Al Hazem v Al Taawoun — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Tuesday 8 September 2026 · KSA-Pro League · 2627

KSA-Pro League results-only Prediction generated 8 Sep 2026, 11:44 UTC

Al Hazem

1–0

15:55 UTC

Al Taawoun

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Final pre-match price, taken 8 Sep, 07:54 · 8h before kick-off

Al Hazem win

31.0%

model 34.0%

Draw

29.5%

model 29.0%

Al Taawoun win

39.5%

model 37.0%

312939

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (567 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 13.8%
1-2 8.4%
0-0 8.4%
2-1 8.0%
0-1 7.9%

Goals

Over 2.5	50.0%	Under 2.5	50.0%
BTTS yes	55.8%	BTTS no	44.2%
Al Hazem 1+	72.8%	Al Hazem 2+	37.4%
Al Taawoun 1+	74.6%	Al Taawoun 2+	39.8%

Expected goals 1.30 – 1.37. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

78/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

97%

★ Best pick

Under 3.5 goals

Over/Under · usually 65%

72.4% fair odds 1.38

moderate signal · 1526 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Al Hazem (2:0)

Handicap 2:0 · usually 82%

84.0% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 379 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Nothing in the data singles out Al Taawoun.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Al Taawoun have an estimated 39.5% win probability, against 31.0% for Al Hazem and 29.5% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.30 for Al Hazem and 1.37 for Al Taawoun.

Why Al Hazem

Nothing in the data singles out Al Hazem.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 29.5%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.30 to 1.37. Draws run at 21% in this competition.

Why Al Taawoun can win

Nothing in the data singles out Al Taawoun.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Al Hazem, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Al Taawoun, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Al Hazem: 45% possession, 9.8 shots a match, 12.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Al Taawoun: 55% possession, 14.8 shots a match, 13.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-08 10:52 · team_stats 2026-09-08 06:03 · availability 2026-09-08 11:54 · prediction 2026-09-08 11:44 ·

Al Taawoun are the model's most likely outcome at 39.5%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 13.8%. Confidence 78/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS	Outcome
ai-blend	342937	1.30–1.37	0%	0%	0%	Away ✗
ai-blend-oos	313039	1.23–1.41	0%	0%	0%	Away ✗
dc-xg	312940	1.22–1.40	1-1 14%	49%	55%	Away ✗
dc-xg-oos	322840	1.26–1.43	1-1 14%	50%	56%	Away ✗
deep	333036	1.19–1.25	1-1 15%	44%	51%	Away ✗

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Taawoun to win	36.1%	36.3%	35.0%	1.04×	2.75
Al Hazem to win	33.5%	30.5%	43.5%	0.70×	3.28
Draw	30.5%	30.5%	21.6%	1.41×	3.28

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw & both teams score	20.2%	21.8%	16.5%	1.33×	4.58
Al Taawoun & not both score	20.1%	21.8%	16.8%	1.30×	4.58
Al Hazem & not both score	18.5%	17.9%	21.9%	0.82×	5.57
Al Taawoun & both teams score	16.0%	17.9%	18.4%	0.97×	5.57
Al Hazem & both teams score	15.0%	13.3%	21.8%	0.61×	7.51
Draw & not both score	10.3%	13.3%	5.3%	2.52×	7.52

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Taawoun & over 1.5	26.8%	26.1%	28.4%	0.92×	3.84
Al Taawoun & under 3.5	27.0%	26.1%	21.5%	1.22×	3.84
Al Hazem & under 3.5	25.2%	26.1%	27.3%	0.95×	3.84
Al Hazem & over 1.5	24.6%	21.6%	34.4%	0.63×	4.63
Draw & under 2.5	24.8%	21.6%	15.9%	1.36×	4.63
Draw & under 3.5	24.8%	21.6%	15.9%	1.36×	4.63
Draw & over 1.5	20.2%	21.6%	16.5%	1.31×	4.63
Al Taawoun & over 2.5	20.0%	18.0%	23.1%	0.78×	5.56
Al Hazem & over 2.5	18.4%	18.0%	27.6%	0.65×	5.56
Al Taawoun & under 2.5	16.1%	18.0%	12.1%	1.49×	5.56
Al Hazem & under 2.5	15.0%	18.0%	16.0%	1.12×	5.56
Draw & under 1.5	10.3%	12.9%	5.3%	2.44×	7.77
Al Hazem & under 1.5	8.8%	7.9%	9.2%	0.86×	12.62
Al Taawoun & under 1.5	9.3%	7.9%	6.8%	1.17×	12.62
Al Taawoun & over 3.5	9.1%	7.9%	13.7%	0.58×	12.62
Al Hazem & over 3.5	8.2%	7.9%	16.3%	0.49×	12.62
Draw & over 2.5	5.7%	7.9%	5.9%	1.34×	12.62
Draw & over 3.5	5.7%	7.9%	5.9%	1.34×	12.62

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Taawoun (1UP)	52.2%	52.8%	—	—	1.89
Al Hazem (1UP)	49.9%	43.6%	—	—	2.29

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Taawoun (2UP)	36.1%	37.0%	—	—	2.70
Al Hazem (2UP)	33.5%	30.9%	—	—	3.23

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	38.9%	36.1%	—	—	2.77
Al Taawoun to win 2nd half	32.6%	34.5%	—	—	2.90
Al Hazem to win 2nd half	28.5%	26.4%	—	—	3.78

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Taawoun under 1.5 in 2nd half	82.7%	84.3%	—	—	1.19
Al Taawoun over 0.5 in 2nd half	52.7%	52.8%	—	—	1.89
Al Taawoun under 0.5 in 2nd half	47.3%	47.2%	—	—	2.12
Al Taawoun over 1.5 in 2nd half	17.3%	15.7%	—	—	6.36

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Hazem under 1.5 in 2nd half	85.1%	87.7%	—	—	1.14
Al Hazem under 0.5 in 2nd half	50.6%	52.9%	—	—	1.89
Al Hazem over 0.5 in 2nd half	49.4%	47.2%	—	—	2.12
Al Hazem over 1.5 in 2nd half	14.9%	12.3%	—	—	8.14

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Taawoun (+2.5)	95.2%	96.3%	90.5%	1.06×	1.04
Al Taawoun (+1.5)	85.3%	88.5%	77.8%	1.14×	1.13
Al Taawoun (+0.5)	66.5%	68.6%	56.5%	1.22×	1.46
Al Hazem (+0.5)	63.9%	62.9%	65.0%	0.97×	1.59
Al Taawoun (-0.5)	36.1%	37.1%	35.0%	1.06×	2.70
Al Hazem (-0.5)	33.5%	31.4%	43.5%	0.72×	3.19
Al Hazem (-1.5)	14.7%	11.5%	22.2%	0.52×	8.68
Al Hazem (-2.5)	4.8%	3.7%	9.5%	0.39×	27.00

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Taawoun to concede	69.7%	72.6%	78.1%	0.93×	1.38
Al Taawoun clean sheet	30.3%	27.4%	21.9%	1.25×	3.65

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Taawoun clean sheet in 1st half	59.9%	58.4%	—	—	1.71
Al Taawoun to concede in 1st half	40.1%	41.6%	—	—	2.41

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Taawoun clean sheet in 2nd half	50.6%	52.3%	—	—	1.91
Al Taawoun to concede in 2nd half	49.4%	47.7%	—	—	2.10

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Taawoun under 3.5 goals	96.2%	97.5%	93.1%	1.05×	1.03
Al Taawoun under 2.5 goals	86.9%	87.9%	82.6%	1.06×	1.14
Al Taawoun over 0.5 goals	71.3%	71.8%	73.0%	0.98×	1.39
Al Taawoun under 1.5 goals	64.6%	63.2%	60.9%	1.04×	1.58
Al Taawoun over 1.5 goals	35.4%	36.8%	39.1%	0.94×	2.72
Al Taawoun under 0.5 goals	28.7%	28.2%	27.0%	1.04×	3.55
Al Taawoun over 2.5 goals	13.1%	12.1%	17.4%	0.70×	8.23
Al Taawoun over 3.5 goals	3.8%	2.5%	6.9%	0.36×	39.92

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Taawoun under 1.5 in 1st half	91.0%	94.0%	—	—	1.06
Al Taawoun under 0.5 in 1st half	60.7%	64.2%	—	—	1.56
Al Taawoun over 0.5 in 1st half	39.3%	35.8%	—	—	2.80
Al Taawoun over 1.5 in 1st half	9.0%	6.0%	—	—	16.67

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Taawoun scores equally in both	40.5%	43.6%	—	—	2.29
Al Taawoun scores more in 2nd half	37.5%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
Al Taawoun scores more in 1st half	22.0%	22.1%	—	—	4.53

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Hazem (away no bet)	52.3%	51.7%	66.8%	0.77×	1.94
Draw (away no bet)	47.7%	48.3%	33.2%	1.46×	2.07

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Taawoun even goals	54.1%	52.7%	52.4%	1.00×	1.90
Al Taawoun odd goals	45.9%	47.3%	47.6%	0.99×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	88.8%	87.7%	—	—	1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals	11.2%	12.3%	—	—	8.12

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	58.2%	60.5%	—	—	1.65
Both halves under 1.5 goals	41.8%	39.5%	—	—	2.53

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	49.7%	46.0%	—	—	2.17
Al Taawoun to score 2+ in a row	28.2%	25.1%	—	—	3.98
Al Hazem to score 2+ in a row	26.3%	25.1%	—	—	3.99
Either team to score 3+ in a row	15.7%	16.3%	—	—	6.14
Al Taawoun to score 3+ in a row	8.4%	5.7%	—	—	17.59
Al Hazem to score 3+ in a row	7.4%	5.7%	—	—	17.67

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	14.5%	11.5%	10.7%	1.07×	8.73
0-0	10.3%	11.4%	5.3%	2.17×	8.74
0-1	9.3%	7.4%	6.8%	1.09×	13.49
1-0	8.8%	7.4%	9.2%	0.80×	13.49
0-2	6.8%	7.4%	5.4%	1.36×	13.49
1-2	8.1%	7.4%	7.4%	1.00×	13.49
2-1	7.7%	7.4%	8.5%	0.88×	13.49
2-0	6.2%	7.4%	6.9%	1.07×	13.49
2-2	4.8%	1.7%	4.8%	0.35×	58.33
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.3%	5.67×	58.35
Any other score	1.7%	1.7%	5.6%	0.31×	58.34
0-3	2.8%	1.7%	2.3%	0.76×	58.34
0-4	0.9%	1.7%	1.1%	1.62×	58.35
1-3	3.4%	1.7%	3.9%	0.44×	58.33
1-4	1.0%	1.7%	1.1%	1.62×	58.35
2-3	2.0%	1.7%	3.3%	0.52×	58.34
2-4	0.6%	1.7%	1.2%	1.42×	58.35
3-0	2.5%	1.7%	3.2%	0.54×	58.34
3-1	3.1%	1.7%	5.1%	0.33×	58.34
3-2	1.9%	1.7%	3.6%	0.47×	58.34
3-3	0.8%	1.7%	1.1%	1.62×	58.35
3-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.6%	2.84×	58.35
4-0	0.7%	1.7%	2.1%	0.81×	58.35
4-1	0.9%	1.7%	2.4%	0.71×	58.35
4-2	0.6%	1.7%	1.1%	1.62×	58.35
4-3	0.2%	1.7%	0.6%	2.84×	58.35

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Taawoun (2nd half DNB)	53.3%	52.5%	—	—	1.91
Al Hazem (2nd half DNB)	46.7%	47.5%	—	—	2.11

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Hazem leading at HT (DNB)	50.9%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
Al Taawoun leading at HT (DNB)	49.1%	45.0%	—	—	2.22

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Hazem or Al Taawoun (12)	69.5%	69.5%	78.4%	0.89×	1.44
Al Taawoun or draw (X2)	66.5%	69.5%	56.5%	1.23×	1.44
Al Hazem or draw (1X)	63.9%	63.7%	65.0%	0.98×	1.57

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Hazem or draw at HT	73.9%	74.5%	—	—	1.34
Al Taawoun or draw at HT	72.9%	74.5%	—	—	1.34
Al Hazem or Al Taawoun at HT	53.2%	47.6%	—	—	2.10

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Taawoun or draw (1UP)	66.5%	75.9%	—	—	1.32
Al Hazem or draw (1UP)	63.9%	72.1%	—	—	1.39

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Taawoun or draw in 2nd half	71.5%	73.6%	—	—	1.36
Al Hazem or draw in 2nd half	67.4%	65.5%	—	—	1.53
Al Hazem or Al Taawoun in 2nd half	61.1%	63.9%	—	—	1.57

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	65.8%	69.0%	—	—	1.45
Neither half drawn	34.2%	31.0%	—	—	3.23

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Taawoun (DNB)	51.9%	50.9%	44.6%	1.14×	1.96
Al Hazem (DNB)	48.1%	49.1%	55.4%	0.89×	2.04

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Taawoun to score first	45.9%	45.5%	—	—	2.20
Al Hazem to score first	43.9%	41.9%	—	—	2.38
No goal scored	10.3%	9.5%	—	—	10.56

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	51.2%	51.3%	56.3%	0.91×	1.95
Not both teams to score	48.8%	48.7%	43.7%	1.12×	2.05

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	41.4%	41.6%	33.1%	1.26×	2.40
Both score & over 2.5	36.7%	38.4%	45.8%	0.84×	2.61
Both score & under 2.5	14.5%	12.4%	10.7%	1.15×	8.09
Not both score & over 2.5	7.4%	8.3%	10.7%	0.77×	12.06

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	88.1%	85.6%	83.5%	1.03×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	11.9%	14.4%	16.5%	0.87×	6.97

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	73.5%	74.1%	—	—	1.35
Both teams to score in 2nd half	26.5%	25.9%	—	—	3.86

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	61.5%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Both score 2nd half only	22.4%	20.9%	—	—	4.79
Both score 1st half only	11.9%	10.7%	—	—	9.31
Both score in both halves	4.1%	5.0%	—	—	20.03

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	84.0%	82.8%	—	—	1.21
Both teams to score by HT	16.0%	17.2%	—	—	5.81

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	50.8%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
A goal in each half	49.2%	46.7%	—	—	2.14

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	48.6%	47.3%	43.5%	1.09×	2.12
0-1 goals	28.4%	26.6%	21.0%	1.27×	3.76
4-6 goals	21.7%	22.9%	32.9%	0.69×	4.38
7+ goals	1.3%	1.8%	2.9%	0.63×	55.03

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Taawoun to score exactly 1	35.8%	35.9%	34.0%	1.06×	2.79
Al Taawoun to score exactly 0	28.7%	27.4%	27.0%	1.01×	3.64
Al Taawoun to score exactly 2	22.4%	22.3%	21.9%	1.02×	4.49
Al Taawoun to score 3+	13.1%	12.8%	17.4%	0.74×	7.79

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Hazem to score exactly 1	36.2%	35.6%	32.5%	1.10×	2.81
Al Hazem to score exactly 0	30.3%	32.6%	21.9%	1.49×	3.07
Al Hazem to score exactly 2	21.6%	23.3%	24.8%	0.94×	4.30
Al Hazem to score 3+	11.9%	14.3%	21.1%	0.68×	6.98

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	46.8%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Al Hazem leading at HT	27.1%	25.5%	—	—	3.92
Al Taawoun leading at HT	26.1%	25.5%	—	—	3.93

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Taawoun -1: 1	63.9%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
Al Taawoun -1: X	19.7%	17.5%	—	—	5.72
Al Taawoun -1: 2	16.4%	17.5%	—	—	5.73

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Taawoun (0:1)	66.5%	65.1%	56.5%	1.15×	1.54
Draw (0:1)	18.7%	17.9%	21.5%	0.83×	5.60
Al Hazem (0:1)	14.7%	13.8%	22.2%	0.62×	7.27

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Taawoun (0:2)	85.3%	87.0%	77.8%	1.12×	1.15
Draw (0:2)	9.9%	7.7%	12.8%	0.60×	13.01
Al Hazem (0:2)	4.8%	3.8%	9.5%	0.40×	26.56

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Taawoun (0:3)	95.2%	96.6%	90.5%	1.07×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	3.5%	2.4%	5.6%	0.42×	42.25
Al Hazem (0:3)	1.3%	2.4%	4.1%	0.58×	42.35

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Taawoun (0:4)	98.7%	98.1%	95.9%	1.02×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	1.0%	1.2%	2.9%	0.42×	83.01
Al Hazem (0:4)	0.3%	1.2%	1.4%	0.88×	83.10

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Hazem (1:0)	63.9%	65.3%	65.0%	1.00×	1.53
Draw (1:0)	19.7%	17.1%	17.7%	0.97×	5.86
Al Taawoun (1:0)	16.4%	17.0%	17.5%	0.97×	5.87

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Hazem (2:0)	83.6%	84.7%	82.5%	1.03×	1.18
Draw (2:0)	10.8%	10.3%	10.6%	0.98×	9.68
Al Taawoun (2:0)	5.6%	6.4%	7.1%	0.90×	15.65

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	45.3%	47.8%	—	—	2.09
Halves equal	29.0%	26.4%	—	—	3.79
1st half highest scoring	25.7%	26.4%	—	—	3.79

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Hazem to concede	71.3%	73.1%	73.0%	1.00×	1.37
Al Hazem clean sheet	28.7%	26.9%	27.0%	1.00×	3.71

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Hazem clean sheet in 1st half	60.7%	64.3%	—	—	1.56
Al Hazem to concede in 1st half	39.3%	35.7%	—	—	2.80

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Hazem to concede in 2nd half	52.7%	52.9%	—	—	1.89
Al Hazem clean sheet in 2nd half	47.3%	47.1%	—	—	2.12

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Hazem under 3.5 goals	96.7%	96.3%	92.0%	1.05×	1.04
Al Hazem under 2.5 goals	88.1%	87.3%	78.9%	1.11×	1.15
Al Hazem over 0.5 goals	69.7%	67.9%	78.1%	0.87×	1.47
Al Hazem under 1.5 goals	66.5%	67.9%	54.2%	1.25×	1.47
Al Hazem over 1.5 goals	33.5%	32.1%	45.8%	0.70×	3.12
Al Hazem under 0.5 goals	30.3%	32.1%	21.9%	1.46×	3.12
Al Hazem over 2.5 goals	11.9%	12.7%	21.1%	0.60×	7.86
Al Hazem over 3.5 goals	3.3%	3.7%	8.0%	0.46×	27.38

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Hazem under 1.5 in 1st half	90.6%	95.1%	—	—	1.05
Al Hazem under 0.5 in 1st half	59.9%	58.1%	—	—	1.72
Al Hazem over 0.5 in 1st half	40.1%	41.9%	—	—	2.39
Al Hazem over 1.5 in 1st half	9.4%	4.9%	—	—	20.43

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Hazem scores equally in both	41.9%	42.4%	—	—	2.36
Al Hazem scores more in 2nd half	34.4%	32.8%	—	—	3.05
Al Hazem scores more in 1st half	23.8%	21.4%	—	—	4.66

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Taawoun (home no bet)	54.2%	51.4%	61.9%	0.83×	1.95
Draw (home no bet)	45.8%	48.6%	38.1%	1.27×	2.06

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Hazem even goals	54.6%	50.7%	52.7%	0.96×	1.97
Al Hazem odd goals	45.4%	49.3%	47.3%	1.04×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	36.6%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
HT 1-0	18.4%	18.7%	—	—	5.36
HT 0-1	17.9%	18.7%	—	—	5.36
HT 1-1	9.6%	7.1%	—	—	14.10
HT 2-0	4.8%	2.3%	—	—	42.78
HT 0-2	4.5%	2.3%	—	—	42.80
Any other HT score	3.0%	2.3%	—	—	42.91
HT 1-2	2.3%	2.3%	—	—	42.96
HT 2-1	2.4%	2.3%	—	—	42.95
HT 2-2	0.6%	2.3%	—	—	43.08

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	19.8%	16.8%	—	—	5.97
Al Taawoun at HT / Al Taawoun at FT	19.4%	16.7%	—	—	5.97
Al Hazem at HT / Al Hazem at FT	19.1%	16.7%	—	—	5.97
Draw at HT / Al Taawoun at FT	14.4%	12.7%	—	—	7.85
Draw at HT / Al Hazem at FT	12.6%	12.7%	—	—	7.86
Al Hazem at HT / Draw at FT	5.7%	6.1%	—	—	16.32
Al Taawoun at HT / Draw at FT	5.0%	3.4%	—	—	29.04
Al Hazem at HT / Al Taawoun at FT	2.3%	3.4%	—	—	29.15
Al Taawoun at HT / Al Hazem at FT	1.8%	3.4%	—	—	29.17

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Taawoun to score last	45.9%	46.6%	—	—	2.15
Al Hazem to score last	43.9%	40.1%	—	—	2.50
No goal scored	10.3%	8.9%	—	—	11.29

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	89.7%	91.0%	—	—	1.10
Al Taawoun to lead by 1 at any time	52.2%	50.6%	—	—	1.98
Al Hazem to lead by 1 at any time	49.9%	44.1%	—	—	2.27
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	41.3%	39.1%	—	—	2.56
Al Taawoun to lead by 2 at any time	21.6%	19.5%	—	—	5.12
Al Hazem to lead by 2 at any time	19.8%	15.0%	—	—	6.66
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	13.1%	10.4%	—	—	9.63
Al Taawoun to lead by 3 at any time	7.0%	6.7%	—	—	15.01
Al Hazem to lead by 3 at any time	6.1%	6.6%	—	—	15.05

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	85.9%	87.4%	87.2%	1.00×	1.14
1-4 goals	79.6%	78.7%	75.5%	1.04×	1.27
2-6 goals	70.3%	72.4%	76.3%	0.95×	1.38
2-5 goals	67.8%	68.8%	71.5%	0.96×	1.45
1-3 goals	66.7%	68.8%	59.2%	1.16×	1.45
2-4 goals	61.5%	63.4%	59.8%	1.06×	1.58
2-3 goals	48.6%	48.6%	43.5%	1.12×	2.06
1-2 goals	45.6%	48.6%	38.5%	1.26×	2.06
3-6 goals	42.8%	43.6%	53.6%	0.81×	2.30
3-5 goals	40.3%	43.6%	48.8%	0.89×	2.30
3-4 goals	34.0%	35.2%	37.2%	0.95×	2.84
4-6 goals	21.7%	24.5%	32.9%	0.74×	4.08
4-5 goals	19.2%	18.8%	28.1%	0.67×	5.32
5-6 goals	8.8%	8.9%	16.6%	0.53×	11.29
7+ goals	1.3%	2.5%	2.9%	0.89×	39.28

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Taawoun never behind	39.8%	44.5%	—	—	2.25
Al Hazem never behind	37.5%	44.3%	—	—	2.26

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	46.5%	50.9%	50.3%	1.01×	1.97
Even number of goals	53.5%	49.1%	49.7%	0.99×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	57.1%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Odd goals in 1st half	42.9%	42.8%	—	—	2.34

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	53.9%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	46.1%	47.9%	—	—	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	96.2%	95.4%	92.3%	1.03×	1.05
Under 4.5 goals	89.9%	87.6%	80.7%	1.09×	1.14
Over 0.5 goals	89.7%	87.6%	94.7%	0.93×	1.14
Under 3.5 goals	77.0%	77.4%	64.4%	1.20×	1.29
Over 1.5 goals	71.6%	72.4%	79.0%	0.92×	1.38
Under 2.5 goals	55.9%	58.6%	43.7%	1.34×	1.71
Over 2.5 goals	44.1%	41.4%	56.3%	0.73×	2.42
Under 1.5 goals	28.4%	27.6%	21.0%	1.31×	3.63
Over 3.5 goals	23.0%	22.6%	35.7%	0.64×	4.42
Under 0.5 goals	10.3%	12.4%	5.3%	2.34×	8.09
Over 4.5 goals	10.1%	12.4%	19.3%	0.64×	8.09
Over 5.5 goals	3.8%	4.6%	7.7%	0.59×	21.83

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	98.7%	97.2%	97.0%	1.00×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	95.9%	97.2%	91.3%	1.06×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	88.4%	86.8%	76.9%	1.13×	1.15
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	70.9%	72.4%	55.0%	1.32×	1.38
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	60.8%	61.9%	72.9%	0.85×	1.62
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	39.2%	38.1%	27.1%	1.40×	2.62
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	29.1%	27.6%	45.0%	0.61×	3.63
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	11.6%	13.2%	23.1%	0.57×	7.56
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	4.1%	2.8%	8.7%	0.32×	35.73
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	1.3%	2.8%	3.0%	0.93×	35.81

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	91.7%	92.7%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	72.9%	71.1%	—	—	1.41
Over 0.5 in 1st half	63.4%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Under 0.5 in 1st half	36.6%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
Over 1.5 in 1st half	27.1%	28.9%	—	—	3.47
Over 2.5 in 1st half	8.3%	7.3%	—	—	13.65

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	82.7%	82.9%	—	—	1.21
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	75.5%	79.6%	—	—	1.26
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	57.7%	54.8%	—	—	1.83
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	42.3%	45.2%	—	—	2.21
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	24.5%	20.4%	—	—	4.91
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	17.4%	17.1%	—	—	5.85

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Hazem not to score in both halves	80.2%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
Al Taawoun not to score in both halves	79.3%	78.1%	—	—	1.28
Al Taawoun to score in both halves	20.7%	21.9%	—	—	4.57
Al Hazem to score in both halves	19.8%	15.8%	—	—	6.35

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	51.2%	53.8%	56.3%	0.96×	1.86
Only Al Taawoun scores	20.1%	22.2%	16.8%	1.33×	4.50
Only Al Hazem scores	18.5%	16.0%	21.9%	0.73×	6.25
Neither team scores	10.3%	11.0%	5.3%	2.08×	9.08

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	27.5%	24.9%	22.8%	1.09×	4.02
Exactly 3 goals	21.1%	22.6%	20.8%	1.08×	4.43
Exactly 1 goals	18.1%	17.5%	15.9%	1.10×	5.73
Exactly 4 goals	12.9%	12.1%	16.5%	0.74×	8.26
Exactly 0 goals	10.3%	12.1%	5.3%	2.29×	8.27
Exactly 5 goals	6.3%	7.6%	11.8%	0.65×	13.14
6 or more goals	3.8%	4.5%	7.7%	0.58×	22.32

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No goals in 1st half	36.6%	37.0%	—	—	2.70
1 goal in 1st half	36.3%	37.0%	—	—	2.71
2 goals in 1st half	18.9%	15.2%	—	—	6.59
3+ goals in 1st half	8.3%	7.3%	—	—	13.65

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	42.3%	44.0%	—	—	2.27
1 goal in 2nd half	33.2%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
No goals in 2nd half	24.5%	22.9%	—	—	4.36

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Hazem not to win both halves	92.1%	94.0%	—	—	1.06
Al Taawoun not to win both halves	91.3%	94.0%	—	—	1.06
Al Taawoun to win both halves	8.7%	6.0%	—	—	16.66
Al Hazem to win both halves	7.9%	6.0%	—	—	16.72

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Hazem to win neither half	52.3%	54.6%	—	—	1.83
Al Taawoun to win neither half	50.0%	54.5%	—	—	1.83
Al Taawoun to win either half	50.0%	45.5%	—	—	2.20
Al Hazem to win either half	47.7%	45.4%	—	—	2.20

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Hazem not to win to nil	81.5%	83.1%	78.1%	1.06×	1.20
Al Taawoun not to win to nil	79.9%	78.1%	83.2%	0.94×	1.28
Al Taawoun to win to nil	20.1%	21.9%	16.8%	1.30×	4.58
Al Hazem to win to nil	18.5%	16.9%	21.9%	0.77×	5.93

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	30.5%	27.6%	21.6%	1.28×	3.62
Al Taawoun by 1	19.7%	17.0%	17.7%	0.96×	5.88
Al Hazem by 1	18.7%	17.0%	21.5%	0.79×	5.89
Al Taawoun by 2	10.8%	11.8%	10.6%	1.11×	8.49
Al Hazem by 2	9.9%	7.2%	12.8%	0.56×	13.87
Al Taawoun by 3+	5.6%	7.2%	7.1%	1.01×	13.89
Al Hazem by 3+	4.8%	2.7%	9.5%	0.29×	36.69

Shot-level data has not been ingested for this match yet. Run python -m pipeline.ingest_understat to fill it in.