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Al Hazem v Al Taawoun — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Tuesday 8 September 2026 · KSA-Pro League · 2627

KSA-Pro League results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily
Al Hazem win
30.2%
model 33.1%
Draw
29.3%
model 28.9%
Al Taawoun win
40.5%
model 38.0%

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (483 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

  1. 1-1 13.8%
  2. 1-2 8.5%
  3. 0-0 8.5%
  4. 0-1 8.4%
  5. 2-1 7.9%

Goals

Over 2.549.3% Under 2.550.7%
BTTS yes55.1% BTTS no44.9%
Al Hazem 1+71.9% Al Hazem 2+36.3%
Al Taawoun 1+74.7% Al Taawoun 2+40.0%

Expected goals 1.27 – 1.38. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence
79/100
Data quality
65/100
Model agreement
99%
★ Best pick
Under 3.5 goals
Over/Under · usually 65%
73.4% fair odds 1.36
moderate signal · 1338 settled matches behind the band
★ Most likely to land
Not both to score by HT
GG/NG half time
83.0% fair odds 1.21
moderate signal · 1236 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

  • Nothing in the data singles out Al Taawoun.

Risk factors

  • No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.
Why the model thinks this

The price

Al Taawoun have an estimated 40.5% win probability, against 30.2% for Al Hazem and 29.3% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.27 for Al Hazem and 1.38 for Al Taawoun.

Why Al Hazem

Nothing in the data singles out Al Hazem.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 29.3%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.27 to 1.38. Draws run at 21% in this competition.

Why Al Taawoun can win

Nothing in the data singles out Al Taawoun.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Al Hazem, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Al Taawoun, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Al Hazem: 45% possession, 9.8 shots a match, 12.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Al Taawoun: 55% possession, 14.8 shots a match, 13.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-06 07:42 · team_stats 2026-09-06 06:08 · availability 2026-09-06 07:53 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Al Taawoun are the model's most likely outcome at 40.5%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 13.8%. Confidence 79/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
ai-blend 1.27–1.38 0% 0% 0%
dc-xg 1.23–1.39 1-1 14% 48% 54%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Al Taawoun to win 39.3% 36.5% 35.2% 1.04× 2.74
Al Hazem to win 31.7% 30.4% 43.5% 0.70× 3.29
Draw 29.0% 27.9% 21.4% 1.30× 3.59
1X2 & GG/NG 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Al Taawoun & not both score 20.7% 21.9% 16.8% 1.30× 4.57
Draw & both teams score 20.3% 21.9% 16.5% 1.32× 4.57
Al Taawoun & both teams score 18.7% 17.9% 18.5% 0.97× 5.58
Al Hazem & not both score 16.2% 17.9% 22.1% 0.81× 5.58
Al Hazem & both teams score 15.5% 17.9% 21.6% 0.83× 5.58
Draw & not both score 8.7% 8.4% 5.1% 1.66× 11.94
1X2 & Over/Under 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Al Taawoun & over 1.5 30.6% 30.9% 28.5% 1.08× 3.24
Al Taawoun & under 3.5 27.8% 26.0% 21.6% 1.21× 3.84
Al Hazem & over 1.5 24.1% 21.6% 34.5% 0.63× 4.62
Al Taawoun & over 2.5 23.5% 21.6% 23.3% 0.93× 4.62
Al Hazem & under 3.5 22.9% 21.6% 27.4% 0.79× 4.62
Draw & under 2.5 22.6% 21.6% 15.8% 1.37× 4.62
Draw & under 3.5 22.6% 21.6% 15.8% 1.37× 4.62
Draw & over 1.5 20.3% 21.6% 16.5% 1.31× 4.62
Al Hazem & over 2.5 18.6% 18.0% 27.6% 0.65× 5.56
Al Taawoun & under 2.5 15.8% 18.0% 12.1% 1.49× 5.56
Al Hazem & under 2.5 13.1% 12.9% 16.1% 0.80× 7.78
Al Taawoun & over 3.5 11.6% 12.9% 13.8% 0.93× 7.78
Al Hazem & over 3.5 8.7% 7.9% 16.2% 0.49× 12.69
Draw & under 1.5 8.7% 7.9% 5.1% 1.56× 12.69
Al Taawoun & under 1.5 8.8% 7.9% 6.9% 1.14× 12.69
Al Hazem & under 1.5 7.6% 7.9% 9.2% 0.86× 12.69
Draw & over 2.5 6.4% 7.9% 5.8% 1.35× 12.69
Draw & over 3.5 6.4% 7.9% 5.8% 1.35× 12.69
1X2 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Al Taawoun (1UP) 55.9% 57.9% 1.73
Al Hazem (1UP) 49.2% 43.0% 2.32
1X2 2UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Al Taawoun (2UP) 39.3% 37.1% 2.69
Al Hazem (2UP) 31.7% 31.0% 3.23
2nd half 1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half drawn 37.1% 36.1% 2.77
Al Taawoun to win 2nd half 35.4% 36.0% 2.78
Al Hazem to win 2nd half 27.5% 26.3% 3.81
Asian handicap 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Al Taawoun (+2.5) 95.4% 96.3% 90.4% 1.07× 1.04
Al Taawoun (+1.5) 86.0% 88.5% 77.6% 1.14× 1.13
Al Taawoun (+0.5) 68.3% 68.7% 56.5% 1.22× 1.46
Al Hazem (+0.5) 60.7% 62.9% 64.8% 0.97× 1.59
Al Taawoun (-0.5) 39.3% 37.1% 35.2% 1.05× 2.69
Al Hazem (-0.5) 31.7% 31.3% 43.5% 0.72× 3.20
Al Hazem (-1.5) 14.0% 11.5% 22.4% 0.52× 8.68
Al Hazem (-2.5) 4.6% 3.7% 9.6% 0.39× 26.71
Away clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Al Taawoun to concede 70.6% 76.5% 78.3% 0.98× 1.31
Al Taawoun clean sheet 29.4% 23.5% 21.7% 1.08× 4.25
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Al Taawoun clean sheet in 1st half 59.1% 57.8% 1.73
Al Taawoun to concede in 1st half 40.9% 42.2% 2.37
Away corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Al Taawoun under 6.5 corners 83.7% 81.0% 1.24
Al Taawoun under 5.5 corners 74.0% 72.3% 1.38
Al Taawoun over 2.5 corners 72.5% 72.3% 1.38
Al Taawoun under 4.5 corners 60.7% 61.4% 1.63
Al Taawoun over 3.5 corners 55.4% 56.9% 1.76
Al Taawoun under 3.5 corners 44.6% 43.1% 2.32
Al Taawoun over 4.5 corners 39.3% 38.6% 2.59
Al Taawoun under 2.5 corners 27.5% 27.7% 3.62
Al Taawoun over 5.5 corners 26.0% 27.7% 3.62
Al Taawoun over 6.5 corners 16.3% 19.0% 5.25
Away goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Al Taawoun under 3.5 goals 94.8% 92.4% 93.0% 0.99× 1.08
Al Taawoun under 2.5 goals 83.6% 81.5% 82.7% 0.99× 1.23
Al Taawoun over 0.5 goals 75.1% 76.2% 73.0% 1.04× 1.31
Al Taawoun under 1.5 goals 59.6% 59.6% 60.9% 0.98× 1.68
Al Taawoun over 1.5 goals 40.4% 40.4% 39.1% 1.03× 2.48
Al Taawoun under 0.5 goals 24.9% 23.8% 27.0% 0.88× 4.20
Al Taawoun over 2.5 goals 16.4% 18.5% 17.3% 1.07× 5.40
Al Taawoun over 3.5 goals 5.2% 7.6% 7.0% 1.08× 13.09
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Al Taawoun under 1.5 in 1st half 89.2% 89.6% 1.12
Al Taawoun under 0.5 in 1st half 57.4% 62.9% 1.59
Al Taawoun over 0.5 in 1st half 42.6% 37.1% 2.70
Al Taawoun over 1.5 in 1st half 10.8% 10.4% 9.66
Away no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Al Hazem (away no bet) 52.2% 51.2% 67.0% 0.77× 1.95
Draw (away no bet) 47.8% 48.8% 33.0% 1.48× 2.05
Away Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Al Taawoun even goals 53.1% 52.7% 52.4% 1.01× 1.90
Al Taawoun odd goals 46.9% 47.3% 47.6% 0.99× 2.12
Both halves O1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves over 1.5 86.7% 87.9% 1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals 13.3% 12.1% 8.24
Both halves U1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves under 1.5 62.1% 57.7% 1.73
Both halves under 1.5 goals 37.9% 42.3% 2.37
Consecutive goals 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row 53.3% 51.2% 1.95
Al Taawoun to score 2+ in a row 32.4% 28.5% 3.51
Al Hazem to score 2+ in a row 26.6% 25.1% 3.98
Either team to score 3+ in a row 17.8% 16.4% 6.09
Al Taawoun to score 3+ in a row 10.5% 11.9% 8.38
Al Hazem to score 3+ in a row 7.5% 5.6% 17.93
Corner handicap 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Al Hazem corners (+3.5) 87.7% 84.2% 1.19
Al Hazem corners (+2.5) 81.0% 80.0% 1.25
Al Taawoun corners (+3.5) 79.9% 75.5% 1.33
Al Hazem corners (+1.5) 72.4% 69.9% 1.43
Al Taawoun corners (+2.5) 71.2% 69.9% 1.43
Al Taawoun corners (+1.5) 60.9% 61.7% 1.62
Al Hazem corners (-1.5) 39.1% 38.3% 2.61
Al Hazem corners (-2.5) 28.8% 30.1% 3.32
Al Taawoun corners (-1.5) 27.6% 30.1% 3.32
Al Hazem corners (-3.5) 20.1% 24.5% 4.08
Al Taawoun corners (-2.5) 19.0% 20.0% 5.00
Al Taawoun corners (-3.5) 12.3% 15.8% 6.32
Corner range 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
0-8 corners 49.5% 40.7% 2.46
9-11 corners 28.3% 31.8% 3.15
12+ corners 22.2% 26.3% 3.80
Corners O/U 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 12.5 corners 84.2% 79.9% 1.25
Under 11.5 corners 77.8% 76.6% 1.31
Under 10.5 corners 69.7% 67.9% 1.47
Over 7.5 corners 61.7% 62.7% 1.60
Under 9.5 corners 60.2% 62.7% 1.60
Over 8.5 corners 50.5% 52.2% 1.91
Under 8.5 corners 49.5% 47.8% 2.09
Over 9.5 corners 39.8% 37.3% 2.68
Under 7.5 corners 38.3% 37.3% 2.68
Over 10.5 corners 30.3% 32.1% 3.12
Over 11.5 corners 22.2% 23.4% 4.28
Over 12.5 corners 15.8% 20.1% 4.97
Corners Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even number of corners 50.0% 50.4% 1.98
Odd number of corners 50.0% 49.6% 2.02
Correct score 26
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-1 13.9% 11.5% 10.9% 1.05× 8.73
0-0 8.7% 7.4% 5.1% 1.47× 13.46
0-1 8.8% 7.4% 6.9% 1.08× 13.46
1-2 8.7% 7.4% 7.5% 0.99× 13.46
0-2 7.1% 7.4% 5.4% 1.39× 13.46
1-0 7.6% 7.4% 9.2% 0.81× 13.46
2-1 7.6% 7.4% 8.4% 0.88× 13.46
2-0 5.5% 7.4% 7.0% 1.05× 13.46
2-2 5.3% 7.4% 4.9% 1.52× 13.46
0-3 3.3% 1.7% 2.3% 0.74× 58.57
0-4 1.1% 1.7% 1.1% 1.59× 58.59
1-3 4.0% 1.7% 3.8% 0.45× 58.57
1-4 1.4% 1.7% 1.1% 1.59× 58.58
2-3 2.5% 1.7% 3.4% 0.51× 58.58
2-4 0.9% 1.7% 1.2% 1.39× 58.59
3-0 2.2% 1.7% 3.2% 0.53× 58.58
3-1 3.1% 1.7% 5.1% 0.34× 58.57
3-2 2.2% 1.7% 3.5% 0.48× 58.58
3-3 1.0% 1.7% 0.9% 1.86× 58.59
3-4 0.3% 1.7% 0.6% 2.79× 58.59
4-0 0.7% 1.7% 2.1% 0.80× 58.59
4-1 1.0% 1.7% 2.5% 0.70× 58.59
4-2 0.7% 1.7% 1.1% 1.59× 58.59
4-3 0.3% 1.7% 0.6% 2.79× 58.59
4-4 0.1% 1.7% 0.3% 5.57× 58.59
Any other score 2.2% 1.7% 5.7% 0.30× 58.58
DNB half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Al Taawoun leading at HT (DNB) 51.7% 55.6% 1.80
Al Hazem leading at HT (DNB) 48.3% 44.4% 2.25
Double chance 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Al Hazem or Al Taawoun (12) 71.0% 72.1% 78.6% 0.92× 1.39
Al Taawoun or draw (X2) 68.3% 69.6% 56.5% 1.23× 1.44
Al Hazem or draw (1X) 60.7% 63.5% 64.8% 0.98× 1.57
Double chance 1HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Al Taawoun or draw at HT 73.5% 74.7% 1.34
Al Hazem or draw at HT 71.6% 74.6% 1.34
Al Hazem or Al Taawoun at HT 55.0% 47.7% 2.10
Double chance 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Al Taawoun or draw (1UP) 68.3% 76.0% 1.32
Al Hazem or draw (1UP) 60.7% 71.2% 1.40
Double chance 2HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Al Taawoun or draw in 2nd half 72.5% 73.7% 1.36
Al Hazem or draw in 2nd half 64.6% 64.0% 1.56
Al Hazem or Al Taawoun in 2nd half 62.9% 63.9% 1.56
Draw either half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half drawn 63.9% 61.6% 1.62
Neither half drawn 36.1% 38.4% 2.61
Draw no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Al Taawoun (DNB) 55.4% 58.1% 44.7% 1.30× 1.72
Al Hazem (DNB) 44.6% 41.9% 55.3% 0.76× 2.39
First goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Al Taawoun to score first 48.5% 45.6% 2.19
Al Hazem to score first 42.8% 41.7% 2.40
No goal scored 8.7% 7.4% 13.45
GG/NG 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams to score 54.4% 51.5% 56.4% 0.91× 1.94
Not both teams to score 45.6% 48.5% 43.6% 1.11× 2.06
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both score & over 2.5 40.6% 41.5% 45.6% 0.91× 2.41
Not both score & under 2.5 37.6% 38.5% 32.9% 1.17× 2.60
Both score & under 2.5 13.9% 12.3% 10.9% 1.13× 8.11
Not both score & over 2.5 8.0% 8.4% 10.9% 0.77× 11.96
GG/NG 2+ 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 2+ 86.0% 85.7% 83.6% 1.02× 1.17
Both teams to score 2+ 14.0% 14.3% 16.4% 0.88× 6.97
GG/NG 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half 71.1% 74.4% 1.34
Both teams to score in 2nd half 28.9% 25.6% 3.91
GG/NG by half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Neither half both score 58.4% 59.9% 1.67
Both score 2nd half only 23.9% 21.2% 4.72
Both score 1st half only 12.7% 10.5% 9.53
Both score in both halves 5.0% 5.0% 19.90
GG/NG half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score by HT 82.3% 82.8% 1.21
Both teams to score by HT 17.7% 17.2% 5.83
Goal in both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A goal in each half 52.5% 53.4% 1.87
A half without a goal 47.5% 46.6% 2.14
Goal range 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2-3 goals 48.2% 47.4% 43.8% 1.08× 2.11
0-1 goals 25.1% 26.4% 20.8% 1.27× 3.79
4-6 goals 24.9% 22.8% 32.8% 0.70× 4.38
7+ goals 1.8% 1.8% 2.9% 0.62× 55.25
Goals away 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Al Taawoun to score exactly 1 34.6% 33.9% 34.2% 0.99× 2.95
Al Taawoun to score exactly 0 24.9% 22.4% 27.0% 0.83× 4.46
Al Taawoun to score exactly 2 24.1% 22.4% 21.9% 1.02× 4.47
Al Taawoun to score 3+ 16.4% 19.5% 17.3% 1.13× 5.12
Goals home 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Al Hazem to score exactly 1 36.0% 35.6% 32.6% 1.09× 2.81
Al Hazem to score exactly 0 29.4% 26.5% 21.7% 1.22× 3.77
Al Hazem to score exactly 2 22.0% 23.3% 25.0% 0.93× 4.30
Al Hazem to score 3+ 12.6% 14.3% 21.0% 0.68× 6.97
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw at HT 45.0% 52.3% 1.91
Al Taawoun leading at HT 28.4% 25.4% 3.94
Al Hazem leading at HT 26.5% 25.3% 3.95
Handicap 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Al Taawoun -1: 1 60.7% 62.4% 1.60
Al Taawoun -1: X 20.3% 23.6% 4.24
Al Taawoun -1: 2 19.1% 17.5% 5.70
Handicap 0:1 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Al Taawoun (0:1) 68.3% 65.5% 56.5% 1.16× 1.53
Draw (0:1) 17.7% 17.8% 21.3% 0.84× 5.62
Al Hazem (0:1) 14.0% 13.9% 22.4% 0.62× 7.22
Handicap 0:2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Al Taawoun (0:2) 86.0% 86.9% 77.6% 1.12× 1.15
Draw (0:2) 9.4% 7.7% 12.9% 0.60× 12.96
Al Hazem (0:2) 4.6% 3.8% 9.6% 0.39× 26.42
Handicap 0:3 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Al Taawoun (0:3) 95.4% 96.6% 90.4% 1.07× 1.04
Draw (0:3) 3.4% 2.4% 5.7% 0.42× 41.99
Al Hazem (0:3) 1.2% 2.4% 4.1% 0.57× 42.09
Handicap 0:4 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Al Taawoun (0:4) 98.8% 98.1% 95.9% 1.02× 1.02
Draw (0:4) 1.0% 1.2% 2.9% 0.41× 83.36
Al Hazem (0:4) 0.3% 1.2% 1.4% 0.87× 83.44
Handicap 1:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Al Hazem (1:0) 60.7% 65.1% 64.8% 1.01× 1.54
Draw (1:0) 20.3% 21.7% 17.9% 1.21× 4.61
Al Taawoun (1:0) 19.1% 17.0% 17.5% 0.98× 5.87
Handicap 2:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Al Hazem (2:0) 80.9% 84.5% 82.5% 1.02× 1.18
Draw (2:0) 12.0% 10.4% 10.4% 1.00× 9.62
Al Taawoun (2:0) 7.0% 6.5% 7.2% 0.90× 15.49
Highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 46.5% 48.2% 2.08
Halves equal 27.6% 26.5% 3.77
1st half highest scoring 25.9% 26.5% 3.77
Home clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Al Hazem to concede 75.1% 75.8% 73.0% 1.04× 1.32
Al Hazem clean sheet 24.9% 24.2% 27.0% 0.90× 4.13
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Al Hazem clean sheet in 1st half 57.4% 62.9% 1.59
Al Hazem to concede in 1st half 42.6% 37.1% 2.70
Home corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Al Hazem over 2.5 corners 78.9% 76.1% 1.31
Al Hazem under 6.5 corners 76.8% 76.1% 1.31
Al Hazem under 5.5 corners 65.6% 67.7% 1.48
Al Hazem over 3.5 corners 63.8% 62.0% 1.61
Al Hazem under 4.5 corners 51.7% 53.0% 1.89
Al Hazem over 4.5 corners 48.3% 47.0% 2.13
Al Hazem under 3.5 corners 36.2% 38.0% 2.63
Al Hazem over 5.5 corners 34.4% 32.3% 3.10
Al Hazem over 6.5 corners 23.2% 23.9% 4.19
Al Hazem under 2.5 corners 21.1% 23.9% 4.19
Home goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Al Hazem under 3.5 goals 96.4% 96.4% 91.9% 1.05× 1.04
Al Hazem under 2.5 goals 87.4% 87.2% 79.0% 1.10× 1.15
Al Hazem over 0.5 goals 70.6% 74.2% 78.3% 0.95× 1.35
Al Hazem under 1.5 goals 65.4% 67.9% 54.2% 1.25× 1.47
Al Hazem over 1.5 goals 34.6% 32.1% 45.8% 0.70× 3.12
Al Hazem under 0.5 goals 29.4% 25.8% 21.7% 1.19× 3.88
Al Hazem over 2.5 goals 12.6% 12.8% 21.0% 0.61× 7.83
Al Hazem over 3.5 goals 3.6% 3.7% 8.1% 0.45× 27.40
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Al Hazem under 1.5 in 1st half 90.2% 95.3% 1.05
Al Hazem under 0.5 in 1st half 59.1% 57.4% 1.74
Al Hazem over 0.5 in 1st half 40.9% 42.6% 2.35
Al Hazem over 1.5 in 1st half 9.8% 4.7% 21.36
Home no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Al Taawoun (home no bet) 57.6% 56.7% 62.2% 0.91× 1.76
Draw (home no bet) 42.4% 43.3% 37.8% 1.14× 2.31
Home Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Al Hazem even goals 54.3% 50.7% 52.8% 0.96× 1.97
Al Hazem odd goals 45.7% 49.3% 47.2% 1.05× 2.03
HT correct score 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
HT 0-0 34.1% 32.6% 3.07
HT 0-1 18.6% 18.9% 5.29
HT 1-0 17.6% 18.9% 5.30
HT 1-1 10.2% 11.0% 9.07
HT 0-2 5.2% 7.1% 14.14
HT 2-0 4.7% 2.2% 44.57
Any other HT score 3.5% 2.2% 44.66
HT 1-2 2.8% 2.2% 44.72
HT 2-1 2.6% 2.2% 44.73
HT 2-2 0.7% 2.2% 44.88
HT/FT 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Al Taawoun at HT / Al Taawoun at FT 21.6% 22.1% 4.52
Draw at HT / Draw at FT 18.2% 16.8% 5.95
Al Hazem at HT / Al Hazem at FT 18.1% 16.8% 5.95
Draw at HT / Al Taawoun at FT 15.1% 16.8% 5.96
Draw at HT / Al Hazem at FT 11.7% 12.7% 7.90
Al Hazem at HT / Draw at FT 5.8% 6.0% 16.62
Al Taawoun at HT / Draw at FT 5.0% 6.0% 16.64
Al Hazem at HT / Al Taawoun at FT 2.6% 3.4% 29.18
Al Taawoun at HT / Al Hazem at FT 1.9% 3.4% 29.21
Last goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Al Taawoun to score last 48.5% 47.0% 2.13
Al Hazem to score last 42.7% 40.2% 2.49
No goal scored 8.7% 7.4% 13.45
Lead at any time 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time 91.3% 92.7% 1.08
Al Taawoun to lead by 1 at any time 55.9% 55.0% 1.82
Al Hazem to lead by 1 at any time 49.2% 44.1% 2.27
Either team to lead by 2 at any time 44.2% 39.1% 2.56
Al Taawoun to lead by 2 at any time 25.0% 19.7% 5.09
Al Hazem to lead by 2 at any time 19.4% 15.0% 6.68
Either team to lead by 3 at any time 14.9% 10.5% 9.52
Al Taawoun to lead by 3 at any time 8.8% 6.6% 15.26
Al Hazem to lead by 3 at any time 6.1% 6.5% 15.40
Most corners 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Al Hazem most corners 50.5% 52.8% 1.89
Al Taawoun most corners 38.1% 38.6% 2.59
Corners level 11.4% 10.6% 9.39
Multi goal 15
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-5 goals 86.3% 87.4% 87.4% 1.00× 1.14
1-4 goals 78.8% 78.6% 75.8% 1.04× 1.27
2-6 goals 73.2% 72.4% 76.4% 0.95× 1.38
2-5 goals 69.9% 69.0% 71.7% 0.96× 1.45
1-3 goals 64.6% 63.5% 59.6% 1.07× 1.58
2-4 goals 62.5% 63.5% 60.0% 1.06× 1.58
2-3 goals 48.2% 48.7% 43.8% 1.11× 2.06
3-6 goals 46.7% 48.7% 53.6% 0.91× 2.06
3-5 goals 43.5% 43.6% 48.9% 0.89× 2.29
1-2 goals 42.8% 43.6% 38.7% 1.13× 2.29
3-4 goals 36.1% 39.2% 37.2% 1.05× 2.55
4-6 goals 24.9% 24.5% 32.8% 0.75× 4.09
4-5 goals 21.7% 24.4% 28.0% 0.87× 4.09
5-6 goals 10.7% 14.8% 16.5% 0.90× 6.74
7+ goals 1.8% 2.5% 2.9% 0.87× 39.50
Never down 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Al Taawoun never behind 42.1% 48.2% 2.08
Al Hazem never behind 35.4% 44.7% 2.24
Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of goals 46.9% 50.8% 50.5% 1.00× 1.97
Even number of goals 53.1% 49.2% 49.5% 1.00× 2.03
Odd/Even 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 1st half 56.2% 57.8% 1.73
Odd goals in 1st half 43.8% 42.2% 2.37
Odd/Even 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 2nd half 53.3% 52.0% 1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half 46.7% 48.0% 2.09
Over/Under 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 5.5 goals 95.0% 92.3% 92.3% 1.00× 1.08
Over 0.5 goals 91.3% 92.3% 94.9% 0.97× 1.08
Under 4.5 goals 87.5% 87.7% 80.7% 1.09× 1.14
Over 1.5 goals 74.9% 72.6% 79.2% 0.92× 1.38
Under 3.5 goals 73.3% 72.5% 64.5% 1.13× 1.38
Under 2.5 goals 51.5% 52.4% 43.6% 1.20× 1.91
Over 2.5 goals 48.5% 47.6% 56.4% 0.84× 2.10
Over 3.5 goals 26.7% 27.5% 35.5% 0.77× 3.64
Under 1.5 goals 25.1% 27.4% 20.8% 1.32× 3.64
Over 4.5 goals 12.5% 12.3% 19.3% 0.64× 8.11
Under 0.5 goals 8.7% 7.7% 5.1% 1.53× 12.94
Over 5.5 goals 5.0% 7.7% 7.7% 1.01× 12.96
Over/Under (whole line) 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6) 98.2% 97.3% 96.9% 1.00× 1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5) 94.6% 92.5% 91.3% 1.01× 1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4) 85.5% 86.7% 77.0% 1.13× 1.15
Over 2 (void on exactly 2) 65.9% 67.3% 73.0% 0.92× 1.49
Under 3 (void on exactly 3) 65.9% 67.3% 55.1% 1.22× 1.49
Over 3 (void on exactly 3) 34.1% 32.7% 44.9% 0.73× 3.06
Under 2 (void on exactly 2) 34.1% 32.7% 27.0% 1.21× 3.06
Over 4 (void on exactly 4) 14.5% 13.3% 23.0% 0.58× 7.53
Over 5 (void on exactly 5) 5.4% 7.5% 8.7% 0.87× 13.28
Over 6 (void on exactly 6) 1.8% 2.7% 3.1% 0.90× 36.39
Over/Under 1HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half 90.4% 92.7% 1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half 70.3% 71.0% 1.41
Over 0.5 in 1st half 65.9% 69.0% 1.45
Under 0.5 in 1st half 34.1% 31.0% 3.22
Over 1.5 in 1st half 29.7% 29.0% 3.45
Over 2.5 in 1st half 9.6% 7.3% 13.70
Over/Under 2HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half 80.1% 82.9% 1.21
Over 0.5 in 2nd half 77.9% 80.0% 1.25
Under 1.5 in 2nd half 54.3% 53.1% 1.88
Over 1.5 in 2nd half 45.7% 46.9% 2.13
Under 0.5 in 2nd half 22.1% 20.1% 4.99
Over 2.5 in 2nd half 19.9% 17.2% 5.83
Score both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Al Hazem not to score in both halves 79.4% 78.5% 1.27
Al Taawoun not to score in both halves 75.9% 78.3% 1.28
Al Taawoun to score in both halves 24.1% 21.7% 4.61
Al Hazem to score in both halves 20.6% 21.5% 4.65
Teams to score 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams score 54.4% 54.0% 56.4% 0.96× 1.85
Only Al Taawoun scores 20.7% 22.3% 16.8% 1.33× 4.48
Only Al Hazem scores 16.2% 16.1% 22.1% 0.73× 6.21
Neither team scores 8.7% 7.2% 5.1% 1.42× 13.93
Total goals 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Exactly 2 goals 26.4% 25.0% 23.0% 1.09× 4.01
Exactly 3 goals 21.8% 22.6% 21.0% 1.08× 4.42
Exactly 1 goals 16.4% 17.4% 15.9% 1.10× 5.73
Exactly 4 goals 14.2% 12.1% 16.4% 0.74× 8.29
Exactly 0 goals 8.7% 7.6% 5.1% 1.51× 13.13
Exactly 5 goals 7.4% 7.6% 11.8% 0.65× 13.13
6 or more goals 5.0% 7.6% 7.7% 0.99× 13.14
Total goals 2nd half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half 45.7% 44.6% 2.24
1 goal in 2nd half 32.2% 33.8% 2.96
No goals in 2nd half 22.1% 23.4% 4.27
Win both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Al Hazem not to win both halves 92.5% 94.0% 1.06
Al Taawoun not to win both halves 89.7% 88.2% 1.13
Al Taawoun to win both halves 10.3% 11.9% 8.44
Al Hazem to win both halves 7.5% 6.0% 16.57
Win either half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Al Taawoun to win either half 53.5% 54.8% 1.83
Al Hazem to win neither half 53.4% 54.8% 1.83
Al Hazem to win either half 46.6% 45.2% 2.21
Al Taawoun to win neither half 46.5% 45.2% 2.21
Win to nil 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Al Hazem not to win to nil 83.8% 83.0% 77.9% 1.06× 1.21
Al Taawoun not to win to nil 79.3% 78.0% 83.2% 0.94× 1.28
Al Taawoun to win to nil 20.7% 22.0% 16.8% 1.30× 4.55
Al Hazem to win to nil 16.2% 17.0% 22.1% 0.77× 5.88
Winning margin 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw 29.0% 27.8% 21.4% 1.30× 3.59
Al Taawoun by 1 20.3% 24.1% 17.9% 1.35× 4.14
Al Hazem by 1 17.7% 16.9% 21.3% 0.80× 5.90
Al Taawoun by 2 12.0% 11.8% 10.4% 1.13× 8.46
Al Hazem by 2 9.4% 7.2% 12.9% 0.56× 13.80
Al Taawoun by 3+ 7.0% 7.2% 7.2% 1.01× 13.81
Al Hazem by 3+ 4.6% 2.7% 9.6% 0.28× 36.92
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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