—	1.54
Al Ettifaq to win neither half	57.7%	59.5%	—	—	1.68
Al Ettifaq to win either half	42.3%	40.5%	—	—	2.47
Al Ittihad FC to win neither half	37.4%	35.0%	—	—	2.86

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ettifaq not to win to nil	89.3%	88.2%	78.0%	1.13×	1.13
Al Ittihad FC not to win to nil	78.0%	78.1%	83.2%	0.94×	1.28
Al Ittihad FC to win to nil	22.0%	21.9%	16.8%	1.30×	4.57
Al Ettifaq to win to nil	10.7%	11.8%	22.0%	0.54×	8.45

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	25.7%	27.8%	21.5%	1.29×	3.59
Al Ittihad FC by 1	21.0%	24.2%	17.8%	1.36×	4.14
Al Ittihad FC by 2	15.1%	16.9%	10.5%	1.62×	5.91
Al Ettifaq by 1	14.6%	11.8%	21.5%	0.55×	8.49
Al Ittihad FC by 3+	12.2%	11.8%	7.1%	1.65×	8.49
Al Ettifaq by 2	7.6%	7.2%	12.7%	0.57×	13.81
Al Ettifaq by 3+	3.8%	2.7%	9.6%	0.29×	36.64