Al Ittihad FC v Al Ahli — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Thursday 26 November 2026 · KSA-Pro League · 2627

KSA-Pro League results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Al Ittihad FC

20:00 UTC

Al Ahli

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 24 Oct, 10:57 · 801h before kick-off

Al Ittihad FC win

29.4%

model 30.1%

Draw

27.4%

model 27.0%

Al Ahli win

43.2%

model 42.9%

292743

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (624 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 12.7%
1-2 9.1%
2-1 7.5%
0-1 7.2%
0-2 6.9%

Goals

Over 2.5	56.3%	Under 2.5	43.7%
BTTS yes	60.1%	BTTS no	39.9%
Al Ittihad FC 1+	73.4%	Al Ittihad FC 2+	38.2%
Al Ahli 1+	80.1%	Al Ahli 2+	48.0%

Expected goals 1.32 – 1.61. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

78/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

97%

★ Best pick

Al Ahli or draw (X2)

Double chance · usually 57%

70.6% fair odds 1.42

moderate signal · 967 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Al Ittihad FC to concede

Home clean sheet · usually 73%

84.4% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 293 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Al Ahli carry the stronger rating, 1735 Elo against 1649.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Al Ahli have an estimated 43.2% win probability, against 29.4% for Al Ittihad FC and 27.4% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.32 for Al Ittihad FC and 1.61 for Al Ahli.

Why Al Ittihad FC

Form is good: 2.60 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 27.4%. Draws run at 22% in this competition.

Why Al Ahli can win

Al Ahli carry the stronger rating, 1735 Elo against 1649.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Al Ittihad FC, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Al Ahli, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Al Ittihad FC: 51% possession, 15.4 shots a match, 14.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Al Ahli: 52% possession, 15.2 shots a match, 11.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-24 13:59 · team_stats 2026-10-24 06:04 · availability 2026-10-24 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Al Ahli are the model's most likely outcome at 43.2%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 12.7%. Confidence 78/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	302743	1.32–1.61	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	272746	1.20–1.63	1-1 13%	54%	57%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ahli to win	46.1%	47.4%	35.0%	1.35×	2.11
Draw	27.3%	27.9%	21.6%	1.29×	3.58
Al Ittihad FC to win	26.6%	27.9%	43.5%	0.64×	3.59

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ahli & both teams score	23.2%	21.8%	18.4%	1.18×	4.58
Al Ahli & not both score	23.0%	21.8%	16.8%	1.30×	4.58
Draw & both teams score	19.9%	18.0%	16.5%	1.09×	5.56
Al Ittihad FC & both teams score	14.3%	13.3%	21.8%	0.61×	7.53
Al Ittihad FC & not both score	12.3%	13.3%	21.9%	0.61×	7.54
Draw & not both score	7.3%	8.3%	5.3%	1.57×	12.01

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ahli & over 1.5	37.8%	34.9%	28.4%	1.23×	2.87
Al Ahli & over 2.5	30.0%	26.1%	23.1%	1.13×	3.84
Al Ahli & under 3.5	29.9%	26.1%	21.5%	1.22×	3.84
Al Ittihad FC & over 1.5	20.9%	21.6%	34.4%	0.63×	4.63
Draw & under 2.5	20.3%	21.6%	15.9%	1.36×	4.63
Draw & under 3.5	20.3%	21.6%	15.9%	1.36×	4.63
Draw & over 1.5	19.9%	18.0%	16.5%	1.09×	5.56
Al Ittihad FC & under 3.5	18.5%	18.0%	27.3%	0.66×	5.56
Al Ittihad FC & over 2.5	16.7%	18.0%	27.6%	0.65×	5.56
Al Ahli & under 2.5	16.2%	18.0%	12.1%	1.49×	5.56
Al Ahli & over 3.5	16.3%	18.0%	13.7%	1.31×	5.56
Al Ittihad FC & under 2.5	9.9%	7.9%	16.0%	0.49×	12.63
Al Ittihad FC & over 3.5	8.1%	7.9%	16.3%	0.49×	12.63
Draw & under 1.5	7.3%	7.9%	5.3%	1.50×	12.63
Al Ahli & under 1.5	8.3%	7.9%	6.8%	1.16×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	7.0%	7.9%	5.9%	1.34×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	7.0%	7.9%	5.9%	1.34×	12.63
Al Ittihad FC & under 1.5	5.7%	7.9%	9.2%	0.86×	12.63

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ahli (1UP)	62.3%	62.8%	—	—	1.59
Al Ittihad FC (1UP)	45.5%	43.8%	—	—	2.29

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ahli (2UP)	46.1%	50.0%	—	—	2.00
Al Ittihad FC (2UP)	26.6%	25.1%	—	—	3.98

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ahli to win 2nd half	40.9%	41.9%	—	—	2.39
2nd half drawn	34.9%	34.4%	—	—	2.91
Al Ittihad FC to win 2nd half	24.2%	24.2%	—	—	4.14

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ahli under 1.5 in 2nd half	74.4%	75.5%	—	—	1.32
Al Ahli over 0.5 in 2nd half	62.4%	60.2%	—	—	1.66
Al Ahli under 0.5 in 2nd half	37.6%	39.8%	—	—	2.51
Al Ahli over 1.5 in 2nd half	25.6%	24.5%	—	—	4.08

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ittihad FC under 1.5 in 2nd half	85.1%	88.1%	—	—	1.14
Al Ittihad FC under 0.5 in 2nd half	50.6%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
Al Ittihad FC over 0.5 in 2nd half	49.4%	45.0%	—	—	2.22
Al Ittihad FC over 1.5 in 2nd half	14.9%	11.9%	—	—	8.42

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ahli (+2.5)	96.4%	96.3%	90.5%	1.06×	1.04
Al Ahli (+1.5)	88.6%	88.5%	77.8%	1.14×	1.13
Al Ahli (+0.5)	73.4%	73.7%	56.5%	1.30×	1.36
Al Ittihad FC (+0.5)	53.9%	52.4%	65.0%	0.81×	1.91
Al Ahli (-0.5)	46.1%	47.6%	35.0%	1.36×	2.10
Al Ittihad FC (-0.5)	26.6%	26.3%	43.5%	0.61×	3.80
Al Ittihad FC (-1.5)	11.4%	11.5%	22.2%	0.52×	8.67
Al Ittihad FC (-2.5)	3.6%	3.7%	9.5%	0.39×	27.08

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ahli to concede	69.7%	72.4%	78.1%	0.93×	1.38
Al Ahli clean sheet	30.3%	27.6%	21.9%	1.26×	3.62

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ahli clean sheet in 1st half	59.8%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Al Ahli to concede in 1st half	40.2%	42.8%	—	—	2.33

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ahli clean sheet in 2nd half	50.6%	54.8%	—	—	1.83
Al Ahli to concede in 2nd half	49.4%	45.2%	—	—	2.21

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ahli under 6.5 corners	82.3%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Al Ahli over 2.5 corners	74.9%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Al Ahli under 5.5 corners	72.0%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Al Ahli under 4.5 corners	58.2%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Al Ahli over 3.5 corners	58.1%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Al Ahli under 3.5 corners	41.9%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Al Ahli over 4.5 corners	41.8%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Al Ahli over 5.5 corners	28.0%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Al Ahli under 2.5 corners	25.1%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Al Ahli over 6.5 corners	17.7%	18.6%	—	—	5.38

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ahli under 3.5 goals	91.7%	92.3%	93.1%	0.99×	1.08
Al Ahli over 0.5 goals	80.4%	81.4%	73.0%	1.12×	1.23
Al Ahli under 2.5 goals	77.6%	76.3%	82.6%	0.92×	1.31
Al Ahli under 1.5 goals	51.5%	53.5%	60.9%	0.88×	1.87
Al Ahli over 1.5 goals	48.5%	46.5%	39.1%	1.19×	2.15
Al Ahli over 2.5 goals	22.4%	23.7%	17.4%	1.37×	4.21
Al Ahli under 0.5 goals	19.6%	18.6%	27.0%	0.69×	5.39
Al Ahli over 3.5 goals	8.3%	7.7%	6.9%	1.10×	13.05

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ahli under 1.5 in 1st half	86.1%	89.1%	—	—	1.12
Al Ahli under 0.5 in 1st half	52.1%	55.6%	—	—	1.80
Al Ahli over 0.5 in 1st half	47.9%	44.4%	—	—	2.25
Al Ahli over 1.5 in 1st half	13.9%	10.9%	—	—	9.17

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ahli scores more in 2nd half	42.1%	43.7%	—	—	2.29
Al Ahli scores equally in both	34.2%	33.5%	—	—	2.99
Al Ahli scores more in 1st half	23.7%	22.1%	—	—	4.52

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (away no bet)	50.6%	51.6%	33.2%	1.56×	1.94
Al Ittihad FC (away no bet)	49.4%	48.4%	66.8%	0.72×	2.07

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ahli even goals	51.9%	52.6%	52.4%	1.00×	1.90
Al Ahli odd goals	48.1%	47.4%	47.6%	1.00×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	83.9%	83.0%	—	—	1.21
Both halves over 1.5 goals	16.1%	17.0%	—	—	5.88

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	66.6%	68.4%	—	—	1.46
Both halves under 1.5 goals	33.4%	31.6%	—	—	3.16

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	57.8%	55.2%	—	—	1.81
Al Ahli to score 2+ in a row	39.9%	36.7%	—	—	2.72
Al Ittihad FC to score 2+ in a row	24.7%	19.7%	—	—	5.09
Either team to score 3+ in a row	21.1%	19.6%	—	—	5.10
Al Ahli to score 3+ in a row	14.9%	12.1%	—	—	8.26
Al Ittihad FC to score 3+ in a row	6.6%	5.5%	—	—	18.03

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ittihad FC corners (+3.5)	86.7%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Al Ahli corners (+3.5)	81.5%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Al Ittihad FC corners (+2.5)	79.8%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Al Ahli corners (+2.5)	73.1%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Al Ittihad FC corners (+1.5)	70.7%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Al Ahli corners (+1.5)	62.9%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Al Ittihad FC corners (-1.5)	37.1%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Al Ahli corners (-1.5)	29.3%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Al Ittihad FC corners (-2.5)	26.9%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Al Ahli corners (-2.5)	20.2%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Al Ittihad FC corners (-3.5)	18.5%	20.2%	—	—	4.94
Al Ahli corners (-3.5)	13.3%	15.5%	—	—	6.44

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	48.1%	41.8%	—	—	2.39
9-11 corners	29.1%	31.2%	—	—	3.21
12+ corners	22.9%	25.7%	—	—	3.90

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	83.8%	80.7%	—	—	1.24
Under 11.5 corners	77.1%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 10.5 corners	68.8%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Over 7.5 corners	63.3%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Under 9.5 corners	59.0%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 8.5 corners	51.9%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 8.5 corners	48.1%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 9.5 corners	41.0%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Under 7.5 corners	36.7%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 10.5 corners	31.2%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Over 11.5 corners	22.9%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
Over 12.5 corners	16.2%	19.3%	—	—	5.18

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	12.9%	11.5%	10.7%	1.07×	8.72
1-2	9.4%	7.4%	7.4%	1.00×	13.50
0-0	7.3%	7.4%	5.3%	1.40×	13.51
0-1	8.3%	7.4%	6.8%	1.09×	13.51
0-2	7.9%	7.4%	5.4%	1.36×	13.51
2-1	6.9%	7.4%	8.5%	0.88×	13.51
1-0	5.7%	7.4%	9.2%	0.80×	13.51
1-3	5.1%	7.4%	3.9%	1.88×	13.51
2-2	5.6%	7.4%	4.8%	1.53×	13.51
0-3	4.3%	1.7%	2.3%	0.76×	58.30
0-4	1.7%	1.7%	1.1%	1.62×	58.31
1-4	2.1%	1.7%	1.1%	1.62×	58.31
2-0	4.2%	1.7%	6.9%	0.25×	58.30
2-3	3.1%	1.7%	3.3%	0.52×	58.30
2-4	1.2%	1.7%	1.2%	1.42×	58.31
3-0	1.7%	1.7%	3.2%	0.54×	58.31
3-1	2.8%	1.7%	5.1%	0.33×	58.30
3-2	2.2%	1.7%	3.6%	0.47×	58.31
3-3	1.2%	1.7%	1.1%	1.62×	58.31
3-4	0.5%	1.7%	0.6%	2.84×	58.32
4-0	0.5%	1.7%	2.1%	0.81×	58.32
4-1	0.8%	1.7%	2.4%	0.71×	58.31
4-2	0.7%	1.7%	1.1%	1.62×	58.32
4-3	0.4%	1.7%	0.6%	2.84×	58.32
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.3%	5.68×	58.32
Any other score	3.3%	1.7%	5.6%	0.31×	58.30

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ahli (2nd half DNB)	62.8%	62.9%	—	—	1.59
Al Ittihad FC (2nd half DNB)	37.2%	37.1%	—	—	2.70

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ahli leading at HT (DNB)	57.8%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Al Ittihad FC leading at HT (DNB)	42.2%	42.8%	—	—	2.34

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ahli or draw (X2)	73.4%	72.1%	56.5%	1.28×	1.39
Al Ittihad FC or Al Ahli (12)	72.7%	72.1%	78.4%	0.92×	1.39
Al Ittihad FC or draw (1X)	53.9%	52.7%	65.0%	0.81×	1.90

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ahli or draw at HT	75.9%	79.2%	—	—	1.26
Al Ittihad FC or draw at HT	67.1%	67.1%	—	—	1.49
Al Ittihad FC or Al Ahli at HT	57.0%	57.1%	—	—	1.75

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ahli or draw (1UP)	73.4%	79.7%	—	—	1.25
Al Ittihad FC or draw (1UP)	53.9%	58.8%	—	—	1.70

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ahli or draw in 2nd half	75.8%	75.8%	—	—	1.32
Al Ittihad FC or Al Ahli in 2nd half	65.1%	65.6%	—	—	1.52
Al Ittihad FC or draw in 2nd half	59.1%	58.1%	—	—	1.72

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	61.4%	61.5%	—	—	1.63
Neither half drawn	38.6%	38.5%	—	—	2.60

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ahli (DNB)	63.4%	62.7%	44.6%	1.41×	1.59
Al Ittihad FC (DNB)	36.6%	37.3%	55.4%	0.67×	2.68

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ahli to score first	53.5%	53.4%	—	—	1.87
Al Ittihad FC to score first	39.2%	32.9%	—	—	3.04
No goal scored	7.3%	7.5%	—	—	13.42

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	57.5%	55.0%	56.3%	0.98×	1.82
Not both teams to score	42.5%	45.0%	43.7%	1.03×	2.22

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	44.5%	41.6%	45.8%	0.91×	2.40
Not both score & under 2.5	33.4%	34.5%	33.1%	1.04×	2.90
Both score & under 2.5	12.9%	12.4%	10.7%	1.15×	8.09
Not both score & over 2.5	9.1%	8.3%	10.7%	0.77×	12.06

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	83.7%	82.6%	83.5%	0.99×	1.21
Both teams to score 2+	16.3%	17.4%	16.5%	1.06×	5.75

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	68.7%	67.5%	—	—	1.48
Both teams to score in 2nd half	31.3%	32.5%	—	—	3.08

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	55.2%	59.8%	—	—	1.67
Both score 2nd half only	25.4%	27.1%	—	—	3.69
Both score 1st half only	13.6%	10.8%	—	—	9.29
Both score in both halves	5.9%	6.8%	—	—	14.77

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	80.5%	83.2%	—	—	1.20
Both teams to score by HT	19.5%	16.8%	—	—	5.95

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	56.4%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
A half without a goal	43.6%	42.8%	—	—	2.34

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	47.3%	47.2%	43.5%	1.09×	2.12
4-6 goals	28.8%	26.6%	32.9%	0.81×	3.76
0-1 goals	21.3%	22.9%	21.0%	1.09×	4.37
7+ goals	2.5%	1.8%	2.9%	0.64×	54.25

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ahli to score exactly 1	31.9%	33.8%	34.0%	1.00×	2.96
Al Ahli to score exactly 2	26.0%	27.4%	21.9%	1.25×	3.66
Al Ahli to score 3+	22.4%	22.3%	17.4%	1.28×	4.49
Al Ahli to score exactly 0	19.6%	19.6%	27.0%	0.72×	5.11

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ittihad FC to score exactly 1	36.2%	35.6%	32.5%	1.10×	2.81
Al Ittihad FC to score exactly 0	30.3%	32.5%	21.9%	1.49×	3.07
Al Ittihad FC to score exactly 2	21.6%	23.3%	24.8%	0.94×	4.29
Al Ittihad FC to score 3+	11.9%	14.3%	21.1%	0.68×	6.99

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	43.0%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Al Ahli leading at HT	32.9%	32.9%	—	—	3.04
Al Ittihad FC leading at HT	24.1%	20.8%	—	—	4.81

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ahli -1: 1	53.9%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Al Ahli -1: 2	24.8%	23.5%	—	—	4.25
Al Ahli -1: X	21.3%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ahli (0:1)	73.4%	71.1%	56.5%	1.26×	1.41
Draw (0:1)	15.2%	17.8%	21.5%	0.83×	5.62
Al Ittihad FC (0:1)	11.4%	13.7%	22.2%	0.62×	7.30

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ahli (0:2)	88.6%	87.1%	77.8%	1.12×	1.15
Draw (0:2)	7.7%	7.7%	12.8%	0.60×	13.04
Al Ittihad FC (0:2)	3.6%	3.8%	9.5%	0.39×	26.66

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ahli (0:3)	96.4%	96.6%	90.5%	1.07×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	2.7%	2.4%	5.6%	0.43×	42.09
Al Ittihad FC (0:3)	0.9%	2.4%	4.1%	0.58×	42.17

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ahli (0:4)	99.1%	98.1%	95.9%	1.02×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	0.7%	1.2%	2.9%	0.42×	82.02
Al Ittihad FC (0:4)	0.2%	1.2%	1.4%	0.90×	82.08

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ittihad FC (1:0)	53.9%	54.1%	65.0%	0.83×	1.85
Al Ahli (1:0)	24.8%	21.7%	17.5%	1.24×	4.61
Draw (1:0)	21.3%	21.7%	17.7%	1.23×	4.61

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ittihad FC (2:0)	75.2%	80.4%	82.5%	0.97×	1.24
Draw (2:0)	14.4%	10.3%	10.6%	0.97×	9.70
Al Ahli (2:0)	10.4%	10.3%	7.1%	1.45×	9.74

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	47.7%	48.7%	—	—	2.05
Halves equal	26.4%	26.2%	—	—	3.82
1st half highest scoring	25.9%	26.2%	—	—	3.82

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ittihad FC to concede	80.4%	80.8%	73.0%	1.11×	1.24
Al Ittihad FC clean sheet	19.6%	19.2%	27.0%	0.71×	5.21

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ittihad FC clean sheet in 1st half	52.1%	55.6%	—	—	1.80
Al Ittihad FC to concede in 1st half	47.9%	44.4%	—	—	2.25

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ittihad FC to concede in 2nd half	62.4%	59.8%	—	—	1.67
Al Ittihad FC clean sheet in 2nd half	37.6%	40.2%	—	—	2.49

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ittihad FC over 2.5 corners	79.1%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Al Ittihad FC under 6.5 corners	77.6%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Al Ittihad FC under 5.5 corners	66.3%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Al Ittihad FC over 3.5 corners	63.8%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Al Ittihad FC under 4.5 corners	52.1%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Al Ittihad FC over 4.5 corners	47.9%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Al Ittihad FC under 3.5 corners	36.2%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Al Ittihad FC over 5.5 corners	33.7%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Al Ittihad FC over 6.5 corners	22.4%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Al Ittihad FC under 2.5 corners	20.9%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ittihad FC under 3.5 goals	96.7%	96.4%	92.0%	1.05×	1.04
Al Ittihad FC under 2.5 goals	88.1%	87.3%	78.9%	1.11×	1.15
Al Ittihad FC over 0.5 goals	69.7%	68.0%	78.1%	0.87×	1.47
Al Ittihad FC under 1.5 goals	66.4%	68.0%	54.2%	1.25×	1.47
Al Ittihad FC over 1.5 goals	33.6%	32.0%	45.8%	0.70×	3.12
Al Ittihad FC under 0.5 goals	30.3%	32.0%	21.9%	1.46×	3.12
Al Ittihad FC over 2.5 goals	11.9%	12.7%	21.1%	0.60×	7.85
Al Ittihad FC over 3.5 goals	3.3%	3.6%	8.0%	0.45×	27.52

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ittihad FC under 1.5 in 1st half	90.6%	94.6%	—	—	1.06
Al Ittihad FC under 0.5 in 1st half	59.8%	56.9%	—	—	1.76
Al Ittihad FC over 0.5 in 1st half	40.2%	43.1%	—	—	2.32
Al Ittihad FC over 1.5 in 1st half	9.4%	5.4%	—	—	18.43

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ittihad FC scores equally in both	41.8%	42.2%	—	—	2.37
Al Ittihad FC scores more in 2nd half	34.4%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
Al Ittihad FC scores more in 1st half	23.8%	21.3%	—	—	4.70

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ahli (home no bet)	62.8%	60.0%	61.9%	0.97×	1.67
Draw (home no bet)	37.2%	40.0%	38.1%	1.05×	2.50

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ittihad FC even goals	54.6%	50.7%	52.7%	0.96×	1.97
Al Ittihad FC odd goals	45.4%	49.3%	47.3%	1.04×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	31.4%	33.1%	—	—	3.02
HT 0-1	20.1%	24.3%	—	—	4.11
HT 1-0	15.8%	18.6%	—	—	5.38
HT 1-1	10.7%	11.0%	—	—	9.13
HT 0-2	6.6%	6.9%	—	—	14.48
Any other HT score	4.4%	2.4%	—	—	42.01
HT 2-0	4.1%	2.4%	—	—	42.03
HT 1-2	3.4%	2.4%	—	—	42.07
HT 2-1	2.7%	2.4%	—	—	42.12
HT 2-2	0.9%	2.4%	—	—	42.24

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ahli at HT / Al Ahli at FT	26.2%	27.3%	—	—	3.66
Draw at HT / Al Ahli at FT	16.7%	16.7%	—	—	5.98
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	16.5%	16.7%	—	—	5.98
Al Ittihad FC at HT / Al Ittihad FC at FT	15.2%	16.7%	—	—	5.98
Draw at HT / Al Ittihad FC at FT	9.7%	6.0%	—	—	16.54
Al Ittihad FC at HT / Draw at FT	5.7%	6.0%	—	—	16.66
Al Ahli at HT / Draw at FT	5.0%	3.5%	—	—	28.61
Al Ittihad FC at HT / Al Ahli at FT	3.2%	3.5%	—	—	28.67
Al Ahli at HT / Al Ittihad FC at FT	1.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.73

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ahli to score last	53.6%	52.2%	—	—	1.92
Al Ittihad FC to score last	39.1%	38.8%	—	—	2.58
No goal scored	7.3%	7.5%	—	—	13.42

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	92.7%	92.7%	—	—	1.08
Al Ahli to lead by 1 at any time	62.3%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	48.3%	44.6%	—	—	2.25
Al Ittihad FC to lead by 1 at any time	45.5%	44.5%	—	—	2.25
Al Ahli to lead by 2 at any time	31.6%	29.8%	—	—	3.35
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	17.8%	14.9%	—	—	6.69
Al Ittihad FC to lead by 2 at any time	17.0%	14.9%	—	—	6.70
Al Ahli to lead by 3 at any time	12.8%	10.5%	—	—	9.56
Al Ittihad FC to lead by 3 at any time	5.0%	6.7%	—	—	15.02

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ittihad FC most corners	48.5%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
Al Ahli most corners	40.0%	39.3%	—	—	2.54
Corners level	11.6%	10.4%	—	—	9.58

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	86.0%	87.4%	87.2%	1.00×	1.14
1-4 goals	77.1%	78.7%	75.5%	1.04×	1.27
2-6 goals	76.2%	78.7%	76.3%	1.03×	1.27
2-5 goals	72.0%	72.4%	71.5%	1.01×	1.38
2-4 goals	63.1%	63.3%	59.8%	1.06×	1.58
1-3 goals	61.3%	63.3%	59.2%	1.07×	1.58
3-6 goals	51.1%	53.2%	53.6%	0.99×	1.88
2-3 goals	47.3%	48.5%	43.5%	1.11×	2.06
3-5 goals	46.9%	48.5%	48.8%	0.99×	2.06
1-2 goals	39.0%	39.2%	38.5%	1.02×	2.55
3-4 goals	38.0%	39.2%	37.2%	1.05×	2.55
4-6 goals	28.8%	30.2%	32.9%	0.92×	3.31
4-5 goals	24.6%	24.5%	28.1%	0.87×	4.08
5-6 goals	13.1%	14.8%	16.6%	0.89×	6.75
7+ goals	2.5%	2.6%	2.9%	0.89×	39.11

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ahli never behind	47.2%	56.7%	—	—	1.77
Al Ittihad FC never behind	30.4%	36.1%	—	—	2.77

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	47.1%	50.9%	50.3%	1.01×	1.96
Even number of goals	52.9%	49.1%	49.7%	0.99×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	55.3%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Odd goals in 1st half	44.7%	42.2%	—	—	2.37

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.8%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half	47.2%	48.1%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	93.3%	92.3%	92.3%	1.00×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	92.7%	92.3%	94.7%	0.97×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	84.4%	82.3%	80.7%	1.02×	1.22
Over 1.5 goals	78.7%	77.3%	79.0%	0.98×	1.29
Under 3.5 goals	68.6%	66.3%	64.4%	1.03×	1.51
Over 2.5 goals	53.6%	52.5%	56.3%	0.93×	1.90
Under 2.5 goals	46.4%	47.5%	43.7%	1.09×	2.11
Over 3.5 goals	31.4%	33.7%	35.7%	0.95×	2.97
Under 1.5 goals	21.3%	22.7%	21.0%	1.08×	4.41
Over 4.5 goals	15.6%	17.7%	19.3%	0.91×	5.65
Under 0.5 goals	7.3%	7.7%	5.3%	1.46×	12.94
Over 5.5 goals	6.7%	7.7%	7.7%	1.00×	12.94

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	97.4%	97.2%	97.0%	1.00×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	92.6%	92.4%	91.3%	1.01×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	81.5%	81.1%	76.9%	1.05×	1.23
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	71.6%	72.4%	72.9%	0.99×	1.38
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	59.7%	55.8%	55.0%	1.01×	1.79
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	40.4%	44.2%	45.0%	0.98×	2.26
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	28.4%	27.6%	27.1%	1.02×	3.62
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	18.5%	18.9%	23.1%	0.82×	5.29
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	7.4%	7.6%	8.7%	0.87×	13.16
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	2.6%	2.8%	3.0%	0.93×	35.58

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	88.7%	89.2%	—	—	1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half	68.6%	68.6%	—	—	1.46
Under 1.5 in 1st half	67.3%	68.6%	—	—	1.46
Over 1.5 in 1st half	32.7%	31.4%	—	—	3.18
Under 0.5 in 1st half	31.4%	31.4%	—	—	3.19
Over 2.5 in 1st half	11.3%	10.8%	—	—	9.27

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	80.5%	83.2%	—	—	1.20
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	76.8%	79.1%	—	—	1.26
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	50.1%	52.9%	—	—	1.89
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	49.9%	47.1%	—	—	2.12
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	23.2%	20.9%	—	—	4.79
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	19.5%	16.8%	—	—	5.95

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ittihad FC not to score in both halves	80.2%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
Al Ahli not to score in both halves	70.1%	73.8%	—	—	1.36
Al Ahli to score in both halves	29.9%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
Al Ittihad FC to score in both halves	19.8%	15.8%	—	—	6.33

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	57.5%	58.6%	56.3%	1.04×	1.71
Only Al Ahli scores	23.0%	22.3%	16.8%	1.33×	4.49
Only Al Ittihad FC scores	12.3%	11.0%	21.9%	0.50×	9.06
Neither team scores	7.3%	7.1%	5.3%	1.35×	14.04

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	25.1%	24.9%	22.8%	1.09×	4.02
Exactly 3 goals	22.3%	22.6%	20.8%	1.08×	4.43
Exactly 4 goals	15.7%	17.5%	16.5%	1.06×	5.73
Exactly 1 goals	14.0%	12.1%	15.9%	0.76×	8.24
Exactly 5 goals	8.9%	7.6%	11.8%	0.65×	13.13
Exactly 0 goals	7.3%	7.6%	5.3%	1.44×	13.14
6 or more goals	6.7%	7.6%	7.7%	0.99×	13.14

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	35.9%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
No goals in 1st half	31.4%	35.8%	—	—	2.80
2 goals in 1st half	21.4%	21.5%	—	—	4.66
3+ goals in 1st half	11.3%	10.7%	—	—	9.35

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	49.9%	45.4%	—	—	2.20
1 goal in 2nd half	30.6%	33.8%	—	—	2.96
No goals in 2nd half	19.5%	16.5%	—	—	6.06

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ittihad FC not to win both halves	94.0%	94.1%	—	—	1.06
Al Ahli not to win both halves	86.3%	87.9%	—	—	1.14
Al Ahli to win both halves	13.7%	12.1%	—	—	8.27
Al Ittihad FC to win both halves	6.0%	5.9%	—	—	17.09

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ahli to win either half	60.1%	65.0%	—	—	1.54
Al Ittihad FC to win neither half	57.7%	59.2%	—	—	1.69
Al Ittihad FC to win either half	42.3%	40.8%	—	—	2.45
Al Ahli to win neither half	39.9%	35.0%	—	—	2.86

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ittihad FC not to win to nil	87.7%	88.1%	78.1%	1.13×	1.14
Al Ahli not to win to nil	77.0%	78.1%	83.2%	0.94×	1.28
Al Ahli to win to nil	23.0%	21.9%	16.8%	1.30×	4.57
Al Ittihad FC to win to nil	12.3%	11.9%	21.9%	0.54×	8.41

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	27.3%	27.9%	21.6%	1.29×	3.59
Al Ahli by 1	21.3%	24.1%	17.7%	1.36×	4.15
Al Ittihad FC by 1	15.2%	17.0%	21.5%	0.79×	5.87
Al Ahli by 2	14.4%	11.8%	10.6%	1.11×	8.50
Al Ahli by 3+	10.4%	11.8%	7.1%	1.65×	8.51
Al Ittihad FC by 2	7.7%	7.2%	12.8%	0.56×	13.91
Al Ittihad FC by 3+	3.6%	2.7%	9.5%	0.29×	36.79