Al Riyadh v Al Ittihad FC — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Thursday 3 December 2026 · KSA-Pro League · 2627

KSA-Pro League results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Al Riyadh

20:00 UTC

Al Ittihad FC

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 24 Oct, 10:57 · 969h before kick-off

Al Riyadh win

22.1%

model 20.3%

Draw

26.7%

model 25.3%

Al Ittihad FC win

51.2%

model 54.4%

222751

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (466 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 12.0%
1-2 9.9%
0-2 9.3%
0-1 8.8%
0-0 6.8%

Goals

Over 2.5	55.5%	Under 2.5	44.5%
BTTS yes	56.3%	BTTS no	43.7%
Al Riyadh 1+	65.4%	Al Riyadh 2+	28.7%
Al Ittihad FC 1+	84.2%	Al Ittihad FC 2+	55.0%

Expected goals 1.06 – 1.84. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

80/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

100%

★ Best pick

Draw (away no bet)

Away no bet · usually 33%

59.4% fair odds 1.69

strong signal · 395 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Al Ittihad FC not to win both halves

Win both halves

83.2% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 588 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Al Ittihad FC carry the stronger rating, 1649 Elo against 1406.
Form is good: 2.60 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Al Ittihad FC have an estimated 51.2% win probability, against 26.7% for the draw and 22.1% for Al Riyadh. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.06 for Al Riyadh and 1.84 for Al Ittihad FC.

Why Al Riyadh

Nothing in the data singles out Al Riyadh.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 26.7%. Draws run at 22% in this competition.

Why Al Ittihad FC can win

Al Ittihad FC carry the stronger rating, 1649 Elo against 1406. Form is good: 2.60 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Al Riyadh, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Al Ittihad FC, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Al Riyadh: 36% possession, 9.6 shots a match, 16.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Al Ittihad FC: 51% possession, 15.4 shots a match, 14.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-24 13:59 · team_stats 2026-10-24 06:04 · availability 2026-10-24 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Al Ittihad FC are the model's most likely outcome at 51.2%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 12.0%. Confidence 80/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	202554	1.06–1.84	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	202554	1.04–1.83	1-1 12%	55%	56%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ittihad FC to win	54.4%	51.5%	35.0%	1.47×	1.94
Draw	25.5%	27.9%	21.6%	1.29×	3.59
Al Riyadh to win	20.1%	24.4%	43.5%	0.56×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ittihad FC & not both score	28.3%	25.2%	16.8%	1.50×	3.97
Al Ittihad FC & both teams score	26.1%	25.2%	18.4%	1.37×	3.97
Draw & both teams score	18.5%	18.0%	16.5%	1.09×	5.56
Al Riyadh & both teams score	11.0%	13.3%	21.8%	0.61×	7.54
Al Riyadh & not both score	9.1%	8.3%	21.9%	0.38×	12.00
Draw & not both score	7.0%	8.3%	5.3%	1.57×	12.01

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ittihad FC & over 1.5	45.4%	45.0%	28.4%	1.59×	2.22
Al Ittihad FC & over 2.5	35.9%	34.9%	23.1%	1.51×	2.87
Al Ittihad FC & under 3.5	34.2%	30.8%	21.5%	1.43×	3.25
Al Ittihad FC & over 3.5	20.2%	21.6%	13.7%	1.57×	4.63
Draw & under 2.5	19.1%	18.0%	15.9%	1.13×	5.56
Draw & under 3.5	19.1%	18.0%	15.9%	1.13×	5.56
Al Ittihad FC & under 2.5	18.6%	18.0%	12.1%	1.49×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	18.5%	18.0%	16.5%	1.09×	5.56
Al Riyadh & over 1.5	15.5%	18.0%	34.4%	0.52×	5.56
Al Riyadh & under 3.5	14.4%	12.8%	27.3%	0.47×	7.79
Al Riyadh & over 2.5	12.4%	12.8%	27.6%	0.46×	7.79
Al Ittihad FC & under 1.5	9.1%	7.9%	6.8%	1.17×	12.63
Al Riyadh & under 2.5	7.7%	7.9%	16.0%	0.49×	12.63
Draw & under 1.5	7.0%	7.9%	5.3%	1.50×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	6.4%	7.9%	5.9%	1.34×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	6.4%	7.9%	5.9%	1.34×	12.63
Al Riyadh & over 3.5	5.7%	7.9%	16.3%	0.49×	12.63
Al Riyadh & under 1.5	4.6%	4.8%	9.2%	0.52×	20.81

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ittihad FC (1UP)	68.7%	70.2%	—	—	1.42
Al Riyadh (1UP)	38.9%	34.2%	—	—	2.92

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ittihad FC (2UP)	54.4%	55.2%	—	—	1.81
Al Riyadh (2UP)	20.1%	23.2%	—	—	4.31

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ittihad FC to win 2nd half	47.1%	45.8%	—	—	2.18
2nd half drawn	33.5%	34.3%	—	—	2.91
Al Riyadh to win 2nd half	19.4%	18.3%	—	—	5.47

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ittihad FC under 1.5 in 2nd half	70.1%	75.1%	—	—	1.33
Al Ittihad FC over 0.5 in 2nd half	66.6%	70.0%	—	—	1.43
Al Ittihad FC under 0.5 in 2nd half	33.4%	30.0%	—	—	3.33
Al Ittihad FC over 1.5 in 2nd half	29.9%	24.9%	—	—	4.02

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Riyadh under 1.5 in 2nd half	88.0%	88.4%	—	—	1.13
Al Riyadh under 0.5 in 2nd half	55.2%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Al Riyadh over 0.5 in 2nd half	44.8%	42.2%	—	—	2.37
Al Riyadh over 1.5 in 2nd half	12.0%	11.6%	—	—	8.64

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ittihad FC (+2.5)	97.8%	96.3%	90.5%	1.06×	1.04
Al Ittihad FC (+1.5)	92.2%	92.1%	77.8%	1.18×	1.09
Al Ittihad FC (+0.5)	79.9%	78.5%	56.5%	1.39×	1.27
Al Ittihad FC (-0.5)	54.4%	52.4%	35.0%	1.50×	1.91
Al Riyadh (+0.5)	45.6%	47.6%	65.0%	0.73×	2.10
Al Riyadh (-0.5)	20.1%	21.5%	43.5%	0.49×	4.65
Al Riyadh (-1.5)	7.8%	7.9%	22.2%	0.36×	12.68
Al Riyadh (-2.5)	2.2%	3.7%	9.5%	0.39×	27.17

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ittihad FC to concede	64.7%	67.6%	78.1%	0.87×	1.48
Al Ittihad FC clean sheet	35.3%	32.4%	21.9%	1.48×	3.09

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ittihad FC clean sheet in 1st half	63.9%	65.0%	—	—	1.54
Al Ittihad FC to concede in 1st half	36.1%	35.0%	—	—	2.86

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ittihad FC clean sheet in 2nd half	55.2%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Al Ittihad FC to concede in 2nd half	44.8%	42.9%	—	—	2.33

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ittihad FC over 2.5 corners	90.8%	89.9%	—	—	1.11
Al Ittihad FC over 3.5 corners	81.6%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Al Ittihad FC over 4.5 corners	70.0%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Al Ittihad FC over 5.5 corners	57.2%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Al Ittihad FC under 6.5 corners	55.4%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Al Ittihad FC over 6.5 corners	44.6%	42.8%	—	—	2.33
Al Ittihad FC under 5.5 corners	42.8%	42.8%	—	—	2.33
Al Ittihad FC under 4.5 corners	30.0%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Al Ittihad FC under 3.5 corners	18.4%	18.6%	—	—	5.38
Al Ittihad FC under 2.5 corners	9.2%	10.1%	—	—	9.88

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ittihad FC under 3.5 goals	88.7%	87.8%	93.1%	0.94×	1.14
Al Ittihad FC over 0.5 goals	83.9%	81.5%	73.0%	1.12×	1.23
Al Ittihad FC under 2.5 goals	72.4%	71.9%	82.6%	0.87×	1.39
Al Ittihad FC over 1.5 goals	54.5%	53.5%	39.1%	1.37×	1.87
Al Ittihad FC under 1.5 goals	45.5%	46.5%	60.9%	0.76×	2.15
Al Ittihad FC over 2.5 goals	27.6%	28.1%	17.4%	1.62×	3.56
Al Ittihad FC under 0.5 goals	16.1%	18.5%	27.0%	0.69×	5.40
Al Ittihad FC over 3.5 goals	11.3%	12.2%	6.9%	1.75×	8.21

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ittihad FC under 1.5 in 1st half	83.4%	83.2%	—	—	1.20
Al Ittihad FC over 0.5 in 1st half	51.8%	55.6%	—	—	1.80
Al Ittihad FC under 0.5 in 1st half	48.2%	44.4%	—	—	2.25
Al Ittihad FC over 1.5 in 1st half	16.6%	16.8%	—	—	5.97

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ittihad FC scores more in 2nd half	43.9%	43.8%	—	—	2.29
Al Ittihad FC scores equally in both	31.8%	33.4%	—	—	2.99
Al Ittihad FC scores more in 1st half	24.2%	22.1%	—	—	4.52

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (away no bet)	55.9%	57.4%	33.2%	1.73×	1.74
Al Riyadh (away no bet)	44.1%	42.6%	66.8%	0.64×	2.35

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ittihad FC even goals	51.3%	52.6%	52.4%	1.00×	1.90
Al Ittihad FC odd goals	48.7%	47.4%	47.6%	1.00×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	83.4%	83.0%	—	—	1.21
Both halves over 1.5 goals	16.6%	17.0%	—	—	5.87

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	67.4%	68.4%	—	—	1.46
Both halves under 1.5 goals	32.6%	31.6%	—	—	3.17

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	59.7%	55.3%	—	—	1.81
Al Ittihad FC to score 2+ in a row	46.5%	46.1%	—	—	2.17
Either team to score 3+ in a row	23.7%	19.6%	—	—	5.09
Al Ittihad FC to score 3+ in a row	19.6%	16.3%	—	—	6.14
Al Riyadh to score 2+ in a row	19.5%	16.3%	—	—	6.14
Al Riyadh to score 3+ in a row	4.4%	2.6%	—	—	38.05

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ittihad FC corners (+3.5)	92.3%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Al Ittihad FC corners (+2.5)	87.9%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Al Ittihad FC corners (+1.5)	81.8%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Al Riyadh corners (+3.5)	64.9%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Al Riyadh corners (+2.5)	55.2%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Al Ittihad FC corners (-1.5)	55.0%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Al Riyadh corners (+1.5)	45.0%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Al Ittihad FC corners (-2.5)	44.8%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Al Ittihad FC corners (-3.5)	35.1%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Al Riyadh corners (-1.5)	18.2%	20.2%	—	—	4.94
Al Riyadh corners (-2.5)	12.1%	15.5%	—	—	6.45
Al Riyadh corners (-3.5)	7.7%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
12+ corners	39.8%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
0-8 corners	31.0%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
9-11 corners	29.3%	31.2%	—	—	3.21

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	78.1%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Over 8.5 corners	69.0%	67.8%	—	—	1.47
Under 12.5 corners	68.8%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Under 11.5 corners	60.2%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Over 9.5 corners	59.2%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 10.5 corners	50.7%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 10.5 corners	49.3%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Under 9.5 corners	40.8%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Over 11.5 corners	39.8%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 12.5 corners	31.2%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Under 8.5 corners	31.0%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Under 7.5 corners	21.9%	23.4%	—	—	4.27

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	12.1%	11.5%	10.7%	1.07×	8.72
1-2	9.9%	7.4%	7.4%	1.00×	13.50
0-1	9.1%	7.4%	6.8%	1.09×	13.51
0-2	9.5%	7.4%	5.4%	1.36×	13.50
0-0	7.0%	7.4%	5.3%	1.40×	13.51
0-3	5.8%	7.4%	2.3%	3.27×	13.51
1-3	6.0%	7.4%	3.9%	1.89×	13.51
2-1	5.6%	7.4%	8.5%	0.88×	13.51
2-2	5.1%	7.4%	4.8%	1.53×	13.51
0-4	2.6%	1.7%	1.1%	1.62×	58.30
1-0	4.6%	1.7%	9.2%	0.19×	58.29
1-4	2.7%	1.7%	1.1%	1.62×	58.30
2-0	3.1%	1.7%	6.9%	0.25×	58.30
2-3	3.1%	1.7%	3.3%	0.52×	58.30
2-4	1.4%	1.7%	1.2%	1.42×	58.31
3-0	1.1%	1.7%	3.2%	0.54×	58.31
3-1	2.0%	1.7%	5.1%	0.33×	58.31
3-2	1.8%	1.7%	3.6%	0.47×	58.31
3-3	1.1%	1.7%	1.1%	1.62×	58.31
3-4	0.5%	1.7%	0.6%	2.84×	58.32
4-0	0.3%	1.7%	2.1%	0.81×	58.32
4-1	0.5%	1.7%	2.4%	0.71×	58.32
4-2	0.5%	1.7%	1.1%	1.62×	58.32
4-3	0.3%	1.7%	0.6%	2.84×	58.32
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.3%	5.68×	58.32
Any other score	4.2%	1.7%	5.6%	0.31×	58.30

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ittihad FC (2nd half DNB)	70.8%	70.9%	—	—	1.41
Al Riyadh (2nd half DNB)	29.2%	29.1%	—	—	3.43

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ittihad FC leading at HT (DNB)	65.5%	73.7%	—	—	1.36
Al Riyadh leading at HT (DNB)	34.5%	26.3%	—	—	3.81

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ittihad FC or draw (X2)	79.9%	75.6%	56.5%	1.34×	1.32
Al Riyadh or Al Ittihad FC (12)	74.5%	72.1%	78.4%	0.92×	1.39
Al Riyadh or draw (1X)	45.6%	48.5%	65.0%	0.75×	2.06

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ittihad FC or draw at HT	80.1%	84.1%	—	—	1.19
Al Riyadh or draw at HT	62.1%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
Al Riyadh or Al Ittihad FC at HT	57.9%	57.1%	—	—	1.75

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ittihad FC or draw (1UP)	79.9%	84.3%	—	—	1.19
Al Riyadh or draw (1UP)	45.6%	53.2%	—	—	1.88

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ittihad FC or draw in 2nd half	80.6%	81.7%	—	—	1.22
Al Riyadh or Al Ittihad FC in 2nd half	66.5%	65.7%	—	—	1.52
Al Riyadh or draw in 2nd half	52.9%	54.2%	—	—	1.85

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	60.1%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
Neither half drawn	39.9%	38.6%	—	—	2.59

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ittihad FC (DNB)	73.0%	71.5%	44.6%	1.60×	1.40
Al Riyadh (DNB)	27.0%	28.5%	55.4%	0.51×	3.51

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ittihad FC to score first	59.2%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Al Riyadh to score first	33.8%	27.6%	—	—	3.63
No goal scored	7.0%	7.4%	—	—	13.44

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	55.6%	55.0%	56.3%	0.98×	1.82
Not both teams to score	44.4%	45.0%	43.7%	1.03×	2.22

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	43.5%	41.6%	45.8%	0.91×	2.40
Not both score & under 2.5	33.2%	34.5%	33.1%	1.04×	2.90
Both score & under 2.5	12.1%	12.4%	10.7%	1.15×	8.09
Not both score & over 2.5	11.2%	12.4%	10.7%	1.15×	8.09

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	84.8%	82.6%	83.5%	0.99×	1.21
Both teams to score 2+	15.2%	17.4%	16.5%	1.05×	5.76

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	69.7%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Both teams to score in 2nd half	30.3%	32.5%	—	—	3.08

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	56.4%	59.9%	—	—	1.67
Both score 2nd half only	24.7%	21.4%	—	—	4.68
Both score 1st half only	13.4%	10.8%	—	—	9.30
Both score in both halves	5.6%	6.8%	—	—	14.79

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	81.1%	83.2%	—	—	1.20
Both teams to score by HT	18.9%	16.8%	—	—	5.96

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	57.1%	57.3%	—	—	1.75
A half without a goal	42.9%	42.7%	—	—	2.34

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	47.0%	47.2%	43.5%	1.09×	2.12
4-6 goals	29.6%	26.6%	32.9%	0.81×	3.76
0-1 goals	20.7%	22.9%	21.0%	1.09×	4.37
7+ goals	2.7%	1.8%	2.9%	0.64×	54.23

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ittihad FC to score exactly 1	29.4%	27.4%	34.0%	0.81×	3.65
Al Ittihad FC to score 3+	27.6%	27.4%	17.4%	1.58×	3.65
Al Ittihad FC to score exactly 2	26.9%	27.4%	21.9%	1.25×	3.65
Al Ittihad FC to score exactly 0	16.1%	19.6%	27.0%	0.72×	5.11

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Riyadh to score exactly 1	36.8%	35.6%	32.5%	1.10×	2.81
Al Riyadh to score exactly 0	35.3%	35.6%	21.9%	1.62×	2.81
Al Riyadh to score exactly 2	19.2%	18.8%	24.8%	0.76×	5.33
Al Riyadh to score 3+	8.8%	10.3%	21.1%	0.49×	9.69

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	42.1%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Al Ittihad FC leading at HT	37.9%	38.6%	—	—	2.59
Al Riyadh leading at HT	20.0%	15.9%	—	—	6.28

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ittihad FC -1: 1	45.6%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Al Ittihad FC -1: 2	31.8%	30.1%	—	—	3.33
Al Ittihad FC -1: X	22.6%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ittihad FC (0:1)	79.9%	73.9%	56.5%	1.31×	1.35
Draw (0:1)	12.4%	13.7%	21.5%	0.64×	7.29
Al Riyadh (0:1)	7.8%	9.2%	22.2%	0.42×	10.82

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ittihad FC (0:2)	92.2%	90.7%	77.8%	1.17×	1.10
Draw (0:2)	5.6%	7.7%	12.8%	0.60×	13.06
Al Riyadh (0:2)	2.2%	3.7%	9.5%	0.39×	26.75

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ittihad FC (0:3)	97.8%	96.6%	90.5%	1.07×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	1.7%	2.4%	5.6%	0.42×	42.14
Al Riyadh (0:3)	0.5%	2.4%	4.1%	0.58×	42.19

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ittihad FC (0:4)	99.5%	98.1%	95.9%	1.02×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	0.4%	1.2%	2.9%	0.42×	82.06
Al Riyadh (0:4)	0.1%	1.2%	1.4%	0.90×	82.09

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Riyadh (1:0)	45.6%	49.1%	65.0%	0.76×	2.04
Al Ittihad FC (1:0)	31.8%	30.0%	17.5%	1.71×	3.33
Draw (1:0)	22.6%	21.7%	17.7%	1.23×	4.61

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Riyadh (2:0)	68.2%	70.9%	82.5%	0.86×	1.41
Draw (2:0)	17.1%	15.8%	10.6%	1.49×	6.33
Al Ittihad FC (2:0)	14.7%	10.3%	7.1%	1.45×	9.70

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	48.2%	48.7%	—	—	2.05
Halves equal	26.0%	26.2%	—	—	3.82
1st half highest scoring	25.8%	26.2%	—	—	3.82

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Riyadh to concede	83.9%	80.9%	73.0%	1.11×	1.24
Al Riyadh clean sheet	16.1%	19.1%	27.0%	0.71×	5.25

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Riyadh to concede in 1st half	51.8%	55.6%	—	—	1.80
Al Riyadh clean sheet in 1st half	48.2%	44.4%	—	—	2.25

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Riyadh to concede in 2nd half	66.6%	66.9%	—	—	1.50
Al Riyadh clean sheet in 2nd half	33.4%	33.1%	—	—	3.02

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Riyadh under 6.5 corners	81.9%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Al Riyadh over 2.5 corners	75.3%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Al Riyadh under 5.5 corners	71.5%	71.8%	—	—	1.39
Al Riyadh over 3.5 corners	58.7%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Al Riyadh under 4.5 corners	57.6%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Al Riyadh over 4.5 corners	42.4%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Al Riyadh under 3.5 corners	41.3%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Al Riyadh over 5.5 corners	28.5%	28.2%	—	—	3.55
Al Riyadh under 2.5 corners	24.7%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Al Riyadh over 6.5 corners	18.1%	19.0%	—	—	5.25

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Riyadh under 3.5 goals	97.8%	96.4%	92.0%	1.05×	1.04
Al Riyadh under 2.5 goals	91.2%	92.2%	78.9%	1.17×	1.08
Al Riyadh under 1.5 goals	72.0%	74.2%	54.2%	1.37×	1.35
Al Riyadh over 0.5 goals	64.7%	63.6%	78.1%	0.81×	1.57
Al Riyadh under 0.5 goals	35.3%	36.4%	21.9%	1.66×	2.75
Al Riyadh over 1.5 goals	28.0%	25.8%	45.8%	0.56×	3.88
Al Riyadh over 2.5 goals	8.8%	7.8%	21.1%	0.37×	12.87
Al Riyadh over 3.5 goals	2.2%	3.6%	8.0%	0.45×	27.57

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Riyadh under 1.5 in 1st half	92.5%	94.7%	—	—	1.06
Al Riyadh under 0.5 in 1st half	63.9%	64.8%	—	—	1.54
Al Riyadh over 0.5 in 1st half	36.1%	35.2%	—	—	2.84
Al Riyadh over 1.5 in 1st half	7.5%	5.3%	—	—	18.97

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Riyadh scores equally in both	45.3%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
Al Riyadh scores more in 2nd half	32.2%	33.2%	—	—	3.02
Al Riyadh scores more in 1st half	22.5%	21.2%	—	—	4.71

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ittihad FC (home no bet)	68.1%	64.2%	61.9%	1.04×	1.56
Draw (home no bet)	31.9%	35.8%	38.1%	0.94×	2.79

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Riyadh even goals	56.2%	55.3%	52.7%	1.05×	1.81
Al Riyadh odd goals	43.8%	44.7%	47.3%	0.95×	2.24

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	31.0%	33.1%	—	—	3.02
HT 0-1	22.3%	24.4%	—	—	4.11
HT 1-0	13.6%	11.0%	—	—	9.10
HT 1-1	10.3%	11.0%	—	—	9.13
HT 0-2	8.2%	6.9%	—	—	14.46
Any other HT score	4.8%	2.4%	—	—	41.98
HT 1-2	3.7%	2.4%	—	—	42.06
HT 2-0	3.1%	2.4%	—	—	42.09
HT 2-1	2.3%	2.4%	—	—	42.15
HT 2-2	0.8%	2.4%	—	—	42.24

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ittihad FC at HT / Al Ittihad FC at FT	31.9%	32.2%	—	—	3.10
Draw at HT / Al Ittihad FC at FT	19.1%	16.8%	—	—	5.97
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	15.6%	16.7%	—	—	5.98
Al Riyadh at HT / Al Riyadh at FT	11.2%	12.6%	—	—	7.91
Draw at HT / Al Riyadh at FT	7.5%	6.0%	—	—	16.61
Al Riyadh at HT / Draw at FT	5.3%	6.0%	—	—	16.67
Al Ittihad FC at HT / Draw at FT	4.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.62
Al Riyadh at HT / Al Ittihad FC at FT	3.5%	3.5%	—	—	28.66
Al Ittihad FC at HT / Al Riyadh at FT	1.4%	3.5%	—	—	28.74

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ittihad FC to score last	59.4%	56.5%	—	—	1.77
Al Riyadh to score last	33.6%	32.7%	—	—	3.06
No goal scored	7.0%	7.4%	—	—	13.44

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	93.0%	92.7%	—	—	1.08
Al Ittihad FC to lead by 1 at any time	68.7%	69.5%	—	—	1.44
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	50.8%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
Al Riyadh to lead by 1 at any time	38.9%	34.7%	—	—	2.88
Al Ittihad FC to lead by 2 at any time	38.5%	34.7%	—	—	2.89
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	20.6%	19.6%	—	—	5.10
Al Ittihad FC to lead by 3 at any time	17.4%	14.9%	—	—	6.70
Al Riyadh to lead by 2 at any time	12.5%	10.5%	—	—	9.56
Al Riyadh to lead by 3 at any time	3.2%	1.6%	—	—	61.55

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ittihad FC most corners	65.0%	60.6%	—	—	1.65
Al Riyadh most corners	25.9%	31.1%	—	—	3.22
Corners level	9.1%	8.4%	—	—	11.97

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	85.9%	87.4%	87.2%	1.00×	1.14
1-4 goals	76.7%	78.7%	75.5%	1.04×	1.27
2-6 goals	76.6%	78.7%	76.3%	1.03×	1.27
2-5 goals	72.2%	72.4%	71.5%	1.01×	1.38
2-4 goals	63.0%	63.3%	59.8%	1.06×	1.58
1-3 goals	60.7%	63.3%	59.2%	1.07×	1.58
3-6 goals	51.9%	53.2%	53.6%	0.99×	1.88
3-5 goals	47.5%	48.5%	48.8%	0.99×	2.06
2-3 goals	47.0%	48.5%	43.5%	1.11×	2.06
1-2 goals	38.4%	39.2%	38.5%	1.02×	2.55
3-4 goals	38.4%	39.2%	37.2%	1.06×	2.55
4-6 goals	29.6%	30.2%	32.9%	0.92×	3.31
4-5 goals	25.2%	30.2%	28.1%	1.08×	3.31
5-6 goals	13.6%	14.8%	16.6%	0.89×	6.75
7+ goals	2.7%	2.6%	2.9%	0.89×	39.10

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ittihad FC never behind	54.1%	62.6%	—	—	1.60
Al Riyadh never behind	24.3%	24.8%	—	—	4.04

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	47.2%	50.9%	50.3%	1.01×	1.96
Even number of goals	52.8%	49.1%	49.7%	0.99×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	55.2%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Odd goals in 1st half	44.8%	42.2%	—	—	2.37

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.6%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half	47.4%	48.1%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	92.9%	92.3%	92.3%	1.00×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	93.0%	92.3%	94.7%	0.97×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	83.7%	82.3%	80.7%	1.02×	1.22
Over 1.5 goals	79.3%	77.3%	79.0%	0.98×	1.29
Under 3.5 goals	67.7%	66.3%	64.4%	1.03×	1.51
Over 2.5 goals	54.7%	52.5%	56.3%	0.93×	1.90
Under 2.5 goals	45.3%	47.5%	43.7%	1.09×	2.11
Over 3.5 goals	32.3%	33.7%	35.7%	0.95×	2.97
Under 1.5 goals	20.7%	22.7%	21.0%	1.08×	4.41
Over 4.5 goals	16.3%	17.7%	19.3%	0.92×	5.65
Over 5.5 goals	7.1%	7.7%	7.7%	1.00×	12.94
Under 0.5 goals	7.0%	7.7%	5.3%	1.46×	12.94

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	97.2%	97.2%	97.0%	1.00×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	92.2%	92.4%	91.3%	1.01×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	80.6%	81.1%	76.9%	1.05×	1.23
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	72.5%	72.4%	72.9%	0.99×	1.38
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	58.4%	55.8%	55.0%	1.01×	1.79
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	41.6%	44.2%	45.0%	0.98×	2.26
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	27.5%	27.6%	27.1%	1.02×	3.62
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	19.4%	18.9%	23.1%	0.82×	5.29
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	7.8%	7.6%	8.7%	0.87×	13.15
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	2.8%	2.8%	3.0%	0.93×	35.57

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	88.4%	89.2%	—	—	1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half	69.0%	68.6%	—	—	1.46
Under 1.5 in 1st half	66.8%	68.6%	—	—	1.46
Over 1.5 in 1st half	33.2%	31.4%	—	—	3.18
Under 0.5 in 1st half	31.0%	31.4%	—	—	3.19
Over 2.5 in 1st half	11.6%	10.8%	—	—	9.26

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	81.1%	83.2%	—	—	1.20
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	76.0%	79.1%	—	—	1.26
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	50.8%	52.9%	—	—	1.89
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	49.2%	47.1%	—	—	2.13
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	24.0%	20.9%	—	—	4.78
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	18.9%	16.8%	—	—	5.95

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Riyadh not to score in both halves	83.8%	84.4%	—	—	1.19
Al Ittihad FC not to score in both halves	65.5%	69.8%	—	—	1.43
Al Ittihad FC to score in both halves	34.5%	30.2%	—	—	3.31
Al Riyadh to score in both halves	16.2%	15.6%	—	—	6.39

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	55.6%	58.6%	56.3%	1.04×	1.71
Only Al Ittihad FC scores	28.3%	26.0%	16.8%	1.55×	3.84
Only Al Riyadh scores	9.1%	7.1%	21.9%	0.33×	14.02
Neither team scores	7.0%	7.1%	5.3%	1.35×	14.04

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	24.7%	22.6%	22.8%	0.99×	4.43
Exactly 3 goals	22.3%	22.6%	20.8%	1.08×	4.43
Exactly 4 goals	16.0%	17.5%	16.5%	1.06×	5.73
Exactly 1 goals	13.7%	12.1%	15.9%	0.76×	8.24
Exactly 5 goals	9.2%	7.6%	11.8%	0.65×	13.13
Exactly 0 goals	7.0%	7.6%	5.3%	1.44×	13.14
6 or more goals	7.1%	7.6%	7.7%	0.99×	13.14

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	35.8%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
No goals in 1st half	31.0%	35.8%	—	—	2.80
2 goals in 1st half	21.6%	21.5%	—	—	4.66
3+ goals in 1st half	11.6%	10.7%	—	—	9.34

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	50.8%	51.1%	—	—	1.96
1 goal in 2nd half	30.3%	33.8%	—	—	2.96
No goals in 2nd half	18.9%	16.5%	—	—	6.06

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Riyadh not to win both halves	96.0%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
Al Ittihad FC not to win both halves	81.9%	83.8%	—	—	1.19
Al Ittihad FC to win both halves	18.1%	16.2%	—	—	6.16
Al Riyadh to win both halves	4.0%	2.8%	—	—	35.17

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Ittihad FC to win either half	66.9%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Al Riyadh to win neither half	64.7%	65.2%	—	—	1.53
Al Riyadh to win either half	35.3%	34.8%	—	—	2.87
Al Ittihad FC to win neither half	33.1%	32.3%	—	—	3.09

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Riyadh not to win to nil	90.9%	92.1%	78.1%	1.18×	1.09
Al Ittihad FC not to win to nil	71.7%	75.3%	83.2%	0.91×	1.33
Al Ittihad FC to win to nil	28.3%	24.7%	16.8%	1.47×	4.05
Al Riyadh to win to nil	9.1%	7.9%	21.9%	0.36×	12.62

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	25.5%	27.9%	21.6%	1.29×	3.59
Al Ittihad FC by 1	22.6%	24.1%	17.7%	1.36×	4.15
Al Ittihad FC by 2	17.1%	17.0%	10.6%	1.61×	5.87
Al Ittihad FC by 3+	14.7%	11.8%	7.1%	1.66×	8.50
Al Riyadh by 1	12.4%	11.8%	21.5%	0.55×	8.51
Al Riyadh by 2	5.6%	7.2%	12.8%	0.56×	13.92
Al Riyadh by 3+	2.2%	2.7%	9.5%	0.29×	36.84