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Alaves v Mallorca — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Friday 1 November 2024 · ESP-La Liga · 2425

La Liga xG

1–0
1.44 – 0.71 xG
Shots
13 – 7
On target
3 – 2
Shots in box
10 – 4
xG per shot
0.11 – 0.10
Set-piece xG
0.23 – 0.32
Goals − xG
-0.44 – -0.71
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals. A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.

Expected goals by minute

0.00.40.81.21.60'15'30'45'60'75'90'Jon Guridi 75' — goal
Alaves 1.44 xGMallorca 0.71 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance; filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings; lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping. Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.

Shot map

Adrián Pica 3' — Missed Shot (0.05 xG, From Corner)Antonio Blanco 5' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Jon Guridi 13' — Blocked Shot (0.09 xG, Open Play)Manuel Sánchez 13' — Blocked Shot (0.07 xG, Open Play)Omar Mascarell 15' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Chiquinho 23' — Saved Shot (0.11 xG, Open Play)Manuel Morlanes 23' — Blocked Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Abderrahmane Rebbach 39' — Missed Shot (0.01 xG, From Corner)Nahuel Tenaglia 39' — Missed Shot (0.05 xG, From Corner)Abderrahmane Rebbach 46' — Blocked Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Nahuel Tenaglia 49' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Cyle Larin 55' — Missed Shot (0.32 xG, Set Piece)Abderrahmane Rebbach 58' — Blocked Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Abdelkabir Abqar 59' — Saved Shot (0.05 xG, From Corner)Nahuel Tenaglia 59' — Blocked Shot (0.07 xG, From Corner)Jon Guridi 75' — Goal (0.64 xG, Open Play)Dani Rodríguez 77' — Saved Shot (0.07 xG, Open Play)Vedat Muriqi 81' — Missed Shot (0.11 xG, Open Play)Copete 91' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Carlos Martín 92' — Saved Shot (0.31 xG, Open Play)
Alaves attacking right Mallorca attacking left Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.

Every shot

MinTeamPlayerxG SituationBody partResultAssisted by
3' Alaves Adrián Pica 0.05 From Corner Missed Shot Carlos Vicente
5' Alaves Antonio Blanco 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot
13' Alaves Jon Guridi 0.09 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot
13' Alaves Manuel Sánchez 0.07 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Abderrahmane Rebbach
15' Mallorca Omar Mascarell 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Manuel Morlanes
23' Mallorca Chiquinho 0.11 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot
23' Mallorca Manuel Morlanes 0.05 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot
39' Alaves Abderrahmane Rebbach 0.02 From Corner Right Foot Missed Shot
39' Alaves Nahuel Tenaglia 0.05 From Corner Right Foot Missed Shot Abderrahmane Rebbach
46' Alaves Abderrahmane Rebbach 0.03 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Carlos Vicente
49' Alaves Nahuel Tenaglia 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Abderrahmane Rebbach
55' Mallorca Cyle Larin 0.32 Set Piece Missed Shot Dani Rodríguez
58' Alaves Abderrahmane Rebbach 0.03 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Jon Guridi
59' Alaves Abdelkabir Abqar 0.05 From Corner Saved Shot Carlos Vicente
59' Alaves Nahuel Tenaglia 0.07 From Corner Left Foot Blocked Shot
75' Alaves Jon Guridi 0.64 Open Play Right Foot Goal
77' Mallorca Dani Rodríguez 0.07 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Vedat Muriqi
81' Mallorca Vedat Muriqi 0.11 Open Play Missed Shot Manuel Morlanes
91' Mallorca Copete 0.02 Open Play Missed Shot Pablo Maffeo
92' Alaves Carlos Martín 0.31 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Stoichkov

Players

Alaves

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Nahuel Tenaglia DR 90 0 0 3 0 0.15 0.00 0.73
Manuel Sánchez DL 90 0 0 1 0 0.07 0.00 0.10
Abderrahmane Rebbach AML 90 0 0 3 3 0.07 0.15 0.15
Adrián Pica DC 90 0 0 1 0 0.05 0.00 0.00
Abdelkabir Abqar DC 90 0 0 1 0 0.05 0.00 0.00
Antonio Blanco DMC 90 0 0 1 0 0.02 0.00 0.05
Antonio Sivera GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Carlos Vicente AMR 90 0 0 0 3 0.00 0.12 0.03
Kike García FW 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.12
Jon Guridi AMC 82 1 0 2 1 0.73 0.03 0.83
Ander Guevara Sub 74 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Carlos Benavídez DMC 16 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.02
Stoichkov Sub 8 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.31 0.31
Carlos Martín Sub 1 0 0 1 0 0.31 0.00 0.31
Antonio Martínez Sub 1 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.31

Mallorca

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Manuel Morlanes DMC 90 0 0 1 2 0.05 0.13 0.25
Copete DC 90 0 0 1 0 0.02 0.00 0.02
Leo Román GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Raíllo DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Toni Lato DL 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.02
Pablo Maffeo DR 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.02 0.02
Dani Rodríguez AMC 81 0 0 1 1 0.07 0.32 0.07
Omar Mascarell DMC 81 0 0 1 0 0.02 0.00 0.02
Roberto Navarro AMR 71 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Cyle Larin FW 70 0 0 1 0 0.32 0.00 0.00
Chiquinho AML 59 0 0 1 0 0.11 0.00 0.13
Vedat Muriqi Sub 31 0 0 1 1 0.11 0.07 0.18
Sergi Darder Sub 20 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Antonio Sánchez Sub 19 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Daniel Luna Sub 9 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.11
Abdón Prats Sub 9 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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