Al Hazem v Al Taawoun — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Tuesday 8 September 2026 · KSA-Pro League · 2627
KSA-Pro League
results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
ai-blend v1.0 dailyCalibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (483 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.
Top 5 scorelines
- 1-1 13.8%
- 1-2 8.5%
- 0-0 8.5%
- 0-1 8.4%
- 2-1 7.9%
Goals
| Over 2.5 | 49.3% | Under 2.5 | 50.7% |
| BTTS yes | 55.1% | BTTS no | 44.9% |
| Al Hazem 1+ | 71.9% | Al Hazem 2+ | 36.3% |
| Al Taawoun 1+ | 74.7% | Al Taawoun 2+ | 40.0% |
Expected goals 1.27 – 1.38. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.
Footing
Positive factors
- Nothing in the data singles out Al Taawoun.
Risk factors
- No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.
Why the model thinks this
The price
Al Taawoun have an estimated 40.5% win probability, against 30.2% for Al Hazem and 29.3% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.27 for Al Hazem and 1.38 for Al Taawoun.
Why Al Hazem
Nothing in the data singles out Al Hazem.
Why the draw is live
The draw sits at 29.3%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.27 to 1.38. Draws run at 21% in this competition.
Why Al Taawoun can win
Nothing in the data singles out Al Taawoun.
Key players
No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.
Availability
No lineup on record for Al Hazem, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Al Taawoun, so availability is unknown.
The matchup, as far as the data reaches
Al Hazem: 45% possession, 9.8 shots a match, 12.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Al Taawoun: 55% possession, 14.8 shots a match, 13.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.
Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-06 07:42 · team_stats 2026-09-06 06:08 · availability 2026-09-06 07:53 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·
Al Taawoun are the model's most likely outcome at 40.5%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 13.8%. Confidence 79/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.
Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.
Was this pick made in advance?
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ai-blend | 1.27–1.38 | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| dc-xg | 1.23–1.39 | 1-1 14% | 48% | 54% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Taawoun to win | 39.3% | 36.5% | 35.2% | 1.04× | 2.74 |
| Al Hazem to win | 31.7% | 30.4% | 43.5% | 0.70× | 3.29 |
| Draw | 29.0% | 27.9% | 21.4% | 1.30× | 3.59 |
1X2 & GG/NG 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Taawoun & not both score | 20.7% | 21.9% | 16.8% | 1.30× | 4.57 |
| Draw & both teams score | 20.3% | 21.9% | 16.5% | 1.32× | 4.57 |
| Al Taawoun & both teams score | 18.7% | 17.9% | 18.5% | 0.97× | 5.58 |
| Al Hazem & not both score | 16.2% | 17.9% | 22.1% | 0.81× | 5.58 |
| Al Hazem & both teams score | 15.5% | 17.9% | 21.6% | 0.83× | 5.58 |
| Draw & not both score | 8.7% | 8.4% | 5.1% | 1.66× | 11.94 |
1X2 & Over/Under 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Taawoun & over 1.5 | 30.6% | 30.9% | 28.5% | 1.08× | 3.24 |
| Al Taawoun & under 3.5 | 27.8% | 26.0% | 21.6% | 1.21× | 3.84 |
| Al Hazem & over 1.5 | 24.1% | 21.6% | 34.5% | 0.63× | 4.62 |
| Al Taawoun & over 2.5 | 23.5% | 21.6% | 23.3% | 0.93× | 4.62 |
| Al Hazem & under 3.5 | 22.9% | 21.6% | 27.4% | 0.79× | 4.62 |
| Draw & under 2.5 | 22.6% | 21.6% | 15.8% | 1.37× | 4.62 |
| Draw & under 3.5 | 22.6% | 21.6% | 15.8% | 1.37× | 4.62 |
| Draw & over 1.5 | 20.3% | 21.6% | 16.5% | 1.31× | 4.62 |
| Al Hazem & over 2.5 | 18.6% | 18.0% | 27.6% | 0.65× | 5.56 |
| Al Taawoun & under 2.5 | 15.8% | 18.0% | 12.1% | 1.49× | 5.56 |
| Al Hazem & under 2.5 | 13.1% | 12.9% | 16.1% | 0.80× | 7.78 |
| Al Taawoun & over 3.5 | 11.6% | 12.9% | 13.8% | 0.93× | 7.78 |
| Al Hazem & over 3.5 | 8.7% | 7.9% | 16.2% | 0.49× | 12.69 |
| Draw & under 1.5 | 8.7% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 1.56× | 12.69 |
| Al Taawoun & under 1.5 | 8.8% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 1.14× | 12.69 |
| Al Hazem & under 1.5 | 7.6% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 0.86× | 12.69 |
| Draw & over 2.5 | 6.4% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 1.35× | 12.69 |
| Draw & over 3.5 | 6.4% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 1.35× | 12.69 |
1X2 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Taawoun (1UP) | 55.9% | 57.9% | — | — | 1.73 |
| Al Hazem (1UP) | 49.2% | 43.0% | — | — | 2.32 |
1X2 2UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Taawoun (2UP) | 39.3% | 37.1% | — | — | 2.69 |
| Al Hazem (2UP) | 31.7% | 31.0% | — | — | 3.23 |
2nd half 1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half drawn | 37.1% | 36.1% | — | — | 2.77 |
| Al Taawoun to win 2nd half | 35.4% | 36.0% | — | — | 2.78 |
| Al Hazem to win 2nd half | 27.5% | 26.3% | — | — | 3.81 |
Asian handicap 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Taawoun (+2.5) | 95.4% | 96.3% | 90.4% | 1.07× | 1.04 |
| Al Taawoun (+1.5) | 86.0% | 88.5% | 77.6% | 1.14× | 1.13 |
| Al Taawoun (+0.5) | 68.3% | 68.7% | 56.5% | 1.22× | 1.46 |
| Al Hazem (+0.5) | 60.7% | 62.9% | 64.8% | 0.97× | 1.59 |
| Al Taawoun (-0.5) | 39.3% | 37.1% | 35.2% | 1.05× | 2.69 |
| Al Hazem (-0.5) | 31.7% | 31.3% | 43.5% | 0.72× | 3.20 |
| Al Hazem (-1.5) | 14.0% | 11.5% | 22.4% | 0.52× | 8.68 |
| Al Hazem (-2.5) | 4.6% | 3.7% | 9.6% | 0.39× | 26.71 |
Away clean sheet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Taawoun to concede | 70.6% | 76.5% | 78.3% | 0.98× | 1.31 |
| Al Taawoun clean sheet | 29.4% | 23.5% | 21.7% | 1.08× | 4.25 |
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Taawoun clean sheet in 1st half | 59.1% | 57.8% | — | — | 1.73 |
| Al Taawoun to concede in 1st half | 40.9% | 42.2% | — | — | 2.37 |
Away corners O/U 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Taawoun under 6.5 corners | 83.7% | 81.0% | — | — | 1.24 |
| Al Taawoun under 5.5 corners | 74.0% | 72.3% | — | — | 1.38 |
| Al Taawoun over 2.5 corners | 72.5% | 72.3% | — | — | 1.38 |
| Al Taawoun under 4.5 corners | 60.7% | 61.4% | — | — | 1.63 |
| Al Taawoun over 3.5 corners | 55.4% | 56.9% | — | — | 1.76 |
| Al Taawoun under 3.5 corners | 44.6% | 43.1% | — | — | 2.32 |
| Al Taawoun over 4.5 corners | 39.3% | 38.6% | — | — | 2.59 |
| Al Taawoun under 2.5 corners | 27.5% | 27.7% | — | — | 3.62 |
| Al Taawoun over 5.5 corners | 26.0% | 27.7% | — | — | 3.62 |
| Al Taawoun over 6.5 corners | 16.3% | 19.0% | — | — | 5.25 |
Away goals O/U 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Taawoun under 3.5 goals | 94.8% | 92.4% | 93.0% | 0.99× | 1.08 |
| Al Taawoun under 2.5 goals | 83.6% | 81.5% | 82.7% | 0.99× | 1.23 |
| Al Taawoun over 0.5 goals | 75.1% | 76.2% | 73.0% | 1.04× | 1.31 |
| Al Taawoun under 1.5 goals | 59.6% | 59.6% | 60.9% | 0.98× | 1.68 |
| Al Taawoun over 1.5 goals | 40.4% | 40.4% | 39.1% | 1.03× | 2.48 |
| Al Taawoun under 0.5 goals | 24.9% | 23.8% | 27.0% | 0.88× | 4.20 |
| Al Taawoun over 2.5 goals | 16.4% | 18.5% | 17.3% | 1.07× | 5.40 |
| Al Taawoun over 3.5 goals | 5.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 1.08× | 13.09 |
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Taawoun under 1.5 in 1st half | 89.2% | 89.6% | — | — | 1.12 |
| Al Taawoun under 0.5 in 1st half | 57.4% | 62.9% | — | — | 1.59 |
| Al Taawoun over 0.5 in 1st half | 42.6% | 37.1% | — | — | 2.70 |
| Al Taawoun over 1.5 in 1st half | 10.8% | 10.4% | — | — | 9.66 |
Away no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Hazem (away no bet) | 52.2% | 51.2% | 67.0% | 0.77× | 1.95 |
| Draw (away no bet) | 47.8% | 48.8% | 33.0% | 1.48× | 2.05 |
Away Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Taawoun even goals | 53.1% | 52.7% | 52.4% | 1.01× | 1.90 |
| Al Taawoun odd goals | 46.9% | 47.3% | 47.6% | 0.99× | 2.12 |
Both halves O1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves over 1.5 | 86.7% | 87.9% | — | — | 1.14 |
| Both halves over 1.5 goals | 13.3% | 12.1% | — | — | 8.24 |
Both halves U1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves under 1.5 | 62.1% | 57.7% | — | — | 1.73 |
| Both halves under 1.5 goals | 37.9% | 42.3% | — | — | 2.37 |
Consecutive goals 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to score 2+ in a row | 53.3% | 51.2% | — | — | 1.95 |
| Al Taawoun to score 2+ in a row | 32.4% | 28.5% | — | — | 3.51 |
| Al Hazem to score 2+ in a row | 26.6% | 25.1% | — | — | 3.98 |
| Either team to score 3+ in a row | 17.8% | 16.4% | — | — | 6.09 |
| Al Taawoun to score 3+ in a row | 10.5% | 11.9% | — | — | 8.38 |
| Al Hazem to score 3+ in a row | 7.5% | 5.6% | — | — | 17.93 |
Corner handicap 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Hazem corners (+3.5) | 87.7% | 84.2% | — | — | 1.19 |
| Al Hazem corners (+2.5) | 81.0% | 80.0% | — | — | 1.25 |
| Al Taawoun corners (+3.5) | 79.9% | 75.5% | — | — | 1.33 |
| Al Hazem corners (+1.5) | 72.4% | 69.9% | — | — | 1.43 |
| Al Taawoun corners (+2.5) | 71.2% | 69.9% | — | — | 1.43 |
| Al Taawoun corners (+1.5) | 60.9% | 61.7% | — | — | 1.62 |
| Al Hazem corners (-1.5) | 39.1% | 38.3% | — | — | 2.61 |
| Al Hazem corners (-2.5) | 28.8% | 30.1% | — | — | 3.32 |
| Al Taawoun corners (-1.5) | 27.6% | 30.1% | — | — | 3.32 |
| Al Hazem corners (-3.5) | 20.1% | 24.5% | — | — | 4.08 |
| Al Taawoun corners (-2.5) | 19.0% | 20.0% | — | — | 5.00 |
| Al Taawoun corners (-3.5) | 12.3% | 15.8% | — | — | 6.32 |
Corner range 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-8 corners | 49.5% | 40.7% | — | — | 2.46 |
| 9-11 corners | 28.3% | 31.8% | — | — | 3.15 |
| 12+ corners | 22.2% | 26.3% | — | — | 3.80 |
Corners O/U 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 12.5 corners | 84.2% | 79.9% | — | — | 1.25 |
| Under 11.5 corners | 77.8% | 76.6% | — | — | 1.31 |
| Under 10.5 corners | 69.7% | 67.9% | — | — | 1.47 |
| Over 7.5 corners | 61.7% | 62.7% | — | — | 1.60 |
| Under 9.5 corners | 60.2% | 62.7% | — | — | 1.60 |
| Over 8.5 corners | 50.5% | 52.2% | — | — | 1.91 |
| Under 8.5 corners | 49.5% | 47.8% | — | — | 2.09 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 39.8% | 37.3% | — | — | 2.68 |
| Under 7.5 corners | 38.3% | 37.3% | — | — | 2.68 |
| Over 10.5 corners | 30.3% | 32.1% | — | — | 3.12 |
| Over 11.5 corners | 22.2% | 23.4% | — | — | 4.28 |
| Over 12.5 corners | 15.8% | 20.1% | — | — | 4.97 |
Corners Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even number of corners | 50.0% | 50.4% | — | — | 1.98 |
| Odd number of corners | 50.0% | 49.6% | — | — | 2.02 |
Correct score 26
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | 13.9% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 1.05× | 8.73 |
| 0-0 | 8.7% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 1.47× | 13.46 |
| 0-1 | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 1.08× | 13.46 |
| 1-2 | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 0.99× | 13.46 |
| 0-2 | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 1.39× | 13.46 |
| 1-0 | 7.6% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 0.81× | 13.46 |
| 2-1 | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 0.88× | 13.46 |
| 2-0 | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 1.05× | 13.46 |
| 2-2 | 5.3% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 1.52× | 13.46 |
| 0-3 | 3.3% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 0.74× | 58.57 |
| 0-4 | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.59× | 58.59 |
| 1-3 | 4.0% | 1.7% | 3.8% | 0.45× | 58.57 |
| 1-4 | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.59× | 58.58 |
| 2-3 | 2.5% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 0.51× | 58.58 |
| 2-4 | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.39× | 58.59 |
| 3-0 | 2.2% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 0.53× | 58.58 |
| 3-1 | 3.1% | 1.7% | 5.1% | 0.34× | 58.57 |
| 3-2 | 2.2% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 0.48× | 58.58 |
| 3-3 | 1.0% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.86× | 58.59 |
| 3-4 | 0.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 2.79× | 58.59 |
| 4-0 | 0.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 0.80× | 58.59 |
| 4-1 | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 0.70× | 58.59 |
| 4-2 | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.59× | 58.59 |
| 4-3 | 0.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 2.79× | 58.59 |
| 4-4 | 0.1% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 5.57× | 58.59 |
| Any other score | 2.2% | 1.7% | 5.7% | 0.30× | 58.58 |
DNB half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Taawoun leading at HT (DNB) | 51.7% | 55.6% | — | — | 1.80 |
| Al Hazem leading at HT (DNB) | 48.3% | 44.4% | — | — | 2.25 |
Double chance 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Hazem or Al Taawoun (12) | 71.0% | 72.1% | 78.6% | 0.92× | 1.39 |
| Al Taawoun or draw (X2) | 68.3% | 69.6% | 56.5% | 1.23× | 1.44 |
| Al Hazem or draw (1X) | 60.7% | 63.5% | 64.8% | 0.98× | 1.57 |
Double chance 1HT 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Taawoun or draw at HT | 73.5% | 74.7% | — | — | 1.34 |
| Al Hazem or draw at HT | 71.6% | 74.6% | — | — | 1.34 |
| Al Hazem or Al Taawoun at HT | 55.0% | 47.7% | — | — | 2.10 |
Double chance 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Taawoun or draw (1UP) | 68.3% | 76.0% | — | — | 1.32 |
| Al Hazem or draw (1UP) | 60.7% | 71.2% | — | — | 1.40 |
Double chance 2HT 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Taawoun or draw in 2nd half | 72.5% | 73.7% | — | — | 1.36 |
| Al Hazem or draw in 2nd half | 64.6% | 64.0% | — | — | 1.56 |
| Al Hazem or Al Taawoun in 2nd half | 62.9% | 63.9% | — | — | 1.56 |
Draw either half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A half drawn | 63.9% | 61.6% | — | — | 1.62 |
| Neither half drawn | 36.1% | 38.4% | — | — | 2.61 |
Draw no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Taawoun (DNB) | 55.4% | 58.1% | 44.7% | 1.30× | 1.72 |
| Al Hazem (DNB) | 44.6% | 41.9% | 55.3% | 0.76× | 2.39 |
First goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Taawoun to score first | 48.5% | 45.6% | — | — | 2.19 |
| Al Hazem to score first | 42.8% | 41.7% | — | — | 2.40 |
| No goal scored | 8.7% | 7.4% | — | — | 13.45 |
GG/NG 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score | 54.4% | 51.5% | 56.4% | 0.91× | 1.94 |
| Not both teams to score | 45.6% | 48.5% | 43.6% | 1.11× | 2.06 |
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both score & over 2.5 | 40.6% | 41.5% | 45.6% | 0.91× | 2.41 |
| Not both score & under 2.5 | 37.6% | 38.5% | 32.9% | 1.17× | 2.60 |
| Both score & under 2.5 | 13.9% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 1.13× | 8.11 |
| Not both score & over 2.5 | 8.0% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 0.77× | 11.96 |
GG/NG 2+ 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both teams to score 2+ | 86.0% | 85.7% | 83.6% | 1.02× | 1.17 |
| Both teams to score 2+ | 14.0% | 14.3% | 16.4% | 0.88× | 6.97 |
GG/NG 2nd half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both to score in 2nd half | 71.1% | 74.4% | — | — | 1.34 |
| Both teams to score in 2nd half | 28.9% | 25.6% | — | — | 3.91 |
GG/NG by half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neither half both score | 58.4% | 59.9% | — | — | 1.67 |
| Both score 2nd half only | 23.9% | 21.2% | — | — | 4.72 |
| Both score 1st half only | 12.7% | 10.5% | — | — | 9.53 |
| Both score in both halves | 5.0% | 5.0% | — | — | 19.90 |
GG/NG half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both to score by HT | 82.3% | 82.8% | — | — | 1.21 |
| Both teams to score by HT | 17.7% | 17.2% | — | — | 5.83 |
Goal in both halves 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A goal in each half | 52.5% | 53.4% | — | — | 1.87 |
| A half without a goal | 47.5% | 46.6% | — | — | 2.14 |
Goal range 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2-3 goals | 48.2% | 47.4% | 43.8% | 1.08× | 2.11 |
| 0-1 goals | 25.1% | 26.4% | 20.8% | 1.27× | 3.79 |
| 4-6 goals | 24.9% | 22.8% | 32.8% | 0.70× | 4.38 |
| 7+ goals | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 0.62× | 55.25 |
Goals away 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Taawoun to score exactly 1 | 34.6% | 33.9% | 34.2% | 0.99× | 2.95 |
| Al Taawoun to score exactly 0 | 24.9% | 22.4% | 27.0% | 0.83× | 4.46 |
| Al Taawoun to score exactly 2 | 24.1% | 22.4% | 21.9% | 1.02× | 4.47 |
| Al Taawoun to score 3+ | 16.4% | 19.5% | 17.3% | 1.13× | 5.12 |
Goals home 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Hazem to score exactly 1 | 36.0% | 35.6% | 32.6% | 1.09× | 2.81 |
| Al Hazem to score exactly 0 | 29.4% | 26.5% | 21.7% | 1.22× | 3.77 |
| Al Hazem to score exactly 2 | 22.0% | 23.3% | 25.0% | 0.93× | 4.30 |
| Al Hazem to score 3+ | 12.6% | 14.3% | 21.0% | 0.68× | 6.97 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw at HT | 45.0% | 52.3% | — | — | 1.91 |
| Al Taawoun leading at HT | 28.4% | 25.4% | — | — | 3.94 |
| Al Hazem leading at HT | 26.5% | 25.3% | — | — | 3.95 |
Handicap 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Taawoun -1: 1 | 60.7% | 62.4% | — | — | 1.60 |
| Al Taawoun -1: X | 20.3% | 23.6% | — | — | 4.24 |
| Al Taawoun -1: 2 | 19.1% | 17.5% | — | — | 5.70 |
Handicap 0:1 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Taawoun (0:1) | 68.3% | 65.5% | 56.5% | 1.16× | 1.53 |
| Draw (0:1) | 17.7% | 17.8% | 21.3% | 0.84× | 5.62 |
| Al Hazem (0:1) | 14.0% | 13.9% | 22.4% | 0.62× | 7.22 |
Handicap 0:2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Taawoun (0:2) | 86.0% | 86.9% | 77.6% | 1.12× | 1.15 |
| Draw (0:2) | 9.4% | 7.7% | 12.9% | 0.60× | 12.96 |
| Al Hazem (0:2) | 4.6% | 3.8% | 9.6% | 0.39× | 26.42 |
Handicap 0:3 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Taawoun (0:3) | 95.4% | 96.6% | 90.4% | 1.07× | 1.04 |
| Draw (0:3) | 3.4% | 2.4% | 5.7% | 0.42× | 41.99 |
| Al Hazem (0:3) | 1.2% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 0.57× | 42.09 |
Handicap 0:4 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Taawoun (0:4) | 98.8% | 98.1% | 95.9% | 1.02× | 1.02 |
| Draw (0:4) | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.9% | 0.41× | 83.36 |
| Al Hazem (0:4) | 0.3% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.87× | 83.44 |
Handicap 1:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Hazem (1:0) | 60.7% | 65.1% | 64.8% | 1.01× | 1.54 |
| Draw (1:0) | 20.3% | 21.7% | 17.9% | 1.21× | 4.61 |
| Al Taawoun (1:0) | 19.1% | 17.0% | 17.5% | 0.98× | 5.87 |
Handicap 2:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Hazem (2:0) | 80.9% | 84.5% | 82.5% | 1.02× | 1.18 |
| Draw (2:0) | 12.0% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 1.00× | 9.62 |
| Al Taawoun (2:0) | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 0.90× | 15.49 |
Highest scoring half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half highest scoring | 46.5% | 48.2% | — | — | 2.08 |
| Halves equal | 27.6% | 26.5% | — | — | 3.77 |
| 1st half highest scoring | 25.9% | 26.5% | — | — | 3.77 |
Home clean sheet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Hazem to concede | 75.1% | 75.8% | 73.0% | 1.04× | 1.32 |
| Al Hazem clean sheet | 24.9% | 24.2% | 27.0% | 0.90× | 4.13 |
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Hazem clean sheet in 1st half | 57.4% | 62.9% | — | — | 1.59 |
| Al Hazem to concede in 1st half | 42.6% | 37.1% | — | — | 2.70 |
Home corners O/U 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Hazem over 2.5 corners | 78.9% | 76.1% | — | — | 1.31 |
| Al Hazem under 6.5 corners | 76.8% | 76.1% | — | — | 1.31 |
| Al Hazem under 5.5 corners | 65.6% | 67.7% | — | — | 1.48 |
| Al Hazem over 3.5 corners | 63.8% | 62.0% | — | — | 1.61 |
| Al Hazem under 4.5 corners | 51.7% | 53.0% | — | — | 1.89 |
| Al Hazem over 4.5 corners | 48.3% | 47.0% | — | — | 2.13 |
| Al Hazem under 3.5 corners | 36.2% | 38.0% | — | — | 2.63 |
| Al Hazem over 5.5 corners | 34.4% | 32.3% | — | — | 3.10 |
| Al Hazem over 6.5 corners | 23.2% | 23.9% | — | — | 4.19 |
| Al Hazem under 2.5 corners | 21.1% | 23.9% | — | — | 4.19 |
Home goals O/U 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Hazem under 3.5 goals | 96.4% | 96.4% | 91.9% | 1.05× | 1.04 |
| Al Hazem under 2.5 goals | 87.4% | 87.2% | 79.0% | 1.10× | 1.15 |
| Al Hazem over 0.5 goals | 70.6% | 74.2% | 78.3% | 0.95× | 1.35 |
| Al Hazem under 1.5 goals | 65.4% | 67.9% | 54.2% | 1.25× | 1.47 |
| Al Hazem over 1.5 goals | 34.6% | 32.1% | 45.8% | 0.70× | 3.12 |
| Al Hazem under 0.5 goals | 29.4% | 25.8% | 21.7% | 1.19× | 3.88 |
| Al Hazem over 2.5 goals | 12.6% | 12.8% | 21.0% | 0.61× | 7.83 |
| Al Hazem over 3.5 goals | 3.6% | 3.7% | 8.1% | 0.45× | 27.40 |
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Hazem under 1.5 in 1st half | 90.2% | 95.3% | — | — | 1.05 |
| Al Hazem under 0.5 in 1st half | 59.1% | 57.4% | — | — | 1.74 |
| Al Hazem over 0.5 in 1st half | 40.9% | 42.6% | — | — | 2.35 |
| Al Hazem over 1.5 in 1st half | 9.8% | 4.7% | — | — | 21.36 |
Home no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Taawoun (home no bet) | 57.6% | 56.7% | 62.2% | 0.91× | 1.76 |
| Draw (home no bet) | 42.4% | 43.3% | 37.8% | 1.14× | 2.31 |
Home Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Hazem even goals | 54.3% | 50.7% | 52.8% | 0.96× | 1.97 |
| Al Hazem odd goals | 45.7% | 49.3% | 47.2% | 1.05× | 2.03 |
HT correct score 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HT 0-0 | 34.1% | 32.6% | — | — | 3.07 |
| HT 0-1 | 18.6% | 18.9% | — | — | 5.29 |
| HT 1-0 | 17.6% | 18.9% | — | — | 5.30 |
| HT 1-1 | 10.2% | 11.0% | — | — | 9.07 |
| HT 0-2 | 5.2% | 7.1% | — | — | 14.14 |
| HT 2-0 | 4.7% | 2.2% | — | — | 44.57 |
| Any other HT score | 3.5% | 2.2% | — | — | 44.66 |
| HT 1-2 | 2.8% | 2.2% | — | — | 44.72 |
| HT 2-1 | 2.6% | 2.2% | — | — | 44.73 |
| HT 2-2 | 0.7% | 2.2% | — | — | 44.88 |
HT/FT 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Taawoun at HT / Al Taawoun at FT | 21.6% | 22.1% | — | — | 4.52 |
| Draw at HT / Draw at FT | 18.2% | 16.8% | — | — | 5.95 |
| Al Hazem at HT / Al Hazem at FT | 18.1% | 16.8% | — | — | 5.95 |
| Draw at HT / Al Taawoun at FT | 15.1% | 16.8% | — | — | 5.96 |
| Draw at HT / Al Hazem at FT | 11.7% | 12.7% | — | — | 7.90 |
| Al Hazem at HT / Draw at FT | 5.8% | 6.0% | — | — | 16.62 |
| Al Taawoun at HT / Draw at FT | 5.0% | 6.0% | — | — | 16.64 |
| Al Hazem at HT / Al Taawoun at FT | 2.6% | 3.4% | — | — | 29.18 |
| Al Taawoun at HT / Al Hazem at FT | 1.9% | 3.4% | — | — | 29.21 |
Last goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Taawoun to score last | 48.5% | 47.0% | — | — | 2.13 |
| Al Hazem to score last | 42.7% | 40.2% | — | — | 2.49 |
| No goal scored | 8.7% | 7.4% | — | — | 13.45 |
Lead at any time 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to lead by 1 at any time | 91.3% | 92.7% | — | — | 1.08 |
| Al Taawoun to lead by 1 at any time | 55.9% | 55.0% | — | — | 1.82 |
| Al Hazem to lead by 1 at any time | 49.2% | 44.1% | — | — | 2.27 |
| Either team to lead by 2 at any time | 44.2% | 39.1% | — | — | 2.56 |
| Al Taawoun to lead by 2 at any time | 25.0% | 19.7% | — | — | 5.09 |
| Al Hazem to lead by 2 at any time | 19.4% | 15.0% | — | — | 6.68 |
| Either team to lead by 3 at any time | 14.9% | 10.5% | — | — | 9.52 |
| Al Taawoun to lead by 3 at any time | 8.8% | 6.6% | — | — | 15.26 |
| Al Hazem to lead by 3 at any time | 6.1% | 6.5% | — | — | 15.40 |
Most corners 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Hazem most corners | 50.5% | 52.8% | — | — | 1.89 |
| Al Taawoun most corners | 38.1% | 38.6% | — | — | 2.59 |
| Corners level | 11.4% | 10.6% | — | — | 9.39 |
Multi goal 15
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-5 goals | 86.3% | 87.4% | 87.4% | 1.00× | 1.14 |
| 1-4 goals | 78.8% | 78.6% | 75.8% | 1.04× | 1.27 |
| 2-6 goals | 73.2% | 72.4% | 76.4% | 0.95× | 1.38 |
| 2-5 goals | 69.9% | 69.0% | 71.7% | 0.96× | 1.45 |
| 1-3 goals | 64.6% | 63.5% | 59.6% | 1.07× | 1.58 |
| 2-4 goals | 62.5% | 63.5% | 60.0% | 1.06× | 1.58 |
| 2-3 goals | 48.2% | 48.7% | 43.8% | 1.11× | 2.06 |
| 3-6 goals | 46.7% | 48.7% | 53.6% | 0.91× | 2.06 |
| 3-5 goals | 43.5% | 43.6% | 48.9% | 0.89× | 2.29 |
| 1-2 goals | 42.8% | 43.6% | 38.7% | 1.13× | 2.29 |
| 3-4 goals | 36.1% | 39.2% | 37.2% | 1.05× | 2.55 |
| 4-6 goals | 24.9% | 24.5% | 32.8% | 0.75× | 4.09 |
| 4-5 goals | 21.7% | 24.4% | 28.0% | 0.87× | 4.09 |
| 5-6 goals | 10.7% | 14.8% | 16.5% | 0.90× | 6.74 |
| 7+ goals | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 0.87× | 39.50 |
Never down 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Taawoun never behind | 42.1% | 48.2% | — | — | 2.08 |
| Al Hazem never behind | 35.4% | 44.7% | — | — | 2.24 |
Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odd number of goals | 46.9% | 50.8% | 50.5% | 1.00× | 1.97 |
| Even number of goals | 53.1% | 49.2% | 49.5% | 1.00× | 2.03 |
Odd/Even 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 1st half | 56.2% | 57.8% | — | — | 1.73 |
| Odd goals in 1st half | 43.8% | 42.2% | — | — | 2.37 |
Odd/Even 2HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 2nd half | 53.3% | 52.0% | — | — | 1.92 |
| Odd goals in 2nd half | 46.7% | 48.0% | — | — | 2.09 |
Over/Under 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 5.5 goals | 95.0% | 92.3% | 92.3% | 1.00× | 1.08 |
| Over 0.5 goals | 91.3% | 92.3% | 94.9% | 0.97× | 1.08 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 87.5% | 87.7% | 80.7% | 1.09× | 1.14 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74.9% | 72.6% | 79.2% | 0.92× | 1.38 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 73.3% | 72.5% | 64.5% | 1.13× | 1.38 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 51.5% | 52.4% | 43.6% | 1.20× | 1.91 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48.5% | 47.6% | 56.4% | 0.84× | 2.10 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 26.7% | 27.5% | 35.5% | 0.77× | 3.64 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 25.1% | 27.4% | 20.8% | 1.32× | 3.64 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 12.5% | 12.3% | 19.3% | 0.64× | 8.11 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 8.7% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 1.53× | 12.94 |
| Over 5.5 goals | 5.0% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 1.01× | 12.96 |
Over/Under (whole line) 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6 (void on exactly 6) | 98.2% | 97.3% | 96.9% | 1.00× | 1.03 |
| Under 5 (void on exactly 5) | 94.6% | 92.5% | 91.3% | 1.01× | 1.08 |
| Under 4 (void on exactly 4) | 85.5% | 86.7% | 77.0% | 1.13× | 1.15 |
| Over 2 (void on exactly 2) | 65.9% | 67.3% | 73.0% | 0.92× | 1.49 |
| Under 3 (void on exactly 3) | 65.9% | 67.3% | 55.1% | 1.22× | 1.49 |
| Over 3 (void on exactly 3) | 34.1% | 32.7% | 44.9% | 0.73× | 3.06 |
| Under 2 (void on exactly 2) | 34.1% | 32.7% | 27.0% | 1.21× | 3.06 |
| Over 4 (void on exactly 4) | 14.5% | 13.3% | 23.0% | 0.58× | 7.53 |
| Over 5 (void on exactly 5) | 5.4% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 0.87× | 13.28 |
| Over 6 (void on exactly 6) | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 0.90× | 36.39 |
Over/Under 1HT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 in 1st half | 90.4% | 92.7% | — | — | 1.08 |
| Under 1.5 in 1st half | 70.3% | 71.0% | — | — | 1.41 |
| Over 0.5 in 1st half | 65.9% | 69.0% | — | — | 1.45 |
| Under 0.5 in 1st half | 34.1% | 31.0% | — | — | 3.22 |
| Over 1.5 in 1st half | 29.7% | 29.0% | — | — | 3.45 |
| Over 2.5 in 1st half | 9.6% | 7.3% | — | — | 13.70 |
Over/Under 2HT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 in 2nd half | 80.1% | 82.9% | — | — | 1.21 |
| Over 0.5 in 2nd half | 77.9% | 80.0% | — | — | 1.25 |
| Under 1.5 in 2nd half | 54.3% | 53.1% | — | — | 1.88 |
| Over 1.5 in 2nd half | 45.7% | 46.9% | — | — | 2.13 |
| Under 0.5 in 2nd half | 22.1% | 20.1% | — | — | 4.99 |
| Over 2.5 in 2nd half | 19.9% | 17.2% | — | — | 5.83 |
Score both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Hazem not to score in both halves | 79.4% | 78.5% | — | — | 1.27 |
| Al Taawoun not to score in both halves | 75.9% | 78.3% | — | — | 1.28 |
| Al Taawoun to score in both halves | 24.1% | 21.7% | — | — | 4.61 |
| Al Hazem to score in both halves | 20.6% | 21.5% | — | — | 4.65 |
Teams to score 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams score | 54.4% | 54.0% | 56.4% | 0.96× | 1.85 |
| Only Al Taawoun scores | 20.7% | 22.3% | 16.8% | 1.33× | 4.48 |
| Only Al Hazem scores | 16.2% | 16.1% | 22.1% | 0.73× | 6.21 |
| Neither team scores | 8.7% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 1.42× | 13.93 |
Total goals 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exactly 2 goals | 26.4% | 25.0% | 23.0% | 1.09× | 4.01 |
| Exactly 3 goals | 21.8% | 22.6% | 21.0% | 1.08× | 4.42 |
| Exactly 1 goals | 16.4% | 17.4% | 15.9% | 1.10× | 5.73 |
| Exactly 4 goals | 14.2% | 12.1% | 16.4% | 0.74× | 8.29 |
| Exactly 0 goals | 8.7% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 1.51× | 13.13 |
| Exactly 5 goals | 7.4% | 7.6% | 11.8% | 0.65× | 13.13 |
| 6 or more goals | 5.0% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 0.99× | 13.14 |
Total goals 2nd half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2+ goals in 2nd half | 45.7% | 44.6% | — | — | 2.24 |
| 1 goal in 2nd half | 32.2% | 33.8% | — | — | 2.96 |
| No goals in 2nd half | 22.1% | 23.4% | — | — | 4.27 |
Win both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Hazem not to win both halves | 92.5% | 94.0% | — | — | 1.06 |
| Al Taawoun not to win both halves | 89.7% | 88.2% | — | — | 1.13 |
| Al Taawoun to win both halves | 10.3% | 11.9% | — | — | 8.44 |
| Al Hazem to win both halves | 7.5% | 6.0% | — | — | 16.57 |
Win either half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Taawoun to win either half | 53.5% | 54.8% | — | — | 1.83 |
| Al Hazem to win neither half | 53.4% | 54.8% | — | — | 1.83 |
| Al Hazem to win either half | 46.6% | 45.2% | — | — | 2.21 |
| Al Taawoun to win neither half | 46.5% | 45.2% | — | — | 2.21 |
Win to nil 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Hazem not to win to nil | 83.8% | 83.0% | 77.9% | 1.06× | 1.21 |
| Al Taawoun not to win to nil | 79.3% | 78.0% | 83.2% | 0.94× | 1.28 |
| Al Taawoun to win to nil | 20.7% | 22.0% | 16.8% | 1.30× | 4.55 |
| Al Hazem to win to nil | 16.2% | 17.0% | 22.1% | 0.77× | 5.88 |
Winning margin 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw | 29.0% | 27.8% | 21.4% | 1.30× | 3.59 |
| Al Taawoun by 1 | 20.3% | 24.1% | 17.9% | 1.35× | 4.14 |
| Al Hazem by 1 | 17.7% | 16.9% | 21.3% | 0.80× | 5.90 |
| Al Taawoun by 2 | 12.0% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 1.13× | 8.46 |
| Al Hazem by 2 | 9.4% | 7.2% | 12.9% | 0.56× | 13.80 |
| Al Taawoun by 3+ | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 1.01× | 13.81 |
| Al Hazem by 3+ | 4.6% | 2.7% | 9.6% | 0.28× | 36.92 |