Al Fayha v NEOM — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Monday 14 December 2026 · KSA-Pro League · 2627

KSA-Pro League results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Al Fayha

20:00 UTC

NEOM

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 22 Oct, 10:58 · 1,281h before kick-off

Al Fayha win

27.4%

model 28.9%

Draw

29.5%

model 31.0%

NEOM win

43.1%

model 40.1%

272943

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (624 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 14.6%
0-0 11.2%
0-1 10.8%
1-0 8.6%
1-2 8.4%

Goals

Over 2.5	41.5%	Under 2.5	58.5%
BTTS yes	48.8%	BTTS no	51.2%
Al Fayha 1+	65.2%	Al Fayha 2+	28.5%
NEOM 1+	72.4%	NEOM 2+	36.8%

Expected goals 1.06 – 1.29. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

78/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

96%

★ Best pick

NEOM or draw (X2)

Double chance · usually 57%

72.6% fair odds 1.38

strong signal · 1941 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Al Fayha not to win to nil

Win to nil · usually 78%

83.2% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 1180 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

NEOM carry the stronger rating, 1555 Elo against 1435.
Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

NEOM have an estimated 43.1% win probability, against 29.5% for the draw and 27.4% for Al Fayha. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.06 for Al Fayha and 1.29 for NEOM.

Why Al Fayha

Nothing in the data singles out Al Fayha.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 29.5%. A combined 2.34 expected goals is a low-scoring profile, and low totals mean more level finishes. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.06 to 1.29. Draws run at 22% in this competition.

Why NEOM can win

NEOM carry the stronger rating, 1555 Elo against 1435. Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Al Fayha, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for NEOM, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Al Fayha: 37% possession, 10.6 shots a match, 16.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. NEOM: 40% possession, 9.4 shots a match, 9.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-22 14:54 · team_stats 2026-10-20 06:04 · availability 2026-10-22 14:58 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

NEOM are the model's most likely outcome at 43.1%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 14.6%. Confidence 78/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	293140	1.06–1.29	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	253144	0.93–1.30	1-1 15%	39%	46%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEOM to win	43.6%	42.9%	35.0%	1.23×	2.33
Draw	31.4%	30.4%	21.6%	1.41×	3.29
Al Fayha to win	25.0%	27.9%	43.5%	0.64×	3.59

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEOM & not both score	27.2%	25.2%	16.8%	1.50×	3.97
Draw & both teams score	19.0%	18.0%	16.5%	1.09×	5.57
NEOM & both teams score	16.4%	18.0%	18.4%	0.97×	5.57
Al Fayha & not both score	14.9%	13.3%	21.9%	0.61×	7.53
Draw & not both score	12.3%	13.3%	5.3%	2.51×	7.54
Al Fayha & both teams score	10.1%	13.3%	21.8%	0.61×	7.54

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEOM & under 3.5	34.0%	30.8%	21.5%	1.43×	3.25
NEOM & over 1.5	31.1%	30.8%	28.4%	1.08×	3.25
Draw & under 2.5	26.9%	26.1%	15.9%	1.64×	3.84
Draw & under 3.5	26.9%	26.1%	15.9%	1.64×	3.84
NEOM & over 2.5	22.0%	21.6%	23.1%	0.94×	4.63
NEOM & under 2.5	21.6%	21.6%	12.1%	1.79×	4.63
Al Fayha & under 3.5	20.5%	21.6%	27.3%	0.79×	4.63
Draw & over 1.5	19.0%	18.0%	16.5%	1.09×	5.56
Al Fayha & over 1.5	16.6%	18.0%	34.4%	0.52×	5.56
Al Fayha & under 2.5	13.1%	12.8%	16.0%	0.80×	7.79
Draw & under 1.5	12.3%	12.8%	5.3%	2.43×	7.79
NEOM & under 1.5	12.4%	12.8%	6.8%	1.89×	7.79
Al Fayha & over 2.5	12.0%	12.8%	27.6%	0.46×	7.79
NEOM & over 3.5	9.6%	7.9%	13.7%	0.58×	12.63
Al Fayha & under 1.5	8.4%	7.9%	9.2%	0.86×	12.63
Al Fayha & over 3.5	4.5%	4.8%	16.3%	0.29×	20.81
Draw & over 2.5	4.5%	4.8%	5.9%	0.82×	20.81
Draw & over 3.5	4.5%	4.8%	5.9%	0.82×	20.81

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEOM (1UP)	57.3%	58.0%	—	—	1.72
Al Fayha (1UP)	40.7%	38.4%	—	—	2.61

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEOM (2UP)	43.6%	47.2%	—	—	2.12
Al Fayha (2UP)	25.0%	25.0%	—	—	3.99

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	40.4%	41.8%	—	—	2.40
NEOM to win 2nd half	37.5%	36.1%	—	—	2.77
Al Fayha to win 2nd half	22.1%	24.2%	—	—	4.13

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEOM under 1.5 in 2nd half	81.6%	84.3%	—	—	1.19
NEOM over 0.5 in 2nd half	54.2%	52.7%	—	—	1.90
NEOM under 0.5 in 2nd half	45.8%	47.3%	—	—	2.11
NEOM over 1.5 in 2nd half	18.4%	15.7%	—	—	6.37

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Fayha under 1.5 in 2nd half	90.1%	93.4%	—	—	1.07
Al Fayha under 0.5 in 2nd half	58.9%	58.1%	—	—	1.72
Al Fayha over 0.5 in 2nd half	41.1%	41.9%	—	—	2.39
Al Fayha over 1.5 in 2nd half	9.9%	6.6%	—	—	15.19

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEOM (+2.5)	97.6%	96.3%	90.5%	1.06×	1.04
NEOM (+1.5)	90.8%	92.1%	77.8%	1.18×	1.09
NEOM (+0.5)	75.0%	73.7%	56.5%	1.30×	1.36
Al Fayha (+0.5)	56.4%	57.0%	65.0%	0.88×	1.75
NEOM (-0.5)	43.6%	43.0%	35.0%	1.23×	2.33
Al Fayha (-0.5)	25.0%	26.3%	43.5%	0.61×	3.80
Al Fayha (-1.5)	9.2%	7.9%	22.2%	0.36×	12.67
Al Fayha (-2.5)	2.4%	3.7%	9.5%	0.39×	27.15

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEOM to concede	60.5%	67.5%	78.1%	0.86×	1.48
NEOM clean sheet	39.5%	32.5%	21.9%	1.48×	3.08

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEOM clean sheet in 1st half	67.1%	70.4%	—	—	1.42
NEOM to concede in 1st half	32.9%	29.6%	—	—	3.38

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEOM clean sheet in 2nd half	58.9%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
NEOM to concede in 2nd half	41.1%	42.5%	—	—	2.35

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEOM under 6.5 corners	80.3%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
NEOM over 2.5 corners	76.8%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
NEOM under 5.5 corners	69.5%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
NEOM over 3.5 corners	60.7%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
NEOM under 4.5 corners	55.5%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
NEOM over 4.5 corners	44.5%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
NEOM under 3.5 corners	39.3%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
NEOM over 5.5 corners	30.5%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
NEOM under 2.5 corners	23.2%	24.0%	—	—	4.17
NEOM over 6.5 corners	19.7%	18.6%	—	—	5.38

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEOM under 3.5 goals	95.7%	97.5%	93.1%	1.05×	1.03
NEOM under 2.5 goals	85.7%	87.8%	82.6%	1.06×	1.14
NEOM over 0.5 goals	72.8%	71.9%	73.0%	0.99×	1.39
NEOM under 1.5 goals	62.6%	63.2%	60.9%	1.04×	1.58
NEOM over 1.5 goals	37.4%	36.8%	39.1%	0.94×	2.72
NEOM under 0.5 goals	27.2%	28.1%	27.0%	1.04×	3.56
NEOM over 2.5 goals	14.3%	12.2%	17.4%	0.70×	8.19
NEOM over 3.5 goals	4.3%	2.5%	6.9%	0.36×	39.81

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEOM under 1.5 in 1st half	90.4%	93.8%	—	—	1.07
NEOM under 0.5 in 1st half	59.4%	62.1%	—	—	1.61
NEOM over 0.5 in 1st half	40.6%	37.9%	—	—	2.64
NEOM over 1.5 in 1st half	9.6%	6.2%	—	—	16.18

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEOM scores equally in both	39.5%	37.4%	—	—	2.68
NEOM scores more in 2nd half	38.3%	37.4%	—	—	2.68
NEOM scores more in 1st half	22.3%	22.0%	—	—	4.55

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (away no bet)	55.6%	57.3%	33.2%	1.73×	1.74
Al Fayha (away no bet)	44.4%	42.7%	66.8%	0.64×	2.35

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEOM even goals	53.7%	52.6%	52.4%	1.00×	1.90
NEOM odd goals	46.3%	47.4%	47.6%	1.00×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	91.2%	91.8%	—	—	1.09
Both halves over 1.5 goals	8.8%	8.2%	—	—	12.25

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	53.1%	50.7%	—	—	1.97
Both halves under 1.5 goals	46.9%	49.3%	—	—	2.03

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	45.8%	46.0%	—	—	2.17
NEOM to score 2+ in a row	31.3%	29.2%	—	—	3.43
Al Fayha to score 2+ in a row	18.0%	16.3%	—	—	6.15
Either team to score 3+ in a row	14.0%	12.1%	—	—	8.27
NEOM to score 3+ in a row	10.1%	12.0%	—	—	8.35
Al Fayha to score 3+ in a row	4.0%	2.6%	—	—	38.28

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEOM corners (+3.5)	89.4%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
NEOM corners (+2.5)	82.9%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Al Fayha corners (+3.5)	80.8%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
NEOM corners (+1.5)	74.2%	70.8%	—	—	1.41
Al Fayha corners (+2.5)	71.8%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Al Fayha corners (+1.5)	60.9%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
NEOM corners (-1.5)	39.1%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
NEOM corners (-2.5)	28.2%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Al Fayha corners (-1.5)	25.8%	29.2%	—	—	3.42
NEOM corners (-3.5)	19.2%	20.2%	—	—	4.94
Al Fayha corners (-2.5)	17.1%	20.2%	—	—	4.94
Al Fayha corners (-3.5)	10.6%	15.5%	—	—	6.45

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	55.9%	46.5%	—	—	2.15
9-11 corners	27.1%	31.2%	—	—	3.21
12+ corners	17.0%	22.6%	—	—	4.43

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	88.5%	83.1%	—	—	1.20
Under 11.5 corners	83.0%	80.7%	—	—	1.24
Under 10.5 corners	75.7%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 9.5 corners	66.6%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Under 8.5 corners	55.9%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 7.5 corners	55.8%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 7.5 corners	44.2%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Over 8.5 corners	44.1%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Over 9.5 corners	33.4%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Over 10.5 corners	24.3%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
Over 11.5 corners	17.0%	19.3%	—	—	5.18
Over 12.5 corners	11.5%	16.9%	—	—	5.91

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	14.6%	11.5%	10.7%	1.07×	8.72
0-1	12.4%	11.5%	6.8%	1.69×	8.72
0-0	12.3%	11.5%	5.3%	2.17×	8.72
0-2	9.1%	7.4%	5.4%	1.36×	13.50
1-0	8.4%	7.4%	9.2%	0.80×	13.50
1-2	8.5%	7.4%	7.4%	1.00×	13.50
2-1	6.0%	7.4%	8.5%	0.88×	13.51
0-3	4.0%	1.7%	2.3%	0.76×	58.30
0-4	1.3%	1.7%	1.1%	1.62×	58.31
1-3	3.7%	1.7%	3.9%	0.44×	58.30
1-4	1.2%	1.7%	1.1%	1.62×	58.31
2-0	4.6%	1.7%	6.9%	0.25×	58.29
2-2	3.9%	1.7%	4.8%	0.35×	58.30
2-3	1.7%	1.7%	3.3%	0.52×	58.31
2-4	0.6%	1.7%	1.2%	1.42×	58.32
3-0	1.4%	1.7%	3.2%	0.54×	58.31
3-1	1.9%	1.7%	5.1%	0.33×	58.31
3-2	1.2%	1.7%	3.6%	0.47×	58.31
3-3	0.5%	1.7%	1.1%	1.62×	58.32
3-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.6%	2.84×	58.32
4-0	0.3%	1.7%	2.1%	0.81×	58.32
4-1	0.4%	1.7%	2.4%	0.71×	58.32
4-2	0.3%	1.7%	1.1%	1.62×	58.32
4-3	0.1%	1.7%	0.6%	2.84×	58.32
4-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.3%	5.68×	58.32
Any other score	1.3%	1.7%	5.6%	0.31×	58.31

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEOM (2nd half DNB)	63.0%	62.6%	—	—	1.60
Al Fayha (2nd half DNB)	37.0%	37.4%	—	—	2.68

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEOM leading at HT (DNB)	58.2%	57.4%	—	—	1.74
Al Fayha leading at HT (DNB)	41.8%	42.6%	—	—	2.35

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEOM or draw (X2)	75.0%	72.1%	56.5%	1.28×	1.39
Al Fayha or NEOM (12)	68.6%	69.6%	78.4%	0.89×	1.44
Al Fayha or draw (1X)	56.4%	57.1%	65.0%	0.88×	1.75

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEOM or draw at HT	78.8%	79.1%	—	—	1.26
Al Fayha or draw at HT	70.4%	75.0%	—	—	1.33
Al Fayha or NEOM at HT	50.9%	47.7%	—	—	2.10

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEOM or draw (1UP)	75.0%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Al Fayha or draw (1UP)	56.4%	63.0%	—	—	1.59

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEOM or draw in 2nd half	77.9%	75.8%	—	—	1.32
Al Fayha or draw in 2nd half	62.5%	63.9%	—	—	1.57
Al Fayha or NEOM in 2nd half	59.6%	58.2%	—	—	1.72

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	68.1%	68.3%	—	—	1.46
Neither half drawn	31.9%	31.7%	—	—	3.16

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEOM (DNB)	63.5%	62.7%	44.6%	1.41×	1.59
Al Fayha (DNB)	36.5%	37.3%	55.4%	0.67×	2.68

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEOM to score first	51.2%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Al Fayha to score first	36.5%	32.7%	—	—	3.05
No goal scored	12.3%	9.9%	—	—	10.11

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	54.4%	51.3%	43.7%	1.18×	1.95
Both teams to score	45.6%	48.7%	56.3%	0.86×	2.05

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	46.9%	44.3%	33.1%	1.34×	2.26
Both score & over 2.5	31.0%	34.5%	45.8%	0.75×	2.90
Both score & under 2.5	14.6%	12.4%	10.7%	1.15×	8.09
Not both score & over 2.5	7.5%	8.3%	10.7%	0.77×	12.07

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	91.1%	89.0%	83.5%	1.07×	1.12
Both teams to score 2+	8.9%	11.0%	16.5%	0.67×	9.08

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	77.2%	74.3%	—	—	1.35
Both teams to score in 2nd half	22.8%	25.7%	—	—	3.90

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	66.6%	63.1%	—	—	1.58
Both score 2nd half only	19.8%	15.2%	—	—	6.60
Both score 1st half only	10.6%	10.7%	—	—	9.39
Both score in both halves	3.0%	4.9%	—	—	20.43

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	86.4%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Both teams to score by HT	13.6%	14.8%	—	—	6.75

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	55.3%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
A goal in each half	44.7%	42.8%	—	—	2.34

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	48.2%	47.2%	43.5%	1.09×	2.12
0-1 goals	33.2%	30.7%	21.0%	1.46×	3.25
4-6 goals	17.8%	20.2%	32.9%	0.61×	4.94
7+ goals	0.8%	1.8%	2.9%	0.64×	54.43

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEOM to score exactly 1	35.4%	35.9%	34.0%	1.06×	2.78
NEOM to score exactly 0	27.2%	27.4%	27.0%	1.01×	3.65
NEOM to score exactly 2	23.0%	22.3%	21.9%	1.02×	4.48
NEOM to score 3+	14.3%	12.9%	17.4%	0.74×	7.75

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Fayha to score exactly 0	39.5%	35.6%	21.9%	1.62×	2.81
Al Fayha to score exactly 1	36.7%	35.6%	32.5%	1.10×	2.81
Al Fayha to score exactly 2	17.0%	18.8%	24.8%	0.76×	5.33
Al Fayha to score 3+	6.8%	10.3%	21.1%	0.49×	9.72

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	49.1%	52.3%	—	—	1.91
NEOM leading at HT	29.6%	25.0%	—	—	4.00
Al Fayha leading at HT	21.2%	20.9%	—	—	4.79

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEOM -1: 1	56.4%	56.7%	—	—	1.76
NEOM -1: X	22.8%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
NEOM -1: 2	20.8%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEOM (0:1)	75.0%	71.2%	56.5%	1.26×	1.41
Draw (0:1)	15.8%	17.8%	21.5%	0.83×	5.61
Al Fayha (0:1)	9.2%	9.3%	22.2%	0.42×	10.78

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEOM (0:2)	90.8%	90.7%	77.8%	1.17×	1.10
Draw (0:2)	6.8%	7.7%	12.8%	0.60×	13.04
Al Fayha (0:2)	2.4%	3.7%	9.5%	0.39×	26.72

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEOM (0:3)	97.6%	96.6%	90.5%	1.07×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	1.9%	2.4%	5.6%	0.42×	42.11
Al Fayha (0:3)	0.5%	2.4%	4.1%	0.58×	42.17

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEOM (0:4)	99.5%	98.1%	95.9%	1.02×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	0.4%	1.2%	2.9%	0.42×	82.06
Al Fayha (0:4)	0.1%	1.2%	1.4%	0.90×	82.09

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Fayha (1:0)	56.4%	58.3%	65.0%	0.90×	1.72
Draw (1:0)	22.8%	21.7%	17.7%	1.23×	4.61
NEOM (1:0)	20.8%	21.7%	17.5%	1.24×	4.61

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Fayha (2:0)	79.2%	80.5%	82.5%	0.98×	1.24
Draw (2:0)	13.4%	10.3%	10.6%	0.97×	9.71
NEOM (2:0)	7.4%	6.4%	7.1%	0.90×	15.69

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	44.3%	45.2%	—	—	2.21
Halves equal	30.5%	29.2%	—	—	3.42
1st half highest scoring	25.2%	26.2%	—	—	3.82

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Fayha to concede	72.8%	73.2%	73.0%	1.00×	1.37
Al Fayha clean sheet	27.2%	26.8%	27.0%	0.99×	3.73

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Fayha clean sheet in 1st half	59.4%	62.1%	—	—	1.61
Al Fayha to concede in 1st half	40.6%	37.9%	—	—	2.64

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Fayha to concede in 2nd half	54.2%	52.8%	—	—	1.89
Al Fayha clean sheet in 2nd half	45.8%	47.2%	—	—	2.12

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Fayha under 6.5 corners	87.5%	86.2%	—	—	1.16
Al Fayha under 5.5 corners	78.7%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Al Fayha over 2.5 corners	68.7%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Al Fayha under 4.5 corners	66.0%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Al Fayha over 3.5 corners	50.5%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Al Fayha under 3.5 corners	49.5%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Al Fayha over 4.5 corners	34.1%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Al Fayha under 2.5 corners	31.3%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Al Fayha over 5.5 corners	21.3%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Al Fayha over 6.5 corners	12.5%	13.8%	—	—	7.27

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Fayha under 3.5 goals	98.5%	96.4%	92.0%	1.05×	1.04
Al Fayha under 2.5 goals	93.2%	92.2%	78.9%	1.17×	1.08
Al Fayha under 1.5 goals	76.2%	77.7%	54.2%	1.43×	1.29
Al Fayha over 0.5 goals	60.5%	63.6%	78.1%	0.81×	1.57
Al Fayha under 0.5 goals	39.5%	36.4%	21.9%	1.66×	2.75
Al Fayha over 1.5 goals	23.8%	22.3%	45.8%	0.49×	4.49
Al Fayha over 2.5 goals	6.8%	7.8%	21.1%	0.37×	12.89
Al Fayha over 3.5 goals	1.5%	3.6%	8.0%	0.45×	27.59

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Fayha under 1.5 in 1st half	93.9%	94.9%	—	—	1.05
Al Fayha under 0.5 in 1st half	67.1%	68.8%	—	—	1.45
Al Fayha over 0.5 in 1st half	32.9%	31.2%	—	—	3.20
Al Fayha over 1.5 in 1st half	6.1%	5.1%	—	—	19.51

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Fayha scores equally in both	48.3%	47.5%	—	—	2.11
Al Fayha scores more in 2nd half	30.3%	32.9%	—	—	3.04
Al Fayha scores more in 1st half	21.4%	21.2%	—	—	4.72

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEOM (home no bet)	58.2%	56.4%	61.9%	0.91×	1.77
Draw (home no bet)	41.8%	43.6%	38.1%	1.14×	2.30

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Fayha even goals	57.8%	55.3%	52.7%	1.05×	1.81
Al Fayha odd goals	42.2%	44.7%	47.3%	0.95×	2.24

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	40.1%	37.8%	—	—	2.64
HT 0-1	20.5%	24.4%	—	—	4.10
HT 1-0	15.6%	18.5%	—	—	5.39
HT 1-1	8.5%	6.9%	—	—	14.47
HT 0-2	5.4%	6.9%	—	—	14.52
HT 2-0	3.2%	2.4%	—	—	42.07
Any other HT score	2.4%	2.4%	—	—	42.12
HT 1-2	2.2%	2.4%	—	—	42.14
HT 2-1	1.7%	2.4%	—	—	42.17
HT 2-2	0.4%	2.4%	—	—	42.25

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEOM at HT / NEOM at FT	23.8%	21.8%	—	—	4.58
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	21.5%	21.8%	—	—	4.59
Draw at HT / NEOM at FT	17.6%	16.7%	—	—	5.98
Al Fayha at HT / Al Fayha at FT	13.7%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Draw at HT / Al Fayha at FT	10.1%	12.6%	—	—	7.92
Al Fayha at HT / Draw at FT	5.3%	6.0%	—	—	16.68
NEOM at HT / Draw at FT	4.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.60
Al Fayha at HT / NEOM at FT	2.3%	3.5%	—	—	28.68
NEOM at HT / Al Fayha at FT	1.2%	3.5%	—	—	28.72

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEOM to score last	51.3%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Al Fayha to score last	36.4%	38.6%	—	—	2.59
No goal scored	12.3%	9.3%	—	—	10.77

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	87.7%	91.3%	—	—	1.10
NEOM to lead by 1 at any time	57.3%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Al Fayha to lead by 1 at any time	40.7%	39.1%	—	—	2.56
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	38.5%	34.7%	—	—	2.88
NEOM to lead by 2 at any time	25.6%	25.5%	—	—	3.93
Al Fayha to lead by 2 at any time	13.0%	10.5%	—	—	9.55
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	12.0%	10.5%	—	—	9.57
NEOM to lead by 3 at any time	8.8%	6.7%	—	—	14.84
Al Fayha to lead by 3 at any time	3.2%	1.6%	—	—	61.57

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEOM most corners	51.2%	51.7%	—	—	1.94
Al Fayha most corners	36.7%	39.3%	—	—	2.55
Corners level	12.1%	10.4%	—	—	9.58

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	85.0%	87.4%	87.2%	1.00×	1.14
1-4 goals	80.1%	83.4%	75.5%	1.10×	1.20
1-3 goals	69.0%	68.8%	59.2%	1.16×	1.45
2-6 goals	66.0%	68.8%	76.3%	0.90×	1.45
2-5 goals	64.2%	63.3%	71.5%	0.89×	1.58
2-4 goals	59.2%	59.1%	59.8%	0.99×	1.69
1-2 goals	49.2%	48.5%	38.5%	1.26×	2.06
2-3 goals	48.2%	48.5%	43.5%	1.11×	2.06
3-6 goals	37.7%	39.2%	53.6%	0.73×	2.55
3-5 goals	35.9%	39.2%	48.8%	0.80×	2.55
3-4 goals	30.9%	35.2%	37.2%	0.95×	2.84
4-6 goals	17.8%	18.8%	32.9%	0.57×	5.31
4-5 goals	16.0%	18.8%	28.1%	0.67×	5.31
5-6 goals	6.8%	8.9%	16.6%	0.53×	11.27
7+ goals	0.8%	2.6%	2.9%	0.89×	39.19

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEOM never behind	47.0%	56.6%	—	—	1.77
Al Fayha never behind	30.4%	36.1%	—	—	2.77

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	46.3%	50.9%	50.3%	1.01×	1.96
Even number of goals	53.7%	49.1%	49.7%	0.99×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	58.5%	57.7%	—	—	1.73
Odd goals in 1st half	41.5%	42.3%	—	—	2.37

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	54.7%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half	45.3%	48.1%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	97.4%	95.4%	92.3%	1.03×	1.05
Under 4.5 goals	92.4%	92.3%	80.7%	1.14×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	87.7%	87.6%	94.7%	0.92×	1.14
Under 3.5 goals	81.4%	82.3%	64.4%	1.28×	1.22
Over 1.5 goals	66.8%	66.3%	79.0%	0.84×	1.51
Under 2.5 goals	61.5%	61.7%	43.7%	1.41×	1.62
Over 2.5 goals	38.5%	38.3%	56.3%	0.68×	2.61
Under 1.5 goals	33.2%	33.7%	21.0%	1.61×	2.97
Over 3.5 goals	18.6%	17.7%	35.7%	0.50×	5.65
Under 0.5 goals	12.3%	12.4%	5.3%	2.35×	8.06
Over 4.5 goals	7.6%	7.7%	19.3%	0.40×	12.94
Over 5.5 goals	2.6%	4.6%	7.7%	0.59×	21.88

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	99.2%	97.2%	97.0%	1.00×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	97.2%	97.2%	91.3%	1.06×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	91.5%	92.4%	76.9%	1.20×	1.08
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	76.7%	75.9%	55.0%	1.38×	1.32
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	53.7%	51.9%	72.9%	0.71×	1.93
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	46.3%	48.1%	27.1%	1.77×	2.08
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	23.3%	24.1%	45.0%	0.54×	4.15
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	8.5%	7.6%	23.1%	0.33×	13.15
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	2.8%	2.8%	8.7%	0.32×	35.58
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	0.8%	2.8%	3.0%	0.93×	35.63

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	93.4%	92.7%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	76.3%	78.1%	—	—	1.28
Over 0.5 in 1st half	59.9%	63.8%	—	—	1.57
Under 0.5 in 1st half	40.1%	36.2%	—	—	2.76
Over 1.5 in 1st half	23.7%	21.9%	—	—	4.56
Over 2.5 in 1st half	6.6%	7.3%	—	—	13.68

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	85.5%	85.4%	—	—	1.17
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	72.5%	77.4%	—	—	1.29
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	61.8%	61.5%	—	—	1.63
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	38.2%	38.5%	—	—	2.60
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	27.5%	22.6%	—	—	4.42
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	14.5%	14.6%	—	—	6.85

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Fayha not to score in both halves	86.5%	85.3%	—	—	1.17
NEOM not to score in both halves	78.0%	78.4%	—	—	1.28
NEOM to score in both halves	22.0%	21.6%	—	—	4.64
Al Fayha to score in both halves	13.5%	14.7%	—	—	6.81

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	45.6%	50.7%	56.3%	0.90×	1.97
Only NEOM scores	27.2%	26.0%	16.8%	1.55×	3.84
Only Al Fayha scores	14.9%	11.1%	21.9%	0.50×	9.05
Neither team scores	12.3%	11.0%	5.3%	2.09×	9.06

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	28.3%	24.9%	22.8%	1.09×	4.02
Exactly 1 goals	20.9%	22.6%	15.9%	1.42×	4.43
Exactly 3 goals	19.9%	17.5%	20.8%	0.84×	5.73
Exactly 0 goals	12.3%	12.1%	5.3%	2.29×	8.25
Exactly 4 goals	11.1%	12.1%	16.5%	0.74×	8.25
Exactly 5 goals	4.9%	4.5%	11.8%	0.38×	22.36
6 or more goals	2.6%	4.5%	7.7%	0.58×	22.40

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No goals in 1st half	40.1%	37.8%	—	—	2.64
1 goal in 1st half	36.1%	37.4%	—	—	2.68
2 goals in 1st half	17.1%	15.6%	—	—	6.40
3+ goals in 1st half	6.6%	7.3%	—	—	13.68

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	38.2%	39.6%	—	—	2.53
1 goal in 2nd half	34.3%	33.9%	—	—	2.95
No goals in 2nd half	27.5%	29.3%	—	—	3.42

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Fayha not to win both halves	95.1%	97.1%	—	—	1.03
NEOM not to win both halves	88.6%	87.9%	—	—	1.14
NEOM to win both halves	11.4%	12.1%	—	—	8.28
Al Fayha to win both halves	4.9%	2.9%	—	—	34.80

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Fayha to win neither half	61.5%	65.1%	—	—	1.54
NEOM to win either half	55.8%	59.0%	—	—	1.70
NEOM to win neither half	44.2%	41.0%	—	—	2.44
Al Fayha to win either half	38.5%	35.0%	—	—	2.86

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Fayha not to win to nil	85.1%	88.1%	78.1%	1.13×	1.14
NEOM not to win to nil	72.8%	75.3%	83.2%	0.91×	1.33
NEOM to win to nil	27.2%	24.7%	16.8%	1.47×	4.06
Al Fayha to win to nil	14.9%	11.9%	21.9%	0.54×	8.40

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	31.4%	27.7%	21.6%	1.28×	3.62
NEOM by 1	22.8%	24.1%	17.7%	1.36×	4.15
Al Fayha by 1	15.8%	17.0%	21.5%	0.79×	5.87
NEOM by 2	13.4%	11.8%	10.6%	1.11×	8.51
NEOM by 3+	7.4%	7.2%	7.1%	1.01×	13.91
Al Fayha by 2	6.8%	7.2%	12.8%	0.56×	13.91
Al Fayha by 3+	2.4%	2.7%	9.5%	0.29×	36.83