Al Fayha v Al Nassr FC — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Thursday 3 December 2026 · KSA-Pro League · 2627

KSA-Pro League results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Al Fayha

20:00 UTC

Al Nassr FC

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 22 Oct, 10:58 · 1,017h before kick-off

Al Fayha win

9.7%

model 10.2%

Draw

17.4%

model 18.6%

Al Nassr FC win

72.9%

model 71.3%

101773

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (94 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

0-2 11.3%
1-2 9.4%
0-3 9.1%
1-1 8.8%
0-1 8.4%

Goals

Over 2.5	63.0%	Under 2.5	37.0%
BTTS yes	52.5%	BTTS no	47.5%
Al Fayha 1+	56.7%	Al Fayha 2+	20.4%
Al Nassr FC 1+	91.0%	Al Nassr FC 2+	69.4%

Expected goals 0.84 – 2.41. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

77/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

96%

★ Best pick

Al Nassr FC (-0.5)

Asian handicap · usually 35%

73.2% fair odds 1.37

strong signal · 1214 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Al Fayha not to score in both halves

Score both halves

84.4% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 828 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Al Nassr FC carry the stronger rating, 1821 Elo against 1435.
Form is good: 3.00 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Al Nassr FC have an estimated 72.9% win probability, against 17.4% for the draw and 9.7% for Al Fayha. Expected goals from the ensemble are 0.84 for Al Fayha and 2.41 for Al Nassr FC.

Why Al Fayha

Nothing in the data singles out Al Fayha.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 17.4%. Draws run at 22% in this competition.

Why Al Nassr FC can win

Al Nassr FC carry the stronger rating, 1821 Elo against 1435. Form is good: 3.00 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Al Fayha, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Al Nassr FC, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Al Fayha: 37% possession, 10.6 shots a match, 16.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Al Nassr FC: 55% possession, 15.8 shots a match, 8.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-22 14:54 · team_stats 2026-10-20 06:04 · availability 2026-10-22 14:58 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Al Nassr FC are the model's most likely outcome at 72.9%. The likeliest scoreline is 0-2 at 11.3%. Confidence 77/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	101971	0.84–2.41	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	81676	0.79–2.62	0-2 11%	66%	51%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Nassr FC to win	75.7%	78.0%	35.0%	2.23×	1.28
Draw	16.2%	19.4%	21.6%	0.90×	5.16
Al Fayha to win	8.0%	8.2%	43.5%	0.19×	12.27

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Nassr FC & not both score	41.4%	40.0%	16.8%	2.39×	2.50
Al Nassr FC & both teams score	34.3%	29.6%	18.4%	1.61×	3.37
Draw & both teams score	12.1%	13.3%	16.5%	0.81×	7.54
Al Fayha & both teams score	4.9%	4.9%	21.8%	0.22×	20.55
Draw & not both score	4.1%	4.9%	5.3%	0.92×	20.57
Al Fayha & not both score	3.1%	4.9%	21.9%	0.22×	20.60

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Nassr FC & over 1.5	67.8%	67.7%	28.4%	2.38×	1.48
Al Nassr FC & over 2.5	56.4%	54.9%	23.1%	2.37×	1.82
Al Nassr FC & under 3.5	38.2%	34.9%	21.5%	1.63×	2.87
Al Nassr FC & over 3.5	37.5%	34.9%	13.7%	2.54×	2.87
Al Nassr FC & under 2.5	19.3%	18.0%	12.1%	1.49×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	12.1%	12.8%	16.5%	0.78×	7.79
Draw & under 2.5	11.8%	12.8%	15.9%	0.81×	7.79
Draw & under 3.5	11.8%	12.8%	15.9%	0.81×	7.79
Al Nassr FC & under 1.5	7.9%	7.9%	6.8%	1.17×	12.63
Al Fayha & over 1.5	6.3%	7.9%	34.4%	0.23×	12.63
Al Fayha & over 2.5	5.2%	7.9%	27.6%	0.29×	12.63
Al Fayha & under 3.5	5.8%	7.9%	27.3%	0.29×	12.63
Draw & under 1.5	4.1%	4.8%	5.3%	0.91×	20.81
Draw & over 2.5	4.4%	4.8%	5.9%	0.82×	20.81
Draw & over 3.5	4.4%	4.8%	5.9%	0.82×	20.81
Al Fayha & under 2.5	2.8%	4.8%	16.0%	0.30×	20.82
Al Fayha & under 1.5	1.8%	4.8%	9.2%	0.52×	20.83
Al Fayha & over 3.5	2.3%	4.8%	16.3%	0.29×	20.82

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Nassr FC (1UP)	84.4%	87.9%	—	—	1.14
Al Fayha (1UP)	25.0%	26.4%	—	—	3.79

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Nassr FC (2UP)	75.7%	76.7%	—	—	1.30
Al Fayha (2UP)	8.0%	8.4%	—	—	11.87

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Nassr FC to win 2nd half	65.1%	62.1%	—	—	1.61
2nd half drawn	25.0%	24.3%	—	—	4.11
Al Fayha to win 2nd half	10.0%	7.8%	—	—	12.90

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Nassr FC over 0.5 in 2nd half	79.2%	79.1%	—	—	1.26
Al Nassr FC under 1.5 in 2nd half	53.5%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Al Nassr FC over 1.5 in 2nd half	46.5%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Al Nassr FC under 0.5 in 2nd half	20.8%	20.9%	—	—	4.80

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Fayha under 1.5 in 2nd half	92.5%	94.2%	—	—	1.06
Al Fayha under 0.5 in 2nd half	63.9%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Al Fayha over 0.5 in 2nd half	36.1%	36.7%	—	—	2.72
Al Fayha over 1.5 in 2nd half	7.5%	5.8%	—	—	17.30

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Nassr FC (+2.5)	99.5%	96.3%	90.5%	1.06×	1.04
Al Nassr FC (+1.5)	97.5%	96.3%	77.8%	1.24×	1.04
Al Nassr FC (+0.5)	92.0%	92.1%	56.5%	1.63×	1.09
Al Nassr FC (-0.5)	75.7%	78.5%	35.0%	2.24×	1.27
Al Fayha (+0.5)	24.3%	21.5%	65.0%	0.33×	4.65
Al Fayha (-0.5)	8.0%	7.9%	43.5%	0.18×	12.68
Al Fayha (-1.5)	2.5%	3.7%	22.2%	0.17×	27.14
Al Fayha (-2.5)	0.5%	3.7%	9.5%	0.39×	27.27

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Nassr FC to concede	54.4%	56.0%	78.1%	0.72×	1.79
Al Nassr FC clean sheet	45.6%	44.0%	21.9%	2.01×	2.27

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Nassr FC clean sheet in 1st half	71.3%	77.1%	—	—	1.30
Al Nassr FC to concede in 1st half	28.7%	22.9%	—	—	4.37

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Nassr FC clean sheet in 2nd half	63.9%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Al Nassr FC to concede in 2nd half	36.1%	38.2%	—	—	2.62

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Nassr FC over 2.5 corners	90.6%	89.9%	—	—	1.11
Al Nassr FC over 3.5 corners	81.3%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Al Nassr FC over 4.5 corners	69.5%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Al Nassr FC over 5.5 corners	56.6%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Al Nassr FC under 6.5 corners	55.9%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Al Nassr FC over 6.5 corners	44.1%	42.8%	—	—	2.33
Al Nassr FC under 5.5 corners	43.4%	42.8%	—	—	2.33
Al Nassr FC under 4.5 corners	30.5%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Al Nassr FC under 3.5 corners	18.7%	18.6%	—	—	5.38
Al Nassr FC under 2.5 corners	9.4%	10.1%	—	—	9.88

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Nassr FC over 0.5 goals	92.7%	92.3%	73.0%	1.27×	1.08
Al Nassr FC over 1.5 goals	73.6%	71.9%	39.1%	1.84×	1.39
Al Nassr FC under 3.5 goals	73.3%	71.9%	93.1%	0.77×	1.39
Al Nassr FC under 2.5 goals	51.4%	53.5%	82.6%	0.65×	1.87
Al Nassr FC over 2.5 goals	48.6%	46.5%	17.4%	2.68×	2.15
Al Nassr FC over 3.5 goals	26.7%	28.1%	6.9%	4.05×	3.56
Al Nassr FC under 1.5 goals	26.4%	28.1%	60.9%	0.46×	3.56
Al Nassr FC under 0.5 goals	7.3%	7.7%	27.0%	0.28×	13.06

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Nassr FC under 1.5 in 1st half	71.8%	68.7%	—	—	1.46
Al Nassr FC over 0.5 in 1st half	64.9%	63.7%	—	—	1.57
Al Nassr FC under 0.5 in 1st half	35.1%	36.3%	—	—	2.76
Al Nassr FC over 1.5 in 1st half	28.2%	31.3%	—	—	3.19

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Nassr FC scores more in 2nd half	49.4%	48.3%	—	—	2.07
Al Nassr FC scores more in 1st half	25.3%	26.2%	—	—	3.82
Al Nassr FC scores equally in both	25.3%	26.2%	—	—	3.82

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (away no bet)	66.9%	66.4%	33.2%	2.00×	1.51
Al Fayha (away no bet)	33.1%	33.6%	66.8%	0.50×	2.98

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Nassr FC even goals	50.3%	52.6%	52.4%	1.00×	1.90
Al Nassr FC odd goals	49.7%	47.4%	47.6%	1.00×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	75.8%	81.2%	—	—	1.23
Both halves over 1.5 goals	24.2%	18.8%	—	—	5.33

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	76.5%	72.4%	—	—	1.38
Both halves under 1.5 goals	23.5%	27.6%	—	—	3.62

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	73.0%	72.1%	—	—	1.39
Al Nassr FC to score 2+ in a row	67.6%	62.4%	—	—	1.60
Either team to score 3+ in a row	40.7%	38.7%	—	—	2.59
Al Nassr FC to score 3+ in a row	39.2%	36.7%	—	—	2.73
Al Fayha to score 2+ in a row	10.9%	12.0%	—	—	8.33
Al Fayha to score 3+ in a row	1.7%	2.5%	—	—	39.68

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Nassr FC corners (+3.5)	96.2%	95.7%	—	—	1.05
Al Nassr FC corners (+2.5)	93.3%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Al Nassr FC corners (+1.5)	88.8%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Al Nassr FC corners (-1.5)	64.1%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Al Fayha corners (+3.5)	57.3%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Al Nassr FC corners (-2.5)	53.4%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Al Fayha corners (+2.5)	46.6%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Al Nassr FC corners (-3.5)	42.7%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Al Fayha corners (+1.5)	35.9%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Al Fayha corners (-1.5)	11.2%	15.5%	—	—	6.45
Al Fayha corners (-2.5)	6.7%	10.4%	—	—	9.59
Al Fayha corners (-3.5)	3.8%	4.3%	—	—	23.43

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	39.9%	34.1%	—	—	2.94
12+ corners	30.5%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
9-11 corners	29.6%	31.2%	—	—	3.21

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	77.2%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Over 7.5 corners	70.4%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 11.5 corners	69.5%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Under 10.5 corners	60.5%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Over 8.5 corners	60.1%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Under 9.5 corners	50.5%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 9.5 corners	49.5%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Under 8.5 corners	39.9%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 10.5 corners	39.5%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 11.5 corners	30.5%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Under 7.5 corners	29.6%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 12.5 corners	22.8%	23.4%	—	—	4.27

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Any other score	12.5%	11.5%	5.6%	2.05×	8.72
0-2	11.4%	11.5%	5.4%	2.11×	8.72
0-3	10.0%	7.4%	2.3%	3.27×	13.50
1-2	9.0%	7.4%	7.4%	1.00×	13.50
0-1	7.9%	7.4%	6.8%	1.09×	13.50
0-4	6.5%	7.4%	1.1%	7.00×	13.51
1-1	7.7%	7.4%	10.7%	0.69×	13.50
1-3	7.8%	7.4%	3.9%	1.89×	13.50
1-4	5.1%	7.4%	1.1%	7.00×	13.51
0-0	4.1%	1.7%	5.3%	0.32×	58.30
1-0	1.8%	1.7%	9.2%	0.19×	58.31
2-0	1.0%	1.7%	6.9%	0.25×	58.31
2-1	2.7%	1.7%	8.5%	0.20×	58.30
2-2	3.5%	1.7%	4.8%	0.35×	58.30
2-3	3.1%	1.7%	3.3%	0.52×	58.30
2-4	2.0%	1.7%	1.2%	1.42×	58.31
3-0	0.3%	1.7%	3.2%	0.54×	58.32
3-1	0.7%	1.7%	5.1%	0.33×	58.32
3-2	0.9%	1.7%	3.6%	0.47×	58.31
3-3	0.8%	1.7%	1.1%	1.62×	58.31
3-4	0.5%	1.7%	0.6%	2.84×	58.32
4-0	0.1%	1.7%	2.1%	0.81×	58.32
4-1	0.1%	1.7%	2.4%	0.71×	58.32
4-2	0.2%	1.7%	1.1%	1.62×	58.32
4-3	0.2%	1.7%	0.6%	2.84×	58.32
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.3%	5.68×	58.32

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Nassr FC (2nd half DNB)	86.7%	86.3%	—	—	1.16
Al Fayha (2nd half DNB)	13.3%	13.7%	—	—	7.29

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Nassr FC leading at HT (DNB)	82.0%	85.6%	—	—	1.17
Al Fayha leading at HT (DNB)	18.0%	14.4%	—	—	6.93

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Nassr FC or draw (X2)	92.0%	91.8%	56.5%	1.63×	1.09
Al Fayha or Al Nassr FC (12)	83.8%	80.6%	78.4%	1.03×	1.24
Al Fayha or draw (1X)	24.3%	22.0%	65.0%	0.34×	4.55

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Nassr FC or draw at HT	88.3%	88.2%	—	—	1.13
Al Fayha or Al Nassr FC at HT	65.0%	66.6%	—	—	1.50
Al Fayha or draw at HT	46.7%	52.6%	—	—	1.90

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Nassr FC or draw (1UP)	92.0%	93.6%	—	—	1.07
Al Fayha or draw (1UP)	25.0%	30.9%	—	—	3.24

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Nassr FC or draw in 2nd half	90.0%	92.2%	—	—	1.08
Al Fayha or Al Nassr FC in 2nd half	75.0%	75.7%	—	—	1.32
Al Fayha or draw in 2nd half	34.9%	37.9%	—	—	2.64

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half drawn	49.8%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
A half drawn	50.2%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Nassr FC (DNB)	90.4%	93.1%	44.6%	2.09×	1.07
Al Fayha (DNB)	9.6%	6.9%	55.4%	0.12×	14.46

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Nassr FC to score first	73.7%	75.7%	—	—	1.32
Al Fayha to score first	22.1%	22.6%	—	—	4.42
No goal scored	4.1%	4.3%	—	—	23.27

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	51.3%	51.3%	56.3%	0.91×	1.95
Not both teams to score	48.7%	48.7%	43.7%	1.12×	2.05

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	43.6%	41.6%	45.8%	0.91×	2.40
Not both score & under 2.5	26.2%	33.3%	33.1%	1.01×	3.00
Not both score & over 2.5	22.5%	27.8%	10.7%	2.59×	3.60
Both score & under 2.5	7.7%	8.3%	10.7%	0.77×	12.06

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	86.3%	85.6%	83.5%	1.02×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	13.7%	14.4%	16.5%	0.87×	6.94

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	71.1%	73.7%	—	—	1.36
Both teams to score in 2nd half	28.9%	26.3%	—	—	3.81

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	57.7%	60.0%	—	—	1.67
Both score 2nd half only	23.6%	21.1%	—	—	4.74
Both score 1st half only	13.4%	10.7%	—	—	9.35
Both score in both halves	5.3%	6.8%	—	—	14.80

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	81.2%	83.2%	—	—	1.20
Both teams to score by HT	18.8%	16.8%	—	—	5.95

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	65.4%	66.3%	—	—	1.51
A half without a goal	34.6%	33.8%	—	—	2.96

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	42.0%	42.1%	43.5%	0.97×	2.37
4-6 goals	38.5%	35.1%	32.9%	1.07×	2.85
0-1 goals	13.8%	16.9%	21.0%	0.81×	5.91
7+ goals	5.7%	7.6%	2.9%	2.65×	13.17

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Nassr FC to score 3+	48.6%	42.9%	17.4%	2.47×	2.33
Al Nassr FC to score exactly 2	25.0%	27.4%	21.9%	1.25×	3.66
Al Nassr FC to score exactly 1	19.1%	19.6%	34.0%	0.58×	5.11
Al Nassr FC to score exactly 0	7.3%	8.5%	27.0%	0.32×	11.70

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Fayha to score exactly 0	45.6%	37.3%	21.9%	1.70×	2.68
Al Fayha to score exactly 1	35.8%	35.6%	32.5%	1.10×	2.81
Al Fayha to score exactly 2	14.1%	14.3%	24.8%	0.58×	6.98
Al Fayha to score 3+	4.5%	6.2%	21.1%	0.29×	16.08

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Nassr FC leading at HT	53.3%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Draw at HT	35.0%	33.4%	—	—	2.99
Al Fayha leading at HT	11.7%	11.8%	—	—	8.45

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Nassr FC -1: 2	55.2%	56.7%	—	—	1.76
Al Nassr FC -1: 1	24.3%	23.5%	—	—	4.25
Al Nassr FC -1: X	20.5%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Nassr FC (0:1)	92.0%	87.7%	56.5%	1.55×	1.14
Draw (0:1)	5.6%	9.2%	21.5%	0.43×	10.88
Al Fayha (0:1)	2.5%	5.6%	22.2%	0.25×	17.90

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Nassr FC (0:2)	97.5%	94.3%	77.8%	1.21×	1.06
Draw (0:2)	1.9%	3.7%	12.8%	0.29×	26.75
Al Fayha (0:2)	0.5%	3.7%	9.5%	0.39×	26.84

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Nassr FC (0:3)	99.5%	96.7%	90.5%	1.07×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	0.4%	2.4%	5.6%	0.42×	42.17
Al Fayha (0:3)	0.1%	2.4%	4.1%	0.58×	42.19

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Nassr FC (0:4)	99.9%	98.1%	95.9%	1.02×	1.02
Al Fayha (0:4)	0.0%	1.2%	1.4%	0.90×	82.10
Draw (0:4)	0.1%	1.2%	2.9%	0.42×	82.10

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Nassr FC (1:0)	55.2%	58.2%	17.5%	3.32×	1.72
Al Fayha (1:0)	24.3%	21.7%	65.0%	0.33×	4.61
Draw (1:0)	20.5%	21.7%	17.7%	1.23×	4.61

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Fayha (2:0)	44.8%	50.5%	82.5%	0.61×	1.98
Al Nassr FC (2:0)	33.7%	32.8%	7.1%	4.62×	3.05
Draw (2:0)	21.5%	19.0%	10.6%	1.79×	5.27

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	51.5%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
1st half highest scoring	25.7%	26.2%	—	—	3.82
Halves equal	22.8%	24.3%	—	—	4.11

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Fayha to concede	92.7%	93.1%	73.0%	1.28×	1.07
Al Fayha clean sheet	7.3%	6.9%	27.0%	0.25×	14.54

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Fayha to concede in 1st half	64.9%	63.7%	—	—	1.57
Al Fayha clean sheet in 1st half	35.1%	36.3%	—	—	2.75

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Fayha to concede in 2nd half	79.2%	84.6%	—	—	1.18
Al Fayha clean sheet in 2nd half	20.8%	15.4%	—	—	6.50

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Fayha under 6.5 corners	91.5%	89.2%	—	—	1.12
Al Fayha under 5.5 corners	84.3%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Al Fayha under 4.5 corners	73.0%	71.8%	—	—	1.39
Al Fayha over 2.5 corners	62.2%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Al Fayha under 3.5 corners	57.1%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Al Fayha over 3.5 corners	42.9%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Al Fayha under 2.5 corners	37.8%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Al Fayha over 4.5 corners	27.0%	28.2%	—	—	3.55
Al Fayha over 5.5 corners	15.7%	19.0%	—	—	5.25
Al Fayha over 6.5 corners	8.5%	10.8%	—	—	9.27

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Fayha under 3.5 goals	99.1%	96.4%	92.0%	1.05×	1.04
Al Fayha under 2.5 goals	95.5%	96.4%	78.9%	1.22×	1.04
Al Fayha under 1.5 goals	81.4%	82.2%	54.2%	1.52×	1.22
Al Fayha over 0.5 goals	54.4%	53.2%	78.1%	0.68×	1.88
Al Fayha under 0.5 goals	45.6%	46.8%	21.9%	2.14×	2.14
Al Fayha over 1.5 goals	18.6%	17.8%	45.8%	0.39×	5.62
Al Fayha over 2.5 goals	4.5%	3.6%	21.1%	0.17×	27.46
Al Fayha over 3.5 goals	0.9%	3.6%	8.0%	0.45×	27.62

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Fayha under 1.5 in 1st half	95.4%	96.4%	—	—	1.04
Al Fayha under 0.5 in 1st half	71.3%	78.9%	—	—	1.27
Al Fayha over 0.5 in 1st half	28.7%	21.1%	—	—	4.75
Al Fayha over 1.5 in 1st half	4.6%	3.6%	—	—	27.92

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Fayha scores equally in both	52.7%	58.0%	—	—	1.72
Al Fayha scores more in 2nd half	27.6%	27.8%	—	—	3.59
Al Fayha scores more in 1st half	19.7%	16.2%	—	—	6.18

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Nassr FC (home no bet)	82.3%	86.4%	61.9%	1.40×	1.16
Draw (home no bet)	17.7%	13.6%	38.1%	0.36×	7.38

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Fayha even goals	60.4%	55.9%	52.7%	1.06×	1.79
Al Fayha odd goals	39.6%	44.1%	47.3%	0.93×	2.27

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-1	26.1%	27.9%	—	—	3.58
HT 0-0	25.2%	27.9%	—	—	3.59
HT 0-2	13.7%	11.0%	—	—	9.06
Any other HT score	9.4%	6.9%	—	—	14.46
HT 1-1	9.0%	6.9%	—	—	14.46
HT 1-0	8.3%	6.9%	—	—	14.47
HT 1-2	4.6%	2.4%	—	—	41.98
HT 2-0	1.4%	2.4%	—	—	42.19
HT 2-1	1.5%	2.4%	—	—	42.18
HT 2-2	0.8%	2.4%	—	—	42.23

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Nassr FC at HT / Al Nassr FC at FT	49.6%	47.9%	—	—	2.09
Draw at HT / Al Nassr FC at FT	22.2%	21.8%	—	—	4.59
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	9.7%	6.0%	—	—	16.55
Al Fayha at HT / Al Fayha at FT	4.3%	3.5%	—	—	28.61
Al Fayha at HT / Al Nassr FC at FT	3.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.62
Al Fayha at HT / Draw at FT	3.5%	3.5%	—	—	28.64
Draw at HT / Al Fayha at FT	3.1%	3.5%	—	—	28.65
Al Nassr FC at HT / Draw at FT	3.0%	3.5%	—	—	28.65
Al Nassr FC at HT / Al Fayha at FT	0.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.74

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Nassr FC to score last	73.9%	73.3%	—	—	1.36
Al Fayha to score last	21.9%	25.4%	—	—	3.93
No goal scored	4.1%	4.3%	—	—	23.27

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	95.9%	95.6%	—	—	1.05
Al Nassr FC to lead by 1 at any time	84.4%	87.9%	—	—	1.14
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	66.3%	69.3%	—	—	1.44
Al Nassr FC to lead by 2 at any time	61.1%	61.3%	—	—	1.63
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	38.1%	34.7%	—	—	2.88
Al Nassr FC to lead by 3 at any time	37.1%	34.6%	—	—	2.89
Al Fayha to lead by 1 at any time	25.0%	25.4%	—	—	3.93
Al Fayha to lead by 2 at any time	5.5%	6.7%	—	—	14.99
Al Fayha to lead by 3 at any time	1.0%	1.6%	—	—	63.71

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Nassr FC most corners	74.0%	70.6%	—	—	1.42
Al Fayha most corners	17.7%	19.2%	—	—	5.21
Corners level	8.4%	8.4%	—	—	11.97

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	83.0%	83.4%	87.2%	0.96×	1.20
2-6 goals	80.5%	83.4%	76.3%	1.09×	1.20
2-5 goals	73.3%	72.4%	71.5%	1.01×	1.38
1-4 goals	70.3%	72.4%	75.5%	0.96×	1.38
2-4 goals	60.6%	63.3%	59.8%	1.06×	1.58
3-6 goals	60.4%	63.3%	53.6%	1.18×	1.58
3-5 goals	53.2%	53.2%	48.8%	1.09×	1.88
1-3 goals	51.6%	53.2%	59.2%	0.90×	1.88
2-3 goals	42.0%	43.6%	43.5%	1.00×	2.30
3-4 goals	40.5%	43.6%	37.2%	1.17×	2.30
4-6 goals	38.5%	39.2%	32.9%	1.19×	2.55
4-5 goals	31.3%	35.2%	28.1%	1.25×	2.84
1-2 goals	29.8%	30.2%	38.5%	0.79×	3.31
5-6 goals	19.9%	18.8%	16.6%	1.13×	5.31
7+ goals	5.7%	8.9%	2.9%	3.09×	11.28

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Nassr FC never behind	70.8%	77.0%	—	—	1.30
Al Fayha never behind	11.5%	11.9%	—	—	8.41

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	48.3%	50.9%	50.3%	1.01×	1.96
Even number of goals	51.7%	49.1%	49.7%	0.99×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	53.4%	51.7%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	46.6%	48.3%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	51.5%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half	48.5%	48.1%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	95.9%	95.4%	94.7%	1.01×	1.05
Under 5.5 goals	87.1%	87.6%	92.3%	0.95×	1.14
Over 1.5 goals	86.2%	87.6%	79.0%	1.11×	1.14
Under 4.5 goals	74.4%	72.5%	80.7%	0.90×	1.38
Over 2.5 goals	66.1%	66.3%	56.3%	1.18×	1.51
Under 3.5 goals	55.8%	58.6%	64.4%	0.91×	1.71
Over 3.5 goals	44.2%	41.4%	35.7%	1.16×	2.42
Under 2.5 goals	33.9%	33.7%	43.7%	0.77×	2.97
Over 4.5 goals	25.6%	27.5%	19.3%	1.42×	3.63
Under 1.5 goals	13.8%	12.4%	21.0%	0.59×	8.06
Over 5.5 goals	12.9%	12.4%	7.7%	1.61×	8.06
Under 0.5 goals	4.1%	4.6%	5.3%	0.87×	21.85

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	93.9%	92.4%	97.0%	0.95×	1.08
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	85.2%	86.7%	91.3%	0.95×	1.15
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	82.7%	81.1%	72.9%	1.11×	1.23
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	68.5%	67.5%	76.9%	0.88×	1.48
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	56.6%	55.8%	45.0%	1.24×	1.79
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	43.4%	44.2%	55.0%	0.80×	2.26
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	31.5%	32.5%	23.1%	1.41×	3.07
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	17.3%	18.9%	27.1%	0.70×	5.29
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	14.8%	13.3%	8.7%	1.52×	7.52
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	6.1%	7.6%	3.0%	2.52×	13.17

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	83.7%	85.9%	—	—	1.17
Over 0.5 in 1st half	74.8%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Under 1.5 in 1st half	59.5%	63.8%	—	—	1.57
Over 1.5 in 1st half	40.5%	36.2%	—	—	2.76
Under 0.5 in 1st half	25.2%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
Over 2.5 in 1st half	16.3%	14.1%	—	—	7.07

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	86.4%	85.5%	—	—	1.17
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	67.2%	68.7%	—	—	1.46
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	60.2%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	39.8%	38.6%	—	—	2.59
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	32.8%	31.3%	—	—	3.19
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	13.6%	14.5%	—	—	6.87

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Fayha not to score in both halves	89.6%	85.5%	—	—	1.17
Al Nassr FC to score in both halves	51.4%	55.2%	—	—	1.81
Al Nassr FC not to score in both halves	48.6%	44.8%	—	—	2.23
Al Fayha to score in both halves	10.4%	14.5%	—	—	6.91

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	51.3%	53.8%	56.3%	0.96×	1.86
Only Al Nassr FC scores	41.4%	46.5%	16.8%	2.78×	2.15
Neither team scores	4.1%	4.6%	5.3%	0.87×	21.67
Only Al Fayha scores	3.1%	4.6%	21.9%	0.21×	21.71

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 3 goals	21.9%	22.6%	20.8%	1.08×	4.43
Exactly 2 goals	20.1%	22.6%	22.8%	0.99×	4.43
Exactly 4 goals	18.6%	17.5%	16.5%	1.06×	5.73
6 or more goals	12.9%	12.1%	7.7%	1.57×	8.24
Exactly 5 goals	12.7%	12.1%	11.8%	1.03×	8.24
Exactly 1 goals	9.7%	7.6%	15.9%	0.48×	13.13
Exactly 0 goals	4.1%	4.5%	5.3%	0.85×	22.38

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	34.4%	35.9%	—	—	2.79
No goals in 1st half	25.2%	28.2%	—	—	3.55
2 goals in 1st half	24.2%	21.5%	—	—	4.64
3+ goals in 1st half	16.3%	15.6%	—	—	6.41

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	60.2%	58.4%	—	—	1.71
1 goal in 2nd half	26.3%	29.2%	—	—	3.42
No goals in 2nd half	13.6%	14.3%	—	—	6.97

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Fayha not to win both halves	98.8%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
Al Nassr FC not to win both halves	65.1%	69.1%	—	—	1.45
Al Nassr FC to win both halves	34.9%	30.9%	—	—	3.24
Al Fayha to win both halves	1.2%	2.8%	—	—	36.27

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Nassr FC to win either half	83.5%	83.7%	—	—	1.20
Al Fayha to win neither half	79.6%	80.1%	—	—	1.25
Al Fayha to win either half	20.4%	19.9%	—	—	5.02
Al Nassr FC to win neither half	16.5%	16.3%	—	—	6.13

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Fayha not to win to nil	96.9%	96.1%	78.1%	1.23×	1.04
Al Nassr FC not to win to nil	58.6%	59.3%	83.2%	0.71×	1.69
Al Nassr FC to win to nil	41.4%	40.7%	16.8%	2.43×	2.46
Al Fayha to win to nil	3.1%	3.9%	21.9%	0.18×	25.96

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Nassr FC by 3+	33.7%	27.7%	7.1%	3.90×	3.61
Al Nassr FC by 2	21.5%	24.1%	10.6%	2.28×	4.15
Al Nassr FC by 1	20.5%	24.1%	17.7%	1.36×	4.15
Draw	16.2%	17.0%	21.6%	0.79×	5.87
Al Fayha by 1	5.6%	7.2%	21.5%	0.34×	13.92
Al Fayha by 2	1.9%	2.7%	12.8%	0.21×	36.84
Al Fayha by 3+	0.5%	2.7%	9.5%	0.28×	36.89