Al Fateh v Al Kholood — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Thursday 3 December 2026 · KSA-Pro League · 2627

KSA-Pro League results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Al Fateh

20:00 UTC

Al Kholood

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 23 Oct, 10:58 · 993h before kick-off

Al Fateh win

31.2%

model 32.9%

Draw

29.0%

model 29.2%

Al Kholood win

39.8%

model 37.9%

312940

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (648 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 14.0%
0-0 8.8%
1-2 8.5%
0-1 8.4%
2-1 7.8%

Goals

Over 2.5	48.7%	Under 2.5	51.3%
BTTS yes	54.8%	BTTS no	45.2%
Al Fateh 1+	71.5%	Al Fateh 2+	35.8%
Al Kholood 1+	74.5%	Al Kholood 2+	39.6%

Expected goals 1.26 – 1.37. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

80/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

100%

★ Best pick

Under 2.5 goals

Over/Under · usually 44%

52.8% fair odds 1.89

moderate signal · 1367 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Al Fateh not to win to nil

Win to nil · usually 78%

83.2% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 1180 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Al Kholood carry the stronger rating, 1483 Elo against 1429.
Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Al Kholood have an estimated 39.8% win probability, against 31.2% for Al Fateh and 29.0% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.26 for Al Fateh and 1.37 for Al Kholood.

Why Al Fateh

Nothing in the data singles out Al Fateh.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 29.0%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.26 to 1.37. Draws run at 22% in this competition.

Why Al Kholood can win

Al Kholood carry the stronger rating, 1483 Elo against 1429. Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Al Fateh, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Al Kholood, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Al Fateh: 44% possession, 10.2 shots a match, 16.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Al Kholood: 33% possession, 7.0 shots a match, 10.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-23 14:52 · team_stats 2026-10-20 06:04 · availability 2026-10-23 14:58 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Al Kholood are the model's most likely outcome at 39.8%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 14.0%. Confidence 80/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

333 sports channels, playing now →

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	332938	1.26–1.37	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	332938	1.29–1.39	1-1 14%	50%	56%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Kholood to win	37.8%	36.4%	35.0%	1.04×	2.75
Al Fateh to win	33.4%	30.4%	43.5%	0.70×	3.29
Draw	28.8%	27.9%	21.6%	1.29×	3.58

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw & both teams score	20.5%	21.8%	16.5%	1.32×	4.59
Al Kholood & not both score	19.1%	18.0%	16.8%	1.07×	5.56
Al Kholood & both teams score	18.7%	18.0%	18.4%	0.98×	5.56
Al Fateh & both teams score	16.8%	18.0%	21.8%	0.83×	5.57
Al Fateh & not both score	16.6%	18.0%	21.9%	0.82×	5.57
Draw & not both score	8.3%	8.3%	5.3%	1.58×	12.01

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Kholood & over 1.5	29.8%	26.1%	28.4%	0.92×	3.84
Al Fateh & over 1.5	26.0%	26.1%	34.4%	0.76×	3.84
Al Kholood & under 3.5	26.2%	26.1%	21.5%	1.21×	3.84
Al Fateh & under 3.5	23.5%	21.6%	27.3%	0.79×	4.63
Al Kholood & over 2.5	23.2%	21.6%	23.1%	0.94×	4.63
Draw & under 2.5	22.1%	21.6%	15.9%	1.36×	4.63
Draw & under 3.5	22.1%	21.6%	15.9%	1.36×	4.63
Al Fateh & over 2.5	20.3%	21.6%	27.6%	0.78×	4.63
Draw & over 1.5	20.5%	21.6%	16.5%	1.31×	4.63
Al Kholood & under 2.5	14.6%	12.8%	12.1%	1.06×	7.79
Al Fateh & under 2.5	13.1%	12.8%	16.0%	0.80×	7.79
Al Kholood & over 3.5	11.6%	12.8%	13.7%	0.93×	7.79
Al Fateh & over 3.5	9.9%	7.9%	16.3%	0.49×	12.63
Al Fateh & under 1.5	7.4%	7.9%	9.2%	0.86×	12.63
Draw & under 1.5	8.3%	7.9%	5.3%	1.50×	12.63
Al Kholood & under 1.5	8.0%	7.9%	6.8%	1.16×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	6.8%	7.9%	5.9%	1.34×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	6.8%	7.9%	5.9%	1.34×	12.63

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Kholood (1UP)	55.0%	52.7%	—	—	1.90
Al Fateh (1UP)	51.1%	52.5%	—	—	1.90

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Kholood (2UP)	37.8%	37.4%	—	—	2.67
Al Fateh (2UP)	33.4%	30.5%	—	—	3.28

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	36.7%	36.0%	—	—	2.78
Al Kholood to win 2nd half	34.5%	34.4%	—	—	2.91
Al Fateh to win 2nd half	28.9%	25.9%	—	—	3.86

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Kholood under 1.5 in 2nd half	79.6%	79.1%	—	—	1.26
Al Kholood over 0.5 in 2nd half	56.6%	54.5%	—	—	1.83
Al Kholood under 0.5 in 2nd half	43.4%	45.5%	—	—	2.20
Al Kholood over 1.5 in 2nd half	20.4%	20.9%	—	—	4.79

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Fateh under 1.5 in 2nd half	83.1%	82.5%	—	—	1.21
Al Fateh over 0.5 in 2nd half	52.2%	55.1%	—	—	1.82
Al Fateh under 0.5 in 2nd half	47.8%	44.9%	—	—	2.23
Al Fateh over 1.5 in 2nd half	16.9%	17.5%	—	—	5.72

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Kholood (+2.5)	94.7%	92.1%	90.5%	1.02×	1.09
Al Kholood (+1.5)	84.7%	82.5%	77.8%	1.06×	1.21
Al Kholood (+0.5)	66.6%	68.7%	56.5%	1.22×	1.46
Al Fateh (+0.5)	62.2%	62.9%	65.0%	0.97×	1.59
Al Kholood (-0.5)	37.8%	37.1%	35.0%	1.06×	2.70
Al Fateh (-0.5)	33.4%	31.3%	43.5%	0.72×	3.19
Al Fateh (-1.5)	15.3%	17.5%	22.2%	0.79×	5.73
Al Fateh (-2.5)	5.3%	7.9%	9.5%	0.83×	12.71

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Kholood to concede	72.6%	76.7%	78.1%	0.98×	1.30
Al Kholood clean sheet	27.4%	23.3%	21.9%	1.06×	4.30

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Kholood clean sheet in 1st half	57.3%	57.0%	—	—	1.75
Al Kholood to concede in 1st half	42.7%	43.0%	—	—	2.33

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Kholood to concede in 2nd half	52.2%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Al Kholood clean sheet in 2nd half	47.8%	45.1%	—	—	2.22

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Kholood over 2.5 corners	78.7%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Al Kholood under 6.5 corners	78.1%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Al Kholood under 5.5 corners	66.8%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Al Kholood over 3.5 corners	63.3%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Al Kholood under 4.5 corners	52.7%	53.1%	—	—	1.89
Al Kholood over 4.5 corners	47.3%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Al Kholood under 3.5 corners	36.7%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Al Kholood over 5.5 corners	33.2%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Al Kholood over 6.5 corners	21.9%	24.0%	—	—	4.17
Al Kholood under 2.5 corners	21.3%	24.0%	—	—	4.17

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Kholood under 3.5 goals	94.7%	92.4%	93.1%	0.99×	1.08
Al Kholood under 2.5 goals	83.6%	81.5%	82.6%	0.99×	1.23
Al Kholood over 0.5 goals	75.1%	76.2%	73.0%	1.04×	1.31
Al Kholood under 1.5 goals	59.5%	59.4%	60.9%	0.98×	1.68
Al Kholood over 1.5 goals	40.5%	40.6%	39.1%	1.04×	2.47
Al Kholood under 0.5 goals	24.9%	23.8%	27.0%	0.88×	4.21
Al Kholood over 2.5 goals	16.4%	18.5%	17.4%	1.07×	5.40
Al Kholood over 3.5 goals	5.3%	7.6%	6.9%	1.10×	13.08

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Kholood under 1.5 in 1st half	89.2%	89.3%	—	—	1.12
Al Kholood under 0.5 in 1st half	57.3%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Al Kholood over 0.5 in 1st half	42.7%	38.1%	—	—	2.63
Al Kholood over 1.5 in 1st half	10.8%	10.7%	—	—	9.31

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Kholood scores more in 2nd half	39.4%	37.4%	—	—	2.67
Al Kholood scores equally in both	37.9%	37.4%	—	—	2.68
Al Kholood scores more in 1st half	22.7%	22.1%	—	—	4.52

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Fateh (away no bet)	53.7%	51.7%	66.8%	0.77×	1.93
Draw (away no bet)	46.3%	48.3%	33.2%	1.46×	2.07

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Kholood even goals	53.1%	52.6%	52.4%	1.00×	1.90
Al Kholood odd goals	46.9%	47.4%	47.6%	1.00×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	85.8%	87.7%	—	—	1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals	14.2%	12.3%	—	—	8.15

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	63.7%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Both halves under 1.5 goals	36.3%	42.1%	—	—	2.37

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	54.6%	51.1%	—	—	1.96
Al Kholood to score 2+ in a row	32.1%	29.2%	—	—	3.43
Al Fateh to score 2+ in a row	28.7%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Either team to score 3+ in a row	18.6%	16.3%	—	—	6.14
Al Kholood to score 3+ in a row	10.3%	12.0%	—	—	8.34
Al Fateh to score 3+ in a row	8.5%	5.6%	—	—	17.88

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Fateh corners (+3.5)	86.0%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Al Kholood corners (+3.5)	79.3%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Al Fateh corners (+2.5)	79.2%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Al Kholood corners (+2.5)	71.0%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Al Fateh corners (+1.5)	70.6%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Al Kholood corners (+1.5)	61.1%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Al Fateh corners (-1.5)	38.9%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Al Kholood corners (-1.5)	29.4%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Al Fateh corners (-2.5)	29.0%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Al Fateh corners (-3.5)	20.7%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Al Kholood corners (-2.5)	20.8%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Al Kholood corners (-3.5)	14.0%	15.5%	—	—	6.44

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	39.6%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
12+ corners	30.4%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
9-11 corners	30.0%	33.2%	—	—	3.01

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	77.3%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Over 7.5 corners	70.9%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 11.5 corners	69.6%	67.8%	—	—	1.47
Over 8.5 corners	60.4%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Under 10.5 corners	60.4%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Under 9.5 corners	50.2%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 9.5 corners	49.8%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Under 8.5 corners	39.6%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 10.5 corners	39.6%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 11.5 corners	30.4%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Under 7.5 corners	29.1%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 12.5 corners	22.7%	23.4%	—	—	4.27

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	13.8%	11.5%	10.7%	1.07×	8.72
1-2	8.5%	7.4%	7.4%	1.00×	13.51
0-0	8.3%	7.4%	5.3%	1.40×	13.51
0-1	8.0%	7.4%	6.8%	1.09×	13.51
0-2	6.6%	7.4%	5.4%	1.36×	13.51
1-0	7.4%	7.4%	9.2%	0.80×	13.51
2-1	7.9%	7.4%	8.5%	0.88×	13.51
2-0	5.7%	7.4%	6.9%	1.07×	13.51
2-2	5.5%	7.4%	4.8%	1.53×	13.51
0-3	3.1%	1.7%	2.3%	0.76×	58.30
0-4	1.1%	1.7%	1.1%	1.62×	58.31
1-3	4.0%	1.7%	3.9%	0.44×	58.30
1-4	1.4%	1.7%	1.1%	1.62×	58.31
2-3	2.6%	1.7%	3.3%	0.52×	58.30
2-4	0.9%	1.7%	1.2%	1.42×	58.31
3-0	2.5%	1.7%	3.2%	0.54×	58.31
3-1	3.4%	1.7%	5.1%	0.33×	58.30
3-2	2.4%	1.7%	3.6%	0.47×	58.31
3-3	1.1%	1.7%	1.1%	1.62×	58.31
3-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.6%	2.84×	58.32
4-0	0.8%	1.7%	2.1%	0.81×	58.31
4-1	1.1%	1.7%	2.4%	0.71×	58.31
4-2	0.8%	1.7%	1.1%	1.62×	58.31
4-3	0.4%	1.7%	0.6%	2.84×	58.32
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.3%	5.68×	58.32
Any other score	2.4%	1.7%	5.6%	0.31×	58.31

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Kholood (2nd half DNB)	54.4%	53.0%	—	—	1.89
Al Fateh (2nd half DNB)	45.6%	47.0%	—	—	2.13

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Fateh leading at HT (DNB)	50.0%	55.6%	—	—	1.80
Al Kholood leading at HT (DNB)	50.0%	44.4%	—	—	2.25

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Fateh or Al Kholood (12)	71.2%	72.1%	78.4%	0.92×	1.39
Al Kholood or draw (X2)	66.6%	69.6%	56.5%	1.23×	1.44
Al Fateh or draw (1X)	62.2%	63.6%	65.0%	0.98×	1.57

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Fateh or draw at HT	72.2%	74.9%	—	—	1.34
Al Kholood or draw at HT	72.2%	74.9%	—	—	1.34
Al Fateh or Al Kholood at HT	55.6%	57.1%	—	—	1.75

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Kholood or draw (1UP)	66.6%	76.2%	—	—	1.31
Al Fateh or draw (1UP)	62.2%	71.6%	—	—	1.40

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Kholood or draw in 2nd half	71.1%	74.1%	—	—	1.35
Al Fateh or draw in 2nd half	65.5%	65.6%	—	—	1.52
Al Fateh or Al Kholood in 2nd half	63.3%	64.0%	—	—	1.56

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	63.2%	61.5%	—	—	1.63
Neither half drawn	36.8%	38.5%	—	—	2.60

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Kholood (DNB)	53.1%	51.0%	44.6%	1.14×	1.96
Al Fateh (DNB)	46.9%	49.0%	55.4%	0.89×	2.04

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Kholood to score first	47.5%	46.0%	—	—	2.17
Al Fateh to score first	44.2%	41.8%	—	—	2.39
No goal scored	8.3%	7.5%	—	—	13.36

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	56.0%	55.0%	56.3%	0.98×	1.82
Not both teams to score	44.0%	45.0%	43.7%	1.03×	2.22

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	42.2%	41.6%	45.8%	0.91×	2.41
Not both score & under 2.5	36.0%	38.4%	33.1%	1.16×	2.60
Both score & under 2.5	13.8%	12.4%	10.7%	1.15×	8.09
Not both score & over 2.5	8.0%	8.3%	10.7%	0.77×	12.06

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	85.0%	82.6%	83.5%	0.99×	1.21
Both teams to score 2+	15.0%	17.4%	16.5%	1.05×	5.76

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	70.0%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Both teams to score in 2nd half	30.0%	32.4%	—	—	3.08

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	56.9%	59.9%	—	—	1.67
Both score 2nd half only	24.7%	21.4%	—	—	4.68
Both score 1st half only	13.1%	10.8%	—	—	9.30
Both score in both halves	5.4%	6.8%	—	—	14.80

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	81.5%	83.2%	—	—	1.20
Both teams to score by HT	18.5%	16.8%	—	—	5.97

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	53.9%	52.9%	—	—	1.89
A half without a goal	46.1%	47.1%	—	—	2.12

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	48.1%	47.2%	43.5%	1.09×	2.12
4-6 goals	26.3%	26.6%	32.9%	0.81×	3.76
0-1 goals	23.7%	22.9%	21.0%	1.09×	4.37
7+ goals	2.0%	1.8%	2.9%	0.64×	54.30

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Kholood to score exactly 1	34.6%	33.8%	34.0%	1.00×	2.95
Al Kholood to score exactly 0	24.9%	22.3%	27.0%	0.83×	4.48
Al Kholood to score exactly 2	24.1%	22.3%	21.9%	1.02×	4.48
Al Kholood to score 3+	16.4%	19.6%	17.4%	1.13×	5.11

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Fateh to score exactly 1	35.5%	35.6%	32.5%	1.10×	2.81
Al Fateh to score exactly 0	27.4%	26.5%	21.9%	1.21×	3.77
Al Fateh to score exactly 2	23.0%	23.3%	24.8%	0.94×	4.29
Al Fateh to score 3+	14.2%	14.3%	21.1%	0.68×	6.98

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	44.4%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Al Fateh leading at HT	27.8%	25.1%	—	—	3.98
Al Kholood leading at HT	27.8%	25.1%	—	—	3.98

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Kholood -1: 1	62.2%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
Al Kholood -1: X	19.5%	17.5%	—	—	5.70
Al Kholood -1: 2	18.3%	17.5%	—	—	5.71

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Kholood (0:1)	66.6%	65.2%	56.5%	1.15×	1.53
Draw (0:1)	18.1%	17.8%	21.5%	0.83×	5.61
Al Fateh (0:1)	15.3%	17.8%	22.2%	0.80×	5.62

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Kholood (0:2)	84.7%	83.0%	77.8%	1.07×	1.21
Draw (0:2)	10.0%	11.0%	12.8%	0.86×	9.11
Al Fateh (0:2)	5.3%	7.7%	9.5%	0.80×	13.06

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Kholood (0:3)	94.7%	92.7%	90.5%	1.02×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	3.8%	2.4%	5.6%	0.43×	42.04
Al Fateh (0:3)	1.5%	2.4%	4.1%	0.58×	42.15

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Kholood (0:4)	98.5%	98.1%	95.9%	1.02×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	1.1%	1.2%	2.9%	0.43×	81.98
Al Fateh (0:4)	0.3%	1.2%	1.4%	0.90×	82.07

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Fateh (1:0)	62.2%	65.3%	65.0%	1.01×	1.53
Draw (1:0)	19.5%	17.1%	17.7%	0.97×	5.84
Al Kholood (1:0)	18.3%	17.1%	17.5%	0.98×	5.85

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Fateh (2:0)	81.7%	84.6%	82.5%	1.03×	1.18
Draw (2:0)	11.6%	10.3%	10.6%	0.97×	9.73
Al Kholood (2:0)	6.7%	6.4%	7.1%	0.90×	15.69

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	46.7%	48.7%	—	—	2.05
Halves equal	27.3%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
1st half highest scoring	26.0%	26.2%	—	—	3.82

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Fateh to concede	75.1%	76.0%	73.0%	1.04×	1.32
Al Fateh clean sheet	24.9%	24.0%	27.0%	0.89×	4.17

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Fateh clean sheet in 1st half	57.3%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Al Fateh to concede in 1st half	42.7%	38.1%	—	—	2.63

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Fateh to concede in 2nd half	56.6%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Al Fateh clean sheet in 2nd half	43.4%	45.1%	—	—	2.22

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Fateh over 2.5 corners	83.2%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Al Fateh under 6.5 corners	71.8%	71.8%	—	—	1.39
Al Fateh over 3.5 corners	69.6%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Al Fateh under 5.5 corners	59.6%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Al Fateh over 4.5 corners	54.6%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Al Fateh under 4.5 corners	45.4%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Al Fateh over 5.5 corners	40.4%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Al Fateh under 3.5 corners	30.4%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Al Fateh over 6.5 corners	28.2%	28.2%	—	—	3.55
Al Fateh under 2.5 corners	16.8%	19.0%	—	—	5.25

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Fateh under 3.5 goals	95.8%	96.4%	92.0%	1.05×	1.04
Al Fateh under 2.5 goals	85.9%	87.2%	78.9%	1.11×	1.15
Al Fateh over 0.5 goals	72.6%	74.2%	78.1%	0.95×	1.35
Al Fateh under 1.5 goals	62.9%	63.6%	54.2%	1.17×	1.57
Al Fateh over 1.5 goals	37.1%	36.4%	45.8%	0.80×	2.75
Al Fateh under 0.5 goals	27.4%	25.8%	21.9%	1.18×	3.88
Al Fateh over 2.5 goals	14.2%	12.8%	21.1%	0.60×	7.84
Al Fateh over 3.5 goals	4.2%	3.6%	8.0%	0.45×	27.48

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Fateh under 1.5 in 1st half	89.2%	90.3%	—	—	1.11
Al Fateh under 0.5 in 1st half	57.3%	56.8%	—	—	1.76
Al Fateh over 0.5 in 1st half	42.7%	43.2%	—	—	2.31
Al Fateh over 1.5 in 1st half	10.8%	9.7%	—	—	10.34

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Fateh scores equally in both	39.9%	37.8%	—	—	2.65
Al Fateh scores more in 2nd half	35.7%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Al Fateh scores more in 1st half	24.5%	21.3%	—	—	4.69

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Kholood (home no bet)	56.8%	56.4%	61.9%	0.91×	1.77
Draw (home no bet)	43.2%	43.6%	38.1%	1.14×	2.29

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Fateh even goals	53.8%	50.7%	52.7%	0.96×	1.97
Al Fateh odd goals	46.2%	49.3%	47.3%	1.04×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	33.1%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
HT 0-1	18.0%	18.6%	—	—	5.37
HT 1-0	18.0%	18.6%	—	—	5.37
HT 1-1	10.4%	11.0%	—	—	9.13
HT 0-2	5.1%	6.9%	—	—	14.51
HT 2-0	5.1%	6.9%	—	—	14.51
Any other HT score	3.8%	2.4%	—	—	42.05
HT 1-2	2.8%	2.4%	—	—	42.11
HT 2-1	2.8%	2.4%	—	—	42.11
HT 2-2	0.8%	2.4%	—	—	42.25

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Kholood at HT / Al Kholood at FT	20.7%	21.6%	—	—	4.63
Al Fateh at HT / Al Fateh at FT	19.3%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	17.9%	16.8%	—	—	5.97
Draw at HT / Al Kholood at FT	14.5%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Draw at HT / Al Fateh at FT	12.0%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Al Fateh at HT / Draw at FT	5.8%	6.0%	—	—	16.66
Al Kholood at HT / Draw at FT	5.1%	6.0%	—	—	16.68
Al Fateh at HT / Al Kholood at FT	2.7%	3.5%	—	—	28.69
Al Kholood at HT / Al Fateh at FT	2.0%	3.5%	—	—	28.72

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Kholood to score last	47.5%	46.5%	—	—	2.15
Al Fateh to score last	44.2%	40.1%	—	—	2.49
No goal scored	8.3%	7.5%	—	—	13.36

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	91.7%	92.6%	—	—	1.08
Al Kholood to lead by 1 at any time	55.0%	50.9%	—	—	1.97
Al Fateh to lead by 1 at any time	51.1%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	45.3%	44.5%	—	—	2.25
Al Kholood to lead by 2 at any time	24.4%	19.7%	—	—	5.08
Al Fateh to lead by 2 at any time	21.1%	19.6%	—	—	5.10
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	15.5%	14.9%	—	—	6.71
Al Kholood to lead by 3 at any time	8.6%	6.7%	—	—	14.86
Al Fateh to lead by 3 at any time	6.9%	6.7%	—	—	14.94

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Fateh most corners	49.7%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
Al Kholood most corners	39.4%	39.3%	—	—	2.54
Corners level	10.9%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	86.2%	87.4%	87.2%	1.00×	1.14
1-4 goals	78.2%	78.7%	75.5%	1.04×	1.27
2-6 goals	74.3%	72.4%	76.3%	0.95×	1.38
2-5 goals	70.8%	72.4%	71.5%	1.01×	1.38
1-3 goals	63.4%	63.3%	59.2%	1.07×	1.58
2-4 goals	62.9%	63.3%	59.8%	1.06×	1.58
3-6 goals	48.3%	48.5%	53.6%	0.90×	2.06
2-3 goals	48.1%	48.5%	43.5%	1.11×	2.06
3-5 goals	44.7%	43.6%	48.8%	0.89×	2.29
1-2 goals	41.4%	43.6%	38.5%	1.13×	2.29
3-4 goals	36.8%	39.2%	37.2%	1.05×	2.55
4-6 goals	26.3%	30.2%	32.9%	0.92×	3.31
4-5 goals	22.7%	24.5%	28.1%	0.87×	4.08
5-6 goals	11.5%	14.8%	16.6%	0.89×	6.75
7+ goals	2.0%	2.6%	2.9%	0.89×	39.13

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Kholood never behind	40.6%	48.4%	—	—	2.07
Al Fateh never behind	36.7%	44.0%	—	—	2.27

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	46.8%	50.9%	50.3%	1.01×	1.97
Even number of goals	53.2%	49.1%	49.7%	0.99×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	55.9%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Odd goals in 1st half	44.1%	42.1%	—	—	2.37

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	53.2%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half	46.8%	48.1%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	94.5%	92.3%	92.3%	1.00×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	91.7%	92.3%	94.7%	0.97×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	86.5%	87.6%	80.7%	1.09×	1.14
Over 1.5 goals	76.3%	77.3%	79.0%	0.98×	1.29
Under 3.5 goals	71.7%	72.5%	64.4%	1.13×	1.38
Over 2.5 goals	50.3%	52.5%	56.3%	0.93×	1.91
Under 2.5 goals	49.7%	47.5%	43.7%	1.09×	2.11
Over 3.5 goals	28.3%	27.5%	35.7%	0.77×	3.63
Under 1.5 goals	23.7%	22.7%	21.0%	1.08×	4.41
Over 4.5 goals	13.5%	12.4%	19.3%	0.64×	8.06
Under 0.5 goals	8.3%	7.7%	5.3%	1.46×	12.93
Over 5.5 goals	5.5%	7.7%	7.7%	1.00×	12.95

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	97.9%	97.2%	97.0%	1.00×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	94.0%	92.4%	91.3%	1.01×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	84.2%	81.1%	76.9%	1.05×	1.23
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	68.0%	67.5%	72.9%	0.93×	1.48
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	63.8%	61.9%	55.0%	1.12×	1.62
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	36.2%	38.1%	45.0%	0.85×	2.63
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	32.0%	32.5%	27.1%	1.20×	3.07
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	15.8%	18.9%	23.1%	0.82×	5.30
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	6.0%	7.6%	8.7%	0.87×	13.17
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	2.1%	2.8%	3.0%	0.93×	35.60

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	89.8%	89.2%	—	—	1.12
Under 1.5 in 1st half	69.2%	68.6%	—	—	1.46
Over 0.5 in 1st half	66.9%	68.6%	—	—	1.46
Under 0.5 in 1st half	33.1%	31.4%	—	—	3.18
Over 1.5 in 1st half	30.8%	31.4%	—	—	3.19
Over 2.5 in 1st half	10.2%	10.8%	—	—	9.30

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	79.1%	79.2%	—	—	1.26
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	78.7%	79.2%	—	—	1.26
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	52.9%	53.0%	—	—	1.89
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	47.1%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	21.3%	20.8%	—	—	4.80
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	20.9%	20.8%	—	—	4.80

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Fateh not to score in both halves	77.7%	78.5%	—	—	1.27
Al Kholood not to score in both halves	75.9%	78.4%	—	—	1.28
Al Kholood to score in both halves	24.2%	21.6%	—	—	4.64
Al Fateh to score in both halves	22.3%	21.5%	—	—	4.66

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	56.0%	58.6%	56.3%	1.04×	1.71
Only Al Kholood scores	19.1%	16.0%	16.8%	0.96×	6.24
Only Al Fateh scores	16.6%	16.0%	21.9%	0.73×	6.24
Neither team scores	8.3%	7.1%	5.3%	1.35×	14.03

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	26.1%	24.9%	22.8%	1.09×	4.02
Exactly 3 goals	22.0%	22.6%	20.8%	1.08×	4.43
Exactly 1 goals	15.4%	17.5%	15.9%	1.10×	5.73
Exactly 4 goals	14.8%	12.1%	16.5%	0.74×	8.24
Exactly 0 goals	8.3%	7.6%	5.3%	1.44×	13.13
Exactly 5 goals	7.9%	7.6%	11.8%	0.65×	13.13
6 or more goals	5.5%	7.6%	7.7%	0.99×	13.14

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	36.1%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
No goals in 1st half	33.1%	35.8%	—	—	2.79
2 goals in 1st half	20.6%	21.4%	—	—	4.67
3+ goals in 1st half	10.2%	10.7%	—	—	9.38

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	47.1%	45.2%	—	—	2.21
1 goal in 2nd half	31.6%	33.8%	—	—	2.96
No goals in 2nd half	21.3%	22.9%	—	—	4.37

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Fateh not to win both halves	91.8%	94.1%	—	—	1.06
Al Kholood not to win both halves	90.2%	94.1%	—	—	1.06
Al Kholood to win both halves	9.8%	5.9%	—	—	16.81
Al Fateh to win both halves	8.2%	5.9%	—	—	16.93

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Kholood to win either half	52.5%	54.3%	—	—	1.84
Al Fateh to win neither half	51.5%	54.2%	—	—	1.84
Al Fateh to win either half	48.5%	45.8%	—	—	2.19
Al Kholood to win neither half	47.5%	45.7%	—	—	2.19

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Fateh not to win to nil	83.4%	83.1%	78.1%	1.06×	1.20
Al Kholood not to win to nil	80.9%	83.1%	83.2%	1.00×	1.20
Al Kholood to win to nil	19.1%	16.9%	16.8%	1.01×	5.91
Al Fateh to win to nil	16.6%	16.9%	21.9%	0.77×	5.92

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	28.8%	27.9%	21.6%	1.29×	3.59
Al Kholood by 1	19.5%	17.1%	17.7%	0.96×	5.87
Al Fateh by 1	18.1%	17.0%	21.5%	0.79×	5.87
Al Kholood by 2	11.6%	11.8%	10.6%	1.11×	8.51
Al Fateh by 2	10.0%	11.7%	12.8%	0.92×	8.51
Al Kholood by 3+	6.7%	7.2%	7.1%	1.01×	13.91
Al Fateh by 3+	5.3%	7.2%	9.5%	0.76×	13.92