Al Qadsiah v Al Fayha — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Thursday 5 November 2026 · KSA-Pro League · 2627

KSA-Pro League results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Al Qadsiah

20:00 UTC

Al Fayha

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 22 Oct, 10:58 · 345h before kick-off

Al Qadsiah win

75.4%

model 74.6%

Draw

17.7%

model 17.2%

Al Fayha win

6.9%

model 8.2%

75187

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (94 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

2-0 12.2%
3-0 10.1%
2-1 9.1%
1-0 8.9%
1-1 8.2%

Goals

Over 2.5	62.9%	Under 2.5	37.1%
BTTS yes	49.2%	BTTS no	50.8%
Al Qadsiah 1+	91.7%	Al Qadsiah 2+	71.1%
Al Fayha 1+	52.7%	Al Fayha 2+	17.3%

Expected goals 2.49 – 0.75. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

86/100

Data quality

75/100

Model agreement

100%

★ Best pick

Al Qadsiah (-1.5)

Asian handicap · usually 22%

52.2% fair odds 1.92

strong signal · 1133 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Al Fayha (0:4)

Handicap 0:4 · usually 96%

84.3% fair odds 1.19

weak signal · 64 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Al Qadsiah carry the stronger rating, 1795 Elo against 1435.
Form is good: 2.60 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Al Qadsiah have an estimated 75.4% win probability, against 17.7% for the draw and 6.9% for Al Fayha. Expected goals from the ensemble are 2.49 for Al Qadsiah and 0.75 for Al Fayha.

Why Al Qadsiah

Al Qadsiah carry the stronger rating, 1795 Elo against 1435. Form is good: 2.60 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 17.7%. Draws run at 22% in this competition.

Why Al Fayha can win

Nothing in the data singles out Al Fayha.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Al Qadsiah, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Al Fayha, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Al Qadsiah: 43% possession, 10.0 shots a match, 8.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Al Fayha: 37% possession, 10.6 shots a match, 16.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-22 14:54 · team_stats 2026-10-20 06:04 · availability 2026-10-22 14:58 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Al Qadsiah are the model's most likely outcome at 75.4%. The likeliest scoreline is 2-0 at 12.2%. Confidence 86/100, data quality 75/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	75178	2.49–0.75	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	75178	2.55–0.78	2-0 12%	65%	51%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Qadsiah to win	74.7%	73.9%	43.5%	1.70×	1.35
Draw	16.9%	19.4%	21.6%	0.90×	5.16
Al Fayha to win	8.4%	8.2%	35.0%	0.23×	12.24

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Qadsiah & not both score	41.4%	40.0%	21.9%	1.83×	2.50
Al Qadsiah & both teams score	33.3%	29.6%	21.8%	1.36×	3.38
Draw & both teams score	12.4%	13.3%	16.5%	0.81×	7.54
Al Fayha & both teams score	5.0%	8.3%	18.4%	0.45×	12.02
Draw & not both score	4.5%	4.9%	5.3%	0.92×	20.56
Al Fayha & not both score	3.4%	4.9%	16.8%	0.29×	20.59

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Qadsiah & over 1.5	66.4%	67.6%	34.4%	1.96×	1.48
Al Qadsiah & over 2.5	54.7%	48.9%	27.6%	1.77×	2.04
Al Qadsiah & under 3.5	39.0%	34.9%	27.3%	1.28×	2.87
Al Qadsiah & over 3.5	35.7%	34.9%	16.3%	2.14×	2.87
Al Qadsiah & under 2.5	20.0%	18.0%	16.0%	1.12×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	12.4%	12.8%	16.5%	0.78×	7.79
Draw & under 2.5	12.5%	12.8%	15.9%	0.81×	7.79
Draw & under 3.5	12.5%	12.8%	15.9%	0.81×	7.79
Al Qadsiah & under 1.5	8.3%	7.9%	9.2%	0.86×	12.63
Al Fayha & over 1.5	6.5%	7.9%	28.4%	0.28×	12.63
Al Fayha & under 3.5	6.1%	7.9%	21.5%	0.37×	12.63
Al Fayha & over 2.5	5.4%	7.9%	23.1%	0.34×	12.63
Draw & under 1.5	4.5%	4.8%	5.3%	0.91×	20.81
Draw & over 2.5	4.4%	4.8%	5.9%	0.82×	20.81
Draw & over 3.5	4.4%	4.8%	5.9%	0.82×	20.81
Al Fayha & under 2.5	3.0%	4.8%	12.1%	0.40×	20.82
Al Fayha & under 1.5	2.0%	4.8%	6.8%	0.71×	20.83
Al Fayha & over 3.5	2.3%	4.8%	13.7%	0.35×	20.82

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Qadsiah (1UP)	83.5%	87.8%	—	—	1.14
Al Fayha (1UP)	25.3%	26.4%	—	—	3.78

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Qadsiah (2UP)	74.7%	81.7%	—	—	1.22
Al Fayha (2UP)	8.4%	8.5%	—	—	11.73

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Qadsiah to win 2nd half	61.4%	59.5%	—	—	1.68
2nd half drawn	27.1%	25.7%	—	—	3.88
Al Fayha to win 2nd half	11.5%	11.2%	—	—	8.95

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Fayha under 1.5 in 2nd half	91.9%	91.9%	—	—	1.09
Al Fayha under 0.5 in 2nd half	62.6%	60.1%	—	—	1.67
Al Fayha over 0.5 in 2nd half	37.4%	39.9%	—	—	2.50
Al Fayha over 1.5 in 2nd half	8.1%	8.1%	—	—	12.39

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Qadsiah over 0.5 in 2nd half	76.5%	75.4%	—	—	1.33
Al Qadsiah under 1.5 in 2nd half	57.5%	58.0%	—	—	1.72
Al Qadsiah over 1.5 in 2nd half	42.5%	42.0%	—	—	2.38
Al Qadsiah under 0.5 in 2nd half	23.5%	24.6%	—	—	4.07

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Qadsiah (+0.5)	91.6%	92.1%	65.0%	1.42×	1.09
Al Qadsiah (-0.5)	74.7%	73.7%	43.5%	1.69×	1.36
Al Fayha (+2.5)	67.8%	68.7%	90.5%	0.76×	1.46
Al Qadsiah (-1.5)	53.7%	52.4%	22.2%	2.36×	1.91
Al Fayha (+1.5)	46.3%	47.6%	77.8%	0.61×	2.10
Al Qadsiah (-2.5)	32.2%	31.3%	9.5%	3.29×	3.19
Al Fayha (+0.5)	25.3%	26.3%	56.5%	0.47×	3.80
Al Fayha (-0.5)	8.4%	7.9%	35.0%	0.23×	12.68

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Fayha to concede	92.1%	91.8%	78.1%	1.18×	1.09
Al Fayha clean sheet	7.9%	8.2%	21.9%	0.37×	12.27

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Fayha to concede in 1st half	66.5%	70.4%	—	—	1.42
Al Fayha clean sheet in 1st half	33.5%	29.7%	—	—	3.37

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Fayha to concede in 2nd half	76.5%	75.7%	—	—	1.32
Al Fayha clean sheet in 2nd half	23.5%	24.3%	—	—	4.12

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Fayha under 6.5 corners	94.2%	89.9%	—	—	1.11
Al Fayha under 5.5 corners	88.4%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Al Fayha under 4.5 corners	78.6%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Al Fayha under 3.5 corners	63.7%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Al Fayha over 2.5 corners	55.9%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Al Fayha under 2.5 corners	44.1%	42.8%	—	—	2.33
Al Fayha over 3.5 corners	36.3%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Al Fayha over 4.5 corners	21.4%	24.0%	—	—	4.17
Al Fayha over 5.5 corners	11.6%	14.8%	—	—	6.78
Al Fayha over 6.5 corners	5.8%	10.1%	—	—	9.92

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Fayha under 3.5 goals	99.2%	97.5%	93.1%	1.05×	1.03
Al Fayha under 2.5 goals	95.5%	97.5%	82.6%	1.18×	1.03
Al Fayha under 1.5 goals	81.6%	81.5%	60.9%	1.34×	1.23
Al Fayha over 0.5 goals	54.2%	53.6%	73.0%	0.73×	1.87
Al Fayha under 0.5 goals	45.8%	46.4%	27.0%	1.72×	2.15
Al Fayha over 1.5 goals	18.4%	18.5%	39.1%	0.47×	5.39
Al Fayha over 2.5 goals	4.5%	2.5%	17.4%	0.14×	39.80
Al Fayha over 3.5 goals	0.8%	2.5%	6.9%	0.36×	39.99

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Fayha under 1.5 in 1st half	96.0%	96.0%	—	—	1.04
Al Fayha under 0.5 in 1st half	73.2%	68.8%	—	—	1.45
Al Fayha over 0.5 in 1st half	26.8%	31.2%	—	—	3.21
Al Fayha over 1.5 in 1st half	4.0%	4.0%	—	—	25.21

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Fayha scores equally in both	52.8%	51.1%	—	—	1.96
Al Fayha scores more in 2nd half	29.2%	26.4%	—	—	3.79
Al Fayha scores more in 1st half	18.0%	18.0%	—	—	5.55

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Qadsiah (away no bet)	81.6%	82.6%	66.8%	1.24×	1.21
Draw (away no bet)	18.4%	17.4%	33.2%	0.52×	5.75

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Fayha even goals	60.5%	59.0%	52.4%	1.13×	1.69
Al Fayha odd goals	39.5%	41.0%	47.6%	0.86×	2.44

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	76.6%	81.3%	—	—	1.23
Both halves over 1.5 goals	23.4%	18.7%	—	—	5.34

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	75.2%	72.2%	—	—	1.38
Both halves under 1.5 goals	24.8%	27.8%	—	—	3.60

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	71.6%	72.0%	—	—	1.39
Al Qadsiah to score 2+ in a row	66.1%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Either team to score 3+ in a row	39.1%	36.7%	—	—	2.73
Al Qadsiah to score 3+ in a row	37.6%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
Al Fayha to score 2+ in a row	10.9%	12.0%	—	—	8.33
Al Fayha to score 3+ in a row	1.7%	2.5%	—	—	39.68

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Qadsiah corners (+3.5)	97.9%	95.7%	—	—	1.04
Al Qadsiah corners (+2.5)	96.0%	95.7%	—	—	1.05
Al Qadsiah corners (+1.5)	92.8%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Al Qadsiah corners (-1.5)	72.6%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Al Qadsiah corners (-2.5)	62.7%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Al Qadsiah corners (-3.5)	52.3%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Al Fayha corners (+3.5)	47.7%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Al Fayha corners (+2.5)	37.3%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Al Fayha corners (+1.5)	27.4%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Al Fayha corners (-1.5)	7.2%	10.4%	—	—	9.59
Al Fayha corners (-2.5)	4.0%	4.3%	—	—	23.43
Al Fayha corners (-3.5)	2.1%	4.3%	—	—	23.48

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	37.6%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
12+ corners	33.0%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
9-11 corners	29.3%	31.2%	—	—	3.21

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	74.8%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Over 7.5 corners	72.3%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 11.5 corners	67.0%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Over 8.5 corners	62.4%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Under 10.5 corners	57.9%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 9.5 corners	52.1%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 9.5 corners	47.9%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 10.5 corners	42.1%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Under 8.5 corners	37.6%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 11.5 corners	33.0%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Under 7.5 corners	27.7%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 12.5 corners	25.2%	27.5%	—	—	3.64

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-0	11.7%	11.5%	6.9%	1.65×	8.72
Any other score	11.5%	11.5%	5.6%	2.05×	8.72
2-1	9.1%	7.4%	8.5%	0.88×	13.50
3-0	9.9%	7.4%	3.2%	2.33×	13.50
1-0	8.3%	7.4%	9.2%	0.80×	13.50
1-1	8.0%	7.4%	10.7%	0.69×	13.50
3-1	7.7%	7.4%	5.1%	1.44×	13.50
4-0	6.3%	7.4%	2.1%	3.50×	13.51
4-1	4.9%	1.7%	2.4%	0.71×	58.29
0-0	4.5%	1.7%	5.3%	0.32×	58.29
0-1	2.0%	1.7%	6.8%	0.25×	58.31
0-2	1.1%	1.7%	5.4%	0.32×	58.31
0-3	0.3%	1.7%	2.3%	0.76×	58.32
0-4	0.1%	1.7%	1.1%	1.62×	58.32
1-2	2.8%	1.7%	7.4%	0.23×	58.30
1-3	0.7%	1.7%	3.9%	0.44×	58.32
1-4	0.1%	1.7%	1.1%	1.62×	58.32
2-2	3.5%	1.7%	4.8%	0.35×	58.30
2-3	0.9%	1.7%	3.3%	0.52×	58.31
2-4	0.2%	1.7%	1.2%	1.42×	58.32
3-2	3.0%	1.7%	3.6%	0.47×	58.30
3-3	0.8%	1.7%	1.1%	1.62×	58.31
3-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.6%	2.84×	58.32
4-2	1.9%	1.7%	1.1%	1.62×	58.31
4-3	0.5%	1.7%	0.6%	2.84×	58.32
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.3%	5.68×	58.32

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Qadsiah (2nd half DNB)	84.2%	83.3%	—	—	1.20
Al Fayha (2nd half DNB)	15.8%	16.7%	—	—	6.00

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Qadsiah leading at HT (DNB)	84.3%	86.3%	—	—	1.16
Al Fayha leading at HT (DNB)	15.7%	13.7%	—	—	7.28

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Qadsiah or draw (1X)	91.6%	91.8%	65.0%	1.41×	1.09
Al Qadsiah or Al Fayha (12)	83.1%	80.6%	78.4%	1.03×	1.24
Al Fayha or draw (X2)	25.3%	26.1%	56.5%	0.46×	3.83

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Qadsiah or draw at HT	89.6%	88.3%	—	—	1.13
Al Qadsiah or Al Fayha at HT	66.1%	66.6%	—	—	1.50
Al Fayha or draw at HT	44.3%	42.7%	—	—	2.34

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Qadsiah or draw (1UP)	91.6%	93.5%	—	—	1.07
Al Fayha or draw (1UP)	25.3%	31.0%	—	—	3.23

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Qadsiah or draw in 2nd half	88.5%	88.8%	—	—	1.13
Al Qadsiah or Al Fayha in 2nd half	72.9%	74.3%	—	—	1.35
Al Fayha or draw in 2nd half	38.6%	40.5%	—	—	2.47

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half drawn	49.2%	50.1%	—	—	1.99
A half drawn	50.8%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Qadsiah (DNB)	89.9%	87.3%	55.4%	1.58×	1.15
Al Fayha (DNB)	10.1%	12.7%	44.6%	0.29×	7.86

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Qadsiah to score first	73.1%	75.6%	—	—	1.32
Al Fayha to score first	22.4%	22.7%	—	—	4.40
No goal scored	4.5%	4.3%	—	—	23.22

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	50.8%	51.3%	56.3%	0.91×	1.95
Not both teams to score	49.2%	48.7%	43.7%	1.12×	2.05

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	42.8%	41.6%	45.8%	0.91×	2.41
Not both score & under 2.5	27.5%	33.3%	33.1%	1.01×	3.00
Not both score & over 2.5	21.8%	27.8%	10.7%	2.59×	3.60
Both score & under 2.5	8.0%	8.3%	10.7%	0.77×	12.06

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	86.7%	85.6%	83.5%	1.02×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	13.3%	14.4%	16.5%	0.87×	6.95

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	71.1%	73.7%	—	—	1.36
Both teams to score in 2nd half	28.9%	26.3%	—	—	3.81

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	58.2%	60.0%	—	—	1.67
Both score 2nd half only	23.8%	21.1%	—	—	4.73
Both score 1st half only	12.9%	10.7%	—	—	9.36
Both score in both halves	5.1%	6.8%	—	—	14.81

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	82.0%	83.2%	—	—	1.20
Both teams to score by HT	18.0%	16.8%	—	—	5.96

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	64.8%	59.9%	—	—	1.67
A half without a goal	35.2%	40.1%	—	—	2.49

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	42.8%	42.1%	43.5%	0.97×	2.37
4-6 goals	37.3%	35.1%	32.9%	1.07×	2.85
0-1 goals	14.7%	16.9%	21.0%	0.81×	5.90
7+ goals	5.2%	7.6%	2.9%	2.64×	13.18

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Fayha to score exactly 0	45.8%	42.8%	27.0%	1.58×	2.34
Al Fayha to score exactly 1	35.8%	35.9%	34.0%	1.06×	2.78
Al Fayha to score exactly 2	13.9%	12.9%	21.9%	0.59×	7.75
Al Fayha to score 3+	4.5%	4.6%	17.4%	0.26×	21.76

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Qadsiah to score 3+	46.7%	37.4%	21.1%	1.77×	2.68
Al Qadsiah to score exactly 2	25.4%	26.5%	24.8%	1.07×	3.77
Al Qadsiah to score exactly 1	20.0%	18.8%	32.5%	0.58×	5.33
Al Qadsiah to score exactly 0	7.9%	10.3%	21.9%	0.47×	9.71

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Qadsiah leading at HT	55.7%	57.3%	—	—	1.75
Draw at HT	33.9%	33.4%	—	—	3.00
Al Fayha leading at HT	10.4%	11.7%	—	—	8.55

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Qadsiah -1: 1	53.7%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Al Qadsiah -1: 2	25.3%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Al Qadsiah -1: X	21.0%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Qadsiah (0:1)	53.7%	51.3%	22.2%	2.31×	1.95
Al Fayha (0:1)	25.3%	27.0%	56.5%	0.48×	3.70
Draw (0:1)	21.0%	24.2%	21.5%	1.13×	4.13

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Fayha (0:2)	46.3%	51.1%	77.8%	0.66×	1.96
Al Qadsiah (0:2)	32.2%	28.7%	9.5%	3.02×	3.48
Draw (0:2)	21.6%	20.3%	12.8%	1.58×	4.93

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Fayha (0:3)	67.8%	71.9%	90.5%	0.79×	1.39
Al Qadsiah (0:3)	16.3%	16.1%	4.1%	3.95×	6.21
Draw (0:3)	15.9%	16.1%	5.6%	2.88×	6.22

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Fayha (0:4)	83.7%	87.4%	95.9%	0.91×	1.14
Draw (0:4)	9.2%	4.7%	2.9%	1.62×	21.46
Al Qadsiah (0:4)	7.0%	4.6%	1.4%	3.40×	21.65

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Qadsiah (1:0)	91.6%	92.6%	65.0%	1.43×	1.08
Draw (1:0)	5.8%	6.9%	17.7%	0.39×	14.52
Al Fayha (1:0)	2.6%	3.3%	17.5%	0.19×	30.70

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Qadsiah (2:0)	97.4%	96.8%	82.5%	1.17×	1.03
Draw (2:0)	2.0%	2.3%	10.6%	0.22×	43.70
Al Fayha (2:0)	0.6%	2.3%	7.1%	0.32×	43.80

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	48.8%	48.8%	—	—	2.05
1st half highest scoring	27.7%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
Halves equal	23.5%	24.4%	—	—	4.11

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Qadsiah to concede	54.2%	53.3%	73.0%	0.73×	1.88
Al Qadsiah clean sheet	45.8%	46.7%	27.0%	1.73×	2.14

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Qadsiah clean sheet in 1st half	73.2%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Al Qadsiah to concede in 1st half	26.8%	32.3%	—	—	3.10

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Qadsiah clean sheet in 2nd half	62.6%	59.8%	—	—	1.67
Al Qadsiah to concede in 2nd half	37.4%	40.2%	—	—	2.49

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Qadsiah over 2.5 corners	92.9%	89.2%	—	—	1.12
Al Qadsiah over 3.5 corners	85.3%	86.2%	—	—	1.16
Al Qadsiah over 4.5 corners	75.1%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Al Qadsiah over 5.5 corners	63.4%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Al Qadsiah over 6.5 corners	51.3%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Al Qadsiah under 6.5 corners	48.7%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Al Qadsiah under 5.5 corners	36.6%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Al Qadsiah under 4.5 corners	24.9%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Al Qadsiah under 3.5 corners	14.7%	13.8%	—	—	7.26
Al Qadsiah under 2.5 corners	7.1%	10.8%	—	—	9.29

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Qadsiah over 0.5 goals	92.1%	92.2%	78.1%	1.18×	1.08
Al Qadsiah under 3.5 goals	74.9%	74.3%	92.0%	0.81×	1.35
Al Qadsiah over 1.5 goals	72.2%	74.2%	45.8%	1.62×	1.35
Al Qadsiah under 2.5 goals	53.3%	53.2%	78.9%	0.67×	1.88
Al Qadsiah over 2.5 goals	46.7%	46.8%	21.1%	2.21×	2.14
Al Qadsiah under 1.5 goals	27.8%	25.8%	54.2%	0.48×	3.88
Al Qadsiah over 3.5 goals	25.1%	25.7%	8.0%	3.22×	3.89
Al Qadsiah under 0.5 goals	7.9%	7.8%	21.9%	0.35×	12.88

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Qadsiah under 1.5 in 1st half	70.1%	78.8%	—	—	1.27
Al Qadsiah over 0.5 in 1st half	66.5%	68.7%	—	—	1.46
Al Qadsiah under 0.5 in 1st half	33.5%	31.3%	—	—	3.20
Al Qadsiah over 1.5 in 1st half	29.9%	21.2%	—	—	4.71

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Qadsiah scores more in 2nd half	45.2%	47.2%	—	—	2.12
Al Qadsiah scores more in 1st half	28.5%	27.8%	—	—	3.59
Al Qadsiah scores equally in both	26.2%	27.8%	—	—	3.60

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	66.8%	64.2%	38.1%	1.68×	1.56
Al Fayha (home no bet)	33.2%	35.8%	61.9%	0.58×	2.79

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Qadsiah even goals	50.3%	50.7%	52.7%	0.96×	1.97
Al Qadsiah odd goals	49.7%	49.3%	47.3%	1.04×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 1-0	26.7%	27.9%	—	—	3.58
HT 0-0	24.7%	24.5%	—	—	4.09
HT 2-0	14.7%	11.0%	—	—	9.05
Any other HT score	10.2%	11.0%	—	—	9.09
HT 1-1	8.5%	6.9%	—	—	14.47
HT 0-1	7.5%	6.9%	—	—	14.48
HT 2-1	4.6%	2.4%	—	—	41.98
HT 1-2	1.3%	2.4%	—	—	42.19
HT 0-2	1.2%	2.4%	—	—	42.20
HT 2-2	0.7%	2.4%	—	—	42.23

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Qadsiah at HT / Al Qadsiah at FT	51.4%	53.1%	—	—	1.89
Draw at HT / Al Qadsiah at FT	20.2%	21.7%	—	—	4.60
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	10.2%	12.6%	—	—	7.92
Al Fayha at HT / Al Fayha at FT	4.1%	3.5%	—	—	28.61
Al Qadsiah at HT / Draw at FT	3.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.63
Draw at HT / Al Fayha at FT	3.5%	3.5%	—	—	28.64
Al Fayha at HT / Al Qadsiah at FT	3.1%	3.5%	—	—	28.65
Al Fayha at HT / Draw at FT	3.1%	3.5%	—	—	28.65
Al Qadsiah at HT / Al Fayha at FT	0.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.74

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Qadsiah to score last	73.3%	73.2%	—	—	1.37
Al Fayha to score last	22.2%	25.5%	—	—	3.92
No goal scored	4.5%	4.3%	—	—	23.22

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	95.5%	95.6%	—	—	1.05
Al Qadsiah to lead by 1 at any time	83.5%	87.8%	—	—	1.14
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	64.9%	61.5%	—	—	1.63
Al Qadsiah to lead by 2 at any time	59.6%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	36.5%	34.6%	—	—	2.89
Al Qadsiah to lead by 3 at any time	35.5%	34.6%	—	—	2.89
Al Fayha to lead by 1 at any time	25.3%	25.5%	—	—	3.93
Al Fayha to lead by 2 at any time	5.6%	6.7%	—	—	14.99
Al Fayha to lead by 3 at any time	1.0%	1.6%	—	—	63.69

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Qadsiah most corners	81.2%	81.3%	—	—	1.23
Al Fayha most corners	12.1%	10.4%	—	—	9.58
Corners level	6.8%	8.3%	—	—	11.98

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	83.6%	83.4%	87.2%	0.96×	1.20
2-6 goals	80.1%	83.4%	76.3%	1.09×	1.20
2-5 goals	73.4%	72.4%	71.5%	1.01×	1.38
1-4 goals	71.4%	72.4%	75.5%	0.96×	1.38
2-4 goals	61.2%	63.3%	59.8%	1.06×	1.58
3-6 goals	59.3%	59.1%	53.6%	1.10×	1.69
1-3 goals	53.1%	53.2%	59.2%	0.90×	1.88
3-5 goals	52.6%	53.2%	48.8%	1.09×	1.88
2-3 goals	42.8%	43.6%	43.5%	1.00×	2.29
3-4 goals	40.4%	43.6%	37.2%	1.17×	2.30
4-6 goals	37.3%	39.2%	32.9%	1.19×	2.55
1-2 goals	31.0%	35.2%	38.5%	0.91×	2.84
4-5 goals	30.5%	35.2%	28.1%	1.25×	2.84
5-6 goals	19.0%	18.8%	16.6%	1.13×	5.31
7+ goals	5.2%	8.9%	2.9%	3.09×	11.28

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Qadsiah never behind	70.2%	76.8%	—	—	1.30
Al Fayha never behind	12.0%	12.0%	—	—	8.33

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	48.2%	50.9%	50.3%	1.01×	1.96
Even number of goals	51.8%	49.1%	49.7%	0.99×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	53.3%	51.7%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	46.7%	48.3%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	51.7%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half	48.3%	48.1%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	95.5%	95.4%	94.7%	1.01×	1.05
Under 5.5 goals	88.1%	87.6%	92.3%	0.95×	1.14
Over 1.5 goals	85.3%	87.6%	79.0%	1.11×	1.14
Under 4.5 goals	75.9%	77.3%	80.7%	0.96×	1.29
Over 2.5 goals	64.5%	61.7%	56.3%	1.10×	1.62
Under 3.5 goals	57.5%	58.6%	64.4%	0.91×	1.71
Over 3.5 goals	42.5%	41.4%	35.7%	1.16×	2.42
Under 2.5 goals	35.5%	38.3%	43.7%	0.88×	2.61
Over 4.5 goals	24.1%	22.7%	19.3%	1.17×	4.40
Under 1.5 goals	14.7%	12.4%	21.0%	0.59×	8.06
Over 5.5 goals	11.9%	12.4%	7.7%	1.61×	8.07
Under 0.5 goals	4.5%	4.6%	5.3%	0.87×	21.85

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	94.4%	92.4%	97.0%	0.95×	1.08
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	86.4%	86.7%	91.3%	0.95×	1.15
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	81.4%	81.1%	72.9%	1.11×	1.23
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	70.5%	72.4%	76.9%	0.94×	1.38
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	54.5%	51.9%	45.0%	1.16×	1.93
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	45.5%	48.1%	55.0%	0.87×	2.08
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	29.5%	27.6%	23.1%	1.20×	3.62
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	18.6%	18.9%	27.1%	0.70×	5.29
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	13.6%	13.3%	8.7%	1.52×	7.53
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	5.6%	7.6%	3.0%	2.52×	13.17

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	83.2%	85.8%	—	—	1.17
Over 0.5 in 1st half	75.3%	78.0%	—	—	1.28
Under 1.5 in 1st half	58.8%	63.7%	—	—	1.57
Over 1.5 in 1st half	41.2%	36.3%	—	—	2.76
Under 0.5 in 1st half	24.7%	22.0%	—	—	4.56
Over 2.5 in 1st half	16.8%	14.2%	—	—	7.06

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	85.0%	85.4%	—	—	1.17
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	69.9%	68.8%	—	—	1.45
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	57.4%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	42.6%	45.1%	—	—	2.22
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	30.1%	31.2%	—	—	3.21
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	15.0%	14.6%	—	—	6.84

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Fayha not to score in both halves	90.0%	85.6%	—	—	1.17
Al Qadsiah to score in both halves	50.9%	55.2%	—	—	1.81
Al Qadsiah not to score in both halves	49.1%	44.8%	—	—	2.23
Al Fayha to score in both halves	10.0%	14.4%	—	—	6.93

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	50.8%	53.8%	56.3%	0.96×	1.86
Only Al Qadsiah scores	41.4%	46.5%	21.9%	2.13×	2.15
Neither team scores	4.5%	4.6%	5.3%	0.87×	21.66
Only Al Fayha scores	3.4%	4.6%	16.8%	0.27×	21.70

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 3 goals	22.1%	22.6%	20.8%	1.08×	4.43
Exactly 2 goals	20.8%	22.6%	22.8%	0.99×	4.43
Exactly 4 goals	18.3%	17.5%	16.5%	1.06×	5.73
Exactly 5 goals	12.2%	12.1%	11.8%	1.03×	8.25
6 or more goals	11.9%	12.1%	7.7%	1.57×	8.25
Exactly 1 goals	10.3%	12.1%	15.9%	0.76×	8.25
Exactly 0 goals	4.5%	4.5%	5.3%	0.85×	22.37

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	34.2%	35.9%	—	—	2.79
No goals in 1st half	24.7%	21.6%	—	—	4.64
2 goals in 1st half	24.4%	21.5%	—	—	4.64
3+ goals in 1st half	16.8%	15.6%	—	—	6.40

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	57.4%	54.1%	—	—	1.85
1 goal in 2nd half	27.6%	29.3%	—	—	3.41
No goals in 2nd half	15.0%	14.4%	—	—	6.93

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Fayha not to win both halves	98.8%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
Al Qadsiah not to win both halves	65.5%	69.2%	—	—	1.45
Al Qadsiah to win both halves	34.5%	30.8%	—	—	3.25
Al Fayha to win both halves	1.2%	2.8%	—	—	36.26

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Qadsiah to win either half	82.7%	83.6%	—	—	1.20
Al Fayha to win neither half	79.3%	80.0%	—	—	1.25
Al Fayha to win either half	20.7%	20.0%	—	—	5.01
Al Qadsiah to win neither half	17.4%	16.4%	—	—	6.08

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Fayha not to win to nil	96.6%	96.1%	83.2%	1.16×	1.04
Al Qadsiah not to win to nil	58.6%	59.3%	78.1%	0.76×	1.69
Al Qadsiah to win to nil	41.4%	40.7%	21.9%	1.86×	2.46
Al Fayha to win to nil	3.4%	3.9%	16.8%	0.23×	25.89

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Qadsiah by 3+	32.2%	27.7%	9.5%	2.91×	3.61
Al Qadsiah by 2	21.6%	24.1%	12.8%	1.88×	4.15
Al Qadsiah by 1	21.0%	24.1%	21.5%	1.12×	4.15
Draw	16.9%	17.0%	21.6%	0.79×	5.87
Al Fayha by 1	5.8%	7.2%	17.7%	0.41×	13.91
Al Fayha by 2	2.0%	2.7%	10.6%	0.26×	36.84
Al Fayha by 3+	0.6%	2.7%	7.1%	0.38×	36.89