Al Ittihad FC v Al Diriyah — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Friday 23 October 2026 · KSA-Pro League · 2627

KSA-Pro League results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Al Ittihad FC

15:30 UTC

Al Diriyah

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 21 Oct, 11:05 · 52h before kick-off

Al Ittihad FC win

42.5%

Draw

31.1%

Al Diriyah win

26.5%

423126

Raw model output; no calibration record for this fixture's bands yet.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 14.6%
0-0 11.7%
1-0 11.7%
2-0 8.7%
2-1 8.5%

Goals

Over 2.5	40.2%	Under 2.5	59.8%
BTTS yes	47.2%	BTTS no	52.8%
Al Ittihad FC 1+	73.0%	Al Ittihad FC 2+	37.6%
Al Diriyah 1+	62.6%	Al Diriyah 2+	25.8%

Expected goals 1.31 – 0.98. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

70/100

Data quality

55/100

Model agreement

95%

★ Best pick

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

★ Most likely to land

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

Positive factors

Al Ittihad FC carry the stronger rating, 1649 Elo against 1529.
Form is good: 2.60 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

Data quality is 55/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
Al Diriyah have only 5 matches on record.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Al Ittihad FC have an estimated 42.5% win probability, against 31.1% for the draw and 26.5% for Al Diriyah. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.31 for Al Ittihad FC and 0.98 for Al Diriyah.

Why Al Ittihad FC

Al Ittihad FC carry the stronger rating, 1649 Elo against 1529. Form is good: 2.60 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 31.1%. A combined 2.29 expected goals is a low-scoring profile, and low totals mean more level finishes. Draws run at 22% in this competition.

Why Al Diriyah can win

Nothing in the data singles out Al Diriyah.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Al Ittihad FC, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Al Diriyah, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Al Ittihad FC: 51% possession, 15.4 shots a match, 14.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Al Diriyah: 41% possession, 11.0 shots a match, 9.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-21 11:56 · team_stats 2026-10-20 06:04 · availability 2026-10-21 15:05 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Al Ittihad FC are the model's most likely outcome at 42.5%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 14.6%. Confidence 70/100, data quality 55/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	423126	1.31–0.98	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	373528	1.05–0.88	0-0 16%	30%	40%
deep	373528	1.05–0.88	0-0 16%	30%	40%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ittihad FC to win	37.4%	36.4%	43.5%	0.84×	2.75
Draw	34.6%	30.4%	21.6%	1.41×	3.29
Al Diriyah to win	28.0%	27.9%	35.0%	0.80×	3.58

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ittihad FC & not both score	25.5%	25.2%	21.9%	1.15×	3.97
Draw & both teams score	18.4%	18.0%	16.5%	1.09×	5.57
Al Diriyah & not both score	18.7%	18.0%	16.8%	1.07×	5.57
Draw & not both score	16.2%	18.0%	5.3%	3.40×	5.57
Al Ittihad FC & both teams score	11.9%	13.3%	21.8%	0.61×	7.54
Al Diriyah & both teams score	9.2%	8.3%	18.4%	0.45×	12.00

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ittihad FC & under 3.5	31.7%	30.8%	27.3%	1.13×	3.25
Draw & under 2.5	31.2%	30.8%	15.9%	1.94×	3.25
Draw & under 3.5	31.2%	30.8%	15.9%	1.94×	3.25
Al Diriyah & under 3.5	24.2%	21.6%	21.5%	1.01×	4.63
Al Ittihad FC & over 1.5	23.7%	21.6%	34.4%	0.63×	4.63
Al Ittihad FC & under 2.5	21.8%	21.6%	16.0%	1.35×	4.63
Draw & over 1.5	18.4%	18.0%	16.5%	1.09×	5.56
Al Diriyah & over 1.5	16.9%	18.0%	28.4%	0.63×	5.56
Al Diriyah & under 2.5	16.7%	18.0%	12.1%	1.49×	5.56
Al Ittihad FC & over 2.5	15.7%	18.0%	27.6%	0.65×	5.56
Draw & under 1.5	16.2%	18.0%	5.3%	3.40×	5.56
Al Ittihad FC & under 1.5	13.7%	12.8%	9.2%	1.39×	7.79
Al Diriyah & over 2.5	11.3%	12.8%	23.1%	0.56×	7.79
Al Diriyah & under 1.5	11.1%	12.8%	6.8%	1.89×	7.79
Al Ittihad FC & over 3.5	5.8%	7.9%	16.3%	0.49×	12.63
Al Diriyah & over 3.5	3.8%	4.8%	13.7%	0.35×	20.81
Draw & over 2.5	3.4%	4.8%	5.9%	0.82×	20.82
Draw & over 3.5	3.4%	4.8%	5.9%	0.82×	20.82

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ittihad FC (1UP)	50.3%	52.5%	—	—	1.91
Al Diriyah (1UP)	41.7%	38.4%	—	—	2.60

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ittihad FC (2UP)	37.4%	37.4%	—	—	2.67
Al Diriyah (2UP)	28.0%	25.2%	—	—	3.96

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	44.6%	42.0%	—	—	2.38
Al Ittihad FC to win 2nd half	30.1%	34.3%	—	—	2.92
Al Diriyah to win 2nd half	25.2%	25.7%	—	—	3.89

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Diriyah under 1.5 in 2nd half	90.2%	91.7%	—	—	1.09
Al Diriyah under 0.5 in 2nd half	59.2%	54.7%	—	—	1.83
Al Diriyah over 0.5 in 2nd half	40.8%	45.3%	—	—	2.21
Al Diriyah over 1.5 in 2nd half	9.8%	8.3%	—	—	12.08

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ittihad FC under 1.5 in 2nd half	87.8%	88.4%	—	—	1.13
Al Ittihad FC under 0.5 in 2nd half	54.9%	55.2%	—	—	1.81
Al Ittihad FC over 0.5 in 2nd half	45.1%	44.8%	—	—	2.23
Al Ittihad FC over 1.5 in 2nd half	12.2%	11.6%	—	—	8.62

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Diriyah (+2.5)	95.3%	96.3%	90.5%	1.06×	1.04
Al Diriyah (+1.5)	84.5%	82.5%	77.8%	1.06×	1.21
Al Ittihad FC (+0.5)	72.0%	73.6%	65.0%	1.13×	1.36
Al Diriyah (+0.5)	62.6%	62.9%	56.5%	1.11×	1.59
Al Ittihad FC (-0.5)	37.4%	37.1%	43.5%	0.85×	2.70
Al Diriyah (-0.5)	28.0%	26.4%	35.0%	0.75×	3.80
Al Ittihad FC (-1.5)	15.5%	17.5%	22.2%	0.79×	5.73
Al Ittihad FC (-2.5)	4.7%	3.7%	9.5%	0.39×	27.00

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Diriyah to concede	65.1%	72.3%	78.1%	0.93×	1.38
Al Diriyah clean sheet	34.9%	27.7%	21.9%	1.27×	3.61

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Diriyah clean sheet in 1st half	63.6%	65.2%	—	—	1.53
Al Diriyah to concede in 1st half	36.4%	34.8%	—	—	2.88

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Diriyah clean sheet in 2nd half	54.9%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
Al Diriyah to concede in 2nd half	45.1%	45.0%	—	—	2.22

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Diriyah under 6.5 corners	83.8%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Al Diriyah under 5.5 corners	73.8%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Al Diriyah over 2.5 corners	73.4%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Al Diriyah under 4.5 corners	60.3%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Al Diriyah over 3.5 corners	56.2%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Al Diriyah under 3.5 corners	43.8%	42.8%	—	—	2.33
Al Diriyah over 4.5 corners	39.7%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Al Diriyah under 2.5 corners	26.6%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Al Diriyah over 5.5 corners	26.2%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Al Diriyah over 6.5 corners	16.2%	18.6%	—	—	5.38

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Diriyah under 3.5 goals	98.8%	97.5%	93.1%	1.05×	1.03
Al Diriyah under 2.5 goals	94.1%	92.3%	82.6%	1.12×	1.08
Al Diriyah under 1.5 goals	78.2%	76.3%	60.9%	1.25×	1.31
Al Diriyah over 0.5 goals	58.3%	59.4%	73.0%	0.81×	1.68
Al Diriyah under 0.5 goals	41.7%	40.6%	27.0%	1.50×	2.46
Al Diriyah over 1.5 goals	21.8%	23.7%	39.1%	0.61×	4.21
Al Diriyah over 2.5 goals	5.9%	7.7%	17.4%	0.44×	13.07
Al Diriyah over 3.5 goals	1.2%	2.5%	6.9%	0.36×	39.97

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Diriyah under 1.5 in 1st half	95.1%	95.9%	—	—	1.04
Al Diriyah under 0.5 in 1st half	70.5%	68.5%	—	—	1.46
Al Diriyah over 0.5 in 1st half	29.5%	31.5%	—	—	3.17
Al Diriyah over 1.5 in 1st half	4.9%	4.1%	—	—	24.45

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Diriyah scores equally in both	49.7%	48.3%	—	—	2.07
Al Diriyah scores more in 2nd half	31.3%	33.6%	—	—	2.98
Al Diriyah scores more in 1st half	19.0%	18.1%	—	—	5.53

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ittihad FC (away no bet)	52.0%	51.7%	66.8%	0.77×	1.93
Draw (away no bet)	48.0%	48.3%	33.2%	1.46×	2.07

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Diriyah even goals	58.7%	57.0%	52.4%	1.09×	1.76
Al Diriyah odd goals	41.3%	43.0%	47.6%	0.90×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	94.0%	92.5%	—	—	1.08
Both halves over 1.5 goals	6.0%	7.5%	—	—	13.30

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both halves under 1.5 goals	54.9%	51.1%	—	—	1.96
Not both halves under 1.5	45.1%	48.9%	—	—	2.05

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	38.4%	36.7%	—	—	2.73
Al Ittihad FC to score 2+ in a row	23.6%	19.7%	—	—	5.09
Al Diriyah to score 2+ in a row	17.2%	16.3%	—	—	6.15
Either team to score 3+ in a row	10.2%	12.0%	—	—	8.35
Al Ittihad FC to score 3+ in a row	6.4%	5.5%	—	—	18.03
Al Diriyah to score 3+ in a row	3.8%	2.6%	—	—	38.40

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ittihad FC corners (+3.5)	88.3%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Al Ittihad FC corners (+2.5)	81.8%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Al Diriyah corners (+3.5)	79.3%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Al Ittihad FC corners (+1.5)	73.3%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Al Diriyah corners (+2.5)	70.5%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Al Diriyah corners (+1.5)	60.0%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Al Ittihad FC corners (-1.5)	40.0%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Al Ittihad FC corners (-2.5)	29.5%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Al Diriyah corners (-1.5)	26.7%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Al Ittihad FC corners (-3.5)	20.7%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Al Diriyah corners (-2.5)	18.2%	20.2%	—	—	4.94
Al Diriyah corners (-3.5)	11.7%	15.5%	—	—	6.45

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	47.8%	41.8%	—	—	2.40
9-11 corners	29.1%	31.2%	—	—	3.21
12+ corners	23.1%	25.7%	—	—	3.90

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	83.6%	80.7%	—	—	1.24
Under 11.5 corners	76.9%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 10.5 corners	68.6%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Over 7.5 corners	63.5%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Under 9.5 corners	58.8%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 8.5 corners	52.2%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 8.5 corners	47.8%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 9.5 corners	41.2%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Under 7.5 corners	36.5%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 10.5 corners	31.4%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Over 11.5 corners	23.1%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
Over 12.5 corners	16.4%	19.3%	—	—	5.18

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-0	16.2%	13.8%	5.3%	2.61×	7.24
1-1	15.0%	13.8%	10.7%	1.29×	7.24
1-0	13.7%	11.5%	9.2%	1.24×	8.72
0-1	11.1%	11.5%	6.8%	1.69×	8.72
2-0	8.1%	7.4%	6.9%	1.07×	13.50
2-1	7.1%	7.4%	8.5%	0.88×	13.51
0-2	5.6%	7.4%	5.4%	1.36×	13.51
1-2	5.9%	7.4%	7.4%	1.00×	13.51
0-3	1.6%	1.7%	2.3%	0.76×	58.31
0-4	0.4%	1.7%	1.1%	1.62×	58.32
1-3	1.7%	1.7%	3.9%	0.44×	58.31
1-4	0.4%	1.7%	1.1%	1.62×	58.32
2-2	3.1%	1.7%	4.8%	0.35×	58.30
2-3	0.9%	1.7%	3.3%	0.52×	58.31
2-4	0.2%	1.7%	1.2%	1.42×	58.32
3-0	2.8%	1.7%	3.2%	0.54×	58.30
3-1	2.5%	1.7%	5.1%	0.33×	58.31
3-2	1.1%	1.7%	3.6%	0.47×	58.31
3-3	0.3%	1.7%	1.1%	1.62×	58.32
3-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.6%	2.84×	58.32
4-0	0.7%	1.7%	2.1%	0.81×	58.32
4-1	0.7%	1.7%	2.4%	0.71×	58.32
4-2	0.3%	1.7%	1.1%	1.62×	58.32
4-3	0.1%	1.7%	0.6%	2.84×	58.32
4-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.3%	5.68×	58.32
Any other score	0.7%	1.7%	5.6%	0.31×	58.32

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ittihad FC (2nd half DNB)	54.4%	53.0%	—	—	1.89
Al Diriyah (2nd half DNB)	45.6%	47.0%	—	—	2.13

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ittihad FC leading at HT (DNB)	57.8%	57.4%	—	—	1.74
Al Diriyah leading at HT (DNB)	42.2%	42.6%	—	—	2.35

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ittihad FC or draw (1X)	72.0%	72.1%	65.0%	1.11×	1.39
Al Ittihad FC or Al Diriyah (12)	65.4%	69.6%	78.4%	0.89×	1.44
Al Diriyah or draw (X2)	62.6%	63.6%	56.5%	1.13×	1.57

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ittihad FC or draw at HT	80.1%	84.1%	—	—	1.19
Al Diriyah or draw at HT	72.7%	75.1%	—	—	1.33
Al Ittihad FC or Al Diriyah at HT	47.2%	52.7%	—	—	1.90

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ittihad FC or draw (1UP)	72.0%	79.6%	—	—	1.26
Al Diriyah or draw (1UP)	62.6%	71.6%	—	—	1.40

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ittihad FC or draw in 2nd half	74.8%	74.3%	—	—	1.35
Al Diriyah or draw in 2nd half	69.9%	65.7%	—	—	1.52
Al Ittihad FC or Al Diriyah in 2nd half	55.4%	58.0%	—	—	1.72

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	72.2%	71.5%	—	—	1.40
Neither half drawn	27.8%	28.5%	—	—	3.51

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ittihad FC (DNB)	57.2%	58.1%	55.4%	1.05×	1.72
Al Diriyah (DNB)	42.8%	41.9%	44.6%	0.94×	2.39

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ittihad FC to score first	45.8%	45.9%	—	—	2.18
Al Diriyah to score first	38.0%	32.8%	—	—	3.05
No goal scored	16.2%	17.0%	—	—	5.87

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	60.4%	56.6%	43.7%	1.30×	1.77
Both teams to score	39.6%	43.4%	56.3%	0.77×	2.30

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	54.6%	47.3%	33.1%	1.43×	2.11
Both score & over 2.5	24.6%	27.8%	45.8%	0.61×	3.60
Both score & under 2.5	15.0%	21.5%	10.7%	2.01×	4.65
Not both score & over 2.5	5.8%	8.3%	10.7%	0.77×	12.07

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	93.8%	89.0%	83.5%	1.07×	1.12
Both teams to score 2+	6.2%	11.0%	16.5%	0.67×	9.11

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	81.0%	72.7%	—	—	1.38
Both teams to score in 2nd half	19.0%	27.3%	—	—	3.66

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	72.0%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Both score 2nd half only	17.0%	15.0%	—	—	6.66
Both score 1st half only	9.0%	6.8%	—	—	14.61
Both score in both halves	2.0%	4.8%	—	—	20.64

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	89.0%	85.6%	—	—	1.17
Both teams to score by HT	11.0%	14.4%	—	—	6.93

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	62.0%	59.7%	—	—	1.68
A goal in each half	38.1%	40.3%	—	—	2.48

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	46.0%	47.2%	43.5%	1.08×	2.12
0-1 goals	41.0%	42.1%	21.0%	2.01×	2.38
4-6 goals	12.6%	16.9%	32.9%	0.51×	5.91
7+ goals	0.4%	1.8%	2.9%	0.64×	54.47

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Diriyah to score exactly 0	41.7%	37.3%	27.0%	1.38×	2.68
Al Diriyah to score exactly 1	36.5%	35.9%	34.0%	1.06×	2.78
Al Diriyah to score exactly 2	16.0%	19.6%	21.9%	0.89×	5.11
Al Diriyah to score 3+	5.9%	8.5%	17.4%	0.49×	11.72

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ittihad FC to score exactly 1	36.7%	35.6%	32.5%	1.10×	2.81
Al Ittihad FC to score exactly 0	34.9%	32.6%	21.9%	1.49×	3.07
Al Ittihad FC to score exactly 2	19.3%	18.8%	24.8%	0.76×	5.33
Al Ittihad FC to score 3+	9.0%	10.3%	21.1%	0.49×	9.69

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	52.8%	47.3%	—	—	2.11
Al Ittihad FC leading at HT	27.3%	24.9%	—	—	4.02
Al Diriyah leading at HT	19.9%	15.9%	—	—	6.30

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ittihad FC -1: 2	62.6%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
Al Ittihad FC -1: X	21.9%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Al Ittihad FC -1: 1	15.5%	17.5%	—	—	5.71

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Diriyah (0:1)	62.6%	61.4%	56.5%	1.09×	1.63
Draw (0:1)	21.9%	24.2%	21.5%	1.13×	4.13
Al Ittihad FC (0:1)	15.5%	17.8%	22.2%	0.80×	5.62

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Diriyah (0:2)	84.5%	83.0%	77.8%	1.07×	1.21
Draw (0:2)	10.8%	11.0%	12.8%	0.86×	9.10
Al Ittihad FC (0:2)	4.7%	3.8%	9.5%	0.40×	26.59

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Diriyah (0:3)	95.3%	96.6%	90.5%	1.07×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	3.5%	2.4%	5.6%	0.43×	42.04
Al Ittihad FC (0:3)	1.1%	2.4%	4.1%	0.58×	42.14

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Diriyah (0:4)	98.9%	98.1%	95.9%	1.02×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	0.9%	1.2%	2.9%	0.42×	82.00
Al Ittihad FC (0:4)	0.2%	1.2%	1.4%	0.90×	82.08

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ittihad FC (1:0)	72.0%	72.4%	65.0%	1.11×	1.38
Draw (1:0)	18.0%	17.1%	17.7%	0.97×	5.85
Al Diriyah (1:0)	10.0%	12.7%	17.5%	0.72×	7.88

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ittihad FC (2:0)	90.0%	88.5%	82.5%	1.07×	1.13
Draw (2:0)	7.5%	6.4%	10.6%	0.60×	15.69
Al Diriyah (2:0)	2.5%	2.3%	7.1%	0.32×	43.67

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	41.7%	44.6%	—	—	2.24
Halves equal	33.4%	30.7%	—	—	3.26
1st half highest scoring	24.9%	24.4%	—	—	4.10

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ittihad FC to concede	58.3%	60.7%	73.0%	0.83×	1.65
Al Ittihad FC clean sheet	41.7%	39.3%	27.0%	1.45×	2.54

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ittihad FC clean sheet in 1st half	70.5%	67.3%	—	—	1.49
Al Ittihad FC to concede in 1st half	29.5%	32.7%	—	—	3.06

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ittihad FC clean sheet in 2nd half	59.2%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
Al Ittihad FC to concede in 2nd half	40.8%	45.0%	—	—	2.22

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ittihad FC over 2.5 corners	80.5%	80.9%	—	—	1.24
Al Ittihad FC under 6.5 corners	75.8%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Al Ittihad FC over 3.5 corners	65.8%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Al Ittihad FC under 5.5 corners	64.1%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Al Ittihad FC over 4.5 corners	50.1%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Al Ittihad FC under 4.5 corners	49.9%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Al Ittihad FC over 5.5 corners	35.9%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Al Ittihad FC under 3.5 corners	34.2%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Al Ittihad FC over 6.5 corners	24.2%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Al Ittihad FC under 2.5 corners	19.5%	19.1%	—	—	5.25

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ittihad FC under 3.5 goals	97.8%	96.4%	92.0%	1.05×	1.04
Al Ittihad FC under 2.5 goals	91.0%	92.2%	78.9%	1.17×	1.08
Al Ittihad FC under 1.5 goals	71.6%	74.2%	54.2%	1.37×	1.35
Al Ittihad FC over 0.5 goals	65.1%	67.9%	78.1%	0.87×	1.47
Al Ittihad FC under 0.5 goals	34.9%	32.1%	21.9%	1.46×	3.12
Al Ittihad FC over 1.5 goals	28.4%	25.8%	45.8%	0.56×	3.88
Al Ittihad FC over 2.5 goals	9.0%	7.8%	21.1%	0.37×	12.87
Al Ittihad FC over 3.5 goals	2.2%	3.6%	8.0%	0.45×	27.56

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ittihad FC under 1.5 in 1st half	92.4%	94.8%	—	—	1.06
Al Ittihad FC under 0.5 in 1st half	63.6%	65.0%	—	—	1.54
Al Ittihad FC over 0.5 in 1st half	36.4%	35.0%	—	—	2.86
Al Ittihad FC over 1.5 in 1st half	7.6%	5.2%	—	—	19.08

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ittihad FC scores equally in both	45.0%	47.2%	—	—	2.12
Al Ittihad FC scores more in 2nd half	32.4%	32.9%	—	—	3.04
Al Ittihad FC scores more in 1st half	22.6%	21.2%	—	—	4.71

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	55.3%	56.4%	38.1%	1.48×	1.77
Al Diriyah (home no bet)	44.7%	43.6%	61.9%	0.71×	2.29

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ittihad FC even goals	56.1%	55.3%	52.7%	1.05×	1.81
Al Ittihad FC odd goals	43.9%	44.7%	47.3%	0.95×	2.24

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	45.1%	45.5%	—	—	2.20
HT 1-0	20.0%	24.4%	—	—	4.10
HT 0-1	15.4%	18.5%	—	—	5.39
HT 1-1	7.4%	6.9%	—	—	14.49
HT 2-0	4.6%	2.4%	—	—	41.98
HT 0-2	2.7%	2.4%	—	—	42.10
HT 2-1	1.6%	2.4%	—	—	42.17
Any other HT score	1.7%	2.4%	—	—	42.17
HT 1-2	1.2%	2.4%	—	—	42.20
HT 2-2	0.3%	2.4%	—	—	42.26

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	25.2%	27.1%	—	—	3.69
Al Ittihad FC at HT / Al Ittihad FC at FT	20.9%	21.8%	—	—	4.60
Draw at HT / Al Ittihad FC at FT	15.1%	16.7%	—	—	5.99
Al Diriyah at HT / Al Diriyah at FT	14.1%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Draw at HT / Al Diriyah at FT	12.5%	12.6%	—	—	7.91
Al Ittihad FC at HT / Draw at FT	5.0%	6.0%	—	—	16.69
Al Diriyah at HT / Draw at FT	4.4%	3.5%	—	—	28.60
Al Diriyah at HT / Al Ittihad FC at FT	1.4%	3.5%	—	—	28.71
Al Ittihad FC at HT / Al Diriyah at FT	1.3%	3.5%	—	—	28.72

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ittihad FC to score last	45.9%	46.4%	—	—	2.16
Al Diriyah to score last	38.0%	38.7%	—	—	2.59
No goal scored	16.2%	13.1%	—	—	7.65

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	83.8%	87.8%	—	—	1.14
Al Ittihad FC to lead by 1 at any time	50.3%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
Al Diriyah to lead by 1 at any time	41.7%	39.1%	—	—	2.56
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	32.4%	29.8%	—	—	3.35
Al Ittihad FC to lead by 2 at any time	19.2%	15.0%	—	—	6.68
Al Diriyah to lead by 2 at any time	13.2%	10.5%	—	—	9.55
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	8.7%	6.7%	—	—	14.85
Al Ittihad FC to lead by 3 at any time	5.5%	6.7%	—	—	14.99
Al Diriyah to lead by 3 at any time	3.2%	1.6%	—	—	61.60

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ittihad FC most corners	51.5%	51.7%	—	—	1.94
Al Diriyah most corners	37.1%	39.3%	—	—	2.55
Corners level	11.4%	10.4%	—	—	9.58

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	82.4%	83.4%	87.2%	0.96×	1.20
1-4 goals	79.2%	78.7%	75.5%	1.04×	1.27
1-3 goals	70.8%	72.4%	59.2%	1.22×	1.38
2-6 goals	58.6%	59.1%	76.3%	0.77×	1.69
2-5 goals	57.6%	59.1%	71.5%	0.83×	1.69
2-4 goals	54.4%	53.2%	59.8%	0.89×	1.88
1-2 goals	53.5%	53.2%	38.5%	1.38×	1.88
2-3 goals	46.0%	48.5%	43.5%	1.11×	2.06
3-6 goals	30.0%	35.2%	53.6%	0.66×	2.84
3-5 goals	29.0%	30.2%	48.8%	0.62×	3.31
3-4 goals	25.7%	30.2%	37.2%	0.81×	3.31
4-6 goals	12.6%	14.8%	32.9%	0.45×	6.75
4-5 goals	11.6%	14.8%	28.1%	0.53×	6.75
5-6 goals	4.3%	2.6%	16.6%	0.15×	39.03
7+ goals	0.4%	2.6%	2.9%	0.89×	39.21

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ittihad FC never behind	42.2%	48.5%	—	—	2.06
Al Diriyah never behind	33.5%	36.3%	—	—	2.76

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	45.7%	50.9%	50.3%	1.01×	1.96
Even number of goals	54.3%	49.1%	49.7%	0.99×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	60.6%	58.3%	—	—	1.72
Odd goals in 1st half	39.4%	41.7%	—	—	2.40

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	56.4%	59.5%	—	—	1.68
Odd goals in 2nd half	43.6%	40.5%	—	—	2.47

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	98.6%	95.4%	92.3%	1.03×	1.05
Under 4.5 goals	95.4%	95.4%	80.7%	1.18×	1.05
Under 3.5 goals	87.0%	87.6%	64.4%	1.36×	1.14
Over 0.5 goals	83.8%	82.3%	94.7%	0.87×	1.22
Under 2.5 goals	69.6%	66.3%	43.7%	1.52×	1.51
Over 1.5 goals	59.0%	58.6%	79.0%	0.74×	1.71
Under 1.5 goals	41.0%	41.4%	21.0%	1.97×	2.42
Over 2.5 goals	30.4%	33.7%	56.3%	0.60×	2.97
Under 0.5 goals	16.2%	17.7%	5.3%	3.35×	5.65
Over 3.5 goals	13.0%	12.4%	35.7%	0.35×	8.06
Over 4.5 goals	4.6%	4.6%	19.3%	0.24×	21.84
Over 5.5 goals	1.4%	4.6%	7.7%	0.59×	21.90

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	99.6%	97.2%	97.0%	1.00×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	98.5%	97.2%	91.3%	1.06×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	94.9%	92.4%	76.9%	1.20×	1.08
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	84.3%	81.1%	55.0%	1.47×	1.23
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	57.4%	55.8%	27.1%	2.05×	1.79
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	42.6%	44.2%	72.9%	0.61×	2.26
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	15.7%	18.9%	45.0%	0.42×	5.29
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	5.1%	7.6%	23.1%	0.33×	13.17
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	1.5%	2.8%	8.7%	0.32×	35.61
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	0.4%	2.8%	3.0%	0.93×	35.64

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	95.2%	96.1%	—	—	1.04
Under 1.5 in 1st half	80.5%	85.7%	—	—	1.17
Over 0.5 in 1st half	54.9%	55.5%	—	—	1.80
Under 0.5 in 1st half	45.1%	44.5%	—	—	2.25
Over 1.5 in 1st half	19.5%	14.3%	—	—	7.00
Over 2.5 in 1st half	4.8%	3.9%	—	—	25.63

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	89.5%	85.6%	—	—	1.17
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	68.4%	68.7%	—	—	1.46
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	67.0%	68.6%	—	—	1.46
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	33.0%	31.4%	—	—	3.19
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	31.6%	31.3%	—	—	3.20
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	10.5%	14.4%	—	—	6.95

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Diriyah not to score in both halves	87.9%	85.4%	—	—	1.17
Al Ittihad FC not to score in both halves	83.6%	84.4%	—	—	1.19
Al Ittihad FC to score in both halves	16.4%	15.6%	—	—	6.41
Al Diriyah to score in both halves	12.1%	14.6%	—	—	6.86

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	39.6%	39.9%	56.3%	0.71×	2.51
Only Al Ittihad FC scores	25.5%	26.0%	21.9%	1.19×	3.84
Only Al Diriyah scores	18.7%	16.0%	16.8%	0.96×	6.24
Neither team scores	16.2%	16.0%	5.3%	3.03×	6.25

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	28.6%	24.9%	22.8%	1.09×	4.02
Exactly 1 goals	24.8%	22.6%	15.9%	1.42×	4.43
Exactly 3 goals	17.4%	17.5%	20.8%	0.84×	5.73
Exactly 0 goals	16.2%	17.5%	5.3%	3.30×	5.73
Exactly 4 goals	8.4%	7.6%	16.5%	0.46×	13.13
Exactly 5 goals	3.2%	4.5%	11.8%	0.38×	22.39
6 or more goals	1.4%	4.5%	7.7%	0.58×	22.42

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No goals in 1st half	45.1%	45.5%	—	—	2.20
1 goal in 1st half	35.4%	37.4%	—	—	2.68
2 goals in 1st half	14.7%	10.8%	—	—	9.26
3+ goals in 1st half	4.8%	3.9%	—	—	25.63

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 2nd half	35.4%	39.2%	—	—	2.55
No goals in 2nd half	33.0%	33.8%	—	—	2.96
2+ goals in 2nd half	31.6%	33.8%	—	—	2.96

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Diriyah not to win both halves	94.8%	94.2%	—	—	1.06
Al Ittihad FC not to win both halves	91.5%	94.1%	—	—	1.06
Al Ittihad FC to win both halves	8.5%	5.9%	—	—	16.91
Al Diriyah to win both halves	5.2%	5.8%	—	—	17.14

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Diriyah to win neither half	60.0%	65.0%	—	—	1.54
Al Ittihad FC to win neither half	51.0%	54.3%	—	—	1.84
Al Ittihad FC to win either half	49.0%	45.8%	—	—	2.19
Al Diriyah to win either half	40.0%	35.0%	—	—	2.86

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Diriyah not to win to nil	81.3%	83.1%	83.2%	1.00×	1.20
Al Ittihad FC not to win to nil	74.5%	75.4%	78.1%	0.96×	1.33
Al Ittihad FC to win to nil	25.5%	24.6%	21.9%	1.13×	4.06
Al Diriyah to win to nil	18.7%	16.9%	16.8%	1.01×	5.92

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	34.6%	27.7%	21.6%	1.28×	3.61
Al Ittihad FC by 1	21.9%	24.1%	21.5%	1.12×	4.15
Al Diriyah by 1	18.0%	17.1%	17.7%	0.96×	5.87
Al Ittihad FC by 2	10.8%	11.8%	12.8%	0.92×	8.51
Al Diriyah by 2	7.5%	7.2%	10.6%	0.68×	13.91
Al Ittihad FC by 3+	4.7%	2.7%	9.5%	0.29×	36.76
Al Diriyah by 3+	2.5%	2.7%	7.1%	0.38×	36.82