Aldosivi v River Plate — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 8 November 2026 · ARG-Liga Profesional · 2627

ARG-Liga Profesional results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Aldosivi

20:00 UTC

River Plate

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 27 Oct, 10:57 · 297h before kick-off

Aldosivi win

22.2%

model 22.1%

Draw

26.8%

model 27.8%

River Plate win

51.0%

model 50.1%

222751

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (466 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

0-1 13.6%
1-1 12.9%
0-0 10.3%
0-2 10.3%
1-2 9.0%

Goals

Over 2.5	41.1%	Under 2.5	58.9%
BTTS yes	45.2%	BTTS no	54.8%
Aldosivi 1+	58.3%	Aldosivi 2+	21.8%
River Plate 1+	76.6%	River Plate 2+	42.7%

Expected goals 0.87 – 1.45. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

24/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

98%

★ Best pick

River Plate (-0.5)

Asian handicap · usually 28%

52.1% fair odds 1.92

strong signal · 1133 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Aldosivi not to score in both halves

Score both halves

84.4% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 829 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

River Plate carry the stronger rating, 1565 Elo against 1346.

Risk factors

The model's measured edge in this competition is -0.0026 nats, which is not meaningfully better than the base rates.

Why the model thinks this

The price

River Plate have an estimated 51.0% win probability, against 26.8% for the draw and 22.2% for Aldosivi. Expected goals from the ensemble are 0.87 for Aldosivi and 1.45 for River Plate.

Why Aldosivi

Nothing in the data singles out Aldosivi.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 26.8%. A combined 2.33 expected goals is a low-scoring profile, and low totals mean more level finishes. Draws run at 31% in this competition.

Why River Plate can win

River Plate carry the stronger rating, 1565 Elo against 1346.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Aldosivi, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for River Plate, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Aldosivi: 38% possession, 13.8 shots a match, 18.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. River Plate: 59% possession, 14.8 shots a match, 10.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-27 10:01 · team_stats 2026-10-27 06:03 · availability 2026-10-27 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

River Plate are the model's most likely outcome at 51.0%. The likeliest scoreline is 0-1 at 13.6%. Confidence 24/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	222850	0.87–1.45	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	202951	0.77–1.40	0-1 15%	37%	41%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
River Plate to win	51.4%	51.5%	27.6%	1.87×	1.94
Draw	28.6%	27.9%	30.7%	0.91×	3.58
Aldosivi to win	20.0%	24.5%	41.8%	0.58×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
River Plate & not both score	34.4%	29.6%	17.1%	1.73×	3.37
River Plate & both teams score	17.0%	18.0%	10.6%	1.69×	5.57
Draw & both teams score	16.6%	18.0%	16.0%	1.13×	5.57
Aldosivi & not both score	12.7%	13.3%	27.7%	0.48×	7.54
Draw & not both score	12.0%	13.3%	14.8%	0.89×	7.54
Aldosivi & both teams score	7.4%	8.3%	14.3%	0.58×	12.00

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
River Plate & under 3.5	40.5%	40.2%	23.5%	1.71×	2.49
River Plate & over 1.5	35.9%	34.9%	17.4%	2.00×	2.87
River Plate & under 2.5	26.6%	26.1%	14.6%	1.79×	3.84
Draw & under 2.5	24.9%	21.6%	28.2%	0.77×	4.63
Draw & under 3.5	24.9%	21.6%	28.2%	0.77×	4.63
River Plate & over 2.5	24.7%	21.6%	13.1%	1.65×	4.63
Aldosivi & under 3.5	17.2%	18.0%	34.8%	0.52×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	16.6%	18.0%	16.0%	1.13×	5.56
River Plate & under 1.5	15.5%	18.0%	10.3%	1.75×	5.56
Aldosivi & over 1.5	11.8%	12.8%	27.8%	0.46×	7.79
Aldosivi & under 2.5	11.6%	12.8%	23.6%	0.54×	7.79
Draw & under 1.5	12.0%	12.8%	14.8%	0.87×	7.79
River Plate & over 3.5	10.9%	12.8%	4.2%	3.04×	7.79
Aldosivi & under 1.5	8.2%	7.9%	14.1%	0.56×	12.63
Aldosivi & over 2.5	8.4%	7.9%	18.4%	0.43×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	3.7%	4.8%	2.6%	1.83×	20.82
Draw & over 3.5	3.7%	4.8%	2.6%	1.83×	20.82
Aldosivi & over 3.5	2.8%	4.8%	7.2%	0.67×	20.82

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
River Plate (1UP)	62.8%	62.9%	—	—	1.59
Aldosivi (1UP)	34.4%	33.2%	—	—	3.02

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
River Plate (2UP)	51.4%	55.2%	—	—	1.81
Aldosivi (2UP)	20.0%	23.6%	—	—	4.24

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
River Plate to win 2nd half	42.6%	42.0%	—	—	2.38
2nd half drawn	39.5%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
Aldosivi to win 2nd half	17.9%	17.9%	—	—	5.59

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
River Plate under 1.5 in 2nd half	79.5%	79.6%	—	—	1.26
River Plate over 0.5 in 2nd half	56.8%	54.4%	—	—	1.84
River Plate under 0.5 in 2nd half	43.2%	45.6%	—	—	2.19
River Plate over 1.5 in 2nd half	20.5%	20.4%	—	—	4.91

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aldosivi under 1.5 in 2nd half	92.8%	94.4%	—	—	1.06
Aldosivi under 0.5 in 2nd half	64.5%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Aldosivi over 0.5 in 2nd half	35.5%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Aldosivi over 1.5 in 2nd half	7.2%	5.6%	—	—	17.72

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
River Plate (+2.5)	98.6%	96.3%	95.0%	1.01×	1.04
River Plate (+1.5)	93.9%	92.1%	82.3%	1.12×	1.09
River Plate (+0.5)	80.0%	78.5%	58.2%	1.35×	1.27
River Plate (-0.5)	51.4%	52.4%	27.6%	1.90×	1.91
Aldosivi (+0.5)	48.6%	47.6%	72.4%	0.66×	2.10
Aldosivi (-0.5)	20.0%	21.5%	41.8%	0.51×	4.65
Aldosivi (-1.5)	6.1%	7.9%	17.7%	0.45×	12.71
Aldosivi (-2.5)	1.4%	3.7%	5.0%	0.73×	27.25

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
River Plate to concede	53.7%	55.9%	68.2%	0.82×	1.79
River Plate clean sheet	46.3%	44.1%	31.8%	1.39×	2.27

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
River Plate clean sheet in 1st half	71.8%	75.7%	—	—	1.32
River Plate to concede in 1st half	28.2%	24.3%	—	—	4.12

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
River Plate clean sheet in 2nd half	64.5%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
River Plate to concede in 2nd half	35.5%	38.1%	—	—	2.63

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
River Plate over 2.5 corners	82.5%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
River Plate under 6.5 corners	73.7%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
River Plate over 3.5 corners	68.5%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
River Plate under 5.5 corners	61.5%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
River Plate over 4.5 corners	53.0%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
River Plate under 4.5 corners	47.0%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
River Plate over 5.5 corners	38.5%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
River Plate under 3.5 corners	31.5%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
River Plate over 6.5 corners	26.3%	28.4%	—	—	3.53
River Plate under 2.5 corners	17.5%	18.6%	—	—	5.38

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
River Plate under 3.5 goals	94.6%	92.4%	98.9%	0.93×	1.08
River Plate under 2.5 goals	83.4%	81.5%	93.4%	0.87×	1.23
River Plate over 0.5 goals	75.3%	76.2%	57.6%	1.32×	1.31
River Plate under 1.5 goals	59.2%	59.4%	78.2%	0.76×	1.68
River Plate over 1.5 goals	40.8%	40.6%	21.8%	1.86×	2.47
River Plate under 0.5 goals	24.7%	23.8%	42.4%	0.56×	4.21
River Plate over 2.5 goals	16.6%	18.5%	6.6%	2.80×	5.41
River Plate over 3.5 goals	5.4%	7.6%	1.1%	6.70×	13.09

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
River Plate under 1.5 in 1st half	89.1%	89.3%	—	—	1.12
River Plate under 0.5 in 1st half	57.1%	62.3%	—	—	1.60
River Plate over 0.5 in 1st half	42.9%	37.7%	—	—	2.66
River Plate over 1.5 in 1st half	10.9%	10.7%	—	—	9.37

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
River Plate scores more in 2nd half	39.5%	37.4%	—	—	2.67
River Plate scores equally in both	37.7%	37.4%	—	—	2.68
River Plate scores more in 1st half	22.8%	21.8%	—	—	4.59

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (away no bet)	58.8%	57.4%	42.3%	1.36×	1.74
Aldosivi (away no bet)	41.2%	42.6%	57.7%	0.74×	2.35

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
River Plate even goals	53.0%	52.6%	58.4%	0.90×	1.90
River Plate odd goals	47.0%	47.4%	41.6%	1.14×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	91.8%	91.5%	—	—	1.09
Both halves over 1.5 goals	8.2%	8.5%	—	—	11.79

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	51.0%	50.5%	—	—	1.98
Both halves under 1.5 goals	49.0%	49.5%	—	—	2.02

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	45.6%	46.0%	—	—	2.17
River Plate to score 2+ in a row	35.4%	36.4%	—	—	2.75
Either team to score 3+ in a row	14.9%	12.2%	—	—	8.19
Aldosivi to score 2+ in a row	13.1%	12.2%	—	—	8.22
River Plate to score 3+ in a row	12.5%	12.2%	—	—	8.23
Aldosivi to score 3+ in a row	2.4%	2.5%	—	—	39.46

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
River Plate corners (+3.5)	89.6%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
River Plate corners (+2.5)	83.5%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Aldosivi corners (+3.5)	77.6%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
River Plate corners (+1.5)	75.3%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Aldosivi corners (+2.5)	68.4%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Aldosivi corners (+1.5)	57.7%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
River Plate corners (-1.5)	42.3%	42.8%	—	—	2.33
River Plate corners (-2.5)	31.6%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Aldosivi corners (-1.5)	24.7%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
River Plate corners (-3.5)	22.4%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Aldosivi corners (-2.5)	16.5%	20.2%	—	—	4.95
Aldosivi corners (-3.5)	10.4%	15.5%	—	—	6.45

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	46.2%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
9-11 corners	29.8%	31.2%	—	—	3.20
12+ corners	24.1%	25.7%	—	—	3.90

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	82.9%	80.7%	—	—	1.24
Under 11.5 corners	75.9%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 10.5 corners	67.3%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Over 7.5 corners	65.2%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Under 9.5 corners	57.2%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 8.5 corners	53.8%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 8.5 corners	46.2%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 9.5 corners	42.8%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Under 7.5 corners	34.8%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Over 10.5 corners	32.7%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Over 11.5 corners	24.1%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
Over 12.5 corners	17.1%	19.3%	—	—	5.17

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-1	15.5%	13.8%	10.3%	1.35×	7.24
1-1	12.9%	11.5%	13.5%	0.85×	8.71
0-0	12.0%	11.5%	14.8%	0.77×	8.71
0-2	11.2%	11.5%	4.4%	2.58×	8.72
1-2	8.6%	7.4%	7.1%	1.05×	13.51
1-0	8.2%	7.4%	14.1%	0.52×	13.51
0-3	5.2%	7.4%	2.1%	3.61×	13.51
4-0	0.2%	1.7%	1.1%	1.50×	58.32
4-1	0.2%	1.7%	0.8%	2.15×	58.32
4-2	0.2%	1.7%	0.3%	5.01×	58.32
4-3	0.1%	1.7%	0.2%	7.52×	58.32
4-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.2%	7.52×	58.32
Any other score	1.5%	1.7%	0.9%	1.88×	58.31
0-4	1.8%	1.7%	0.6%	3.01×	58.31
1-3	4.0%	1.7%	1.9%	0.88×	58.30
1-4	1.4%	1.7%	0.3%	5.01×	58.31
2-0	3.4%	1.7%	9.6%	0.18×	58.30
2-1	4.7%	1.7%	8.7%	0.20×	58.29
2-2	3.3%	1.7%	2.3%	0.75×	58.30
2-3	1.5%	1.7%	1.5%	1.16×	58.31
2-4	0.5%	1.7%	0.1%	15.04×	58.32
3-0	0.9%	1.7%	2.7%	0.63×	58.31
3-1	1.2%	1.7%	3.1%	0.56×	58.31
3-2	0.8%	1.7%	1.6%	1.07×	58.31
3-3	0.4%	1.7%	0.3%	5.01×	58.32
3-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.1%	15.04×	58.32

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
River Plate (2nd half DNB)	70.4%	71.1%	—	—	1.41
Aldosivi (2nd half DNB)	29.6%	28.9%	—	—	3.46

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
River Plate leading at HT (DNB)	65.7%	73.4%	—	—	1.36
Aldosivi leading at HT (DNB)	34.3%	26.6%	—	—	3.76

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
River Plate or draw (X2)	80.0%	75.5%	58.2%	1.30×	1.32
Aldosivi or River Plate (12)	71.4%	72.1%	69.3%	1.04×	1.39
Aldosivi or draw (1X)	48.6%	48.5%	72.4%	0.67×	2.06

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
River Plate or draw at HT	82.6%	84.1%	—	—	1.19
Aldosivi or draw at HT	66.6%	67.2%	—	—	1.49
Aldosivi or River Plate at HT	50.8%	48.4%	—	—	2.07

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
River Plate or draw (1UP)	80.0%	83.8%	—	—	1.19
Aldosivi or draw (1UP)	48.6%	53.1%	—	—	1.88

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
River Plate or draw in 2nd half	82.1%	82.1%	—	—	1.22
Aldosivi or River Plate in 2nd half	60.5%	63.5%	—	—	1.58
Aldosivi or draw in 2nd half	57.4%	58.0%	—	—	1.72

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	68.7%	68.4%	—	—	1.46
Neither half drawn	31.3%	31.6%	—	—	3.16

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
River Plate (DNB)	71.9%	71.4%	39.7%	1.80×	1.40
Aldosivi (DNB)	28.1%	28.6%	60.3%	0.47×	3.50

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
River Plate to score first	56.8%	62.4%	—	—	1.60
Aldosivi to score first	31.2%	27.7%	—	—	3.62
No goal scored	12.0%	9.7%	—	—	10.27

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	59.0%	55.0%	59.4%	0.93×	1.82
Both teams to score	41.0%	45.0%	40.6%	1.11×	2.22

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	50.3%	47.2%	52.8%	0.89×	2.12
Both score & over 2.5	28.1%	33.3%	27.3%	1.22×	3.00
Both score & under 2.5	12.9%	12.4%	13.5%	0.92×	8.09
Not both score & over 2.5	8.8%	8.3%	6.7%	1.23×	12.06

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	92.7%	89.0%	94.1%	0.95×	1.12
Both teams to score 2+	7.3%	11.0%	5.9%	1.85×	9.10

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	79.7%	75.4%	—	—	1.33
Both teams to score in 2nd half	20.3%	24.6%	—	—	4.07

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	69.9%	64.0%	—	—	1.56
Both score 2nd half only	17.9%	15.0%	—	—	6.67
Both score 1st half only	9.7%	6.8%	—	—	14.62
Both score in both halves	2.4%	4.8%	—	—	20.67

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	87.8%	85.0%	—	—	1.18
Both teams to score by HT	12.2%	15.0%	—	—	6.66

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	57.2%	57.0%	—	—	1.75
A goal in each half	42.8%	43.0%	—	—	2.33

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	46.9%	47.2%	47.3%	1.00×	2.12
0-1 goals	35.7%	35.0%	39.0%	0.90×	2.86
4-6 goals	16.7%	20.2%	13.5%	1.50×	4.94
7+ goals	0.7%	1.8%	0.5%	4.02×	54.50

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
River Plate to score exactly 1	34.5%	33.8%	35.9%	0.94×	2.96
River Plate to score exactly 0	24.7%	22.3%	42.4%	0.53×	4.49
River Plate to score exactly 2	24.2%	22.3%	15.3%	1.46×	4.49
River Plate to score 3+	16.6%	19.5%	6.6%	2.95×	5.12

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aldosivi to score exactly 0	46.3%	37.5%	31.8%	1.18×	2.67
Aldosivi to score exactly 1	35.6%	35.5%	36.5%	0.97×	2.81
Aldosivi to score exactly 2	13.7%	14.3%	21.8%	0.66×	6.99
Aldosivi to score 3+	4.3%	6.2%	10.1%	0.61×	16.14

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	49.2%	51.6%	—	—	1.94
River Plate leading at HT	33.4%	32.8%	—	—	3.05
Aldosivi leading at HT	17.4%	15.9%	—	—	6.28

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
River Plate -1: 1	48.6%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
River Plate -1: X	25.8%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
River Plate -1: 2	25.6%	26.5%	—	—	3.77

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
River Plate (0:1)	80.0%	73.9%	58.2%	1.27×	1.35
Draw (0:1)	13.9%	13.7%	24.3%	0.56×	7.29
Aldosivi (0:1)	6.1%	9.2%	17.7%	0.52×	10.87

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
River Plate (0:2)	93.9%	90.8%	82.3%	1.10×	1.10
Draw (0:2)	4.8%	3.8%	12.8%	0.29×	26.62
Aldosivi (0:2)	1.4%	3.7%	5.0%	0.74×	26.82

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
River Plate (0:3)	98.6%	96.6%	95.0%	1.02×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	1.1%	2.4%	3.4%	0.69×	42.09
Aldosivi (0:3)	0.2%	2.4%	1.7%	1.39×	42.13

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
River Plate (0:4)	99.8%	98.1%	98.3%	1.00×	1.02
Aldosivi (0:4)	0.0%	1.2%	0.6%	2.14×	81.97
Draw (0:4)	0.2%	1.2%	1.3%	0.97×	81.95

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aldosivi (1:0)	48.6%	49.2%	72.4%	0.68×	2.03
Draw (1:0)	25.8%	25.0%	18.6%	1.35×	4.00
River Plate (1:0)	25.6%	25.0%	9.1%	2.74×	4.00

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aldosivi (2:0)	74.4%	76.6%	90.9%	0.84×	1.31
Draw (2:0)	15.8%	15.8%	6.3%	2.52×	6.32
River Plate (2:0)	9.8%	6.4%	3.0%	2.16×	15.63

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	45.0%	45.8%	—	—	2.18
Halves equal	29.5%	26.3%	—	—	3.81
1st half highest scoring	25.6%	26.2%	—	—	3.82

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aldosivi to concede	75.3%	76.0%	57.6%	1.32×	1.32
Aldosivi clean sheet	24.7%	24.0%	42.4%	0.57×	4.17

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aldosivi clean sheet in 1st half	57.1%	62.3%	—	—	1.60
Aldosivi to concede in 1st half	42.9%	37.7%	—	—	2.66

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aldosivi to concede in 2nd half	56.8%	54.8%	—	—	1.83
Aldosivi clean sheet in 2nd half	43.2%	45.2%	—	—	2.21

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aldosivi under 6.5 corners	84.5%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Aldosivi under 5.5 corners	74.5%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Aldosivi over 2.5 corners	73.3%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Aldosivi under 4.5 corners	60.9%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Aldosivi over 3.5 corners	55.8%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Aldosivi under 3.5 corners	44.2%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Aldosivi over 4.5 corners	39.1%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Aldosivi under 2.5 corners	26.7%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
Aldosivi over 5.5 corners	25.5%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
Aldosivi over 6.5 corners	15.5%	19.0%	—	—	5.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aldosivi under 3.5 goals	99.2%	96.4%	97.1%	0.99×	1.04
Aldosivi under 2.5 goals	95.7%	96.4%	89.9%	1.07×	1.04
Aldosivi under 1.5 goals	82.0%	82.2%	68.2%	1.21×	1.22
Aldosivi over 0.5 goals	53.7%	53.2%	68.2%	0.78×	1.88
Aldosivi under 0.5 goals	46.3%	46.8%	31.8%	1.47×	2.14
Aldosivi over 1.5 goals	18.0%	17.8%	31.8%	0.56×	5.62
Aldosivi over 2.5 goals	4.3%	3.6%	10.1%	0.36×	27.50
Aldosivi over 3.5 goals	0.8%	3.6%	2.9%	1.27×	27.65

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aldosivi under 1.5 in 1st half	95.6%	96.7%	—	—	1.03
Aldosivi under 0.5 in 1st half	71.8%	79.2%	—	—	1.26
Aldosivi over 0.5 in 1st half	28.2%	20.8%	—	—	4.81
Aldosivi over 1.5 in 1st half	4.4%	3.3%	—	—	30.08

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aldosivi scores equally in both	53.3%	59.1%	—	—	1.69
Aldosivi scores more in 2nd half	27.3%	27.9%	—	—	3.59
Aldosivi scores more in 1st half	19.4%	15.6%	—	—	6.40

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
River Plate (home no bet)	64.2%	60.1%	47.4%	1.27×	1.67
Draw (home no bet)	35.8%	39.9%	52.6%	0.76×	2.50

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aldosivi even goals	60.7%	56.0%	55.6%	1.01×	1.79
Aldosivi odd goals	39.3%	44.0%	44.4%	0.99×	2.27

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	41.2%	39.0%	—	—	2.57
HT 0-1	22.9%	24.4%	—	—	4.10
HT 1-0	13.5%	11.0%	—	—	9.09
HT 1-1	7.7%	6.9%	—	—	14.54
HT 0-2	6.4%	6.9%	—	—	14.56
HT 2-0	2.2%	2.4%	—	—	42.27
Any other HT score	2.4%	2.4%	—	—	42.26
HT 1-2	2.1%	2.4%	—	—	42.28
HT 2-1	1.3%	2.4%	—	—	42.34
HT 2-2	0.4%	2.4%	—	—	42.40

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
River Plate at HT / River Plate at FT	28.4%	27.4%	—	—	3.65
Draw at HT / River Plate at FT	20.6%	21.6%	—	—	4.64
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	20.0%	21.5%	—	—	4.64
Aldosivi at HT / Aldosivi at FT	10.6%	12.7%	—	—	7.91
Draw at HT / Aldosivi at FT	8.6%	6.1%	—	—	16.45
Aldosivi at HT / Draw at FT	4.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.87
River Plate at HT / Draw at FT	4.0%	3.5%	—	—	28.89
Aldosivi at HT / River Plate at FT	2.3%	3.5%	—	—	28.95
River Plate at HT / Aldosivi at FT	0.9%	3.4%	—	—	29.00

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
River Plate to score last	56.9%	56.6%	—	—	1.77
Aldosivi to score last	31.1%	32.3%	—	—	3.10
No goal scored	12.0%	9.1%	—	—	10.94

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	88.0%	91.4%	—	—	1.09
River Plate to lead by 1 at any time	62.8%	61.3%	—	—	1.63
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	39.2%	34.9%	—	—	2.87
Aldosivi to lead by 1 at any time	34.4%	29.8%	—	—	3.36
River Plate to lead by 2 at any time	30.1%	29.6%	—	—	3.37
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	13.1%	10.6%	—	—	9.42
River Plate to lead by 3 at any time	11.3%	10.6%	—	—	9.46
Aldosivi to lead by 2 at any time	9.1%	6.7%	—	—	14.96
Aldosivi to lead by 3 at any time	1.9%	1.6%	—	—	63.44

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
River Plate most corners	53.9%	51.7%	—	—	1.94
Aldosivi most corners	34.8%	34.4%	—	—	2.90
Corners level	11.3%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	85.7%	87.4%	84.3%	1.04×	1.14
1-4 goals	81.1%	83.4%	79.9%	1.04×	1.20
1-3 goals	70.6%	72.3%	71.5%	1.01×	1.38
2-6 goals	63.6%	63.3%	60.7%	1.04×	1.58
2-5 goals	62.0%	63.3%	60.1%	1.05×	1.58
2-4 goals	57.4%	59.1%	55.8%	1.06×	1.69
1-2 goals	51.1%	53.1%	51.4%	1.03×	1.88
2-3 goals	46.9%	48.4%	47.3%	1.02×	2.06
3-6 goals	36.2%	39.2%	33.5%	1.17×	2.55
3-5 goals	34.5%	35.2%	33.0%	1.07×	2.84
3-4 goals	30.0%	30.2%	28.6%	1.06×	3.31
4-6 goals	16.7%	18.8%	13.5%	1.40×	5.31
4-5 goals	15.1%	18.8%	12.9%	1.46×	5.32
5-6 goals	6.2%	8.9%	5.0%	1.77×	11.27
7+ goals	0.7%	2.5%	0.5%	5.59×	39.24

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
River Plate never behind	53.6%	62.4%	—	—	1.60
Aldosivi never behind	25.2%	29.7%	—	—	3.37

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	48.2%	50.9%	48.9%	1.04×	1.97
Even number of goals	51.8%	49.1%	51.1%	0.96×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	58.6%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Odd goals in 1st half	41.4%	42.1%	—	—	2.37

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	54.3%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	45.7%	48.0%	—	—	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	97.7%	95.4%	99.0%	0.96×	1.05
Under 4.5 goals	93.1%	92.3%	94.6%	0.98×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	88.0%	87.6%	85.2%	1.03×	1.14
Under 3.5 goals	82.6%	82.3%	86.2%	0.95×	1.22
Over 1.5 goals	64.3%	61.7%	61.0%	1.01×	1.62
Under 2.5 goals	63.1%	61.7%	66.1%	0.93×	1.62
Over 2.5 goals	36.9%	38.3%	33.9%	1.13×	2.61
Under 1.5 goals	35.7%	38.3%	39.0%	0.98×	2.61
Over 3.5 goals	17.4%	17.7%	13.8%	1.28×	5.65
Under 0.5 goals	12.0%	12.4%	14.8%	0.84×	8.07
Over 4.5 goals	6.9%	7.7%	5.4%	1.44×	12.94
Over 5.5 goals	2.3%	4.6%	1.0%	4.46×	21.84

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	99.3%	97.2%	99.5%	0.98×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	97.5%	97.2%	98.9%	0.98×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	92.3%	92.4%	94.1%	0.98×	1.08
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	78.4%	75.9%	82.7%	0.92×	1.32
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	50.8%	51.8%	46.5%	1.12×	1.93
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	49.2%	48.2%	53.5%	0.90×	2.08
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	21.6%	24.1%	17.3%	1.40×	4.15
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	7.7%	7.6%	5.9%	1.30×	13.19
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	2.5%	2.8%	1.1%	2.62×	35.62
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	0.7%	2.8%	0.5%	6.11×	35.67

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	93.9%	92.9%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	77.5%	78.1%	—	—	1.28
Over 0.5 in 1st half	58.9%	64.8%	—	—	1.54
Under 0.5 in 1st half	41.2%	35.2%	—	—	2.84
Over 1.5 in 1st half	22.5%	21.9%	—	—	4.56
Over 2.5 in 1st half	6.1%	7.1%	—	—	14.09

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	86.2%	85.3%	—	—	1.17
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	71.9%	77.7%	—	—	1.29
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	63.3%	61.5%	—	—	1.63
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	36.7%	38.5%	—	—	2.60
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	28.1%	22.3%	—	—	4.48
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	13.8%	14.7%	—	—	6.81

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aldosivi not to score in both halves	90.0%	90.0%	—	—	1.11
River Plate not to score in both halves	75.7%	78.4%	—	—	1.28
River Plate to score in both halves	24.3%	21.6%	—	—	4.62
Aldosivi to score in both halves	10.0%	10.0%	—	—	10.00

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	41.0%	46.6%	40.6%	1.15×	2.15
Only River Plate scores	34.4%	33.3%	17.1%	1.95×	3.00
Only Aldosivi scores	12.7%	11.0%	27.7%	0.40×	9.06
Neither team scores	12.0%	11.0%	14.8%	0.74×	9.07

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	27.4%	24.9%	27.3%	0.91×	4.02
Exactly 1 goals	23.7%	22.6%	24.3%	0.93×	4.43
Exactly 3 goals	19.4%	17.5%	20.2%	0.87×	5.73
Exactly 0 goals	12.0%	12.1%	14.8%	0.82×	8.26
Exactly 4 goals	10.5%	12.1%	8.6%	1.42×	8.26
Exactly 5 goals	4.6%	4.5%	4.4%	1.01×	22.33
6 or more goals	2.3%	4.5%	1.0%	4.36×	22.36

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No goals in 1st half	41.2%	39.0%	—	—	2.57
1 goal in 1st half	36.4%	37.2%	—	—	2.69
2 goals in 1st half	16.4%	15.6%	—	—	6.40
3+ goals in 1st half	6.1%	7.1%	—	—	14.09

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	36.7%	39.8%	—	—	2.51
1 goal in 2nd half	35.2%	39.6%	—	—	2.53
No goals in 2nd half	28.1%	29.1%	—	—	3.43

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aldosivi not to win both halves	96.8%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
River Plate not to win both halves	85.7%	87.9%	—	—	1.14
River Plate to win both halves	14.3%	12.1%	—	—	8.26
Aldosivi to win both halves	3.2%	2.8%	—	—	35.92

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aldosivi to win neither half	67.8%	67.9%	—	—	1.47
River Plate to win either half	61.6%	64.9%	—	—	1.54
River Plate to win neither half	38.4%	35.1%	—	—	2.85
Aldosivi to win either half	32.2%	32.1%	—	—	3.12

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aldosivi not to win to nil	87.3%	88.1%	72.3%	1.22×	1.14
River Plate not to win to nil	65.6%	69.6%	82.9%	0.84×	1.44
River Plate to win to nil	34.4%	30.4%	17.1%	1.77×	3.30
Aldosivi to win to nil	12.7%	11.9%	27.7%	0.43×	8.41

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	28.6%	27.9%	30.7%	0.91×	3.59
River Plate by 1	25.8%	27.9%	18.6%	1.50×	3.59
River Plate by 2	15.8%	17.0%	6.3%	2.72×	5.87
Aldosivi by 1	13.9%	11.8%	24.3%	0.48×	8.50
River Plate by 3+	9.8%	7.2%	3.0%	2.43×	13.90
Aldosivi by 2	4.8%	2.7%	12.8%	0.21×	36.82
Aldosivi by 3+	1.4%	2.7%	5.0%	0.54×	36.93