Albacete v Eibar — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Sunday 4 October 2026 · ESP-La Liga 2 · 2627
AI prediction
ai-blend v1.0 dailyCalibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (555 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.
Top 5 scorelines
- 1-1 12.1%
- 0-1 10.1%
- 1-0 9.2%
- 1-2 8.6%
- 2-1 7.8%
Goals
| Over 2.5 | 49.5% | Under 2.5 | 50.5% |
| BTTS yes | 53.6% | BTTS no | 46.4% |
| Albacete 1+ | 71.7% | Albacete 2+ | 36.0% |
| Eibar 1+ | 75.1% | Eibar 2+ | 40.5% |
Expected goals 1.26 – 1.39. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.
Footing
Positive factors
- Eibar carry the stronger rating, 1567 Elo against 1470.
- Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.
Risk factors
- No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.
Why the model thinks this
The price
Eibar have an estimated 43.5% win probability, against 29.0% for Albacete and 27.4% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.26 for Albacete and 1.39 for Eibar.
Why Albacete
Nothing in the data singles out Albacete.
Why the draw is live
The draw sits at 27.4%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.26 to 1.39. Draws run at 27% in this competition.
Why Eibar can win
Eibar carry the stronger rating, 1567 Elo against 1470. Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.
Key players
No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.
Availability
No lineup on record for Albacete, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Eibar, so availability is unknown.
The matchup, as far as the data reaches
Albacete: 47% possession, 13.8 shots a match, 10.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Eibar: 43% possession, 10.6 shots a match, 17.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.
Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-08 10:52 · team_stats 2026-09-08 06:03 · availability 2026-09-08 11:54 · prediction 2026-09-08 11:44 ·
Eibar are the model's most likely outcome at 43.5%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 12.1%. Confidence 53/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.
Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.
Was this pick made in advance?
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ai-blend | 1.26–1.39 | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| dc-xg | 1.01–1.24 | 0-1 13% | 39% | 45% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eibar to win | 40.2% | 43.7% | 28.0% | 1.56× | 2.29 |
| Albacete to win | 34.3% | 29.1% | 45.5% | 0.64× | 3.43 |
| Draw | 25.4% | 27.6% | 26.6% | 1.04× | 3.63 |
1X2 & GG/NG 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eibar & not both score | 21.5% | 22.6% | 13.4% | 1.68× | 4.43 |
| Eibar & both teams score | 18.7% | 17.8% | 14.7% | 1.21× | 5.63 |
| Draw & both teams score | 18.7% | 17.8% | 17.5% | 1.01× | 5.63 |
| Albacete & not both score | 18.1% | 17.8% | 23.6% | 0.75× | 5.63 |
| Albacete & both teams score | 16.2% | 17.7% | 22.0% | 0.81× | 5.64 |
| Draw & not both score | 6.7% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 0.80× | 13.69 |
1X2 & Over/Under 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eibar & over 1.5 | 30.2% | 33.1% | 19.4% | 1.70× | 3.02 |
| Eibar & under 3.5 | 28.6% | 25.5% | 19.6% | 1.30× | 3.92 |
| Albacete & over 1.5 | 25.2% | 25.5% | 32.6% | 0.78× | 3.93 |
| Albacete & under 3.5 | 25.0% | 21.5% | 32.2% | 0.67× | 4.65 |
| Eibar & over 2.5 | 23.4% | 21.5% | 16.6% | 1.30× | 4.65 |
| Albacete & over 2.5 | 19.6% | 17.6% | 26.3% | 0.67× | 5.69 |
| Draw & under 2.5 | 18.8% | 17.6% | 20.3% | 0.87× | 5.69 |
| Draw & under 3.5 | 18.8% | 17.6% | 20.3% | 0.87× | 5.69 |
| Draw & over 1.5 | 18.7% | 17.6% | 17.5% | 1.00× | 5.69 |
| Eibar & under 2.5 | 16.9% | 17.6% | 11.6% | 1.52× | 5.69 |
| Albacete & under 2.5 | 14.8% | 12.7% | 19.3% | 0.66× | 7.86 |
| Eibar & over 3.5 | 11.6% | 12.7% | 8.5% | 1.49× | 7.87 |
| Eibar & under 1.5 | 10.1% | 12.7% | 8.7% | 1.46× | 7.87 |
| Albacete & over 3.5 | 9.4% | 7.5% | 13.3% | 0.56× | 13.40 |
| Albacete & under 1.5 | 9.2% | 7.5% | 13.0% | 0.57× | 13.40 |
| Draw & under 1.5 | 6.7% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 0.82× | 13.41 |
| Draw & over 2.5 | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 1.16× | 13.41 |
| Draw & over 3.5 | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 1.16× | 13.41 |
1X2 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eibar (1UP) | 56.3% | 62.2% | — | — | 1.61 |
| Albacete (1UP) | 51.1% | 52.4% | — | — | 1.91 |
1X2 2UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eibar (2UP) | 40.2% | 46.4% | — | — | 2.16 |
| Albacete (2UP) | 34.3% | 30.7% | — | — | 3.26 |
2nd half 1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half drawn | 35.7% | 37.4% | — | — | 2.67 |
| Eibar to win 2nd half | 35.5% | 37.4% | — | — | 2.67 |
| Albacete to win 2nd half | 28.9% | 27.5% | — | — | 3.63 |
Asian handicap 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eibar (+2.5) | 95.0% | 97.1% | 92.3% | 1.05× | 1.03 |
| Eibar (+1.5) | 85.3% | 88.9% | 80.5% | 1.11× | 1.13 |
| Eibar (+0.5) | 65.7% | 68.9% | 54.5% | 1.26× | 1.45 |
| Albacete (+0.5) | 59.8% | 57.2% | 72.0% | 0.80× | 1.75 |
| Eibar (-0.5) | 40.2% | 42.8% | 28.0% | 1.53× | 2.34 |
| Albacete (-0.5) | 34.3% | 31.1% | 45.5% | 0.68× | 3.21 |
| Albacete (-1.5) | 14.7% | 11.1% | 19.5% | 0.57× | 9.02 |
| Albacete (-2.5) | 5.0% | 2.9% | 7.7% | 0.38× | 34.31 |
Away clean sheet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eibar to concede | 71.8% | 77.0% | 77.5% | 0.99× | 1.30 |
| Eibar clean sheet | 28.2% | 23.0% | 22.5% | 1.03× | 4.34 |
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eibar clean sheet in 1st half | 58.1% | 60.3% | — | — | 1.66 |
| Eibar to concede in 1st half | 41.9% | 39.7% | — | — | 2.52 |
Away corners O/U 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eibar under 6.5 corners | 80.6% | 81.4% | — | — | 1.23 |
| Eibar over 2.5 corners | 77.4% | 76.0% | — | — | 1.32 |
| Eibar under 5.5 corners | 69.6% | 67.6% | — | — | 1.48 |
| Eibar over 3.5 corners | 61.1% | 61.8% | — | — | 1.62 |
| Eibar under 4.5 corners | 55.3% | 57.1% | — | — | 1.75 |
| Eibar over 4.5 corners | 44.7% | 42.9% | — | — | 2.33 |
| Eibar under 3.5 corners | 38.9% | 38.2% | — | — | 2.62 |
| Eibar over 5.5 corners | 30.4% | 32.4% | — | — | 3.08 |
| Eibar under 2.5 corners | 22.6% | 24.0% | — | — | 4.16 |
| Eibar over 6.5 corners | 19.4% | 18.6% | — | — | 5.37 |
Away goals O/U 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eibar under 3.5 goals | 94.7% | 92.7% | 97.0% | 0.96× | 1.08 |
| Eibar under 2.5 goals | 83.6% | 82.3% | 89.2% | 0.92× | 1.22 |
| Eibar over 0.5 goals | 75.1% | 75.2% | 67.3% | 1.12× | 1.33 |
| Eibar under 1.5 goals | 59.5% | 57.8% | 69.4% | 0.83× | 1.73 |
| Eibar over 1.5 goals | 40.5% | 42.2% | 30.6% | 1.38× | 2.37 |
| Eibar under 0.5 goals | 24.9% | 24.8% | 32.7% | 0.76× | 4.03 |
| Eibar over 2.5 goals | 16.4% | 17.7% | 10.8% | 1.64× | 5.64 |
| Eibar over 3.5 goals | 5.3% | 7.3% | 3.0% | 2.40× | 13.69 |
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eibar under 1.5 in 1st half | 89.2% | 87.7% | — | — | 1.14 |
| Eibar under 0.5 in 1st half | 57.3% | 59.2% | — | — | 1.69 |
| Eibar over 0.5 in 1st half | 42.7% | 40.8% | — | — | 2.45 |
| Eibar over 1.5 in 1st half | 10.8% | 12.3% | — | — | 8.14 |
Away no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Albacete (away no bet) | 57.4% | 59.0% | 63.1% | 0.93× | 1.70 |
| Draw (away no bet) | 42.6% | 41.0% | 36.9% | 1.11× | 2.44 |
Away Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eibar even goals | 53.1% | 52.4% | 54.7% | 0.96× | 1.91 |
| Eibar odd goals | 46.9% | 47.6% | 45.3% | 1.05× | 2.10 |
Both halves O1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves over 1.5 | 86.1% | 86.4% | — | — | 1.16 |
| Both halves over 1.5 goals | 13.9% | 13.6% | — | — | 7.33 |
Both halves U1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves under 1.5 | 62.1% | 66.3% | — | — | 1.51 |
| Both halves under 1.5 goals | 37.9% | 33.7% | — | — | 2.96 |
Consecutive goals 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to score 2+ in a row | 54.1% | 52.9% | — | — | 1.89 |
| Eibar to score 2+ in a row | 32.3% | 33.9% | — | — | 2.95 |
| Albacete to score 2+ in a row | 27.8% | 25.2% | — | — | 3.97 |
| Either team to score 3+ in a row | 18.2% | 17.8% | — | — | 5.61 |
| Eibar to score 3+ in a row | 10.4% | 12.1% | — | — | 8.24 |
| Albacete to score 3+ in a row | 8.1% | 7.4% | — | — | 13.60 |
Corner handicap 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Albacete corners (+3.5) | 90.9% | 89.5% | — | — | 1.12 |
| Albacete corners (+2.5) | 85.8% | 84.5% | — | — | 1.18 |
| Albacete corners (+1.5) | 79.0% | 74.8% | — | — | 1.34 |
| Eibar corners (+3.5) | 69.9% | 65.8% | — | — | 1.52 |
| Eibar corners (+2.5) | 60.4% | 61.9% | — | — | 1.62 |
| Albacete corners (-1.5) | 50.0% | 52.5% | — | — | 1.91 |
| Eibar corners (+1.5) | 50.0% | 47.5% | — | — | 2.10 |
| Albacete corners (-2.5) | 39.6% | 38.1% | — | — | 2.62 |
| Albacete corners (-3.5) | 30.1% | 34.2% | — | — | 2.93 |
| Eibar corners (-1.5) | 21.0% | 25.2% | — | — | 3.98 |
| Eibar corners (-2.5) | 14.2% | 15.5% | — | — | 6.45 |
| Eibar corners (-3.5) | 9.1% | 10.5% | — | — | 9.56 |
Corner range 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12+ corners | 37.3% | 33.9% | — | — | 2.95 |
| 0-8 corners | 32.5% | 33.3% | — | — | 3.01 |
| 9-11 corners | 30.3% | 33.2% | — | — | 3.01 |
Corners O/U 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 7.5 corners | 77.0% | 76.5% | — | — | 1.31 |
| Under 12.5 corners | 71.4% | 72.6% | — | — | 1.38 |
| Over 8.5 corners | 67.5% | 67.7% | — | — | 1.48 |
| Under 11.5 corners | 62.7% | 63.3% | — | — | 1.58 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 57.2% | 57.9% | — | — | 1.73 |
| Under 10.5 corners | 53.1% | 53.2% | — | — | 1.88 |
| Over 10.5 corners | 46.9% | 46.8% | — | — | 2.14 |
| Under 9.5 corners | 42.8% | 42.1% | — | — | 2.38 |
| Over 11.5 corners | 37.3% | 36.7% | — | — | 2.72 |
| Under 8.5 corners | 32.5% | 32.3% | — | — | 3.10 |
| Over 12.5 corners | 28.6% | 27.4% | — | — | 3.65 |
| Under 7.5 corners | 23.0% | 23.5% | — | — | 4.26 |
Corners Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odd number of corners | 50.0% | 50.2% | — | — | 1.99 |
| Even number of corners | 50.0% | 49.9% | — | — | 2.01 |
Correct score 26
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | 12.1% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 1.03× | 8.63 |
| 0-1 | 10.1% | 11.6% | 8.7% | 1.33× | 8.64 |
| 1-0 | 9.2% | 7.3% | 13.0% | 0.56× | 13.74 |
| 1-2 | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 1.03× | 13.74 |
| 2-1 | 7.8% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 0.72× | 13.74 |
| 0-0 | 6.7% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 0.80× | 13.75 |
| 0-2 | 6.8% | 7.3% | 2.9% | 2.47× | 13.75 |
| 2-0 | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 1.13× | 13.75 |
| 2-2 | 5.4% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 1.28× | 13.75 |
| 1-3 | 4.0% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 0.51× | 55.41 |
| 0-3 | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.43× | 55.43 |
| 2-3 | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 0.78× | 55.45 |
| 3-1 | 3.3% | 1.8% | 4.5% | 0.40× | 55.43 |
| 1-4 | 1.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 2.15× | 55.47 |
| 3-0 | 2.4% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 0.59× | 55.45 |
| 3-2 | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 0.64× | 55.45 |
| Any other score | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 0.66× | 55.45 |
| 0-4 | 1.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 2.45× | 55.48 |
| 2-4 | 0.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 2.45× | 55.49 |
| 3-3 | 1.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 2.45× | 55.48 |
| 3-4 | 0.4% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 8.58× | 55.50 |
| 4-0 | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.56× | 55.49 |
| 4-1 | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 0.95× | 55.48 |
| 4-2 | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.56× | 55.49 |
| 4-3 | 0.3% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 5.72× | 55.50 |
| 4-4 | 0.1% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 8.58× | 55.51 |
DNB half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eibar leading at HT (DNB) | 50.7% | 54.9% | — | — | 1.82 |
| Albacete leading at HT (DNB) | 49.3% | 45.1% | — | — | 2.22 |
Double chance 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Albacete or Eibar (12) | 74.6% | 72.4% | 73.4% | 0.99× | 1.38 |
| Eibar or draw (X2) | 65.7% | 70.9% | 54.5% | 1.30× | 1.41 |
| Albacete or draw (1X) | 59.8% | 56.3% | 72.0% | 0.78× | 1.78 |
Double chance 1HT 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eibar or draw at HT | 72.4% | 71.5% | — | — | 1.40 |
| Albacete or draw at HT | 71.6% | 71.4% | — | — | 1.40 |
| Albacete or Eibar at HT | 56.0% | 58.2% | — | — | 1.72 |
Double chance 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eibar or draw (1UP) | 65.7% | 74.9% | — | — | 1.34 |
| Albacete or draw (1UP) | 59.8% | 64.1% | — | — | 1.56 |
Double chance 2HT 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eibar or draw in 2nd half | 71.1% | 72.5% | — | — | 1.38 |
| Albacete or draw in 2nd half | 64.5% | 62.6% | — | — | 1.60 |
| Albacete or Eibar in 2nd half | 64.3% | 62.6% | — | — | 1.60 |
Draw either half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A half drawn | 64.3% | 59.5% | — | — | 1.68 |
| Neither half drawn | 35.7% | 40.5% | — | — | 2.47 |
Draw no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eibar (DNB) | 53.9% | 52.7% | 38.1% | 1.38× | 1.90 |
| Albacete (DNB) | 46.1% | 47.3% | 61.9% | 0.76× | 2.12 |
First goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eibar to score first | 48.9% | 46.3% | — | — | 2.16 |
| Albacete to score first | 44.4% | 41.5% | — | — | 2.41 |
| No goal scored | 6.7% | 6.2% | — | — | 16.03 |
GG/NG 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score | 53.6% | 52.9% | 54.0% | 0.98× | 1.89 |
| Not both teams to score | 46.4% | 47.1% | 46.0% | 1.02× | 2.12 |
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both score & over 2.5 | 41.5% | 42.3% | 42.9% | 0.99× | 2.37 |
| Not both score & under 2.5 | 38.4% | 37.5% | 39.8% | 0.94× | 2.67 |
| Both score & under 2.5 | 12.1% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 1.04× | 8.53 |
| Not both score & over 2.5 | 8.0% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 1.38× | 11.47 |
GG/NG 2+ 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both teams to score 2+ | 85.4% | 85.5% | 85.6% | 1.00× | 1.17 |
| Both teams to score 2+ | 14.6% | 14.5% | 14.4% | 1.01× | 6.89 |
GG/NG 2nd half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both to score in 2nd half | 71.0% | 70.4% | — | — | 1.42 |
| Both teams to score in 2nd half | 29.0% | 29.6% | — | — | 3.38 |
GG/NG by half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neither half both score | 58.4% | 57.7% | — | — | 1.73 |
| Both score 2nd half only | 23.8% | 24.4% | — | — | 4.09 |
| Both score 1st half only | 12.6% | 11.6% | — | — | 8.65 |
| Both score in both halves | 5.2% | 6.4% | — | — | 15.56 |
GG/NG half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both to score by HT | 82.2% | 83.2% | — | — | 1.20 |
| Both teams to score by HT | 17.8% | 16.8% | — | — | 5.95 |
Goal in both halves 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A goal in each half | 52.5% | 54.7% | — | — | 1.83 |
| A half without a goal | 47.5% | 45.3% | — | — | 2.21 |
Goal range 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2-3 goals | 46.4% | 45.9% | 41.4% | 1.11× | 2.18 |
| 0-1 goals | 26.0% | 27.6% | 30.7% | 0.90× | 3.62 |
| 4-6 goals | 25.7% | 27.6% | 26.6% | 1.04× | 3.62 |
| 7+ goals | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.23× | 51.57 |
Goals away 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eibar to score exactly 1 | 34.6% | 33.3% | 36.9% | 0.90× | 3.00 |
| Eibar to score exactly 0 | 24.9% | 24.0% | 32.7% | 0.74× | 4.16 |
| Eibar to score exactly 2 | 24.1% | 24.0% | 19.9% | 1.21× | 4.17 |
| Eibar to score 3+ | 16.4% | 18.3% | 10.8% | 1.69× | 5.46 |
Goals home 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Albacete to score exactly 1 | 35.7% | 36.0% | 35.6% | 1.01× | 2.78 |
| Albacete to score exactly 0 | 28.2% | 27.1% | 22.5% | 1.21× | 3.69 |
| Albacete to score exactly 2 | 22.6% | 23.0% | 25.0% | 0.92× | 4.36 |
| Albacete to score 3+ | 13.5% | 13.5% | 17.1% | 0.79× | 7.41 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw at HT | 44.0% | 41.8% | — | — | 2.39 |
| Eibar leading at HT | 28.4% | 28.6% | — | — | 3.50 |
| Albacete leading at HT | 27.6% | 28.5% | — | — | 3.50 |
Handicap 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eibar -1: 1 | 59.8% | 56.3% | — | — | 1.78 |
| Eibar -1: X | 21.6% | 23.9% | — | — | 4.18 |
| Eibar -1: 2 | 18.6% | 19.0% | — | — | 5.27 |
Handicap 0:1 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eibar (0:1) | 65.7% | 69.7% | 54.5% | 1.28× | 1.44 |
| Draw (0:1) | 19.6% | 18.4% | 26.1% | 0.70× | 5.45 |
| Albacete (0:1) | 14.7% | 10.8% | 19.5% | 0.55× | 9.28 |
Handicap 0:2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eibar (0:2) | 85.3% | 89.5% | 80.5% | 1.11× | 1.12 |
| Draw (0:2) | 9.7% | 7.2% | 12.0% | 0.60× | 13.81 |
| Albacete (0:2) | 5.0% | 3.1% | 7.7% | 0.40× | 32.50 |
Handicap 0:3 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eibar (0:3) | 95.0% | 97.1% | 92.3% | 1.05× | 1.03 |
| Draw (0:3) | 3.6% | 2.3% | 5.4% | 0.44× | 42.81 |
| Albacete (0:3) | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 0.96× | 43.29 |
Handicap 0:4 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eibar (0:4) | 98.6% | 98.1% | 97.6% | 1.01× | 1.02 |
| Draw (0:4) | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 0.59× | 80.81 |
| Albacete (0:4) | 0.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 2.93× | 81.19 |
Handicap 1:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Albacete (1:0) | 59.8% | 57.7% | 72.0% | 0.80× | 1.73 |
| Draw (1:0) | 21.6% | 22.9% | 18.0% | 1.27× | 4.37 |
| Eibar (1:0) | 18.6% | 16.4% | 10.2% | 1.61× | 6.10 |
Handicap 2:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Albacete (2:0) | 81.4% | 83.9% | 89.8% | 0.93× | 1.19 |
| Draw (2:0) | 11.8% | 12.1% | 7.0% | 1.72× | 8.28 |
| Eibar (2:0) | 6.9% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 2.02× | 15.17 |
Highest scoring half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half highest scoring | 48.1% | 48.7% | — | — | 2.05 |
| 1st half highest scoring | 27.1% | 26.1% | — | — | 3.83 |
| Halves equal | 24.9% | 23.2% | — | — | 4.30 |
Home clean sheet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Albacete to concede | 75.1% | 77.0% | 67.3% | 1.14× | 1.30 |
| Albacete clean sheet | 24.9% | 23.0% | 32.7% | 0.70× | 4.36 |
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Albacete clean sheet in 1st half | 57.3% | 59.1% | — | — | 1.69 |
| Albacete to concede in 1st half | 42.7% | 40.9% | — | — | 2.44 |
Home corners O/U 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Albacete over 2.5 corners | 89.6% | 86.3% | — | — | 1.16 |
| Albacete over 3.5 corners | 79.3% | 76.6% | — | — | 1.31 |
| Albacete over 4.5 corners | 66.5% | 66.7% | — | — | 1.50 |
| Albacete under 6.5 corners | 60.1% | 62.2% | — | — | 1.61 |
| Albacete over 5.5 corners | 52.9% | 52.6% | — | — | 1.90 |
| Albacete under 5.5 corners | 47.1% | 47.4% | — | — | 2.11 |
| Albacete over 6.5 corners | 39.9% | 37.8% | — | — | 2.65 |
| Albacete under 4.5 corners | 33.5% | 33.3% | — | — | 3.01 |
| Albacete under 3.5 corners | 20.7% | 23.4% | — | — | 4.27 |
| Albacete under 2.5 corners | 10.4% | 13.7% | — | — | 7.30 |
Home goals O/U 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Albacete under 3.5 goals | 96.0% | 97.7% | 93.7% | 1.04× | 1.02 |
| Albacete under 2.5 goals | 86.5% | 87.8% | 82.9% | 1.06× | 1.14 |
| Albacete over 0.5 goals | 71.8% | 72.7% | 77.5% | 0.94× | 1.38 |
| Albacete under 1.5 goals | 64.0% | 62.7% | 58.0% | 1.08× | 1.60 |
| Albacete over 1.5 goals | 36.0% | 37.3% | 42.0% | 0.89× | 2.68 |
| Albacete under 0.5 goals | 28.2% | 27.3% | 22.5% | 1.21× | 3.66 |
| Albacete over 2.5 goals | 13.5% | 12.2% | 17.1% | 0.71× | 8.18 |
| Albacete over 3.5 goals | 4.0% | 2.3% | 6.3% | 0.36× | 43.66 |
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Albacete under 1.5 in 1st half | 89.6% | 87.9% | — | — | 1.14 |
| Albacete under 0.5 in 1st half | 58.1% | 60.1% | — | — | 1.66 |
| Albacete over 0.5 in 1st half | 41.9% | 39.9% | — | — | 2.51 |
| Albacete over 1.5 in 1st half | 10.4% | 12.1% | — | — | 8.27 |
Home no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eibar (home no bet) | 61.3% | 61.3% | 51.3% | 1.19× | 1.63 |
| Draw (home no bet) | 38.7% | 38.7% | 48.7% | 0.80× | 2.58 |
Home Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Albacete even goals | 54.0% | 50.3% | 51.8% | 0.97× | 1.99 |
| Albacete odd goals | 46.0% | 49.7% | 48.2% | 1.03× | 2.01 |
HT correct score 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HT 0-0 | 33.2% | 30.5% | — | — | 3.28 |
| HT 0-1 | 18.6% | 18.9% | — | — | 5.28 |
| HT 1-0 | 18.1% | 18.9% | — | — | 5.29 |
| HT 1-1 | 10.0% | 11.2% | — | — | 8.96 |
| HT 0-2 | 5.2% | 7.7% | — | — | 13.03 |
| HT 2-0 | 4.9% | 2.5% | — | — | 39.72 |
| Any other HT score | 3.7% | 2.5% | — | — | 39.79 |
| HT 1-2 | 2.8% | 2.5% | — | — | 39.84 |
| HT 2-1 | 2.7% | 2.5% | — | — | 39.84 |
| HT 2-2 | 0.8% | 2.5% | — | — | 39.96 |
HT/FT 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eibar at HT / Eibar at FT | 21.8% | 21.4% | — | — | 4.67 |
| Albacete at HT / Albacete at FT | 19.5% | 16.8% | — | — | 5.96 |
| Draw at HT / Eibar at FT | 15.8% | 16.8% | — | — | 5.97 |
| Draw at HT / Draw at FT | 15.4% | 16.7% | — | — | 5.97 |
| Draw at HT / Albacete at FT | 12.9% | 12.0% | — | — | 8.35 |
| Albacete at HT / Draw at FT | 5.4% | 6.6% | — | — | 15.26 |
| Eibar at HT / Draw at FT | 4.7% | 3.4% | — | — | 29.32 |
| Albacete at HT / Eibar at FT | 2.7% | 3.4% | — | — | 29.40 |
| Eibar at HT / Albacete at FT | 1.9% | 3.4% | — | — | 29.43 |
Last goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eibar to score last | 48.8% | 49.2% | — | — | 2.04 |
| Albacete to score last | 44.4% | 40.4% | — | — | 2.47 |
| No goal scored | 6.7% | 6.2% | — | — | 16.03 |
Lead at any time 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to lead by 1 at any time | 93.3% | 93.7% | — | — | 1.07 |
| Eibar to lead by 1 at any time | 56.3% | 59.6% | — | — | 1.68 |
| Albacete to lead by 1 at any time | 51.1% | 50.9% | — | — | 1.97 |
| Either team to lead by 2 at any time | 44.8% | 42.2% | — | — | 2.37 |
| Eibar to lead by 2 at any time | 24.7% | 19.9% | — | — | 5.04 |
| Albacete to lead by 2 at any time | 20.4% | 19.7% | — | — | 5.07 |
| Either team to lead by 3 at any time | 15.2% | 17.6% | — | — | 5.68 |
| Eibar to lead by 3 at any time | 8.7% | 7.1% | — | — | 14.14 |
| Albacete to lead by 3 at any time | 6.5% | 7.0% | — | — | 14.23 |
Most corners 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Albacete most corners | 60.6% | 60.5% | — | — | 1.65 |
| Eibar most corners | 29.6% | 31.1% | — | — | 3.22 |
| Corners level | 9.9% | 8.4% | — | — | 11.89 |
Multi goal 15
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-5 goals | 87.9% | 87.9% | 85.8% | 1.02× | 1.14 |
| 1-4 goals | 80.2% | 81.5% | 78.0% | 1.04× | 1.23 |
| 2-6 goals | 72.1% | 73.6% | 67.9% | 1.09× | 1.36 |
| 2-5 goals | 68.7% | 68.3% | 64.3% | 1.06× | 1.46 |
| 1-3 goals | 65.7% | 68.3% | 62.9% | 1.09× | 1.46 |
| 2-4 goals | 61.0% | 62.3% | 56.5% | 1.10× | 1.61 |
| 3-6 goals | 47.6% | 48.0% | 47.6% | 1.01× | 2.08 |
| 2-3 goals | 46.4% | 48.0% | 41.4% | 1.16× | 2.08 |
| 3-5 goals | 44.2% | 43.6% | 44.0% | 0.99× | 2.29 |
| 1-2 goals | 43.7% | 43.6% | 41.9% | 1.04× | 2.29 |
| 3-4 goals | 36.5% | 38.8% | 36.2% | 1.07× | 2.58 |
| 4-6 goals | 25.7% | 30.4% | 26.6% | 1.14× | 3.29 |
| 4-5 goals | 22.3% | 24.7% | 23.0% | 1.07× | 4.05 |
| 5-6 goals | 11.2% | 13.4% | 11.5% | 1.17× | 7.45 |
| 7+ goals | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.28× | 49.55 |
Never down 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eibar never behind | 42.1% | 50.7% | — | — | 1.97 |
| Albacete never behind | 37.0% | 45.4% | — | — | 2.20 |
Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even number of goals | 49.7% | 50.1% | 48.4% | 1.04× | 1.99 |
| Odd number of goals | 50.3% | 49.9% | 51.6% | 0.97× | 2.01 |
Odd/Even 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 1st half | 55.4% | 55.3% | — | — | 1.81 |
| Odd goals in 1st half | 44.6% | 44.7% | — | — | 2.24 |
Odd/Even 2HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 2nd half | 52.0% | 51.7% | — | — | 1.94 |
| Odd goals in 2nd half | 48.0% | 48.3% | — | — | 2.07 |
Over/Under 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 5.5 goals | 94.7% | 93.0% | 94.9% | 0.98× | 1.08 |
| Over 0.5 goals | 93.3% | 93.0% | 90.9% | 1.02× | 1.08 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 87.0% | 88.8% | 87.1% | 1.02× | 1.13 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74.0% | 72.5% | 69.3% | 1.05× | 1.38 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 72.4% | 72.4% | 72.0% | 1.01× | 1.38 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 50.5% | 53.5% | 50.9% | 1.05× | 1.87 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49.5% | 46.5% | 49.1% | 0.95× | 2.15 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 27.6% | 27.6% | 28.0% | 0.98× | 3.63 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 26.0% | 27.5% | 30.7% | 0.90× | 3.63 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 13.0% | 11.3% | 12.9% | 0.87× | 8.89 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 6.7% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 0.77× | 14.19 |
| Over 5.5 goals | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 1.37× | 14.23 |
Over/Under (whole line) 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6 (void on exactly 6) | 98.0% | 97.2% | 98.4% | 0.99× | 1.03 |
| Under 5 (void on exactly 5) | 94.2% | 92.8% | 94.4% | 0.98× | 1.08 |
| Under 4 (void on exactly 4) | 84.7% | 80.8% | 84.8% | 0.95× | 1.24 |
| Over 2 (void on exactly 2) | 65.6% | 68.0% | 61.5% | 1.10× | 1.47 |
| Under 3 (void on exactly 3) | 64.6% | 62.5% | 64.5% | 0.97× | 1.60 |
| Over 3 (void on exactly 3) | 35.4% | 37.5% | 35.5% | 1.06× | 2.67 |
| Under 2 (void on exactly 2) | 34.4% | 32.0% | 38.5% | 0.83× | 3.12 |
| Over 4 (void on exactly 4) | 15.3% | 19.2% | 15.2% | 1.26× | 5.21 |
| Over 5 (void on exactly 5) | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 1.30× | 13.82 |
| Over 6 (void on exactly 6) | 2.0% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.69× | 36.15 |
Over/Under 1HT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 in 1st half | 90.0% | 92.1% | — | — | 1.09 |
| Under 1.5 in 1st half | 70.0% | 68.6% | — | — | 1.46 |
| Over 0.5 in 1st half | 66.8% | 68.6% | — | — | 1.46 |
| Under 0.5 in 1st half | 33.2% | 31.4% | — | — | 3.18 |
| Over 1.5 in 1st half | 30.0% | 31.4% | — | — | 3.19 |
| Over 2.5 in 1st half | 10.0% | 7.9% | — | — | 12.72 |
Over/Under 2HT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 in 2nd half | 79.5% | 80.3% | — | — | 1.25 |
| Over 0.5 in 2nd half | 79.0% | 80.3% | — | — | 1.25 |
| Over 1.5 in 2nd half | 45.9% | 51.8% | — | — | 1.93 |
| Under 1.5 in 2nd half | 54.1% | 48.2% | — | — | 2.07 |
| Under 0.5 in 2nd half | 21.0% | 19.7% | — | — | 5.08 |
| Over 2.5 in 2nd half | 20.5% | 19.7% | — | — | 5.08 |
Score both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Albacete not to score in both halves | 78.5% | 78.1% | — | — | 1.28 |
| Eibar not to score in both halves | 75.9% | 78.0% | — | — | 1.28 |
| Eibar to score in both halves | 24.1% | 22.0% | — | — | 4.55 |
| Albacete to score in both halves | 21.5% | 21.9% | — | — | 4.58 |
Teams to score 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams score | 53.6% | 54.8% | 54.0% | 1.01× | 1.83 |
| Only Eibar scores | 21.5% | 22.8% | 13.4% | 1.70× | 4.39 |
| Only Albacete scores | 18.1% | 16.4% | 23.6% | 0.69× | 6.09 |
| Neither team scores | 6.7% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 0.73× | 15.05 |
Total goals 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exactly 2 goals | 24.5% | 21.6% | 20.4% | 1.06× | 4.64 |
| Exactly 3 goals | 21.9% | 21.5% | 21.1% | 1.02× | 4.64 |
| Exactly 1 goals | 19.2% | 18.6% | 21.6% | 0.86× | 5.38 |
| Exactly 4 goals | 14.6% | 12.4% | 15.2% | 0.81× | 8.07 |
| Exactly 5 goals | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 0.97× | 13.13 |
| Exactly 0 goals | 6.7% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 0.83× | 13.14 |
| 6 or more goals | 5.3% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 1.48× | 13.16 |
Total goals 2nd half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2+ goals in 2nd half | 45.9% | 50.8% | — | — | 1.97 |
| 1 goal in 2nd half | 33.0% | 33.2% | — | — | 3.01 |
| No goals in 2nd half | 21.0% | 18.5% | — | — | 5.42 |
Win both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Albacete not to win both halves | 92.1% | 93.4% | — | — | 1.07 |
| Eibar not to win both halves | 90.0% | 87.7% | — | — | 1.14 |
| Eibar to win both halves | 10.0% | 12.3% | — | — | 8.10 |
| Albacete to win both halves | 7.9% | 6.6% | — | — | 15.06 |
Win either half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eibar to win either half | 53.8% | 54.0% | — | — | 1.85 |
| Albacete to win neither half | 51.5% | 53.9% | — | — | 1.86 |
| Albacete to win either half | 48.5% | 46.1% | — | — | 2.17 |
| Eibar to win neither half | 46.2% | 46.0% | — | — | 2.17 |
Win to nil 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Albacete not to win to nil | 81.9% | 83.2% | 76.4% | 1.09× | 1.20 |
| Eibar not to win to nil | 78.5% | 77.2% | 86.6% | 0.89× | 1.30 |
| Eibar to win to nil | 21.5% | 22.8% | 13.4% | 1.70× | 4.39 |
| Albacete to win to nil | 18.1% | 16.8% | 23.6% | 0.71× | 5.96 |
Winning margin 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw | 25.4% | 28.0% | 26.6% | 1.05× | 3.57 |
| Eibar by 1 | 21.6% | 23.7% | 18.0% | 1.32× | 4.21 |
| Albacete by 1 | 19.6% | 17.0% | 26.1% | 0.65× | 5.88 |
| Eibar by 2 | 11.8% | 11.8% | 7.0% | 1.68× | 8.44 |
| Albacete by 2 | 9.7% | 7.1% | 12.0% | 0.59× | 14.05 |
| Eibar by 3+ | 6.9% | 7.1% | 3.3% | 2.18× | 14.12 |
| Albacete by 3+ | 5.0% | 2.9% | 7.7% | 0.37× | 35.06 |