Al Hazem v Al Nassr FC — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Thursday 5 November 2026 · KSA-Pro League · 2627

KSA-Pro League results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Al Hazem

20:00 UTC

Al Nassr FC

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 24 Oct, 10:57 · 297h before kick-off

Al Hazem win

7.0%

model 8.5%

Draw

17.8%

model 17.8%

Al Nassr FC win

75.2%

model 73.8%

71875

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (94 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

0-2 12.5%
0-3 10.1%
0-1 9.4%
1-2 9.2%
1-1 8.5%

Goals

Over 2.5	61.1%	Under 2.5	38.9%
BTTS yes	48.3%	BTTS no	51.7%
Al Hazem 1+	52.0%	Al Hazem 2+	16.8%
Al Nassr FC 1+	91.1%	Al Nassr FC 2+	69.6%

Expected goals 0.73 – 2.42. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

78/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

97%

★ Best pick

Al Nassr FC (-0.5)

Asian handicap · usually 35%

73.2% fair odds 1.37

strong signal · 1214 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Al Nassr FC leading at HT (DNB)

DNB half time

84.2% fair odds 1.19

weak signal · 70 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Al Nassr FC carry the stronger rating, 1821 Elo against 1489.
Form is good: 3.00 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Al Nassr FC have an estimated 75.2% win probability, against 17.8% for the draw and 7.0% for Al Hazem. Expected goals from the ensemble are 0.73 for Al Hazem and 2.42 for Al Nassr FC.

Why Al Hazem

Nothing in the data singles out Al Hazem.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 17.8%. Draws run at 22% in this competition.

Why Al Nassr FC can win

Al Nassr FC carry the stronger rating, 1821 Elo against 1489. Form is good: 3.00 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Al Hazem, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Al Nassr FC, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Al Hazem: 45% possession, 9.4 shots a match, 16.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Al Nassr FC: 55% possession, 15.8 shots a match, 8.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-24 13:59 · team_stats 2026-10-24 06:04 · availability 2026-10-24 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Al Nassr FC are the model's most likely outcome at 75.2%. The likeliest scoreline is 0-2 at 12.5%. Confidence 78/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	81874	0.73–2.42	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	71677	0.71–2.61	0-2 12%	64%	48%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Nassr FC to win	77.2%	78.2%	35.0%	2.23×	1.28
Draw	15.8%	19.4%	21.6%	0.90×	5.16
Al Hazem to win	7.0%	8.1%	43.5%	0.19×	12.35

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Nassr FC & not both score	44.9%	40.2%	16.8%	2.39×	2.49
Al Nassr FC & both teams score	32.4%	29.6%	18.4%	1.61×	3.38
Draw & both teams score	11.3%	13.3%	16.5%	0.81×	7.54
Draw & not both score	4.4%	4.9%	5.3%	0.92×	20.57
Al Hazem & both teams score	4.1%	4.9%	21.8%	0.22×	20.58
Al Hazem & not both score	2.9%	4.9%	21.9%	0.22×	20.61

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Nassr FC & over 1.5	68.5%	67.8%	28.4%	2.39×	1.48
Al Nassr FC & over 2.5	56.2%	54.9%	23.1%	2.37×	1.82
Al Nassr FC & under 3.5	40.6%	40.2%	21.5%	1.88×	2.49
Al Nassr FC & over 3.5	36.7%	34.9%	13.7%	2.54×	2.87
Al Nassr FC & under 2.5	21.1%	21.6%	12.1%	1.79×	4.63
Draw & over 1.5	11.3%	12.8%	16.5%	0.78×	7.79
Draw & under 2.5	12.0%	12.8%	15.9%	0.81×	7.79
Draw & under 3.5	12.0%	12.8%	15.9%	0.81×	7.79
Al Nassr FC & under 1.5	8.7%	7.9%	6.8%	1.16×	12.63
Al Hazem & over 1.5	5.2%	7.9%	34.4%	0.23×	12.63
Al Hazem & under 3.5	5.3%	7.9%	27.3%	0.29×	12.63
Al Hazem & over 2.5	4.3%	4.8%	27.6%	0.17×	20.81
Draw & under 1.5	4.4%	4.8%	5.3%	0.91×	20.81
Draw & over 2.5	3.8%	4.8%	5.9%	0.82×	20.81
Draw & over 3.5	3.8%	4.8%	5.9%	0.82×	20.81
Al Hazem & under 2.5	2.7%	4.8%	16.0%	0.30×	20.82
Al Hazem & under 1.5	1.8%	4.8%	9.2%	0.52×	20.83
Al Hazem & over 3.5	1.7%	4.8%	16.3%	0.29×	20.83

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Nassr FC (1UP)	85.0%	89.7%	—	—	1.11
Al Hazem (1UP)	22.8%	22.2%	—	—	4.50

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Nassr FC (2UP)	77.2%	77.3%	—	—	1.29
Al Hazem (2UP)	7.0%	8.1%	—	—	12.29

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Nassr FC to win 2nd half	66.2%	62.2%	—	—	1.61
2nd half drawn	24.9%	24.2%	—	—	4.13
Al Hazem to win 2nd half	8.9%	7.4%	—	—	13.60

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Nassr FC over 0.5 in 2nd half	79.1%	79.1%	—	—	1.27
Al Nassr FC under 1.5 in 2nd half	53.7%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Al Nassr FC over 1.5 in 2nd half	46.3%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Al Nassr FC under 0.5 in 2nd half	21.0%	20.9%	—	—	4.78

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Hazem under 1.5 in 2nd half	93.8%	94.6%	—	—	1.06
Al Hazem under 0.5 in 2nd half	66.8%	70.6%	—	—	1.42
Al Hazem over 0.5 in 2nd half	33.2%	29.4%	—	—	3.40
Al Hazem over 1.5 in 2nd half	6.2%	5.4%	—	—	18.63

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Nassr FC (+2.5)	99.6%	96.3%	90.5%	1.06×	1.04
Al Nassr FC (+1.5)	98.0%	96.3%	77.8%	1.24×	1.04
Al Nassr FC (+0.5)	93.0%	92.1%	56.5%	1.63×	1.09
Al Nassr FC (-0.5)	77.2%	78.5%	35.0%	2.24×	1.27
Al Hazem (+0.5)	22.8%	21.5%	65.0%	0.33×	4.65
Al Hazem (-0.5)	7.0%	7.9%	43.5%	0.18×	12.69
Al Hazem (-1.5)	2.0%	3.7%	22.2%	0.17×	27.18
Al Hazem (-2.5)	0.4%	3.7%	9.5%	0.39×	27.29

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Nassr FC to concede	50.7%	55.8%	78.1%	0.71×	1.79
Al Nassr FC clean sheet	49.3%	44.2%	21.9%	2.02×	2.26

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Nassr FC clean sheet in 1st half	73.8%	77.7%	—	—	1.29
Al Nassr FC to concede in 1st half	26.2%	22.3%	—	—	4.48

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Nassr FC clean sheet in 2nd half	66.8%	65.7%	—	—	1.52
Al Nassr FC to concede in 2nd half	33.2%	34.3%	—	—	2.91

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Nassr FC over 2.5 corners	89.8%	85.3%	—	—	1.17
Al Nassr FC over 3.5 corners	80.1%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Al Nassr FC over 4.5 corners	67.9%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Al Nassr FC under 6.5 corners	57.9%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Al Nassr FC over 5.5 corners	54.7%	53.1%	—	—	1.89
Al Nassr FC under 5.5 corners	45.3%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Al Nassr FC over 6.5 corners	42.1%	42.8%	—	—	2.33
Al Nassr FC under 4.5 corners	32.1%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Al Nassr FC under 3.5 corners	19.9%	18.6%	—	—	5.38
Al Nassr FC under 2.5 corners	10.2%	14.7%	—	—	6.78

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Nassr FC over 0.5 goals	92.6%	92.3%	73.0%	1.27×	1.08
Al Nassr FC under 3.5 goals	73.5%	71.9%	93.1%	0.77×	1.39
Al Nassr FC over 1.5 goals	73.4%	71.9%	39.1%	1.84×	1.39
Al Nassr FC under 2.5 goals	51.7%	53.5%	82.6%	0.65×	1.87
Al Nassr FC over 2.5 goals	48.3%	46.5%	17.4%	2.68×	2.15
Al Nassr FC under 1.5 goals	26.6%	28.1%	60.9%	0.46×	3.56
Al Nassr FC over 3.5 goals	26.5%	28.1%	6.9%	4.05×	3.56
Al Nassr FC under 0.5 goals	7.4%	7.7%	27.0%	0.28×	13.06

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Nassr FC under 1.5 in 1st half	72.0%	68.6%	—	—	1.46
Al Nassr FC over 0.5 in 1st half	64.8%	63.5%	—	—	1.58
Al Nassr FC under 0.5 in 1st half	35.3%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
Al Nassr FC over 1.5 in 1st half	28.0%	31.4%	—	—	3.18

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Nassr FC scores more in 2nd half	49.4%	48.0%	—	—	2.09
Al Nassr FC scores equally in both	25.3%	26.1%	—	—	3.83
Al Nassr FC scores more in 1st half	25.3%	26.1%	—	—	3.83

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (away no bet)	69.2%	66.4%	33.2%	2.00×	1.51
Al Hazem (away no bet)	30.8%	33.6%	66.8%	0.50×	2.98

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Nassr FC even goals	50.3%	52.6%	52.4%	1.00×	1.90
Al Nassr FC odd goals	49.7%	47.4%	47.6%	1.00×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	77.2%	81.2%	—	—	1.23
Both halves over 1.5 goals	22.8%	18.8%	—	—	5.31

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	75.1%	72.2%	—	—	1.38
Both halves under 1.5 goals	24.9%	27.8%	—	—	3.60

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	72.4%	72.0%	—	—	1.39
Al Nassr FC to score 2+ in a row	67.9%	62.4%	—	—	1.60
Either team to score 3+ in a row	40.8%	38.6%	—	—	2.59
Al Nassr FC to score 3+ in a row	39.8%	36.7%	—	—	2.72
Al Hazem to score 2+ in a row	9.1%	5.6%	—	—	17.83
Al Hazem to score 3+ in a row	1.3%	2.5%	—	—	39.93

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Nassr FC corners (+3.5)	96.1%	95.7%	—	—	1.05
Al Nassr FC corners (+2.5)	93.1%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Al Nassr FC corners (+1.5)	88.4%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Al Nassr FC corners (-1.5)	63.0%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Al Hazem corners (+3.5)	58.6%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Al Nassr FC corners (-2.5)	52.1%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Al Hazem corners (+2.5)	47.9%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Al Nassr FC corners (-3.5)	41.4%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Al Hazem corners (+1.5)	37.0%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Al Hazem corners (-1.5)	11.6%	15.5%	—	—	6.45
Al Hazem corners (-2.5)	6.9%	10.4%	—	—	9.59
Al Hazem corners (-3.5)	3.9%	4.3%	—	—	23.43

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	41.8%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
9-11 corners	29.5%	31.2%	—	—	3.21
12+ corners	28.7%	31.2%	—	—	3.21

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	78.8%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 11.5 corners	71.3%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Over 7.5 corners	68.8%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Under 10.5 corners	62.5%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Over 8.5 corners	58.2%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 9.5 corners	52.5%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 9.5 corners	47.5%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Under 8.5 corners	41.8%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Over 10.5 corners	37.5%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Under 7.5 corners	31.2%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Over 11.5 corners	28.7%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 12.5 corners	21.2%	23.4%	—	—	4.27

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-2	12.4%	11.5%	5.4%	2.11×	8.72
Any other score	12.3%	11.5%	5.6%	2.05×	8.72
0-3	10.8%	11.5%	2.3%	5.06×	8.72
0-1	8.7%	7.4%	6.8%	1.09×	13.51
1-2	8.7%	7.4%	7.4%	1.00×	13.51
0-4	7.0%	7.4%	1.1%	7.00×	13.51
1-1	7.5%	7.4%	10.7%	0.69×	13.51
1-3	7.6%	7.4%	3.9%	1.89×	13.51
1-4	5.0%	1.7%	1.1%	1.62×	58.29
0-0	4.4%	1.7%	5.3%	0.32×	58.29
1-0	1.8%	1.7%	9.2%	0.19×	58.31
2-0	0.9%	1.7%	6.9%	0.25×	58.31
2-1	2.4%	1.7%	8.5%	0.20×	58.31
2-2	3.1%	1.7%	4.8%	0.35×	58.30
2-3	2.7%	1.7%	3.3%	0.52×	58.30
2-4	1.8%	1.7%	1.2%	1.42×	58.31
3-0	0.2%	1.7%	3.2%	0.54×	58.32
3-1	0.6%	1.7%	5.1%	0.33×	58.32
3-2	0.7%	1.7%	3.6%	0.47×	58.32
3-3	0.6%	1.7%	1.1%	1.62×	58.32
3-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.6%	2.84×	58.32
4-0	0.0%	1.7%	2.1%	0.81×	58.32
4-1	0.1%	1.7%	2.4%	0.71×	58.32
4-2	0.1%	1.7%	1.1%	1.62×	58.32
4-3	0.1%	1.7%	0.6%	2.84×	58.32
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.3%	5.68×	58.32

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Nassr FC (2nd half DNB)	88.1%	87.0%	—	—	1.15
Al Hazem (2nd half DNB)	11.9%	13.0%	—	—	7.68

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Nassr FC leading at HT (DNB)	83.7%	86.7%	—	—	1.15
Al Hazem leading at HT (DNB)	16.3%	13.3%	—	—	7.53

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Nassr FC or draw (X2)	93.0%	91.9%	56.5%	1.63×	1.09
Al Hazem or Al Nassr FC (12)	84.2%	80.6%	78.4%	1.03×	1.24
Al Hazem or draw (1X)	22.8%	21.8%	65.0%	0.34×	4.59

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Nassr FC or draw at HT	89.4%	88.0%	—	—	1.14
Al Hazem or Al Nassr FC at HT	64.8%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
Al Hazem or draw at HT	45.8%	52.0%	—	—	1.92

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Nassr FC or draw (1UP)	93.0%	93.9%	—	—	1.07
Al Hazem or draw (1UP)	22.8%	23.8%	—	—	4.21

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Nassr FC or draw in 2nd half	91.1%	92.6%	—	—	1.08
Al Hazem or Al Nassr FC in 2nd half	75.1%	75.8%	—	—	1.32
Al Hazem or draw in 2nd half	33.8%	37.8%	—	—	2.64

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	50.4%	50.0%	—	—	2.00
Neither half drawn	49.6%	50.0%	—	—	2.00

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Nassr FC (DNB)	91.7%	93.2%	44.6%	2.09×	1.07
Al Hazem (DNB)	8.3%	6.8%	55.4%	0.12×	14.74

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Nassr FC to score first	75.2%	80.1%	—	—	1.25
Al Hazem to score first	20.4%	22.2%	—	—	4.50
No goal scored	4.4%	4.3%	—	—	23.24

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	52.3%	51.3%	43.7%	1.17×	1.95
Both teams to score	47.8%	48.7%	56.3%	0.86×	2.05

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	40.2%	41.6%	45.8%	0.91×	2.41
Not both score & under 2.5	28.2%	33.3%	33.1%	1.01×	3.00
Not both score & over 2.5	24.1%	27.8%	10.7%	2.59×	3.60
Both score & under 2.5	7.5%	8.3%	10.7%	0.77×	12.07

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	88.4%	85.6%	83.5%	1.02×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	11.6%	14.4%	16.5%	0.87×	6.95

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	73.5%	73.7%	—	—	1.36
Both teams to score in 2nd half	26.5%	26.3%	—	—	3.81

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	60.8%	65.5%	—	—	1.53
Both score 2nd half only	22.0%	21.3%	—	—	4.70
Both score 1st half only	12.7%	10.7%	—	—	9.31
Both score in both halves	4.5%	5.0%	—	—	20.14

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	82.9%	83.3%	—	—	1.20
Both teams to score by HT	17.1%	16.7%	—	—	5.98

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	64.0%	59.8%	—	—	1.67
A half without a goal	36.0%	40.2%	—	—	2.49

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	42.9%	42.1%	43.5%	0.97×	2.37
4-6 goals	37.1%	35.1%	32.9%	1.07×	2.85
0-1 goals	14.9%	16.9%	21.0%	0.81×	5.90
7+ goals	5.1%	7.6%	2.9%	2.64×	13.19

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Nassr FC to score 3+	48.3%	42.9%	17.4%	2.47×	2.33
Al Nassr FC to score exactly 2	25.1%	27.4%	21.9%	1.25×	3.66
Al Nassr FC to score exactly 1	19.3%	19.6%	34.0%	0.58×	5.11
Al Nassr FC to score exactly 0	7.4%	8.5%	27.0%	0.32×	11.70

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Hazem to score exactly 0	49.3%	37.5%	21.9%	1.71×	2.66
Al Hazem to score exactly 1	34.9%	32.6%	32.5%	1.00×	3.07
Al Hazem to score exactly 2	12.3%	14.3%	24.8%	0.58×	6.99
Al Hazem to score 3+	3.5%	6.2%	21.1%	0.29×	16.19

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Nassr FC leading at HT	54.2%	48.0%	—	—	2.08
Draw at HT	35.2%	38.6%	—	—	2.59
Al Hazem leading at HT	10.6%	12.0%	—	—	8.34

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Nassr FC -1: 2	56.6%	56.7%	—	—	1.76
Al Nassr FC -1: 1	22.8%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Al Nassr FC -1: X	20.6%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Nassr FC (0:1)	93.0%	88.1%	56.5%	1.56×	1.14
Draw (0:1)	5.0%	5.8%	21.5%	0.27×	17.25
Al Hazem (0:1)	2.0%	5.6%	22.2%	0.25×	18.02

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Nassr FC (0:2)	98.0%	94.3%	77.8%	1.21×	1.06
Draw (0:2)	1.6%	3.7%	12.8%	0.29×	26.78
Al Hazem (0:2)	0.4%	3.7%	9.5%	0.39×	26.85

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Nassr FC (0:3)	99.6%	96.7%	90.5%	1.07×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	0.3%	2.4%	5.6%	0.42×	42.20
Al Hazem (0:3)	0.1%	2.4%	4.1%	0.58×	42.21

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Nassr FC (0:4)	99.9%	98.1%	95.9%	1.02×	1.02
Al Hazem (0:4)	0.0%	1.2%	1.4%	0.90×	82.10
Draw (0:4)	0.1%	1.2%	2.9%	0.42×	82.10

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Nassr FC (1:0)	56.6%	58.3%	17.5%	3.33×	1.72
Al Hazem (1:0)	22.8%	21.7%	65.0%	0.33×	4.61
Draw (1:0)	20.6%	21.7%	17.7%	1.23×	4.61

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Hazem (2:0)	43.4%	49.8%	82.5%	0.60×	2.01
Al Nassr FC (2:0)	34.7%	33.2%	7.1%	4.68×	3.01
Draw (2:0)	22.0%	19.0%	10.6%	1.80×	5.26

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	51.2%	50.3%	—	—	1.99
1st half highest scoring	25.7%	26.2%	—	—	3.82
Halves equal	23.1%	24.5%	—	—	4.09

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Hazem to concede	92.6%	93.1%	73.0%	1.28×	1.07
Al Hazem clean sheet	7.4%	6.9%	27.0%	0.25×	14.51

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Hazem to concede in 1st half	64.8%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Al Hazem clean sheet in 1st half	35.3%	36.6%	—	—	2.73

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Hazem to concede in 2nd half	79.1%	83.5%	—	—	1.20
Al Hazem clean sheet in 2nd half	21.0%	16.5%	—	—	6.05

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Hazem under 6.5 corners	91.7%	89.2%	—	—	1.12
Al Hazem under 5.5 corners	84.7%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Al Hazem under 4.5 corners	73.5%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Al Hazem over 2.5 corners	61.6%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Al Hazem under 3.5 corners	57.7%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Al Hazem over 3.5 corners	42.3%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Al Hazem under 2.5 corners	38.4%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Al Hazem over 4.5 corners	26.5%	28.1%	—	—	3.55
Al Hazem over 5.5 corners	15.3%	19.0%	—	—	5.25
Al Hazem over 6.5 corners	8.3%	10.8%	—	—	9.28

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Hazem under 3.5 goals	99.4%	96.4%	92.0%	1.05×	1.04
Al Hazem under 2.5 goals	96.5%	96.4%	78.9%	1.22×	1.04
Al Hazem under 1.5 goals	84.2%	82.2%	54.2%	1.52×	1.22
Al Hazem over 0.5 goals	50.7%	53.2%	78.1%	0.68×	1.88
Al Hazem under 0.5 goals	49.3%	46.8%	21.9%	2.14×	2.14
Al Hazem over 1.5 goals	15.8%	17.8%	45.8%	0.39×	5.62
Al Hazem over 2.5 goals	3.5%	3.6%	21.1%	0.17×	27.51
Al Hazem over 3.5 goals	0.6%	3.6%	8.0%	0.45×	27.64

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Hazem under 1.5 in 1st half	96.2%	96.9%	—	—	1.03
Al Hazem under 0.5 in 1st half	73.8%	79.3%	—	—	1.26
Al Hazem over 0.5 in 1st half	26.2%	20.7%	—	—	4.84
Al Hazem over 1.5 in 1st half	3.8%	3.1%	—	—	32.23

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Hazem scores equally in both	55.5%	56.4%	—	—	1.77
Al Hazem scores more in 2nd half	25.9%	27.7%	—	—	3.61
Al Hazem scores more in 1st half	18.6%	16.1%	—	—	6.22

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Nassr FC (home no bet)	83.0%	86.6%	61.9%	1.40×	1.15
Draw (home no bet)	17.0%	13.4%	38.1%	0.35×	7.48

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Hazem even goals	62.2%	56.0%	52.7%	1.06×	1.79
Al Hazem odd goals	37.8%	44.0%	47.3%	0.93×	2.27

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-1	27.0%	28.2%	—	—	3.54
HT 0-0	26.1%	28.2%	—	—	3.55
HT 0-2	14.1%	11.0%	—	—	9.10
Any other HT score	9.2%	6.9%	—	—	14.44
HT 1-1	8.4%	6.9%	—	—	14.46
HT 1-0	7.8%	6.9%	—	—	14.47
HT 1-2	4.3%	2.4%	—	—	42.02
HT 2-0	1.2%	2.4%	—	—	42.22
HT 2-1	1.3%	2.4%	—	—	42.21
HT 2-2	0.7%	2.4%	—	—	42.25

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Nassr FC at HT / Al Nassr FC at FT	50.9%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Draw at HT / Al Nassr FC at FT	22.7%	21.7%	—	—	4.62
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	9.7%	6.0%	—	—	16.54
Al Hazem at HT / Al Hazem at FT	3.7%	3.5%	—	—	28.65
Al Hazem at HT / Al Nassr FC at FT	3.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.66
Al Hazem at HT / Draw at FT	3.2%	3.5%	—	—	28.67
Draw at HT / Al Hazem at FT	2.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.69
Al Nassr FC at HT / Draw at FT	2.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.69
Al Nassr FC at HT / Al Hazem at FT	0.5%	3.5%	—	—	28.77

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Nassr FC to score last	75.4%	75.9%	—	—	1.32
Al Hazem to score last	20.2%	25.0%	—	—	3.99
No goal scored	4.4%	4.3%	—	—	23.24

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	95.6%	95.6%	—	—	1.05
Al Nassr FC to lead by 1 at any time	85.0%	90.8%	—	—	1.10
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	66.3%	69.4%	—	—	1.44
Al Nassr FC to lead by 2 at any time	62.0%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	38.6%	34.7%	—	—	2.89
Al Nassr FC to lead by 3 at any time	37.8%	34.6%	—	—	2.89
Al Hazem to lead by 1 at any time	22.8%	19.7%	—	—	5.09
Al Hazem to lead by 2 at any time	4.6%	1.7%	—	—	60.32
Al Hazem to lead by 3 at any time	0.8%	1.6%	—	—	63.96

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Nassr FC most corners	73.1%	70.5%	—	—	1.42
Al Hazem most corners	18.2%	19.2%	—	—	5.20
Corners level	8.6%	8.4%	—	—	11.97

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	83.8%	83.4%	87.2%	0.96×	1.20
2-6 goals	80.0%	83.4%	76.3%	1.09×	1.20
2-5 goals	73.3%	72.4%	71.5%	1.01×	1.38
1-4 goals	71.7%	72.4%	75.5%	0.96×	1.38
2-4 goals	61.2%	63.3%	59.8%	1.06×	1.58
3-6 goals	59.2%	59.1%	53.6%	1.10×	1.69
1-3 goals	53.4%	53.2%	59.2%	0.90×	1.88
3-5 goals	52.5%	53.2%	48.8%	1.09×	1.88
2-3 goals	42.9%	43.6%	43.5%	1.00×	2.29
3-4 goals	40.4%	43.6%	37.2%	1.17×	2.30
4-6 goals	37.1%	39.2%	32.9%	1.19×	2.55
1-2 goals	31.3%	35.2%	38.5%	0.91×	2.84
4-5 goals	30.4%	35.2%	28.1%	1.25×	2.84
5-6 goals	18.8%	18.8%	16.6%	1.13×	5.31
7+ goals	5.1%	8.9%	2.9%	3.09×	11.28

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Nassr FC never behind	72.8%	77.7%	—	—	1.29
Al Hazem never behind	10.5%	11.7%	—	—	8.56

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	48.3%	50.9%	50.3%	1.01×	1.96
Even number of goals	51.7%	49.1%	49.7%	0.99×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	53.7%	51.6%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	46.3%	48.4%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	51.5%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half	48.5%	48.1%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	95.6%	95.4%	94.7%	1.01×	1.05
Under 5.5 goals	88.2%	87.6%	92.3%	0.95×	1.14
Over 1.5 goals	85.1%	87.6%	79.0%	1.11×	1.14
Under 4.5 goals	76.1%	77.3%	80.7%	0.96×	1.29
Over 2.5 goals	64.3%	61.8%	56.3%	1.10×	1.62
Under 3.5 goals	57.8%	58.6%	64.4%	0.91×	1.71
Over 3.5 goals	42.2%	41.4%	35.7%	1.16×	2.42
Under 2.5 goals	35.7%	38.2%	43.7%	0.88×	2.62
Over 4.5 goals	23.9%	22.7%	19.3%	1.17×	4.41
Under 1.5 goals	14.9%	12.4%	21.0%	0.59×	8.06
Over 5.5 goals	11.8%	12.4%	7.7%	1.61×	8.07
Under 0.5 goals	4.4%	4.6%	5.3%	0.87×	21.85

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	94.6%	92.4%	97.0%	0.95×	1.08
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	86.6%	86.7%	91.3%	0.95×	1.15
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	81.2%	81.1%	72.9%	1.11×	1.23
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	70.7%	72.4%	76.9%	0.94×	1.38
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	54.2%	51.9%	45.0%	1.16×	1.93
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	45.8%	48.1%	55.0%	0.87×	2.08
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	29.3%	27.6%	23.1%	1.20×	3.62
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	18.8%	18.9%	27.1%	0.70×	5.29
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	13.4%	13.3%	8.7%	1.52×	7.53
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	5.4%	7.6%	3.0%	2.52×	13.17

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	84.6%	85.9%	—	—	1.16
Over 0.5 in 1st half	73.9%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Under 1.5 in 1st half	60.9%	63.1%	—	—	1.58
Over 1.5 in 1st half	39.1%	36.9%	—	—	2.71
Under 0.5 in 1st half	26.1%	28.4%	—	—	3.53
Over 2.5 in 1st half	15.4%	14.1%	—	—	7.08

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	85.7%	85.4%	—	—	1.17
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	68.6%	68.9%	—	—	1.45
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	58.7%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	41.3%	45.1%	—	—	2.22
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	31.4%	31.1%	—	—	3.21
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	14.3%	14.6%	—	—	6.85

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Hazem not to score in both halves	91.3%	90.1%	—	—	1.11
Al Nassr FC to score in both halves	51.2%	55.2%	—	—	1.81
Al Nassr FC not to score in both halves	48.8%	44.8%	—	—	2.23
Al Hazem to score in both halves	8.7%	9.9%	—	—	10.14

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	47.8%	50.7%	56.3%	0.90×	1.97
Only Al Nassr FC scores	44.9%	46.6%	16.8%	2.78×	2.15
Neither team scores	4.4%	4.6%	5.3%	0.87×	21.67
Only Al Hazem scores	2.9%	4.6%	21.9%	0.21×	21.73

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 3 goals	22.1%	22.6%	20.8%	1.08×	4.43
Exactly 2 goals	20.8%	22.6%	22.8%	0.99×	4.43
Exactly 4 goals	18.3%	17.5%	16.5%	1.06×	5.73
Exactly 5 goals	12.1%	12.1%	11.8%	1.03×	8.25
6 or more goals	11.8%	12.1%	7.7%	1.57×	8.25
Exactly 1 goals	10.5%	12.1%	15.9%	0.76×	8.25
Exactly 0 goals	4.4%	4.5%	5.3%	0.85×	22.37

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	34.8%	35.9%	—	—	2.79
No goals in 1st half	26.1%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
2 goals in 1st half	23.7%	21.5%	—	—	4.65
3+ goals in 1st half	15.4%	15.6%	—	—	6.41

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	58.7%	54.2%	—	—	1.84
1 goal in 2nd half	27.0%	29.2%	—	—	3.43
No goals in 2nd half	14.3%	14.4%	—	—	6.94

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Hazem not to win both halves	99.0%	97.3%	—	—	1.03
Al Nassr FC not to win both halves	63.9%	69.4%	—	—	1.44
Al Nassr FC to win both halves	36.1%	30.6%	—	—	3.27
Al Hazem to win both halves	1.0%	2.7%	—	—	36.41

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Nassr FC to win either half	84.3%	83.8%	—	—	1.19
Al Hazem to win neither half	81.5%	83.4%	—	—	1.20
Al Hazem to win either half	18.5%	16.6%	—	—	6.01
Al Nassr FC to win neither half	15.7%	16.2%	—	—	6.18

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Hazem not to win to nil	97.1%	96.2%	78.1%	1.23×	1.04
Al Nassr FC not to win to nil	55.1%	59.1%	83.2%	0.71×	1.69
Al Nassr FC to win to nil	44.9%	40.9%	16.8%	2.44×	2.45
Al Hazem to win to nil	2.9%	3.8%	21.9%	0.18×	26.02

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Nassr FC by 3+	34.7%	27.7%	7.1%	3.90×	3.61
Al Nassr FC by 2	22.0%	24.1%	10.6%	2.28×	4.15
Al Nassr FC by 1	20.6%	24.1%	17.7%	1.36×	4.15
Draw	15.8%	17.0%	21.6%	0.79×	5.87
Al Hazem by 1	5.0%	2.7%	21.5%	0.13×	36.75
Al Hazem by 2	1.6%	2.7%	12.8%	0.21×	36.85
Al Hazem by 3+	0.4%	2.7%	9.5%	0.28×	36.89