Al Shabab v NEOM — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Thursday 3 December 2026 · KSA-Pro League · 2627

KSA-Pro League results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Al Shabab

20:00 UTC

NEOM

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 22 Oct, 10:58 · 1,017h before kick-off

Al Shabab win

31.3%

model 34.7%

Draw

29.0%

model 28.7%

NEOM win

39.8%

model 36.5%

312940

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (648 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 13.7%
1-2 8.4%
0-0 8.2%
2-1 8.2%
0-1 7.7%

Goals

Over 2.5	50.7%	Under 2.5	49.3%
BTTS yes	56.4%	BTTS no	43.6%
Al Shabab 1+	73.6%	Al Shabab 2+	38.4%
NEOM 1+	74.6%	NEOM 2+	39.8%

Expected goals 1.33 – 1.37. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

79/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

98%

★ Best pick

Under 3.5 goals

Over/Under · usually 64%

71.9% fair odds 1.39

moderate signal · 1675 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

NEOM (0:2)

Handicap 0:2 · usually 78%

83.7% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 504 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

NEOM carry the stronger rating, 1555 Elo against 1458.
Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

NEOM have an estimated 39.8% win probability, against 31.3% for Al Shabab and 29.0% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.33 for Al Shabab and 1.37 for NEOM.

Why Al Shabab

Nothing in the data singles out Al Shabab.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 29.0%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.33 to 1.37. Draws run at 22% in this competition.

Why NEOM can win

NEOM carry the stronger rating, 1555 Elo against 1458. Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Al Shabab, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for NEOM, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Al Shabab: 57% possession, 13.2 shots a match, 11.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. NEOM: 40% possession, 9.4 shots a match, 9.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-22 14:54 · team_stats 2026-10-20 06:04 · availability 2026-10-22 14:58 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

NEOM are the model's most likely outcome at 39.8%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 13.7%. Confidence 79/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

333 sports channels, playing now →

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	352937	1.33–1.37	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	342838	1.35–1.44	1-1 13%	53%	58%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEOM to win	38.1%	36.4%	35.0%	1.04×	2.75
Al Shabab to win	33.8%	30.4%	43.5%	0.70×	3.29
Draw	28.1%	27.9%	21.6%	1.29×	3.58

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw & both teams score	20.6%	21.8%	16.5%	1.32×	4.59
NEOM & both teams score	19.7%	18.0%	18.4%	0.98×	5.56
NEOM & not both score	18.4%	18.0%	16.8%	1.07×	5.57
Al Shabab & both teams score	17.7%	18.0%	21.8%	0.83×	5.57
Al Shabab & not both score	16.1%	18.0%	21.9%	0.82×	5.57
Draw & not both score	7.5%	8.3%	5.3%	1.57×	12.01

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEOM & over 1.5	30.7%	30.8%	28.4%	1.08×	3.25
Al Shabab & over 1.5	27.0%	26.1%	34.4%	0.76×	3.84
NEOM & under 3.5	25.5%	26.1%	21.5%	1.21×	3.84
NEOM & over 2.5	24.3%	21.6%	23.1%	0.94×	4.63
Al Shabab & under 3.5	23.0%	21.6%	27.3%	0.79×	4.63
Al Shabab & over 2.5	21.4%	21.6%	27.6%	0.78×	4.63
Draw & under 2.5	20.9%	21.6%	15.9%	1.36×	4.63
Draw & under 3.5	20.9%	21.6%	15.9%	1.36×	4.63
Draw & over 1.5	20.6%	21.6%	16.5%	1.31×	4.63
NEOM & under 2.5	13.8%	12.8%	12.1%	1.06×	7.79
Al Shabab & under 2.5	12.4%	12.8%	16.0%	0.80×	7.79
NEOM & over 3.5	12.6%	12.8%	13.7%	0.93×	7.79
Al Shabab & over 3.5	10.8%	12.8%	16.3%	0.79×	7.79
Draw & under 1.5	7.5%	7.9%	5.3%	1.50×	12.63
NEOM & under 1.5	7.4%	7.9%	6.8%	1.16×	12.63
Al Shabab & under 1.5	6.8%	7.9%	9.2%	0.86×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	7.2%	7.9%	5.9%	1.34×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	7.2%	7.9%	5.9%	1.34×	12.63

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEOM (1UP)	55.7%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Al Shabab (1UP)	52.0%	52.6%	—	—	1.90

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEOM (2UP)	38.1%	37.5%	—	—	2.67
Al Shabab (2UP)	33.8%	30.6%	—	—	3.27

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	35.8%	36.1%	—	—	2.77
NEOM to win 2nd half	34.9%	34.4%	—	—	2.91
Al Shabab to win 2nd half	29.4%	25.8%	—	—	3.87

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEOM under 1.5 in 2nd half	78.5%	79.1%	—	—	1.26
NEOM over 0.5 in 2nd half	58.0%	54.6%	—	—	1.83
NEOM under 0.5 in 2nd half	42.0%	45.4%	—	—	2.20
NEOM over 1.5 in 2nd half	21.5%	20.9%	—	—	4.78

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Shabab under 1.5 in 2nd half	82.0%	82.5%	—	—	1.21
Al Shabab over 0.5 in 2nd half	53.7%	55.2%	—	—	1.81
Al Shabab under 0.5 in 2nd half	46.3%	44.8%	—	—	2.23
Al Shabab over 1.5 in 2nd half	18.0%	17.5%	—	—	5.70

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEOM (+2.5)	94.4%	92.1%	90.5%	1.02×	1.09
NEOM (+1.5)	84.2%	82.5%	77.8%	1.06×	1.21
NEOM (+0.5)	66.2%	68.7%	56.5%	1.22×	1.46
Al Shabab (+0.5)	61.9%	62.9%	65.0%	0.97×	1.59
NEOM (-0.5)	38.1%	37.1%	35.0%	1.06×	2.70
Al Shabab (-0.5)	33.8%	31.3%	43.5%	0.72×	3.19
Al Shabab (-1.5)	15.8%	17.5%	22.2%	0.79×	5.73
Al Shabab (-2.5)	5.6%	7.9%	9.5%	0.83×	12.70

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEOM to concede	74.1%	76.7%	78.1%	0.98×	1.30
NEOM clean sheet	25.9%	23.3%	21.9%	1.06×	4.30

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEOM clean sheet in 1st half	56.0%	56.9%	—	—	1.76
NEOM to concede in 1st half	44.0%	43.1%	—	—	2.32

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEOM to concede in 2nd half	53.7%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
NEOM clean sheet in 2nd half	46.3%	45.1%	—	—	2.22

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEOM under 6.5 corners	79.7%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
NEOM over 2.5 corners	77.3%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
NEOM under 5.5 corners	68.8%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
NEOM over 3.5 corners	61.4%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
NEOM under 4.5 corners	54.7%	53.1%	—	—	1.89
NEOM over 4.5 corners	45.3%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
NEOM under 3.5 corners	38.6%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
NEOM over 5.5 corners	31.2%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
NEOM under 2.5 corners	22.7%	24.0%	—	—	4.17
NEOM over 6.5 corners	20.3%	24.0%	—	—	4.17

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEOM under 3.5 goals	94.1%	92.3%	93.1%	0.99×	1.08
NEOM under 2.5 goals	82.3%	81.5%	82.6%	0.99×	1.23
NEOM over 0.5 goals	76.4%	76.2%	73.0%	1.05×	1.31
NEOM under 1.5 goals	57.7%	59.4%	60.9%	0.98×	1.68
NEOM over 1.5 goals	42.3%	40.6%	39.1%	1.04×	2.46
NEOM under 0.5 goals	23.6%	23.8%	27.0%	0.88×	4.21
NEOM over 2.5 goals	17.7%	18.5%	17.4%	1.07×	5.39
NEOM over 3.5 goals	5.9%	7.7%	6.9%	1.10×	13.07

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEOM under 1.5 in 1st half	88.5%	89.4%	—	—	1.12
NEOM under 0.5 in 1st half	56.1%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
NEOM over 0.5 in 1st half	43.9%	38.1%	—	—	2.62
NEOM over 1.5 in 1st half	11.5%	10.6%	—	—	9.40

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEOM scores more in 2nd half	40.1%	43.3%	—	—	2.31
NEOM scores equally in both	37.0%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
NEOM scores more in 1st half	23.0%	22.0%	—	—	4.55

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Shabab (away no bet)	54.6%	51.8%	66.8%	0.77×	1.93
Draw (away no bet)	45.4%	48.2%	33.2%	1.45×	2.07

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEOM even goals	52.8%	52.6%	52.4%	1.00×	1.90
NEOM odd goals	47.2%	47.4%	47.6%	1.00×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	84.3%	82.8%	—	—	1.21
Both halves over 1.5 goals	15.7%	17.2%	—	—	5.82

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	65.9%	68.3%	—	—	1.46
Both halves under 1.5 goals	34.1%	31.7%	—	—	3.16

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	56.7%	55.2%	—	—	1.81
NEOM to score 2+ in a row	33.4%	29.2%	—	—	3.42
Al Shabab to score 2+ in a row	30.1%	29.1%	—	—	3.44
Either team to score 3+ in a row	19.9%	16.3%	—	—	6.13
NEOM to score 3+ in a row	11.0%	12.0%	—	—	8.33
Al Shabab to score 3+ in a row	9.2%	5.6%	—	—	17.81

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Shabab corners (+3.5)	85.2%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
NEOM corners (+3.5)	82.2%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Al Shabab corners (+2.5)	78.0%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
NEOM corners (+2.5)	74.2%	70.8%	—	—	1.41
Al Shabab corners (+1.5)	68.8%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
NEOM corners (+1.5)	64.3%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Al Shabab corners (-1.5)	35.7%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
NEOM corners (-1.5)	31.2%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Al Shabab corners (-2.5)	25.8%	29.2%	—	—	3.42
NEOM corners (-2.5)	22.0%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Al Shabab corners (-3.5)	17.8%	20.2%	—	—	4.94
NEOM corners (-3.5)	14.8%	15.5%	—	—	6.44

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	45.1%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
9-11 corners	29.6%	31.2%	—	—	3.21
12+ corners	25.4%	31.2%	—	—	3.21

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	81.7%	80.7%	—	—	1.24
Under 11.5 corners	74.6%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Over 7.5 corners	66.0%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Under 10.5 corners	66.0%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Under 9.5 corners	56.0%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 8.5 corners	54.9%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 8.5 corners	45.1%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 9.5 corners	44.0%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Under 7.5 corners	34.0%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Over 10.5 corners	34.0%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Over 11.5 corners	25.4%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 12.5 corners	18.3%	19.3%	—	—	5.18

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	13.4%	11.5%	10.7%	1.07×	8.72
1-2	8.6%	7.4%	7.4%	1.00×	13.50
0-0	7.5%	7.4%	5.3%	1.40×	13.50
0-1	7.4%	7.4%	6.8%	1.09×	13.50
1-0	6.8%	7.4%	9.2%	0.80×	13.51
2-1	8.1%	7.4%	8.5%	0.88×	13.50
0-2	6.4%	7.4%	5.4%	1.36×	13.51
2-0	5.6%	7.4%	6.9%	1.07×	13.51
2-2	5.8%	7.4%	4.8%	1.53×	13.51
0-3	3.1%	1.7%	2.3%	0.76×	58.30
0-4	1.1%	1.7%	1.1%	1.62×	58.31
1-3	4.1%	1.7%	3.9%	0.44×	58.30
1-4	1.5%	1.7%	1.1%	1.62×	58.31
2-3	2.8%	1.7%	3.3%	0.52×	58.30
2-4	1.0%	1.7%	1.2%	1.42×	58.31
3-0	2.5%	1.7%	3.2%	0.54×	58.31
3-1	3.6%	1.7%	5.1%	0.33×	58.30
3-2	2.6%	1.7%	3.6%	0.47×	58.30
3-3	1.3%	1.7%	1.1%	1.62×	58.31
3-4	0.5%	1.7%	0.6%	2.84×	58.32
4-0	0.8%	1.7%	2.1%	0.81×	58.31
4-1	1.2%	1.7%	2.4%	0.71×	58.31
4-2	0.9%	1.7%	1.1%	1.62×	58.31
4-3	0.4%	1.7%	0.6%	2.84×	58.32
4-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.3%	5.68×	58.32
Any other score	2.8%	1.7%	5.6%	0.31×	58.30

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEOM (2nd half DNB)	54.3%	53.0%	—	—	1.89
Al Shabab (2nd half DNB)	45.7%	47.0%	—	—	2.13

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Shabab leading at HT (DNB)	50.2%	54.6%	—	—	1.83
NEOM leading at HT (DNB)	49.8%	45.4%	—	—	2.20

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Shabab or NEOM (12)	71.9%	72.1%	78.4%	0.92×	1.39
NEOM or draw (X2)	66.2%	69.6%	56.5%	1.23×	1.44
Al Shabab or draw (1X)	61.9%	63.6%	65.0%	0.98×	1.57

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Shabab or draw at HT	71.8%	75.1%	—	—	1.33
NEOM or draw at HT	71.6%	75.1%	—	—	1.33
Al Shabab or NEOM at HT	56.7%	57.1%	—	—	1.75

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEOM or draw (1UP)	66.2%	76.2%	—	—	1.31
Al Shabab or draw (1UP)	61.9%	71.6%	—	—	1.40

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEOM or draw in 2nd half	70.6%	74.2%	—	—	1.35
Al Shabab or draw in 2nd half	65.1%	65.6%	—	—	1.52
Al Shabab or NEOM in 2nd half	64.2%	63.9%	—	—	1.56

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	62.0%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
Neither half drawn	38.0%	38.6%	—	—	2.59

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEOM (DNB)	53.0%	50.9%	44.6%	1.14×	1.96
Al Shabab (DNB)	47.0%	49.1%	55.4%	0.89×	2.04

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEOM to score first	47.8%	46.0%	—	—	2.17
Al Shabab to score first	44.7%	41.8%	—	—	2.39
No goal scored	7.5%	7.5%	—	—	13.40

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	58.0%	55.0%	56.3%	0.98×	1.82
Not both teams to score	42.0%	45.0%	43.7%	1.03×	2.22

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	44.7%	41.6%	45.8%	0.91×	2.40
Not both score & under 2.5	33.7%	34.5%	33.1%	1.04×	2.90
Both score & under 2.5	13.4%	12.4%	10.7%	1.15×	8.09
Not both score & over 2.5	8.2%	8.3%	10.7%	0.77×	12.06

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	83.5%	82.6%	83.5%	0.99×	1.21
Both teams to score 2+	16.5%	17.4%	16.5%	1.06×	5.75

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	68.4%	67.4%	—	—	1.48
Both teams to score in 2nd half	31.6%	32.6%	—	—	3.07

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	54.8%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
Both score 2nd half only	25.6%	27.3%	—	—	3.66
Both score 1st half only	13.6%	10.7%	—	—	9.34
Both score in both halves	6.0%	6.8%	—	—	14.76

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	80.4%	83.2%	—	—	1.20
Both teams to score by HT	19.6%	16.8%	—	—	5.94

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	55.9%	57.3%	—	—	1.75
A half without a goal	44.1%	42.7%	—	—	2.34

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	47.6%	47.2%	43.5%	1.09×	2.12
4-6 goals	28.3%	26.6%	32.9%	0.81×	3.76
0-1 goals	21.8%	22.9%	21.0%	1.09×	4.37
7+ goals	2.4%	1.8%	2.9%	0.64×	54.26

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEOM to score exactly 1	34.1%	33.8%	34.0%	1.00×	2.96
NEOM to score exactly 2	24.6%	22.3%	21.9%	1.02×	4.48
NEOM to score exactly 0	23.6%	22.3%	27.0%	0.82×	4.48
NEOM to score 3+	17.7%	19.6%	17.4%	1.13×	5.11

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Shabab to score exactly 1	35.0%	32.6%	32.5%	1.00×	3.07
Al Shabab to score exactly 0	25.9%	26.5%	21.9%	1.21×	3.77
Al Shabab to score exactly 2	23.6%	23.3%	24.8%	0.94×	4.29
Al Shabab to score 3+	15.5%	18.8%	21.1%	0.89×	5.33

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	43.3%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Al Shabab leading at HT	28.4%	24.9%	—	—	4.01
NEOM leading at HT	28.2%	24.9%	—	—	4.01

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEOM -1: 1	61.9%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
NEOM -1: X	19.3%	17.5%	—	—	5.70
NEOM -1: 2	18.7%	17.5%	—	—	5.70

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEOM (0:1)	66.2%	65.2%	56.5%	1.15×	1.53
Draw (0:1)	18.0%	17.8%	21.5%	0.83×	5.61
Al Shabab (0:1)	15.8%	17.8%	22.2%	0.80×	5.61

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEOM (0:2)	84.2%	83.0%	77.8%	1.07×	1.21
Draw (0:2)	10.2%	11.0%	12.8%	0.86×	9.11
Al Shabab (0:2)	5.6%	7.7%	9.5%	0.80×	13.06

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEOM (0:3)	94.4%	92.7%	90.5%	1.02×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	4.0%	2.4%	5.6%	0.43×	42.02
Al Shabab (0:3)	1.6%	2.4%	4.1%	0.58×	42.12

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEOM (0:4)	98.4%	98.1%	95.9%	1.02×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	1.2%	1.2%	2.9%	0.43×	81.97
Al Shabab (0:4)	0.4%	1.2%	1.4%	0.90×	82.06

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Shabab (1:0)	61.9%	65.3%	65.0%	1.01×	1.53
Draw (1:0)	19.3%	17.1%	17.7%	0.97×	5.85
NEOM (1:0)	18.7%	17.1%	17.5%	0.98×	5.85

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Shabab (2:0)	81.3%	84.6%	82.5%	1.03×	1.18
Draw (2:0)	11.7%	10.3%	10.6%	0.97×	9.72
NEOM (2:0)	7.1%	6.4%	7.1%	0.90×	15.69

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	47.3%	48.8%	—	—	2.05
Halves equal	26.6%	26.2%	—	—	3.82
1st half highest scoring	26.1%	26.2%	—	—	3.82

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Shabab to concede	76.4%	76.1%	73.0%	1.04×	1.32
Al Shabab clean sheet	23.6%	23.9%	27.0%	0.89×	4.18

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Shabab clean sheet in 1st half	56.1%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Al Shabab to concede in 1st half	43.9%	38.1%	—	—	2.62

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Shabab to concede in 2nd half	58.0%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Al Shabab clean sheet in 2nd half	42.0%	45.1%	—	—	2.22

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Shabab over 2.5 corners	79.6%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Al Shabab under 6.5 corners	76.9%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Al Shabab under 5.5 corners	65.5%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Al Shabab over 3.5 corners	64.5%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Al Shabab under 4.5 corners	51.2%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Al Shabab over 4.5 corners	48.8%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Al Shabab under 3.5 corners	35.5%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Al Shabab over 5.5 corners	34.5%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Al Shabab over 6.5 corners	23.1%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Al Shabab under 2.5 corners	20.4%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Shabab under 3.5 goals	95.2%	96.4%	92.0%	1.05×	1.04
Al Shabab under 2.5 goals	84.5%	82.2%	78.9%	1.04×	1.22
Al Shabab over 0.5 goals	74.1%	74.3%	78.1%	0.95×	1.35
Al Shabab under 1.5 goals	60.9%	63.6%	54.2%	1.17×	1.57
Al Shabab over 1.5 goals	39.1%	36.4%	45.8%	0.80×	2.75
Al Shabab under 0.5 goals	25.9%	25.7%	21.9%	1.18×	3.88
Al Shabab over 2.5 goals	15.5%	17.8%	21.1%	0.84×	5.62
Al Shabab over 3.5 goals	4.8%	3.6%	8.0%	0.46×	27.44

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Shabab under 1.5 in 1st half	88.4%	90.2%	—	—	1.11
Al Shabab under 0.5 in 1st half	56.0%	56.6%	—	—	1.77
Al Shabab over 0.5 in 1st half	44.0%	43.4%	—	—	2.31
Al Shabab over 1.5 in 1st half	11.6%	9.8%	—	—	10.25

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Shabab scores equally in both	38.9%	37.9%	—	—	2.64
Al Shabab scores more in 2nd half	36.3%	37.9%	—	—	2.64
Al Shabab scores more in 1st half	24.8%	21.3%	—	—	4.70

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEOM (home no bet)	57.5%	56.4%	61.9%	0.91×	1.77
Draw (home no bet)	42.5%	43.6%	38.1%	1.14×	2.30

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Shabab even goals	53.4%	50.7%	52.7%	0.96×	1.97
Al Shabab odd goals	46.6%	49.3%	47.3%	1.04×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	31.7%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
HT 1-0	18.0%	18.6%	—	—	5.38
HT 0-1	17.9%	18.6%	—	—	5.38
HT 1-1	10.8%	11.0%	—	—	9.09
HT 0-2	5.2%	6.9%	—	—	14.52
HT 2-0	5.3%	6.9%	—	—	14.52
Any other HT score	4.2%	2.4%	—	—	42.01
HT 2-1	3.1%	2.4%	—	—	42.08
HT 1-2	3.0%	2.4%	—	—	42.08
HT 2-2	0.9%	2.4%	—	—	42.22

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEOM at HT / NEOM at FT	21.0%	21.8%	—	—	4.60
Al Shabab at HT / Al Shabab at FT	19.7%	16.7%	—	—	5.97
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	17.1%	16.7%	—	—	5.98
Draw at HT / NEOM at FT	14.3%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Draw at HT / Al Shabab at FT	12.0%	12.6%	—	—	7.91
Al Shabab at HT / Draw at FT	5.9%	6.0%	—	—	16.66
NEOM at HT / Draw at FT	5.2%	6.0%	—	—	16.68
Al Shabab at HT / NEOM at FT	2.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.66
NEOM at HT / Al Shabab at FT	2.1%	3.5%	—	—	28.69

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEOM to score last	47.8%	46.5%	—	—	2.15
Al Shabab to score last	44.6%	40.1%	—	—	2.49
No goal scored	7.5%	7.5%	—	—	13.40

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	92.5%	92.6%	—	—	1.08
NEOM to lead by 1 at any time	55.7%	54.8%	—	—	1.82
Al Shabab to lead by 1 at any time	52.0%	50.9%	—	—	1.97
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	47.0%	44.5%	—	—	2.25
NEOM to lead by 2 at any time	25.2%	25.4%	—	—	3.93
Al Shabab to lead by 2 at any time	22.0%	19.6%	—	—	5.09
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	16.5%	14.9%	—	—	6.70
NEOM to lead by 3 at any time	9.1%	6.7%	—	—	14.83
Al Shabab to lead by 3 at any time	7.4%	6.7%	—	—	14.91

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Shabab most corners	46.7%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
NEOM most corners	41.9%	43.5%	—	—	2.30
Corners level	11.4%	10.4%	—	—	9.58

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	86.0%	87.4%	87.2%	1.00×	1.14
1-4 goals	77.3%	78.7%	75.5%	1.04×	1.27
2-6 goals	75.8%	78.7%	76.3%	1.03×	1.27
2-5 goals	71.8%	72.4%	71.5%	1.01×	1.38
2-4 goals	63.1%	63.3%	59.8%	1.06×	1.58
1-3 goals	61.8%	63.3%	59.2%	1.07×	1.58
3-6 goals	50.5%	53.2%	53.6%	0.99×	1.88
2-3 goals	47.6%	48.5%	43.5%	1.11×	2.06
3-5 goals	46.5%	48.5%	48.8%	0.99×	2.06
1-2 goals	39.5%	39.2%	38.5%	1.02×	2.55
3-4 goals	37.8%	39.2%	37.2%	1.05×	2.55
4-6 goals	28.3%	30.2%	32.9%	0.92×	3.31
4-5 goals	24.2%	24.5%	28.1%	0.87×	4.08
5-6 goals	12.7%	14.8%	16.6%	0.89×	6.75
7+ goals	2.4%	2.6%	2.9%	0.89×	39.12

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEOM never behind	40.4%	48.4%	—	—	2.07
Al Shabab never behind	36.7%	44.0%	—	—	2.27

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	47.0%	50.9%	50.3%	1.01×	1.96
Even number of goals	53.0%	49.1%	49.7%	0.99×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	55.4%	57.6%	—	—	1.74
Odd goals in 1st half	44.6%	42.4%	—	—	2.36

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.9%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half	47.1%	48.1%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	93.5%	92.3%	92.3%	1.00×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	92.5%	92.3%	94.7%	0.97×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	84.9%	82.3%	80.7%	1.02×	1.22
Over 1.5 goals	78.2%	77.3%	79.0%	0.98×	1.29
Under 3.5 goals	69.3%	66.3%	64.4%	1.03×	1.51
Over 2.5 goals	52.9%	52.5%	56.3%	0.93×	1.90
Under 2.5 goals	47.1%	47.5%	43.7%	1.09×	2.11
Over 3.5 goals	30.7%	33.7%	35.7%	0.94×	2.97
Under 1.5 goals	21.8%	22.7%	21.0%	1.08×	4.41
Over 4.5 goals	15.1%	17.7%	19.3%	0.91×	5.65
Under 0.5 goals	7.5%	7.7%	5.3%	1.46×	12.94
Over 5.5 goals	6.5%	7.7%	7.7%	1.00×	12.94

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	97.5%	97.2%	97.0%	1.00×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	92.9%	92.4%	91.3%	1.01×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	82.1%	81.1%	76.9%	1.05×	1.23
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	70.8%	72.4%	72.9%	0.99×	1.38
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	60.6%	61.9%	55.0%	1.12×	1.62
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	39.4%	38.1%	45.0%	0.85×	2.62
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	29.2%	27.6%	27.1%	1.02×	3.62
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	17.9%	18.9%	23.1%	0.82×	5.29
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	7.1%	7.6%	8.7%	0.87×	13.16
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	2.5%	2.8%	3.0%	0.93×	35.58

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	88.8%	89.2%	—	—	1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half	68.3%	68.5%	—	—	1.46
Under 1.5 in 1st half	67.5%	68.4%	—	—	1.46
Over 1.5 in 1st half	32.5%	31.6%	—	—	3.17
Under 0.5 in 1st half	31.7%	31.5%	—	—	3.17
Over 2.5 in 1st half	11.2%	10.8%	—	—	9.28

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	80.0%	83.1%	—	—	1.20
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	77.4%	79.4%	—	—	1.26
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	50.9%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	49.1%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	22.6%	20.6%	—	—	4.85
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	20.0%	16.9%	—	—	5.93

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Shabab not to score in both halves	76.4%	78.4%	—	—	1.28
NEOM not to score in both halves	74.6%	74.0%	—	—	1.35
NEOM to score in both halves	25.4%	26.0%	—	—	3.85
Al Shabab to score in both halves	23.6%	21.6%	—	—	4.62

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	58.0%	58.6%	56.3%	1.04×	1.71
Only NEOM scores	18.4%	16.0%	16.8%	0.96×	6.24
Only Al Shabab scores	16.1%	16.0%	21.9%	0.73×	6.25
Neither team scores	7.5%	7.1%	5.3%	1.35×	14.04

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	25.3%	24.9%	22.8%	1.09×	4.02
Exactly 3 goals	22.2%	22.6%	20.8%	1.08×	4.43
Exactly 4 goals	15.5%	17.5%	16.5%	1.06×	5.73
Exactly 1 goals	14.2%	12.1%	15.9%	0.77×	8.24
Exactly 5 goals	8.7%	7.6%	11.8%	0.65×	13.13
Exactly 0 goals	7.5%	7.6%	5.3%	1.44×	13.13
6 or more goals	6.5%	7.6%	7.7%	0.99×	13.14

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	35.9%	37.4%	—	—	2.68
No goals in 1st half	31.7%	35.8%	—	—	2.79
2 goals in 1st half	21.3%	21.5%	—	—	4.65
3+ goals in 1st half	11.2%	10.7%	—	—	9.36

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	49.1%	45.3%	—	—	2.21
1 goal in 2nd half	30.9%	33.8%	—	—	2.96
No goals in 2nd half	20.0%	16.5%	—	—	6.04

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Shabab not to win both halves	91.4%	94.1%	—	—	1.06
NEOM not to win both halves	89.9%	88.0%	—	—	1.14
NEOM to win both halves	10.1%	12.0%	—	—	8.31
Al Shabab to win both halves	8.6%	5.9%	—	—	16.90

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
NEOM to win either half	53.0%	54.3%	—	—	1.84
Al Shabab to win neither half	50.8%	54.2%	—	—	1.84
Al Shabab to win either half	49.2%	45.8%	—	—	2.19
NEOM to win neither half	47.0%	45.7%	—	—	2.19

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Shabab not to win to nil	84.0%	83.1%	78.1%	1.06×	1.20
NEOM not to win to nil	81.6%	83.1%	83.2%	1.00×	1.20
NEOM to win to nil	18.4%	16.9%	16.8%	1.01×	5.92
Al Shabab to win to nil	16.1%	16.9%	21.9%	0.77×	5.92

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	28.1%	27.9%	21.6%	1.29×	3.59
NEOM by 1	19.3%	17.1%	17.7%	0.96×	5.86
Al Shabab by 1	18.0%	17.1%	21.5%	0.79×	5.87
NEOM by 2	11.7%	11.8%	10.6%	1.11×	8.51
Al Shabab by 2	10.2%	11.7%	12.8%	0.92×	8.51
NEOM by 3+	7.1%	7.2%	7.1%	1.01×	13.91
Al Shabab by 3+	5.6%	7.2%	9.5%	0.76×	13.92