Al Ittihad FC v NEOM — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Thursday 5 November 2026 · KSA-Pro League · 2627

KSA-Pro League results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Al Ittihad FC

20:00 UTC

NEOM

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 23 Oct, 10:58 · 321h before kick-off

Al Ittihad FC win

47.1%

model 47.9%

Draw

26.5%

model 26.9%

NEOM win

26.5%

model 25.2%

472626

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (522 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 12.8%
2-1 9.5%
1-0 8.4%
2-0 8.2%
0-0 7.2%

Goals

Over 2.5	54.0%	Under 2.5	46.0%
BTTS yes	57.3%	BTTS no	42.7%
Al Ittihad FC 1+	81.3%	Al Ittihad FC 2+	49.9%
NEOM 1+	68.9%	NEOM 2+	32.5%

Expected goals 1.67 – 1.17. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

85/100

Data quality

75/100

Model agreement

98%

★ Best pick

Al Ittihad FC or draw (1X)

Double chance · usually 65%

72.7% fair odds 1.38

moderate signal · 1941 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Under 12.5 corners

Corners O/U

83.1% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 4335 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Al Ittihad FC carry the stronger rating, 1649 Elo against 1555.
Form is good: 2.60 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Al Ittihad FC have an estimated 47.1% win probability, against 26.5% for the draw and 26.5% for NEOM. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.67 for Al Ittihad FC and 1.17 for NEOM.

Why Al Ittihad FC

Al Ittihad FC carry the stronger rating, 1649 Elo against 1555. Form is good: 2.60 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 26.5%. Draws run at 22% in this competition.

Why NEOM can win

Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Al Ittihad FC, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for NEOM, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Al Ittihad FC: 51% possession, 15.4 shots a match, 14.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. NEOM: 40% possession, 9.4 shots a match, 9.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-23 14:52 · team_stats 2026-10-20 06:04 · availability 2026-10-23 14:58 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Al Ittihad FC are the model's most likely outcome at 47.1%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 12.8%. Confidence 85/100, data quality 75/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	482725	1.67–1.17	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	462727	1.65–1.24	1-1 13%	55%	59%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ittihad FC to win	45.7%	47.3%	43.5%	1.09×	2.11
NEOM to win	27.3%	27.9%	35.0%	0.80×	3.58
Draw	27.0%	27.9%	21.6%	1.29×	3.59

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ittihad FC & both teams score	23.6%	21.8%	21.8%	1.00×	4.58
Al Ittihad FC & not both score	22.1%	21.8%	21.9%	1.00×	4.59
Draw & both teams score	20.1%	21.8%	16.5%	1.32×	4.59
NEOM & both teams score	15.1%	18.0%	18.4%	0.97×	5.57
NEOM & not both score	12.3%	13.3%	16.8%	0.79×	7.54
Draw & not both score	7.0%	8.3%	5.3%	1.57×	12.01

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ittihad FC & over 1.5	37.8%	34.9%	34.4%	1.01×	2.87
Al Ittihad FC & over 2.5	30.2%	30.8%	27.6%	1.11×	3.25
Al Ittihad FC & under 3.5	29.0%	26.1%	27.3%	0.95×	3.84
NEOM & over 1.5	21.8%	21.6%	28.4%	0.76×	4.63
Draw & over 1.5	20.1%	21.6%	16.5%	1.31×	4.63
Draw & under 2.5	19.7%	18.0%	15.9%	1.13×	5.56
Draw & under 3.5	19.7%	18.0%	15.9%	1.13×	5.56
NEOM & under 3.5	18.6%	18.0%	21.5%	0.84×	5.56
NEOM & over 2.5	17.5%	18.0%	23.1%	0.78×	5.56
Al Ittihad FC & over 3.5	16.7%	18.0%	16.3%	1.10×	5.56
Al Ittihad FC & under 2.5	15.4%	18.0%	16.0%	1.12×	5.56
NEOM & under 2.5	9.8%	7.9%	12.1%	0.66×	12.63
NEOM & over 3.5	8.7%	7.9%	13.7%	0.58×	12.63
Al Ittihad FC & under 1.5	7.8%	7.9%	9.2%	0.86×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	7.3%	7.9%	5.9%	1.34×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	7.3%	7.9%	5.9%	1.34×	12.63
Draw & under 1.5	7.0%	7.9%	5.3%	1.50×	12.63
NEOM & under 1.5	5.5%	7.9%	6.8%	1.16×	12.63

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ittihad FC (1UP)	62.2%	62.8%	—	—	1.59
NEOM (1UP)	46.5%	43.8%	—	—	2.28

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ittihad FC (2UP)	45.7%	50.0%	—	—	2.00
NEOM (2UP)	27.3%	25.2%	—	—	3.98

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ittihad FC to win 2nd half	38.1%	36.0%	—	—	2.78
2nd half drawn	35.0%	34.4%	—	—	2.91
NEOM to win 2nd half	27.0%	25.9%	—	—	3.87

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEOM under 1.5 in 2nd half	83.0%	84.3%	—	—	1.19
NEOM over 0.5 in 2nd half	52.4%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
NEOM under 0.5 in 2nd half	47.6%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
NEOM over 1.5 in 2nd half	17.0%	15.7%	—	—	6.35

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ittihad FC under 1.5 in 2nd half	75.8%	75.4%	—	—	1.33
Al Ittihad FC over 0.5 in 2nd half	60.9%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Al Ittihad FC under 0.5 in 2nd half	39.1%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Al Ittihad FC over 1.5 in 2nd half	24.2%	24.6%	—	—	4.06

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEOM (+2.5)	89.6%	88.5%	90.5%	0.98×	1.13
NEOM (+1.5)	75.4%	78.5%	77.8%	1.01×	1.27
Al Ittihad FC (+0.5)	72.7%	73.7%	65.0%	1.13×	1.36
NEOM (+0.5)	54.3%	52.4%	56.5%	0.93×	1.91
Al Ittihad FC (-0.5)	45.7%	47.6%	43.5%	1.09×	2.10
NEOM (-0.5)	27.3%	26.3%	35.0%	0.75×	3.80
Al Ittihad FC (-1.5)	24.6%	21.5%	22.2%	0.97×	4.65
Al Ittihad FC (-2.5)	10.4%	11.5%	9.5%	1.21×	8.68

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEOM to concede	80.8%	81.5%	78.1%	1.04×	1.23
NEOM clean sheet	19.2%	18.5%	21.9%	0.85×	5.40

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEOM to concede in 1st half	50.8%	50.6%	—	—	1.98
NEOM clean sheet in 1st half	49.2%	49.4%	—	—	2.03

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEOM to concede in 2nd half	60.9%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
NEOM clean sheet in 2nd half	39.1%	38.3%	—	—	2.61

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEOM under 6.5 corners	87.9%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
NEOM under 5.5 corners	79.3%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
NEOM over 2.5 corners	68.1%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
NEOM under 4.5 corners	66.7%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
NEOM under 3.5 corners	50.3%	53.0%	—	—	1.89
NEOM over 3.5 corners	49.7%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
NEOM over 4.5 corners	33.3%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
NEOM under 2.5 corners	31.9%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
NEOM over 5.5 corners	20.7%	24.0%	—	—	4.17
NEOM over 6.5 corners	12.1%	14.8%	—	—	6.78

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEOM under 3.5 goals	96.3%	97.5%	93.1%	1.05×	1.03
NEOM under 2.5 goals	87.2%	87.8%	82.6%	1.06×	1.14
NEOM over 0.5 goals	70.9%	71.9%	73.0%	0.99×	1.39
NEOM under 1.5 goals	65.0%	63.2%	60.9%	1.04×	1.58
NEOM over 1.5 goals	35.0%	36.8%	39.1%	0.94×	2.72
NEOM under 0.5 goals	29.1%	28.1%	27.0%	1.04×	3.56
NEOM over 2.5 goals	12.8%	12.2%	17.4%	0.70×	8.20
NEOM over 3.5 goals	3.7%	2.5%	6.9%	0.36×	39.84

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEOM under 1.5 in 1st half	91.1%	94.0%	—	—	1.06
NEOM under 0.5 in 1st half	61.0%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
NEOM over 0.5 in 1st half	39.0%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
NEOM over 1.5 in 1st half	8.9%	6.0%	—	—	16.57

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEOM scores equally in both	40.7%	43.7%	—	—	2.29
NEOM scores more in 2nd half	37.4%	37.4%	—	—	2.68
NEOM scores more in 1st half	21.9%	22.1%	—	—	4.53

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ittihad FC (away no bet)	62.8%	61.9%	66.8%	0.93×	1.62
Draw (away no bet)	37.2%	38.1%	33.2%	1.15×	2.63

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEOM even goals	54.2%	52.6%	52.4%	1.00×	1.90
NEOM odd goals	45.8%	47.4%	47.6%	1.00×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	83.1%	83.0%	—	—	1.21
Both halves over 1.5 goals	17.0%	17.0%	—	—	5.87

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	67.7%	68.5%	—	—	1.46
Both halves under 1.5 goals	32.3%	31.5%	—	—	3.17

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	58.8%	55.3%	—	—	1.81
Al Ittihad FC to score 2+ in a row	40.1%	38.6%	—	—	2.59
NEOM to score 2+ in a row	25.8%	25.1%	—	—	3.98
Either team to score 3+ in a row	21.7%	19.6%	—	—	5.10
Al Ittihad FC to score 3+ in a row	15.0%	16.2%	—	—	6.18
NEOM to score 3+ in a row	7.0%	5.6%	—	—	17.99

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ittihad FC corners (+3.5)	91.0%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Al Ittihad FC corners (+2.5)	85.3%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Al Ittihad FC corners (+1.5)	77.4%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
NEOM corners (+3.5)	76.7%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
NEOM corners (+2.5)	67.2%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
NEOM corners (+1.5)	56.0%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Al Ittihad FC corners (-1.5)	44.0%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Al Ittihad FC corners (-2.5)	32.8%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Al Ittihad FC corners (-3.5)	23.3%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
NEOM corners (-1.5)	22.6%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
NEOM corners (-2.5)	14.7%	15.5%	—	—	6.44
NEOM corners (-3.5)	9.0%	10.4%	—	—	9.58

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	52.1%	45.3%	—	—	2.21
9-11 corners	28.1%	31.2%	—	—	3.21
12+ corners	19.7%	22.6%	—	—	4.43

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	86.3%	83.1%	—	—	1.20
Under 11.5 corners	80.3%	80.7%	—	—	1.24
Under 10.5 corners	72.5%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 9.5 corners	63.0%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Over 7.5 corners	59.4%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 8.5 corners	52.1%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 8.5 corners	47.9%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Under 7.5 corners	40.6%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Over 9.5 corners	37.0%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 10.5 corners	27.5%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 11.5 corners	19.7%	19.3%	—	—	5.18
Over 12.5 corners	13.7%	16.9%	—	—	5.91

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	12.8%	11.5%	10.7%	1.07×	8.72
2-1	9.4%	7.4%	8.5%	0.88×	13.50
0-0	7.0%	7.4%	5.3%	1.40×	13.51
1-0	7.8%	7.4%	9.2%	0.80×	13.51
1-2	7.0%	7.4%	7.4%	1.00×	13.51
2-0	7.6%	7.4%	6.9%	1.07×	13.51
0-1	5.5%	7.4%	6.8%	1.09×	13.51
2-2	5.8%	7.4%	4.8%	1.53×	13.51
3-1	5.2%	7.4%	5.1%	1.44×	13.51
4-1	2.1%	1.7%	2.4%	0.71×	58.31
4-2	1.3%	1.7%	1.1%	1.62×	58.31
4-3	0.5%	1.7%	0.6%	2.84×	58.32
4-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.3%	5.68×	58.32
Any other score	3.5%	1.7%	5.6%	0.31×	58.30
0-2	4.3%	1.7%	5.4%	0.32×	58.30
0-3	1.8%	1.7%	2.3%	0.76×	58.31
0-4	0.5%	1.7%	1.1%	1.62×	58.32
1-3	2.9%	1.7%	3.9%	0.44×	58.30
1-4	0.9%	1.7%	1.1%	1.62×	58.31
2-3	2.4%	1.7%	3.3%	0.52×	58.31
2-4	0.7%	1.7%	1.2%	1.42×	58.32
3-0	4.2%	1.7%	3.2%	0.54×	58.30
3-2	3.2%	1.7%	3.6%	0.47×	58.30
3-3	1.3%	1.7%	1.1%	1.62×	58.31
3-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.6%	2.84×	58.32
4-0	1.7%	1.7%	2.1%	0.81×	58.31

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ittihad FC (2nd half DNB)	58.5%	59.9%	—	—	1.67
NEOM (2nd half DNB)	41.5%	40.1%	—	—	2.49

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ittihad FC leading at HT (DNB)	61.7%	65.7%	—	—	1.52
NEOM leading at HT (DNB)	38.3%	34.3%	—	—	2.91

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ittihad FC or NEOM (12)	73.0%	72.1%	78.4%	0.92×	1.39
Al Ittihad FC or draw (1X)	72.7%	72.1%	65.0%	1.11×	1.39
NEOM or draw (X2)	54.3%	52.7%	56.5%	0.93×	1.90

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ittihad FC or draw at HT	77.8%	79.3%	—	—	1.26
NEOM or draw at HT	64.2%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
Al Ittihad FC or NEOM at HT	58.0%	57.1%	—	—	1.75

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ittihad FC or draw (1UP)	72.7%	79.7%	—	—	1.26
NEOM or draw (1UP)	54.3%	58.8%	—	—	1.70

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ittihad FC or draw in 2nd half	73.0%	74.1%	—	—	1.35
Al Ittihad FC or NEOM in 2nd half	65.0%	65.6%	—	—	1.52
NEOM or draw in 2nd half	61.9%	64.0%	—	—	1.56

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	60.8%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
Neither half drawn	39.3%	38.6%	—	—	2.59

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ittihad FC (DNB)	62.5%	62.7%	55.4%	1.13×	1.60
NEOM (DNB)	37.5%	37.3%	44.6%	0.84×	2.68

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ittihad FC to score first	53.2%	53.4%	—	—	1.87
NEOM to score first	39.9%	32.9%	—	—	3.04
No goal scored	7.0%	7.4%	—	—	13.44

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	58.7%	55.0%	56.3%	0.98×	1.82
Not both teams to score	41.3%	45.0%	43.7%	1.03×	2.22

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	45.9%	44.3%	45.8%	0.97×	2.26
Not both score & under 2.5	32.2%	34.5%	33.1%	1.04×	2.90
Both score & under 2.5	12.8%	12.4%	10.7%	1.15×	8.09
Not both score & over 2.5	9.1%	8.3%	10.7%	0.77×	12.06

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	82.8%	82.6%	83.5%	0.99×	1.21
Both teams to score 2+	17.2%	17.4%	16.5%	1.06×	5.75

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	67.6%	67.5%	—	—	1.48
Both teams to score in 2nd half	32.4%	32.5%	—	—	3.07

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	53.9%	54.8%	—	—	1.82
Both score 2nd half only	26.0%	27.1%	—	—	3.69
Both score 1st half only	13.7%	10.8%	—	—	9.29
Both score in both halves	6.3%	6.8%	—	—	14.75

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	80.0%	81.1%	—	—	1.23
Both teams to score by HT	20.0%	18.9%	—	—	5.30

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	57.6%	57.3%	—	—	1.75
A half without a goal	42.4%	42.7%	—	—	2.34

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	47.0%	47.2%	43.5%	1.09×	2.12
4-6 goals	29.9%	26.6%	32.9%	0.81×	3.76
0-1 goals	20.4%	22.9%	21.0%	1.09×	4.37
7+ goals	2.8%	1.8%	2.9%	0.64×	54.22

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEOM to score exactly 1	35.9%	35.9%	34.0%	1.06×	2.78
NEOM to score exactly 0	29.1%	27.4%	27.0%	1.01×	3.65
NEOM to score exactly 2	22.2%	22.3%	21.9%	1.02×	4.49
NEOM to score 3+	12.8%	12.9%	17.4%	0.74×	7.76

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ittihad FC to score exactly 1	31.7%	32.5%	32.5%	1.00×	3.07
Al Ittihad FC to score exactly 2	26.1%	26.5%	24.8%	1.07×	3.77
Al Ittihad FC to score 3+	22.9%	23.3%	21.1%	1.10×	4.29
Al Ittihad FC to score exactly 0	19.2%	18.8%	21.9%	0.86×	5.33

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	42.0%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Al Ittihad FC leading at HT	35.8%	38.6%	—	—	2.59
NEOM leading at HT	22.2%	20.7%	—	—	4.83

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ittihad FC -1: 2	54.3%	52.2%	—	—	1.92
Al Ittihad FC -1: 1	24.6%	23.5%	—	—	4.25
Al Ittihad FC -1: X	21.0%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEOM (0:1)	54.3%	51.3%	56.5%	0.91×	1.95
Al Ittihad FC (0:1)	24.6%	24.2%	22.2%	1.09×	4.13
Draw (0:1)	21.0%	24.2%	21.5%	1.13×	4.13

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEOM (0:2)	75.4%	79.3%	77.8%	1.02×	1.26
Draw (0:2)	14.3%	11.0%	12.8%	0.86×	9.09
Al Ittihad FC (0:2)	10.4%	11.0%	9.5%	1.15×	9.11

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEOM (0:3)	89.6%	90.7%	90.5%	1.00×	1.10
Draw (0:3)	6.8%	5.8%	5.6%	1.04×	17.22
Al Ittihad FC (0:3)	3.6%	2.4%	4.1%	0.58×	42.05

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEOM (0:4)	96.4%	98.1%	95.9%	1.02×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	2.5%	1.2%	2.9%	0.43×	81.82
Al Ittihad FC (0:4)	1.0%	1.2%	1.4%	0.90×	81.99

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ittihad FC (1:0)	72.7%	72.4%	65.0%	1.11×	1.38
Draw (1:0)	15.4%	17.1%	17.7%	0.97×	5.85
NEOM (1:0)	11.9%	12.7%	17.5%	0.72×	7.88

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ittihad FC (2:0)	88.1%	88.5%	82.5%	1.07×	1.13
Draw (2:0)	8.0%	6.4%	10.6%	0.60×	15.68
NEOM (2:0)	3.9%	2.3%	7.1%	0.32×	43.59

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	47.4%	48.7%	—	—	2.05
1st half highest scoring	26.5%	26.2%	—	—	3.82
Halves equal	26.1%	26.2%	—	—	3.82

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ittihad FC to concede	70.9%	73.1%	73.0%	1.00×	1.37
Al Ittihad FC clean sheet	29.1%	26.9%	27.0%	0.99×	3.72

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ittihad FC clean sheet in 1st half	61.0%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Al Ittihad FC to concede in 1st half	39.0%	36.8%	—	—	2.72

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ittihad FC to concede in 2nd half	52.4%	52.5%	—	—	1.90
Al Ittihad FC clean sheet in 2nd half	47.6%	47.5%	—	—	2.11

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ittihad FC over 2.5 corners	80.5%	80.9%	—	—	1.24
Al Ittihad FC under 6.5 corners	75.7%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Al Ittihad FC over 3.5 corners	65.8%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Al Ittihad FC under 5.5 corners	64.0%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Al Ittihad FC over 4.5 corners	50.2%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Al Ittihad FC under 4.5 corners	49.8%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Al Ittihad FC over 5.5 corners	36.0%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Al Ittihad FC under 3.5 corners	34.2%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Al Ittihad FC over 6.5 corners	24.3%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Al Ittihad FC under 2.5 corners	19.5%	19.1%	—	—	5.25

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ittihad FC under 3.5 goals	91.4%	92.2%	92.0%	1.00×	1.08
Al Ittihad FC over 0.5 goals	80.8%	82.2%	78.1%	1.05×	1.22
Al Ittihad FC under 2.5 goals	77.1%	77.7%	78.9%	0.99×	1.29
Al Ittihad FC under 1.5 goals	51.0%	53.2%	54.2%	0.98×	1.88
Al Ittihad FC over 1.5 goals	49.0%	46.8%	45.8%	1.02×	2.14
Al Ittihad FC over 2.5 goals	22.9%	22.3%	21.1%	1.05×	4.49
Al Ittihad FC under 0.5 goals	19.2%	17.8%	21.9%	0.81×	5.62
Al Ittihad FC over 3.5 goals	8.6%	7.8%	8.0%	0.97×	12.87

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ittihad FC under 1.5 in 1st half	84.1%	84.1%	—	—	1.19
Al Ittihad FC over 0.5 in 1st half	50.8%	50.4%	—	—	1.98
Al Ittihad FC under 0.5 in 1st half	49.2%	49.6%	—	—	2.02
Al Ittihad FC over 1.5 in 1st half	15.9%	15.9%	—	—	6.27

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ittihad FC scores more in 2nd half	39.3%	37.8%	—	—	2.65
Al Ittihad FC scores equally in both	34.4%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
Al Ittihad FC scores more in 1st half	26.3%	27.7%	—	—	3.61

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEOM (home no bet)	50.3%	51.3%	61.9%	0.83×	1.95
Draw (home no bet)	49.7%	48.7%	38.1%	1.28×	2.06

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ittihad FC even goals	51.9%	50.7%	52.7%	0.96×	1.97
Al Ittihad FC odd goals	48.1%	49.3%	47.3%	1.04×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	30.3%	33.0%	—	—	3.03
HT 1-0	21.0%	24.3%	—	—	4.11
HT 0-1	14.6%	11.0%	—	—	9.09
HT 1-1	10.8%	11.0%	—	—	9.13
HT 2-0	7.5%	6.9%	—	—	14.47
Any other HT score	4.9%	2.4%	—	—	41.98
HT 0-2	3.7%	2.4%	—	—	42.06
HT 2-1	3.7%	2.4%	—	—	42.05
HT 1-2	2.6%	2.4%	—	—	42.13
HT 2-2	0.9%	2.4%	—	—	42.24

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ittihad FC at HT / Al Ittihad FC at FT	27.8%	27.4%	—	—	3.65
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	16.2%	16.7%	—	—	5.98
Draw at HT / Al Ittihad FC at FT	15.2%	16.7%	—	—	5.98
NEOM at HT / NEOM at FT	14.5%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Draw at HT / NEOM at FT	10.6%	12.6%	—	—	7.91
Al Ittihad FC at HT / Draw at FT	5.8%	6.0%	—	—	16.66
NEOM at HT / Draw at FT	5.0%	6.0%	—	—	16.68
NEOM at HT / Al Ittihad FC at FT	2.7%	3.5%	—	—	28.69
Al Ittihad FC at HT / NEOM at FT	2.2%	3.5%	—	—	28.71

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ittihad FC to score last	53.3%	52.2%	—	—	1.92
NEOM to score last	39.8%	38.9%	—	—	2.57
No goal scored	7.0%	7.4%	—	—	13.44

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	93.0%	92.7%	—	—	1.08
Al Ittihad FC to lead by 1 at any time	62.2%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	49.1%	44.6%	—	—	2.24
NEOM to lead by 1 at any time	46.5%	44.5%	—	—	2.25
Al Ittihad FC to lead by 2 at any time	31.6%	29.8%	—	—	3.35
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	18.3%	14.9%	—	—	6.69
NEOM to lead by 2 at any time	17.8%	14.9%	—	—	6.69
Al Ittihad FC to lead by 3 at any time	12.8%	10.5%	—	—	9.55
NEOM to lead by 3 at any time	5.4%	6.7%	—	—	15.00

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ittihad FC most corners	55.9%	55.7%	—	—	1.80
NEOM most corners	32.6%	34.3%	—	—	2.91
Corners level	11.5%	10.4%	—	—	9.58

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	85.8%	87.4%	87.2%	1.00×	1.14
2-6 goals	76.9%	78.7%	76.3%	1.03×	1.27
1-4 goals	76.5%	78.7%	75.5%	1.04×	1.27
2-5 goals	72.4%	72.4%	71.5%	1.01×	1.38
2-4 goals	63.1%	63.3%	59.8%	1.06×	1.58
1-3 goals	60.4%	63.3%	59.2%	1.07×	1.58
3-6 goals	52.2%	53.2%	53.6%	0.99×	1.88
3-5 goals	47.8%	48.5%	48.8%	0.99×	2.06
2-3 goals	47.0%	48.5%	43.5%	1.11×	2.06
3-4 goals	38.5%	39.2%	37.2%	1.06×	2.55
1-2 goals	38.0%	39.2%	38.5%	1.02×	2.55
4-6 goals	29.9%	30.2%	32.9%	0.92×	3.31
4-5 goals	25.4%	30.2%	28.1%	1.08×	3.31
5-6 goals	13.8%	14.8%	16.6%	0.89×	6.75
7+ goals	2.8%	2.6%	2.9%	0.89×	39.10

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ittihad FC never behind	46.5%	56.6%	—	—	1.77
NEOM never behind	30.8%	36.1%	—	—	2.77

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	47.1%	50.9%	50.3%	1.01×	1.96
Even number of goals	52.9%	49.1%	49.7%	0.99×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	55.0%	51.6%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	45.0%	48.4%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.7%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half	47.3%	48.1%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	93.0%	92.3%	94.7%	0.97×	1.08
Under 5.5 goals	92.7%	92.3%	92.3%	1.00×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	83.4%	82.3%	80.7%	1.02×	1.22
Over 1.5 goals	79.6%	77.3%	79.0%	0.98×	1.29
Under 3.5 goals	67.3%	66.3%	64.4%	1.03×	1.51
Over 2.5 goals	55.0%	58.6%	56.3%	1.04×	1.71
Under 2.5 goals	45.0%	41.4%	43.7%	0.95×	2.42
Over 3.5 goals	32.7%	33.7%	35.7%	0.95×	2.97
Under 1.5 goals	20.4%	22.7%	21.0%	1.08×	4.41
Over 4.5 goals	16.6%	17.7%	19.3%	0.92×	5.65
Over 5.5 goals	7.3%	7.7%	7.7%	1.00×	12.94
Under 0.5 goals	7.0%	7.7%	5.3%	1.46×	12.94

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	97.1%	97.2%	97.0%	1.00×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	92.0%	92.4%	91.3%	1.01×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	80.3%	81.1%	76.9%	1.05×	1.23
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	73.0%	72.4%	72.9%	0.99×	1.38
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	57.9%	55.8%	55.0%	1.01×	1.79
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	42.1%	44.2%	45.0%	0.98×	2.26
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	27.0%	27.6%	27.1%	1.02×	3.62
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	19.7%	18.9%	23.1%	0.82×	5.29
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	8.0%	7.6%	8.7%	0.87×	13.15
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	2.9%	2.8%	3.0%	0.93×	35.57

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	87.9%	89.2%	—	—	1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half	69.7%	68.6%	—	—	1.46
Under 1.5 in 1st half	65.9%	68.5%	—	—	1.46
Over 1.5 in 1st half	34.1%	31.5%	—	—	3.18
Under 0.5 in 1st half	30.3%	31.4%	—	—	3.19
Over 2.5 in 1st half	12.1%	10.8%	—	—	9.25

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	80.9%	83.2%	—	—	1.20
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	76.2%	79.1%	—	—	1.26
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	50.5%	52.9%	—	—	1.89
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	49.5%	47.1%	—	—	2.13
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	23.8%	20.9%	—	—	4.78
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	19.1%	16.8%	—	—	5.95

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEOM not to score in both halves	79.6%	78.6%	—	—	1.27
Al Ittihad FC not to score in both halves	69.1%	70.0%	—	—	1.43
Al Ittihad FC to score in both halves	30.9%	30.0%	—	—	3.33
NEOM to score in both halves	20.4%	21.4%	—	—	4.67

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	58.7%	58.7%	56.3%	1.04×	1.71
Only Al Ittihad FC scores	22.1%	22.2%	21.9%	1.02×	4.50
Only NEOM scores	12.3%	11.0%	16.8%	0.66×	9.06
Neither team scores	7.0%	7.1%	5.3%	1.35×	14.04

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	24.6%	22.6%	22.8%	0.99×	4.43
Exactly 3 goals	22.4%	22.6%	20.8%	1.08×	4.43
Exactly 4 goals	16.1%	17.5%	16.5%	1.06×	5.73
Exactly 1 goals	13.4%	12.1%	15.9%	0.76×	8.25
Exactly 5 goals	9.3%	7.6%	11.8%	0.65×	13.13
Exactly 0 goals	7.0%	7.6%	5.3%	1.44×	13.14
6 or more goals	7.3%	7.6%	7.7%	0.99×	13.14

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	35.7%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
No goals in 1st half	30.3%	35.7%	—	—	2.80
2 goals in 1st half	22.0%	21.5%	—	—	4.66
3+ goals in 1st half	12.1%	10.7%	—	—	9.32

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	50.5%	51.0%	—	—	1.96
1 goal in 2nd half	30.4%	33.8%	—	—	2.96
No goals in 2nd half	19.1%	16.5%	—	—	6.06

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEOM not to win both halves	93.8%	94.1%	—	—	1.06
Al Ittihad FC not to win both halves	86.1%	87.9%	—	—	1.14
Al Ittihad FC to win both halves	13.9%	12.1%	—	—	8.27
NEOM to win both halves	6.2%	5.9%	—	—	17.07

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ittihad FC to win either half	60.0%	59.2%	—	—	1.69
NEOM to win neither half	57.0%	59.1%	—	—	1.69
NEOM to win either half	43.0%	40.9%	—	—	2.45
Al Ittihad FC to win neither half	40.0%	40.8%	—	—	2.45

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEOM not to win to nil	87.7%	88.1%	83.2%	1.06×	1.14
Al Ittihad FC not to win to nil	77.9%	78.1%	78.1%	1.00×	1.28
Al Ittihad FC to win to nil	22.1%	21.9%	21.9%	1.00×	4.57
NEOM to win to nil	12.3%	11.9%	16.8%	0.71×	8.41

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	27.0%	27.9%	21.6%	1.29×	3.59
Al Ittihad FC by 1	21.0%	24.1%	21.5%	1.12×	4.15
NEOM by 1	15.4%	17.0%	17.7%	0.96×	5.87
Al Ittihad FC by 2	14.3%	11.8%	12.8%	0.92×	8.50
Al Ittihad FC by 3+	10.4%	11.7%	9.5%	1.23×	8.51
NEOM by 2	8.0%	7.2%	10.6%	0.68×	13.91
NEOM by 3+	3.9%	2.7%	7.1%	0.38×	36.78