Al Taawoun v Al Hilal — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 12 September 2026 · KSA-Pro League · 2627

KSA-Pro League results-only Prediction generated 9 Sep 2026, 09:54 UTC

Al Taawoun

15:50 UTC

Al Hilal

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 9 Sep, 11:32 · 76h before kick-off

Al Taawoun win

19.0%

model 16.3%

Draw

22.3%

model 23.8%

Al Hilal win

58.7%

model 59.9%

192259

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (317 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 11.3%
0-2 10.5%
1-2 9.9%
0-1 9.5%
0-3 6.9%

Goals

Over 2.5	55.6%	Under 2.5	44.4%
BTTS yes	53.7%	BTTS no	46.3%
Al Taawoun 1+	61.1%	Al Taawoun 2+	24.4%
Al Hilal 1+	86.0%	Al Hilal 2+	58.4%

Expected goals 0.94 – 1.96. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

84/100

Data quality

75/100

Model agreement

97%

★ Best pick

Al Hilal & over 1.5

1X2 & Over/Under · usually 28%

51.9% fair odds 1.93

strong signal · 3002 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Al Hilal or draw at HT

Double chance 1HT

83.8% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 975 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Al Hilal carry the stronger rating, 1819 Elo against 1470.
Form is good: 2.40 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Al Hilal have an estimated 58.7% win probability, against 22.3% for the draw and 19.0% for Al Taawoun. Expected goals from the ensemble are 0.94 for Al Taawoun and 1.96 for Al Hilal.

Why Al Taawoun

Nothing in the data singles out Al Taawoun.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 22.3%. Draws run at 21% in this competition.

Why Al Hilal can win

Al Hilal carry the stronger rating, 1819 Elo against 1470. Form is good: 2.40 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Al Taawoun, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Al Hilal, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Al Taawoun: 58% possession, 15.4 shots a match, 11.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Al Hilal: 57% possession, 19.2 shots a match, 10.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-09 15:30 · team_stats 2026-09-09 06:03 · availability 2026-09-09 15:32 · prediction 2026-09-09 09:54 ·

Al Hilal are the model's most likely outcome at 58.7%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 11.3%. Confidence 84/100, data quality 75/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	162460	0.94–1.96	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	152363	0.90–2.04	0-2 11%	56%	53%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Hilal to win	59.9%	58.3%	35.1%	1.66×	1.72
Draw	23.8%	23.6%	21.5%	1.10×	4.23
Al Taawoun to win	16.3%	17.9%	43.6%	0.41×	5.59

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Hilal & not both score	32.2%	30.9%	16.8%	1.83×	3.24
Al Hilal & both teams score	27.7%	26.5%	18.4%	1.44×	3.78
Draw & both teams score	17.1%	18.1%	16.4%	1.11×	5.52
Al Taawoun & both teams score	8.9%	7.6%	21.7%	0.35×	13.07
Al Taawoun & not both score	7.4%	7.6%	22.0%	0.35×	13.08
Draw & not both score	6.7%	7.6%	5.3%	1.44×	13.08

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Hilal & over 1.5	50.4%	51.9%	28.4%	1.83×	1.93
Al Hilal & over 2.5	39.9%	36.6%	23.1%	1.59×	2.74
Al Hilal & under 3.5	36.9%	36.6%	21.5%	1.70×	2.74
Al Hilal & over 3.5	23.1%	21.8%	13.7%	1.60×	4.58
Al Hilal & under 2.5	20.0%	21.8%	12.1%	1.80×	4.58
Draw & over 1.5	17.1%	17.7%	16.4%	1.08×	5.64
Draw & under 2.5	18.0%	17.7%	15.9%	1.11×	5.64
Draw & under 3.5	18.0%	17.7%	15.9%	1.11×	5.64
Al Taawoun & over 1.5	12.3%	12.4%	34.4%	0.36×	8.06
Al Taawoun & under 3.5	11.9%	12.4%	27.5%	0.45×	8.06
Al Taawoun & over 2.5	9.9%	7.6%	27.6%	0.27×	13.20
Al Hilal & under 1.5	9.5%	7.6%	6.8%	1.11×	13.20
Al Taawoun & under 2.5	6.4%	7.6%	16.1%	0.47×	13.21
Draw & under 1.5	6.7%	7.6%	5.3%	1.43×	13.21
Draw & over 2.5	5.8%	7.6%	5.8%	1.31×	13.21
Draw & over 3.5	5.8%	7.6%	5.8%	1.31×	13.21
Al Taawoun & under 1.5	3.9%	4.4%	9.3%	0.47×	22.79
Al Taawoun & over 3.5	4.4%	4.4%	16.2%	0.27×	22.79

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Hilal (1UP)	72.7%	76.9%	—	—	1.30
Al Taawoun (1UP)	34.6%	35.6%	—	—	2.81

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Hilal (2UP)	59.9%	59.9%	—	—	1.67
Al Taawoun (2UP)	16.3%	19.6%	—	—	5.09

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Hilal to win 2nd half	51.4%	48.7%	—	—	2.05
2nd half drawn	32.1%	32.8%	—	—	3.05
Al Taawoun to win 2nd half	16.5%	20.1%	—	—	4.97

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Hilal over 0.5 in 2nd half	69.2%	67.2%	—	—	1.49
Al Hilal under 1.5 in 2nd half	67.0%	67.0%	—	—	1.49
Al Hilal over 1.5 in 2nd half	33.0%	33.0%	—	—	3.03
Al Hilal under 0.5 in 2nd half	30.8%	32.8%	—	—	3.05

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Taawoun under 1.5 in 2nd half	89.8%	86.6%	—	—	1.16
Al Taawoun under 0.5 in 2nd half	58.4%	58.5%	—	—	1.71
Al Taawoun over 0.5 in 2nd half	41.6%	41.5%	—	—	2.41
Al Taawoun over 1.5 in 2nd half	10.2%	13.4%	—	—	7.44

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Hilal (+2.5)	98.5%	96.6%	90.4%	1.07×	1.04
Al Hilal (+1.5)	94.2%	92.3%	77.8%	1.19×	1.08
Al Hilal (+0.5)	83.7%	83.2%	56.4%	1.47×	1.20
Al Hilal (-0.5)	59.9%	58.3%	35.1%	1.66×	1.71
Al Taawoun (+0.5)	40.1%	41.7%	64.9%	0.64×	2.40
Al Taawoun (-0.5)	16.3%	16.8%	43.6%	0.39×	5.96
Al Taawoun (-1.5)	5.8%	7.7%	22.2%	0.35×	12.98
Al Taawoun (-2.5)	1.5%	3.4%	9.6%	0.35×	29.70

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Hilal to concede	61.1%	64.9%	78.0%	0.83×	1.54
Al Hilal clean sheet	38.9%	35.1%	22.0%	1.59×	2.85

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Hilal clean sheet in 1st half	66.6%	69.2%	—	—	1.45
Al Hilal to concede in 1st half	33.4%	30.8%	—	—	3.25

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Hilal clean sheet in 2nd half	58.4%	58.8%	—	—	1.70
Al Hilal to concede in 2nd half	41.6%	41.2%	—	—	2.43

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Hilal over 2.5 corners	87.8%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Al Hilal over 3.5 corners	76.7%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Al Hilal over 4.5 corners	63.4%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Al Hilal under 6.5 corners	62.9%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Al Hilal under 5.5 corners	50.3%	53.0%	—	—	1.89
Al Hilal over 5.5 corners	49.7%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
Al Hilal over 6.5 corners	37.1%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Al Hilal under 4.5 corners	36.6%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Al Hilal under 3.5 corners	23.3%	24.0%	—	—	4.16
Al Hilal under 2.5 corners	12.2%	14.8%	—	—	6.76

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Hilal under 3.5 goals	86.4%	87.1%	93.0%	0.94×	1.15
Al Hilal over 0.5 goals	86.0%	87.1%	72.8%	1.20×	1.15
Al Hilal under 2.5 goals	68.6%	67.5%	82.9%	0.82×	1.48
Al Hilal over 1.5 goals	58.4%	58.9%	39.0%	1.51×	1.70
Al Hilal under 1.5 goals	41.6%	41.1%	61.0%	0.67×	2.43
Al Hilal over 2.5 goals	31.4%	32.5%	17.1%	1.89×	3.08
Al Hilal under 0.5 goals	14.0%	12.9%	27.2%	0.47×	7.76
Al Hilal over 3.5 goals	13.6%	12.9%	7.0%	1.85×	7.76

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Hilal under 1.5 in 1st half	81.4%	83.0%	—	—	1.21
Al Hilal over 0.5 in 1st half	54.4%	55.1%	—	—	1.81
Al Hilal under 0.5 in 1st half	45.6%	44.9%	—	—	2.23
Al Hilal over 1.5 in 1st half	18.6%	17.0%	—	—	5.89

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Hilal scores more in 2nd half	45.1%	45.4%	—	—	2.20
Al Hilal scores equally in both	30.4%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Al Hilal scores more in 1st half	24.5%	23.6%	—	—	4.24

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (away no bet)	59.4%	58.7%	33.1%	1.77×	1.71
Al Taawoun (away no bet)	40.6%	41.3%	66.9%	0.62×	2.42

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Hilal even goals	51.0%	53.6%	52.7%	1.02×	1.87
Al Hilal odd goals	49.0%	46.4%	47.3%	0.98×	2.16

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	82.9%	82.4%	—	—	1.21
Both halves over 1.5 goals	17.1%	17.6%	—	—	5.67

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	68.1%	66.9%	—	—	1.50
Both halves under 1.5 goals	31.9%	33.1%	—	—	3.02

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	61.5%	60.3%	—	—	1.66
Al Hilal to score 2+ in a row	51.0%	51.4%	—	—	1.95
Either team to score 3+ in a row	26.2%	26.7%	—	—	3.75
Al Hilal to score 3+ in a row	23.2%	21.7%	—	—	4.60
Al Taawoun to score 2+ in a row	16.4%	17.0%	—	—	5.89
Al Taawoun to score 3+ in a row	3.3%	3.1%	—	—	31.89

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Hilal corners (+3.5)	94.1%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Al Hilal corners (+2.5)	90.1%	89.5%	—	—	1.12
Al Hilal corners (+1.5)	84.2%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Al Taawoun corners (+3.5)	65.6%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
Al Hilal corners (-1.5)	55.8%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Al Taawoun corners (+2.5)	55.2%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Al Hilal corners (-2.5)	44.8%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Al Taawoun corners (+1.5)	44.2%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Al Hilal corners (-3.5)	34.4%	34.2%	—	—	2.93
Al Taawoun corners (-1.5)	15.8%	20.2%	—	—	4.95
Al Taawoun corners (-2.5)	9.9%	10.5%	—	—	9.57
Al Taawoun corners (-3.5)	5.9%	10.4%	—	—	9.58

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	42.6%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
9-11 corners	29.6%	31.2%	—	—	3.20
12+ corners	27.8%	31.2%	—	—	3.20

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	79.6%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 11.5 corners	72.2%	72.6%	—	—	1.38
Over 7.5 corners	68.1%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Under 10.5 corners	63.4%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Over 8.5 corners	57.4%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 9.5 corners	53.3%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 9.5 corners	46.7%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Under 8.5 corners	42.6%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Over 10.5 corners	36.6%	36.7%	—	—	2.73
Under 7.5 corners	31.9%	32.3%	—	—	3.10
Over 11.5 corners	27.8%	27.4%	—	—	3.64
Over 12.5 corners	20.4%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-2	10.5%	11.2%	5.5%	2.06×	8.91
1-1	11.3%	11.2%	10.8%	1.04×	8.91
1-2	9.9%	7.4%	7.4%	1.00×	13.45
0-0	6.7%	7.4%	5.3%	1.40×	13.45
0-1	9.5%	7.4%	6.8%	1.09×	13.45
0-3	6.9%	7.4%	2.3%	3.27×	13.45
1-3	6.5%	7.4%	3.8%	1.96×	13.45
Any other score	5.2%	7.4%	5.6%	1.32×	13.45
0-4	3.4%	1.7%	1.1%	1.61×	58.34
1-0	3.9%	1.7%	9.3%	0.19×	58.34
1-4	3.2%	1.7%	1.1%	1.61×	58.34
2-0	2.4%	1.7%	7.0%	0.25×	58.34
2-1	4.8%	1.7%	8.5%	0.20×	58.34
2-2	4.7%	1.7%	4.9%	0.35×	58.34
2-3	3.1%	1.7%	3.3%	0.51×	58.34
2-4	1.5%	1.7%	1.2%	1.41×	58.34
3-0	0.8%	1.7%	3.2%	0.54×	58.35
3-1	1.5%	1.7%	5.0%	0.34×	58.34
3-2	1.5%	1.7%	3.6%	0.47×	58.34
3-3	1.0%	1.7%	0.9%	1.88×	58.35
3-4	0.5%	1.7%	0.6%	2.82×	58.35
4-0	0.2%	1.7%	2.1%	0.81×	58.35
4-1	0.4%	1.7%	2.4%	0.71×	58.35
4-2	0.3%	1.7%	1.1%	1.61×	58.35
4-3	0.2%	1.7%	0.6%	2.82×	58.35
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.3%	5.65×	58.35

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Hilal (2nd half DNB)	75.7%	71.7%	—	—	1.39
Al Taawoun (2nd half DNB)	24.3%	28.3%	—	—	3.54

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Hilal leading at HT (DNB)	70.4%	74.0%	—	—	1.35
Al Taawoun leading at HT (DNB)	29.6%	26.0%	—	—	3.85

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Hilal or draw (X2)	83.7%	82.1%	56.4%	1.45×	1.22
Al Taawoun or Al Hilal (12)	76.2%	76.4%	78.5%	0.97×	1.31
Al Taawoun or draw (1X)	40.1%	41.7%	64.9%	0.64×	2.40

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Hilal or draw at HT	82.6%	83.8%	—	—	1.19
Al Taawoun or Al Hilal at HT	58.7%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Al Taawoun or draw at HT	58.7%	57.2%	—	—	1.75

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Hilal or draw (1UP)	83.7%	86.3%	—	—	1.16
Al Taawoun or draw (1UP)	40.1%	50.2%	—	—	1.99

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Hilal or draw in 2nd half	83.5%	79.9%	—	—	1.25
Al Taawoun or Al Hilal in 2nd half	67.9%	67.2%	—	—	1.49
Al Taawoun or draw in 2nd half	48.6%	51.3%	—	—	1.95

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	58.8%	54.8%	—	—	1.83
Neither half drawn	41.2%	45.2%	—	—	2.21

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Hilal (DNB)	78.6%	77.4%	44.6%	1.74×	1.29
Al Taawoun (DNB)	21.4%	22.6%	55.4%	0.41×	4.42

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Hilal to score first	63.0%	64.2%	—	—	1.56
Al Taawoun to score first	30.3%	31.5%	—	—	3.17
No goal scored	6.7%	6.4%	—	—	15.69

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	53.7%	51.6%	56.1%	0.92×	1.94
Not both teams to score	46.3%	48.4%	43.9%	1.10×	2.07

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	42.4%	41.6%	45.5%	0.91×	2.40
Not both score & under 2.5	33.1%	34.0%	33.2%	1.02×	2.94
Not both score & over 2.5	13.2%	11.9%	10.8%	1.10×	8.41
Both score & under 2.5	11.3%	11.9%	10.8%	1.10×	8.41

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	85.8%	85.7%	83.6%	1.03×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	14.2%	14.3%	16.4%	0.87×	7.00

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	70.8%	70.8%	—	—	1.41
Both teams to score in 2nd half	29.2%	29.2%	—	—	3.42

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	57.6%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Both score 2nd half only	24.0%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
Both score 1st half only	13.1%	11.9%	—	—	8.41
Both score in both halves	5.2%	6.9%	—	—	14.57

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	81.6%	82.6%	—	—	1.21
Both teams to score by HT	18.4%	17.4%	—	—	5.76

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	57.7%	57.4%	—	—	1.74
A half without a goal	42.3%	42.6%	—	—	2.35

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	46.7%	46.5%	43.7%	1.06×	2.15
4-6 goals	30.3%	31.2%	32.6%	0.96×	3.21
0-1 goals	20.1%	23.5%	21.1%	1.11×	4.26
7+ goals	2.9%	2.0%	2.9%	0.70×	49.72

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Hilal to score 3+	31.4%	32.3%	17.1%	1.89×	3.09
Al Hilal to score exactly 1	27.6%	27.4%	34.0%	0.81×	3.65
Al Hilal to score exactly 2	27.1%	27.4%	22.0%	1.25×	3.65
Al Hilal to score exactly 0	14.0%	13.0%	27.2%	0.48×	7.69

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Taawoun to score exactly 0	38.9%	36.6%	22.0%	1.66×	2.73
Al Taawoun to score exactly 1	36.7%	36.6%	32.5%	1.13×	2.73
Al Taawoun to score exactly 2	17.3%	18.1%	24.9%	0.73×	5.51
Al Taawoun to score 3+	7.0%	8.9%	20.9%	0.42×	11.27

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Hilal leading at HT	41.3%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Draw at HT	41.3%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Al Taawoun leading at HT	17.4%	16.2%	—	—	6.19

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Hilal -1: 1	40.1%	41.4%	—	—	2.41
Al Hilal -1: 2	36.9%	36.2%	—	—	2.76
Al Hilal -1: X	23.0%	23.3%	—	—	4.29

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Hilal (0:1)	83.7%	82.1%	56.4%	1.46×	1.22
Draw (0:1)	10.4%	13.1%	21.5%	0.61×	7.63
Al Taawoun (0:1)	5.8%	8.6%	22.2%	0.39×	11.62

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Hilal (0:2)	94.2%	91.5%	77.8%	1.18×	1.09
Draw (0:2)	4.3%	3.5%	12.7%	0.28×	28.45
Al Taawoun (0:2)	1.5%	3.5%	9.6%	0.37×	28.54

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Hilal (0:3)	98.5%	96.7%	90.4%	1.07×	1.03
Draw (0:3)	1.2%	2.6%	5.6%	0.45×	39.19
Al Taawoun (0:3)	0.3%	2.6%	4.1%	0.62×	39.21

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Hilal (0:4)	99.7%	97.8%	95.9%	1.02×	1.02
Al Taawoun (0:4)	0.1%	1.4%	1.4%	1.03×	70.77
Draw (0:4)	0.3%	1.4%	2.9%	0.49×	70.76

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Taawoun (1:0)	40.1%	42.7%	64.9%	0.66×	2.34
Al Hilal (1:0)	36.9%	36.4%	17.5%	2.09×	2.75
Draw (1:0)	23.0%	22.1%	17.8%	1.24×	4.53

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Taawoun (2:0)	63.1%	65.0%	82.5%	0.79×	1.54
Draw (2:0)	18.7%	15.2%	10.5%	1.45×	6.60
Al Hilal (2:0)	18.1%	15.1%	7.1%	2.12×	6.60

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	48.7%	48.3%	—	—	2.07
1st half highest scoring	25.7%	26.1%	—	—	3.82
Halves equal	25.6%	26.1%	—	—	3.83

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Taawoun to concede	86.0%	86.7%	72.8%	1.19×	1.15
Al Taawoun clean sheet	14.0%	13.3%	27.2%	0.49×	7.55

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Taawoun to concede in 1st half	54.4%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
Al Taawoun clean sheet in 1st half	45.6%	45.0%	—	—	2.22

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Taawoun to concede in 2nd half	69.2%	64.4%	—	—	1.55
Al Taawoun clean sheet in 2nd half	30.8%	35.6%	—	—	2.81

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Taawoun under 6.5 corners	88.9%	86.3%	—	—	1.16
Al Taawoun under 5.5 corners	80.7%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Al Taawoun under 4.5 corners	68.4%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Al Taawoun over 2.5 corners	66.6%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Al Taawoun under 3.5 corners	52.1%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Al Taawoun over 3.5 corners	47.9%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Al Taawoun under 2.5 corners	33.4%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Al Taawoun over 4.5 corners	31.6%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Al Taawoun over 5.5 corners	19.3%	19.0%	—	—	5.26
Al Taawoun over 6.5 corners	11.1%	13.7%	—	—	7.31

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Taawoun under 3.5 goals	98.4%	96.6%	92.0%	1.05×	1.04
Al Taawoun under 2.5 goals	93.0%	92.4%	79.1%	1.17×	1.08
Al Taawoun under 1.5 goals	75.6%	78.2%	54.3%	1.44×	1.28
Al Taawoun over 0.5 goals	61.1%	62.4%	78.0%	0.80×	1.60
Al Taawoun under 0.5 goals	38.9%	37.6%	22.0%	1.71×	2.66
Al Taawoun over 1.5 goals	24.4%	21.8%	45.7%	0.48×	4.58
Al Taawoun over 2.5 goals	7.0%	7.7%	20.9%	0.37×	13.07
Al Taawoun over 3.5 goals	1.6%	3.4%	8.0%	0.42×	29.45

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Taawoun under 1.5 in 1st half	93.7%	93.4%	—	—	1.07
Al Taawoun under 0.5 in 1st half	66.6%	69.0%	—	—	1.45
Al Taawoun over 0.5 in 1st half	33.4%	31.0%	—	—	3.23
Al Taawoun over 1.5 in 1st half	6.3%	6.6%	—	—	15.20

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Taawoun scores equally in both	47.9%	48.8%	—	—	2.05
Al Taawoun scores more in 2nd half	30.6%	32.1%	—	—	3.11
Al Taawoun scores more in 1st half	21.5%	23.2%	—	—	4.32

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Hilal (home no bet)	71.6%	70.1%	61.9%	1.13×	1.43
Draw (home no bet)	28.4%	29.9%	38.1%	0.79×	3.34

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Taawoun even goals	57.6%	55.6%	53.0%	1.05×	1.80
Al Taawoun odd goals	42.4%	44.4%	47.0%	0.94×	2.25

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	30.6%	32.1%	—	—	3.12
HT 0-1	23.7%	22.5%	—	—	4.44
HT 1-0	12.1%	10.9%	—	—	9.15
HT 1-1	9.9%	8.0%	—	—	12.52
HT 0-2	9.4%	8.0%	—	—	12.52
Any other HT score	5.3%	8.0%	—	—	12.57
HT 1-2	3.8%	2.5%	—	—	40.41
HT 2-0	2.5%	2.5%	—	—	40.47
HT 2-1	2.0%	2.5%	—	—	40.49
HT 2-2	0.8%	2.5%	—	—	40.55

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Hilal at HT / Al Hilal at FT	35.9%	38.9%	—	—	2.57
Draw at HT / Al Hilal at FT	20.4%	20.9%	—	—	4.79
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	14.6%	12.0%	—	—	8.31
Al Taawoun at HT / Al Taawoun at FT	8.9%	6.5%	—	—	15.44
Draw at HT / Al Taawoun at FT	6.2%	6.5%	—	—	15.49
Al Taawoun at HT / Draw at FT	4.9%	3.6%	—	—	27.50
Al Hilal at HT / Draw at FT	4.3%	3.6%	—	—	27.52
Al Taawoun at HT / Al Hilal at FT	3.6%	3.6%	—	—	27.54
Al Hilal at HT / Al Taawoun at FT	1.1%	3.6%	—	—	27.60

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Hilal to score last	63.2%	60.4%	—	—	1.66
Al Taawoun to score last	30.1%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
No goal scored	6.7%	6.4%	—	—	15.69

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	93.3%	93.6%	—	—	1.07
Al Hilal to lead by 1 at any time	72.7%	75.4%	—	—	1.33
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	53.2%	51.8%	—	—	1.93
Al Hilal to lead by 2 at any time	43.4%	41.8%	—	—	2.39
Al Taawoun to lead by 1 at any time	34.6%	31.7%	—	—	3.15
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	23.3%	21.4%	—	—	4.68
Al Hilal to lead by 3 at any time	21.0%	21.3%	—	—	4.69
Al Taawoun to lead by 2 at any time	10.0%	11.0%	—	—	9.09
Al Taawoun to lead by 3 at any time	2.3%	2.6%	—	—	38.33

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Hilal most corners	66.7%	64.6%	—	—	1.55
Al Taawoun most corners	23.7%	25.8%	—	—	3.88
Corners level	9.7%	8.4%	—	—	11.88

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	85.9%	87.1%	87.3%	1.00×	1.15
2-6 goals	77.0%	77.9%	76.2%	1.02×	1.28
1-4 goals	76.4%	77.9%	75.6%	1.03×	1.28
2-5 goals	72.4%	72.2%	71.5%	1.01×	1.39
2-4 goals	62.9%	62.7%	59.8%	1.05×	1.60
1-3 goals	60.1%	62.7%	59.5%	1.05×	1.60
3-6 goals	52.7%	52.9%	53.4%	0.99×	1.89
3-5 goals	48.1%	47.4%	48.7%	0.97×	2.11
2-3 goals	46.7%	47.4%	43.7%	1.08×	2.11
3-4 goals	38.7%	39.0%	37.0%	1.05×	2.56
1-2 goals	37.7%	39.0%	38.7%	1.01×	2.56
4-6 goals	30.3%	34.7%	32.6%	1.06×	2.88
4-5 goals	25.7%	28.5%	27.9%	1.02×	3.51
5-6 goals	14.1%	13.5%	16.5%	0.82×	7.42
7+ goals	2.9%	2.3%	2.9%	0.78×	44.23

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Hilal never behind	58.7%	61.5%	—	—	1.63
Al Taawoun never behind	20.6%	25.7%	—	—	3.90

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	52.6%	50.1%	49.5%	1.01×	2.00
Odd number of goals	47.4%	49.9%	50.5%	0.99×	2.00

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	55.0%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
Odd goals in 1st half	45.0%	45.0%	—	—	2.22

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.4%	51.6%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 2nd half	47.6%	48.4%	—	—	2.07

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	93.3%	92.3%	94.7%	0.97×	1.08
Under 5.5 goals	92.5%	92.3%	92.4%	1.00×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	83.1%	81.6%	80.7%	1.01×	1.23
Over 1.5 goals	79.9%	77.0%	78.9%	0.98×	1.30
Under 3.5 goals	66.8%	67.7%	64.6%	1.05×	1.48
Over 2.5 goals	55.6%	57.7%	56.1%	1.03×	1.73
Under 2.5 goals	44.4%	42.3%	43.9%	0.96×	2.37
Over 3.5 goals	33.2%	32.3%	35.4%	0.91×	3.09
Under 1.5 goals	20.1%	23.0%	21.1%	1.09×	4.34
Over 4.5 goals	16.9%	18.4%	19.3%	0.95×	5.44
Over 5.5 goals	7.5%	7.7%	7.6%	1.02×	12.91
Under 0.5 goals	6.7%	7.7%	5.3%	1.46×	12.91

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	97.0%	97.3%	97.0%	1.00×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	91.7%	92.0%	91.4%	1.01×	1.09
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	79.8%	76.0%	77.0%	0.99×	1.32
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	73.4%	72.1%	72.7%	0.99×	1.39
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	57.2%	58.2%	55.4%	1.05×	1.72
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	42.8%	41.8%	44.6%	0.94×	2.39
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	26.6%	27.9%	27.3%	1.02×	3.59
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	20.2%	24.0%	23.0%	1.05×	4.16
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	8.3%	8.0%	8.6%	0.93×	12.51
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	3.0%	2.7%	3.0%	0.90×	36.69

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	88.1%	88.4%	—	—	1.13
Over 0.5 in 1st half	69.4%	67.1%	—	—	1.49
Under 1.5 in 1st half	66.4%	67.0%	—	—	1.49
Over 1.5 in 1st half	33.6%	33.0%	—	—	3.03
Under 0.5 in 1st half	30.6%	32.9%	—	—	3.04
Over 2.5 in 1st half	11.9%	11.6%	—	—	8.62

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	81.6%	82.5%	—	—	1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	75.3%	80.0%	—	—	1.25
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	48.4%	50.5%	—	—	1.98
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	51.6%	49.5%	—	—	2.02
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	24.7%	20.0%	—	—	4.99
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	18.4%	17.5%	—	—	5.72

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Taawoun not to score in both halves	86.1%	85.5%	—	—	1.17
Al Hilal not to score in both halves	62.3%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Al Hilal to score in both halves	37.7%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Al Taawoun to score in both halves	13.9%	14.5%	—	—	6.92

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	53.7%	54.2%	56.1%	0.97×	1.84
Only Al Hilal scores	32.2%	31.4%	16.8%	1.87×	3.18
Only Al Taawoun scores	7.4%	7.1%	22.0%	0.32×	14.09
Neither team scores	6.7%	7.1%	5.3%	1.34×	14.09

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	24.3%	22.3%	22.9%	0.97×	4.49
Exactly 3 goals	22.4%	22.3%	20.9%	1.06×	4.49
Exactly 4 goals	16.3%	17.6%	16.2%	1.08×	5.68
Exactly 1 goals	13.4%	12.3%	15.9%	0.77×	8.14
Exactly 5 goals	9.5%	7.8%	11.8%	0.66×	12.88
6 or more goals	7.5%	7.8%	7.6%	1.02×	12.88
Exactly 0 goals	6.7%	7.8%	5.3%	1.46×	12.89

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	35.8%	36.9%	—	—	2.71
No goals in 1st half	30.6%	34.3%	—	—	2.91
2 goals in 1st half	21.8%	21.6%	—	—	4.63
3+ goals in 1st half	11.9%	11.4%	—	—	8.79

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	51.6%	49.5%	—	—	2.02
1 goal in 2nd half	30.0%	34.3%	—	—	2.92
No goals in 2nd half	18.4%	16.5%	—	—	6.07

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Taawoun not to win both halves	97.0%	97.3%	—	—	1.03
Al Hilal not to win both halves	78.5%	81.5%	—	—	1.23
Al Hilal to win both halves	21.5%	18.5%	—	—	5.41
Al Taawoun to win both halves	3.0%	2.7%	—	—	37.05

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Hilal to win either half	71.2%	70.0%	—	—	1.43
Al Taawoun to win neither half	69.1%	68.8%	—	—	1.45
Al Taawoun to win either half	30.9%	31.2%	—	—	3.20
Al Hilal to win neither half	28.8%	30.0%	—	—	3.34

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Taawoun not to win to nil	92.6%	92.4%	78.0%	1.18×	1.08
Al Hilal not to win to nil	67.8%	69.5%	83.2%	0.84×	1.44
Al Hilal to win to nil	32.2%	30.5%	16.8%	1.81×	3.28
Al Taawoun to win to nil	7.4%	7.6%	22.0%	0.35×	13.08

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Al Hilal by 1	23.0%	23.4%	17.8%	1.32×	4.27
Draw	23.8%	23.4%	21.5%	1.09×	4.27
Al Hilal by 2	18.7%	17.2%	10.5%	1.65×	5.80
Al Hilal by 3+	18.1%	17.2%	7.1%	2.42×	5.80
Al Taawoun by 1	10.4%	11.8%	21.5%	0.55×	8.45
Al Taawoun by 2	4.3%	3.0%	12.7%	0.23×	33.44
Al Taawoun by 3+	1.5%	3.0%	9.6%	0.31×	33.47