Al Nassr FC v Al Qadsiah — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Friday 20 November 2026 · KSA-Pro League · 2627

KSA-Pro League results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Al Nassr FC

20:00 UTC

Al Qadsiah

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 24 Oct, 10:57 · 657h before kick-off

Al Nassr FC win

47.0%

model 45.9%

Draw

26.5%

model 26.3%

Al Qadsiah win

26.5%

model 27.8%

472627

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (522 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 12.2%
2-1 9.4%
2-0 7.2%
1-2 7.1%
1-0 7.1%

Goals

Over 2.5	58.2%	Under 2.5	41.8%
BTTS yes	61.1%	BTTS no	38.9%
Al Nassr FC 1+	82.1%	Al Nassr FC 2+	51.3%
Al Qadsiah 1+	72.8%	Al Qadsiah 2+	37.4%

Expected goals 1.72 – 1.30. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

76/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

95%

★ Best pick

Al Nassr FC or draw (1X)

Double chance · usually 65%

72.6% fair odds 1.38

moderate signal · 1941 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Al Nassr FC over 0.5 goals

Home goals O/U · usually 78%

82.7% fair odds 1.21

moderate signal · 1431 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Al Nassr FC carry the stronger rating, 1821 Elo against 1795.
Form is good: 3.00 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Al Nassr FC have an estimated 47.0% win probability, against 26.5% for Al Qadsiah and 26.5% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.72 for Al Nassr FC and 1.30 for Al Qadsiah.

Why Al Nassr FC

Al Nassr FC carry the stronger rating, 1821 Elo against 1795. Form is good: 3.00 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 26.5%. Draws run at 22% in this competition.

Why Al Qadsiah can win

Form is good: 2.60 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Al Nassr FC, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Al Qadsiah, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Al Nassr FC: 55% possession, 15.8 shots a match, 8.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Al Qadsiah: 43% possession, 10.0 shots a match, 8.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-24 13:59 · team_stats 2026-10-24 06:04 · availability 2026-10-24 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Al Nassr FC are the model's most likely outcome at 47.0%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 12.2%. Confidence 76/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	462628	1.72–1.30	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	422533	1.76–1.56	1-1 11%	64%	67%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Nassr FC to win	41.5%	42.9%	43.5%	0.99×	2.33
Al Qadsiah to win	33.3%	30.4%	35.0%	0.87×	3.29
Draw	25.2%	27.9%	21.6%	1.29×	3.59

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Nassr FC & both teams score	25.3%	25.2%	21.8%	1.16×	3.98
Al Qadsiah & both teams score	20.8%	21.8%	18.4%	1.18×	4.59
Draw & both teams score	20.4%	21.8%	16.5%	1.32×	4.59
Al Nassr FC & not both score	16.2%	18.0%	21.9%	0.82×	5.57
Al Qadsiah & not both score	12.4%	13.3%	16.8%	0.79×	7.54
Draw & not both score	4.8%	4.9%	5.3%	0.92×	20.56

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Nassr FC & over 1.5	36.3%	34.9%	34.4%	1.01×	2.87
Al Nassr FC & over 2.5	30.8%	30.8%	27.6%	1.11×	3.25
Al Qadsiah & over 1.5	28.8%	26.1%	28.4%	0.92×	3.84
Al Qadsiah & over 2.5	24.4%	21.6%	23.1%	0.94×	4.63
Al Nassr FC & under 3.5	22.8%	21.6%	27.3%	0.79×	4.63
Draw & over 1.5	20.4%	21.6%	16.5%	1.31×	4.63
Al Nassr FC & over 3.5	18.7%	18.0%	16.3%	1.10×	5.56
Al Qadsiah & under 3.5	18.9%	18.0%	21.5%	0.84×	5.56
Draw & under 2.5	15.9%	18.0%	15.9%	1.13×	5.56
Draw & under 3.5	15.9%	18.0%	15.9%	1.13×	5.56
Al Qadsiah & over 3.5	14.3%	12.8%	13.7%	0.93×	7.79
Al Nassr FC & under 2.5	10.8%	12.8%	16.0%	0.80×	7.79
Draw & over 2.5	9.3%	7.9%	5.9%	1.34×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	9.3%	7.9%	5.9%	1.34×	12.63
Al Qadsiah & under 2.5	8.9%	7.9%	12.1%	0.66×	12.63
Al Nassr FC & under 1.5	5.2%	7.9%	9.2%	0.86×	12.63
Draw & under 1.5	4.8%	4.8%	5.3%	0.91×	20.81
Al Qadsiah & under 1.5	4.5%	4.8%	6.8%	0.71×	20.81

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Nassr FC (1UP)	60.8%	62.7%	—	—	1.59
Al Qadsiah (1UP)	53.9%	52.7%	—	—	1.90

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Nassr FC (2UP)	41.5%	47.1%	—	—	2.13
Al Qadsiah (2UP)	33.3%	30.5%	—	—	3.28

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Nassr FC to win 2nd half	35.6%	35.9%	—	—	2.78
2nd half drawn	32.2%	34.3%	—	—	2.91
Al Qadsiah to win 2nd half	32.1%	34.3%	—	—	2.91

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Qadsiah under 1.5 in 2nd half	75.9%	78.8%	—	—	1.27
Al Qadsiah over 0.5 in 2nd half	60.8%	60.1%	—	—	1.66
Al Qadsiah under 0.5 in 2nd half	39.2%	39.9%	—	—	2.51
Al Qadsiah over 1.5 in 2nd half	24.1%	21.2%	—	—	4.72

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Nassr FC under 1.5 in 2nd half	73.5%	74.0%	—	—	1.35
Al Nassr FC over 0.5 in 2nd half	63.3%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Al Nassr FC under 0.5 in 2nd half	36.7%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
Al Nassr FC over 1.5 in 2nd half	26.5%	26.0%	—	—	3.85

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Qadsiah (+2.5)	90.3%	92.1%	90.5%	1.02×	1.09
Al Qadsiah (+1.5)	77.4%	78.5%	77.8%	1.01×	1.27
Al Nassr FC (+0.5)	66.7%	68.7%	65.0%	1.06×	1.46
Al Qadsiah (+0.5)	58.5%	57.0%	56.5%	1.01×	1.75
Al Nassr FC (-0.5)	41.5%	43.0%	43.5%	0.99×	2.33
Al Qadsiah (-0.5)	33.3%	31.3%	35.0%	0.89×	3.19
Al Nassr FC (-1.5)	22.6%	21.5%	22.2%	0.97×	4.65
Al Nassr FC (-2.5)	9.7%	7.9%	9.5%	0.83×	12.66

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Qadsiah to concede	82.8%	81.5%	78.1%	1.04×	1.23
Al Qadsiah clean sheet	17.2%	18.5%	21.9%	0.84×	5.41

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Qadsiah to concede in 1st half	53.0%	50.7%	—	—	1.97
Al Qadsiah clean sheet in 1st half	47.0%	49.3%	—	—	2.03

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Qadsiah to concede in 2nd half	63.3%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Al Qadsiah clean sheet in 2nd half	36.7%	38.1%	—	—	2.62

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Qadsiah over 2.5 corners	79.3%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Al Qadsiah under 6.5 corners	77.4%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Al Qadsiah under 5.5 corners	66.0%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Al Qadsiah over 3.5 corners	64.1%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Al Qadsiah under 4.5 corners	51.8%	53.1%	—	—	1.89
Al Qadsiah over 4.5 corners	48.2%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
Al Qadsiah under 3.5 corners	36.0%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Al Qadsiah over 5.5 corners	34.0%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Al Qadsiah over 6.5 corners	22.6%	24.0%	—	—	4.17
Al Qadsiah under 2.5 corners	20.7%	24.0%	—	—	4.17

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Qadsiah under 3.5 goals	92.7%	92.3%	93.1%	0.99×	1.08
Al Qadsiah under 2.5 goals	79.3%	76.3%	82.6%	0.92×	1.31
Al Qadsiah over 0.5 goals	79.0%	76.3%	73.0%	1.05×	1.31
Al Qadsiah under 1.5 goals	53.8%	53.5%	60.9%	0.88×	1.87
Al Qadsiah over 1.5 goals	46.2%	46.5%	39.1%	1.19×	2.15
Al Qadsiah under 0.5 goals	21.0%	23.7%	27.0%	0.88×	4.21
Al Qadsiah over 2.5 goals	20.7%	23.7%	17.4%	1.37×	4.22
Al Qadsiah over 3.5 goals	7.3%	7.7%	6.9%	1.10×	13.06

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Qadsiah under 1.5 in 1st half	87.0%	89.1%	—	—	1.12
Al Qadsiah under 0.5 in 1st half	53.6%	55.7%	—	—	1.80
Al Qadsiah over 0.5 in 1st half	46.4%	44.3%	—	—	2.26
Al Qadsiah over 1.5 in 1st half	13.0%	10.9%	—	—	9.21

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Qadsiah scores more in 2nd half	41.4%	43.7%	—	—	2.29
Al Qadsiah scores equally in both	35.2%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
Al Qadsiah scores more in 1st half	23.4%	22.1%	—	—	4.52

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Nassr FC (away no bet)	62.2%	61.9%	66.8%	0.93×	1.62
Draw (away no bet)	37.8%	38.1%	33.2%	1.15×	2.63

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Qadsiah even goals	52.2%	52.6%	52.4%	1.00×	1.90
Al Qadsiah odd goals	47.8%	47.4%	47.6%	1.00×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	76.8%	81.1%	—	—	1.23
Both halves over 1.5 goals	23.2%	18.9%	—	—	5.30

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	75.3%	72.3%	—	—	1.38
Both halves under 1.5 goals	24.7%	27.7%	—	—	3.61

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	65.6%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Al Nassr FC to score 2+ in a row	41.4%	38.6%	—	—	2.59
Al Qadsiah to score 2+ in a row	34.8%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Either team to score 3+ in a row	26.3%	25.2%	—	—	3.98
Al Nassr FC to score 3+ in a row	15.5%	16.2%	—	—	6.17
Al Qadsiah to score 3+ in a row	11.4%	12.0%	—	—	8.32

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Qadsiah corners (+3.5)	84.1%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Al Nassr FC corners (+3.5)	83.1%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Al Qadsiah corners (+2.5)	76.6%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Al Nassr FC corners (+2.5)	75.4%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Al Qadsiah corners (+1.5)	67.2%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Al Nassr FC corners (+1.5)	65.8%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Al Qadsiah corners (-1.5)	34.2%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Al Nassr FC corners (-1.5)	32.8%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Al Qadsiah corners (-2.5)	24.6%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Al Nassr FC corners (-2.5)	23.4%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Al Qadsiah corners (-3.5)	16.9%	20.2%	—	—	4.94
Al Nassr FC corners (-3.5)	15.9%	20.2%	—	—	4.94

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	44.2%	38.4%	—	—	2.61
9-11 corners	29.7%	31.2%	—	—	3.21
12+ corners	26.1%	31.2%	—	—	3.21

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	81.1%	80.7%	—	—	1.24
Under 11.5 corners	73.9%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Over 7.5 corners	66.8%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Under 10.5 corners	65.2%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Over 8.5 corners	55.8%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 9.5 corners	55.1%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 9.5 corners	44.9%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Under 8.5 corners	44.2%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Over 10.5 corners	34.8%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Under 7.5 corners	33.2%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Over 11.5 corners	26.1%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 12.5 corners	18.9%	19.3%	—	—	5.18

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	11.1%	11.5%	10.7%	1.07×	8.72
2-1	8.7%	7.4%	8.5%	0.88×	13.51
1-2	7.8%	7.4%	7.4%	1.00×	13.51
2-2	6.8%	7.4%	4.8%	1.53×	13.51
1-0	5.2%	7.4%	9.2%	0.80×	13.51
2-0	5.6%	7.4%	6.9%	1.07×	13.51
3-1	5.1%	7.4%	5.1%	1.44×	13.51
Any other score	5.4%	7.4%	5.6%	1.32×	13.51
0-0	4.8%	1.7%	5.3%	0.32×	58.29
0-1	4.5%	1.7%	6.8%	0.25×	58.29
0-2	4.4%	1.7%	5.4%	0.32×	58.29
0-3	2.3%	1.7%	2.3%	0.76×	58.31
0-4	0.9%	1.7%	1.1%	1.62×	58.31
1-3	4.0%	1.7%	3.9%	0.44×	58.30
1-4	1.6%	1.7%	1.1%	1.62×	58.31
2-3	3.5%	1.7%	3.3%	0.52×	58.30
2-4	1.4%	1.7%	1.2%	1.42×	58.31
3-0	3.3%	1.7%	3.2%	0.54×	58.30
3-2	4.0%	1.7%	3.6%	0.47×	58.30
3-3	2.1%	1.7%	1.1%	1.62×	58.31
3-4	0.8%	1.7%	0.6%	2.84×	58.31
4-0	1.4%	1.7%	2.1%	0.81×	58.31
4-1	2.2%	1.7%	2.4%	0.71×	58.31
4-2	1.8%	1.7%	1.1%	1.62×	58.31
4-3	0.9%	1.7%	0.6%	2.84×	58.31
4-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.3%	5.68×	58.32

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Nassr FC (2nd half DNB)	52.6%	52.8%	—	—	1.89
Al Qadsiah (2nd half DNB)	47.4%	47.2%	—	—	2.12

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Nassr FC leading at HT (DNB)	56.5%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Al Qadsiah leading at HT (DNB)	43.5%	42.9%	—	—	2.33

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Nassr FC or Al Qadsiah (12)	74.8%	72.1%	78.4%	0.92×	1.39
Al Nassr FC or draw (1X)	66.7%	69.6%	65.0%	1.07×	1.44
Al Qadsiah or draw (X2)	58.5%	57.1%	56.5%	1.01×	1.75

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Nassr FC or draw at HT	73.4%	74.9%	—	—	1.33
Al Qadsiah or draw at HT	65.5%	67.1%	—	—	1.49
Al Nassr FC or Al Qadsiah at HT	61.1%	61.4%	—	—	1.63

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Nassr FC or draw (1UP)	66.7%	76.2%	—	—	1.31
Al Qadsiah or draw (1UP)	58.5%	63.1%	—	—	1.59

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Nassr FC or draw in 2nd half	67.9%	65.7%	—	—	1.52
Al Nassr FC or Al Qadsiah in 2nd half	67.8%	65.7%	—	—	1.52
Al Qadsiah or draw in 2nd half	64.4%	64.1%	—	—	1.56

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	57.2%	58.4%	—	—	1.71
Neither half drawn	42.8%	41.6%	—	—	2.40

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Nassr FC (DNB)	55.5%	58.0%	55.4%	1.05×	1.72
Al Qadsiah (DNB)	44.5%	42.0%	44.6%	0.94×	2.38

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Nassr FC to score first	50.4%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Al Qadsiah to score first	44.8%	41.8%	—	—	2.39
No goal scored	4.8%	4.3%	—	—	23.18

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	66.6%	58.4%	56.3%	1.04×	1.71
Not both teams to score	33.4%	41.6%	43.7%	0.95×	2.41

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	55.5%	47.5%	45.8%	1.04×	2.10
Not both score & under 2.5	24.4%	27.8%	33.1%	0.84×	3.60
Both score & under 2.5	11.1%	12.4%	10.7%	1.15×	8.09
Not both score & over 2.5	9.0%	8.3%	10.7%	0.77×	12.06

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	75.8%	79.6%	83.5%	0.95×	1.26
Both teams to score 2+	24.3%	20.4%	16.5%	1.24×	4.90

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	61.1%	65.4%	—	—	1.53
Both teams to score in 2nd half	38.9%	34.6%	—	—	2.89

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	45.8%	52.8%	—	—	1.90
Both score 2nd half only	29.4%	27.2%	—	—	3.68
Both score 1st half only	15.4%	14.9%	—	—	6.72
Both score in both halves	9.5%	6.9%	—	—	14.59

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	75.2%	80.9%	—	—	1.24
Both teams to score by HT	24.8%	19.1%	—	—	5.24

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	64.7%	59.8%	—	—	1.67
A half without a goal	35.3%	40.2%	—	—	2.49

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	43.2%	42.1%	43.5%	0.97×	2.37
4-6 goals	37.2%	35.1%	32.9%	1.07×	2.85
0-1 goals	14.4%	16.9%	21.0%	0.81×	5.91
7+ goals	5.2%	7.6%	2.9%	2.64×	13.18

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Qadsiah to score exactly 1	32.8%	33.8%	34.0%	1.00×	2.96
Al Qadsiah to score exactly 2	25.6%	27.4%	21.9%	1.25×	3.66
Al Qadsiah to score exactly 0	21.0%	22.3%	27.0%	0.82×	4.49
Al Qadsiah to score 3+	20.7%	22.3%	17.4%	1.28×	4.49

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Nassr FC to score exactly 1	30.3%	32.5%	32.5%	1.00×	3.07
Al Nassr FC to score exactly 2	26.6%	26.5%	24.8%	1.07×	3.77
Al Nassr FC to score 3+	25.8%	26.5%	21.1%	1.26×	3.77
Al Nassr FC to score exactly 0	17.2%	18.8%	21.9%	0.86×	5.33

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	38.9%	38.6%	—	—	2.59
Al Nassr FC leading at HT	34.5%	32.9%	—	—	3.04
Al Qadsiah leading at HT	26.6%	25.1%	—	—	3.99

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Nassr FC -1: 2	58.5%	56.8%	—	—	1.76
Al Nassr FC -1: 1	22.6%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Al Nassr FC -1: X	18.9%	17.5%	—	—	5.70

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Qadsiah (0:1)	58.5%	55.8%	56.5%	0.99×	1.79
Al Nassr FC (0:1)	22.6%	24.2%	22.2%	1.09×	4.13
Draw (0:1)	18.9%	17.8%	21.5%	0.83×	5.61

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Qadsiah (0:2)	77.4%	79.4%	77.8%	1.02×	1.26
Draw (0:2)	12.8%	11.0%	12.8%	0.86×	9.10
Al Nassr FC (0:2)	9.7%	7.7%	9.5%	0.81×	13.02

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Qadsiah (0:3)	90.3%	92.7%	90.5%	1.02×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	6.2%	5.8%	5.6%	1.04×	17.23
Al Nassr FC (0:3)	3.5%	2.4%	4.1%	0.58×	42.06

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Qadsiah (0:4)	96.5%	98.1%	95.9%	1.02×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	2.4%	1.2%	2.9%	0.43×	81.83
Al Nassr FC (0:4)	1.1%	1.2%	1.4%	0.90×	81.99

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Nassr FC (1:0)	66.7%	70.1%	65.0%	1.08×	1.43
Draw (1:0)	16.7%	17.1%	17.7%	0.97×	5.85
Al Qadsiah (1:0)	16.6%	17.1%	17.5%	0.98×	5.85

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Nassr FC (2:0)	83.4%	84.6%	82.5%	1.03×	1.18
Draw (2:0)	10.1%	10.3%	10.6%	0.97×	9.74
Al Qadsiah (2:0)	6.5%	6.4%	7.1%	0.90×	15.70

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	49.6%	48.8%	—	—	2.05
1st half highest scoring	26.6%	26.2%	—	—	3.82
Halves equal	23.8%	24.5%	—	—	4.09

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Nassr FC to concede	79.0%	76.1%	73.0%	1.04×	1.31
Al Nassr FC clean sheet	21.0%	23.9%	27.0%	0.88×	4.19

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Nassr FC clean sheet in 1st half	53.6%	55.7%	—	—	1.80
Al Nassr FC to concede in 1st half	46.4%	44.3%	—	—	2.26

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Nassr FC to concede in 2nd half	60.8%	59.7%	—	—	1.67
Al Nassr FC clean sheet in 2nd half	39.2%	40.3%	—	—	2.48

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Nassr FC over 2.5 corners	78.6%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Al Nassr FC under 6.5 corners	78.3%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Al Nassr FC under 5.5 corners	67.1%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Al Nassr FC over 3.5 corners	63.1%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Al Nassr FC under 4.5 corners	52.9%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Al Nassr FC over 4.5 corners	47.1%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Al Nassr FC under 3.5 corners	36.9%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Al Nassr FC over 5.5 corners	32.9%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Al Nassr FC over 6.5 corners	21.7%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Al Nassr FC under 2.5 corners	21.4%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Nassr FC under 3.5 goals	89.8%	87.3%	92.0%	0.95×	1.15
Al Nassr FC over 0.5 goals	82.8%	82.2%	78.1%	1.05×	1.22
Al Nassr FC under 2.5 goals	74.2%	74.3%	78.9%	0.94×	1.35
Al Nassr FC over 1.5 goals	52.5%	53.2%	45.8%	1.16×	1.88
Al Nassr FC under 1.5 goals	47.6%	46.8%	54.2%	0.86×	2.14
Al Nassr FC over 2.5 goals	25.8%	25.7%	21.1%	1.22×	3.89
Al Nassr FC under 0.5 goals	17.2%	17.8%	21.9%	0.81×	5.62
Al Nassr FC over 3.5 goals	10.2%	12.7%	8.0%	1.59×	7.86

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Nassr FC under 1.5 in 1st half	82.5%	83.9%	—	—	1.19
Al Nassr FC over 0.5 in 1st half	53.0%	50.5%	—	—	1.98
Al Nassr FC under 0.5 in 1st half	47.0%	49.5%	—	—	2.02
Al Nassr FC over 1.5 in 1st half	17.5%	16.1%	—	—	6.23

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Nassr FC scores more in 2nd half	40.3%	42.2%	—	—	2.37
Al Nassr FC scores equally in both	33.0%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
Al Nassr FC scores more in 1st half	26.7%	27.7%	—	—	3.61

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Qadsiah (home no bet)	56.9%	56.4%	61.9%	0.91×	1.77
Draw (home no bet)	43.1%	43.6%	38.1%	1.14×	2.29

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Nassr FC even goals	51.5%	50.7%	52.7%	0.96×	1.97
Al Nassr FC odd goals	48.5%	49.3%	47.3%	1.04×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	25.4%	28.2%	—	—	3.55
HT 1-0	18.8%	18.7%	—	—	5.36
HT 0-1	15.5%	18.6%	—	—	5.38
HT 1-1	12.1%	11.0%	—	—	9.12
HT 2-0	7.2%	6.9%	—	—	14.47
Any other HT score	6.6%	6.9%	—	—	14.48
HT 0-2	4.9%	2.4%	—	—	41.98
HT 2-1	4.5%	2.4%	—	—	42.00
HT 1-2	3.7%	2.4%	—	—	42.05
HT 2-2	1.4%	2.4%	—	—	42.21

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Nassr FC at HT / Al Nassr FC at FT	25.4%	27.3%	—	—	3.67
Al Qadsiah at HT / Al Qadsiah at FT	18.4%	16.8%	—	—	5.97
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	13.9%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Draw at HT / Al Nassr FC at FT	13.2%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Draw at HT / Al Qadsiah at FT	11.8%	12.6%	—	—	7.91
Al Nassr FC at HT / Draw at FT	6.1%	6.0%	—	—	16.65
Al Qadsiah at HT / Draw at FT	5.3%	6.0%	—	—	16.67
Al Nassr FC at HT / Al Qadsiah at FT	3.1%	3.5%	—	—	28.68
Al Qadsiah at HT / Al Nassr FC at FT	2.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.68

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Nassr FC to score last	50.5%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Al Qadsiah to score last	44.7%	40.1%	—	—	2.49
No goal scored	4.8%	4.3%	—	—	23.18

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	95.2%	95.6%	—	—	1.05
Al Nassr FC to lead by 1 at any time	60.8%	61.3%	—	—	1.63
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	54.5%	50.9%	—	—	1.97
Al Qadsiah to lead by 1 at any time	53.9%	50.9%	—	—	1.97
Al Nassr FC to lead by 2 at any time	30.8%	29.8%	—	—	3.36
Al Qadsiah to lead by 2 at any time	24.3%	19.7%	—	—	5.08
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	21.6%	19.6%	—	—	5.10
Al Nassr FC to lead by 3 at any time	12.7%	10.5%	—	—	9.56
Al Qadsiah to lead by 3 at any time	8.9%	6.7%	—	—	14.85

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Qadsiah most corners	45.1%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
Al Nassr FC most corners	43.6%	43.5%	—	—	2.30
Corners level	11.3%	10.4%	—	—	9.58

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	83.3%	83.4%	87.2%	0.96×	1.20
2-6 goals	80.4%	83.4%	76.3%	1.09×	1.20
2-5 goals	73.6%	72.4%	71.5%	1.01×	1.38
1-4 goals	71.1%	72.4%	75.5%	0.96×	1.38
2-4 goals	61.5%	63.3%	59.8%	1.06×	1.58
3-6 goals	59.2%	59.1%	53.6%	1.10×	1.69
1-3 goals	52.8%	53.2%	59.2%	0.90×	1.88
3-5 goals	52.5%	53.2%	48.8%	1.09×	1.88
2-3 goals	43.2%	43.6%	43.5%	1.00×	2.29
3-4 goals	40.4%	43.6%	37.2%	1.17×	2.30
4-6 goals	37.2%	39.2%	32.9%	1.19×	2.55
1-2 goals	30.8%	35.2%	38.5%	0.91×	2.84
4-5 goals	30.4%	35.2%	28.1%	1.25×	2.84
5-6 goals	18.9%	18.8%	16.6%	1.13×	5.31
7+ goals	5.2%	8.9%	2.9%	3.09×	11.28

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Nassr FC never behind	41.3%	48.4%	—	—	2.07
Al Qadsiah never behind	34.4%	36.3%	—	—	2.75

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	47.6%	50.9%	50.3%	1.01×	1.96
Even number of goals	52.4%	49.1%	49.7%	0.99×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	53.6%	51.6%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	46.4%	48.4%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	51.9%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half	48.1%	48.1%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	95.2%	95.4%	94.7%	1.01×	1.05
Under 5.5 goals	88.1%	87.6%	92.3%	0.95×	1.14
Over 1.5 goals	85.6%	87.6%	79.0%	1.11×	1.14
Under 4.5 goals	75.9%	77.3%	80.7%	0.96×	1.29
Over 2.5 goals	64.4%	61.8%	56.3%	1.10×	1.62
Under 3.5 goals	57.6%	58.6%	64.4%	0.91×	1.71
Over 3.5 goals	42.4%	41.4%	35.7%	1.16×	2.42
Under 2.5 goals	35.6%	38.2%	43.7%	0.88×	2.62
Over 4.5 goals	24.1%	22.7%	19.3%	1.17×	4.40
Under 1.5 goals	14.4%	12.4%	21.0%	0.59×	8.06
Over 5.5 goals	11.9%	12.4%	7.7%	1.61×	8.07
Under 0.5 goals	4.8%	4.6%	5.3%	0.87×	21.85

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	94.4%	92.4%	97.0%	0.95×	1.08
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	86.4%	86.7%	91.3%	0.95×	1.15
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	81.7%	81.1%	72.9%	1.11×	1.23
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	70.5%	72.4%	76.9%	0.94×	1.38
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	54.4%	51.9%	45.0%	1.16×	1.93
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	45.6%	48.1%	55.0%	0.87×	2.08
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	29.5%	27.6%	23.1%	1.20×	3.62
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	18.3%	18.9%	27.1%	0.70×	5.29
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	13.6%	13.3%	8.7%	1.52×	7.53
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	5.6%	7.6%	3.0%	2.52×	13.17

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	83.8%	85.8%	—	—	1.17
Over 0.5 in 1st half	74.6%	71.7%	—	—	1.40
Under 1.5 in 1st half	59.7%	63.9%	—	—	1.57
Over 1.5 in 1st half	40.3%	36.1%	—	—	2.77
Under 0.5 in 1st half	25.4%	28.3%	—	—	3.53
Over 2.5 in 1st half	16.2%	14.2%	—	—	7.06

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	85.2%	85.4%	—	—	1.17
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	69.3%	68.9%	—	—	1.45
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	58.1%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	41.9%	45.1%	—	—	2.22
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	30.7%	31.1%	—	—	3.22
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	14.8%	14.6%	—	—	6.84

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Qadsiah not to score in both halves	71.8%	73.8%	—	—	1.35
Al Nassr FC not to score in both halves	66.4%	69.8%	—	—	1.43
Al Nassr FC to score in both halves	33.6%	30.2%	—	—	3.32
Al Qadsiah to score in both halves	28.2%	26.2%	—	—	3.82

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	66.6%	59.9%	56.3%	1.06×	1.67
Only Al Nassr FC scores	16.2%	16.0%	21.9%	0.73×	6.25
Only Al Qadsiah scores	12.4%	11.0%	16.8%	0.66×	9.06
Neither team scores	4.8%	4.6%	5.3%	0.87×	21.65

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 3 goals	22.1%	22.6%	20.8%	1.08×	4.43
Exactly 2 goals	21.1%	22.6%	22.8%	0.99×	4.43
Exactly 4 goals	18.3%	17.5%	16.5%	1.06×	5.73
Exactly 5 goals	12.1%	12.1%	11.8%	1.03×	8.25
6 or more goals	11.9%	12.1%	7.7%	1.57×	8.25
Exactly 1 goals	9.6%	7.6%	15.9%	0.48×	13.13
Exactly 0 goals	4.8%	4.5%	5.3%	0.85×	22.37

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	34.3%	35.8%	—	—	2.79
No goals in 1st half	25.4%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
2 goals in 1st half	24.2%	21.5%	—	—	4.65
3+ goals in 1st half	16.2%	15.6%	—	—	6.40

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	58.1%	54.2%	—	—	1.85
1 goal in 2nd half	27.1%	29.2%	—	—	3.43
No goals in 2nd half	14.8%	14.4%	—	—	6.93

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Qadsiah not to win both halves	91.3%	94.1%	—	—	1.06
Al Nassr FC not to win both halves	87.5%	88.0%	—	—	1.14
Al Nassr FC to win both halves	12.5%	12.0%	—	—	8.30
Al Qadsiah to win both halves	8.7%	5.9%	—	—	16.89

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Nassr FC to win either half	57.6%	59.2%	—	—	1.69
Al Qadsiah to win either half	50.0%	54.2%	—	—	1.85
Al Qadsiah to win neither half	50.0%	45.8%	—	—	2.18
Al Nassr FC to win neither half	42.4%	40.8%	—	—	2.45

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Qadsiah not to win to nil	87.6%	88.1%	83.2%	1.06×	1.14
Al Nassr FC not to win to nil	83.8%	83.1%	78.1%	1.06×	1.20
Al Nassr FC to win to nil	16.2%	16.9%	21.9%	0.77×	5.92
Al Qadsiah to win to nil	12.4%	11.9%	16.8%	0.71×	8.41

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	25.2%	27.9%	21.6%	1.29×	3.59
Al Nassr FC by 1	18.9%	17.1%	21.5%	0.79×	5.87
Al Qadsiah by 1	16.7%	17.0%	17.7%	0.96×	5.87
Al Nassr FC by 2	12.8%	11.8%	12.8%	0.92×	8.51
Al Qadsiah by 2	10.1%	11.7%	10.6%	1.11×	8.51
Al Nassr FC by 3+	9.7%	7.2%	9.5%	0.76×	13.90
Al Qadsiah by 3+	6.5%	7.2%	7.1%	1.01×	13.91