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Al Kholood v Al Khaleej — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Thursday 5 November 2026 · KSA-Pro League · 2627

KSA-Pro League results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily
Al Kholood win
44.2%
model 44.2%
Draw
27.9%
model 27.5%
Al Khaleej win
27.9%
model 28.3%

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (624 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

  1. 1-1 13.0%
  2. 2-1 9.3%
  3. 1-0 8.0%
  4. 2-0 7.5%
  5. 0-0 7.3%

Goals

Over 2.553.7% Under 2.546.3%
BTTS yes57.9% BTTS no42.1%
Al Kholood 1+79.6% Al Kholood 2+47.2%
Al Khaleej 1+71.0% Al Khaleej 2+35.1%

Expected goals 1.59 – 1.24. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence
80/100
Data quality
65/100
Model agreement
99%
★ Best pick
Al Kholood or draw (1X)
Double chance · usually 65%
72.6% fair odds 1.38
moderate signal · 1941 settled matches behind the band
★ Most likely to land
Under 12.5 corners
Corners O/U
83.1% fair odds 1.20
moderate signal · 4334 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

  • Al Kholood carry the stronger rating, 1483 Elo against 1374.
  • Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

  • No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.
Why the model thinks this

The price

Al Kholood have an estimated 44.2% win probability, against 27.9% for Al Khaleej and 27.9% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.59 for Al Kholood and 1.24 for Al Khaleej.

Why Al Kholood

Al Kholood carry the stronger rating, 1483 Elo against 1374. Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 27.9%. Draws run at 22% in this competition.

Why Al Khaleej can win

Nothing in the data singles out Al Khaleej.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Al Kholood, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Al Khaleej, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Al Kholood: 33% possession, 7.0 shots a match, 10.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Al Khaleej: 41% possession, 7.6 shots a match, 12.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-22 14:54 · team_stats 2026-10-20 06:04 · availability 2026-10-22 14:58 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Al Kholood are the model's most likely outcome at 44.2%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 13.0%. Confidence 80/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
ai-blend 1.59–1.24 0% 0% 0%
dc-xg 1.71–1.33 1-1 12% 59% 62%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Al Kholood to win 45.0% 43.0% 43.5% 0.99× 2.33
Al Khaleej to win 28.7% 27.9% 35.0% 0.80× 3.58
Draw 26.3% 27.9% 21.6% 1.29× 3.59
1X2 & GG/NG 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Al Kholood & both teams score 24.7% 21.8% 21.8% 1.00× 4.58
Al Kholood & not both score 20.3% 21.8% 21.9% 1.00× 4.59
Draw & both teams score 20.2% 21.8% 16.5% 1.32× 4.59
Al Khaleej & both teams score 16.7% 18.0% 18.4% 0.97× 5.57
Al Khaleej & not both score 12.1% 13.3% 16.8% 0.79× 7.54
Draw & not both score 6.1% 8.3% 5.3% 1.57× 12.02
1X2 & Over/Under 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Al Kholood & over 1.5 38.1% 34.9% 34.4% 1.01× 2.87
Al Kholood & over 2.5 31.1% 30.8% 27.6% 1.11× 3.25
Al Kholood & under 3.5 27.1% 26.1% 27.3% 0.95× 3.84
Al Khaleej & over 1.5 23.7% 21.6% 28.4% 0.76× 4.63
Draw & over 1.5 20.2% 21.6% 16.5% 1.31× 4.63
Al Khaleej & over 2.5 19.4% 18.0% 23.1% 0.78× 5.56
Al Kholood & over 3.5 17.9% 18.0% 16.3% 1.10× 5.56
Draw & under 2.5 18.3% 18.0% 15.9% 1.13× 5.56
Draw & under 3.5 18.3% 18.0% 15.9% 1.13× 5.56
Al Khaleej & under 3.5 18.5% 18.0% 21.5% 0.84× 5.56
Al Kholood & under 2.5 13.8% 12.8% 16.0% 0.80× 7.79
Al Khaleej & over 3.5 10.3% 12.8% 13.7% 0.93× 7.79
Al Khaleej & under 2.5 9.3% 7.9% 12.1% 0.66× 12.63
Draw & over 2.5 8.0% 7.9% 5.9% 1.34× 12.63
Draw & over 3.5 8.0% 7.9% 5.9% 1.34× 12.63
Al Kholood & under 1.5 6.9% 7.9% 9.2% 0.86× 12.63
Draw & under 1.5 6.1% 7.9% 5.3% 1.50× 12.63
Al Khaleej & under 1.5 5.1% 7.9% 6.8% 1.16× 12.63
1X2 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Al Kholood (1UP) 62.4% 62.8% — — 1.59
Al Khaleej (1UP) 48.6% 44.0% — — 2.27
1X2 2UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Al Kholood (2UP) 45.0% 47.3% — — 2.11
Al Khaleej (2UP) 28.7% 25.3% — — 3.95
2nd half 1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Al Kholood to win 2nd half 37.8% 36.1% — — 2.77
2nd half drawn 33.9% 34.3% — — 2.91
Al Khaleej to win 2nd half 28.3% 25.8% — — 3.88
2nd half away goals O/U 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Al Khaleej under 1.5 in 2nd half 80.9% 84.3% — — 1.19
Al Khaleej over 0.5 in 2nd half 55.1% 54.4% — — 1.84
Al Khaleej under 0.5 in 2nd half 44.9% 45.6% — — 2.20
Al Khaleej over 1.5 in 2nd half 19.1% 15.7% — — 6.35
2nd half home goals O/U 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Al Kholood under 1.5 in 2nd half 74.6% 74.1% — — 1.35
Al Kholood over 0.5 in 2nd half 62.2% 63.2% — — 1.58
Al Kholood under 0.5 in 2nd half 37.8% 36.8% — — 2.72
Al Kholood over 1.5 in 2nd half 25.4% 25.9% — — 3.86
Asian handicap 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Al Khaleej (+2.5) 89.5% 88.5% 90.5% 0.98× 1.13
Al Khaleej (+1.5) 75.5% 78.5% 77.8% 1.01× 1.27
Al Kholood (+0.5) 71.3% 73.6% 65.0% 1.13× 1.36
Al Khaleej (+0.5) 55.0% 57.0% 56.5% 1.01× 1.75
Al Kholood (-0.5) 45.0% 43.0% 43.5% 0.99× 2.33
Al Khaleej (-0.5) 28.7% 26.4% 35.0% 0.75× 3.79
Al Kholood (-1.5) 24.5% 21.5% 22.2% 0.97× 4.65
Al Kholood (-2.5) 10.5% 11.5% 9.5% 1.21× 8.68
Away clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Al Khaleej to concede 81.8% 81.5% 78.1% 1.04× 1.23
Al Khaleej clean sheet 18.2% 18.5% 21.9% 0.84× 5.41
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Al Khaleej to concede in 1st half 52.0% 50.5% — — 1.98
Al Khaleej clean sheet in 1st half 48.0% 49.5% — — 2.02
Away clean sheet 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Al Khaleej to concede in 2nd half 62.2% 61.7% — — 1.62
Al Khaleej clean sheet in 2nd half 37.8% 38.3% — — 2.61
Away corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Al Khaleej under 6.5 corners 80.6% 81.4% — — 1.23
Al Khaleej over 2.5 corners 76.5% 76.0% — — 1.32
Al Khaleej under 5.5 corners 69.9% 67.6% — — 1.48
Al Khaleej over 3.5 corners 60.3% 61.8% — — 1.62
Al Khaleej under 4.5 corners 55.9% 57.2% — — 1.75
Al Khaleej over 4.5 corners 44.1% 42.8% — — 2.33
Al Khaleej under 3.5 corners 39.7% 38.2% — — 2.62
Al Khaleej over 5.5 corners 30.1% 32.4% — — 3.09
Al Khaleej under 2.5 corners 23.5% 24.0% — — 4.17
Al Khaleej over 6.5 corners 19.4% 18.6% — — 5.38
Away goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Al Khaleej under 3.5 goals 95.4% 97.5% 93.1% 1.05× 1.03
Al Khaleej under 2.5 goals 84.9% 81.5% 82.6% 0.99× 1.23
Al Khaleej over 0.5 goals 73.6% 71.9% 73.0% 0.99× 1.39
Al Khaleej under 1.5 goals 61.5% 63.2% 60.9% 1.04× 1.58
Al Khaleej over 1.5 goals 38.5% 36.8% 39.1% 0.94× 2.72
Al Khaleej under 0.5 goals 26.4% 28.1% 27.0% 1.04× 3.56
Al Khaleej over 2.5 goals 15.1% 18.5% 17.4% 1.07× 5.40
Al Khaleej over 3.5 goals 4.6% 2.5% 6.9% 0.36× 39.80
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Al Khaleej under 1.5 in 1st half 90.0% 89.4% — — 1.12
Al Khaleej under 0.5 in 1st half 58.7% 62.0% — — 1.61
Al Khaleej over 0.5 in 1st half 41.3% 38.0% — — 2.63
Al Khaleej over 1.5 in 1st half 10.0% 10.6% — — 9.46
Away highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Al Khaleej scores equally in both 38.9% 37.4% — — 2.68
Al Khaleej scores more in 2nd half 38.7% 37.4% — — 2.68
Al Khaleej scores more in 1st half 22.4% 22.0% — — 4.55
Away no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Al Kholood (away no bet) 63.1% 61.9% 66.8% 0.93× 1.62
Draw (away no bet) 36.9% 38.1% 33.2% 1.15× 2.63
Away Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Al Khaleej even goals 53.5% 52.6% 52.4% 1.00× 1.90
Al Khaleej odd goals 46.5% 47.4% 47.6% 1.00× 2.11
Both halves O1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves over 1.5 80.9% 82.6% — — 1.21
Both halves over 1.5 goals 19.1% 17.4% — — 5.76
Both halves U1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves under 1.5 70.6% 67.2% — — 1.49
Both halves under 1.5 goals 29.4% 32.8% — — 3.05
Consecutive goals 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row 61.4% 60.1% — — 1.67
Al Kholood to score 2+ in a row 41.3% 38.7% — — 2.58
Al Khaleej to score 2+ in a row 28.4% 25.2% — — 3.96
Either team to score 3+ in a row 23.4% 19.7% — — 5.09
Al Kholood to score 3+ in a row 15.7% 16.2% — — 6.17
Al Khaleej to score 3+ in a row 8.2% 5.6% — — 17.89
Corner handicap 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Al Khaleej corners (+3.5) 87.2% 84.5% — — 1.18
Al Kholood corners (+3.5) 82.6% 79.8% — — 1.25
Al Khaleej corners (+2.5) 80.1% 79.8% — — 1.25
Al Kholood corners (+2.5) 74.3% 70.8% — — 1.41
Al Khaleej corners (+1.5) 70.8% 70.7% — — 1.41
Al Kholood corners (+1.5) 63.9% 61.8% — — 1.62
Al Khaleej corners (-1.5) 36.1% 38.2% — — 2.62
Al Kholood corners (-1.5) 29.2% 29.3% — — 3.42
Al Khaleej corners (-2.5) 25.7% 29.2% — — 3.42
Al Kholood corners (-2.5) 19.9% 20.2% — — 4.94
Al Khaleej corners (-3.5) 17.4% 20.2% — — 4.94
Al Kholood corners (-3.5) 12.8% 15.5% — — 6.45
Corner range 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
0-8 corners 53.0% 45.3% — — 2.21
9-11 corners 27.9% 31.2% — — 3.21
12+ corners 19.1% 22.6% — — 4.43
Corners O/U 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 12.5 corners 86.9% 83.1% — — 1.20
Under 11.5 corners 80.9% 80.7% — — 1.24
Under 10.5 corners 73.2% 72.5% — — 1.38
Under 9.5 corners 63.8% 63.2% — — 1.58
Over 7.5 corners 58.7% 57.9% — — 1.73
Under 8.5 corners 53.0% 53.2% — — 1.88
Over 8.5 corners 47.0% 46.8% — — 2.14
Under 7.5 corners 41.3% 42.1% — — 2.37
Over 9.5 corners 36.2% 36.8% — — 2.72
Over 10.5 corners 26.8% 27.5% — — 3.64
Over 11.5 corners 19.1% 19.3% — — 5.17
Over 12.5 corners 13.1% 16.9% — — 5.91
Corners Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of corners 50.0% 50.1% — — 2.00
Even number of corners 50.0% 49.9% — — 2.01
Correct score 26
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-1 12.2% 11.5% 10.7% 1.07× 8.72
2-1 9.3% 7.4% 8.5% 0.88× 13.50
1-0 6.9% 7.4% 9.2% 0.80× 13.51
1-2 7.3% 7.4% 7.4% 1.00× 13.51
2-0 7.0% 7.4% 6.9% 1.07× 13.51
0-0 6.1% 7.4% 5.3% 1.40× 13.51
0-1 5.1% 7.4% 6.8% 1.09× 13.51
2-2 6.2% 7.4% 4.8% 1.53× 13.51
3-1 5.3% 7.4% 5.1% 1.44× 13.51
0-2 4.3% 1.7% 5.4% 0.32× 58.30
0-3 1.9% 1.7% 2.3% 0.76× 58.31
0-4 0.6% 1.7% 1.1% 1.62× 58.32
1-3 3.2% 1.7% 3.9% 0.44× 58.30
1-4 1.1% 1.7% 1.1% 1.62× 58.31
2-3 2.8% 1.7% 3.3% 0.52× 58.30
2-4 0.9% 1.7% 1.2% 1.42× 58.31
3-0 4.0% 1.7% 3.2% 0.54× 58.30
3-2 3.5% 1.7% 3.6% 0.47× 58.30
3-3 1.6% 1.7% 1.1% 1.62× 58.31
3-4 0.5% 1.7% 0.6% 2.84× 58.32
4-0 1.7% 1.7% 2.1% 0.81× 58.31
4-1 2.3% 1.7% 2.4% 0.71× 58.31
4-2 1.5% 1.7% 1.1% 1.62× 58.31
4-3 0.7% 1.7% 0.6% 2.84× 58.32
4-4 0.2% 1.7% 0.3% 5.68× 58.32
Any other score 4.1% 1.7% 5.6% 0.31× 58.30
DNB 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Al Kholood (2nd half DNB) 57.2% 59.5% — — 1.68
Al Khaleej (2nd half DNB) 42.8% 40.5% — — 2.47
DNB half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Al Kholood leading at HT (DNB) 60.5% 65.4% — — 1.53
Al Khaleej leading at HT (DNB) 39.5% 34.6% — — 2.89
Double chance 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Al Kholood or Al Khaleej (12) 73.7% 72.1% 78.4% 0.92× 1.39
Al Kholood or draw (1X) 71.3% 72.1% 65.0% 1.11× 1.39
Al Khaleej or draw (X2) 55.0% 57.0% 56.5% 1.01× 1.75
Double chance 1HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Al Kholood or draw at HT 76.6% 79.0% — — 1.27
Al Khaleej or draw at HT 64.2% 61.6% — — 1.62
Al Kholood or Al Khaleej at HT 59.2% 57.2% — — 1.75
Double chance 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Al Kholood or draw (1UP) 71.3% 79.6% — — 1.26
Al Khaleej or draw (1UP) 55.0% 62.8% — — 1.59
Double chance 2HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Al Kholood or draw in 2nd half 71.7% 74.2% — — 1.35
Al Kholood or Al Khaleej in 2nd half 66.1% 65.7% — — 1.52
Al Khaleej or draw in 2nd half 62.2% 63.9% — — 1.57
Draw either half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half drawn 59.4% 58.5% — — 1.71
Neither half drawn 40.6% 41.5% — — 2.41
Draw no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Al Kholood (DNB) 61.0% 62.7% 55.4% 1.13× 1.60
Al Khaleej (DNB) 39.0% 37.3% 44.6% 0.84× 2.68
First goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Al Kholood to score first 52.7% 53.4% — — 1.87
Al Khaleej to score first 41.2% 41.6% — — 2.40
No goal scored 6.1% 7.4% — — 13.49
GG/NG 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams to score 61.6% 56.6% 56.3% 1.00× 1.77
Not both teams to score 38.4% 43.4% 43.7% 0.99× 2.31
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both score & over 2.5 49.4% 44.4% 45.8% 0.97× 2.25
Not both score & under 2.5 29.3% 33.4% 33.1% 1.01× 3.00
Both score & under 2.5 12.2% 12.4% 10.7% 1.15× 8.09
Not both score & over 2.5 9.2% 8.3% 10.7% 0.77× 12.06
GG/NG 2+ 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 2+ 80.4% 82.6% 83.5% 0.99× 1.21
Both teams to score 2+ 19.6% 17.4% 16.5% 1.06× 5.73
GG/NG 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half 65.3% 67.2% — — 1.49
Both teams to score in 2nd half 34.7% 32.8% — — 3.05
GG/NG by half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Neither half both score 51.0% 54.7% — — 1.83
Both score 2nd half only 27.3% 27.4% — — 3.65
Both score 1st half only 14.4% 10.7% — — 9.33
Both score in both halves 7.4% 6.8% — — 14.69
GG/NG half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score by HT 78.3% 81.2% — — 1.23
Both teams to score by HT 21.7% 18.8% — — 5.33
Goal in both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A goal in each half 60.3% 59.6% — — 1.68
A half without a goal 39.7% 40.4% — — 2.48
Goal range 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2-3 goals 45.8% 47.2% 43.5% 1.08× 2.12
4-6 goals 32.6% 30.7% 32.9% 0.93× 3.25
0-1 goals 18.0% 20.2% 21.0% 0.96× 4.94
7+ goals 3.5% 1.8% 2.9% 0.64× 54.15
Goals away 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Al Khaleej to score exactly 1 35.2% 35.9% 34.0% 1.06× 2.78
Al Khaleej to score exactly 0 26.4% 27.4% 27.0% 1.01× 3.66
Al Khaleej to score exactly 2 23.4% 22.3% 21.9% 1.02× 4.48
Al Khaleej to score 3+ 15.1% 19.6% 17.4% 1.13× 5.11
Goals home 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Al Kholood to score exactly 1 31.0% 32.5% 32.5% 1.00× 3.07
Al Kholood to score exactly 2 26.4% 26.5% 24.8% 1.07× 3.77
Al Kholood to score 3+ 24.4% 23.3% 21.1% 1.10× 4.29
Al Kholood to score exactly 0 18.2% 18.8% 21.9% 0.86× 5.33
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw at HT 40.8% 42.8% — — 2.34
Al Kholood leading at HT 35.8% 38.4% — — 2.61
Al Khaleej leading at HT 23.4% 21.0% — — 4.77
Handicap 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Al Kholood -1: 2 55.0% 56.7% — — 1.76
Al Kholood -1: 1 24.5% 23.5% — — 4.25
Al Kholood -1: X 20.4% 23.5% — — 4.26
Handicap 0:1 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Al Khaleej (0:1) 55.0% 55.8% 56.5% 0.99× 1.79
Al Kholood (0:1) 24.5% 24.2% 22.2% 1.09× 4.13
Draw (0:1) 20.4% 24.2% 21.5% 1.13× 4.13
Handicap 0:2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Al Khaleej (0:2) 75.5% 79.3% 77.8% 1.02× 1.26
Draw (0:2) 14.0% 11.0% 12.8% 0.86× 9.09
Al Kholood (0:2) 10.5% 11.0% 9.5% 1.15× 9.11
Handicap 0:3 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Al Khaleej (0:3) 89.5% 90.7% 90.5% 1.00× 1.10
Draw (0:3) 6.8% 5.8% 5.6% 1.04× 17.22
Al Kholood (0:3) 3.7% 2.4% 4.1% 0.58× 42.03
Handicap 0:4 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Al Khaleej (0:4) 96.3% 98.1% 95.9% 1.02× 1.02
Draw (0:4) 2.6% 1.2% 2.9% 0.43× 81.81
Al Kholood (0:4) 1.1% 1.2% 1.4% 0.90× 81.98
Handicap 1:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Al Kholood (1:0) 71.3% 72.4% 65.0% 1.11× 1.38
Draw (1:0) 15.7% 17.1% 17.7% 0.97× 5.85
Al Khaleej (1:0) 13.1% 12.7% 17.5% 0.73× 7.87
Handicap 2:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Al Kholood (2:0) 86.9% 88.5% 82.5% 1.07× 1.13
Draw (2:0) 8.5% 6.4% 10.6% 0.60× 15.67
Al Khaleej (2:0) 4.5% 2.3% 7.1% 0.32× 43.55
Highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 48.2% 48.8% — — 2.05
1st half highest scoring 26.5% 26.2% — — 3.82
Halves equal 25.3% 26.2% — — 3.82
Home clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Al Kholood to concede 73.6% 73.2% 73.0% 1.00× 1.37
Al Kholood clean sheet 26.4% 26.8% 27.0% 0.99× 3.73
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Al Kholood clean sheet in 1st half 58.7% 62.0% — — 1.61
Al Kholood to concede in 1st half 41.3% 38.0% — — 2.63
Home clean sheet 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Al Kholood to concede in 2nd half 55.1% 54.7% — — 1.83
Al Kholood clean sheet in 2nd half 44.9% 45.3% — — 2.21
Home corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Al Kholood under 6.5 corners 84.5% 81.0% — — 1.24
Al Kholood under 5.5 corners 74.7% 71.9% — — 1.39
Al Kholood over 2.5 corners 72.6% 71.8% — — 1.39
Al Kholood under 4.5 corners 61.3% 62.3% — — 1.61
Al Kholood over 3.5 corners 55.2% 57.5% — — 1.74
Al Kholood under 3.5 corners 44.8% 42.5% — — 2.35
Al Kholood over 4.5 corners 38.7% 37.7% — — 2.65
Al Kholood under 2.5 corners 27.4% 28.2% — — 3.55
Al Kholood over 5.5 corners 25.3% 28.1% — — 3.55
Al Kholood over 6.5 corners 15.5% 19.0% — — 5.25
Home goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Al Kholood under 3.5 goals 90.6% 92.2% 92.0% 1.00× 1.08
Al Kholood over 0.5 goals 81.8% 82.2% 78.1% 1.05× 1.22
Al Kholood under 2.5 goals 75.6% 77.7% 78.9% 0.99× 1.29
Al Kholood over 1.5 goals 50.9% 53.2% 45.8% 1.16× 1.88
Al Kholood under 1.5 goals 49.1% 46.8% 54.2% 0.86× 2.14
Al Kholood over 2.5 goals 24.4% 22.3% 21.1% 1.05× 4.49
Al Kholood under 0.5 goals 18.2% 17.8% 21.9% 0.81× 5.62
Al Kholood over 3.5 goals 9.4% 7.8% 8.0% 0.97× 12.86
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Al Kholood under 1.5 in 1st half 83.2% 83.8% — — 1.19
Al Kholood over 0.5 in 1st half 52.0% 50.3% — — 1.99
Al Kholood under 0.5 in 1st half 48.0% 49.7% — — 2.01
Al Kholood over 1.5 in 1st half 16.8% 16.2% — — 6.16
Home highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Al Kholood scores more in 2nd half 39.8% 38.0% — — 2.63
Al Kholood scores equally in both 33.6% 33.0% — — 3.03
Al Kholood scores more in 1st half 26.5% 27.8% — — 3.60
Home no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Al Khaleej (home no bet) 52.2% 51.4% 61.9% 0.83× 1.95
Draw (home no bet) 47.8% 48.6% 38.1% 1.28× 2.06
Home Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Al Kholood even goals 51.7% 50.7% 52.7% 0.96× 1.97
Al Kholood odd goals 48.4% 49.3% 47.3% 1.04× 2.03
HT correct score 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
HT 0-0 28.4% 28.0% — — 3.57
HT 1-0 20.4% 24.4% — — 4.10
HT 0-1 14.8% 11.0% — — 9.05
HT 1-1 11.2% 11.0% — — 9.09
HT 2-0 7.6% 6.9% — — 14.48
Any other HT score 5.5% 6.9% — — 14.52
HT 0-2 4.0% 2.4% — — 42.02
HT 2-1 4.0% 2.4% — — 42.01
HT 1-2 2.9% 2.4% — — 42.09
HT 2-2 1.1% 2.4% — — 42.21
HT/FT 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Al Kholood at HT / Al Kholood at FT 27.5% 27.2% — — 3.67
Al Khaleej at HT / Al Khaleej at FT 15.5% 16.7% — — 5.99
Draw at HT / Draw at FT 15.3% 16.7% — — 5.99
Draw at HT / Al Kholood at FT 14.7% 12.7% — — 7.90
Draw at HT / Al Khaleej at FT 10.8% 12.6% — — 7.92
Al Kholood at HT / Draw at FT 5.9% 6.0% — — 16.66
Al Khaleej at HT / Draw at FT 5.1% 6.0% — — 16.68
Al Khaleej at HT / Al Kholood at FT 2.8% 3.5% — — 28.66
Al Kholood at HT / Al Khaleej at FT 2.5% 3.5% — — 28.67
Last goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Al Kholood to score last 52.8% 52.2% — — 1.92
Al Khaleej to score last 41.1% 40.0% — — 2.50
No goal scored 6.1% 7.4% — — 13.49
Lead at any time 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time 93.9% 92.7% — — 1.08
Al Kholood to lead by 1 at any time 62.4% 61.4% — — 1.63
Either team to lead by 2 at any time 51.1% 50.8% — — 1.97
Al Khaleej to lead by 1 at any time 48.6% 44.6% — — 2.24
Al Kholood to lead by 2 at any time 32.0% 29.8% — — 3.35
Either team to lead by 3 at any time 19.5% 15.0% — — 6.67
Al Khaleej to lead by 2 at any time 19.5% 15.0% — — 6.67
Al Kholood to lead by 3 at any time 13.2% 10.5% — — 9.55
Al Khaleej to lead by 3 at any time 6.3% 6.7% — — 14.96
Most corners 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Al Khaleej most corners 47.8% 47.0% — — 2.13
Al Kholood most corners 40.3% 43.5% — — 2.30
Corners level 12.0% 10.4% — — 9.58
Multi goal 15
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-5 goals 85.1% 87.4% 87.2% 1.00× 1.14
2-6 goals 78.4% 78.7% 76.3% 1.03× 1.27
1-4 goals 74.8% 72.4% 75.5% 0.96× 1.38
2-5 goals 73.2% 72.4% 71.5% 1.01× 1.38
2-4 goals 62.8% 63.3% 59.8% 1.06× 1.58
1-3 goals 57.8% 59.1% 59.2% 1.00× 1.69
3-6 goals 55.0% 59.1% 53.6% 1.10× 1.69
3-5 goals 49.8% 48.5% 48.8% 0.99× 2.06
2-3 goals 45.8% 48.5% 43.5% 1.11× 2.06
3-4 goals 39.4% 39.2% 37.2% 1.06× 2.55
1-2 goals 35.4% 39.2% 38.5% 1.02× 2.55
4-6 goals 32.6% 35.2% 32.9% 1.07× 2.84
4-5 goals 27.4% 30.2% 28.1% 1.08× 3.31
5-6 goals 15.6% 18.8% 16.6% 1.13× 5.31
7+ goals 3.5% 2.6% 2.9% 0.89× 39.06
Never down 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Al Kholood never behind 45.3% 56.5% — — 1.77
Al Khaleej never behind 31.6% 36.2% — — 2.77
Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of goals 47.3% 50.9% 50.3% 1.01× 1.96
Even number of goals 52.7% 49.1% 49.7% 0.99× 2.04
Odd/Even 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 1st half 54.4% 51.7% — — 1.94
Odd goals in 1st half 45.6% 48.3% — — 2.07
Odd/Even 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 2nd half 52.3% 51.9% — — 1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half 47.7% 48.1% — — 2.08
Over/Under 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 0.5 goals 93.9% 92.3% 94.7% 0.97× 1.08
Under 5.5 goals 91.2% 92.3% 92.3% 1.00× 1.08
Over 1.5 goals 82.0% 82.3% 79.0% 1.04× 1.22
Under 4.5 goals 80.9% 82.3% 80.7% 1.02× 1.22
Under 3.5 goals 63.9% 61.7% 64.4% 0.96× 1.62
Over 2.5 goals 58.5% 58.6% 56.3% 1.04× 1.71
Under 2.5 goals 41.5% 41.4% 43.7% 0.95× 2.42
Over 3.5 goals 36.1% 38.3% 35.7% 1.07× 2.61
Over 4.5 goals 19.1% 17.7% 19.3% 0.92× 5.65
Under 1.5 goals 18.0% 17.7% 21.0% 0.84× 5.65
Over 5.5 goals 8.8% 7.7% 7.7% 1.00× 12.93
Under 0.5 goals 6.1% 7.7% 5.3% 1.46× 12.94
Over/Under (whole line) 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6) 96.3% 97.2% 97.0% 1.00× 1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5) 90.2% 92.4% 91.3% 1.01× 1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4) 77.0% 75.9% 76.9% 0.99× 1.32
Over 2 (void on exactly 2) 76.4% 75.9% 72.9% 1.04× 1.32
Under 3 (void on exactly 3) 53.4% 51.9% 55.0% 0.94× 1.93
Over 3 (void on exactly 3) 46.6% 48.1% 45.0% 1.07× 2.08
Under 2 (void on exactly 2) 23.6% 24.1% 27.1% 0.89× 4.15
Over 4 (void on exactly 4) 23.0% 24.1% 23.1% 1.04× 4.15
Over 5 (void on exactly 5) 9.8% 7.6% 8.7% 0.87× 13.13
Over 6 (void on exactly 6) 3.7% 2.8% 3.0% 0.93× 35.55
Over/Under 1HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half 86.5% 89.1% — — 1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half 71.6% 71.8% — — 1.39
Under 1.5 in 1st half 63.6% 63.3% — — 1.58
Over 1.5 in 1st half 36.4% 36.7% — — 2.72
Under 0.5 in 1st half 28.4% 28.2% — — 3.55
Over 2.5 in 1st half 13.5% 10.9% — — 9.22
Over/Under 2HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half 82.6% 83.2% — — 1.20
Under 2.5 in 2nd half 73.8% 77.4% — — 1.29
Over 1.5 in 2nd half 53.3% 53.2% — — 1.88
Under 1.5 in 2nd half 46.7% 46.8% — — 2.14
Over 2.5 in 2nd half 26.2% 22.6% — — 4.43
Under 0.5 in 2nd half 17.4% 16.8% — — 5.95
Score both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Al Khaleej not to score in both halves 77.2% 78.4% — — 1.28
Al Kholood not to score in both halves 67.7% 69.9% — — 1.43
Al Kholood to score in both halves 32.3% 30.1% — — 3.32
Al Khaleej to score in both halves 22.8% 21.6% — — 4.63
Teams to score 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams score 61.6% 60.3% 56.3% 1.07× 1.66
Only Al Kholood scores 20.3% 22.2% 21.9% 1.02× 4.50
Only Al Khaleej scores 12.1% 11.0% 16.8% 0.66× 9.06
Neither team scores 6.1% 7.1% 5.3% 1.35× 14.05
Total goals 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Exactly 2 goals 23.4% 22.6% 22.8% 0.99× 4.43
Exactly 3 goals 22.4% 22.6% 20.8% 1.08× 4.43
Exactly 4 goals 17.0% 17.5% 16.5% 1.06× 5.73
Exactly 1 goals 11.9% 12.1% 15.9% 0.76× 8.25
Exactly 5 goals 10.3% 12.1% 11.8% 1.03× 8.25
6 or more goals 8.8% 7.6% 7.7% 0.99× 13.13
Exactly 0 goals 6.1% 7.6% 5.3% 1.44× 13.14
Total goals 1st half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1 goal in 1st half 35.2% 37.4% — — 2.68
No goals in 1st half 28.4% 28.3% — — 3.54
2 goals in 1st half 22.8% 21.5% — — 4.65
3+ goals in 1st half 13.5% 10.8% — — 9.29
Total goals 2nd half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half 53.3% 51.4% — — 1.94
1 goal in 2nd half 29.2% 29.3% — — 3.41
No goals in 2nd half 17.4% 16.5% — — 6.08
Win both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Al Khaleej not to win both halves 93.2% 94.1% — — 1.06
Al Kholood not to win both halves 86.2% 87.8% — — 1.14
Al Kholood to win both halves 13.8% 12.2% — — 8.22
Al Khaleej to win both halves 6.8% 5.9% — — 17.03
Win either half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Al Kholood to win either half 59.8% 59.1% — — 1.69
Al Khaleej to win neither half 55.1% 59.0% — — 1.70
Al Khaleej to win either half 44.9% 41.0% — — 2.44
Al Kholood to win neither half 40.2% 40.9% — — 2.45
Win to nil 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Al Khaleej not to win to nil 87.9% 88.1% 83.2% 1.06× 1.14
Al Kholood not to win to nil 79.7% 78.1% 78.1% 1.00× 1.28
Al Kholood to win to nil 20.3% 21.9% 21.9% 1.00× 4.58
Al Khaleej to win to nil 12.1% 11.9% 16.8% 0.71× 8.41
Winning margin 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw 26.3% 27.9% 21.6% 1.29× 3.59
Al Kholood by 1 20.4% 24.1% 21.5% 1.12× 4.15
Al Khaleej by 1 15.7% 17.0% 17.7% 0.96× 5.87
Al Kholood by 2 14.0% 11.8% 12.8% 0.92× 8.50
Al Kholood by 3+ 10.5% 11.8% 9.5% 1.23× 8.51
Al Khaleej by 2 8.5% 7.2% 10.6% 0.68× 13.90
Al Khaleej by 3+ 4.5% 2.7% 7.1% 0.38× 36.76
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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